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, 2010

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2002,
. /
-
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poster.

poster .
2005

.
Peter Leach KwaZulu-Natal
.

, -,

.
2006.
Peter Leach 2000 .
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Painleve, Lie .
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Ko van der Weele ,
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Microeconomica
SYM ( , Mathematica).
KwaZulu-Natal
: Peter Leach (Professor
Emeritus), John OHara ( Essex),
Adhir Maharaj Viroshan Naicker ( Cambridge).
, Clara Nucci Perugia
Puu Centre for Regional Science (CERUM),
, Tonu
Ume Shahriar Yousefi Centre for Advanced Research in Nature
and Society (CARINAS) . ,
,
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Jose-Manuel Rey University Complutense in Madrid.
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.

vi

1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

14

22

2. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

24

2.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

25

2.1.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

25

2.1.2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

27

2.1.3

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

29

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

31

2.1.5 Dating Hypothesis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

33

2.1.6 Box-Checking Experiment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

38

2.2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

44

2.2.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

48

2.2.2 Parrondo . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

50

2.1.4

2.3

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

52

2.3.1 Cournot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

52

2.3.2 Bertrand . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

57

2.3.3 von Stackelberg . . . . . . . . . . . .

59

2.3.4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

60

viii

3. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

64

3.1 - . . . . . .

65

3.2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

69

3.3 . . . .

71

3.4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

73

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

78

4.

4.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

81

4.1.1 Theocharis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

81

4.1.2 Puu

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

84

4.2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

86

4.3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

90

4.4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

95

5. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105
5.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

106

5.2
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

111

115

6. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119
6.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

122

6.2 . . . . . . . . . . .

127

6.3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

129

ix

7. LIE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 135
7.1 Lie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

136

7.2 Lie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

140

7.3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

144

7.4 (1 + 1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

149

8. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153
8.1 Black-Scholes-Merton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

155

8.2 Longstaff . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

158

8.3 Vasicek . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

160

8.4 Cox-Ingersoll-Ross

163

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

8.5 Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

9.

166

. . . . . 179

9.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

180

9.2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

181

9.3 Lie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

184

9.4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

187

10.

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 193

10.1 Miller Weller . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

195

10.2 Henderson Hobson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

196

200

206

2.1 Pascal. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

28

2.2 : . . . . .

29

2.3 : Nash . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

31

2.4 Dating Hypothesis: 3 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

34

2.5 Dating Hypothesis: 3 2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

34

2.6 Dating Hypothesis: 1. . . . . . . . . . . .

37

2.7 Dating Hypothesis: 2. . . . . . . . . . . .

37

2.8 Dating Hypothesis: 3. . . . . . . . . . . .

38

2.9 Box-Checking Experiment:


. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

40

2.10 Box-Checking Experiment: . . . . . . . . .

41

2.11 Box-Checking Experiment: .

42

2.12 Box-Checking Experiment: Nash . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

42

2.13 , , ,
- . 48

7.1 Lie.

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

142

7.2 Lie. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

143

7.3 Lie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

150

8.1 Lie Black-Scholes-Merton. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

156

xii

8.2 Lie Longstaff. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

159

8.3 Lie Longstaff = 0. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

160

8.4 Lie Vasicek. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

161

8.5 Lie Vasicek = 0. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

162

8.6 Lie CIR 2 = 4. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

164

8.7 Lie CIR 2 = 43 .

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

166

8.8 Heath. . . . . . . . . .

168

8.9 Lie Heath () = 1 + 2 + 3 2 . . . . . . . . .

175

9.1 (9.24), (9.25) (9.10). . . . . . . . . . . .

188

9.2 (9.24), (9.25) (9.26). . . . . . .

190

9.3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

192

2.1 Cournot .

. .

55

3.1
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

66

3.2 (, ) = (1 , 2 ) MS
1 = 2 = 0.5, 1 = 1, 2 = 1.1 () 1 = 0.7, 2 = 0.2, 1 = 0.4,

2 = 1.3 ().
1 , 2 (0, 1) (0, 1). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

69

3.3 (, ) = (1 , 2 )

1 = 2 = 0.5, 1 = 1, 2 = 1.1 () 1 = 0.7, 2 = 0.2, 1 = 1, 2 = 1.1


(). 3.2. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

71

3.4 MS, (3.13), 1 = 2 = 0.5 ()

1 = 0.7, 2 = 0.2 (). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

72

3.5 , (3.19), 1 = 2 = 0.5 ()

1 = 0.7, 2 = 0.2 (). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

72

3.6 , (3.19),
1 = 0.7, 2 = 0.2 1 () 2 (). .

72

3.7 () (3.30), (3.31) (1 , 2 )


Poincare map. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

75

3.8 , 1 (). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

76

4.1 : 1 = 0.6 2 = 0.9 ( = = 1).


. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

87

4.2 : 1 = 0.6 2 = 0.7 ( = = 1).


. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

87

xiv

4.3 : 1 = 0.6 2 = 0.2 ( = = 1).


.

. . . . . . .

88

4.4 : 1 = 0.5, 2 = 0.6 3 = 0.75 ( = = 1).


. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

88

4.5 : 1 = 0.5, 2 = 0.6 3 = 0.65 ( = = 1).


. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

89

4.6 : 1 = 0.5, 2 = 0.6 3 = 0.25 ( = = 1).


,
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

89

4.7 : (1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 5 ) = (0.5, 0.55, 0.6, 0.52, 0.35).


. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

90

4.8 = 100 = 10. . . . . . . . . . . .

94

4.9 = 3 = 4.

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

94

4.10 = 7 = 5. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

95

4.11 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

97

4.12 . .

97

4.13 . .

97

4.14
,
1.

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

98

4.15 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

98

4.16 . . .

99

4.17
1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

99

4.18 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

100

xv

4.19 . .

100

4.20 . .

100

4.21 .

. . . . . . . . . .

101

4.22 2 = 0.7. 101


4.23 2 = 0.3. 101

7.1 (7.26), 4 > 0,


(), 4 = 0, () 4 < 0,
().

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

148

. , ,
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Nash

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1

3
4

(1

, 1 = (0.5, 0.5)
2 2 )
2
2
(0.2929, 0.7071)
2 , 2
(1 1)
2 , 2 = (0.5, 0.5)
)

(0.385728, 0.614272)
(1 1)
2 , 2 = (0.5, 0.5)

5
6

1: Box-Checking Experiment: Nash


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1
1 1
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2
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2 1 + 2

(0.1)

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p1

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2 = 0.2 1 () 2 ().

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0.40

0.41

0.42

2: () (1 , 2 ) Poincare.


.
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,

() ( 3).

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

200

400

600

800

1000

3: , , , ,
= 10 = 100.



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(9).
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,

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[(

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(0.6)

Lie Monge-Amp`ere
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2 = 0,

(0.7)

2 + 2 2 = 0,

(0.8)

Bateman,

, = 0 = 1 (11).
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:
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.
8
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10

, , , .
, , Black-Scholes-Merton,

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+ 2
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, ,
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1 2 2

+ 2
= 0,
( )
2

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1 2 2
+ 2 2 ( )
= 0.

(0.12)

Cox, Ingersoll Ross,

Longstaff,

1 2 2 ( 1 2
2 2 4 ( 22 ) 2
+ = 0,

(0.13)

- Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman,

1 2 2

+
+

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+ (, ) = 0.

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(0.15)

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2 2 2 = 0,

(0.17)

2. Lie
3.

(0.16)

(0.17)

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10

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12


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Lie .
Miller Weller,

2
+ [( 1 ) + ]
2
+[21 + ( )1 ] (1 + ) = 0,

(0.18)

Henderson Hobson,

2
1 2 2

1 2 2 2
1

+ 2 2 = 0.

2
2

2
2

(0.19)

(13).
(20).

(0.16)

}
{(2, ) ()} (2+1) (1 )

(0.17)

(0.15)

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3: Lie , (0.16), (0.17) (0.15).

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Nobel Scholes Merton) -

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16

Cournot, Bertrand Stackelberg. Cournot


( )
,
, ,
.

.
, ,
. .

.
Cournot, Dating Hypothesis
(20). , Box-Checking
Experiment
(23). -

.
1883 Bertrand
Cournot Cournot 1838.

.

,
.

2.3.4 4.1.1.
, .
.
. ,
. ,
, , 3,

(1 2). , 4

17

(3 4) .
5 Cournot.
(4, 22 19).
. ( 6 10):

. , , (Mathematical Reviews 2479658)
(
) .
.
Grenadier Dixit.

. (
) 6.
6.1 /
, Black, Scholes Merton. , 7,
.
Lie, ,

.
.
7 Lie
.
.
Lie Lie (9 11).
Lie.
(1 + 1) .
8
, Black-Scholes-Merton, Longstaff,
Vasicek, Cox-Ingersoll-Ross, Heath Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (12, 5
8). Black-Scholes -

18

Burgess
Lie. Schrodinger
(7 6). ,


Lie.
.
.
Lie
.
,
, Lie.
.
1997,
Schwartz .
9
.

. 9,
. ,
(10 8).

(21).
10
Miller Weller Henderson Hobson (13)
. , ,
, .

19

1 Andriopoulos K, Bountis T & Papadopoulos N (2008) Theory of Oligopolies: Dynamics


and Stability of Equilibria Romanian Journal of Applied and Industrial Mathematics 4 (1)
47-59
2

Andriopoulos K & Bountis T (2008) Dynamics of a Duopoly Model with Periodic Driving Proceedings of the 7th International Conference: Lets face chaos through Nonlinear
Dynamics M Robnik & VG Romanovski eds. (American Institute of Physics Conference
Proceedings 1076) 9-12

Andriopoulos K, Bountis T & Dimas S (2010) Discrete-Time Dynamics of an Oligopoly


Model with Differentiated Goods Nonlinear Economic Dynamics, T Puu & A Panchuk eds.
(Series: Economic Issues, Problems and Perspectives) Nova Science, ISBN: 978-1-61668788-5 (Chapter 18)

4 Andriopoulos K, Bountis T & Dimas S (2010) Transition of a competitive oligopoly from


identical to differentiated goods Bulletin of the Greek Mathematical Society (accepted)


. . :

5 Naicker V, Andriopoulos K & Leach PGL (2005) Symmetry reductions of a Hamilton Jacobi - Bellman equation arising in Financial Mathematics Journal of Nonlinear Mathematical Physics 12 268-283
6 Leach PGL & Andriopoulos K (2005) Newtonian economics Group Analysis of Differential
Equations NH Ibragimov, C Sophocleous & PA Damianou eds. (University of Cyprus,
Nicosia) 134-142

. . :

7 Andriopoulos K & Leach PGL (2006) A common theme in applied mathematics: an equation connecting applications in economics, medicine and physics South African Journal of
Science 102 No 1/2 66-72

20

8 Leach PGL & Andriopoulos K (2007) Algebraic solutions of some partial differential equations arising in Financial Mathematics and related areas Bulletin of the Greek Mathematical
Society 54 15-27
9 Andriopoulos K (2007) Complete symmetry groups and Lie remarkability Symmetry and
Perturbation Theory SPT 2007 G Gaeta, R Vitolo & S Walcher eds. (World Scientific,
Singapore) 237-238
10 Sophocleous C, Leach PGL & Andriopoulos K (2008) Algebraic properties of evolution
partial differential equations modelling prices of commodities Mathematical Methods in
the Applied Sciences 31 679-694
11 Andriopoulos K, Dimas S, Leach PGL & Tsoubelis D (2008) On the systematic approach to the classification of differential equations by group theoretical methods Journal of
Computational and Applied Mathematics 230 224-232
12 Dimas S, Andriopoulos K, Tsoubelis D & Leach PGL (2009) Complete Specification of some
Partial Differential Equations that arise in Financial Mathematics Journal of Nonlinear
Mathematical Physics 16, s-1 73-92
13 Leach PGL, Andriopoulos K & Yannacopoulos AN (2010) Nonlinear Equations in Financial
Mathematics: Symmetries and Linearisation (preprint)

14 Andriopoulos K & Leach PGL (2006) Lie point symmetries: An alternative approach to
wave-functions Bulletin of the Greek Mathematical Society 52 25-34
15 Andriopoulos K & Leach PGL (2007) Explicit solution of the generalised Ladder Problem
Journal of the Physical Society of Japan 76 054001 1-3
16 Andriopoulos K (2008) Generalised symmetries and the connection to Differential Sequences International Journal of Pure and Applied Mathematics 42 383-390
17 Andriopoulos K, Bountis T, van der Weele K & Tsigaridi L (2009) The shape of soliton-like
solutions of higher-order KdV equations Journal of Nonlinear Mathematical Physics 16 s-1
1-12
18 Bountis T, van der Weele K, Kanellopoulos G & Andriopoulos K (2011) Model Reduction
of a Higher-Order KdV Equation for Shallow Water Waves Coping with Complexity: Model
Reduction and Data Analysis AN Gorban & D Roose eds. (Lecture Notes in Computational
Science and Engineering 75) Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg, 287-298
19 Andriopoulos K (with T Bountis & S Dimas) Evolution of a Duopoly With Differentiated
Goods (in preparation)
20 Andriopoulos K (with J-M Rey) The Dating Hypothesis (in preparation)

21

21 Andriopoulos K (with N Kallinikos, PGL Leach, JD OHara & C Sophocleous) Applications


of Lie Symmetries to Equations Modelling Prices of Commodities (in preparation)
22 Andriopoulos K (with T Bountis) Complete and Incomplete Information Regarding the Entry
of a New Firm in an Existing Duopoly (in preparation)
23 Andriopoulos K The Box-Checking Experiment (in preparation)

22

. , .

, .
.

.

.
:
,
.

.
( )
( )
netbooks.
.
;

;
, 2

. , .
: Dating Hypothesis Box-Checking Experiment.

23

.
.
3 4
.
,
3 4, .

,
.



.

2.

.
. , ,
.


. Cournot, Stackelberg
,
,
.



. ,
: , .

, .
2.1 .
.
.
Cournot Stackelberg 2.3
, .

.
,
Gibbons [42].

25

2.1

. ( ) /.
, (, )

.
( 5)
1 (common
knowledge).

2.1.1

, ,
. , .
, 1 .

, . ,
, (1 , 2 , . . . , ).

(1 , . . . , )

(1 , . . . , ).
:
()

()

()

= {1 , . . . , ; 1 , . . . , } .

(2.1)

, ,
.

. :

;
1

/.


.
.
.

26

2 ;
: , (2.1),
, , , .

() ,

(1 , . . . , 1 , , +1 , . . . , ) < (1 , . . . , 1 , , +1 , . . . , ),

(2.2)

(1 , . . . , 1 , +1 , . . . , ) 1 . . . 1 +1 . . . (
).

, , Aumann [13], (common knowledge):


,
. ,
...
.
(a solution concept).

( , )
.
;
, ,

!
( ) Nash. ,
, (1 , 2 , . . . , ),
.

.
Nash. , , (
) Nash,
[60].
2

. ,
. ,
Nash ( ).
.

27

: Nash 3 =

{1 , . . . , ; 1 , . . . , } (1 , . . . , ) , ,
, ( )
1 , (1 , . . . , 1 , +1 , . . . , ).
Nash:

(1 , . . . , 1 , , +1 , . . . , ) (1 , . . . , 1 , , +1 , . . . , ),

(2.3)

, ,

max (1 , . . . , 1 , , +1 , . . . , ).

(2.4)

1: , (2.1), (1 , . . . , )
Nash, .
2: , (2.1),
(1 , . . . , ), Nash
.
,
, , [42].

