France GDP 2014 Outlook

by Eduardo Petazze
In the 1Q2014 GDP grew by 0.03% Q/Q. For the 2Q2014 is estimate a growth rate by 0.20% Q/Q
For 2014 is expected to grow around 0.50% / 0.55% from 2013
The following is a summary of our current estimate
Million (2010) euros SAWD
2013Q1
Agri
7,507
Mfg.
52,279
Energy, water, waste
10,382
Construction
26,124
Distributive trade
48,196
Transport
21,961
Accommodation and food service
12,453
Information and communication
25,433
Financial services
22,286
Real estate
58,113
Business Services
58,520
Non-market services
105,145
Household services
13,742
GVA
462,141
Taxes
48,977
GDP
511,118
Consumption expenditures of households
270,625
Consumption expenditures of NPISHs
10,344
Public Consumption expenditure
123,624
GFCF
111,884
Stocks
94
Exports
140,706
Imports
146,259
Q/Q
2013Q1
Agri
0.32%
Mfg.
-0.17%
Energy, water, waste
0.99%
Construction
-0.12%
Distributive trade
0.01%
Transport
0.10%
Accommodation and food service
-1.64%
Information and communication
-0.83%
Financial services
0.18%
Real estate
0.24%
Business Services
0.01%
Non-market services
0.20%
Household services
-0.31%
GVA
-0.01%
Taxes
0.46%
GDP
0.04%
Consumption expenditures of households
0.29%
Consumption expenditures of NPISHs
0.17%
Public Consumption expenditure
0.50%
GFCF
-0.39%
Exports
0.30%
Imports
0.53%
Own estimate
Last data

2013Q2
7,532
52,790
10,568
26,038
48,501
22,034
12,455
25,632
22,525
58,321
59,077
105,706
13,786
464,965
49,219
514,184
271,274
10,366
124,590
112,044
109
144,502
148,776
2013Q2
0.33%
0.98%
1.79%
-0.33%
0.63%
0.33%
0.02%
0.78%
1.07%
0.36%
0.95%
0.53%
0.32%
0.61%
0.49%
0.60%
0.24%
0.21%
0.78%
0.14%
2.70%
1.72%

2013Q3
7,572
52,449
10,445
25,785
48,561
22,284
12,408
25,480
22,729
58,419
59,108
105,868
13,822
464,930
48,985
513,915
270,974
10,394
124,973
111,802
2,308
143,962
150,492
2013Q3
0.53%
-0.65%
-1.16%
-0.97%
0.12%
1.13%
-0.38%
-0.59%
0.91%
0.17%
0.05%
0.15%
0.26%
-0.01%
-0.48%
-0.05%
-0.11%
0.27%
0.31%
-0.22%
-0.37%
1.15%

2013Q4
7,583
52,747
10,173
25,530
48,944
22,275
12,354
25,615
22,831
58,541
59,199
106,197
13,819
465,808
49,058
514,866
271,621
10,429
125,639
111,642
540
146,196
151,205
2013Q4
0.15%
0.57%
-2.60%
-0.99%
0.79%
-0.04%
-0.44%
0.53%
0.45%
0.21%
0.15%
0.31%
-0.02%
0.19%
0.15%
0.19%
0.24%
0.34%
0.53%
-0.14%
1.55%
0.47%

2014Q1
7,566
52,948
10,136
25,104
48,938
22,370
12,415
25,751
22,887
58,600
59,175
106,570
13,852
466,312
48,694
515,006
270,233
10,469
126,187
110,632
3,458
146,689
152,653
2014Q1
-0.22%
0.38%
-0.36%
-1.67%
-0.01%
0.43%
0.49%
0.53%
0.25%
0.10%
-0.04%
0.35%
0.24%
0.11%
-0.74%
0.03%
-0.51%
0.38%
0.44%
-0.90%
0.34%
0.96%

2014Q2
7,443
52,893
10,395
25,160
48,920
22,398
12,267
25,834
22,975
58,809
59,330
106,992
13,888
467,303
48,741
516,044
270,849
10,503
126,887
110,781
1,837
147,814
152,626
2014Q2
-1.63%
-0.10%
2.55%
0.22%
-0.04%
0.13%
-1.19%
0.32%
0.39%
0.36%
0.26%
0.40%
0.26%
0.21%
0.10%
0.20%
0.23%
0.33%
0.55%
0.13%
0.77%
-0.02%

2014Q3
7,421
52,695
10,451
25,048
48,952
22,550
12,168
25,780
23,122
58,966
59,441
107,274
13,918
467,786
48,719
516,505
271,048
10,532
127,442
110,693
2,250
148,202
153,662
2014Q3
-0.29%
-0.38%
0.55%
-0.45%
0.06%
0.68%
-0.80%
-0.21%
0.64%
0.27%
0.19%
0.26%
0.21%
0.10%
-0.05%
0.09%
0.07%
0.27%
0.44%
-0.08%
0.26%
0.68%

2014Q4
7,434
52,752
10,333
24,851
49,172
22,631
12,096
25,810
23,253
59,103
59,563
107,573
13,925
468,496
48,769
517,265
271,504
10,561
128,063
110,536
1,691
149,608
154,698
2014Q4
0.18%
0.11%
-1.14%
-0.79%
0.45%
0.36%
-0.59%
0.11%
0.56%
0.23%
0.20%
0.28%
0.05%
0.15%
0.10%
0.15%
0.17%
0.28%
0.49%
-0.14%
0.95%
0.67%

The Broad Stability Program 2014-2017

According to the annual stability program of government, France's GDP will grow by around 1.0% in 2014 and 1.7% in 2015
The 2014-2017 Stability Programme presents the strategy and medium-term path for public finances
Links:
Economie - Le programme de stabilit pdf, 96 pages
Presentation pdf, 8 pages