PROLOGUE

Life and Death

After the death of his first wife Helen, Saul Alinsky the foremost American community
organizer, fell into depression and drank heavily, and took to visiting his wife's grave
daily.

For several months, he thought he had been visiting his wife's grave; then he discovered
he'd been visiting the wrong grave! "What the hell am I doing?" he roared.

That realization propelled him back into action, back into the organizer's greatest joy-
creativity, which he lived until his death.

The valuable lesson he learned from that experience was that he was not going to live
forever and that he was going to die someday.

This gut wrenching revelation was life changing for Saul Alinsky resulting in his
confronting the question, 'What is the meaning of my life, since I am here just so long a
period of time?

Although he was never able to fully answer that question, he got to the point of accepting
his own death, at which point he no longer cared whether he was important or not.

A few months before his death in 1972 he was asked by Playboy Magazine about
whether he thought much about death.

He responded, "Once you accept your own mortality on the deepest level, your life can
take on a whole new meaning.

If you have learned anything about life, you won't care any more about how much money
you have got or what people think of you, or whether you are successful or unsuccessful,
important or insignificant.

You just care about living every day to the full, drinking in every new experience and
sensation as eagerly as a child, and with the same sense of wonder".

On whether he believed in any kind of afterlife, Alinsky said, "Sometimes it seems to me

that the question people should ask is not "Is their life after death?" but "Is there life after
birth?"

Man's obsession with that question he added comes out of the stubborn refusal of man to
face up to his own mortality. (Quotes courtesy of Rev. John E. Gibbons - 1995 and
Playboy Magazine - 1972)

1
Dark Days Ahead?

The recent fall in the price of crude oil to $63 per barrel from a high of $147 less than
two months ago portends grave danger for the Nigerian state.

Only last week, Chukwuma Soludo, the Central Bank Governor identified a drastic fall in
crude oil prices as one factor likely to torpedo the Nigerian economy going forward.

OPEC's recent reduction of daily crude oil production by 1.5 million barrels per day has
not improved prices.

Now the Iranian oil minister is warning that further cuts in crude oil production may be
required to shore up prices.

But this is unlikely to boost crude oil prices to the levels required by OPEC member
countries, i.e. between $75 and $80.

Crude oil prices are driven by supply and demand and in recent years growing demands
by the US, China and India drove crude oil prices to an all time high of $147 per barrel.

This has translated into billions of USD for oil producing countries especially Nigeria
which depends 95% on crude oil proceeds to run its economy.

For Nigeria, this massive infusion of USD into its local economy has not necessarily
translated into value for money improvements.

The ongoing economic tsunami that has hit developed western nations and thrown global
trade into crisis is slowing production and buying of goods and services worldwide.

Once booming economies have gone burst (Iceland, Hungary) others are in recession
(UK, USA) while some are slowing down and cutting growth forecasts (China, India).

Bottom-line, demand for crude oil has fallen resulting in a more than 100% fall in the
price of crude oil.

In the light of these developments, the Nigerian government has already cut the crude oil
benchmark for 2009 budget from $69 to $45.

This may or may not result in a drastic scale back of its grand plans for developing its 7
point agenda as it can always dip into crude oil excess savings or resort to borrowing.

For instance, the same FGN has admitted running up a N1.2 trillion deficit for the 2008
budget while States and Local Governments are yet to release their own figures..

By refusing to host the FIFA Under -17 World Cup 2009 which had a price tag of N39
billion, the FGN wants to paint a picture of being frugal and priority conscious.

2
However, spending at all 3 tiers of government, their MDAs and others indicate that
spending with little or no value added is going on at full speed.

It would appear that those in high places are oblivious of the impending massive short
fall in crude oil earnings.

With no effective mechanism in place to stop or curtail spending excesses at all levels
dark clouds are gathering over the nation.

We have a situation in which not for value spending is increasing against the background
of falling crude oil earnings and depletion of our crude oil excess savings.

Recall that this was how the Shehu Shagari government despite inheriting over $3 billion
foreign reserves in 1979 went on a spending binge quickly depleted the savings.

Unfortunately crude oil prices fell to $10 per barrel, throwing the nation into an economic
crisis and a resort to borrowing to make up for the shortfall in earnings.

Even the money borrowed by all tiers of government went into the business as usual no
value for money spending resulting in a high debt burden.

It was not until 2003 or 2004 that that crushing debt burden and yoke was finally
removed from the neck of Nigerians.

The trauma and hardship Nigerians underwent from 1979 to 1999 are well documented
and need not be repeated here.

But the indicators appear to be that no lessons have been learnt by those who assert that
they are destined to rule Nigeria for 60 years.

There appears to be no moral authority able to clamp down on the excesses in

government especially in the area of spending with little or no value added.