2.1.2


,
. :
.
, Pascal [65], .
2.1. Pascal.
, , 1 +1 (

status quo
,
.
3

28

1
1

: 2.1: Pascal.

, , . ,
1/2 ,
+
.
.

.

: ( ).
.
: ( )
( / ) .

( /).
,
. (
.) , ,
. , ,
() 30%
( ). (
)
(
, , homo (economicus) sapiens, )
, , 4 .
,
Nash / 4

[26] -

: ( )
( ) . , (17%)
(32%) !
(!). , ( )
. (
, [45].)

29

, , -,
.

2.1.3

( )
. ,
( !),
( ).
.
.
,
.
:

( ),
.

, .
,
( )
( ).

1,
0,

9,
6,

0
6

: 2.2: : .

:
()

()

:
() (1 = )
() (2 = )

() , (, ), ( ) 2.2. ,
2 1 2

2 (, ) = 0.
Nash.

30


. ,
5

( , ) < ( , )

(2.5)

2 (2 = ), 1,

1 (, ) < 1 (, )

(1 < 0)

, 2 = ,

1 (, ) < 1 (, )

(9 < 6).

, 2 , 2 = {, },

1 (, ) < 1 (, ).
( 1).

2 (, ) < 2 (, ).
, , (
, ...) . (
) (, ).
(, )! ,
(, ), ,
. , ,
(, ).
, (
).
2.1.5.
Nash:
Nash , ,
. , 2.3
. ,
,
Nash.
, .
5

(2.2).

1,
0,

31

9,

-6 ,

-6

: 2.3: : Nash

, (1 , 2 ) Nash
,

max (, ).

(2.6)

2 2 = {, } (

) 1 (2.6)
,

max 1 (, )
1

max 1 (, )
1

1 =

1 = .

2
Nash, (1 , 2 ) = (, ).
1 2 ,
(, ) Nash. , ,
.

2.1.4


() / .
.
, . Nash ()
.
: = {1 , . . . , ; 1 , . . . , } = {1 , . . . , }.

= (1 , . . . , ),

0 1 = 1, . . . , 1 + . . . + = 1.
, ,
. , Nash
:

32

1 , = 1, . . . , , 2 , = 1, . . . , , 1
2 1 = {11 , . . . , 1 } 2 = {21 , . . . , 2 }, .

1 2 (21 , . . . , 2 )

(21 , . . . , 2 ) , , 2 1
, (11 , . . . , 1 ) (11 , . . . , 1 ).
1
2.
1 1 ,

2 1 (1 , 2 )

(2.7)

=1

, 1 = (11 , . . . , 1 ),

1 (1 , 2 ) =

=1

2 1 (1 , 2 )

=1

1 2 1 (1 , 2 ),

(2.8)

=1 =1

1 2 1 1 2 2 .
1 1 ,
(2.8),
, (11 , . . . , 1 ), (2.7),

(11 , . . . , 1 ). , 1
1 2 2, 1 > 0

=1

2 1 (1 , 2 )

2 1 (1 , 2 )

=1

1 1 .

(2.9)

, 2 1,
(. (2.8) )

2 (1 , 2 ) =

=1

=1

1 2 (1 , 2 )

1 2 2 (1 , 2 ).

(2.10)

=1 =1

: , , (1 , 2 ) Nash
, , 1

1 (1 , 2 ) 1 (1 , 2 )

(2.11)

33

1 1 2

2 (1 , 2 ) 2 (1 , 2 )

(2.12)

2 2 .
(Nash, 1950) [60]:

= {1 , . . . , ; 1 , . . . , } ,
,
Nash, .

: Nash
Kakutani [53] ( Brouwer [24])
, , - . Nash
Nash.
, Kakutani, Nash
6 .

2.1.5 Dating Hypothesis

. , .
, ( ) [40, 36]
.
A
Beautiful Mind:
. ( ) Nash
Nobel 1994 (
Harsanyi Selten).
:
1. Dating Hypothesis ( 3 ).
6

Hardy [47]:

, ,
. , Nash, .
, Brouwer .
, Hardy : :
,
.

34

2. , , ,
1 = 2 = 3 = {1 , 2 }. , 2
1 , 1 . 1
2 (
).
3. , ,
:
, () .
()
. , ()
. () = 1/2 .

. 1 = 2 = 3 ,
,
. , ,
. ,
1 > 2 > 3 ,
.
,
,
2.4 2.5. >> .

3 1

2 1

2 2

1 1

(1 (3),

2 (3),

3 (3))

(1 (2),

3 (2))

1 2

(,

2 (2),

3 (2))

(,

3 (1))

: 2.4: Dating Hypothesis: 3 1 .

3 2

2 1

2 2

1 1

(1 (2),

2 (2),

(1 (1),

1 2

(,

2 (1),

(,

: 2.5: Dating Hypothesis: 3 2 .

2.4 2.5 2
1 ()
1 (
).
1 = 2 = 3 = 1 Nash, (1 , 1 , 1 )
( Nash [60]), (3) . 1

. ,

35

((3), (3), (3)), .


() Nash.
1 > 2 > 3 3 (3) .

Dating Hypothesis
. : , (
)
.
.
, . ,
, internet , (
) .
( ()
) .
(),
.
.
, , Nash
(1 , 1 , 1 ), .
,
,
(2 , 2 , 2 ). , :

. , ( ad hoc),
:
:
1. Dating Hypothesis ( ).
2. ,
1 = 2 = 3 = 4 = {1 , 2 , 3 , 4 }. ,

2 1 , 1 .
1 , 2 , 3 4
.
3. , ,
:

36

: 7 .
4 (
1 ), (1 ) = 4. (
.) ,

,
,
! :

1 (1 , ) = 2.4 , {2, 3, 4}, ,


1 60%
.

1 (1 , ) = 1.2 , , = 1 {2, 3, 4}, ,

1 .
30%
,
.

1 (1 , ) = 0.4 = = 1, , . 10%
. ( )
8 .
( ) 52.5%, 20%
5% 35%, 15% 2.5%, .
: ( ) + 1.
, +1 , (+1 ) = 2 , , +1 .
1 :
, 1 3, 3 , 2
, 1 (3 ) = 0, 5 ( 50% ,
, 3 (3 ) = 0, 5 (
).
, 1, 3 , ,

1 (3 ) = 0, 8 ( 80% 1 ).
Dating Hypothesis,
2.6, 2.7 2.8. 9 :
7
8

, A Beautiful Mind, !

.
.
.
9
( ) ,

37


( , , ). , 2.6
2 ( ) 3 (
)10 . , ( , ), 2 2 , ,
/ 1 11 = 1 ,

12 = 2 , 21 = 3 22 = 4 .
, 2 (3 , 3 , 4 ) = 2.

1
2
3
4

0.4

1.2

1.2

1.2

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.5

0.8

0.8

1.2

2.4

2.4

2.4

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.5

0.8

0.8

1.2

2.4

2.4

2.4

0.8

0.8

0.8

1.2

2.4

2.4

2.4

0.8

0.5

0.8

0.5

0.5

0.5

0.8

: 2.6: Dating Hypothesis: 1.

1
2
3
4

0.2

0.8

0.8

0.5

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

2.1

2.1

2.1

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

2.1

0.5

2.1

0.8

2.1

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

2.1

0.5

2.1

0.8

2.1

0.8

0.5

0.5

0.5

: 2.7: Dating Hypothesis: 2.

Dating Hypothesis Nash, (2 , 1 , 4 ) (1 , 3 , 4 ), (1 , 2 , 3 ) =

(2, 2.1, 2) (1 , 2 , 3 ) = (2.4, 2, 2). 3 4 ( ) 1 2.



.
[40, 36].
10
2.7 2.8 1 () 3

2 (). :
.

1
2
3
4

38

0.1

0.8

0.6

0.5

0.6

0.8

0.6

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.6

1.4

1.4

1.4

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.6

0.8

1.4

0.5

1.4

0.8

1.4

0.8

0.5

0.5

0.5

0.6

0.8

1.4

0.5

1.4

0.8

1.4

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

: 2.8: Dating Hypothesis: 3.

( ) .
,
. 1 1 2 2 1

3 . ( 3 4 .)
(
), 1 2 (
) ;
, ,
.
,

!
, (
)
() (
).
(focal point equilibrium) [79] (1 , 3 , 4 ) 1 +2 +3 = 6.4
( ). , ,
-. ,
.

2.1.6 Box-Checking Experiment


Nash . (3 4
, ),
.

39


( )
. ( )
! Box-Checking Experiment (
)
[66].
11 :
Box-Checking Experiment: ()
:

1.
2. .


/2 .

/2
.

Status quo:
.

(
) ,
.
.
/.
( )
.
( ) ,
, , .
:
-,
( )
11

Paulos ,

, [66].

40

, ( ) ,
, ,
.
, ( ) .
, .
.
, , (, ),
, . ,
, (, ), .
, ,
( ).
2.9.

1,

0,

1,

0,

: 2.9: Box-Checking Experiment:


.

, , ,
Nash: (, ) (, ). :
, ;
, 12 .
, ( ) : ,
( ). ,
( ).
, Nash , (, )
(, ), , ,
. ,
: 1 1 . ,
12

, , Dating Hypo-

thesis. Nash
.

41

2 1 ( 2.10).

,
, 1

1,
0,

, 1

1
1

1,

0,

: 2.10: Box-Checking Experiment: .

1:

1 = {(1) + (1)(1 )} + (1 ) {(0) + (0)(1 )}


= ( + 1 ) + (1 ) 0
= 2 + .
2:
,

2 = {(1) + (1)(1 )} + (1 ) {(0) + (0)(1 )}


= ( + 1 ) + (1 ) 0
= 2 + .
,

1 = 2 +
2 = 2 + ,

1
= 0

2
= 0,

2 + 1 = 0
2 + 1 = 0.
0 1 0 1.

(
)
( 21 , 12 ), ( 12 , 12 )
.

.
. ,
.
Dating Hypothesis
:

M2

1:

A2

M1

2:

A1

M1

3:

A1

M3
1,
1,

A3
0
0

1,
1,

M3
1,
1,

1,

0
0

A3
0
0

1,
1,

M2
1,

42

0
0

A2
0
0

1,
1,

0
0

: 2.11: Box-Checking Experiment: .

( 2.11)
Nash : (), () (). ,
,
,

(1

2
2 ,

2
2 ),

(1

2
2 ,

2
2 ),

(1

2
2 ,

2
2 )

((0.2929, 0.7071), (0.2929, 0.7071), (0.2929, 0.7071)) .

Box-Checking Experiment -

2.12.

( )

2
3
4
5
6

(
1

(1

, 1 = (0.5, 0.5)
2 2 )
2
2
(0.2929, 0.7071)
2 , 2
(1 1)
2 , 2 = (0.5, 0.5)
)

(0.385728, 0.614272)
(1 1)
2 , 2 = (0.5, 0.5)

: 2.12: Box-Checking Experiment: Nash


.

:
, .
,
! (
.) ,
. ,
, , : ,

43

,
2.12. ( ,
,
):
[12]: Box-Checking Experiment ( ),
, , , Nash
((0.5, 0.5), . . . , (0.5, 0.5)), .
Nash [60] (
) , . ,
, !
:
, (0.5, 0.5).
. ,
,
[32].

.
Box-Checking Experiment : ,
. (

) . , , / .


, ,

2.12! ,
, ,
, . ,
, Box-Checking Experiment .
. , ,
. :
.
(
) ...
.

44

(
). Box-Checking Experiment
[9]. 51
, . 25 ( 51) !
, .

2.2


.
.
( ).
,
,
.
.
, (
) (
). , (Ultimatum Game), ,
2.1.2, . , ,
,
( ).
.
: .
( ) ,
, ( ),
, . ,
, , ,

1 [0, ], . , 1 .

, , 2 {, }.

, 1

1 . ,

.
13 . ,
13

; [43], , ,

. ,

45

( ) : ,

.
, , 1 > 0,
: 1 > 0
. , , 1 ,

1 > 0. (
,
), -
, 1 , . 1
Nash [18]. , (
) ( , ,
[45, 62]). [45], ,
/2 , ,
/3, ,

1/2, ! - [62]
( )
:
...
. (
.)
/4, /3,
/2 1 > 0.
(
Nash); ,
(
, )
. , . ,
,
,
[78];
: (1)
; (2) ( )
/ ;
(3) ,
- , [50] ()

()
.

46

;
. , , , .
.
,
() ,
, ( ),
. , ,
.
. ,
, ,
( , /4) . [45, 39, 78, 62] (
) .
,
14 .

. ,
: ( , ) . ,
, . ,
.
: ( , )
. (
14

. , , ( )
( , , )!
.
; :

1 , 1 ( ). :
; , ,
!
[1]
.
Nash.

47

)
( ).
,
(
)
, , , [34],
Shapley [80], ( [67]).
.
:
:

1. 1 , 1 , , 1 .
2. 2 1 , 2 ,
, 2 .
3. 1 (1 , 2 ) 2 (1 , 2 ), .

, ,
von Stackelberg [83]. 2.3.3.
:
(
).
,
(backwards induction method): 1, (
), .
, 2
, 1
.
, 2 ,
1 1,
,

max 2 (1 , 2 ).

2 2

(2.13)

, (2.13), 2 = 2 (1 ),
2 (1 ) ( ) ,

1 , 1.
.
, 2,
, (2.13),

48

( ), 1,
,

max 1 (1 , 2 (1 )).

(2.14)

1 1

( ) 1 . ,
(1 , 2 (1 ))
.
( ) . ,
( ). ,
Nash Nash
Nash [81].
:
(1)

(2)

(2)

(2)

(3)

2.2.1

1,

5,

0,

4,

: 2.13: , , ,
- .

( )
;
Nash; ,
,
2.1.3.
:
( , ); , ()
() (), ,
: -

49

! , ,

, = 1/(1+), . ( = 1/(1+)
1 .)
: , , (, )
-
, . , 1

- .
(, )
.
, ()
,
. :
;
, , (1 , 2 ) !
: . ( )
- : 1 (1 , 2 ) ,
.

( ).
;
5 (. 2.13)
1 :

= 5 + 1 + 2 1 + . . . = 5 + (1 + + 2 + . . .) = 5 +

.
1

4 :

= 4 + 4 + 2 4 + . . . = 4(1 + + 2 + . . .) =

4
.
1

41 .

( Axelrod) [14]:
Axelrod (
1970) ( -
) :
,
( 200 )

50

1 . ( 62 ),
Anatol Rapoport
:
( Tit-for-Tat): , ,
, . ,
!
: ( ) Nash
,
,
. ,
41 [86].
: , , (, )
1 , .
, , Nash
, , (, ), Nash
[86].
, ( ) :

-

, [0, 1)


( ).

, ,
, (
). Nash ;
: , , ,
, , ( )
: Nash
.

2.2.2 Parrondo

, ,
. , ,

51

, , ,
. ,
; [48]

, Parrondo. ,
;15 ...

:
: = 1/2

1/2 + . > 0, 0.005.


. ,
, , ,
, = 0.
: , , (
) ( ) .
,
3 , . , ,
.
:

[ mod 3 = 0] =

1
10

[ mod 3 = 0] =

9
10

[ mod 3 = 0] =
[ mod 3 = 0] =

1
4

3
4

+ .

