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Μαθηματικές Μέθοδοι στα Μικροοικονομικα και Χρηματοοικονομικα.
Μαθηματικές Μέθοδοι στα Μικροοικονομικα και Χρηματοοικονομικα.
, ,
.
, 2010
ii
iii
2002,
. /
-
. ,
poster.
poster .
2005
.
Peter Leach KwaZulu-Natal
.
, -,
.
2006.
Peter Leach 2000 .
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Painleve, Lie .
,
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Lie
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, Ko van der Weele ,
.
iv
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Ko van der Weele ,
.
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Microeconomica
SYM ( , Mathematica).
KwaZulu-Natal
: Peter Leach (Professor
Emeritus), John OHara ( Essex),
Adhir Maharaj Viroshan Naicker ( Cambridge).
, Clara Nucci Perugia
Puu Centre for Regional Science (CERUM),
, Tonu
Ume Shahriar Yousefi Centre for Advanced Research in Nature
and Society (CARINAS) . ,
,
.
, , ,
Jose-Manuel Rey University Complutense in Madrid.
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vi
1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
14
22
2. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
24
2.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
25
2.1.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
25
2.1.2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
27
2.1.3
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
29
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
31
33
38
2.2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
44
2.2.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
48
2.2.2 Parrondo . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
50
2.1.4
2.3
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
52
2.3.1 Cournot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
52
2.3.2 Bertrand . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
57
59
2.3.4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
60
viii
3. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
64
3.1 - . . . . . .
65
3.2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
69
3.3 . . . .
71
3.4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
73
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
78
4.
4.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
81
4.1.1 Theocharis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
81
4.1.2 Puu
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
84
4.2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
86
4.3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
90
4.4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
95
5. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105
5.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
106
5.2
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
111
115
6. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119
6.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
122
6.2 . . . . . . . . . . .
127
6.3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
129
ix
7. LIE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 135
7.1 Lie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
136
7.2 Lie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
140
7.3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
144
7.4 (1 + 1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
149
8. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153
8.1 Black-Scholes-Merton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
155
8.2 Longstaff . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
158
8.3 Vasicek . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
160
8.4 Cox-Ingersoll-Ross
163
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
8.5 Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9.
166
. . . . . 179
9.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
180
9.2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
181
9.3 Lie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
184
9.4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
187
10.
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 193
195
196
200
206
2.1 Pascal. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
28
2.2 : . . . . .
29
2.3 : Nash . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
31
34
34
37
37
38
40
41
42
42
2.13 , , ,
- . 48
7.1 Lie.
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
142
7.2 Lie. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
143
7.3 Lie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
150
156
xii
159
160
161
162
164
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
166
8.8 Heath. . . . . . . . . .
168
175
188
190
9.3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
192
2.1 Cournot .
. .
55
3.1
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
66
3.2 (, ) = (1 , 2 ) MS
1 = 2 = 0.5, 1 = 1, 2 = 1.1 () 1 = 0.7, 2 = 0.2, 1 = 0.4,
2 = 1.3 ().
1 , 2 (0, 1) (0, 1). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
69
3.3 (, ) = (1 , 2 )
71
72
72
3.6 , (3.19),
1 = 0.7, 2 = 0.2 1 () 2 (). .
72
75
3.8 , 1 (). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
76
87
87
xiv
. . . . . . .
88
88
89
89
90
94
4.9 = 3 = 4.
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
94
4.10 = 7 = 5. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
95
4.11 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
97
4.12 . .
97
4.13 . .
97
4.14
,
1.
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
98
4.15 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
98
4.16 . . .
99
4.17
1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
99
4.18 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
100
xv
4.19 . .
100
4.20 . .
100
4.21 .
. . . . . . . . . .
101
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
148
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,
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2 (1 , 2 ) =
1
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2
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,
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1
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2
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(2 1 + 2 )2 + 1
(0.3)
(0.1), (0.2), 3
1
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2: () (1 , 2 ) Poincare.
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1 2 2
+ 2
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( )
2
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1 2 2
+ 2 2 ( )
= 0.
(0.12)
Longstaff,
1 2 2 ( 1 2
2 2 4 ( 22 ) 2
+ = 0,
(0.13)
- Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman,
1 2 2
+
+
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2
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(0.17)
2. Lie
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(0.18)
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2
1 2 2
1 2 2 2
1
+ 2 2 = 0.
2
2
2
2
(0.19)
(13).
(20).
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}
{(2, ) ()} (2+1) (1 )
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16
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5 Cournot.
(4, 22 19).
. ( 6 10):
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(
) .
.
Grenadier Dixit.
. (
) 6.
6.1 /
, Black, Scholes Merton. , 7,
.
Lie, ,
.
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7 Lie
.
.
Lie Lie (9 11).
Lie.
(1 + 1) .
8
, Black-Scholes-Merton, Longstaff,
Vasicek, Cox-Ingersoll-Ross, Heath Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (12, 5
8). Black-Scholes -
18
Burgess
Lie. Schrodinger
(7 6). ,
Lie.
.
.
Lie
.
,
, Lie.
.
1997,
Schwartz .
9
.
. 9,
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(10 8).
(21).
10
Miller Weller Henderson Hobson (13)
. , ,
, .
19
Andriopoulos K & Bountis T (2008) Dynamics of a Duopoly Model with Periodic Driving Proceedings of the 7th International Conference: Lets face chaos through Nonlinear
Dynamics M Robnik & VG Romanovski eds. (American Institute of Physics Conference
Proceedings 1076) 9-12
. . :
5 Naicker V, Andriopoulos K & Leach PGL (2005) Symmetry reductions of a Hamilton Jacobi - Bellman equation arising in Financial Mathematics Journal of Nonlinear Mathematical Physics 12 268-283
6 Leach PGL & Andriopoulos K (2005) Newtonian economics Group Analysis of Differential
Equations NH Ibragimov, C Sophocleous & PA Damianou eds. (University of Cyprus,
Nicosia) 134-142
. . :
7 Andriopoulos K & Leach PGL (2006) A common theme in applied mathematics: an equation connecting applications in economics, medicine and physics South African Journal of
Science 102 No 1/2 66-72
20
8 Leach PGL & Andriopoulos K (2007) Algebraic solutions of some partial differential equations arising in Financial Mathematics and related areas Bulletin of the Greek Mathematical
Society 54 15-27
9 Andriopoulos K (2007) Complete symmetry groups and Lie remarkability Symmetry and
Perturbation Theory SPT 2007 G Gaeta, R Vitolo & S Walcher eds. (World Scientific,
Singapore) 237-238
10 Sophocleous C, Leach PGL & Andriopoulos K (2008) Algebraic properties of evolution
partial differential equations modelling prices of commodities Mathematical Methods in
the Applied Sciences 31 679-694
11 Andriopoulos K, Dimas S, Leach PGL & Tsoubelis D (2008) On the systematic approach to the classification of differential equations by group theoretical methods Journal of
Computational and Applied Mathematics 230 224-232
12 Dimas S, Andriopoulos K, Tsoubelis D & Leach PGL (2009) Complete Specification of some
Partial Differential Equations that arise in Financial Mathematics Journal of Nonlinear
Mathematical Physics 16, s-1 73-92
13 Leach PGL, Andriopoulos K & Yannacopoulos AN (2010) Nonlinear Equations in Financial
Mathematics: Symmetries and Linearisation (preprint)
14 Andriopoulos K & Leach PGL (2006) Lie point symmetries: An alternative approach to
wave-functions Bulletin of the Greek Mathematical Society 52 25-34
15 Andriopoulos K & Leach PGL (2007) Explicit solution of the generalised Ladder Problem
Journal of the Physical Society of Japan 76 054001 1-3
16 Andriopoulos K (2008) Generalised symmetries and the connection to Differential Sequences International Journal of Pure and Applied Mathematics 42 383-390
17 Andriopoulos K, Bountis T, van der Weele K & Tsigaridi L (2009) The shape of soliton-like
solutions of higher-order KdV equations Journal of Nonlinear Mathematical Physics 16 s-1
1-12
18 Bountis T, van der Weele K, Kanellopoulos G & Andriopoulos K (2011) Model Reduction
of a Higher-Order KdV Equation for Shallow Water Waves Coping with Complexity: Model
Reduction and Data Analysis AN Gorban & D Roose eds. (Lecture Notes in Computational
Science and Engineering 75) Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg, 287-298
19 Andriopoulos K (with T Bountis & S Dimas) Evolution of a Duopoly With Differentiated
Goods (in preparation)
20 Andriopoulos K (with J-M Rey) The Dating Hypothesis (in preparation)
21
22
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.
.
.
:
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netbooks.
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: Dating Hypothesis Box-Checking Experiment.
23
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2.1 .
.
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, .
.
,
Gibbons [42].
25
2.1
. ( ) /.
, (, )
.
( 5)
1 (common
knowledge).
2.1.1
, ,
. , .
, 1 .
, . ,
, (1 , 2 , . . . , ).
(1 , . . . , )
(1 , . . . , ).
:
()
()
()
= {1 , . . . , ; 1 , . . . , } .
(2.1)
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.
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;
1
/.
.
.
.
26
2 ;
: , (2.1),
, , , .
() ,
(1 , . . . , 1 , , +1 , . . . , ) < (1 , . . . , 1 , , +1 , . . . , ),
(2.2)
(1 , . . . , 1 , +1 , . . . , ) 1 . . . 1 +1 . . . (
).
. ,
. ,
Nash ( ).
.
27
: Nash 3 =
{1 , . . . , ; 1 , . . . , } (1 , . . . , ) , ,
, ( )
1 , (1 , . . . , 1 , +1 , . . . , ).
Nash:
(1 , . . . , 1 , , +1 , . . . , ) (1 , . . . , 1 , , +1 , . . . , ),
(2.3)
, ,
max (1 , . . . , 1 , , +1 , . . . , ).
(2.4)
1: , (2.1), (1 , . . . , )
Nash, .
2: , (2.1),
(1 , . . . , ), Nash
.
,
, , [42].
2.1.2
,
. :
.
, Pascal [65], .
2.1. Pascal.
, , 1 +1 (
status quo
,
.
3
28
1
1
: 2.1: Pascal.
, , . ,
1/2 ,
+
.
.
.
: ( ).
.
: ( )
( / ) .
( /).
,
. (
.) , ,
. , ,
() 30%
( ). (
)
(
, , homo (economicus) sapiens, )
, , 4 .
,
Nash / 4
[26] -
: ( )
( ) . , (17%)
(32%) !
(!). , ( )
. (
, [45].)
29
, , -,
.
2.1.3
( )
. ,
( !),
( ).
.
.
,
.
:
( ),
.
, .
,
( )
( ).
1,
0,
9,
6,
0
6
: 2.2: : .
:
()
()
:
() (1 = )
() (2 = )
() , (, ), ( ) 2.2. ,
2 1 2
2 (, ) = 0.
Nash.
30
. ,
5
( , ) < ( , )
(2.5)
2 (2 = ), 1,
1 (, ) < 1 (, )
(1 < 0)
, 2 = ,
1 (, ) < 1 (, )
(9 < 6).
, 2 , 2 = {, },
1 (, ) < 1 (, ).
( 1).
2 (, ) < 2 (, ).
, , (
, ...) . (
) (, ).
(, )! ,
(, ), ,
. , ,
(, ).
, (
).
2.1.5.
Nash:
Nash , ,
. , 2.3
. ,
,
Nash.
, .
5
(2.2).
1,
0,
31
9,
-6 ,
-6
: 2.3: : Nash
, (1 , 2 ) Nash
,
max (, ).
(2.6)
2 2 = {, } (
) 1 (2.6)
,
max 1 (, )
1
max 1 (, )
1
1 =
1 = .
2
Nash, (1 , 2 ) = (, ).
1 2 ,
(, ) Nash. , ,
.
2.1.4
() / .
.
, . Nash ()
.
: = {1 , . . . , ; 1 , . . . , } = {1 , . . . , }.
= (1 , . . . , ),
0 1 = 1, . . . , 1 + . . . + = 1.
, ,
. , Nash
:
32
1 , = 1, . . . , , 2 , = 1, . . . , , 1
2 1 = {11 , . . . , 1 } 2 = {21 , . . . , 2 }, .
1 2 (21 , . . . , 2 )
(21 , . . . , 2 ) , , 2 1
, (11 , . . . , 1 ) (11 , . . . , 1 ).
1
2.
1 1 ,
2 1 (1 , 2 )
(2.7)
=1
, 1 = (11 , . . . , 1 ),
1 (1 , 2 ) =
=1
2 1 (1 , 2 )
=1
1 2 1 (1 , 2 ),
(2.8)
=1 =1
1 2 1 1 2 2 .
1 1 ,
(2.8),
, (11 , . . . , 1 ), (2.7),
(11 , . . . , 1 ). , 1
1 2 2, 1 > 0
=1
2 1 (1 , 2 )
2 1 (1 , 2 )
=1
1 1 .
(2.9)
, 2 1,
(. (2.8) )
2 (1 , 2 ) =
=1
=1
1 2 (1 , 2 )
1 2 2 (1 , 2 ).
(2.10)
=1 =1
: , , (1 , 2 ) Nash
, , 1
1 (1 , 2 ) 1 (1 , 2 )
(2.11)
33
1 1 2
2 (1 , 2 ) 2 (1 , 2 )
(2.12)
2 2 .
(Nash, 1950) [60]:
= {1 , . . . , ; 1 , . . . , } ,
,
Nash, .