Those charged to court for corrupt practices seem to be able to hold the system to a stand
still while claims are rife that corruption case files have grown wings.

Are we heading back to the late 70s and early 80s when the life of the ordinary Nigerian
was worth nothing while those in high places lived lives that kings and queens envied?

3
Mr. Buhari’s Fight for Justice

Having failed in his 2003 effort to upturn the arranged reelection of Obasanjo at both the
Court of Appeal and Supreme Court respectively, Mr. Buhari was expected to take his
loss in the 2007 non-election lying low.

No not Mr. Buhari, who once more is challenging the ordination of Mr. Yar'Adua as the
president of the Federal Republic of Nigeria. In the Court of Appeal, the justices used a
supposed legal technicality to avoid considering the abundant evidence of non-election
adduced by Mr. Buhari.

Should the justices of the Supreme Court decide to lift the lid on the can of worms
regarding the 2007 non-election then Nigerians may be faced with fresh presidential
elections sometime in 2009.

The judgment of the Court of Appeal was shocking to Mr. Buhari and many felt that he
was not going to appeal the decision especially as his party, the ANPP, was now part of
the unity government.

The ANPP had earlier tried to frustrate the case by withdrawing from the hearing at the
Court of Appeal. Again, true to his steadfast nature, Mr. Buhari battled through the
betrayal of the ANPP until he was undone by a legal technicality.

He also had to battle through considerable pressure mounted by traditional rulers and
elites from the northern part of Nigeria who wanted the legal challenge against a fellow
Northerner, i.e. Mr. Yar’Adua, dropped to protect northern interest.

Since filing the appeal at the Supreme Court, the pressure on Mr. Buhari to abandon the
case has grown considerably, while the attacks on him by the ANPP have become more
vehement.

That Mr. Buhari has resisted the pressures mounted on him to sell out and not mortgaged
his principles and values for a bowl of porridge speak volumes in a country where almost
everything has a price.

This comes close but not closes enough to the refusal of MKO Abiola to abandon his
mandate after the 1993 elections where he was overwhelmingly elected as president of
Nigeria, a stance that probably caused him his life.

Now that hearing of Mr. Buhari's appeal has been concluded at the Supreme Court and
judgment has been adjourned until a date to be announced) Nigerians ought to be vigilant
and not let the opportunities likely to be presented by a Mr. Buhari victory slip away.

If we truly believe that there were no real elections in 2007 and Mr. Buhari through
personal sacrifices and a successful challenge of the election process presents Nigerians
with another opportunity to actually elect a president, what should Nigerians do?

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Should Nigerians adopt the usual sit down and look approach and leave the playing field
to the biggest political party in Africa to present us with a fiat accompili? Or should
Nigerians take their destinies into their own hands as they did in June 12 1993?

Are Nigerians not engrossed and captivated by the unfolding drama in the US
Presidential Elections, where a minority candidate and a black man for that matter stands
but inches away from the White House?

Senator Barack Obama's bid for the American Presidency has been made possible by the
collective participation of ordinary Americans in the processes of financing and
supporting his campaign.

This is why the middle class and ordinary Nigerians should consider Mr. Buhari should
fresh elections be ordered by the Supreme Court come 2009. He has established his
democratic credentials and proven beyond doubt that he is principled and qualified to
hold the highest office in Nigeria.

Just like Mr. Buhari did in 1984 but this time in a more humane way, he may have what it
takes to restore discipline and order, and reposition Nigeria on an upward trajectory as an
economic downturn envelopes the entire globe.

5
Plea to the Supreme Court

The Supreme Court has now concluded hearings in the consolidated appeals of Messer’s.
Buhari and Atiku regarding the presidential elections and reserved judgment.

The Justices of the Supreme Court have adjourned to consider the arguments of all the
parties for or against the earlier decision of the Court of Appeal.

Recall that the Court of Appeal had dismissed the petitions of Messer’s Buhari and Atiku
against the election of Mr. Yar’Adua as the president of the Federal Republic of Nigeria.

The Court of Appeal held that the petitioners had failed to adduce evidence in support of
allegations of malpractices and irregularities during the conduct of the 2007 presidential
polls.

According to the Court of Appeal, the failure of the petitioners to call witnesses to testify
in support of these allegations materially damaged the cases of the petitioners.

The petitioners asserted that in compliance to an earlier directive of the same Court of
Appeal they had gotten these witnesses to make depositions on oath.

Bottom-line according to them was that evidence regarding the proper or improper
conduct of the 2007 Presidential polls was never considered by the Court of Appeal.

This has been the main kernel of the appeals argued by Messer’s Buhari and Atiku before
the Supreme Court and opposed by Mr. Yar’Adua, PDP and INEC.