, mod 3 = 0 mod 3 = 0

( 40%)
( 60%). ,
,
. , .
,

E [1 0 ] < 0 =

0 mod 3 = 0,

.
15

, Parrondo

. [64]
.
,
. Paulos Scholes,
. .

52


, ..,
, , , !
[48].
:
, 1 2 , . ,
, (, 1 , 2 ), Parrondo 0.032%
. ,
[49].

Clinton, Monica Lewinsky ( , ),


( )
( , ).

Abbott
Parrondo. , ,
Parrondo [52].

2.3

Nash
. , Cournot Bertrand
( )
. Nash
,

Nash.
Cournot
( )!

2.3.1 Cournot

Augustin Cournot (1801-1877)


[29] [ VII]. ,

53

- . , Cournot, ,

( ,
).
() , , : () . Cournot
(
) : .
( , ),
( ). . ,
, ,
() .

, ,
.
,
, :
, , ( )
.
, ,
. (
2.3) . ,
Cournot ,
.
Cournot. ,
.
, 1 2,
, , .
. ,
, .
1 2
1 2 , , = 1 + 2 .
(
), , = (), .
,
. , ,
.

54

. ,
,
,
( ). Cournot. Cournot

. , Cournot
, ().
, , = (),
. : 1) (0) 0. 2) > 0 () > 0, () < 0,
. 3) > 0, () , ,
, .

, ,
,

1 = 1 (1 + 2 )
2 = 2 (1 + 2 ).
(
)

1
1
2
2

=
=

[1 (1 + 2 )]
=0
1
[2 (1 + 2 )]
= 0,
2

(1 + 2 ) + 1 (1 + 2 ) = 0
(1 + 2 ) + 2 (1 + 2 ) = 0

(2.15)

1 2 .
(2.15): , (2.15), ;
:
, , ; Cournot , ,
[29].
, ,
, () > 0, d2 /d2 < 0.

55

Cournot
2.1.
(2.15) (reaction curves) [38]
(reaction function) [23].
,
.
5

: 2.1: Cournot .

(2.15)

2 () + () = 0,
, ,

+ 2
( = ()).

d
d

=0

(2.16)

, (

) , ,

d
d

= 0.

(2.17)

,
(2.15), ,

d
d

= 0.

(2.18)

= 1/
. , , ,
( = 1) .

. ,
.
,
(2.17). , ,
:
.

56

(2.16) ( ), 1 = 2 ,
. . ,
. ,
, 1 (1 ), 2 (2 ), . . . , ( ), .
,

() + 1 () 1 (1 ) = 0
() + 2 () 2 (2 ) = 0

(2.19)

..
.

() + () ( ) = 0,
, , =
= , = 1, .

=1

: (2.19),

)
d (
( ) ( ) .
d

d/d 0, > ( ) < ( ) < ( ) > ( ): ,


( )
.
(2.19) (2.18),

( )

=1

d
d

= 0,

(2.20)

[
] d
+ ()
= 0.
d

(2.21)

(2.20) (2.21)

=1 ( )

().

=1 ( )

> ().

Cournot , , (2.21),
(2.20).
Cournot

57

. ,
: ;
; ;
, ;
( () )
, ,
Bertrand Cournot.

2.3.2 Bertrand

Cournot
.
Cournot
. , 1883
, Bertrand [16]. , Daughety [33] [ 18]
: Cournot
, Bertrand 1883
Cournot.
Joseph Bertrand (1822-1900) ,
Cournot ( Walras [87]). ,
, ( Bertrand16 )
( Bertrand17 ). Bertrand, , Cournot Walras, Journal des Savants,

. ,
, ( )
.
.
Cournot, , - .
16

, , < < 2 2, > 3.

Chebyshev.
17
.
; Bertrand

1/3, 1/2 1/4, . ,


.

58

Cournot () . Bertrand
() , .

. ,
Nash.
, Cournot
. , Bertrand : .
, ,
. ,
.
( ) Cournot . ,
Bertrand, .
[37]:
.
Cournot . ,
Bertrand. , , ,

.
Bertrand Cournot

. ,
. ,
. , Bertrand
1 2 ,
[16].
Bertrand,

(1 , 2 ) = ( ) (1 , 2 ),

= 1, 2,

(2.22)

, , .

:
< , (
) = > . ,

59

.
1 > 2 . , 2 ( )
1 . 1 = 2 ,
, (
). , ,
. , ,
[35].
Bertrand
Cournot ( )
! ,
. , ( ),

. , ,
( Bertrand/Nash) . Bertrand

.
,
.

2.3.3 von Stackelberg

Heinrich von Stackelberg (1905-1946), , Cournot [83],


1934 Cournot. ,
/
, Cournot , , ( , , ) , , .
() , 2.2. ,
, ( )
. ( )
. ,

( )
. ,
( ). ,

60


(expectation rules)

.
.
,
, 1 ( )
, 2 ( ).
. Stackelberg

2 Cournot
. Stackelberg
Bertrand. , () 2, 1 , Cournot,
. , 1
. ,

Stackelberg. :

1. 1 1 ( ).
2. 2 Cournot

2 = 2 (1 ).

(2.23)

3. 1 1 (2.23).

( , [69]) Stackelberg (
Cournot) Cournot
Cournot.
Stackelberg
5. , Stackelberg
.

2.3.4

Cournot Bertrand ( ),
Cournot [29] ,
. (
Bertrand ;), ( )

61

Cournot, Bertrand
,
.

.
Hotelling [51] ,
(
).
( ).

.
. (
)
() . (
Hotelling)
.
,
[77], (
Cournot) [37].
Hotelling :
()
. (.
[76].)
Chamberlin
[27]. (
) . , Hotelling,
Hotelling ( ). , Chamberlin
(
)
( [37]).
. , (
)
5. , , Chamberlin
.
( ) ,
, () () . -

62

, ,
( Bertrand Cournot).
Nash Nash [60]. ,
, .

; ; , ;
Cournot, Theocharis [85] Palander [63] 1939!

63

3.

, .
.
( ) . ,
(
4.2). , ,
.
.
(reaction functions) . 5 ,

. .
.
. .
, ,
.
, .
. , ,
. 4.
.
.
: , .
. , , , . ,
, , - , ,

65

. , :

(.. );
Matsumoto Szidarovszky [58], 3.1, [7]
(periodic driving)
[8].

3.1 -

, , :
.
,
.
/ ,
.
Cournot, ,
() ,
, [29].

( )
.
,
,
,
Cournot (Nash). ,
. (best-response curve)
,
(
, 5, ).
, 1

2, , , , ,
. , ( )
,

1 = [(1 , 2 ) 1 (1 , 2 )] 1 2 = [(1 , 2 ) 2 (1 , 2 )] 2 ,

(3.1)

(1 , 2 ) 1 2 , = 1, 2,
.

66

Cournot

1 + {(1 , 2 ) 1 (1 , 2 )}
1 1
{
}

2 + {(1 , 2 ) 2 (1 , 2 )}
2 2

1 = 1 (2 )

2 = 2 (1 ).

(3.2)

(3.2) Cournot (Nash).


, , .
, :
, , , ,
, ,
, 3.1.
Price Functions
3
p=1q

2.5
p=1Hq+.5L-.1
2
p=1q^2
1.5
p=1Hq^2+1L
1

0.5

0.5

1.5

2.5

: 3.1:
.

Puu [68, 70]

(1 , 2 ) =

1
,
1 + 2

(3.3)

[30].

[2, 6].

+ 0 =

1
,
+ 0

= 1 + 2 .

(3.4)

,
.
( 3.1)

1
,
2 + 1

67

(3.5)

. , ( ) ( ) (utility function)
.
,
.
, ,
.

, 1 2 , [58],
:

1 =

1
1 + 1 2

2 =

1
,
2 1 + 2

(3.6)

0 < < 1, d1 /d1 < 0 d2 /d2 < 0, [68]


[58]. (3.6)
[58], . , .
(3.5),

1 =

1
(1 + 1 2 )2 + 1

2 =

1
.
(2 1 + 2 )2 + 1

(3.7)



. ,

1 (1 , 2 ) = 1 (1 , 2 )1 1 1 2 (1 , 2 ) = 2 (1 , 2 )2 2 2 .

(3.8)

Cournot,
,
:

.
, [58] ,

1 (2 ) 2 (1 ), (3.8)
(3.6), 1 2 = 1 (1 + 1 2 )2 2 1 =

2 (2 + 2 1 )2 , , 1 2 , ,

1 2
2 1
1 (2 ) =
1 2 2 (1 ) =
2 1 .
1
2

(3.9)

68

1 () = 1 (1 (2 ()) 1 ()) 2 () = 2 (2 (1 ()) 2 ()),

(3.10)

, = 1, 2,
( ).


Cournot. , , ,

,

1 () = 1

1
1

2 () = 2

2
,
2

> 0,

= 1, 2,

(3.11)

, (3.6) (3.8),

1 () = 1

1 2
1
(1 + 1 2 )2

2 () = 2

)
2 1

2 .
(2 + 2 1 )2

(3.12)

, (4.4)
.
, (3.7), (3.12), [58]. ,

1 (1 , 2 ) =
2 (1 , 2 ) =

1
1 1
1 + 1 2
2
2 2 .
2 1 + 2

(3.13)

1
= 0
1

2
=0
2

(3.14)

Cournot

1 2
1 = 0
(1 + 1 2 )2
2 1
2 = 0.
(2 1 + 2 )2

(3.15)


, (3.12),

2 1
1 2
1
=

2 2
2
1 2

2 1
1 2

2 2
2 2
2

69

2 + 2 + = 0,

(3.16)

2 1
2 2
= 12 1 2 21 2 2
1
2
)
( 2
2
2
1 2 2
1 2

1 2 .
=
1 2 1 2
12 22
y
5

y
5

1
1

(3.17)

: 3.2: (, ) = (1 , 2 ) MS 1 =

2 = 0.5, 1 = 1, 2 = 1.1 () 1 = 0.7, 2 = 0.2, 1 = 0.4, 2 = 1.3 ().


1 , 2 (0, 1) (0, 1).

1,2 =

(3.18)

> 0 > 0
.
MS
(3.10) [58]. (3.12) , ,
, , (3.18),
(1 , 2 , 1 , 2 ) . 1 2

(0, 1) (0, 1),

(1 , 2 ) 3.2 1 2 .

70

3.2

1
1 1
(1 + 1 2 )2 + 1
2
2 2 .
(2 1 + 2 )2 + 1

1 (1 , 2 ) =
2 (1 , 2 ) =

(3.19)

, (3.14),

1
21 (1 + 1 2 )

2
(1 + 1 2 ) + 1 [(1 + 1 2 )2 + 1]2
1
22 (2 1 + 2 )

(2 1 + 2 )2 + 1 [(2 1 + 2 )2 + 1]2

= 1

(3.20)

= 2 .

(3.21)

(),
(3.20) (3.21) 1 = 1 (2 ) 2 = 2 (1 ), .
:

1 = 1 (2 ) 2 = 2 (1 ) ,
1
1
=
2
2

2
2
=
,
1
1

(3.22)

(3.20) 2 ( 1 2 ) (3.21)

1 ( 2 1 ). ,
1
2

12 2 (312 12 22 1) + 21 1 (12 1)
1
= (1 , 2 ) =
2
2
2
2
1 2 (31 1 2 + 21 2 + 2) 1 (1 3)

(3.23)

2
1

22 1 (322 22 12 1) + 22 2 (22 1)
2
= (1 , 2 ) =
.
1
2 1 (32 1 2 + 222 12 + 2) 2 (22 3)

(3.24)

(3.10), 1 = 2 = 1
.

= ( )
2 1
1

1 (2 )

2 + 2 + 1

2 1
= 0.
1 2

(3.25)

, , (1 , 2 ),
, , (3.20) (3.21) .
, (3.22), (3.23) (3.24), (3.25)

2 + 2 + 1 (1 , 2 ) (1 , 2 ) = 0

(3.26)

= 1

(1 , 2 ) (1 , 2 ).

(3.27)

71

3.3 1 2

(0, 1) (0, 1). , (1 , 2 ) 1 < 0 2 < 0

-.
y

1.25

1.25

0.75

0.75

0.5

0.5

0.25

0.25
x

-0.25

0.25

0.5

0.75

1.25

x
-0.25

-0.25

0.25

0.5

0.75

1.25

-0.25

: 3.3: (, ) = (1 , 2 ) 1 = 2 =

0.5, 1 = 1, 2 = 1.1 () 1 = 0.7, 2 = 0.2, 1 = 1, 2 = 1.1 ().


3.2.

(3.7) (3.11)
, (1 , 2 ),
(1 , 2 ) ( 3.1).

. ,
.
: .

3.3

Cournot ,
.
/ , , 1 2 , (3.13) (3.19).
, ,
1 2 .
MS, 3.4,
3.2, 1 2 1 2, .
,
MS -
. 1

2
(1 , 2 ).

u2

u2

0.8

0.8

0.6

0.6

0.4

0.4

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

u1

0.2

0.4

0.6

72

0.8

u1

: 3.4: MS, (3.13), 1 = 2 = 0.5 () 1 = 0.7,

2 = 0.2 ().
,
1 , 2 ()
(1 , 2 ), 3.5.
u2

u2
0.5

0.5

0.4

0.4

0.3

0.3

0.2

0.2

0.1

0.1
0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

u1

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

u1

: 3.5: , (3.19), 1 = 2 = 0.5 () 1 = 0.7,

2 = 0.2 ().
3.6. , 1 > 2 , 2
1 1 2
1 2,
1 < 2 .
, ( [61])
: ,
, (, 2)
(, 1)

2 < 1 ,
.

u1

73

u2

0.5

0.5

0.4

0.4

0.3

0.3

0.2

0.2

0.1

0.1
0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

p1

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

p2

: 3.6: , (3.19), 1 = 0.7,

2 = 0.2 1 () 2 ().

3.4

,

. , ,
- ,
.
-
( )
.

, , . Matsumoto Szidarovszky (MS),
(, ) . , ,
MS,
.
, ,
MS. ,
, 1 2 ,

. , 2
/ 1
, 2 < 1 ,
1 2.

74


, 1 2 , ,

1 () =

2 () =

[
[

12 22 12 + 1

(3.28)

22 12 22 + 1

(3.29)

]2 1
(1 + 1 2 )2 + 1

]2 2 ,
(2 1 + 2 ) + 1
2

[0, 1].

. ,
, ,
.
Poincare
map, .
, (3.28)-(3.29)
.
, , ,
, , 2 1.
(3.28), (3.29)

1 () =

2 () =

12 22 12 + 1
[
]2 (1 + cos )
(1 + 1 2 )2 + 1
22 12 22 + 1

[
]2 [2 + cos( + )] .
2
(2 1 + 2 ) + 1

(3.30)

(3.31)

, , .
, 1 () 2 () > 0 ,

( )
1 = 10 + 11 + 2
( )
2 = 20 + 21 + 2

(3.32)

(3.30) (3.31) (2 ).
(10 , 20 ) (3.28), (3.29) ( 1 ,

2 ) = /2,
(3.32),

11 () = 11 11 + 12 21 cos
21 () = 21 11 + 22 21 sin ,

(3.33)

, , 1 , 2 , 1 2 .
(3.33)

75

,
= { } .

(3.33), ,

11 () 11 = 1 cos + 1 sin
21 () 21 = 1 cos + 1 sin .