: Nash
Kakutani [53] ( Brouwer [24])
, , - . Nash
Nash.
, Kakutani, Nash
6 .
. , .
, ( ) [40, 36]
.
A
Beautiful Mind:
. ( ) Nash
Nobel 1994 (
Harsanyi Selten).
:
1. Dating Hypothesis ( 3 ).
6
Hardy [47]:
, ,
. , Nash, .
, Brouwer .
, Hardy : :
,
.
34
2. , , ,
1 = 2 = 3 = {1 , 2 }. , 2
1 , 1 . 1
2 (
).
3. , ,
:
, () .
()
. , ()
. () = 1/2 .
. 1 = 2 = 3 ,
,
. , ,
. ,
1 > 2 > 3 ,
.
,
,
2.4 2.5. >> .
3 1
2 1
2 2
1 1
(1 (3),
2 (3),
3 (3))
(1 (2),
3 (2))
1 2
(,
2 (2),
3 (2))
(,
3 (1))
3 2
2 1
2 2
1 1
(1 (2),
2 (2),
(1 (1),
1 2
(,
2 (1),
(,
2.4 2.5 2
1 ()
1 (
).
1 = 2 = 3 = 1 Nash, (1 , 1 , 1 )
( Nash [60]), (3) . 1
. ,
35
Dating Hypothesis
. : , (
)
.
.
, . ,
, internet , (
) .
( ()
) .
(),
.
.
, , Nash
(1 , 1 , 1 ), .
,
,
(2 , 2 , 2 ). , :
. , ( ad hoc),
:
:
1. Dating Hypothesis ( ).
2. ,
1 = 2 = 3 = 4 = {1 , 2 , 3 , 4 }. ,
2 1 , 1 .
1 , 2 , 3 4
.
3. , ,
:
36
: 7 .
4 (
1 ), (1 ) = 4. (
.) ,
,
,
! :
1 .
30%
,
.
1 (1 , ) = 0.4 = = 1, , . 10%
. ( )
8 .
( ) 52.5%, 20%
5% 35%, 15% 2.5%, .
: ( ) + 1.
, +1 , (+1 ) = 2 , , +1 .
1 :
, 1 3, 3 , 2
, 1 (3 ) = 0, 5 ( 50% ,
, 3 (3 ) = 0, 5 (
).
, 1, 3 , ,
1 (3 ) = 0, 8 ( 80% 1 ).
Dating Hypothesis,
2.6, 2.7 2.8. 9 :
7
8
, A Beautiful Mind, !
.
.
.
9
( ) ,
37
( , , ). , 2.6
2 ( ) 3 (
)10 . , ( , ), 2 2 , ,
/ 1 11 = 1 ,
12 = 2 , 21 = 3 22 = 4 .
, 2 (3 , 3 , 4 ) = 2.
1
2
3
4
0.4
1.2
1.2
1.2
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.5
0.8
0.8
1.2
2.4
2.4
2.4
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.5
0.8
0.8
1.2
2.4
2.4
2.4
0.8
0.8
0.8
1.2
2.4
2.4
2.4
0.8
0.5
0.8
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.8
1
2
3
4
0.2
0.8
0.8
0.5
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
2.1
2.1
2.1
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
2.1
0.5
2.1
0.8
2.1
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
2.1
0.5
2.1
0.8
2.1
0.8
0.5
0.5
0.5
2 (). :
.
1
2
3
4
38
0.1
0.8
0.6
0.5
0.6
0.8
0.6
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.6
1.4
1.4
1.4
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.6
0.8
1.4
0.5
1.4
0.8
1.4
0.8
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.6
0.8
1.4
0.5
1.4
0.8
1.4
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
( ) .
,
. 1 1 2 2 1
3 . ( 3 4 .)
(
), 1 2 (
) ;
, ,
.
,
!
, (
)
() (
).
(focal point equilibrium) [79] (1 , 3 , 4 ) 1 +2 +3 = 6.4
( ). , ,
-. ,
.
Nash . (3 4
, ),
.
39
( )
. ( )
! Box-Checking Experiment (
)
[66].
11 :
Box-Checking Experiment: ()
:
1.
2. .
/2 .
/2
.
Status quo:
.
(
) ,
.
.
/.
( )
.
( ) ,
, , .
:
-,
( )
11
Paulos ,
, [66].
40
, ( ) ,
, ,
.
, ( ) .
, .
.
, , (, ),
, . ,
, (, ), .
, ,
( ).
2.9.
1,
0,
1,
0,
, , ,
Nash: (, ) (, ). :
, ;
, 12 .
, ( ) : ,
( ). ,
( ).
, Nash , (, )
(, ), , ,
. ,
: 1 1 . ,
12
, , Dating Hypo-
thesis. Nash
.
41
2 1 ( 2.10).
,
, 1
1,
0,
, 1
1
1
1,
0,
1:
1 = 2 +
2 = 2 + ,
1
= 0
2
= 0,
2 + 1 = 0
2 + 1 = 0.
0 1 0 1.
(
)
( 21 , 12 ), ( 12 , 12 )
.
.
. ,
.
Dating Hypothesis
:
M2
1:
A2
M1
2:
A1
M1
3:
A1
M3
1,
1,
A3
0
0
1,
1,
M3
1,
1,
1,
0
0
A3
0
0
1,
1,
M2
1,
42
0
0
A2
0
0
1,
1,
0
0
( 2.11)
Nash : (), () (). ,
,
,
(1
2
2 ,
2
2 ),
(1
2
2 ,
2
2 ),
(1
2
2 ,
2
2 )
Box-Checking Experiment -
2.12.
( )
2
3
4
5
6
(
1
(1
, 1 = (0.5, 0.5)
2 2 )
2
2
(0.2929, 0.7071)
2 , 2
(1 1)
2 , 2 = (0.5, 0.5)
)
(0.385728, 0.614272)
(1 1)
2 , 2 = (0.5, 0.5)
:
, .
,
! (
.) ,
. ,
, , : ,
43
,
2.12. ( ,
,
):
[12]: Box-Checking Experiment ( ),
, , , Nash
((0.5, 0.5), . . . , (0.5, 0.5)), .
Nash [60] (
) , . ,
, !
:
, (0.5, 0.5).
. ,
,
[32].
.
Box-Checking Experiment : ,
. (
) . , , / .
, ,
2.12! ,
, ,
, . ,
, Box-Checking Experiment .
. , ,
. :
.
(
) ...
.
44
(
). Box-Checking Experiment
[9]. 51
, . 25 ( 51) !
, .
2.2
.
.
( ).
,
,
.
.
, (
) (
). , (Ultimatum Game), ,
2.1.2, . , ,
,
( ).
.
: .
( ) ,
, ( ),
, . ,
, , ,
1 [0, ], . , 1 .
, , 2 {, }.
, 1
1 . ,
.
13 . ,
13
; [43], , ,
. ,
45
( ) : ,
.
, , 1 > 0,
: 1 > 0
. , , 1 ,
1 > 0. (
,
), -
, 1 , . 1
Nash [18]. , (
) ( , ,
[45, 62]). [45], ,
/2 , ,
/3, ,
1/2, ! - [62]
( )
:
...
. (
.)
/4, /3,
/2 1 > 0.
(
Nash); ,
(
, )
. , . ,
,
,
[78];
: (1)
; (2) ( )
/ ;
(3) ,
- , [50] ()
()
.
46
;
. , , , .
.
,
() ,
, ( ),
. , ,
.
. ,
, ,
( , /4) . [45, 39, 78, 62] (
) .
,
14 .
. ,
: ( , ) . ,
, . ,
.
: ( , )
. (
14
. , , ( )
( , , )!
.
; :
1 , 1 ( ). :
; , ,
!
[1]
.
Nash.
47
)
( ).
,
(
)
, , , [34],
Shapley [80], ( [67]).
.
:
:
1. 1 , 1 , , 1 .
2. 2 1 , 2 ,
, 2 .
3. 1 (1 , 2 ) 2 (1 , 2 ), .
, ,
von Stackelberg [83]. 2.3.3.
:
(
).
,
(backwards induction method): 1, (
), .
, 2
, 1
.
, 2 ,
1 1,
,
max 2 (1 , 2 ).
2 2
(2.13)
, (2.13), 2 = 2 (1 ),
2 (1 ) ( ) ,
1 , 1.
.
, 2,
, (2.13),
48
( ), 1,
,
max 1 (1 , 2 (1 )).
(2.14)
1 1
( ) 1 . ,
(1 , 2 (1 ))
.
( ) . ,
( ). ,
Nash Nash
Nash [81].
:
(1)
(2)
(2)
(2)
(3)
2.2.1
1,
5,
0,
4,
: 2.13: , , ,
- .
( )
;
Nash; ,
,
2.1.3.
:
( , ); , ()
() (), ,
: -
49
! , ,
, = 1/(1+), . ( = 1/(1+)
1 .)
: , , (, )
-
, . , 1
- .
(, )
.
, ()
,
. :
;
, , (1 , 2 ) !
: . ( )
- : 1 (1 , 2 ) ,
.
( ).
;
5 (. 2.13)
1 :
= 5 + 1 + 2 1 + . . . = 5 + (1 + + 2 + . . .) = 5 +
.
1
4 :
= 4 + 4 + 2 4 + . . . = 4(1 + + 2 + . . .) =
4
.
1
41 .
( Axelrod) [14]:
Axelrod (
1970) ( -
) :
,
( 200 )
50
1 . ( 62 ),
Anatol Rapoport
:
( Tit-for-Tat): , ,
, . ,
!
: ( ) Nash
,
,
. ,
41 [86].
: , , (, )
1 , .
, , Nash
, , (, ), Nash
[86].
, ( ) :
-
, [0, 1)
( ).
, ,
, (
). Nash ;
: , , ,
, , ( )
: Nash
.
2.2.2 Parrondo
, ,
. , ,
51
, , ,
. ,
; [48]
, Parrondo. ,
;15 ...
:
: = 1/2
[ mod 3 = 0] =
1
10
[ mod 3 = 0] =
9
10
[ mod 3 = 0] =
[ mod 3 = 0] =
1
4
3
4
+ .
, mod 3 = 0 mod 3 = 0
( 40%)
( 60%). ,
,
. , .
,
E [1 0 ] < 0 =
0 mod 3 = 0,
.
15
, Parrondo
. [64]
.
,
. Paulos Scholes,
. .
52
, ..,
, , , !
[48].
:
, 1 2 , . ,
, (, 1 , 2 ), Parrondo 0.032%
. ,
[49].
Abbott
Parrondo. , ,
Parrondo [52].
2.3
Nash
. , Cournot Bertrand
( )
. Nash
,
Nash.
Cournot
( )!
2.3.1 Cournot
53
- . , Cournot, ,
( ,
).
() , , : () . Cournot
(
) : .
( , ),
( ). . ,
, ,
() .
, ,
.
,
, :
, , ( )
.
, ,
. (
2.3) . ,
Cournot ,
.
Cournot. ,
.
, 1 2,
, , .
. ,
, .
1 2
1 2 , , = 1 + 2 .
(
), , = (), .
,
. , ,
.
54
. ,
,
,
( ). Cournot. Cournot
. , Cournot
, ().
, , = (),
. : 1) (0) 0. 2) > 0 () > 0, () < 0,
. 3) > 0, () , ,
, .
, ,
,
1 = 1 (1 + 2 )
2 = 2 (1 + 2 ).
(
)
1
1
2
2
=
=
[1 (1 + 2 )]
=0
1
[2 (1 + 2 )]
= 0,
2
(1 + 2 ) + 1 (1 + 2 ) = 0
(1 + 2 ) + 2 (1 + 2 ) = 0
(2.15)
1 2 .
(2.15): , (2.15), ;
:
, , ; Cournot , ,
[29].
, ,
, () > 0, d2 /d2 < 0.
55
Cournot
2.1.
(2.15) (reaction curves) [38]
(reaction function) [23].
,
.
5
: 2.1: Cournot .
(2.15)
2 () + () = 0,
, ,
+ 2
( = ()).
d
d
=0
(2.16)
, (
) , ,
d
d
= 0.
(2.17)
,
(2.15), ,
d
d
= 0.
(2.18)
= 1/
. , , ,
( = 1) .
. ,
.
,
(2.17). , ,
:
.
56
(2.16) ( ), 1 = 2 ,
. . ,
. ,
, 1 (1 ), 2 (2 ), . . . , ( ), .
,
() + 1 () 1 (1 ) = 0
() + 2 () 2 (2 ) = 0
(2.19)
..
.
() + () ( ) = 0,
, , =
= , = 1, .
=1
: (2.19),
)
d (
( ) ( ) .
d
( )
=1
d
d
= 0,
(2.20)
[
] d
+ ()
= 0.
d
(2.21)
(2.20) (2.21)
=1 ( )
().
=1 ( )
> ().
Cournot , , (2.21),
(2.20).
Cournot
57
. ,
: ;
; ;
, ;
( () )
, ,
Bertrand Cournot.
2.3.2 Bertrand
Cournot
.
Cournot
. , 1883
, Bertrand [16]. , Daughety [33] [ 18]
: Cournot
, Bertrand 1883
Cournot.
Joseph Bertrand (1822-1900) ,
Cournot ( Walras [87]). ,
, ( Bertrand16 )
( Bertrand17 ). Bertrand, , Cournot Walras, Journal des Savants,
. ,
, ( )
.
.
Cournot, , - .
16
Chebyshev.
17
.