In the days leading to the hearing of the appeals and during the hearings, newspaper
reports were rife with stories of pressures being brought to bear on the apex court.

In the absence of any tangible evidence of attempts to influence the Supreme Court one
way or the other, these reports would have to be dismissed as lacking credibility.

More important is the need for a decisive decision from the Supreme Court one way or
the other regarding the weighty issues canvassed by the appellants during the hearing.

No judgment of the Supreme Court is ever rendered in an empty context, and the context
surrounding the decision in the appeals of Messer’s Buhari and Atiku is complex.

Firstly is the fact that Mr. Yar’Adua has been president of Nigeria for over a year and six
months, and what the implications of an annulment will be to a sitting government.

Secondly some are afraid of what may happen in the three months period between an
annulment and the conduct of fresh presidential polls.

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With the Senate President, Senator David Mark likely to act as president during such a
period, are there likely to be jacks in many boxes?

Thirdly, there have been speculations in the past regarding who the biggest party in
Africa will field were fresh polls to be ordered by the Supreme Court.

News paper reports would seem to suggest that Mr. Kingibe, the former secretary to the
Federal Government was axed for pursuing such an agenda.

Fourthly, fears that northern interests may not be served by the conduct of fresh polls had
resulted in intense pressures on Messer’s Buhari and Atiku to withdraw their appeals.

Fifthly, who is to say that Messer’s Buhari and Atiku will not join forces with other
opposition parties and present a united challenge to the alleged biggest party in Africa?

The above complexities notwithstanding, the need for a decisive judgment of the
Supreme Court is all the more imperative.

To be avoided is a middle of the road decision similar to the earlier judgment of the
Supreme Court in the case by Lagos State on creation of Local Governments.

A situation in which both the Lagos State Government and the Federal Government went
away claiming victory on the rights of States to create new Local Governments is not
helpful.

In one breadth, the Supreme Court affirmed that the creation of new Local Governments
by States was incomplete until the consequential amendment of the Constitution by the
National Assembly.
.
In another breadth, the Supreme Court also held that the decision of the Federal
Government to withhold statutory funds due to Local Governments in Lagos State was
wrong.

If the status quo with regards to the existence of Local Governments has been altered
from 20 to 57, which of these local governments were entitled to the statutory funds?

Of course an appreciation of the proper context about the political implications of the
steps taken by the Lagos State Government was more at play than the legal issues.

But then justice is supposed to be blind to the complexities surrounding issues brought
for adjudication before the law courts.

This is why section 6 of the Constitution reserves for only courts of laws the right to
adjudicate in respect of disputes between governments, individuals and organizations.

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However, the case on who was the rightful gubernatorial candidate for the PDP in the
Rivers State election in May 2007 elections is a clear example of judicial decisiveness.

There, the Supreme Court upheld the clear provisions of the PDP guidelines on party
primaries to ultimately determine the outcome of the main elections with other political
parties.

Strange as that judgment was to many outside legal circles, it showed the Supreme Court
acting decisively to uphold the law while damning the implications of doing so.

This is the type of judicial decisiveness that is expected of the Supreme Court as it tackles
the legal issues presented by all parties while shunning the surrounding complexities.

What is required is not a decision that hangs on a legal technicality or that throws up
more questions than answers but a straight forward consideration of the facts before it.

It is said that the law follows the facts and in the case at hand what are the facts, and do
the facts merit an annulment of the election of Mr. Yar’Adua?

8
A Powerless Generation

According to Saul Alinsky, the foremost American community organizer,” Power is the
physical, mental or moral power to act”

Last week, two different but related news items were reported in most national dailies
and electronic media that show our increasing powerlessness as Nigerians.

Both news items came forth at public hearings being conducted by committees in the
Senate of the National Assembly.

At the Senate ad-hoc committee investigating the Transport Sector it was revealed that
the Nigerian Ports Authority could not account for over N537 billion.

Of the N548 billion NPA internally generated revenue from 1999 to date only N11 billion
was paid into the Federation Account and the balance spent without due approval.

This revelation was made by Prince John Emeka, Honorable Minister of State for Water
Transport and confirmed by NPA Managing Director, Abdusalam Mohammed.

Other than admitting that the actions of NPA were irresponsible, the managing director
had no other plausible explanation for this N64 billion average yearly spending binge.

Considering that no new infrastructure had been built by the NPA in the period under
review when most of its facilities had been concessioned, this was mind boggling.

The second was even more stupefying and had to do with the escalation in the
construction cost of the Escravos Gas to Liquid Project from $1.7 billion to $5.9 billion.

This revelation was made before the Senate Committee on Gas Resources following
admissions by Chevron Nigeria Limited that it acted unilaterally in this regard.