(3.34)

, (3.28) (3.29),
() 4.7 ,
1 = 0.7, 2 = 0.2, 1 = 2 = 0.4, = 0.01, = /5 = /2. ()
(3.30), (3.31) (1 , 2 ) Poincare map
= 2/ .
.
yHtL
0.54

0.53

0.52

0.51

0.50
0.36

xHtL
0.37

0.38

0.39

0.40

0.41

0.42

: 3.7: () (3.30), (3.31) (1 , 2 ) Poincare


map.

3.7

5.0582412 + 2.831391 2 + 8.9268822 0.000397514 = 0,

(3.35)

(3.34).
, 1 (), 3.8
driver, .

, 1 () 2 (),
.
.
, . ,
() . , () ()

76

xHtL

0.395

0.390

0.385

t
20

40

60

80

: 3.8: , 1 ().

() , ,
Poincare map .
,
.
.
drive .

.

77

4.

3
. ,
, ()
.
,
.
. ,

=1

, = , = 1, . Cournot

()
.
.
.
. .
;
.
. ,
.

.

(1 , 2 ) = 11 22

(4.1)

. Wicksell, Cobb Douglas [28] .


Cobb-Douglas , (4.1), (
). Puu ( )

79

[5]. 1 2 ( ),
. (1 , 2 )
(4.1) 1 + 2 = 1 ( ) , 1 ln 1 + 2 ln 2 ,

= 1 1 + 2 2 , .
( .) Lagrange

= = 1, 2. = / .
()
= 1/ . ,
( )
.
.
[82, 46]

(1 , 2 ) = ( + 1 )1 + ( + 2 )2

1
2

( 2
)
1 + 22 + 21 2 ,

(4.2)

, [0, 1] ( -

= 0 = 1 , ,
). , 1 2
. , (1 , 2 ) 1 1 +2 2 = .

= + = 0,

= + . ,
= (1 + 2 )

> 0 > 0.

, . ,
.
, .
,

.
Cournot . Bertrand
,

80

. , , 4.3,
.

.
, Cournot
.
() , = ( ),
Cournot-Nash. ,

( + 1) = ( ())

(4.3)

+ 1 ,

.
() Markov.

: +

1 , (),
, ( ()),

( + 1) = (1 ) () + ( ()),

(4.4)

[0, 1] . -

(4.4)
3.1 [7].
, : -

(bounded rationality adjustment process)



,
. ,

( + 1) = () + ( ())

(),

(4.5)

( )
.
( ) = , .
( ) = [8].
[84]
. ,
,

= ( ( ()) ()) .

81

()
, ()),

() =

( + ) ()
+ ( ),

( + ) = (1 ) () + ( ()) + ( 2 ),
( )2 , 0 < << 1.

, .
,
.

4.1

,
,
. Theocharis [85],
20
Palander [63] . Puu [68, 69, 70]
Agiza [2, 6].

4.1.1 Theocharis

(
),

= .
- =

(4.6)

=1

/, .
, = ( )
. (total revenue)

= ( ( + ))
(marginal revenue)


= 2 .

82

(total cost)
,

= .
,


= .

( , ) = = ( ( + )) .

/ = 0 ( ). ,
,

1
2

)

,

= 1, .

(4.7)

: , (4.7)
Cournot
2.3.1. , (4.7)
,
.

=1 .

(4.7)



+ ( + 1)

=
.

+1
( + 1)

(4.8)

Cournot ,
= 1, , (4.8).


.
+1

= =

+
.
+1

Cournot

. ( = 1) ,
( = 2)
. , 1/( + 1)

/( + 1) , . ,

1
=

+ ( + 1)
+1

)2

83

,
. ,
. ,
.
(4.7) , ()

( + 1) = ( ()) =

1
2

)

() ,

= 1, .

(4.9)

: + 1

( ). (4.9) ()
. ,
Cournot, (4.8), (4.9).

.
:

( + 1)
=
()

21 , =
0,

, = 1, .

(4.9)

0 12

1

0
2
=
.
.. . .
..

.
.

1
1
2 2

12

12

..
.

, , Cournot. ,

.

= 0
(
)1 (
)
1
1
+
= 0.

2
2

(4.10)

1 = 1/2 < 1,
- :

= ( 1)/2.
, (1 = 1/2 2 = 1/2)

. , ,
3 = 1

4.2.
( > 3), -
Cournot .

84

4.1.2 Puu

Cournot
. .
Theocharis , . Puu
.
( Cobb-Douglas)
:

1
1
=
1 + 2 + . . .

(4.6).
. ,
4.4 .
( ).
:

1 (1 , 2 ) =
2 (1 , 2 ) =

1
1 1
1 + 2
2
2 2 .
1 + 2

(

)

2
2
1

1
2 (1 ) =
1 .
2

1 (2 ) =

, (1 , 2 ),
Cournot
. , , :

)
2
1
,
,
=
(1 + 2 )2 (1 + 2 )2
(
)
22
21
(1 , 2 ) =
,
(1 + 2 )2 (1 + 2 )2
(1 ,

2 )

= 1 + 2 ,

(4.11)

1
.
1 + 2

1 ( + 1) =

2 ()
2 ()
1

2 ( + 1) =

1 ()
1 ().
2

(4.12)

85

(4.12), , (4.11),

= 1 2
22

2 1
21
.
0

det = 1 2 1,

(1 2 )2 41 2 .

(4.13)

, ,
Cournot

1
32 2
3 + 2 2.
2

(4.14)



, , , [68].

(4/25, 25/4).
( ) ,

2 + 3
2 3
1

3 + 1
=
3 1
2

1 + 2
=
1 2 .
3

1 =
2
3

Cournot

(1 ,

2 ,

3 )

2(2 + 3 1 ) 2(3 + 1 2 ) 2(1 + 2 3 )


,
,
(1 + 2 + 3 )2 (1 + 2 + 3 )2 (1 + 2 + 3 )2

(4.15)

(1 ,

2 ,

3 )

(2 + 3 1 )2 (3 + 1 2 )2 (1 + 2 3 )2
,
,
(1 + 2 + 3 )2 (1 + 2 + 3 )2 (1 + 2 + 3 )2

(4.16)


. 5,
Stackelberg.

.
.
[6].

(piecewise linear).

86

.
( )
4.3
.

4.2

(
Theocharis). , , .
.
:
(4.9),
- :

( + 1) = ( ()) =

1
2

)
() , ()
0,

() >

= 1, .

(4.17)



(, , ).
. , ,
(4.17) , ,
. ,
. , ,
,
. ,
,
Cournot [25].
- (4.17) ( )
. ,
( )

1 =

1
2

+ 1
2

( , , ). , :

;
2 .

87

(4.17)
.

2 < ,
, .

q
0.5

0.4

0.3

0.2

0.1


10
20
30
40
50

: 4.1: : 1 = 0.6 2 = 0.9 ( = = 1).


.

q
0.20

0.15

0.10

0.05

t
0

10

20

30

40

50

: 4.2: : 1 = 0.6 2 = 0.7 ( = = 1).


.

. ,
( 4.2). ,
, ,
4.1.
Cournot = = 1.
, ,

. 4.3
(2 = 0.2) .

88

q
0.6

0.5
0.4

0.3

0.2
0.1


10
20
30
40
50

: 4.3: : 1 = 0.6 2 = 0.2 ( = = 1).


.

.
( 3 ). ( Cournot)
, (4.17),

(1 ,

2 )

21 + 2 + 1 22
,
3
3

, ,

2
3

+ 1 + 2
.
3

,
( - ).

3 < ,

.

q
0.30

0.25

0.20

0.15

0.10

0.05

10

20

30

40

50

: 4.4: : 1 = 0.5, 2 = 0.6 3 = 0.75 ( = = 1).


.

89

:

( 4.4).
, . ,
, 4.5.

q
0.20

0.15

0.10

0.05

t
0

10

20

30

40

50

: 4.5: : 1 = 0.5, 2 = 0.6 3 = 0.65 ( = = 1).


.

4.6 status quo .




.

q
0.35

0.30
0.25

0.20

0.15

0.10


0.05


0
10
20
30
40
50

: 4.6: : 1 = 0.5, 2 = 0.6 3 = 0.25 ( = = 1).


,
.

,
. 4.7
(

90

).

q
0.35


0.30
0.25



0.20

0.15

0.10
0.05

10

20

30

40

50

: 4.7: : (1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 5 ) = (0.5, 0.55, 0.6, 0.52, 0.35).


.

,
, . ,
.
5.


, .
,
, .

4.3


. , ,
.
. Theocharis,
Cournot.

. ,
: . ,
. -

91

.
(
(capacity limits) [35]).
.
[72, 73, 74]. ,
.
. Cobb-Douglas

() =
=

=1

= .


. . , , .
, ,
.
.

2
.

(4.18)

( ).

lim =

lim = .

, ,

.

2
=

( )2


= ,
=0

(constant elasticity of substitution


(CES)). Cobb-Douglas
( ).
.
[72, 74].

92

, .
,

( 2 )
=
=0

( )2
= 2 .

, (4.18),
,

= 4 .

: , = 2 . , , , ,
.
:

, ()

+
( + 1) = ( ()) :=

,
() >

= 1, .

(4.19)

( + 1) = ( ()) :=

1
2

, ()

() >

1
4
1
4

= 1, .

(4.20)

, (4.19) (4.20),
, .

.
. (indicator function) [74].
() . ,
.
.

93

. , ( )
,

( )mod = 0.

(4.21)

( + 1) = (, ) ( ()) + (1 (, )) ( ())

( + 1) = 2(, ) ( ()) + (1 (, ))
(. (4.19) (4.20).)

(, ) (4.21),
. , = 0.25 = 106 .
modus operandi ( ) : ,

1 , , 1 = 21 . ,
. 1 ,
, 2 , 2 = 22 . . ,

(4.21). . 3 = 1 + 2 , 3 , 3 = 23 .
.
.

( ) .
,
, (4.21),
.
, ,
, .

Cournot.
2 , = 100. 4.8
() = 10 .
= 10, = 20
2

, , , .

(, ).

94

... ( ) .
( ) , , .
,
. :
4.8;
0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

200

400

600

800

1000

: 4.8: = 100 = 10.

= 3 = 4.
.
, ,

. ( 4.9) , ,
( ) ,
( ).
(intermittency) .

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

50

100

150

200

250

300

: 4.9: = 3 = 4.

4.10 = 15 .
. = 7 = 5.
. , [74],
= 8,

95

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

100

200

300

400

500

: 4.10: = 7 = 5.

4.4

Cournot.
. ,
. , , [3, 4, 20].
,
(bounded rationally)
, [3]. (
, (4.3), (4.4), (4.5), .)
: [3]
.
. ,
.
.
. .

.
( )
.

96

.
. ( )
. ,

= ,
= 1 + 2 .
, 1 2 , ,

(1 , 2 ) = ( ) .

1
1
2
2

= 21 2 1
= 1 22 2 .

(4.22)

. ,
Cournot, .
, , (4.5),

1 ( + 1) = 1 () + 1 () ( 21 () 2 () 1 ) ,

(4.23)

, (4.3),

2 ( + 1) =

1
( 1 () 2 ) .
2

(4.24)

Cournot (4.23) (4.24)

(1 ,

2 )

+ 2 21 + 1 22
,
3
3

[3]

<

12
.
5 ( 21 + 2 )


( 1) .

.
4.11 - 4.14 = 10, = 0.5, 1 = 3 2 = 5.

4.11 .
1 . , 1

97

q
8

Firm 1

Firm 2

t
0

20

40

60

80

100

: 4.11: .
.

2 . ( 4.11 4.12)
= 0.41. . ,
(. 4.13)
, .
p
10

t
0

20

40

60

80

100

: 4.12: . .
u
20

15

10

20

40

60

80

100

: 4.13: . .

4.14 .
, 1 2 , , .
( 4/15,
) Cournot (6, 2) .

, , -

98

. ,

[22]. > 0.4.

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

: 4.14: , 1.


.
, .

Cobb-Douglas
. , ,
[10].
q

0.30

0.25

0.20

0.10

0.15

0.05

0
20
40
60
80
100

: 4.15: .
.

1 = 3 2 = 5 (. 4.11). 4.15
( )
= 0.7.

4.17, .
, , .
4.16 = 0.84. .
. = 0.5678 -

99

0.8

0.6

20

40

0.2

0.4

60

80

t
100

: 4.16: . .


4.17. ,
= 0.8,
.

0.20

0.15

0.10

0.05

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

: 4.17: 1 .


. ,
,
.
:
. ,
, .

. ,
, 1

1 =

1
,
1 + 1 2

2 =

1
1 + 2

(. 3.1 ).

100

0.30

0.25

0.20

0.15

0.05

0.10

0
20
40
60
80
100

: 4.18: .
.
p
60

50

40

30

10

20

t
0

20

40

60

80

100

: 4.19: . .

1 = 3 2 = 5. , 4.18, 4.19 4.20,


, , ,

1 = 0.8.
1 ,
4.21. , ,
, .

.
u

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

t
20

40

60

80

100

: 4.20: . .

4.21 = 0.6 , , , 1 .

101

1 Cournot (Nash) . 1 1
0 .
, ,

.
0.14
0.12
0.10
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

: 4.21: .

. , .
, , 4.22
4.23. , 4.22 , , 1 , = 0.6 2 = 0.7 4.23 = 0.6
2 = 0.3. 2
1 .
0.14
0.12
0.10
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

: 4.22: 2 = 0.7.


[11]. 5.

0.14
0.12
0.10
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

: 4.23: 2 = 0.3.

102

103

5.

.
.

. , , ,
.
, .

. Dating Hypothesis Box-Checking Experiment. Dating Hypothesis
, . , 2.1.5,
Nash. ,
:

. Dating
Hypothesis Nash
, , .
, Box-Checking Experiment, 2.1.6,

.
Nash
.
.
, 3
4
. , 3,
,
.

105

Matsumoto Szidarovszky (MS) [58],


.

, (MS),
.
(MS)
. (
)
[7]! ( )
. ,
.
.
- ,
()
[8]. , ,
, .. .
4 .
- .
,
[68]. [73, 25, 74],
[3] .
[10].
, , ,
[25].
[11].
:

5.1

.
: -

106


.

(Bayesian games).
(
)
.
.
,
.

.
Cournot [29]. ,

( ) = ,
1 , 2 .
:

1. , 1 2,
.
= 1 + 2 .
[68],

() =

1
1
.
=

1 + 2

2.
.
. , = [0, ). , ,
, 0.

3. , ,

( , ) =

.
+

, ,

(
)

max ( , ) = max

( )

107

Nash1

(1 ,

2 )

2
1
,
2
(1 + 2 ) (1 + 2 )2

(5.1)

, Cournot,

1 =

22
(1 + 2 )2

1
2 =
,
(1 + 2 )2

.
. , Newton-Raphson,

. , Cournot (Nash),
.
1 2
Cournot, . (5.1).
, 3, .
3 , ( 1 2 ),
3;

Stackelberg [83], , ,
( Cournot)
.

1 .
Cournot (5.1).
2 .
1
. , 1 2 , ,
, 1 0 2 0, .
2 3 1 2
3 0.
3 (1 , 2 , 3 ).
1

Nash, 1950, , , ,

,
Nash [60]. Cournot, 1838,
[29].

108

,
. 1
2.

1 (

3) .
2 . (
(1 , 2 ),
Cournot , ,
, !) 3 , 3 ,
. , .
3 Cournot.

Cournot. Cournot (Nash) [69]

(1 ,

2 ,

3 )

2(2 + 3 1 ) 2(3 + 1 2 ) 2(1 + 2 3 )


,
,
(1 + 2 + 3 )2 (1 + 2 + 3 )2 (1 + 2 + 3 )2

(5.2)

,

. . Stackelberg. ,
.

