2016 Summer Olympic contenders

The International Olympic Committee will view presentations from prospective host cities Friday for the 2016 Olympic Games. Of the 106 IOC
members, 99 will be eligible to vote in the first round (seven members from the four finalist countries can’t vote as long as their city remains in
the race). The winner will be announced on Saturday, between 12:30 and 1 a.m. EDT.
Chicago Tokyo
Madrid

Rio de Janeiro
IOC PUBLIC Chicago 67.3 Madrid 84.9 Rio 84.5 Tokyo 55.5
*OPINION POLL U.S. 61.1 Spain 85.8 Brazil 68.9 Japan 54.5
**BETTING ODDS 4 to 6 8 to 1 5 to 2 9 to 2
Intrade PREDICTION 50.6% 6.5% 37% 10%
Hubdub PREDICTION 35% 19% 28% 18%

CHICAGO MADRID RIO DE JANEIRO TOKYO

Population: 2.9 million, with a
metropolitan area of 9.6 million
Venues: 31; 7 need construction
Projected cost: $4.8-billion
Pros: Bid presents a compact,
scenic Games on waterfront; The
U.S.’s hosting experience could
give it the edge over less-
experienced Brazil, especially
during a recession.
Cons: Poll in August found about
50 per cent of the city supported
the bid, though a new poll puts
support at 72 per cent; Public
transport could become taxed.
6.2 million in the greater
metropolitan area
33; 10 need construction
$6.1-billion
More than 80 per cent of city
supports bid; One of only a few
major European cities to have
never hosted; Affordable; Games
close to downtown and airport;
Excellent public transportation
system reaching 26 of the 33
venues.
City’s debt is $9.7-billion; With
London hosting 2012 Games,
IOC may not want to have
consecutive Games in Europe;
ETA bomb attacks pose security
concerns.
6 million
34; 16 need construction
$14.4-billion
IOC could make a statement by
choosing, for the first time, a
South American host; Stable
economy; Public support is
widespread; Hosting experience
with 2007 Pan Am Games.
IOC’s confidence in the capability
of this developing country may
be lacking; High crime rate; Much
construction would be necessary.
12.7 million; 34 million in greater
metropolitan area
34; 11 need construction
$2.8-billion
Tokyo’s bid presents a waterfront
Games; Emphasis on climate
consciousness and measures to
reduce CO2 emissions and
energy consumption; Compact
city; Good public transit;
Economic superpower.
IOC may think it’s too soon to
have another Asian Games, since
Beijing hosted in 2008; Concerns
about congestion in city.

CELEBRITY ENDORSEMENT
Oprah Winfrey is lobbying the
106 IOC members at social
functions in Copenhagen; Barack
and Michelle Obama will help
deliver the final pitch.
Head of state King Juan Carlos is
a strong presence in Copen-
hagen; IOC president Jacques
Rogge’s Spanish predecessor,
Juan Antonio Samaranch, held
the title for 21 years.
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio
Lula da Silva is in Copenhagen;
In December, 2008, Newsweek
magazine named him the 18th
most important person in the
world.
In office for just two weeks,
Japan’s new Prime Minister,
Yukio Hatoyama, will arrive in
Copenhagen today; The
Hatoyama family is Japan’s
version of the Kennedys.

HOW LONDON WAS CHOSEN FOR THE 2012 GAMES***

ROUND 1 ROUND 2 ROUND 3 ROUND 4
1 London 22 1 Madrid 32 1 London 39 1 London 54
2 Paris 21 2 London 27 2 Paris 33 Paris 50
3 Madrid 20 3 Paris 25 Madrid 31
4 New York 19 New York 16
New York’s 16 votes are in play, In the final round, enough Madrid
Moscow 15 With Moscow out, Madrid picks and IOC members representing supporters cast their votes for
up 12 votes and leaps ahead. the U.S. are now eligible to vote. London to give the city an
No city wins a majority, so the London gains five but drops to London picks up 12 and Paris outright majority and a four-vote
vote goes to a second round. The second, while New York is squeaks by Madrid to advance to margin over Paris.
lowest vote-getter is eliminated. eliminated. the next ballot.
*CONDUCTED FEB. 16 TO 24, 2009, IN ALL FOUR CITIES: “TO WHAT EXTENT WOULD YOU SUPPORT HOSTING THE OLYMPIC SUMMER GAMES IN 2016?”
**PADDY POWER ODDS FOR “WHO WILL HOST THE 2016 OLYMPICS?” AS OF 5:00 GMT ON SEPT. 20.
***NOTE: TOTAL VOTES VARY IN EACH ROUND BECAUSE COMMITTEE MEMBERS MAY NOT VOTE DURING A ROUND THAT INCLUDES A CITY IN THEIR HOME COUNTRY.
THE GLOBE AND MAIL/REUTERS/AP/THE WALL STREET JOURNAL 66 SOURCES: INTERNATIONAL OLYMPIC COMMITTEE; ESRI; BID CITY WEBSITES; PADDYPOWER.COM; INTRADE.COM; HUBDUB.COM