The gas to be processed into diesel by EGTL belongs to Nigeria, who through the
Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation holds a 25% share in the project.

More shocking was that a similar project in Qatar had been executed at under $1 billion
and that NNPC had only approved an increase of the contract sum to $2.72 billion.

Unlike the NPA managing director who could not explain what had happened to N537
billion, Chevron at least attempted to explain why the cost had shoot up by over 300%.

According to Chevron, the increment was necessitated by the volatile situation in the
Niger Delta, the depreciating value of the US Dollar and the need to beef up security.

Others reasons were changes in logistics, training of staff and the construction of fence as
well as designs at the site.

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It was alleged that following threats by the contractors to abandon the EGTL project,
Chevron unilaterally converted the contract from lump sum to reimbursable.

This in effect meant that the contract costs were being determined by the contractors and
the fear is that the final bill for the EGTL may be in the region of $11 billion.

The reactions of members of committees, the government officials and management of

the relevant agencies would seem to indicate that these incidents are normal.

Likewise the way that these incidents were reported by the news media and the response
of Nigerians including those who know the inner workings of the oil and gas sector.

Come to think of it, the sky has not fallen over revelations that came out during the
House Power Committee probe on the $16 billion invested in reaping darkness.

Rather it was members of the committee that were taken to task for allegedly collecting
N100 million bribe from faceless complainants.

The lesson for members of the Senate committees would be to learn from the experiences
of their House committee counterparts in knowing how to package their reports.

I am at a loss on how to proceed further with this write up. What is the point when the
revelations of today are buried by the ones of tomorrow with no lessons learnt?

10
The Escarvos Gas to Liquids Story

I love Saul Alinsky's definition of power as the mental, moral or physical ability to act.
The alternative to power is of course powerlessness at the root of which you have fear.

This really is the bane of Nigerians and initially characterized my own response to recent
revelations on the EGTL.

Before the Gas Resources Committee of the Senate it was revealed that the EGTL project
cost had increased by over 300%.

Why I had expressed my outrage at this development, I had also decried the
powerlessness of Nigerians to act.

Truth is that I was also decrying my own powerlessness due to fear because I know a
thing or two about the EGTL.

The Escravos Gas to Liquid Project was conceived by Chevron Nigeria Limited to covert
some of the abundant gas being flared in the Niger Delta into diesel.

GTL is not a new technology and has been operated in South Africa for many years as
well as Qatar among other countries.

Why the concept was never contemplated by our own authorities despite the prolonged
agitation to end gas flaring is a question for another day.

Although the gas being flared belonged to Nigeria, NNPC became a 25% owner in the
EGTL designed to added value to gas and produced high grade diesel, naphtha, LPG etc.

If this were the only loss suffered by Nigeria my pain and anger would probably have
been assuaged but there was more to come.

There was a company, i.e. Delta Ports Services Limited, with facilities in Warri Ports
interested in providing logistics support to the EGTL project using the Warri ports.

With the proximity of Warri to Escravos, a distance of about 60 nautical miles, the
expectation was that Warri was the right port to handle EGTL project cargo.

On the other hand were those who wanted the EGTL project cargo handled in Onne Port
about 400 nautical miles from Escravos.

This would entail barging the EGTL project cargo through some of the most hostile
territories in the Niger Delta with severe security and financial implications.

The battle was fierce and furious but eventually reason prevailed and Warri Ports was
chosen to provide material storage and support for the EGTL project.

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Only two companies had facilities in Warri Ports to meet the requirements of the EGTL
project and they were both invited to bid by KBR\Southern Gas the main contractors.

This was probably the first time that an oil and gas logistics contract of this magnitude
was being subjected to competitive tender.

In 1999, Intels Nigeria Limited had signed a Memorandum of Understanding with the
Nigerian Ports Authority for exclusive rights to use its facilities for oil and gas logistics.

The 20% share of NPA in the MOU was further reduced to 10% in April 2001 and this
granted Intels exclusive monopoly in the handling of oil and gas logistics.

This enable Intels to sign MOUs with the major oil and gas companies to handle their oil
and gas logistics using tariffs drafted by Intels and approved by NAPIMS.

Rejoicing that the ports concession exercise handled by BPE and NPA would break the
monopoly of Intels over ports in NPA Eastern Zone was soon cut short.

Contrary to BPE guidelines that no company would be allowed to have more than one
port concession, Intels ended up with five (5) concessions thus reaffirming its monopoly.

The facilities of DPS in Warri Ports were only secured through the intervention of
President Obasanjo who in May 2006 approved the report of an investigations committee.

Notwithstanding this, NPA deliberately refused to provide DPS with the copy of its lease
agreement to the said facilities proposed for the EGTL project.