; Bertrand
58
Cournot () . Bertrand
() , .
. ,
Nash.
, Cournot
. , Bertrand : .
, ,
. ,
.
( ) Cournot . ,
Bertrand, .
[37]:
.
Cournot . ,
Bertrand. , , ,
.
Bertrand Cournot
. ,
. ,
. , Bertrand
1 2 ,
[16].
Bertrand,
(1 , 2 ) = ( ) (1 , 2 ),
= 1, 2,
(2.22)
, , .
:
< , (
) = > . ,
59
.
1 > 2 . , 2 ( )
1 . 1 = 2 ,
, (
). , ,
. , ,
[35].
Bertrand
Cournot ( )
! ,
. , ( ),
. , ,
( Bertrand/Nash) . Bertrand
.
,
.
60
(expectation rules)
.
.
,
, 1 ( )
, 2 ( ).
. Stackelberg
2 Cournot
. Stackelberg
Bertrand. , () 2, 1 , Cournot,
. , 1
. ,
Stackelberg. :
1. 1 1 ( ).
2. 2 Cournot
2 = 2 (1 ).
(2.23)
3. 1 1 (2.23).
( , [69]) Stackelberg (
Cournot) Cournot
Cournot.
Stackelberg
5. , Stackelberg
.
2.3.4
Cournot Bertrand ( ),
Cournot [29] ,
. (
Bertrand ;), ( )
61
Cournot, Bertrand
,
.
.
Hotelling [51] ,
(
).
( ).
.
. (
)
() . (
Hotelling)
.
,
[77], (
Cournot) [37].
Hotelling :
()
. (.
[76].)
Chamberlin
[27]. (
) . , Hotelling,
Hotelling ( ). , Chamberlin
(
)
( [37]).
. , (
)
5. , , Chamberlin
.
( ) ,
, () () . -
62
, ,
( Bertrand Cournot).
Nash Nash [60]. ,
, .
; ; , ;
Cournot, Theocharis [85] Palander [63] 1939!
63
3.
, .
.
( ) . ,
(
4.2). , ,
.
.
(reaction functions) . 5 ,
. .
.
. .
, ,
.
, .
. , ,
. 4.
.
.
: , .
. , , , . ,
, , - , ,
65
. , :
(.. );
Matsumoto Szidarovszky [58], 3.1, [7]
(periodic driving)
[8].
3.1 -
, , :
.
,
.
/ ,
.
Cournot, ,
() ,
, [29].
( )
.
,
,
,
Cournot (Nash). ,
. (best-response curve)
,
(
, 5, ).
, 1
2, , , , ,
. , ( )
,
1 = [(1 , 2 ) 1 (1 , 2 )] 1 2 = [(1 , 2 ) 2 (1 , 2 )] 2 ,
(3.1)
(1 , 2 ) 1 2 , = 1, 2,
.
66
Cournot
1 + {(1 , 2 ) 1 (1 , 2 )}
1 1
{
}
2 + {(1 , 2 ) 2 (1 , 2 )}
2 2
1 = 1 (2 )
2 = 2 (1 ).
(3.2)
2.5
p=1Hq+.5L-.1
2
p=1q^2
1.5
p=1Hq^2+1L
1
0.5
0.5
1.5
2.5
: 3.1:
.
(1 , 2 ) =
1
,
1 + 2
(3.3)
[30].
[2, 6].
+ 0 =
1
,
+ 0
= 1 + 2 .
(3.4)
,
.
( 3.1)
1
,
2 + 1
67
(3.5)
. , ( ) ( ) (utility function)
.
,
.
, ,
.
, 1 2 , [58],
:
1 =
1
1 + 1 2
2 =
1
,
2 1 + 2
(3.6)
1 =
1
(1 + 1 2 )2 + 1
2 =
1
.
(2 1 + 2 )2 + 1
(3.7)
. ,
1 (1 , 2 ) = 1 (1 , 2 )1 1 1 2 (1 , 2 ) = 2 (1 , 2 )2 2 2 .
(3.8)
Cournot,
,
:
.
, [58] ,
1 (2 ) 2 (1 ), (3.8)
(3.6), 1 2 = 1 (1 + 1 2 )2 2 1 =
2 (2 + 2 1 )2 , , 1 2 , ,
1 2
2 1
1 (2 ) =
1 2 2 (1 ) =
2 1 .
1
2
(3.9)
68
(3.10)
, = 1, 2,
( ).
Cournot. , , ,
,
1 () = 1
1
1
2 () = 2
2
,
2
> 0,
= 1, 2,
(3.11)
, (3.6) (3.8),
1 () = 1
1 2
1
(1 + 1 2 )2
2 () = 2
)
2 1
2 .
(2 + 2 1 )2
(3.12)
, (4.4)
.
, (3.7), (3.12), [58]. ,
1 (1 , 2 ) =
2 (1 , 2 ) =
1
1 1
1 + 1 2
2
2 2 .
2 1 + 2
(3.13)
1
= 0
1
2
=0
2
(3.14)
Cournot
1 2
1 = 0
(1 + 1 2 )2
2 1
2 = 0.
(2 1 + 2 )2
(3.15)
, (3.12),
2 1
1 2
1
=
2 2
2
1 2
2 1
1 2
2 2
2 2
2
69
2 + 2 + = 0,
(3.16)
2 1
2 2
= 12 1 2 21 2 2
1
2
)
( 2
2
2
1 2 2
1 2
1 2 .
=
1 2 1 2
12 22
y
5
y
5
1
1
(3.17)
: 3.2: (, ) = (1 , 2 ) MS 1 =
1,2 =
(3.18)
> 0 > 0
.
MS
(3.10) [58]. (3.12) , ,
, , (3.18),
(1 , 2 , 1 , 2 ) . 1 2
(1 , 2 ) 3.2 1 2 .
70
3.2
1
1 1
(1 + 1 2 )2 + 1
2
2 2 .
(2 1 + 2 )2 + 1
1 (1 , 2 ) =
2 (1 , 2 ) =
(3.19)
, (3.14),
1
21 (1 + 1 2 )
2
(1 + 1 2 ) + 1 [(1 + 1 2 )2 + 1]2
1
22 (2 1 + 2 )
(2 1 + 2 )2 + 1 [(2 1 + 2 )2 + 1]2
= 1
(3.20)
= 2 .
(3.21)
(),
(3.20) (3.21) 1 = 1 (2 ) 2 = 2 (1 ), .
:
1 = 1 (2 ) 2 = 2 (1 ) ,
1
1
=
2
2
2
2
=
,
1
1
(3.22)
(3.20) 2 ( 1 2 ) (3.21)
1 ( 2 1 ). ,
1
2
12 2 (312 12 22 1) + 21 1 (12 1)
1
= (1 , 2 ) =
2
2
2
2
1 2 (31 1 2 + 21 2 + 2) 1 (1 3)
(3.23)
2
1
22 1 (322 22 12 1) + 22 2 (22 1)
2
= (1 , 2 ) =
.
1
2 1 (32 1 2 + 222 12 + 2) 2 (22 3)
(3.24)
(3.10), 1 = 2 = 1
.
= ( )
2 1
1
1 (2 )
2 + 2 + 1
2 1
= 0.
1 2
(3.25)
, , (1 , 2 ),
, , (3.20) (3.21) .
, (3.22), (3.23) (3.24), (3.25)
2 + 2 + 1 (1 , 2 ) (1 , 2 ) = 0
(3.26)
= 1
(1 , 2 ) (1 , 2 ).
(3.27)
71
3.3 1 2
-.
y
1.25
1.25
0.75
0.75
0.5
0.5
0.25
0.25
x
-0.25
0.25
0.5
0.75
1.25
x
-0.25
-0.25
0.25
0.5
0.75
1.25
-0.25
: 3.3: (, ) = (1 , 2 ) 1 = 2 =
(3.7) (3.11)
, (1 , 2 ),
(1 , 2 ) ( 3.1).
. ,
.
: .
3.3
Cournot ,
.
/ , , 1 2 , (3.13) (3.19).
, ,
1 2 .
MS, 3.4,
3.2, 1 2 1 2, .
,
MS -
. 1
2
(1 , 2 ).
u2
u2
0.8
0.8
0.6
0.6
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
u1
0.2
0.4
0.6
72
0.8
u1
2 = 0.2 ().
,
1 , 2 ()
(1 , 2 ), 3.5.
u2
u2
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
u1
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
u1
2 = 0.2 ().
3.6. , 1 > 2 , 2
1 1 2
1 2,
1 < 2 .
, ( [61])
: ,
, (, 2)
(, 1)
2 < 1 ,
.
u1
73
u2
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
p1
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
p2
2 = 0.2 1 () 2 ().
3.4
,
. , ,
- ,
.
-
( )
.
, , . Matsumoto Szidarovszky (MS),
(, ) . , ,
MS,
.
, ,
MS. ,
, 1 2 ,
. , 2
/ 1
, 2 < 1 ,
1 2.
74
, 1 2 , ,
1 () =
2 () =
[
[
12 22 12 + 1
(3.28)
22 12 22 + 1
(3.29)
]2 1
(1 + 1 2 )2 + 1
]2 2 ,
(2 1 + 2 ) + 1
2
[0, 1].
. ,
, ,
.
Poincare
map, .
, (3.28)-(3.29)
.
, , ,
, , 2 1.
(3.28), (3.29)
1 () =
2 () =
12 22 12 + 1
[
]2 (1 + cos )
(1 + 1 2 )2 + 1
22 12 22 + 1
[
]2 [2 + cos( + )] .
2
(2 1 + 2 ) + 1
(3.30)
(3.31)
, , .
, 1 () 2 () > 0 ,
( )
1 = 10 + 11 + 2
( )
2 = 20 + 21 + 2
(3.32)
(3.30) (3.31) (2 ).
(10 , 20 ) (3.28), (3.29) ( 1 ,
2 ) = /2,
(3.32),
11 () = 11 11 + 12 21 cos
21 () = 21 11 + 22 21 sin ,
(3.33)
, , 1 , 2 , 1 2 .
(3.33)
75
,
= { } .
(3.33), ,
11 () 11 = 1 cos + 1 sin
21 () 21 = 1 cos + 1 sin .
(3.34)
, (3.28) (3.29),
() 4.7 ,
1 = 0.7, 2 = 0.2, 1 = 2 = 0.4, = 0.01, = /5 = /2. ()
(3.30), (3.31) (1 , 2 ) Poincare map
= 2/ .
.
yHtL
0.54
0.53
0.52
0.51
0.50
0.36
xHtL
0.37
0.38
0.39
0.40
0.41
0.42
3.7
(3.35)
(3.34).
, 1 (), 3.8
driver, .
, 1 () 2 (),
.
.
, . ,
() . , () ()
76
xHtL
0.395
0.390
0.385
t
20
40
60
80
: 3.8: , 1 ().
() , ,
Poincare map .
,
.
.
drive .
.
77
4.
3
. ,
, ()
.
,
.
. ,
=1
, = , = 1, . Cournot
()
.
.
.
. .
;
.
. ,
.
.
(1 , 2 ) = 11 22
(4.1)
79
[5]. 1 2 ( ),
. (1 , 2 )
(4.1) 1 + 2 = 1 ( ) , 1 ln 1 + 2 ln 2 ,
= 1 1 + 2 2 , .
( .) Lagrange
= = 1, 2. = / .
()
= 1/ . ,
( )
.
.
[82, 46]
(1 , 2 ) = ( + 1 )1 + ( + 2 )2
1
2
( 2
)
1 + 22 + 21 2 ,
(4.2)
, [0, 1] ( -
= 0 = 1 , ,
). , 1 2
. , (1 , 2 ) 1 1 +2 2 = .
= + = 0,
= + . ,
= (1 + 2 )
> 0 > 0.
, . ,
.
, .
,
.
Cournot . Bertrand
,
80
. , , 4.3,
.
.
, Cournot
.
() , = ( ),
Cournot-Nash. ,
( + 1) = ( ())
(4.3)
+ 1 ,
.
() Markov.
: +
1 , (),
, ( ()),
( + 1) = (1 ) () + ( ()),
(4.4)
[0, 1] . -
(4.4)
3.1 [7].
, : -
( + 1) = () + ( ())
(),
(4.5)
( )
.
( ) = , .
( ) = [8].
[84]
. ,
,
= ( ( ()) ()) .
81
()
, ()),
() =
( + ) ()
+ ( ),
( + ) = (1 ) () + ( ()) + ( 2 ),
( )2 , 0 < << 1.
, .
,
.
4.1
,
,
. Theocharis [85],
20
Palander [63] . Puu [68, 69, 70]
Agiza [2, 6].
4.1.1 Theocharis
(
),
= .
- =
(4.6)
=1
/, .
, = ( )
. (total revenue)
= ( ( + ))
(marginal revenue)
= 2 .
82
(total cost)
,
= .
,
= .
( , ) = = ( ( + )) .
/ = 0 ( ). ,
,
1
2
)
,
= 1, .
(4.7)
: , (4.7)
Cournot
2.3.1. , (4.7)
,
.
=1 .
(4.7)
+ ( + 1)
=
.
+1
( + 1)
(4.8)
Cournot ,
= 1, , (4.8).
.
+1
= =
+
.
+1
Cournot
. ( = 1) ,
( = 2)
. , 1/( + 1)
/( + 1) , . ,
1
=
+ ( + 1)
+1
)2
83
,
. ,
. ,
.
(4.7) , ()
( + 1) = ( ()) =
1
2
)
() ,
= 1, .