() =

1
1
=

1 + 2 + 3

( , ) =

,
+

,
.
Stackelberg
, ,

max 3 (3 , 3 ) = max
03

3
3 =
3 .
3
3 3

3
3 3
3 + 3

(5.3)

(5.4)

Stackelberg (5.4),

1 =

1
2
1 1 2 = 3
2 2 .
1 + 2
1 + 2

(5.5)

109


(5.5).
1
3

1
+ 2 = 1 3 2 (1 + 2 ) 2
2

1 =

1 +

93 22 1
4 (1 + 2 )3

1
3

2
= 2 3 2 (1 + 2 ) 2 ,
2

93 21 2

2 =
.
(5.6)
4 (1 + 2 )3
Stackelberg

3 =

3(21 + 22 33 )
.
4(1 + 2 )2

(5.7)

: 3
( 1 2 Stackelberg) (
Cournot ).

2(1 + 2 3 )
3(21 + 22 33 )

.
2
(1 + 2 + 3 )
4(1 + 2 )2
1:

.
2 ( )
. , 1
( ),
2 .
: 2
1, 1
2 2 (, yes) 2 (
no) 1 .

1 (1 , 1 ) =

2 (2 , 2 ) =

3 (3 , 3 ) =

1
1 1
1 + 1

1
1 1
1 + 2

(5.8)

2
2 2
2 + 2

3
3 3
3 + 3

= 0

(5.9)


(5.10)
1

;
.

110

5.2

.
,
. ,
. ,

.
2 , = 1/, (
) ,

1 = 1/(1 + 1 2 ) 2 = 1/(2 1 + 2 ).
, 1 2 . , ,
3 . ( , ) = (2 ) .

4 (
).

1 =
2 =

1
(2 1 )1 1
1 + 1 2
2
(2 2 )2 2 .
2 1 + 2

(5.11)
(5.12)


.
.

1 = 1 (2 ) =

2 = 2 (1 ) =

1 2
1 2
(2 1 )1

(5.13)

2 1
2 1 .
(2 2 )2

(5.14)

. :
H
ackner-Singh-Vives Cobb-Douglas. . .
3
.

. HSV

( , ) = + 2 . ( , ) = ( ) .
4

Chamberlin [27, 37] ( 2.3.4).

111

( ).
. ,
.

1 =
2 =

(
)
1
2
1
2
1
(
)
1
1
2 .
1
2

(5.15)
(5.16)

: , 1 ( = 0) = 2 ( = 0) = 1.
, 1 = 2 , , 1 2 . (


.)
, (5.13) (5.14)
Cournot-Nash, , (1 , 2 ), ,
, 1 2 .
, [74], () ,

( )mod = 0,

(5.17)


. = 20 = 10. , 1
(5.15) = 10, 30, 50, . . . 2 (5.16)

= 20, 40, . . . , , (5.13)


(5.14) .
,

1 ( + 1) = 1 (2 ()) :=

2 ( + 1) = 2 (1 ()) :=

1 2 ()
(21 )1

1 2 (), 0

= 0.001,
2 1 ()
(22 )2

2 1 (), 0

= 0.001,

(
)
1
2
1 ( + 1) = (, )
1 + (1 (, ))1 ()
2
1
(
)
1
1
2 ( + 1) = (, )
2 + (1 (, ))2 ()
1
2

(, ) =

1, (5.17)
0,

(5.18)

(5.19)

(5.20)
(5.21)

(5.22)

112

1) = 0: 1 = 2 = 1 , , 1 = 2 = 1.

2) = 1, 2, . . . , 9: 1 = 2 = 1 ( , (5.17) )
(5.18) (5.19). 1 2 .

3) = 10: (5.17) 1 , (5.22),

(1, 10) = 1. ( (2, 10) = 0.)


(5.20), (5.18) (5.19).

4) = 11, 12, . . . , 19: (5.18) (5.19).


1 , 2 .

5) = 20: (5.17) 2 ,
(5.22), (2, 20) = 1. ( (1, 20) = 0.) ,
(5.21), (5.18) (5.19).
...
. . ,
:
: ,
Hackner-Singh-Vives [4, 41] , .

113

114

115

116


.

.
6.

. 10
.
(financial assets)
.
.
Black-Scholes
, . 6

.
7
Sophus Lie.
.
8 .
.
Lie
.
9.

.
( 10) ,

.

117

6.


.
, /
.
( ):
( ).
,
.
,
,
(
). .
:
() ;

. (
)
( ) .
, ( ), ,
, , , .


:
,
.

() /
( )
( ).
. ,

119

,
. (
)
( ) (
) (
, ).
,
.
10 .
5 ,
, 2.5 .
1 2
.
. ,
, 0 .
,

= ( ) +

2
.

=1

, , = 0. ,
()
, , .

, , . ,
.
,
, , , .

.

40 60
[51].
60
[26]. , ,
. ,


: , , ,
, , , ,
[66, 63, 27, 34, 91].

120

, Cournot

Nash
.
: ,
(, < 1). ( )
, . ,
, .
/ (
).


.
.
. , .

50 ( )
(, ,
). ,
50 .
, (
) ( )

,
.
()

( , ) .
:
[42]. ,
, ,
. ,

121

Lie .
( ) /
.

6.1

, (, )
, , .
, ,
.. (...)
() ...
( ) (
, , )1 .
, ( = 0) 2
(EUR) (USD) 0.79 EUR/USD.
... 10 100,000USD
( = ). ...
:
(
) ;
(790,000EUR) .
,
, , (
). ...

,
, .
( )
1

. ,

, .
, ,
( ) .
. , , .. ( zero coupons),
( convertible bonds).
2
. .
[4], , 21 , 2006, 09:00 .

122

.
.

, , , , ( ).
, :
()
, swaps3 , 4
() ( ), , (
caps, floors collars5 ), swaps ( swaptions),
(options on futures), inter alia, passport,
Himalaya, Asian Bermuda ( ).
( )
.
...
.
( )
.

. .
, ,
. ,
3

Swaps .


. ,
,
, . swaps
. ,
, swaps swap
.
4
, , , , .
5
. cap ( floor)

( ) cap ( floor).
.
floor cap. collar cap floor.

123

.
...

, .
... .

.
() , , ( )
() , ,
, .
, , : ... ( = 0)
(, , ) 1,000,000USD ( = ) EUR/USD.
( = ) ...
1,000,000 EUR. ( )

( = 0). ( )
,
.
, , 0.82 EUR/USD ...
. ( = )
0.82 EUR/USD.
( ) ...

. , ...
, , () (hedging) ( = )
..
(
).
, , 0.92
EUR/USD. ...
(,

124

) 100,000 . ,
, , 0.72 EUR/USD, ...

100,000 . ,
,
.
( = 0)
, .

( )
; ,
... ( );
...
.

( , , , , )
. .

( , option premium) , ,
( , strike or exercise price). .
.
,
.
.
: (call option)
(put option).
( ) ( ).
:
.

( ). 6 .
6

( , calls or puts)

spread option. combination.


spread ()
(,

125


.


. ,
, ,
. ,
,
premium.
.
, ,
, , ,
.
.

. , , , ( ),
, (

.
: . .
.
, ...
= (
),
.
( ) .

. ( ),
, .
...

, ).
/
(
).

126

() .

6.2

, , . ,
,
. ( )
(
).
. ,

.
. ,
, .
, National Association of Securities Dealers
Automated Quotations (NASDAQ) 1971.
. 1876. 1999 2002

(ATHEX) 110, GR-10442,
( 2007 ATHEX ).
.

1973 Chicago Board Options Exchange
.

1 50
! ,
.
:
(
)
. , ,
.
Markowitz [64] Sharpe Miller [87].
(

127

) . (
Bachelier 1900
.) ,
/ .
, . Markowitz, Sharpe Miller
Nobel 1990
. Nobel

, 1997, Scholes Merton.
. ( ;)
() . ()
,
. ,
(efficient).
( no arbitrage) (
) ( ) 7 .
( !)
.
, , , ,
:

! (


.)
(Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT)) Markowitz [64, 65].
.
.
() (,
). , 7

(Efficient Market Hypothesis)

Fama 1960, .

128

() (
), ,
, . , ,
()
(
-).

(Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)). CAPM
.
, . CAPM Sharpe [87]. ,
.
.
(
)

.
,
, ,
. , .

, (Option Pricing Model (OPM) Black Scholes [10]
Merton [68]. Scholes Merton Nobel 1997 ( Black Nobel ).
Black-Scholes
.

6.3


.
(
) .
, ( )
, , , ,

129


(
).
(Option Pricing Model (OPM))
Black Scholes

. , Merton,
Nobel 1997 Scholes ( Black
1995 Nobel
).
OPM .
, , Monte
Carlo . ,
8 ,
.
.
6.1, ( , ,
) / . , , .
( )
.
, ,
.
, ,
. , , .
( )
, , () .
. ;
; (

.)
8

-
. , , Friedman ,
.

130

,
, . , ,
. , ,
. , (drift),
, (volatility),
. , 9
Brown (
, Wiener)
. ,
( ) .
( ), , .
, , ,
: , ,
, ( ). ,

(, ) = max(0, ).

(6.1)

: (, 0) = 0 (, ) .

, ( ),
Brown,
Ito ( ). ,

d = d + d.

(6.2)

(6.2) ()
Brown, d ().
(6.2), Ito [98],

() = (0) exp

{(

)
}
21 2 + .

10 (, ), Ito

d =
9

2
d +
d + 12 2 2 2 d.

(6.3)

.
, , (
) (
).
10
, ,
.
.
.

131

:
, .
, ;
. , ,
, , ,
.

( ).
(delta hedging).
,

= (, ) .

(6.4)

.
(6.4)
d = d d,
, (6.3),
d =

d +
d + 21 2 2 2 d d.

(6.5)

,
.
,

(6.6)

[98] : (6.6)
( ).
.
. Thorp Kassouf [93] . , ,
Nobel!
, (6.5) ( ). , Black Scholes

d = d,

(6.7)

,
.
. (6.4), (6.5) (6.6) (6.7), Black Scholes

1 2 2 2

+ 2
+
= 0.
2

(6.8)

(6.8)
. 8.1 .

132

, ,

(6.8).
Black-Scholes .
(
). , -,
.
, : 11 . Wilmott [98]:
, ,
. . ,

. . ,
,
.
. -.
; .

. , , ( ).
, , (), ,
, . Black-Scholes.

Brown, (6.2). ,
, , , (, )
. , ,
(6.2) .
Black-Scholes, (
)
( ).
,
. ,
/. 11

, , , -


.
.

133

, ,
. . [7][Appendix].

7. LIE

.
. , ,
.
, ,
.
,
Black-Scholes, ,
/
( , , ). : ,
Monte-Carlo, , .
( ).

.
, Lie
; .
Lie
.

. [1, 2]. , . [23, 77, 78, 89, 99]. ,
.
. 7.1, 7.2 7.3
Lie, , Lie, Lie
, .
Lie [53, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59] Lie
Morosov Mubarakzyanov [71, 72, 73, 74].
Lie . Lie
.

135

Lie
. -- 1
:
, ( ),
.

7.1 Lie

(, , (, ), , , . . .) = 0.

(7.1)

, ;
(7.1)
.
.
. (7.1) ,
( ),
Laplace .
. . ,
, (7.1) -,
( , ,
) .
, :
, ,
, . ,
.
, ,
(7.1) .
( !)
. ,
, ,
. Lie
1

Lie, .

136

: () /,

= +

= +

= + ,
= (, , ), = (, , ) = (, , ) .
, ,

, .
.
. ,
( ), , , . , ,
(, ) , ,
,
, , , , -.
(),

= + + ,

= (1 + ) =

+ (, , (, ))

= (1 + ) =

+ (, , (, ))

= (1 + ) =

+ (, , (, )) .

(7.1) (, ),
.
d
=
d
+
d

(7.2)

137



, d
, d
d
:
d

= d + d
= d + d + ( d + d + d)
= d + d + ( d + d + d + d)
= d { + + } + d { + + } ,

(7.3)

= d + d
= d + ( d + d + d)
= d + ( d + d + d + d)
= d { + } + d {1 + + }

(7.4)

d =

d + d

= d + ( d + d + d)
= d + ( d + d + d + d)
= d {1 + + } + d { + } .

(7.5)

(7.3), (7.4) (7.5) (7.2),


d { + + } + d { + + }

= d {
(1 + + ) +
( + )}
+ d {
( + ) +
(1 + + )} ,

+ + =
( + ) +
(1 + + )
+ + =
(1 + + ) +
( + ) .

(7.6)
(7.7)

(
)

+ ( + + + )
1 + ( + + + )
= [ + ( + + + )]

[1 ( + + + )]
= + ( + )
= + { + ( + ) ( + )}

(7.8)

138

+ ( + + + )
1 + ( + + + )
= [ + ( + + + )]

[1 ( + + + )]
= + ( + )
= + { + ( + ) ( + )} .

(7.9)

, ,

= + + ,

(7.10)

[1] = + { + ( + ) ( + )}
+ { + ( + ) ( + )} ,
(7.8) (7.9), , ,
,

[2] = [1] + { + + + ( + )
2 ( + ) [ + + + ( + )]
2 ( + ) [ + + + ( + )]}
+ { + + + ( + )
( + ) ( + + + ) ( + )
[ + + + ( + )]
[ + + + ( + )]}
+ { + + + ( + )
2 ( + ) [ + + + ( + )]
2 ( + ) [ + + + ( + )]} .
.
( , [13]).

,
.
(). , (7.10), ,
, [78].
(7.1) , (7.10),
- , = 0:

[] =0 = 0.

(7.11)

139

= 0
( ,
). (7.11)

, , .
Lie .
, (
),
.
.

.
SYM Mathematica [21, 22, 23].

7.2 Lie

, , . , ,
:
( , ) . ,
.
() .
.
Lie, . ,

, . .
(gauge) (
)
.
, .
- ,
(. 7.3),

140

. , (terminal value conditions),


.
(
) ,
Lie.

= (, , ) + (, , ) + (, , ) , = 1, . . . , ,

(7.12)

, Lie

[1 , 2 ] = (1 (2 ) 2 (1 )) + (1 (2 ) 2 (1 )) + (1 (2 ) 2 (1 )) .

(7.13)

Lie ( Weyl [97])


(7.12) , 1 2

, Lie [1 , 2 ] .
. Lie ,

[1 1 + 2 2 , ] = 1 [1 , ] + 2 [2 , ]
[, 1 1 + 2 2 ] = 1 [, 1 ] + 2 [, 2 ] ,
,

[1 , 2 ] = [2 , 1 ] ,
Jacobi,

[1 , [2 , 3 ]] + [2 , [3 , 1 ]] + [3 , [1 , 2 ]] = 0.
Lie

Lie, [, ] . ,

Lie . ,

Lie
, Lie ,
Lie. Lie Lie.
Lie,
Lie.


.
, .
Lie , , Lie. Lie

141

. ,
( ) (reduction of variables) (
) (
).
,
Lie.
, 1 ,
[1 , 1 ] = 0. , 1 1 =
. ( 1 .)
Lie (7.12) = 1, 2
Lie (7.13). ()
Lie -.
, (, ), 1 = (, )2 [56][
18]. Lie, -, -,
.
7.1. ,
7.1.

. .