This resulted in the disqualification of the N40 billion bids of DPS and the award of the
EGTL Warri Material and Storage Support to Intels Nigeria Limited.

Incidentally, DPS with the support of the Delta State Government was the local company
that had spearheaded the push for the use of Warri Ports for the EGTL project.

At the stage of DPS disqualification in April 2008, the total contract cost of the EGTL as
approved by President Obasanjo was USD2.7 billion to cover construction, logistics and
security.

Between April and September 2008, it is now being asserted by CNL that the contract
cost of the EGTL project has risen to USD5.9 billion.

The contract for which DPS was bidding to handle the logistics for N40 billion is now
being handled on a reimbursable basis rather than on a lump sum basis.

Citing the security challenges of the Niger Delta among others, CNL and its contractors
would want us to believe that the 300% cost escalation in the EGTL project is justified.

12
NNPC claims that CNL acted unilaterally in converting the contract to a reimbursable
one which has resulted in cost escalations by over 300%.

NNPC also claims that the cost escalations were only discovered in the course of an
internal audit it conducted on the EGTL project.

CNL on the other hand claims that it wrote NNPC on two occasions on the said issue but
got no response before deciding to ignore its junior partner.

Strangely a report prepared by KBR on its expectations regarding the EGTL for 2008 did
not mention any of the challenges now being touted by CNL as justifications for the cost
escalations.

It will be a miracle if anything comes out of the deliberations of the Gas Resources
Committee regarding the EGTL.

The Siemens and Halliburton scandals are history already. Yesterday it was the power
probe revelations and the intrigues regarding its implementation.

Today it is the purchase of Peugeot cars by the House of Representatives and the alleged
loss of over N400 billion. So there is nothing new under the sun.

But let no one tell me that the Niger Delta crisis is today about agitating for the
development of that region and improving the conditions of its peoples.

It is about businesses and the opportunities provided for spending billions of Naira and
USD to address conditions which increasingly appear to profit many.

But who knows, the Senate Committee on Gas Resources may decide to conduct a
forensic audit to unravel the truth regarding the USD3.2 billion EGTL cost escalation.

It may decide to call relevant officials of NNPC, NPA, CNL, KBR and Intels to find out
those behind this monumental loss to the Nigerian state.

But then who cares what really happens?

13
The Structure of Corruption in MDAs

MDAs stands for ministries, departments and agencies of Federal and State Governments
and in some cases Local governments.

Before the Senate Adhoc-Commiittee on Transportation it was revealed that between

1999 and 2007 the Nigerian Ports Authority generated revenues of N548 billion.

Of this amount only N11 billion was transferred to the Federation account and the
balance of N537 billion was spent by the management of NPA without due process.

While admitting that the actions of the authority were irresponsible, its managing director
Mr. Abubakar was unable to provide explanation of how N65 billion was spent yearly.

Other than chiding Mr. Abubakar it does not appear that a forensic audit would be
ordered by the committee to unravel how NPA spent these monumental sums of money.

This becomes more distressing when there is nothing on record to show the capital
projects executed by the NPA during the period in question.

Recall that during the Obasanjo administration most of NPA facilities were under
concession.

It turns out that part of the NPA strategy was to appoint third party organizations to
collect and warehouse revenues on its behalf.

This way these revenues never officially entered the accounts of NPA although these
were moneys standing to its credit in the account of third parties.

These third party organizations were then able to raise job orders regarding various port
facilities of NPA implying that the authority was indebted to them.

NPA then approved these job orders directing these third party organizations to utilize the
monies standing to the use of the authority to execute the job orders.

Amortization as the process is called entails the collection and expending of public funds
through third party private organizations with the monies probably disappearing into a
black hole.

This leaves government revenues severely short changed by Amortization process while
management of the MDAs and collaborating third party private organizations smile to
their banks.

At the receiving end of the Amortization process are ordinary Nigerians who wallow
away in abject poverty in the midst of billions of Naira expended for the benefit of the
privileged few in government and their collaborators.

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Government ministries, departments and agencies at both the Federal, State and Local
Government levels are engaged in the use of third party organizations in the collection of
revenues.

Even more bizarre is the continued use of third party organizations in the collection of
taxes by some States and Local Governments although the Federal Government has
stopped doing this.

What is clear is that MDAs the majority of who still receive subventions from
government, are having a field day in how they generate and disburse internally
generated revenues.

The problem is probably more pronounced at the Federal level which has cornered to
itself the choicest responsibilities with more revenue generating opportunities.

Thus MDAs such as NNPC, DPR, NPA, NIMASA, FAAN, NAMA, ETF, Customs,
BPE, FRSC, JAMB Immigration, NTA etc have the latitude to generate and expend
obscene amounts of money without being accountable.

If these MDAs spending were backed by value, the situation would even be pardonable
but that is often not the situation.