(4.9)
: + 1
( ). (4.9) ()
. ,
Cournot, (4.8), (4.9).
.
:
( + 1)
=
()
21 , =
0,
, = 1, .
(4.9)
0 12
1
0
2
=
.
.. . .
..
.
.
1
1
2 2
12
12
..
.
, , Cournot. ,
.
= 0
(
)1 (
)
1
1
+
= 0.
2
2
(4.10)
1 = 1/2 < 1,
- :
= ( 1)/2.
, (1 = 1/2 2 = 1/2)
. , ,
3 = 1
4.2.
( > 3), -
Cournot .
84
4.1.2 Puu
Cournot
. .
Theocharis , . Puu
.
( Cobb-Douglas)
:
1
1
=
1 + 2 + . . .
(4.6).
. ,
4.4 .
( ).
:
1 (1 , 2 ) =
2 (1 , 2 ) =
1
1 1
1 + 2
2
2 2 .
1 + 2
(
)
2
2
1
1
2 (1 ) =
1 .
2
1 (2 ) =
, (1 , 2 ),
Cournot
. , , :
)
2
1
,
,
=
(1 + 2 )2 (1 + 2 )2
(
)
22
21
(1 , 2 ) =
,
(1 + 2 )2 (1 + 2 )2
(1 ,
2 )
= 1 + 2 ,
(4.11)
1
.
1 + 2
1 ( + 1) =
2 ()
2 ()
1
2 ( + 1) =
1 ()
1 ().
2
(4.12)
85
(4.12), , (4.11),
= 1 2
22
2 1
21
.
0
det = 1 2 1,
(1 2 )2 41 2 .
(4.13)
, ,
Cournot
1
32 2
3 + 2 2.
2
(4.14)
, , , [68].
(4/25, 25/4).
( ) ,
2 + 3
2 3
1
3 + 1
=
3 1
2
1 + 2
=
1 2 .
3
1 =
2
3
Cournot
(1 ,
2 ,
3 )
(4.15)
(1 ,
2 ,
3 )
(2 + 3 1 )2 (3 + 1 2 )2 (1 + 2 3 )2
,
,
(1 + 2 + 3 )2 (1 + 2 + 3 )2 (1 + 2 + 3 )2
(4.16)
. 5,
Stackelberg.
.
.
[6].
(piecewise linear).
86
.
( )
4.3
.
4.2
(
Theocharis). , , .
.
:
(4.9),
- :
( + 1) = ( ()) =
1
2
)
() , ()
0,
() >
= 1, .
(4.17)
(, , ).
. , ,
(4.17) , ,
. ,
. , ,
,
. ,
,
Cournot [25].
- (4.17) ( )
. ,
( )
1 =
1
2
+ 1
2
( , , ). , :
;
2 .
87
(4.17)
.
2 < ,
, .
q
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
10
20
30
40
50
q
0.20
0.15
0.10
0.05
t
0
10
20
30
40
50
. ,
( 4.2). ,
, ,
4.1.
Cournot = = 1.
, ,
. 4.3
(2 = 0.2) .
88
q
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
10
20
30
40
50
.
( 3 ). ( Cournot)
, (4.17),
(1 ,
2 )
21 + 2 + 1 22
,
3
3
, ,
2
3
+ 1 + 2
.
3
,
( - ).
3 < ,
.
q
0.30
0.25
0.20
0.15
0.10
0.05
10
20
30
40
50
89
:
( 4.4).
, . ,
, 4.5.
q
0.20
0.15
0.10
0.05
t
0
10
20
30
40
50
q
0.35
0.30
0.25
0.20
0.15
0.10
0.05
0
10
20
30
40
50
,
. 4.7
(
90
).
q
0.35
0.30
0.25
0.20
0.15
0.10
0.05
10
20
30
40
50
,
, . ,
.
5.
, .
,
, .
4.3
. , ,
.
. Theocharis,
Cournot.
. ,
: . ,
. -
91
.
(
(capacity limits) [35]).
.
[72, 73, 74]. ,
.
. Cobb-Douglas
() =
=
=1
= .
. . , , .
, ,
.
.
2
.
(4.18)
( ).
lim =
lim = .
, ,
.
2
=
( )2
= ,
=0
92
, .
,
( 2 )
=
=0
( )2
= 2 .
, (4.18),
,
= 4 .
: , = 2 . , , , ,
.
:
, ()
+
( + 1) = ( ()) :=
,
() >
= 1, .
(4.19)
( + 1) = ( ()) :=
1
2
, ()
() >
1
4
1
4
= 1, .
(4.20)
, (4.19) (4.20),
, .
.
. (indicator function) [74].
() . ,
.
.
93
. , ( )
,
( )mod = 0.
(4.21)
( + 1) = (, ) ( ()) + (1 (, )) ( ())
( + 1) = 2(, ) ( ()) + (1 (, ))
(. (4.19) (4.20).)
(, ) (4.21),
. , = 0.25 = 106 .
modus operandi ( ) : ,
1 , , 1 = 21 . ,
. 1 ,
, 2 , 2 = 22 . . ,
(4.21). . 3 = 1 + 2 , 3 , 3 = 23 .
.
.
( ) .
,
, (4.21),
.
, ,
, .
Cournot.
2 , = 100. 4.8
() = 10 .
= 10, = 20
2
, , , .
(, ).
94
... ( ) .
( ) , , .
,
. :
4.8;
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
200
400
600
800
1000
= 3 = 4.
.
, ,
. ( 4.9) , ,
( ) ,
( ).
(intermittency) .
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
50
100
150
200
250
300
: 4.9: = 3 = 4.
4.10 = 15 .
. = 7 = 5.
. , [74],
= 8,
95
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
100
200
300
400
500
: 4.10: = 7 = 5.
4.4
Cournot.
. ,
. , , [3, 4, 20].
,
(bounded rationally)
, [3]. (
, (4.3), (4.4), (4.5), .)
: [3]
.
. ,
.
.
. .
.
( )
.
96
.
. ( )
. ,
= ,
= 1 + 2 .
, 1 2 , ,
(1 , 2 ) = ( ) .
1
1
2
2
= 21 2 1
= 1 22 2 .
(4.22)
. ,
Cournot, .
, , (4.5),
1 ( + 1) = 1 () + 1 () ( 21 () 2 () 1 ) ,
(4.23)
, (4.3),
2 ( + 1) =
1
( 1 () 2 ) .
2
(4.24)
(1 ,
2 )
+ 2 21 + 1 22
,
3
3
[3]
<
12
.
5 ( 21 + 2 )
( 1) .
.
4.11 - 4.14 = 10, = 0.5, 1 = 3 2 = 5.
4.11 .
1 . , 1
97
q
8
Firm 1
Firm 2
t
0
20
40
60
80
100
: 4.11: .
.
2 . ( 4.11 4.12)
= 0.41. . ,
(. 4.13)
, .
p
10
t
0
20
40
60
80
100
: 4.12: . .
u
20
15
10
20
40
60
80
100
: 4.13: . .
4.14 .
, 1 2 , , .
( 4/15,
) Cournot (6, 2) .
, , -
98
. ,
[22]. > 0.4.
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
: 4.14: , 1.
.
, .
Cobb-Douglas
. , ,
[10].
q
0.30
0.25
0.20
0.10
0.15
0.05
0
20
40
60
80
100
: 4.15: .
.
1 = 3 2 = 5 (. 4.11). 4.15
( )
= 0.7.
4.17, .
, , .
4.16 = 0.84. .
. = 0.5678 -
99
0.8
0.6
20
40
0.2
0.4
60
80
t
100
: 4.16: . .
4.17. ,
= 0.8,
.
0.20
0.15
0.10
0.05
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
: 4.17: 1 .
. ,
,
.
:
. ,
, .
. ,
, 1
1 =
1
,
1 + 1 2
2 =
1
1 + 2
(. 3.1 ).
100
0.30
0.25
0.20
0.15
0.05
0.10
0
20
40
60
80
100
: 4.18: .
.
p
60
50
40
30
10
20
t
0
20
40
60
80
100
: 4.19: . .
1 = 0.8.
1 ,
4.21. , ,
, .
.
u
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
t
20
40
60
80
100
: 4.20: . .
4.21 = 0.6 , , , 1 .
101
1 Cournot (Nash) . 1 1
0 .
, ,
.
0.14
0.12
0.10
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
: 4.21: .
. , .
, , 4.22
4.23. , 4.22 , , 1 , = 0.6 2 = 0.7 4.23 = 0.6
2 = 0.3. 2
1 .
0.14
0.12
0.10
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
: 4.22: 2 = 0.7.
[11]. 5.
0.14
0.12
0.10
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
: 4.23: 2 = 0.3.
102
103
5.
.
.
. , , ,
.
, .
. Dating Hypothesis Box-Checking Experiment. Dating Hypothesis
, . , 2.1.5,
Nash. ,
:
. Dating
Hypothesis Nash
, , .
, Box-Checking Experiment, 2.1.6,
.
Nash
.
.
, 3
4
. , 3,
,
.
105
5.1
.
: -
106
.
(Bayesian games).
(
)
.
.
,
.
.
Cournot [29]. ,
( ) = ,
1 , 2 .
:
1. , 1 2,
.
= 1 + 2 .
[68],
() =
1
1
.
=
1 + 2
2.
.
. , = [0, ). , ,
, 0.
3. , ,
( , ) =
.
+
, ,
(
)
max ( , ) = max
( )
107
Nash1
(1 ,
2 )
2
1
,
2
(1 + 2 ) (1 + 2 )2
(5.1)
, Cournot,
1 =
22
(1 + 2 )2
1
2 =
,
(1 + 2 )2
.
. , Newton-Raphson,
. , Cournot (Nash),
.
1 2
Cournot, . (5.1).
, 3, .
3 , ( 1 2 ),
3;
Stackelberg [83], , ,
( Cournot)
.
1 .
Cournot (5.1).
2 .
1
. , 1 2 , ,
, 1 0 2 0, .
2 3 1 2
3 0.
3 (1 , 2 , 3 ).
1
Nash, 1950, , , ,
,
Nash [60]. Cournot, 1838,
[29].
108
,
. 1
2.
1 (
3) .
2 . (
(1 , 2 ),
Cournot , ,
, !) 3 , 3 ,
. , .
3 Cournot.
Cournot. Cournot (Nash) [69]
(1 ,
2 ,
3 )
(5.2)
,
. . Stackelberg. ,
.
() =
1
1
=
1 + 2 + 3
( , ) =
,
+
,
.
Stackelberg
, ,
max 3 (3 , 3 ) = max
03
3
3 =
3 .
3
3 3
3
3 3
3 + 3
(5.3)
(5.4)
Stackelberg (5.4),
1 =
1
2
1 1 2 = 3
2 2 .
1 + 2
1 + 2
(5.5)
109
(5.5).
1
3
1
+ 2 = 1 3 2 (1 + 2 ) 2
2
1 =
1 +
93 22 1
4 (1 + 2 )3
1
3
2
= 2 3 2 (1 + 2 ) 2 ,
2
93 21 2
2 =
.
(5.6)
4 (1 + 2 )3
Stackelberg
3 =
3(21 + 22 33 )
.
4(1 + 2 )2
(5.7)
: 3
( 1 2 Stackelberg) (
Cournot ).
2(1 + 2 3 )
3(21 + 22 33 )
.
2
(1 + 2 + 3 )
4(1 + 2 )2
1:
.
2 ( )
. , 1
( ),
2 .
: 2
1, 1
2 2 (, yes) 2 (
no) 1 .
1 (1 , 1 ) =
2 (2 , 2 ) =
3 (3 , 3 ) =
1
1 1
1 + 1
1
1 1
1 + 2
(5.8)
2
2 2
2 + 2
3
3 3
3 + 3
= 0
(5.9)
(5.10)
1
;
.
110
5.2
.
,
. ,
. ,
.
2 , = 1/, (
) ,
1 = 1/(1 + 1 2 ) 2 = 1/(2 1 + 2 ).
, 1 2 . , ,
3 . ( , ) = (2 ) .
4 (
).
1 =
2 =
1
(2 1 )1 1
1 + 1 2
2
(2 2 )2 2 .
2 1 + 2
(5.11)
(5.12)
.
.
1 = 1 (2 ) =
2 = 2 (1 ) =
1 2
1 2
(2 1 )1
(5.13)
2 1
2 1 .
(2 2 )2
(5.14)
. :
H
ackner-Singh-Vives Cobb-Douglas. . .
3
.
. HSV
( , ) = + 2 . ( , ) = ( ) .
4
111
( ).
. ,
.
1 =
2 =
(
)
1
2
1
2
1
(
)
1
1
2 .
1
2
(5.15)
(5.16)
: , 1 ( = 0) = 2 ( = 0) = 1.
, 1 = 2 , , 1 2 . (
.)
, (5.13) (5.14)
Cournot-Nash, , (1 , 2 ), ,
, 1 2 .
, [74], () ,
( )mod = 0,
(5.17)
. = 20 = 10. , 1
(5.15) = 10, 30, 50, . . . 2 (5.16)
1 ( + 1) = 1 (2 ()) :=
2 ( + 1) = 2 (1 ()) :=
1 2 ()
(21 )1
1 2 (), 0
= 0.001,
2 1 ()
(22 )2
2 1 (), 0
= 0.001,
(
)
1
2
1 ( + 1) = (, )
1 + (1 (, ))1 ()
2
1
(
)
1
1
2 ( + 1) = (, )
2 + (1 (, ))2 ()
1
2
(, ) =
1, (5.17)
0,
(5.18)
(5.19)
(5.20)
(5.21)
(5.22)
112
1) = 0: 1 = 2 = 1 , , 1 = 2 = 1.
