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In our case we have
3
0032 . 0 00006 . 0 03334 . 0
745 6 . 200
OGIP
m
t
esl
!
" "
"
=
For Bellos approach:
m
3
=111250, t
esl
=225 days, then OGIP= 3.15 Bscf
For Nobakhts approach:
m
3
=93750, t
esl
=132 days, then OGIP= 2.87 Bscf
When OGIP is known, the SRV can be obtained using the following equation:
gi
gi
S
B
!
"
=
OGIP
SRV (10)
Then Bellos approach: SRV=175 MMft
3
; Nobakhts approach: SRV=159 MMft
3
. Comparing the estimated SRV with
previous given value of 169 MMft
3
, Bellos approach overestimates 6 MMft
3
in SRV, while Nobakhts approach
underestimates 10 MMft
3
. However, both methods give a reasonable value.
8 SPE 153072
Numerical Simulation and Discussion
A numerical simulation has been designed to validate the results from type curve matching. We have developed a single
porosity single phase model. In this model, 20 transverse fractures have been defined as very high permeable path along the
horizontal wellbore evenly (Fig. 12). The well is placed in the centre of the reservoir. The reservoir area is assumed to be equal
to the area of SRV. Other parameters for simulation are shown in Table 1.
Fig. 12: Simulation model for well A, 20 transverse fractures
Fig. 13: History matching of well A
Fig. 13 shows the good matching of simulated data with actual production history except some points in the initial data which
is affected by the fracture system. The matching matrix permeability was 1.25 #10
-4
md. Comparing this matching
permeability from simulation with the above results from type curve analysis indicates the permeability from type curve is
higher especially 172% of Bellos and 242% of Nobakhts (Table 2). Ibrahim & Wattenbarger (2006) stated that the effect of
drawdown on transient linear flow could lead to overestimation of
m cm
k A and OGIP, and developed the following empirical
equation to estimate the correction factor.
2
0857 . 0 0852 . 0 1
D D cp
D D f ! ! = (11)
Where D
D
is the drawdown parameter defined by the following equation:
) (
) ( ) (
i
wf i
D
p m
p m p m
D
!
= (12)
We used an average bottom-hole pressure of 1500 psi and obtained D
D
=0.941, then the correction factor of 0.884 is
determined as following:
844 . 0 941 . 0 941 . 0 0857 . 0 941 . 0 0852 . 0 1 = ! ! " ! " =
cp
f
The correction factor was applied to modify matrix permeability, OGIP and SRV. The results are shown in Table 2. The
modified matrix permeability is still higher than the permeability from simulation. We believe this difference is related to the
assumption of dual-porosity flow behaviour in type curve analysis while we have used a single porosity model in reservoir
simulation. The reason a single porosity model was used is that we could not get good results by using matrix shape factor "
of 3.0#10
-4
ft
-2
in double porosity simulation. Also in Bellos approach, only the effect of convergence skin was considered,
and the pressure drop in horizontal wellbore was not included. In overall, the permeability from simulation was in the range of
acceptable agreement with type curve analysis. Since the effect of skin exhibits a curve deviated from the straight line with
having an intercept (Fig. 9), Bellos approach is closer to the numerical simulation result (Table 2).
SPE 153072 9
Table 2: Parameters estimation and modification
Approach
OGIP, Bscf SRV, MMft
3
Matrix permeability, 10
-4
md
Original Modified Original Modified Original Modified
Numerical
simulation
Bellos 3.15 2.66 175 148 2.15 1.81
1.25
Nobakhts 2.87 2.42 159 134 3.02 2.55
It is needed to mention that the modified SRV are lower than the SRV reported from hydraulic fracture modelling, especially
86% for Bellos case and 79% for Nobakhts case (Table 2). However, these results are also in the acceptable range of
estimation. The modified OGIP is either 2.66 or 2.42 Bscf, which represents the total free gas in SRV region because the
adsorbed gas has not been included in the calculation.
Production Forecasting
Dual porosity linear flow model can be used to predict the shale gas production. However, many parameters are required and
this would lead to uncertainties of the results. For boundary dominated flow in this case, material balance and pseudo-steady
flow equation were combined and used for production forecasting. The material balance for volumetric gas reservoirs
accounting for desorption (King, 1990) is given:
!
!
"
#
$
$
%
&
' =
G
G
z
p
z
p p
i
i
1
* *
(13)
p
zRTC
z
z
E
!
+
=
1
*
(14)
Where, C
E
is equilibrium isotherm. The rock and water compressibility is assumed to be negligible. Pseudo-steady flow
equation for gas reservoir is given below.
[ ] ) ( ) (
wf cp g
p m p m J q ! = (15)
Where, J
cp
is the production index for the constant bottom-hole pressure. For well A, the latest production data were used to
calculate an average J
cp
. This value depends on average pressure or OGIP. Then two results can be obtained for two different
OGIP values of Bellos and Nobakhts cases.