From airports, to roads, ports, maritime facilities, and the oil sector infrastructure are
dilapidated and aging.

Public services are virtually non-existent and where available are only rendered to those
who are prepared to enter through the eye of the needle.

It bears repeating that governments exist for the benefit and wellbeing of the people but
in Nigeria the reverse is and has always been the norm for decades.

That many Nigerians still die from preventable and treatable ailments while MDAs
launder public funds using the Amortization process is a tragedy.

That the public power sector is comatose plunging ordinary Nigerians into darkness and
unemployment while MDAs are awash with billions of Naira is pathetic.

That private education has become the norm creating generational disparities between the
children of the rich and poor while MDAs intelligently recycle public funds into private
funds is barbaric.

That the Niger Delta is starved of much needed funds for development while MDAs
develop private interests through the Amortization of public funds is disastrous.

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That public infrastructure in Nigeria is designed for 18th century reality while MDAs
utilize public funds for developing the infrastructure of private interests is criminal.

Hopefully a continuing fall in the price of crude oil may force a reluctant government to
shift its attention from its usual cash cow to harnessing the other cash cows that we know
as MDAs.

It is not as if this shift will ordinarily benefit the average Nigerian or improve the quality
of our collective existence.

When government succeeds in channeling public revenues generated by MDAs into

public accounts, this will be a step in the right direction towards public accountability of
MDAs.

At least we will be able to ascertain how much money is available to government from
internally generated sources and revenues earned from sale of crude oil.

When next we want to ascertain the level of corruption prevalent in government we will
at least have a broader picture to look since the pie has increased in size.

16
Resurrecting the Spirit of June 12, 1993

I recall visiting three (3) polling stations around Akinshemonyi/Iponri area of Surulere,
Lagos State in a frantic search for my polling center during the 2007 general elections.

This was during the elections for gubernatorial candidates and members of State Houses
of Assembly that was conducted on April 14, 2007.

In each of the polling stations I visited, voters with similar challenges such as mine were
on a Mongo Park like journey through the streets of Lagos searching for polling centers.

Activities at the polling stations were rancorous and characterized by confusion as

prospective voters battled to locate their names on the voters register.

Tired of a four hour wandering in the wilderness, I decided to call it a day at the third
polling station I had visited and ended up not voting.

I did not even trouble myself to go out and vote during the Presidential and National
Assembly elections that took place on April 21, 2007.

Unlike the voters’ registration exercise which had a semblance of order and recorded a
mass turn out of eligible voters, the general elections were an exercise in organized
confusion.

The organized confusion started with the failure by INEC to display the lists of eligible
voters’ 120 days before the elections as required by electoral rules.

This ensured that eligible voters were not able to check their names on the voter’s register
or know their polling stations 60 days before the conduct of the elections.

Next, INEC advised registered voters to go to the locations where they had registered
with their voter registration slips to vote.

On getting to these locations, prospective voters were informed by INEC officials that
each polling center (120, 000) only had 500 allocated numbers of voters.

Without any guidance as to the polling centers that prospective voters were allocated to,
they were left to their fate in a frantic search from one polling station to another.

Eligible voters were required to queue on a long line before an INEC official, whose job
was to ascertain from two or more registers whether you could vote at that center.

The process required giving your voter registration slip to an INEC official who flipped
through the voters register trying to match names.

17
At the last polling stations I visited in Iponri Housing Estate, it suddenly dawned on me
that this was probably an organized effort to prevent many eligible voters from voting.

News reports of voter experiences across other states in Nigeria were not much different
and as the elections progressed many eligible voters decided to stay away from the polls.

For a nation with a population of 140 million people, and with over 60 million registered
voters, only 35 million people allegedly cast their votes during the presidential elections.

Since the conduct of the April 2007 General Elections, no effort has been made by INEC
to address the many short fallings of the said elections.

This will amount to INEC admitting that the general elections were flawed while many
election petitions are still pending in court especially the presidential elections.

The implication is that should the Supreme Court annul the election of Mr. Yar’Adua as
the president of Nigeria, fresh polls must be conducted within 3 months by INEC.

This would mean that INEC that conducted the flawed April 2007 general Elections will
again be saddled with conducting the fresh polls within a shorter time frame.

If the apathy already exhibited by voters in all elections conducted by INEC after May
2007 is anything to go by, Nigerians may probably stay at home.

The problem with staying away from a repeat presidential poll is that there will be an
outcome which will substantially affect the fortunes and well being of Nigerians.

As it were, eligible voters will have to choose between the supposed largest party in
Africa having its way or the deep blue sea.

Seeing that I can not encourage any Nigerian to choose the deep blue sea, eligible voters
and registered political parties would have to find a way to confront and overcome the
PDP.