2) = 1, 2, . . . , 9: 1 = 2 = 1 ( , (5.17) )
(5.18) (5.19). 1 2 .
5) = 20: (5.17) 2 ,
(5.22), (2, 20) = 1. ( (1, 20) = 0.) ,
(5.21), (5.18) (5.19).
...
. . ,
:
: ,
Hackner-Singh-Vives [4, 41] , .
113
114
115
116
.
.
6.
. 10
.
(financial assets)
.
.
Black-Scholes
, . 6
.
7
Sophus Lie.
.
8 .
.
Lie
.
9.
.
( 10) ,
.
117
6.
.
, /
.
( ):
( ).
,
.
,
,
(
). .
:
() ;
. (
)
( ) .
, ( ), ,
, , , .
:
,
.
() /
( )
( ).
. ,
119
,
. (
)
( ) (
) (
, ).
,
.
10 .
5 ,
, 2.5 .
1 2
.
. ,
, 0 .
,
= ( ) +
2
.
=1
, , = 0. ,
()
, , .
, , . ,
.
,
, , , .
.
40 60
[51].
60
[26]. , ,
. ,
: , , ,
, , , ,
[66, 63, 27, 34, 91].
120
, Cournot
Nash
.
: ,
(, < 1). ( )
, . ,
, .
/ (
).
.
.
. , .
50 ( )
(, ,
). ,
50 .
, (
) ( )
,
.
()
( , ) .
:
[42]. ,
, ,
. ,
121
Lie .
( ) /
.
6.1
, (, )
, , .
, ,
.. (...)
() ...
( ) (
, , )1 .
, ( = 0) 2
(EUR) (USD) 0.79 EUR/USD.
... 10 100,000USD
( = ). ...
:
(
) ;
(790,000EUR) .
,
, , (
). ...
,
, .
( )
1
. ,
, .
, ,
( ) .
. , , .. ( zero coupons),
( convertible bonds).
2
. .
[4], , 21 , 2006, 09:00 .
122
.
.
, , , , ( ).
, :
()
, swaps3 , 4
() ( ), , (
caps, floors collars5 ), swaps ( swaptions),
(options on futures), inter alia, passport,
Himalaya, Asian Bermuda ( ).
( )
.
...
.
( )
.
. .
, ,
. ,
3
Swaps .
. ,
,
, . swaps
. ,
, swaps swap
.
4
, , , , .
5
. cap ( floor)
( ) cap ( floor).
.
floor cap. collar cap floor.
123
.
...
, .
... .
.
() , , ( )
() , ,
, .
, , : ... ( = 0)
(, , ) 1,000,000USD ( = ) EUR/USD.
( = ) ...
1,000,000 EUR. ( )
( = 0). ( )
,
.
, , 0.82 EUR/USD ...
. ( = )
0.82 EUR/USD.
( ) ...
. , ...
, , () (hedging) ( = )
..
(
).
, , 0.92
EUR/USD. ...
(,
124
) 100,000 . ,
, , 0.72 EUR/USD, ...
100,000 . ,
,
.
( = 0)
, .
( )
; ,
... ( );
...
.
( , , , , )
. .
( , option premium) , ,
( , strike or exercise price). .
.
,
.
.
: (call option)
(put option).
( ) ( ).
:
.
( ). 6 .
6
( , calls or puts)
125
.
. ,
, ,
. ,
,
premium.
.
, ,
, , ,
.
.
. , , , ( ),
, (
.
: . .
.
, ...
= (
),
.
( ) .
. ( ),
, .
...
, ).
/
(
).
126
() .
6.2
, , . ,
,
. ( )
(
).
. ,
.
. ,
, .
, National Association of Securities Dealers
Automated Quotations (NASDAQ) 1971.
. 1876. 1999 2002
(ATHEX) 110, GR-10442,
( 2007 ATHEX ).
.
1973 Chicago Board Options Exchange
.
1 50
! ,
.
:
(
)
. , ,
.
Markowitz [64] Sharpe Miller [87].
(
127
) . (
Bachelier 1900
.) ,
/ .
, . Markowitz, Sharpe Miller
Nobel 1990
. Nobel
, 1997, Scholes Merton.
. ( ;)
() . ()
,
. ,
(efficient).
( no arbitrage) (
) ( ) 7 .
( !)
.
, , , ,
:
! (
.)
(Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT)) Markowitz [64, 65].
.
.
() (,
). , 7
Fama 1960, .
128
() (
), ,
, . , ,
()
(
-).
(Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)). CAPM
.
, . CAPM Sharpe [87]. ,
.
.
(
)
.
,
, ,
. , .
, (Option Pricing Model (OPM) Black Scholes [10]
Merton [68]. Scholes Merton Nobel 1997 ( Black Nobel ).
Black-Scholes
.
6.3
.
(
) .
, ( )
, , , ,
129
(
).
(Option Pricing Model (OPM))
Black Scholes
. , Merton,
Nobel 1997 Scholes ( Black
1995 Nobel
).
OPM .
, , Monte
Carlo . ,
8 ,
.
.
6.1, ( , ,
) / . , , .
( )
.
, ,
.
, ,
. , , .
( )
, , () .
. ;
; (
.)
8
-
. , , Friedman ,
.
130
,
, . , ,
. , ,
. , (drift),
, (volatility),
. , 9
Brown (
, Wiener)
. ,
( ) .
( ), , .
, , ,
: , ,
, ( ). ,
(, ) = max(0, ).
(6.1)
: (, 0) = 0 (, ) .
, ( ),
Brown,
Ito ( ). ,
d = d + d.
(6.2)
(6.2) ()
Brown, d ().
(6.2), Ito [98],
() = (0) exp
{(
)
}
21 2 + .
10 (, ), Ito
d =
9
2
d +
d + 12 2 2 2 d.
(6.3)
.
, , (
) (
).
10
, ,
.
.
.
131
:
, .
, ;
. , ,
, , ,
.
( ).
(delta hedging).
,
= (, ) .
(6.4)
.
(6.4)
d = d d,
, (6.3),
d =
d +
d + 21 2 2 2 d d.
(6.5)
,
.
,
(6.6)
[98] : (6.6)
( ).
.
. Thorp Kassouf [93] . , ,
Nobel!
, (6.5) ( ). , Black Scholes
d = d,
(6.7)
,
.
. (6.4), (6.5) (6.6) (6.7), Black Scholes
1 2 2 2
+ 2
+
= 0.
2
(6.8)
(6.8)
. 8.1 .
132
, ,
(6.8).
Black-Scholes .
(
). , -,
.
, : 11 . Wilmott [98]:
, ,
. . ,
. . ,
,
.
. -.
; .
. , , ( ).
, , (), ,
, . Black-Scholes.
Brown, (6.2). ,
, , , (, )
. , ,
(6.2) .
Black-Scholes, (
)
( ).
,
. ,
/. 11
, , , -
.
.
133
, ,
. . [7][Appendix].
7. LIE
.
. , ,
.
, ,
.
,
Black-Scholes, ,
/
( , , ). : ,
Monte-Carlo, , .
( ).
.
, Lie
; .
Lie
.
. [1, 2]. , . [23, 77, 78, 89, 99]. ,
.
. 7.1, 7.2 7.3
Lie, , Lie, Lie
, .
Lie [53, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59] Lie
Morosov Mubarakzyanov [71, 72, 73, 74].
Lie . Lie
.
135
Lie
. -- 1
:
, ( ),
.
7.1 Lie
(, , (, ), , , . . .) = 0.
(7.1)
, ;
(7.1)
.
.
. (7.1) ,
( ),
Laplace .
. . ,
, (7.1) -,
( , ,
) .
, :
, ,
, . ,
.
, ,
(7.1) .
( !)
. ,
, ,
. Lie
1
Lie, .
136
: () /,
= +
= +
= + ,
= (, , ), = (, , ) = (, , ) .
, ,
, .
.
. ,
( ), , , . , ,
(, ) , ,
,
, , , , -.
(),
= + + ,
= (1 + ) =
+ (, , (, ))
= (1 + ) =
+ (, , (, ))
= (1 + ) =
+ (, , (, )) .
(7.1) (, ),
.
d
=
d
+
d
(7.2)
137
, d
, d
d
:
d
= d + d
= d + d + ( d + d + d)
= d + d + ( d + d + d + d)
= d { + + } + d { + + } ,
(7.3)
= d + d
= d + ( d + d + d)
= d + ( d + d + d + d)
= d { + } + d {1 + + }
(7.4)
d =
d + d
= d + ( d + d + d)
= d + ( d + d + d + d)
= d {1 + + } + d { + } .
(7.5)
= d {
(1 + + ) +
( + )}
+ d {
( + ) +
(1 + + )} ,
+ + =
( + ) +
(1 + + )
+ + =
(1 + + ) +
( + ) .
(7.6)
(7.7)
(
)
+ ( + + + )
1 + ( + + + )
= [ + ( + + + )]
[1 ( + + + )]
= + ( + )
= + { + ( + ) ( + )}
(7.8)
138
+ ( + + + )
1 + ( + + + )
= [ + ( + + + )]
[1 ( + + + )]
= + ( + )
= + { + ( + ) ( + )} .
(7.9)
, ,
= + + ,
(7.10)
[1] = + { + ( + ) ( + )}
+ { + ( + ) ( + )} ,
(7.8) (7.9), , ,
,
[2] = [1] + { + + + ( + )
2 ( + ) [ + + + ( + )]
2 ( + ) [ + + + ( + )]}
+ { + + + ( + )
( + ) ( + + + ) ( + )
[ + + + ( + )]
[ + + + ( + )]}
+ { + + + ( + )
2 ( + ) [ + + + ( + )]
2 ( + ) [ + + + ( + )]} .
.
( , [13]).
,
.
(). , (7.10), ,
, [78].
(7.1) , (7.10),
- , = 0:
[] =0 = 0.
(7.11)
139
= 0
( ,
). (7.11)
, , .
Lie .
, (
),
.
.
.
SYM Mathematica [21, 22, 23].
7.2 Lie
, , . , ,
:
( , ) . ,
.
() .
.
Lie, . ,
, . .
(gauge) (
)
.
, .
- ,
(. 7.3),
140
= (, , ) + (, , ) + (, , ) , = 1, . . . , ,
(7.12)
, Lie
[1 , 2 ] = (1 (2 ) 2 (1 )) + (1 (2 ) 2 (1 )) + (1 (2 ) 2 (1 )) .
(7.13)
, Lie [1 , 2 ] .
. Lie ,
[1 1 + 2 2 , ] = 1 [1 , ] + 2 [2 , ]
[, 1 1 + 2 2 ] = 1 [, 1 ] + 2 [, 2 ] ,
,
[1 , 2 ] = [2 , 1 ] ,
Jacobi,
[1 , [2 , 3 ]] + [2 , [3 , 1 ]] + [3 , [1 , 2 ]] = 0.
Lie
Lie, [, ] . ,
Lie . ,
Lie
, Lie ,
Lie. Lie Lie.
Lie,
Lie.
.
, .
Lie , , Lie. Lie
141
. ,
( ) (reduction of variables) (
) (
).
,
Lie.
, 1 ,
[1 , 1 ] = 0. , 1 1 =
. ( 1 .)
Lie (7.12) = 1, 2
Lie (7.13). ()
Lie -.
, (, ), 1 = (, )2 [56][
18]. Lie, -, -,
.
7.1. ,
7.1.
. .
Lie
: 2 = (, )1
[1 , 2 ] = 0
1 = , 2 =
: 2 = (, )1
[1 , 2 ] = 0
1 = , 2 =
: 2 = (, )1
[1 , 2 ] = 1
1 = , 2 = +
: 2 = (, )1
[1 , 2 ] = 1
1 = , 2 =
1 2
21
21
II
III
IV
: 7.1: Lie.
{1 , 2 , 3 } ,
. 7.2, ,
,
Morosov [71] Mubarakzyanov [72, 73, 74].
, ,
Lie (
) , , Lie
()
Lie
[1 , 2 ]
[2 , 3 ]
[3 , 1 ]
31
1 2
Weyl (W)
1 + 2
2 ( 3,3 )
(1, 1) ( 3,5 )
3 (0
< < 1)
(2)
1 + 2
(2, ) ( 3,8 )
(3) ( 3,9 )
> 0)
1
1
3 (
142
1
2
2 1
22
2
: 7.2: Lie.
. (
.)
,
. , .
: (2, ) 3 , 3 Heisenberg-Weyl
Lie : ( 1 + 1 ). ,
Lie .
, (2, ) 3 ,
.
(7.12) = 1, . . . , . ,
[ , ] . ,
[ , ] = ,
, = 1, . . . , ,
(7.14)
,
. , (7.14),
- Lie (7.14).
(7.14)
Lie (7.14). , , ,
, . ,
Lie (7.13) ,
143
[ , ] = 0 = 1, . . . , ,
. , ,
(
Lie).
7.3
( Lie) (
), :
; ( )
; 1994 Krause
Kepler . Krause
: .
.
Kepler
r ,
r+
r
= 0,
3
(7.15)
1 , 2 3 r
.
r ( Kepler)
[46]:
(, r)-
,
,
,
(7.15), ,
,
( )
, , ,
,
, , ,
(7.15).