Fig.14 is the production forecasting of 15 years for well A at constant bottom-hole pressure 1500 psi. Due to the larger OGIP
value in Bellos approach, we have obtained a little higher production rate than Nobakhts case. The gas rate decline with time
and the decline rate gradually close to a constant value after 15 years. It is noted that the production forecasting in our
calculation is underestimated because the contribution of un-stimulated zone to production was not considered.
Fig. 14: 15 years production forecasting, no desorption Fig. 15: Adsorption isotherms Barnett Shale (Bartenhagen,
2009); Woodford Shale (Jack Breig, 2010)
In order to investigate the effect of desorption, two adsorption isotherms (Fig. 15) were used for production forecasting
(adsorption isotherm for Eagle Ford was not available), Isotherm 1 has a low Langmuir pressure which is around 300 psi,
while isotherm 2 has the value of 1500 psi. Fig. 16 is the production forecasting of 15 years for different adsorption isotherms
at constant bottom-hole pressure of 500 psi. It is illustrated that the higher Langmuir pressure releases more adsorbed gas and
results in higher gas production. However, the effect of desorption using isotherm 1 is not significant due to the relative high
average reservoir pressure not allowing gas desorption in this case. However, for long-term production forecasting, it is always
needed to account for desorption. As seen in Table 3, gas desorption can make the EUR to be up to 27% higher.
10 SPE 153072
Fig.16: Production forecasting for different adsorption isotherms
Table 3: EUR comparison
EUR at 30 years, Bscf
Bello Nobakht
No desorption 2.38 2.22
Isotherm 1 2.58 2.42
Isotherm 2 3.00 2.82
Conclusions
Three flow regimes of bilinear flow; matrix linear flow; and boundary dominated flow are found in Eagle Ford shale
production data.
Fracture permeability was calculated to be around 820 nd based on bilinear flow analysis and the assumption of slab
model.
The effect of apparent skin has been considered based on two different approaches of Bello and Nobakht methods.
OGIP was estimated by boundary dominated flow to be 2.42 or 2.66, and SRV was estimated to be 134 or 148 MMft
3
which is close to the reported value of SRV in hydraulic fracture modelling.
Matrix permeability was estimated to be 181 or 255 nd by matrix linear flow analysis. The results are validated by
numerical simulation. The permeability from simulation was in the range of acceptable agreement with type curve
analysis.
Production forecasting has been carried out with different adsorption isotherms. The results showed that the effect of
desorption depends on both reservoir pressure and adsorption isotherm. In early times when the reservoir pressure is high
the gas desorption is usually not important; however, for long-term production forecasting, it is needed to account for
desorption based on a laboratory measured isotherm.
Nomenclature
A
cw
= well face cross-sectional area to flow, ft
2
A
cm
= total matrix surface area draining into fracture system, ft
2
B
g
= formation volume factor at initial reservoir pressure, rcf/scf
b = intercept of field data on the [m(p
i
) m(p
wf
)]/q
g
vs. t
0.5
plot, psi
2
/cp/Mscf/day
C
f
= hydraulic fracture conductivity, md-ft
C
t
= total compressibility at initial reservoir pressure, psi
-1
C
E
=equilibrium isotherm, 1b-moles/ft
3
D
D
=drawdown parameter, fraction
f
CP
= drawdown correction factor, dimensionless
G = gas in place, scf
G
p
= cumulative gas production, scf
h = reservoir thickness, ft
J
cp
= production index for the constant bottomhole pressure, Mscf/day/psi
2
/cp
k
f
= fracture permeability, md
k
m
= matrix permeability, md
L = fracture spacing for slab model, ft
m
1
= slope of the line matching the early linear flow data and passing through the origin on the square root of time plot
m
2
= slope of the line matching the bilinear flow data and passing through the origin on the quarter root of time plot
SPE 153072 11
m
3
= slope of the line matching the matrix linear flow data and passing through the origin on the square root of time plot
m(p) = pseudopressure (gas), psi
2
/cp
p
i
= initial reservoir pressure, psi
p
wf
= wellbore flowing pressure, psi
p = average reservoir pressure, psi
q
g
= gas rate, Mscf/day
R = gas constant, J K
$1
mol
$1
S
gi
= initial gas saturation, fraction
T = absolute temperature,
o
R
t = time, days
t
esl
= time to end of straight line on the square root of time plot, days
x
e
= drainage area length (rectangular geometry), ft
y
e
= drainage area half-width (rectangular geometry), equivalent to fracture half-length, ft
z = compressibility factor, fraction
z
*
=modified compressibility factor account for gas desorption, fraction
Greek symbols
! = dampening factor, dimensionless
% = dimensionless interporosity parameter
= viscosity, cp
& = dimensionless storativity ratio
" = porosity
'=shape factor, ft
-2
Subscript
i = initial
f = fracture
m = matrix
f+m = total system (fracture + matrix)
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