MKO Abiola is probably one of the few Nigerians who was able to confront and
overwhelm constituted political authority at the polls.

But alas his electoral victory was truncated by the powers that be and he died while trying
to actualize that mandate.

However, MKO Abiola’s triumph on June 12, 1993 was not just the product of his
dexterity, financial prowess and organizing ability.

On June 12, 1993, Nigerians rose up with one voice and declared to the political
establishment that enough was enough.

18
For the first time in the history of Nigeria, people in the North and South rose above
artificial divisions to declare their freedom from decades of political oppression.

This drove fear deep into the hearts of the political status quo resulting in the savage
response of annulment, throwing Nigerians into the dark ages of 18th century politics.

Nigerians are yet to fully recover from the psychological damage of the June 12 election
annulment which is characterized by their ‘I don’t care attitude’ towards elections.

However, our collective helplessness and despair regarding the jungle like existence in
Nigeria has the potential to serve as a galvanizing factor.

All through history, it has been in the midst of the deepest despair that the most shattering
victories have also been accomplished.

The victory of Jesus Christ was accomplished on the Cross of Calvary although he was
crucified between 2 thieves in what was supposed to be the period of his humiliation.

Also the victory of Prophet Mohammed (peace be upon him) who came back to conquer
Mecca after initially being defeated and fleeing the city speaks volume.

If Nigerians were able to rise up against one of the greatest dribblers of our generation on
June 12 1993, we can take on the alleged biggest party in Africa.

We can turn our despair and helplessness into one of hope and change and take our
destinies into our hands should the Supreme Court present us with such an opportunity.

Success they say is opportunity catching up with preparation. Let us not wait until the
Supreme Court judgment ordering fresh presidential polls to begin preparation.

We can resurrect the spirit of June 12 once again and change our destinies for good.

19
Living in Shades of Grey

Reading Mr. Adeniyi’s article in the Guardian, “Shooting an Elephant: Public Service in
Nigeria”, I shook my head in sheer wonderment.

For those who do not know, Mr. Adeniyi is presently the Special Adviser to the President
on Media and Publicity.

Prior to that, he was the editor of THISDAY Newspaper and the writer of a weekly
column in the same newspaper called the “the Verdict”.

A verdict is a decision on an issue of fact in a civil or criminal case or an inquest, and

also means an opinion or judgment.

Scanning the private domains and government affairs for untoward happenings, Mr.
Adeniyi regularly passed verdicts after analyzing facts on what was good or bad.

His verdicts although sometimes hard and brash where delivered with a sincerity of heart
and a clarity that made his column in THISDAY Newspaper a must read.

This also helped to propel his popularity as a voice that was trusted upon by those outside
the corridors of power to call the powers that be to order.

Considering this was the period when Nigeria’s maximum president was in power, many
regarded Mr. Adeniyi as being quite bold for taking on the excesses of government.

Sent by THISDAY Newspaper to conduct an interview with the incoming president, Mr.
Yar’Adua, Mr. Adeniyi must have impressed with his usual decisiveness and candor.

Before we could shout Jack Robinson, Mr. Adeniyi had been offered the position of
Special Adviser to the President on Media and Publicity.

The issue of whether or not Mr. Adeniyi should accept the appointment was publicly
debated and pointed to the high esteem with which he was regarded.

There were those who felt that his service in the government of Mr. Yar’Adua would
cloak the election which was regarded as massively flawed, with some legitimacy.

Incidentally, Mr. Adeniyi was also a fierce critique of the electoral process that had
produced the same president for whom he is now chief spokesman.

Others felt this was a once in a life time opportunity and offered Mr. Adeniyi the
opportunity to work for change from the inside.

But to those who saw Mr. Adeniyi’s as a voice that decisively pointed out the excesses of
government, his decision to take up the appointment would be a sad loss of the Verdict.

20
Now that Mr. Adeniyi resides in high places his vantage position of being able to see
both sides of the divided has evidently turned the Verdict into shades of grey.

The issue taken up by Mr. Abati his Sunday Guardian column of October 19,
“Crossroads”, was to draw attention to the insatiable nature of those in public service.

That people in public service loot the resources of the State for their private benefit is
common knowledge in Nigeria.

In his days on the wrong side of the divide, Mr. Adeniyi passed countless verdicts
condemning lootocracy at all levels of public service.

Now that Mr. Adeniyi is on the right side of the divide, his Verdict is that there may be
more as to why for instance, NPA spent N549 billion in 7 years with nothing to show for
it.

Why over N3 trillion has been pumped into the development of the Niger Delta but that
region is still embroiled in crises over allegations of lack of development.

Why we are still bewildered over what happened to the $16 billion that was supposed to
be expended on the power sector.