144
Kepler ,
r = (, r, r ) ,
(7.16)
= 3 r,
() .
(. [1, 5, 6] ). ,
2 ,
/ [12]
.
,
.
1: ( )
, , , -.
2:
, , ,
, = (, , , , , , ), [6].
:
Lie.
Lie (-)
.
Lie.
,
. ,
,
.
Lie [61, 5, 6] .
, ,
Born-Infeld [6],
(1 2 ) + 2 (1 + 2 ) = 0.
2
(7.17)
145
(7.17)
1 =
4 = +
2 =
5 = +
3 =
6 =
7 = + +
(7.18)
{(2, 1) 1 } 31 .
, (7.18) -- Born-Infeld;
= (, , , , , , )
(7.19)
.
1 , 2 , 3 7 , (7.19),
= ( , , ) ,
(7.20)
[2]
[2]
[2]
6
= + 2 ( + ) 2
= + + (1 2 ) 3
(2 + ) ( + 2 )
= + + + (1 + 2 ) + (2 + )
+( + 2 ) + 3
(7.20)
+
+
(2 2 + )
+ (1 2 )
( 2 )
(1 + 2 )
(2 2 )
= 2 2
(7.21)
= ( )
(7.22)
= ( + ) 2 .
(7.23)
(7.21)-(7.23) : ,
.
(7.21)-(7.23)
( , ,
) . , .
,
,
= 1
2 =
{
(
)
(
)
1
2 1 + 2 + 1 + 2 (4 + ( 8) )
2
2
(1 + )
(
(
))
}
4 + 2 + 8 2 ,
{
(
)
(
)
1
2
2 2 2
1
+
1
+
2
2 1
[
(
)
(
)]
}
+ ( 4) 1 + 2 2 4 + 2 2 ,
(7.24)
(7.25)
146
= 0 .
, 2 = 0, Monge-Amp`ere.
(7.24)
, = 4 ( = 1),
{(
]
)[ (
)
(
)
1
2
2
2 1/2
=
+
1
2
1
2 1 + 2
2
2
(1 + )
[(
]}
)
(
)1/2
+2 1 + 2 1 2 + 2
.
(7.26)
(2
)
+ 2 + 2 + 2 + 2
(
)
= 2 + 2 + 2 + 2 2
(
)
= 2 + 2 + 2 2 + 2 .
1 =
2
3
(7.27)
, = 4, (7.24) --
Born-Infeld.
Born-Infeld (7.24)
(7.17). ,
,
, 2.
(, ) = 1 +
( 2 )2 ( 3 )2 + 4 ,
= 1,
( 1 )2 + ( 3 )2 ( 2 )2 = 4 .
(7.28)
(7.28) R3 : 4 > 0
, 4 = 0 , 4 < 0 ,
7.1. (7.26) (7.28) Lorenz
R3 , R3 (
).
Poincare.
147
-5
0
5
10
-5
-5
-5
-5
-5
5
0
-5
-5
-5
.
, , :
, .
,
. ,
/ , , . .
,
SYM [6].
,
, ,
)
2 2 = ( )2 ,
(
)
2 = 2
[(
) ]2
(7.29)
(7.30)
, (7.29) [6].
(7.29)
1 =
2 =
3 =
4 =
5 =
6 =
7 =
8 = ,
(7.31)
{2 2 } {1 31 }. (7.29)
(7.29)
Lie. , :
1 8 , 2 = ,
.
(7.29).
148
= 1 = 0. = 0 (7.29)
Monge-Amp`ere .
= 1 (7.29) Bateman. ,
(7.29).
Monge-Amp`ere Bateman
{ , , , , , , , , , }.
(7.32)
. . ,
(7.32), 1 8 , .
7.4 (1 + 1)
,
(1 + 1) ,
= 0.
(7.33)
, (
): ,
. ,
(.
[94]).
(7.33) . ,
, (output) SYM [21, 22,
23]. ()
1 =
4 = 2 +
2 =
5 = 2 1
3 =
6 = 42 + 4
(7.34)
(1
= 1 (, ) ,
+ 2
(7.35)
1 (, ) (7.33),
.
Lie Lie (2, )
149
[., .]LB
25
22
1 3
22
26
25
23 44
5
6
1
3
21
26
21
23 + 44
: 7.3: Lie .
(7.34) ( ) . , ,
. ,
. ,
(, ) = 1. (7.34), 6 ,
,
d / 1 = .
1
d = d,
21
2 = exp{2 /(4)}.
}
{
2
(, ) = () exp
4
150
,
5 , (7.33), ()
. (7.33)
(, ) =
1/2
{
}
2
exp
.
4
(7.36)
(, , )
1 1/2
}
{
2
.
exp
4
(7.34) , ,
,
,
. (7.36) . ,
(7.33) , ,
= 1 + 2 . . ,
scale-invariant 4
(, ) = + Erf
Lie (. 7.3)
. / Bluman Cole [12]
(7.37)
Lie
,
= (, , , , , , ) .
(7.38)
, (7.37),
(7.38). , (7.38)
, any ,
[2]
any { (, , , , , , )} = 0 (7.38).
(7.39)
{1 , 2 5 }, (7.37),
() Lie . ,
,
= +
2
(),
2 3
2
3
3
= .
(2 2 )2
, = 0 , Bluman
Cole,
151
[12].
, Bluman Cole
. , ,
7 = , ,
(7.33)
. ,
[6]. ,
, ,
, Lie.
,
,
, ,
Lie. , Black-Scholes Lie
Black-Scholes
. ,
.
8.
6, 7.
Black-Scholes. , (, ), , , , . , ,
Brown , . (6.2).
, ,
, , .
, , .
Vasicek , , mean-reverting OrnsteinUhlenbeck [95],
d = ( ) d + d.
(8.1)
. () , , , . ,
, , . ,
(6.2), .
mean-reverting
d = ( ) d +
d.
(8.2)
) d +
d.
(8.3)
153
, [38],
d = ( ) d + d,
(8.4)
,
,
+ 21 2 2 + ( ) = 0
(8.5)
(, ) = 1.
(8.6)
154
8.1 Black-Scholes-Merton
1 2 2 2
+ 2
= 0,
+
2
(8.7)
(, ) = ,
(8.8)
Lie [29]
[40, 49, 3, 50], , .
Lie (8.7)
1 =
2 =
3 =
4 = 4 + 2 log +
5 = +
6
1
+
1
+
)
2 + 2 log
(2 log + )
[
]
1
= 42 + 4 log + +
(2 log + )2 + ( 2) ( + 2)
= (, ) ,
(, ) (8.7) (, ) = ( 2 2, 2 + 2).
Lie Lie
(2, ) 3 , Lie, 8.1.
Lie 7.2.
[., .]LB
2
41 +
3
2 +
3
5
6
22
0
0
2
+ 3
2
+
3
23 24
45
4
41 +
22 +
155
2 +
+ 3
2
+ 3
+ 3
2
+ 3
6
23 + 24
45
25
46
25
46
( ) , Lie .
Lie,
1 = 22 +
2
+ 3
4 = 12 4
2
+ 3
(8.9)
= 41 +
1
4 6 .
, , = +
4 .
( ) , = (, , ), = (, , ), = (, , ), Lie. , (8.7)
,
(, , ) =
1
4
(, , ) =
1
2
log
{
(, , ) = exp
2
4( + )
+ ,
+
= 0.
4
[10]. ,
,
( ) .
.
, (8.8). ,
Black-Scholes.
/ .
, , Black-Scholes
, (8.7) (8.8).
156
(8.7),
=1
, = , , = .
Lie1
= 2( ) [log + ] + 2( ) .
(8.10)
= exp[]
1
= ( ) 2 [log + (2 )] .
= exp[] ( )
1
2
[log + (2 )]
(8.11)
, (8.7),
= 2.
)
02
2
2 2 2 2
( 2 )
(
)
0
2
() = (0 ) exp
exp 2 ,
2 2
2
log () log (0 ) =
() (0 ) = (0 ) exp
02
2 2
(
)
2
exp 2 .
2
(
{
( 2 )
) }
0
2
(, ) = exp[] (0 ) + (0 ) exp
exp
d ,
2 2
2 2
0
. = 0
(0 ) = 0 . , =
{
( 2 )
(
) }
0
2
= exp[ ] 0 + (0 ) exp
exp 2 d
2 2
2
0
{
}
( 2 )
( 2)
0
= exp[ ] 0 + (0 ) exp
2
exp d
2 2
0 / 2
(0 ) =
exp[ ] 0
(
]
).
0
02
exp
2 2 erf
2 2
2
[
(8.27). , .
157
, Black-Scholes
(
)
2
exp[ ] 0
(
)
exp 2 d .
(, ) = exp[] 0 +
2
0
erf
2
2
8.2 Longstaff
Longstaff [60] ( )
Cox, Ingersoll Ross [19]. , ,
,
. Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) 8.4.
: CIR
, Longstaff Vasicek.
Longstaff [60]
1 2 2 ( 1 2
2 2 4 ( 22 ) 2
+ = 0.
(8.12)
(8.12) [88],
1 =
2 =
3
5
]
}
(( 2 ) + ( 2 2))
= 2
(2 22 )
{
(
1 2
4
2 2 + ( + 2 ) 2 2
2 22 2
( 22 )
(
(
)
)
4 + 2 + 2 2 + 8 + 23 2
) }
)
(
2 2 + 4 + 2 3 + 2(4 )4 5
= (, ) ,
(, ) (8.12).
Lie Lie
(2, ) 3 (. 8.2), = 8 2 2 /3 . ,
Lie.
158
[., .]LB
3+
3+
2
2 3
5+
25+
3+
2 3
3
2
2 22 2
43
25+
25
3
5+
5
2
2 2
2 2
43
0
0
0
0
43+
16 2
1
+ 2
5
25
43+
16 2 1
Lie ,
2
1
1 = 21 3+
4 =
2 = 41 5
5 = 3
3 = 2
6 = 5+ ,
+ ( 12
2
2
1
)2
3
2
(8.13)
. , =
(
)
2 22 + 2 /.
(8.12) ,
(, , ) =
)
+ 2
(, , ) =
2
{ (
}
1
22
2 + 2
(
)
2 + 2 + 2 +
,
(, , ) = exp
4
2 +
4
( 2
)
2 22
+
= 0.
= 0, (8.12)
1 =
2 =
2
3 = 2 +
(4 4) + (2 + )
4 = 4 +
5 = (8 + 62 ) + 8 +
)
(
(
))
(
8 2 2 6 + 32 2 + 43 + 2 2 3 + 2 2
2
3
6 = 8(4 + ) + 162 +
)
(
(
))
(
(16 32) 8 2 3 + 2 2 + 42 2 82 + 2 2 3 + 4 2 + 23
2
= (, ) ,
159
(, )
1 2 2 ( 1 2
2 2 + 2 + + 2
+ = 0.
(8.14)
Lie Lie
(2, ) 3 (. 8.3), = 2(2 + 23 )/2 .
[., .]LB
81 + 2 + 34
2
+ 23
2 2
0
82 + 45
2 2
84
23
81 2 34
42 2
+ 23
4
2 2
0
86
82 45
86
4
5
6
2 2
2 2
23
84
44
0
44
0
0
1 = 3 +
2 2
2 = 1 +
2 +23
2
42
4 = 14 5
+
4 4
5 = 4
(8.15)
6 = 14 6 ,
3 = 2
, , Lie
2
(8.14) , = 4 .
(, , ) =
2
(, , ) =
{ 4
(
(
)) }
12 12(1 + ) + 63 + 2 3 + 2 2
(, , ) = exp
,
122
(8.14)
2
= 0.
4
8.3 Vasicek
(.
).
160
Vasicek [95]
[25, 16]. [16, 31, 82].
Vasicek [95],
1 2 2
+ 2
= 0,
( )
2
(8.16)
Lie
1 =
2 =
{
}
3 = +
}
{
22 2 + 2
4 =
+
2
{ 2
}
2
+ 2
22 + 2
5 =
2
+ 2 +
2
{ 2
2
+ 2
6 =
2
2
}
42 ( )2 + 2(2 + (3 + )) 2 + 4
2 2
= (, ) ,
(, ) (8.16).
Lie 8.4
Lie (2, ) 3 , = 8(2 + 3 2 )/3 .
[., .]LB
25
26
44
2 2
22 2
43
25
43
4
5
6
26
44
16
1
16
1
+ 2
0
.
Lie ,
1 = 3
4 = 1 1 + ( 12
2 = 21 5
5 = 4
3 = 2
6 = 12 6 ,
1
16 )2
(8.17)
161
Lie (8.16). ,
2
= 2 .
, (8.16)
2
= 0
2
1 2
2
(
)
2 + 2
(, , ) =
2
}
{
2( + ) + 2
.
(, , ) = exp
22
(, , ) =
= 0, (8.16)
1 =
2 =
3 = +
(
)
2 + 2 + 2
4 = 2 +
2
(
)
(
)
2 + 3 2 + 22 + 3 2 + 4 2
2 2
5 = (2 + 3 ) + 4 +
2 )
(
(
)
42 + 4 2 + 3 2 + (42 + 4 2 ) + 4 2 (2 1)
2 3
2
6 = (8 + 4 ) + 8
2
= (, ) ,
(, )
1 2 2
+ 2
= 0.
2
(8.18)
, Lie Lie
(2, ) 3 , 8.5.
.