Lie

: 2 = (, )1

[1 , 2 ] = 0

1 = , 2 =

: 2 = (, )1

[1 , 2 ] = 0

1 = , 2 =

: 2 = (, )1

[1 , 2 ] = 1

1 = , 2 = +

: 2 = (, )1

[1 , 2 ] = 1

1 = , 2 =

1 2

21

21

II

III

IV

: 7.1: Lie.


{1 , 2 , 3 } ,

. 7.2, ,
,
Morosov [71] Mubarakzyanov [72, 73, 74].

, ,

Lie (
) , , Lie

()

Lie

[1 , 2 ]

[2 , 3 ]

[3 , 1 ]

31

1 2

Weyl (W)

1 + 2

2 ( 3,3 )

(1, 1) ( 3,5 )

3 (0

< < 1)

(2)

1 + 2

(2, ) ( 3,8 )

(3) ( 3,9 )

> 0)

1
1

3 (

142

1
2

2 1
22
2

: 7.2: Lie.

. (
.)
,
. , .

: (2, ) 3 , 3 Heisenberg-Weyl

Lie : ( 1 + 1 ). ,
Lie .
, (2, ) 3 ,

.
(7.12) = 1, . . . , . ,
[ , ] . ,

[ , ] = ,

, = 1, . . . , ,

(7.14)

,
. , (7.14),
- Lie (7.14).
(7.14)
Lie (7.14). , , ,
, . ,

Lie (7.13) ,

143

[ , ] = 0 = 1, . . . , ,
. , ,
(

Lie).

7.3

( Lie) (
), :
; ( )
; 1994 Krause

Kepler . Krause
: .
.
Kepler
r ,

r+

r
= 0,
3

(7.15)

1 , 2 3 r

.
r ( Kepler)
[46]:

(, r)-
,
,

,
(7.15), ,
,

( )

, , ,
,

, , ,
(7.15).

144

Kepler ,

r = (, r, r ) ,

(7.16)


= 3 r,

() .

(. [1, 5, 6] ). ,
2 ,
/ [12]
.
,

.
1: ( )
, , , -.
2:

, , ,
, = (, , , , , , ), [6].
:
Lie.
Lie (-)
.
Lie.
,
. ,
,
.
Lie [61, 5, 6] .
, ,
Born-Infeld [6],

(1 2 ) + 2 (1 + 2 ) = 0.
2

(7.17)

145

(7.17)

1 =

4 = +

2 =

5 = +

3 =

6 =

7 = + +
(7.18)

{(2, 1) 1 } 31 .
, (7.18) -- Born-Infeld;

= (, , , , , , )

(7.19)

.
1 , 2 , 3 7 , (7.19),

= ( , , ) ,

(7.20)


[2]

[2]

[2]
6

= + 2 ( + ) 2
= + + (1 2 ) 3
(2 + ) ( + 2 )

= + + + (1 + 2 ) + (2 + )
+( + 2 ) + 3

(7.20)

+
+

(2 2 + )

+ (1 2 )

( 2 )
(1 + 2 )

(2 2 )

= 2 2

(7.21)

= ( )

(7.22)

= ( + ) 2 .

(7.23)

(7.21)-(7.23) : ,
.
(7.21)-(7.23)
( , ,
) . , .
,
,

= 1

2 =

{
(
)
(
)
1
2 1 + 2 + 1 + 2 (4 + ( 8) )
2
2
(1 + )
(
(
))
}
4 + 2 + 8 2 ,
{
(
)
(
)
1
2
2 2 2

1
+

1
+

2
2 1
[
(
)
(
)]
}
+ ( 4) 1 + 2 2 4 + 2 2 ,

(7.24)

(7.25)

146

= 0 .
, 2 = 0, Monge-Amp`ere.
(7.24)

, = 4 ( = 1),
{(
]
)[ (
)
(
)
1
2
2
2 1/2
=
+

1
2
1

2 1 + 2

2
2
(1 + )
[(
]}
)
(
)1/2
+2 1 + 2 1 2 + 2
.
(7.26)

(2
)
+ 2 + 2 + 2 + 2
(
)
= 2 + 2 + 2 + 2 2
(
)
= 2 + 2 + 2 2 + 2 .

1 =
2
3

(7.27)

, = 4, (7.24) --
Born-Infeld.
Born-Infeld (7.24)
(7.17). ,

(). Born-Infeld, , Lie

,
, 2.

Rosenhaus [84] Born-Infeld


-- (group of contact symmetries). , --
Monge-Amp`ere.
(7.27), (7.26),

(, ) = 1 +

( 2 )2 ( 3 )2 + 4 ,

= 1,

( 1 )2 + ( 3 )2 ( 2 )2 = 4 .

(7.28)

(7.28) R3 : 4 > 0
, 4 = 0 , 4 < 0 ,
7.1. (7.26) (7.28) Lorenz

R3 , R3 (
).
Poincare.

147

-5
0
5
10

-5

-5

-5

-5

-5

5
0

-5

-5

-5

: 7.1: (7.26), 4 > 0,


(), 4 = 0, () 4 < 0, ().


.
, , :
, .
,
. ,
/ , , . .
,
SYM [6].
,

, ,

)
2 2 = ( )2 ,
(
)
2 = 2

[(

) ]2

(7.29)

(7.30)

, (7.29) [6].
(7.29)

1 =

2 =

3 =

4 =

5 =

6 =

7 =

8 = ,

(7.31)

{2 2 } {1 31 }. (7.29)
(7.29)

Lie. , :

1 8 , 2 = ,
.
(7.29).

148

= 1 = 0. = 0 (7.29)

Monge-Amp`ere .

= 1 (7.29) Bateman. ,

(7.29).
Monge-Amp`ere Bateman

{ , , , , , , , , , }.

(7.32)


. . ,
(7.32), 1 8 , .

7.4 (1 + 1)


,
(1 + 1) ,

= 0.

(7.33)

, (
): ,
. ,
(.
[94]).
(7.33) . ,
, (output) SYM [21, 22,
23]. ()

1 =

4 = 2 +

2 =

5 = 2 1

3 =

6 = 42 + 4

(7.34)

(1

= 1 (, ) ,

+ 2

(7.35)

1 (, ) (7.33),
.
Lie Lie (2, )

3 , , 7.3. (7.35), Lie ((2, ) 3 ) 1 .

149

[., .]LB

25

22

1 3

22

26

25

23 44

5
6

1
3

21

26

21

23 + 44

: 7.3: Lie .

(7.34) ( ) . , ,

. ,
. ,
(, ) = 1. (7.34), 6 ,
,

(, ) = exp{2 /4(1 + 4)} exp{2 /4}/ 1 + 4,


-.
,
. , , , [12].
, (7.33), , .
,
().
, (7.33).
, , 5 = 2 . (
Lagrange)

d / 1 = .

1
d = d,
21

2 = exp{2 /(4)}.

}
{
2
(, ) = () exp
4

150

,
5 , (7.33), ()
. (7.33)

(, ) =

1/2

{
}
2
exp
.
4

(7.36)

(, , )

1 1/2

}
{
2
.
exp
4

(7.34) , ,

,
,
. (7.36) . ,
(7.33) , ,
= 1 + 2 . . ,

scale-invariant 4

(, ) = + Erf

Lie (. 7.3)
. / Bluman Cole [12]

span{1 } span{1 , 2 } span{1 , 2 , 3 }


span{2 , 6 } span{2 , 4 , 6 } span{1 , 2 , 5 },

(7.37)


Lie
,

= (, , , , , , ) .

(7.38)

, (7.37),
(7.38). , (7.38)
, any ,

[2]
any { (, , , , , , )} = 0 (7.38).

(7.39)

{1 , 2 5 }, (7.37),

() Lie . ,
,

= +

2
(),

2 3
2
3

3
= .
(2 2 )2

, = 0 , Bluman
Cole,

151


[12].
, Bluman Cole
. , ,
7 = , ,
(7.33)
. ,
[6]. ,
, ,
, Lie.
,
,

, ,
Lie. , Black-Scholes Lie
Black-Scholes
. ,
.

8.

6, 7.
Black-Scholes. , (, ), , , , . , ,
Brown , . (6.2).
, ,
, , .
, , .
Vasicek , , mean-reverting OrnsteinUhlenbeck [95],
d = ( ) d + d.

(8.1)


. () , , , . ,
, , . ,
(6.2), .
mean-reverting
d = ( ) d +

d.

(8.2)

square root model


Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) - [19, 20].
, Vasicek CIR, ,
[98]. 8.3 8.4, .
, , 8.2, Longstaff [60].
mean reversion
( , double square root model)
d = (

) d +

d.

(8.3)

153

, [38],
d = ( ) d + d,

(8.4)

,
,

+ 21 2 2 + ( ) = 0

(8.5)

(, ) = 1.

(8.6)

, , Vasicek ( = 0), CIR ( = 1/2 = 0) Longstaff


( = 1/2). , (8.5) , , , .
= 0, 1/2, 3/2 2 [88].
(1+1) .
, [13],
( ). ,
( )
. ( )
. ,
, .
.

-- .
.
,
, ,
Schrodinger
Ermakov-Pinney.
,
[24, 49, 75, 3, 50].

154

8.1 Black-Scholes-Merton

Black-Scholes-Merton [9, 10, 68, 69],

1 2 2 2
+ 2
= 0,
+
2

(8.7)

(, ) = ,

(8.8)

() . Merton [68, 69], ,


Black Scholes [9, 10]
. 6.3
,
, . ,


.
[9]
[10].

Lie [29]
[40, 49, 3, 50], , .
Lie (8.7)

1 =
2 =
3 =
4 = 4 + 2 log +
5 = +
6

1
+

1
+

)
2 + 2 log

(2 log + )
[
]
1
= 42 + 4 log + +
(2 log + )2 + ( 2) ( + 2)

= (, ) ,

(, ) (8.7) (, ) = ( 2 2, 2 + 2).
Lie Lie
(2, ) 3 , Lie, 8.1.
Lie 7.2.

Lie , 7.3, BlackScholes-Merton, 8.1, . , Lie, (2, ) 3 .


: .

[., .]LB

2
41 +
3

2 +
3

5
6

22

0
0
2
+ 3

2
+
3

23 24

45

4
41 +
22 +

155

2 +

+ 3
2
+ 3

+ 3

2
+ 3

6
23 + 24
45

25

46

25

46

: 8.1: Lie Black-Scholes-Merton.

( ) , Lie .

Lie,

1 = 22 +

2
+ 3

4 = 12 4

2
+ 3

(8.9)

= 41 +

1
4 6 .

, , = +
4 .
( ) , = (, , ), = (, , ), = (, , ), Lie. , (8.7)
,

(, , ) =

1
4

(, , ) =

1
2

log
{
(, , ) = exp

2
4( + )

+ ,

+
= 0.
4

[10]. ,
,
( ) .
.
, (8.8). ,

Black-Scholes.
/ .

, , Black-Scholes
, (8.7) (8.8).

156

(8.7),

=1

, = , , = .
Lie1

= 2( ) [log + ] + 2( ) .

(8.10)

= exp[]
1

= ( ) 2 [log + (2 )] .

= exp[] ( )

1
2

[log + (2 )]

(8.11)

, (8.7),


= 2.

)
02
2

2 2 2 2
( 2 )
(
)
0
2

() = (0 ) exp
exp 2 ,
2 2
2

log () log (0 ) =

() (0 ) = (0 ) exp

02
2 2

(
)
2
exp 2 .
2

(
{
( 2 )
) }
0
2
(, ) = exp[] (0 ) + (0 ) exp
exp

d ,
2 2
2 2
0
. = 0

(0 ) = 0 . , =
{
( 2 )
(
) }
0
2

= exp[ ] 0 + (0 ) exp
exp 2 d
2 2
2
0
{
}
( 2 )

( 2)
0

= exp[ ] 0 + (0 ) exp
2
exp d
2 2
0 / 2

(0 ) =

exp[ ] 0
(
]
).

0
02

exp
2 2 erf
2 2
2
[

(8.27). , .

157

, Black-Scholes

(
)

2
exp[ ] 0
(
)
exp 2 d .
(, ) = exp[] 0 +

2
0

erf
2
2
8.2 Longstaff

Longstaff [60] ( )

Cox, Ingersoll Ross [19]. , ,
,
. Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) 8.4.
: CIR
, Longstaff Vasicek.
Longstaff [60]

1 2 2 ( 1 2
2 2 4 ( 22 ) 2
+ = 0.

(8.12)

(8.12) [88],

1 =
2 =
3
5

]
}


(( 2 ) + ( 2 2))

= 2

(2 22 )
{
(

1 2
4

2 2 + ( + 2 ) 2 2
2 22 2

( 22 )
(
(
)
)

4 + 2 + 2 2 + 8 + 23 2
) }

)
(
2 2 + 4 + 2 3 + 2(4 )4 5

= (, ) ,

(, ) (8.12).
Lie Lie

(2, ) 3 (. 8.2), = 8 2 2 /3 . ,

Lie.

158

[., .]LB

3+

3+
2

2 3

5+

25+

3+

2 3
3
2

2 22 2

43

25+

25

3
5+
5

2
2 2
2 2

43

0
0

0
0

43+

16 2
1

+ 2

5
25

43+

16 2 1

: 8.2: Lie Longstaff.

Lie ,

2
1

1 = 21 3+

4 =

2 = 41 5

5 = 3

3 = 2

6 = 5+ ,

+ ( 12

2
2
1
)2
3
2

(8.13)

. , =

(
)
2 22 + 2 /.

(8.12) ,

(, , ) =

)
+ 2
(, , ) =
2
{ (
}

1
22
2 + 2
(
)
2 + 2 + 2 +
,
(, , ) = exp
4

2 +
4

( 2
)
2 22
+
= 0.

= 0, (8.12)

1 =
2 =

2
3 = 2 +

(4 4) + (2 + )
4 = 4 +

5 = (8 + 62 ) + 8 +
)
(
(
))
(
8 2 2 6 + 32 2 + 43 + 2 2 3 + 2 2

2
3
6 = 8(4 + ) + 162 +
)
(
(
))
(
(16 32) 8 2 3 + 2 2 + 42 2 82 + 2 2 3 + 4 2 + 23

2
= (, ) ,

159

(, )

1 2 2 ( 1 2
2 2 + 2 + + 2
+ = 0.

(8.14)

Lie Lie
(2, ) 3 (. 8.3), = 2(2 + 23 )/2 .

[., .]LB

81 + 2 + 34

2
+ 23
2 2
0

82 + 45

2 2

84

23

81 2 34

42 2

+ 23
4
2 2
0

86

82 45

86

4
5
6

2 2

2 2

23

84

44
0

44

0
0

: 8.3: Lie Longstaff = 0.

1 = 3 +

2 2

2 = 1 +

2 +23
2
42

4 = 14 5
+

4 4

5 = 4

(8.15)

6 = 14 6 ,

3 = 2

, , Lie
2

(8.14) , = 4 .

(, , ) =

2
(, , ) =

{ 4
(
(
)) }

12 12(1 + ) + 63 + 2 3 + 2 2
(, , ) = exp
,
122
(8.14)

2
= 0.
4

8.3 Vasicek

Cox, Ingersoll Ross [19]


, swaps
( )

(.

).

160

Vasicek [95]
[25, 16]. [16, 31, 82].
Vasicek [95],

1 2 2
+ 2
= 0,
( )
2

(8.16)

Lie

1 =
2 =
{
}
3 = +

}
{
22 2 + 2

4 =
+

2
{ 2
}
2
+ 2
22 + 2
5 =
2
+ 2 +

2
{ 2
2
+ 2
6 =
2
2

}
42 ( )2 + 2(2 + (3 + )) 2 + 4

2 2
= (, ) ,
(, ) (8.16).
Lie 8.4
Lie (2, ) 3 , = 8(2 + 3 2 )/3 .