[., .]LB
4
2
2 2
2 2
22 2
3
4
5
6
22 2 23
41
22
2
42 45
3 2
0
0
22 2
23
44
+ 23
5
41 +
22
2 2
6
+
3 2
0
2
2 2
24
0
+ 23
24
42 + 45
0
44
0
46
46
162
Lie
1 = 3 +
2 2
2 = 1 +
2 2 2
4 = 12 5
+
2
2 4
5 = 4
(8.19)
6 = 12 6
3 = 2
, Lie (8.18)
. = 12 2 .
(, , ) =
2 2
{2 (
)}
3(2 + )
1
2 3
6
.
(, , ) = exp
+
6
2
(, , ) =
8.4 Cox-Ingersoll-Ross
1 2 2
+ 2 2 ( )
= 0.
(8.20)
(8.20) :
1 =
2 =
{
3 = 1 +
1
2
( ) ( )
= (, ) ,
(, ) (8.20) =
2 2 + 2 . ,
(2, ) 1 .
, ,
CIR . , SYM
Lie, (2, ) 3 .
2 = 4 2 = 4/3. ,
,
.
(8.20), {(2, ) 1 } 1
Lie. , ,
Schrodinger Ermakov-Pinney
[52].
2 + 2 = 0.
(8.21)
163
(8.21)
1 =
3 = 2 +
2 =
(
)
2
4 = 42 + 4 2 + 1
2
(8.22)
= (, ) , (, )
+ 2 2 2 = 0.
CIR, (8.20), (8.21)
(, , ) = exp {}
{
}
(, , ) = 2 exp 12 ( + log )
{(
)
}
1
1
(, , ) = 2 4 2 exp
+
(
+
)
,
4
2
2
22 = 32 2 /(4 + 3 2 )(4 + 2 ).
2 = 4 (8.20)
1 =
2 =
3,4
5,6
2
= 4
+
{
}
1
+
= 4 + 2
( )
= (, ) ,
2
(, )
2 2 ( )
= 0
(8.23)
2 8.
[., .]LB
2 3
2 3
2 4
4
5
6
5
6
2 4
0
43
4
2
4
2
0
0
44
43
0
44
0
32
1
0
32
1
8
2
8
2
8.6 Lie
164
( = 21 / ) ,
1 = 12 4
4 = 2 1 + 12 (2 + 2/)2
2 = 14 6
5 = 3
3 = 2
6 = 5 .
(8.24)
(, , ) =
}
}
{2
2( + )
,
(, , ) = exp
(, , ) = exp
{1
(8.23)
= 0.
2
2 = 4/3, (8.20)
1 =
2 =
3,4
5,6
}
)
(
2 + 3 3
4 +
{
}
) (
)
(
3 3
3
3
= 4 3
2 3
= (, ) ,
(, )
2 2
3 2 ( )
= 0
(8.25)
32 8.
Lie
(2, ) 3 8.7.
Lie :
2 3
1
1 = 21 4
4 =
2 = 14 6
5 = 3
3 = 2
6 = 5 ,
3 3+
2
2
(8.26)
165
[., .]LB
2 3 3
3 4
5
3
3 6
3 3
2 3 4
3 5
3 6
44
4
5
6
4 3 2
0
0
4 3
2
43
43
44
32 3 1
24 3
2
32 3
1
0
+
24 3
2
Lie (8.25) ,
(, , ) = exp
3
{
}
(, , ) = exp
2 3
{
}
3(3 + 3) + (9 + 3)
(, , ) = exp
.
12
8.5 Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman
Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman
Black-Scholes 2 ,
[75].
1 2 2
+
+
2 2
1
2
)2
( )2
=0
(8.27)
1 2 2
+
+
2 2
1
2
)2
+ () = 0
(8.28)
.
(8.28)
Lie (8.28)
2
, , ,
166
, , .
,
. (8.28)
, (), . ,
. , ,
Fokker-Planck [28, 80].
Lie
Lie. (1 + 1) (
). ,
.
(8.28) , (), [75],
1 =
2 =
= 2 2 (, ) ,
(, )
1 2 2
+
+
+ () = 0.
2 2
(8.29)
1 2 (8.28). ,
(8.29) (8.28)
!
2 + Lie .
(, ) = 0 ,
, Lie
. ,
=0
(8.30)
. (
Lie : -
, - ,
.)
= 1 + 2 ,
(8.31)
2 = 0 1 = 0.
(8.32)
(8.30)
167
, (
).
( , solution symmetries),
() = 1 .
(8.28), (8.29), () . ,
(8.28) .
(, )
()
2 2 +
2 +
2
2
2 2
2
2
0+1+
1 1
1+1+
21 1
3+1+
{1 (2, )} 1
3+1+
{1 (2, )} 1
5+1+
{(2, ) } 1
5+1+
{(2, ) } 1 ,
5+1+
{(2, ) } 1
: 8.8: Heath.
() 8.8
. ,
. , .
.
168
1. () = 2
, ,
1 = (, ) exp[/2 ]
2 =
3 =
4 = + 21 ( + ) + 2
(
)
5 = 2 + + 21 2 22 ( )2
(8.33)
6 =
7 = ( ) ,
(, )
2
+ 12 2 2 +
2 = 0.
(8.34)
Lie (8.28) () = 2
(8.35)
=2
, = 2, 7, .
=
3 + 4 + 5 2 = 0
(8.36)
(
)
2 + 4 2 + 12 5 2 22 ( )2 7 ( ) = 0.
(8.37)
(8.37) :
2 :
5 = 0
7 = 0
2 + 4 2 = 0
(8.36)
3 + 4 = 0
2 = 4 2 ,
3 = 4 .
(8.38)
Lie3
1 =
2 = ( ) + 2 ( ) .
3
(8.39)
, ( ) ,
169
(8.28) () = 2
. 1
= (). Lagrange 2
d
2 (
= 2 . (8.28) () = 2
= 2
= 2 ( ).
(8.40)
2. () = 2
1 = (, ) exp[/2 ]
2 =
3 =
4 = 2
(8.41)
(
)
5 = + 12 2 2
(
)
(
)
6 = 2 + + + 32 2 2 + 2 2 3 21 2 3
(
)
(
)
7 = 22 + 2 + 2 3 + 2 + 2 3 32 2 ( )2 14 4 4 ,
(, )
2
+ 12 2 2 +
2 = 0.
(8.42)
(8.35)
(8.30). (8.30)
3 + 2 6 + 2 2 7 = 0
(8.43)
(
)
(
)
2 2 4 + 12 2 2 5 + 2 2 32 12 4 3 6
(
)
+ 2 + 2 3 32 2 2 2 + 2 2 14 4 4 7 = 0.
,
. ,
2 :
:
:
7 = 0
5 = 32 6
(
)
2 = 2 4 + 22 2 4 3 6
(8.44)
170
( 4 6 )
(8.30).
1 = 2 ( )
(
)
2 = 2( ) + + + 32 2 2 32
{
)
}
(
+2 ( ) ( 2 ) 12 2 2 2 2 2 3 .
(8.45)
(8.45)
[1 , 2 ] = 1 , 1 ()
[85] 1
.
(8.45) Lagrange
d
2 (
(8.46)
+ 2 ( ). ,
(, ) = () 2 ( ).
(8.47)
1 2 2
+
+
2 2
1
2
)2
+ 2 = 0
(8.48)
() = + 21 2 ( )2 + 61 4 ( )3 ,
(8.49)
. , 1
(, ) = 12 2 ( )2 + 61 4 ( )3 2 ( ).
(8.50)
2 (8.50) , (8.50)
(8.30).
3. () = 12 2 2
, ,
1 = (, ) exp[/2 ]
2 =
3 =
4 = exp[] [ + ( ) ]
5 = exp[] [ + ( + ) ]
[
(
) ]
6 = exp[2] + + 12 2 + 12 2 2 2
) ]
[
(
7 = exp[2] + 12 2 + 21 2 + 2 2 ,
(8.51)
171
(, )
2
2
+ 21 2 2 +
12 2 2 = 0.
(8.52)
(8.28) () = 21 2 2 ,
() = 2
2 . ,
. (8.35)
(8.30)
Lie 1 2 1 1
,
(, ) = [1 sech( )] +
1
2
)
2 2 2 tanh ( )
+ 21 2 log cosh ( ) 12 2 ( ).
(8.54)
2 (8.54)
.
,
Fokker-Planck [28, 80].
.
() Lie.
4. () = 12 2
1 2 2
+
+
2 2
1
2
)2
1
2
2
=0
2
(8.55)
1 = (, ) exp[/2 ]
2 =
3 =
(8.56)
4 = 2 + + 2
(
)
5 = 22 + 2 + 2 ( )2 ,
(
172
(, )
+ 12 2 2 +
12 2 2 = 0.
(8.57)
(8.30)
3 + 2 4 + 2 2 5 = 0
(
)
2 + ( 2 )4 + 2 2 2 + 2 2 5 = 0
(8.58)
(8.58)
(8.58) , 2 5
.
, (8.27)
.
2
5. () = 21 2 2 + 21 2
1 = (, ) exp[/2 ]
2 =
3 =
(8.59)
4 = exp[2] + + 12 2 + 12 2 2
) ]
[
(
5 = exp[2] + 12 2 + 21 2 + 2 2 ,
[
)
2
(, )
+ 21 2 2 +
1
2
2 2
2
+
2
2 2
= 0.
(8.60)
,
(8.30).
2
6. () = 2 + 12 2
1 = (, ) exp[/2 ]
2 =
3 =
(8.61)
4 = 2 + + 2 2 2
(
)
5 = 22 + 2 + 2 ( )2 .
(
(8.30).
173
2
7. () = 2 + 12 2
(8.28), (),
(8.30).
,
1 2 2
+
+
2 2
(, ) = 0
1
2
)2
+ () = 0
(8.62)
Lie ()
2 , 2 12 2 2 . (8.62) () 2 /2
= 0
.
(8.28) (8.30)
4
(1 + 1) .
, (8.28),
.
.
, (8.28)
, .
, 5 .
(8.28) (8.29)! = (, , )
(, ) . = exp{/2 }. ,
Hopf-Cole Burgers.
(8.29), 4
174
. , (8.28)
() = 1 + 2 + 3 2 + 4 /(2 + 23 )2 . Lie
.
.
[75] .
() = 1 + 2 + 3 2 , (8.29)
1 =
2 =
(2 + 23 ) cos( 3 ) 2 3 sin( 3 )
3 = 2 sin( 3 ) +
2
3
2 3 cos( 3 ) + (2 + 23 ) sin( 3 )
4 = 2 cos( 3 )
2
3
8 cos(2 3 )
(2 + 23 ) sin(2 3 )
5 = 4
3
3
(
(
)))
1 {(
42 3 + 2 22 + 82 3 + 43 1 + 23 2
cos(2 3 )
+ 3
3
3
(
)
}
4 3 3 2 + (2 + 23 ) sin(2 3 )
(2 + 23 ) cos(2 3 )
8 sin(2 3 )
+
6 = 4
3
3
(
(
)))
1 {( 2
+ 3
4 3 2 22 + 82 3 + 43 1 + 23 2
sin(2 3 )
3
3
(
}
)
4 3 3 2 + (2 + 23 ) cos(2 3 )
= (, ) ,
(, ) (8.29) () = 1 + 2 + 3 2 .
Lie Lie (2, ) 3 , 8.9, = 16 42 3 22 2 + 41 3 2 /(
[., .]LB
3 4
3 3
2 3 6
2 3 5
2
3
4
5
6
3
3 4
0
0
4 3
2
3 3
2 3 6
4
3 2
84
0
0
84
83
83
84
83
83
84
128
3 1
0
128 1
3
2 3 5
+ 2
Lie (
33 3 ).
175
1 = 21 4
2 = 413 1 +
3 = 2
4 = 12 2 + 18 6
1
512 2
1
32 5
1
6 = 43 1 + 32
5 = 43
2 12 5 .
.
(8.29) ,
(, , ) = 2 tan( 3 )
(2 + 23 ) sec( 3 )
(, , ) =
4
)}
{ ( 3
1
22 4( 2) (2 + 23 )2 tan( 3 )
cos( 3 ),
41
+
(, , ) = exp
3
8
3
2
3
= 0.
16 3
1 , , ,
Ermakov-Pinney, (8.21) [52].
(8.21)
1
3 tan ( 3 ) ,
2
(, , ) = (2 + 23 )2 sec ( 3 ) ,
{ (
(
) )}
1
22 4( 2) (2 + 23 )2 tan 3
(, , ) = exp
41
+
cos ( 3 )
2
3/2
8
3
(, , ) =
22 = 34 .
, Lie, mean-variance
.
, (), 2 , 2 12 2 2 , Lie -, ,
. - .
, , .
.
176
() ()
. ,
;
(, ) = 2 () .
Lie
1 = (, ) exp[/2 ]
2 =
3 =
4 = 2 ()
(8.63)
5 = + ( )
6 = 2 + ( + ) 22 ()
(
)
7 = 22 + 2 + 2 22 2 () ( )2 ,
(, )
2 ()
+ 12 2 2 +
2 = 0.
(8.64)
, (8.64) (8.34),
(8.33).
4 + 2 6 + 2 7 = 0
(8.65)
2 2 ( )4 + ( )5 2 2 ( )6
+(2 2 2 + 2 2 2 2 2 ( ))7 = 0.
(8.65)
(8.35). (8.65) 2 7
7 = 0. 5 = 0. 4 (8.65) ,
(8.65), 2 = 0. ,
1 =
(8.66)
2 = 2( ) 2 () .