[., .]LB

25

26

44

2 2

22 2

43

25

43

4
5
6

26

44

16
1

16
1

+ 2
0

: 8.4: Lie Vasicek.

.
Lie ,

1 = 3

4 = 1 1 + ( 12

2 = 21 5

5 = 4

3 = 2

6 = 12 6 ,

1
16 )2

(8.17)

161

Lie (8.16). ,
2

= 2 .
, (8.16)

2
= 0
2

1 2

2
(
)
2 + 2
(, , ) =
2
}
{
2( + ) + 2
.
(, , ) = exp
22
(, , ) =

= 0, (8.16)

1 =
2 =
3 = +
(
)
2 + 2 + 2
4 = 2 +

2
(
)
(
)
2 + 3 2 + 22 + 3 2 + 4 2
2 2

5 = (2 + 3 ) + 4 +
2 )
(
(
)
42 + 4 2 + 3 2 + (42 + 4 2 ) + 4 2 (2 1)
2 3
2
6 = (8 + 4 ) + 8

2
= (, ) ,
(, )

1 2 2

+ 2

= 0.
2

(8.18)

, Lie Lie
(2, ) 3 , 8.5.
.

[., .]LB

4
2

2 2

2 2

22 2

3
4
5
6

22 2 23

41

22
2

42 45

3 2

0
0

22 2

23

44

+ 23

5
41 +

22

2 2

6
+

3 2

0
2

2 2

24
0

: 8.5: Lie Vasicek = 0.

+ 23

24

42 + 45
0

44
0

46

46

162

Lie

1 = 3 +

2 2

2 = 1 +

2 2 2

4 = 12 5
+

2
2 4

5 = 4

(8.19)

6 = 12 6

3 = 2

, Lie (8.18)
. = 12 2 .

(, , ) =
2 2

{2 (
)}
3(2 + )
1
2 3
6
.
(, , ) = exp
+
6
2

(, , ) =

8.4 Cox-Ingersoll-Ross

Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) [19]

1 2 2
+ 2 2 ( )
= 0.

(8.20)

(8.20) :

1 =
2 =
{
3 = 1 +

1
2

( ) ( )

= (, ) ,

(, ) (8.20) =

2 2 + 2 . ,

(2, ) 1 .
, ,
CIR . , SYM
Lie, (2, ) 3 .
2 = 4 2 = 4/3. ,
,

.
(8.20), {(2, ) 1 } 1
Lie. , ,

Schrodinger Ermakov-Pinney
[52].

2 + 2 = 0.

(8.21)

163

(8.21)

1 =

3 = 2 +

2 =

(
)
2
4 = 42 + 4 2 + 1
2

(8.22)

= (, ) , (, )

+ 2 2 2 = 0.
CIR, (8.20), (8.21)

(, , ) = exp {}
{
}
(, , ) = 2 exp 12 ( + log )
{(
)
}
1
1

(, , ) = 2 4 2 exp

+
(
+
)
,
4
2
2
22 = 32 2 /(4 + 3 2 )(4 + 2 ).
2 = 4 (8.20)

1 =
2 =
3,4
5,6

2
= 4
+

{
}
1
+
= 4 + 2

( )
= (, ) ,
2

(, )

2 2 ( )
= 0

(8.23)

2 8.
[., .]LB

2 3

2 3

2 4

4
5
6

5
6

2 4

0
43

4
2

4
2

0
0

44

43
0

44
0
32
1

0
32
1

8
2

8
2

: 8.6: Lie CIR 2 = 4.

8.6 Lie

164

( = 21 / ) ,

1 = 12 4

4 = 2 1 + 12 (2 + 2/)2

2 = 14 6

5 = 3

3 = 2

6 = 5 .

(8.24)

(, , ) =
}

}
{2
2( + )
,
(, , ) = exp

(, , ) = exp

{1

(8.23)

= 0.
2

2 = 4/3, (8.20)

1 =
2 =
3,4
5,6

}
)
(

2 + 3 3

4 +

{
}
) (
)
(

3 3
3
3

= 4 3

2 3

= (, ) ,
(, )

2 2
3 2 ( )
= 0

(8.25)

32 8.

Lie

(2, ) 3 8.7.
Lie :

2 3
1

1 = 21 4

4 =

2 = 14 6

5 = 3

3 = 2

6 = 5 ,

3 3+
2
2

(8.26)

165

[., .]LB

2 3 3

3 4

5
3

3 6

3 3

2 3 4

3 5

3 6

44

4
5
6

4 3 2

0
0

4 3
2

43

43

44

32 3 1

24 3
2

32 3
1

0
+

24 3
2

: 8.7: Lie CIR 2 = 34 .

Lie (8.25) ,

= /(2 3). , (8.25)


(, , ) = exp
3
{
}


(, , ) = exp

2 3
{
}

3(3 + 3) + (9 + 3)
(, , ) = exp
.
12

8.5 Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman

Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman
Black-Scholes 2 ,
[75].

1 2 2
+
+

2 2

1
2

)2

( )2

=0

(8.27)

(, ) = 0 Heath et al [35] [. 516]


mean-variance.
Heath et al (8.27)
. , :

1 2 2
+
+

2 2

1
2

)2

+ () = 0

(8.28)

.
(8.28)
Lie (8.28)
2

, , ,

166

, , .
,
. (8.28)
, (), . ,
. , ,
Fokker-Planck [28, 80].
Lie
Lie. (1 + 1) (
). ,
.
(8.28) , (), [75],

1 =
2 =

= 2 2 (, ) ,
(, )

1 2 2
+
+
+ () = 0.

2 2

(8.29)

1 2 (8.28). ,
(8.29) (8.28)
!
2 + Lie .

(, ) = 0 ,
, Lie
. ,

=0

(8.30)

. (
Lie : -
, - ,
.)

= 1 + 2 ,

(8.31)

2 = 0 1 = 0.

(8.32)

(8.30)

167

, (
).
( , solution symmetries),
() = 1 .
(8.28), (8.29), () . ,


(8.28) .

(, )
()
2 2 +

2 +

2
2

2 2
2
2

0+1+

1 1

1+1+

21 1

3+1+

{1 (2, )} 1

3+1+

{1 (2, )} 1

5+1+

{(2, ) } 1

5+1+

{(2, ) } 1 ,

5+1+

{(2, ) } 1

: 8.8: Heath.

() 8.8
. ,
. , .
.

168

1. () = 2

, ,

1 = (, ) exp[/2 ]
2 =
3 =
4 = + 21 ( + ) + 2
(
)
5 = 2 + + 21 2 22 ( )2

(8.33)

6 =

7 = ( ) ,
(, )

2
+ 12 2 2 +
2 = 0.

(8.34)

Lie (8.28) () = 2

(8.35)

=2

, = 2, 7, .
=

3 + 4 + 5 2 = 0

(8.36)

(
)
2 + 4 2 + 12 5 2 22 ( )2 7 ( ) = 0.

(8.37)

(8.37) :

2 :

5 = 0

7 = 0

2 + 4 2 = 0

(8.36)

3 + 4 = 0

2 = 4 2 ,

3 = 4 .

(8.38)


Lie3

1 =
2 = ( ) + 2 ( ) .
3

(8.39)

, ( ) ,

169

(8.28) () = 2
. 1
= (). Lagrange 2
d

2 (

= 2 . (8.28) () = 2

= 2

= 2 ( ).

(8.40)

2. () = 2

1 = (, ) exp[/2 ]
2 =
3 =
4 = 2
(8.41)
(
)
5 = + 12 2 2
(
)
(
)
6 = 2 + + + 32 2 2 + 2 2 3 21 2 3
(
)
(
)
7 = 22 + 2 + 2 3 + 2 + 2 3 32 2 ( )2 14 4 4 ,

(, )

2
+ 12 2 2 +
2 = 0.

(8.42)

(8.35)
(8.30). (8.30)

3 + 2 6 + 2 2 7 = 0

(8.43)

(
)
(
)
2 2 4 + 12 2 2 5 + 2 2 32 12 4 3 6
(
)
+ 2 + 2 3 32 2 2 2 + 2 2 14 4 4 7 = 0.
,
. ,

2 :
:
:

7 = 0
5 = 32 6
(
)
2 = 2 4 + 22 2 4 3 6

(8.44)

170

( 4 6 )
(8.30).

1 = 2 ( )
(
)
2 = 2( ) + + + 32 2 2 32
{
)
}
(
+2 ( ) ( 2 ) 12 2 2 2 2 2 3 .

(8.45)

(8.45)

[1 , 2 ] = 1 , 1 ()
[85] 1
.
(8.45) Lagrange
d

2 (

(8.46)

+ 2 ( ). ,

(, ) = () 2 ( ).

(8.47)

1 2 2
+
+

2 2

1
2

)2

+ 2 = 0

(8.48)

() = + 21 2 ( )2 + 61 4 ( )3 ,

(8.49)


. , 1

(, ) = 12 2 ( )2 + 61 4 ( )3 2 ( ).

(8.50)

2 (8.50) , (8.50)
(8.30).

3. () = 12 2 2

, ,

1 = (, ) exp[/2 ]
2 =
3 =
4 = exp[] [ + ( ) ]
5 = exp[] [ + ( + ) ]
[
(
) ]
6 = exp[2] + + 12 2 + 12 2 2 2
) ]
[
(
7 = exp[2] + 12 2 + 21 2 + 2 2 ,

(8.51)

171

(, )

2
2

+ 21 2 2 +
12 2 2 = 0.

(8.52)

(8.28) () = 21 2 2 ,
() = 2
2 . ,
. (8.35)
(8.30)

1 = cosh ( ) + [(cosh ( ) 1) sinh ( )]


2 = sinh 2( ) + [ exp[( )] + cosh 2( )]
[
+ ( ) exp[( )] 2 21 2
(
)
(
]
)
+ + 21 2 cosh 2( ) 21 2 + 2 2 sinh 2( ) .

Lie 1 2 1 1
,

(, ) = [1 sech( )] +

1
2

)
2 2 2 tanh ( )

+ 21 2 log cosh ( ) 12 2 ( ).

(8.54)

2 (8.54)
.
,
Fokker-Planck [28, 80].
.
() Lie.

4. () = 12 2

1 2 2
+
+

2 2

1
2

)2

1
2

2
=0
2

(8.55)

1 = (, ) exp[/2 ]
2 =
3 =

(8.56)

4 = 2 + + 2
(
)
5 = 22 + 2 + 2 ( )2 ,
(

172

(, )

+ 12 2 2 +
12 2 2 = 0.

(8.57)

(8.30)

3 + 2 4 + 2 2 5 = 0
(
)
2 + ( 2 )4 + 2 2 2 + 2 2 5 = 0

(8.58)
(8.58)

(8.58) , 2 5
.
, (8.27)
.

2
5. () = 21 2 2 + 21 2

1 = (, ) exp[/2 ]
2 =
3 =

(8.59)

4 = exp[2] + + 12 2 + 12 2 2
) ]
[
(
5 = exp[2] + 12 2 + 21 2 + 2 2 ,
[

)
2

(, )

+ 21 2 2 +

1
2

2 2
2

+
2
2 2

= 0.

(8.60)

,
(8.30).

2
6. () = 2 + 12 2

1 = (, ) exp[/2 ]
2 =
3 =

(8.61)

4 = 2 + + 2 2 2
(
)
5 = 22 + 2 + 2 ( )2 .
(

(8.30).

173

2
7. () = 2 + 12 2


(8.28), (),
(8.30).
,

1 2 2

+
+

2 2
(, ) = 0

1
2

)2

+ () = 0
(8.62)

Lie ()
2 , 2 12 2 2 . (8.62) () 2 /2
= 0
.

(8.28) (8.30)
4
(1 + 1) .
, (8.28),
.

.
, (8.28)
, .
, 5 .
(8.28) (8.29)! = (, , )
(, ) . = exp{/2 }. ,
Hopf-Cole Burgers.

(8.29), 4

Lie . [32]. Lie


1 + 1 [54].
5
(solution symmetries),
. , ,
. - , -
.

174

. , (8.28)

(). , (8.29), SYM, : () = 1 + 2 + 3 2

() = 1 + 2 + 3 2 + 4 /(2 + 23 )2 . Lie
.
.
[75] .
() = 1 + 2 + 3 2 , (8.29)

1 =
2 =

(2 + 23 ) cos( 3 ) 2 3 sin( 3 )

3 = 2 sin( 3 ) +

2
3

2 3 cos( 3 ) + (2 + 23 ) sin( 3 )

4 = 2 cos( 3 )

2
3

8 cos(2 3 )
(2 + 23 ) sin(2 3 )

5 = 4

3
3
(
(
)))

1 {(
42 3 + 2 22 + 82 3 + 43 1 + 23 2
cos(2 3 )
+ 3
3
3
(
)
}

4 3 3 2 + (2 + 23 ) sin(2 3 )

(2 + 23 ) cos(2 3 )
8 sin(2 3 )
+

6 = 4

3
3
(
(
)))

1 {( 2
+ 3
4 3 2 22 + 82 3 + 43 1 + 23 2
sin(2 3 )
3
3
(
}
)

4 3 3 2 + (2 + 23 ) cos(2 3 )

= (, ) ,

(, ) (8.29) () = 1 + 2 + 3 2 .
Lie Lie (2, ) 3 , 8.9, = 16 42 3 22 2 + 41 3 2 /(

[., .]LB

3 4

3 3

2 3 6

2 3 5

2
3
4
5
6

3
3 4
0
0

4 3
2

3 3

2 3 6

4
3 2

84

0
0

84

83

83

84

83

83
84

128
3 1

0
128 1
3

2 3 5

+ 2

: 8.9: Lie Heath () = 1 + 2 + 3 2 .

Lie (

33 3 ).

175

1 = 21 4

2 = 413 1 +

3 = 2

4 = 12 2 + 18 6

1
512 2

1
32 5

1
6 = 43 1 + 32
5 = 43
2 12 5 .

, = /(16 3 ) Lie (8.29)

.
(8.29) ,

(, , ) = 2 tan( 3 )

(2 + 23 ) sec( 3 )
(, , ) =
4
)}
{ ( 3

1
22 4( 2) (2 + 23 )2 tan( 3 )

cos( 3 ),
41

+
(, , ) = exp
3
8
3
2
3

= 0.
16 3

() = 1 +2 +3 2 +4 /(2 +23 )2 , {(2, ) 1 }

1 , , ,
Ermakov-Pinney, (8.21) [52].

(8.21)

1
3 tan ( 3 ) ,
2

(, , ) = (2 + 23 )2 sec ( 3 ) ,
{ (
(
) )}

1
22 4( 2) (2 + 23 )2 tan 3
(, , ) = exp
41

+
cos ( 3 )
2
3/2
8
3


(, , ) =

22 = 34 .
, Lie, mean-variance
.
, (), 2 , 2 12 2 2 , Lie -, ,
. - .
, , .

.

176

() ()

. ,
;
(, ) = 2 () .
Lie

1 = (, ) exp[/2 ]
2 =
3 =
4 = 2 ()

(8.63)

5 = + ( )

6 = 2 + ( + ) 22 ()
(
)
7 = 22 + 2 + 2 22 2 () ( )2 ,

(, )

2 ()
+ 12 2 2 +
2 = 0.

(8.64)

, (8.64) (8.34),
(8.33).

4 + 2 6 + 2 7 = 0

(8.65)

2 2 ( )4 + ( )5 2 2 ( )6

+(2 2 2 + 2 2 2 2 2 ( ))7 = 0.

(8.65)

(8.35). (8.65) 2 7
7 = 0. 5 = 0. 4 (8.65) ,
(8.65), 2 = 0. ,

1 =

(8.66)

2 = 2( ) 2 () .
(

(8.66)

(8.66) = () (8.28) () = 2 (),


,

=
=

()2 d

0
2

()

()2 d

(8.67)

177

. .
,
.

9.



Schwartz [15, 30, 18] .
, .

mean-reversion1 Ornstein-Uhlenbeck.
[86] Black-Scholes. mean
reversion
. .
[30] mean-reversion.

mean-reversion Vasicek [95].
. ,
. ,
,
() . (, , )
,
.
, Schwartz. ,
2
. .
1

, ,

,
.
2
,
, . ,
,
.

179

Lie
.

9.1

Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman
1 2 2
2

+ ( log ) = 0.

(9.1)

(0, ) = .
, , (9.1) , ,


.
[30]
1 2 2
2 1

+ 1 2 + 21 22 + ( ) + (( ) ) = 0,

(9.2)

(0, , ) = .

, . ,

.

12 2 + 22 + 32 + 21 1 2 + 22 2 3 + 23 3 1
+2( ) + 2( ) + 2( ) 2 = 0,

(9.3)

(0, , , ) = .

(9.1) Black-Scholes , , 6+ Lie


1 + 1 [54].
:

]
2
(, ) = exp log exp[ ] + (1 exp[ ]) +
(1 exp[2 ]) ,
4
[

(9.4)

= 12 2 /.
(9.2), (0, , ) =
[43, 8]

]
1 exp[ ]
(, , ) = exp
+ ( ) ,

(9.5)

180

(
)
2
1 exp[2 ]
1 2
1 2
+ 22
( ) =

+2 2

43
)
(
2 1 exp[ ]
+
+ 1 2 2

2

= /.
Schwartz (9.3):

]
1 exp[ ]
1 exp[ ]
(, , , ) = exp
+
+ ( ) ,

(9.6)

( ) = [(
+ 1 2 1 ) (1 exp[ ]) )] /2
[
] (
)
22 (4 (1 exp[ ]) (1 exp[2 ]) 2 ) / 43

[( + 1 3 3 ) (1 exp[ ] )] /2
[
] ( )
32 (4 (1 exp[ ]) (1 exp[2 ]) 2 ) / 43
[
(1 exp[ ]) + (1 exp[ ]) (1 exp[( + ) ])
+1 3 3
( + )
]
2
2
(1 exp[ ]) + (1 exp[ ]) 2 2
+
.
2 2 ( + )

9.2

(9.1), (9.2) (9.3) ,


.
, :

(9.1),

2 2 = 0,

(9.7)

= (
)
1
2
=
log + +

2
(, ) = (, ).
(9.2),
+ + 2( ) 2 2 = 0,

(9.8)

181

= exp[] (, , ) = (, , )
)
(
1

1 2 1 2

=
2
(, , ) = (, , )
=
= 1/2 (
1/2

2
( ) = 2 12 2 + 2 ( )

(, , ) = (, , ).
, (9.3),
+ + 2( + + ) 2( + ) 2 2 = 0,

(9.9)

, ,

2 2( + + ) 2( + ) 2 2 = 0,
.

.

.
, .
Euler . ,

= ,

= 1, , = , ,

(, ) = (, ).

= , = 1, ,

= 2 ,

(, ) = (, ),

/ . ,

= + , = 1, ,
1 = 0.

(, ) = (, ),

182

2 2( + 1 )1 2 2 2 = 0,

(9.10)

= 2, 1 = 2, .
, Lie,
, SYM
[21, 22, 23].
(9.7):

1 = (, )
2 =
3 = exp[]
4 = exp[] [ + 2 ]

(9.11)

5 =
6 = exp[2] [ + ]
[
(
)
]
7 = exp[2] + 1 22 ,

(, ) (9.7). (9.1) Black-Scholes, Lie


[54]. {(2, ) 3 } 1 [49]. , (9.7)
.
(9.8):

1 = (, , )
2 =
3 =
(
)
4 = 2 + 1 + ( + )

(9.12)

5 = exp[] [ + ]

6 = exp[] [ 2 ]
7 = ,
(, , ) (9.8), - .
(9.12).

(9.7). ,
. = 0 = 0
, . :

183

1 = (, , )
2 =
3 =
4 =
5 = exp[]
6 = exp[] [ + 2 ]
7 = .


Lie, 6 + . , (9.8)
(9.7)
.
(9.9):

1 = (, , , )
2 =
3 =
4 = [( )2 + 2 + 2 ] + [ + ( )] [ ]
+[ + ( ) + ]
5 = exp[] {[ + ( )] + + (1 ) }

(9.13)

6 = exp[] {[ + ] + (1 + ) 2(1 + ) }
7 = exp[][ + ]
{
8 = exp[] [(1 2 + 2 ) 2] + (2 2 1) + 22
}
+22 [(2 1) + ( + 1)]
9 = ,

(, , , ) (9.9). , .

9.3 Lie


(9.8) ( - ).
(0, , ) = exp[]. Schwartz

184

= exp[] (9.8)
(9.2).

= 0 (0, , ) = exp[].

(9.14)

( , 1 , )

=2

, = 0 7 = 0.
= exp[]

2 ( )4 + 6 = 3 + 5 + 6 ,

(9.15)

exp[].
(9.15), :

4 = 0
6 = 0
2 = 3 + 5
- .

1 = +

(9.16)

2 = exp[] ( + ) + .

(9.17)

Lie (9.8)
(9.14). (9.8) , .

.
1 2 . , , 1 1 = 0.

+
= 0,

, ,
Lagrange ( ,
)
d

(9.18)

185

(9.18) .
(9.18) , exp[].
,

= (, ) exp[].
,

2 = exp[] + (1 exp[])
Lagrange
d

exp[]

(1 exp[])

= () exp [ (exp[] 1)] ,

(9.19)

.
(9.8)

= 1 + 2 + 2 2 2 exp[] + 2 exp[2]

[
(, , ) = exp + (exp[] 1) + 21 (2 + 1 + 2 )
]
+ 2 exp[] 41 2 exp[2]

(9.20)

(0, , ) = exp[]. , (9.5).


, (9.8), (9.2), .
.
(9.8), (9.9).

=2

=0

(0, , , ) = exp[]

9 = 0 9 . ,
= 0 exp[],

2 + [ + ( )]4 2(1 + )6 + 22 [(2 1) + ( + 1)]8


= 3 + ( + )5 + ( + )6 + 7 + [(1 2 + 2 ) 2]8 .

:
:
:
:

2 = 3 + ( + )5 + ( + )6 + 7 + [(1 2 + 2 ) 2]8

2 4 = 0

4 + 22 (2 1)8 = 0

( )4 2(1 + )6 + 22 ( + 1)8 = 0

186

4 = 6 = 8 = 0.

2 = 3 + ( + )5 + 7 ,

(9.21)


Lie :

1 = +
2 = exp[] [ + ] +
3 = exp[] [( + ) + + (1 ) ] + ( + )
.
. (9.8)
.

= () exp + (exp[] 1)

[
]}

+
(1 exp[]) + ( + )(exp[] 1) ,
1

(9.22)

= 1 2 +
[

2
1
(1 exp[])2 +
2

(1 )2

(1 exp[]) + ( + )(exp[] 1)

]2

(9.23)

, (),
.
( ) (9.22) (9.6).
(9.2) (9.3) (9.8) (9.9)
(9.20) (9.22)
.
Schwartz.

9.4


2 + 1 Lie .
. , , , .

187

. .
, , (9.12) (9.13).
, ,
.
:

.

2 2 = 0

(9.24)

2 2 2 = 0

(9.25)

9.1 .
,
.

(9.24)

(9.25)

Schwartz

10

14

10

19

14

11

25

19

13

6
..
.

32
..
.

25
..
.

15
..
.

1
2
2 (

+ 3 + 10)

1
2
2 (

+ + 8)

2 + 3

: 9.1: (9.24), (9.25) (9.10).

(9.24) 12 (2 + 3 + 10),
(9.25) 21 (2 + + 8) 2 + 3 Schwartz.
(9.7)
[54].

,
, , (9.24) (9.25) .
,

188

. , Lie (9.12) (9.13)

[3 , 4 ] = 2

[5 , 6 ] = 22
[6 , 7 ] = 6

[4 , 7 ] = 2 ( 2 + 1)3

[5 , 7 ] = 5

[3 , 4 ] = 2 2

[5 , 6 ] = 2(2 1)2

[7 , 8 ] = 23 (2 1)2

[4 , 9 ] = [( )2 + 2 + 2 ]3 2 2

[7 , 9 ] = 7

[8 , 9 ] = 8 ,

[5 , 9 ] = 5

[6 , 9 ] = 6

.
. ,
(2, ) :
2 = + (, )
[49] (. 8.5)
Schwartz. ,

(2, ) . ,
, ,
.
. , 3 6 (9.12) 3

8 (9.13),

Noether
[52]3 .

, 9.3.
2 + 3 Lie . Lie

. (
+ 1 .)
,
. ,
3

() Noether 2

.
Schrodinger ,
Noether Lie
.
Black-Scholes. ,
10.

189

= 0
.
, , Schwartz Lie . 2 + 3 Lie,
. (0, , x) = Schwartz
- Lie

.
(9.24), (9.25)
(9.10) .
9.2.

(9.24)

1
2
2 (

(9.25)

1
2
2 (

+ 3 + 10)

+ + 8)

Schwartz

2 + 3

3 (2, )

1
2 (

1) ()

2 + 3 + 2 + 12 ( 1)

1
2 (

1)( 2) ( 1)

2 + 3 + 21 ( 1)( 2)

2 + 3

: 9.2: (9.24), (9.25) (9.26).

9.2, (9.24)

190

= 3

1 = (, , , )
2 =
3 =
4 = 2 + + +
5 = 22 + 2 + 2 + 2 (3 + 2 + 2 + 2 )
6 =
7 =
8 =
9 =
10 =
11 =
12 =
13 =
14 = .
1 Lie
. 2
. 3 , 4 5 ,
(2, ). , 6 11 ,

Langrange. ,
12 14
(3).

, ( + 1)- , (9.24), 2
, ,
Lie
, , (2, ) , , 21 ( 1)
().

(9.25), ,
. (2, )

,

() .
(, , , ) Schwartz,
Lie
( 1).

191

9.3.

(9.24)

(9.25)

Schwartz

}
{(2, ) ()} (2+1) (1 )
}
{1 ( 1)} (2+1) (1 )
{

}
1 (2+1) (1 )

: 9.3: .

, ,
.
Lie. Lie
( )
.
.

.

10.


: , , , , , ..
( )
, , . , - .
Poincare ( )

.

.
, , , (
) ()1 .
.
, , Sophus Lie. Lie,
ad hoc ( )
. ,
, Lie

. , (
) :
( ) .
,
( )
. ,
,
1

- ,

. ()
.

193

Lie, Lie. 7.3


( )
[5, 6].
(
) ,
Lie (Lie, !)
[56, 55]. Bluman Cole
[12].
SYM . ( )
, , . , ,
SYM,

(
). , . [23].
8 9
.
. , 8

: Black-Scholes-Merton.
( , ) 1 + 1 .
[24]. , , ,

. ,
. , 9, . ,

()
[90]. ()
( ) . [44]
() .
()
.
.

194

10.1 Miller Weller

Miller Weller [70]



. Blanchard [11]
.
,
, Krugman target zones2 [47].
[100] Miller
Weller , Ito, -

2
+ ( + ) ( + ) = 0
2

(10.1)

.
= 1 + (, ) 1 .
,

2
+ [( 1 ) + ]
2
+[21 + ( )1 ] (1 + ) = 0.

(10.2)

1 .
.
Miller Weller [70]:
= 0 ( ),

2
+ + [( )1 ] = 0,
2

(10.3)

Ornstein-Uhlenbeck = = 0,

2
+ (1 ) = 0.
2

(10.4)

, (10.2), Lie,

1 =
2,3 = exp
2

{1

2 ( + )

}[

(
2 + 21

]
,

(10.5)

195

2 + 4 2 + 2 . + = 0 ( -

) ,

(
{
}[
4,5 = exp 2 1 + + 21 +

2 2

+ 2 .

) ]
,

(10.6)

(10.4)

1 =
2 = + /
3 = ( /)
(
)
4 = + 1 2 2 2 +

(10.7)

5 = 2 + + (/ 2 + 2)
[
]
6 = 22 + 2 + 1 2 2 (3 2) 3 + 2 + 2 (1 + 2)

7 = (, ) ,

= 1 (, )

2 + 2 2 = 0.
7 (10.4)
6 + Lie [24]
.

10.2 Henderson Hobson

- Hamilton-JacobiBellman [36, 37]

1 2 () 2
()()

2
2 ()
()

1
2
1
+() 2 2 () + 2 () = 0.
2
2

(10.8)

, , , .
Hobson Henderson [36] :

() = , () = , () = () = . (10.8)

2
1 2 2

1 2 2 2
1

+ 2 2 = 0.

2
2

2
2

(10.9)

, () = , () = , () = + () =

+ . mean-reverting
- , .

196

() = , () = , () = +
() =

+ .

, () =

+ () = .
(10.9)
, , 2 /2

. , ,

2
2 2 2 + 2 2 2
+ 2 = 0,

(10.10)

= /, = 2 / = 2 2 /2 . (10.10)

( ) = ( + ),

(10.11)

, (), .
(10.10) Lie,

1 =
2 =
3 =
4 =
5 =
[
]
6 = 1/ exp 12 (2 )/2
[
]
7 = 2 + ( 21 ) + log
[(
)
]
+ 12 log

8 = (, ) ,

(10.12)

(, )

2 + 2 + 2 = 0

(10.13)

Black-Scholes.
, (10.13)

. . ,
(10.13) ;
(10.10)

)
2 + 2 + 2 ( + )2 = 0.

(10.14)

197

(10.13)

(10.14). , (10.14)
+ = 0,

(, , ) = 1/ ().
(10.10)

(, , ) = 1/ (, ) + (, ).

(10.15)

1/ 6 .
Ansatz (10.15).
(10.15) (10.10)

]
)/2
[
]
(, ) = (, )/ exp 21 ( )/ ,

(, ) = () exp

[1

2 (2

(10.16)
(10.17)

() (, )

2 + 2 = 0
.
(10.15)
(10.16) (10.17) (10.10).
(10.10)
Euler . (,
+
= (, /). Euler
/.) , 6
Euler = exp[] (, , ) = (, , ).
Lie (10.10),
(10.11), { = , = , = , = 0 },

1 = ( )

2 = (1/ 01 1/ )
[
]
3 = 2( ) + ( 12 )( ) + log( 1 )
[
]
+ ( 21 )( ) + log(1 ) .

(10.18)

Henderson Hobson [36, 37]

()()
1 2 () 2

2
2 ()
()

1
2
1
+() 2 2 () + 2 () = 0
2
2

(10.19)

198

3 ( ) = ( + ).
() = 1 /(1 )
Merton [67] -

, , , Cobb-Douglas.
[36].

, [36], .

199

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