(
(8.66)
=
=
()2 d
0
2
()
()2 d
(8.67)
177
. .
,
.
9.
Schwartz [15, 30, 18] .
, .
mean-reversion1 Ornstein-Uhlenbeck.
[86] Black-Scholes. mean
reversion
. .
[30] mean-reversion.
mean-reversion Vasicek [95].
. ,
. ,
,
() . (, , )
,
.
, Schwartz. ,
2
. .
1
, ,
,
.
2
,
, . ,
,
.
179
Lie
.
9.1
Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman
1 2 2
2
+ ( log ) = 0.
(9.1)
(0, ) = .
, , (9.1) , ,
.
[30]
1 2 2
2 1
+ 1 2 + 21 22 + ( ) + (( ) ) = 0,
(9.2)
(0, , ) = .
, . ,
.
12 2 + 22 + 32 + 21 1 2 + 22 2 3 + 23 3 1
+2( ) + 2( ) + 2( ) 2 = 0,
(9.3)
(0, , , ) = .
]
2
(, ) = exp log exp[ ] + (1 exp[ ]) +
(1 exp[2 ]) ,
4
[
(9.4)
= 12 2 /.
(9.2), (0, , ) =
[43, 8]
]
1 exp[ ]
(, , ) = exp
+ ( ) ,
(9.5)
180
(
)
2
1 exp[2 ]
1 2
1 2
+ 22
( ) =
+2 2
43
)
(
2 1 exp[ ]
+
+ 1 2 2
2
= /.
Schwartz (9.3):
]
1 exp[ ]
1 exp[ ]
(, , , ) = exp
+
+ ( ) ,
(9.6)
( ) = [(
+ 1 2 1 ) (1 exp[ ]) )] /2
[
] (
)
22 (4 (1 exp[ ]) (1 exp[2 ]) 2 ) / 43
[( + 1 3 3 ) (1 exp[ ] )] /2
[
] ( )
32 (4 (1 exp[ ]) (1 exp[2 ]) 2 ) / 43
[
(1 exp[ ]) + (1 exp[ ]) (1 exp[( + ) ])
+1 3 3
( + )
]
2
2
(1 exp[ ]) + (1 exp[ ]) 2 2
+
.
2 2 ( + )
9.2
(9.1),
2 2 = 0,
(9.7)
= (
)
1
2
=
log + +
2
(, ) = (, ).
(9.2),
+ + 2( ) 2 2 = 0,
(9.8)
181
= exp[] (, , ) = (, , )
)
(
1
1 2 1 2
=
2
(, , ) = (, , )
=
= 1/2 (
1/2
2
( ) = 2 12 2 + 2 ( )
(, , ) = (, , ).
, (9.3),
+ + 2( + + ) 2( + ) 2 2 = 0,
(9.9)
, ,
2 2( + + ) 2( + ) 2 2 = 0,
.
.
.
, .
Euler . ,
= ,
= 1, , = , ,
(, ) = (, ).
= , = 1, ,
= 2 ,
(, ) = (, ),
/ . ,
= + , = 1, ,
1 = 0.
(, ) = (, ),
182
2 2( + 1 )1 2 2 2 = 0,
(9.10)
= 2, 1 = 2, .
, Lie,
, SYM
[21, 22, 23].
(9.7):
1 = (, )
2 =
3 = exp[]
4 = exp[] [ + 2 ]
(9.11)
5 =
6 = exp[2] [ + ]
[
(
)
]
7 = exp[2] + 1 22 ,
1 = (, , )
2 =
3 =
(
)
4 = 2 + 1 + ( + )
(9.12)
5 = exp[] [ + ]
6 = exp[] [ 2 ]
7 = ,
(, , ) (9.8), - .
(9.12).
(9.7). ,
. = 0 = 0
, . :
183
1 = (, , )
2 =
3 =
4 =
5 = exp[]
6 = exp[] [ + 2 ]
7 = .
Lie, 6 + . , (9.8)
(9.7)
.
(9.9):
1 = (, , , )
2 =
3 =
4 = [( )2 + 2 + 2 ] + [ + ( )] [ ]
+[ + ( ) + ]
5 = exp[] {[ + ( )] + + (1 ) }
(9.13)
6 = exp[] {[ + ] + (1 + ) 2(1 + ) }
7 = exp[][ + ]
{
8 = exp[] [(1 2 + 2 ) 2] + (2 2 1) + 22
}
+22 [(2 1) + ( + 1)]
9 = ,
(, , , ) (9.9). , .
9.3 Lie
(9.8) ( - ).
(0, , ) = exp[]. Schwartz
184
= exp[] (9.8)
(9.2).
= 0 (0, , ) = exp[].
(9.14)
( , 1 , )
=2
, = 0 7 = 0.
= exp[]
2 ( )4 + 6 = 3 + 5 + 6 ,
(9.15)
exp[].
(9.15), :
4 = 0
6 = 0
2 = 3 + 5
- .
1 = +
(9.16)
2 = exp[] ( + ) + .
(9.17)
Lie (9.8)
(9.14). (9.8) , .
.
1 2 . , , 1 1 = 0.
+
= 0,
, ,
Lagrange ( ,
)
d
(9.18)
185
(9.18) .
(9.18) , exp[].
,
= (, ) exp[].
,
2 = exp[] + (1 exp[])
Lagrange
d
exp[]
(1 exp[])
(9.19)
.
(9.8)
= 1 + 2 + 2 2 2 exp[] + 2 exp[2]
[
(, , ) = exp + (exp[] 1) + 21 (2 + 1 + 2 )
]
+ 2 exp[] 41 2 exp[2]
(9.20)
=2
=0
(0, , , ) = exp[]
9 = 0 9 . ,
= 0 exp[],
:
:
:
:
2 = 3 + ( + )5 + ( + )6 + 7 + [(1 2 + 2 ) 2]8
2 4 = 0
4 + 22 (2 1)8 = 0
( )4 2(1 + )6 + 22 ( + 1)8 = 0
186
4 = 6 = 8 = 0.
2 = 3 + ( + )5 + 7 ,
(9.21)
Lie :
1 = +
2 = exp[] [ + ] +
3 = exp[] [( + ) + + (1 ) ] + ( + )
.
. (9.8)
.
= () exp + (exp[] 1)
[
]}
+
(1 exp[]) + ( + )(exp[] 1) ,
1
(9.22)
= 1 2 +
[
2
1
(1 exp[])2 +
2
(1 )2
(1 exp[]) + ( + )(exp[] 1)
]2
(9.23)
, (),
.
( ) (9.22) (9.6).
(9.2) (9.3) (9.8) (9.9)
(9.20) (9.22)
.
Schwartz.
9.4
2 + 1 Lie .
. , , , .
187
. .
, , (9.12) (9.13).
, ,
.
:
.
2 2 = 0
(9.24)
2 2 2 = 0
(9.25)
9.1 .
,
.
(9.24)
(9.25)
Schwartz
10
14
10
19
14
11
25
19
13
6
..
.
32
..
.
25
..
.
15
..
.
1
2
2 (
+ 3 + 10)
1
2
2 (
+ + 8)
2 + 3
(9.24) 12 (2 + 3 + 10),
(9.25) 21 (2 + + 8) 2 + 3 Schwartz.
(9.7)
[54].
,
, , (9.24) (9.25) .
,
188
[3 , 4 ] = 2
[5 , 6 ] = 22
[6 , 7 ] = 6
[4 , 7 ] = 2 ( 2 + 1)3
[5 , 7 ] = 5
[3 , 4 ] = 2 2
[5 , 6 ] = 2(2 1)2
[7 , 8 ] = 23 (2 1)2
[4 , 9 ] = [( )2 + 2 + 2 ]3 2 2
[7 , 9 ] = 7
[8 , 9 ] = 8 ,
[5 , 9 ] = 5
[6 , 9 ] = 6
.
. ,
(2, ) :
2 = + (, )
[49] (. 8.5)
Schwartz. ,
(2, ) . ,
, ,
.
. , 3 6 (9.12) 3
8 (9.13),
Noether
[52]3 .
, 9.3.
2 + 3 Lie . Lie
. (
+ 1 .)
,
. ,
3
() Noether 2
.
Schrodinger ,
Noether Lie
.
Black-Scholes. ,
10.
189
= 0
.
, , Schwartz Lie . 2 + 3 Lie,
. (0, , x) = Schwartz
- Lie
.
(9.24), (9.25)
(9.10) .
9.2.
(9.24)
1
2
2 (
(9.25)
1
2
2 (
+ 3 + 10)
+ + 8)
Schwartz
2 + 3
3 (2, )
1
2 (
1) ()
2 + 3 + 2 + 12 ( 1)
1
2 (
1)( 2) ( 1)
2 + 3 + 21 ( 1)( 2)
2 + 3
9.2, (9.24)
190
= 3
1 = (, , , )
2 =
3 =
4 = 2 + + +
5 = 22 + 2 + 2 + 2 (3 + 2 + 2 + 2 )
6 =
7 =
8 =
9 =
10 =
11 =
12 =
13 =
14 = .
1 Lie
. 2
. 3 , 4 5 ,
(2, ). , 6 11 ,
Langrange. ,
12 14
(3).
, ( + 1)- , (9.24), 2
, ,
Lie
, , (2, ) , , 21 ( 1)
().
(9.25), ,
. (2, )
,
() .
(, , , ) Schwartz,
Lie
( 1).
191
9.3.
(9.24)
(9.25)
Schwartz
}
{(2, ) ()} (2+1) (1 )
}
{1 ( 1)} (2+1) (1 )
{
}
1 (2+1) (1 )
: 9.3: .
, ,
.
Lie. Lie
( )
.
.
.
10.
: , , , , , ..
( )
, , . , - .
Poincare ( )
.
.
, , , (
) ()1 .
.
, , Sophus Lie. Lie,
ad hoc ( )
. ,
, Lie
. , (
) :
( ) .
,
( )
. ,
,
1
- ,
. ()
.
193
194
2
+ ( + ) ( + ) = 0
2
(10.1)
.
= 1 + (, ) 1 .
,
2
+ [( 1 ) + ]
2
+[21 + ( )1 ] (1 + ) = 0.
(10.2)
1 .
.
Miller Weller [70]:
= 0 ( ),
2
+ + [( )1 ] = 0,
2
(10.3)
Ornstein-Uhlenbeck = = 0,
2
+ (1 ) = 0.
2
(10.4)
, (10.2), Lie,
1 =
2,3 = exp
2
{1
2 ( + )
}[
(
2 + 21
]
,
(10.5)
195
2 + 4 2 + 2 . + = 0 ( -
) ,
(
{
}[
4,5 = exp 2 1 + + 21 +
2 2
+ 2 .
) ]
,
(10.6)
(10.4)
1 =
2 = + /
3 = ( /)
(
)
4 = + 1 2 2 2 +
(10.7)
5 = 2 + + (/ 2 + 2)
[
]
6 = 22 + 2 + 1 2 2 (3 2) 3 + 2 + 2 (1 + 2)
7 = (, ) ,
= 1 (, )
2 + 2 2 = 0.
7 (10.4)
6 + Lie [24]
.
1 2 () 2
()()
2
2 ()
()
1
2
1
+() 2 2 () + 2 () = 0.
2
2
(10.8)
, , , .
Hobson Henderson [36] :
() = , () = , () = () = . (10.8)
2
1 2 2
1 2 2 2
1
+ 2 2 = 0.
2
2
2
2
(10.9)
, () = , () = , () = + () =
+ . mean-reverting
- , .
196
() = , () = , () = +
() =
+ .
, () =
+ () = .
(10.9)
, , 2 /2
. , ,
2
2 2 2 + 2 2 2
+ 2 = 0,
(10.10)
= /, = 2 / = 2 2 /2 . (10.10)
( ) = ( + ),
(10.11)
, (), .
(10.10) Lie,
1 =
2 =
3 =
4 =
5 =
[
]
6 = 1/ exp 12 (2 )/2
[
]
7 = 2 + ( 21 ) + log
[(
)
]
+ 12 log
8 = (, ) ,
(10.12)
(, )
2 + 2 + 2 = 0
(10.13)
Black-Scholes.
, (10.13)
. . ,
(10.13) ;
(10.10)
)
2 + 2 + 2 ( + )2 = 0.
(10.14)
197
(10.13)
(10.14). , (10.14)
+ = 0,
(, , ) = 1/ ().
(10.10)
(, , ) = 1/ (, ) + (, ).
(10.15)
1/ 6 .
Ansatz (10.15).
(10.15) (10.10)
]
)/2
[
]
(, ) = (, )/ exp 21 ( )/ ,
(, ) = () exp
[1
2 (2
(10.16)
(10.17)
() (, )
2 + 2 = 0
.
(10.15)
(10.16) (10.17) (10.10).
(10.10)
Euler . (,
+
= (, /). Euler
/.) , 6
Euler = exp[] (, , ) = (, , ).
Lie (10.10),
(10.11), { = , = , = , = 0 },
1 = ( )
2 = (1/ 01 1/ )
[
]
3 = 2( ) + ( 12 )( ) + log( 1 )
[
]
+ ( 21 )( ) + log(1 ) .
(10.18)
()()
1 2 () 2
2
2 ()
()
1
2
1
+() 2 2 () + 2 () = 0
2
2
(10.19)
198
3 ( ) = ( + ).
() = 1 /(1 )
Merton [67] -
, , , Cobb-Douglas.
[36].
, [36], .
199
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