His Verdict is that public servants are under pressure to deliver the dividends of public
service to family members, friends, village members, club associates and others.

These demands on our esteemed public servants include payment of school fees, medical
bills, feeding allowance, business financing etc.

Since the salaries of public servants cannot meet all these pressing demands, there is a
seeming license to plunder for good cause, like Robin Hood, from the treasury.

Impliedly, this Robin Hood like type of plundering of the treasury is more acceptable
than those who enter into public service for the single purpose of enriching themselves.

Considering that government is failing in meeting its responsibilities and obligations to

Nigerians, these Robin Hood like public servants are happily filling the void.

For those Nigerians (and they are in the majority) who are unfortunate not to have access
to the Mr. Adeniyi’s they can at least cry out to God and hope for divine intervention.

Better yet, they should accept their fate and pray that fortune will smile on them one day
when a public servant they know can have access to the treasury for their benefit.

But if only these Nigerians would learn to suffer in silence and stop pressuring the Mr.
Adeniyi’s, may be there will be a substantial reduction in lootocracy.

21
The final verdict: Nigerians are guilty for acts of complicity in encouraging primitive
accumulation by public servants ultimately for their indirect benefit.

Surely the Verdict has undergone a radical transformation and now lives in shades of
grey.

22
Between MKO Abiola and Barack Obama

Following the election of Barack Obama through the presidential primaries and general
elections has been a rewarding experience.

Beyond the symbolism of a black man becoming the number one citizen of the world is
how this feat was actually accomplished.

Up against a Clinton political establishment that had been on ground for over 20 years,
Barack Obama still prevailed in the Democratic primaries.

Against the Republican attack machine and despite fielding the ultimate American war
hero as its candidate, Barack Obama won by a land slide.

He not only won in traditional Democratic states, but also in Republican states that had
not voted for a democrat in over 40 years including votes from every demographic group.

The euphoria that greeted his election victory was sweeping not only in the US but right
across the nations of the earth and the messages of support have been pouring in.

In the midst of all this, it is important to appreciate that Barack Obama's victory did not
come on a platter of gold but was a hard fought victory.

Over a period of two years he crisscrossed all the 50 states of America, engaged in
countless debates, went on an international tour and shook millions of hands.

How was a freshman senator and a black man for that matter able to accomplish this feat
which for generations to come will be spoken of as a historical fact?

We can talk about his decision to forgo public financing and raising over USD600
million to finance his campaign, more than any other presidential candidate in the history
iof the US.

We can also talk about his oratorical eloquence and communication skills which carried
his message of hope and changed to billions around the earth.

Many refer to his cool, calm and collected manner which in the midst of a global
economic tsunami that had particularly hit the US hard showed him as a capable leader.

What about his debate performances and his ability to address concerns of the middle
class and poor or the zeal with which young people embraced him?

I could go on reeling off reasons why Barack Obama won the presidential polls, but what
has most intrigued me was his ground game.

During the Democratic primaries, I had registered my e-mail address with the Barack

23
Obama campaign and was privileged to receive a steady stream of information and
regular communication.

If I was an American citizen, not even an earthquake would have prevented me from
voting, that was how mobilized I was.

The Barack Obama campaign succeeded in making it a contest between

McCain\Bush\Republican party on one hand and the people on the other hand.

They were able to tap into the frustrations and anger of the middle class and blue collar
Americans and channel that into a flood of release to sweep to victory at the polls.

They were also able to resurrect from the voting dead millions who had never voted in
the past and millions who were registering to vote for the first time.

Their field operations were outstanding with field campaign offices numbering 100s in
almost each state and manned by volunteers many participating for the first time.

Barack Obama's volunteers made more phone calls and knocked on more doors than on
behalf of any other candidate in US voting history.

His dominance also extended to the internet where his supporters utilized all available
web tools to campaign on his behalf.

The result was that against every conceivable prejudice and falsehood, a black man with
an African father and Islamic names is today the president elect of the most powerful
nation on the earth.

Similarly, it was said of MKO Abiola that a Muslim Muslim ticket would not work, and
that those in the north would not vote for a Yoruba southerner.

That remembering the alleged betrayal of Ibos by Yoruba's during the Nigerian civil war
that no Ibo man or woman would vote for MKO Abiola.

That with IBB the dribbler in charge at Aso Rock that there would be no free and fair
elections, leaving the way clear for an ordained candidate.

Yet MKO Abiola with his HOPE 93 campaign swept to a resounding presidential
election victory in Nigeria which was eventually undone by an annulment.

MKO Abiola's ground game may not have been as extensive as that of Barack Obama's
but his ground operations were just as impressive.

Mention the fact that he almost visited all towns and cities in Nigeria using a helicopter
including the small town where I come from in Edo state.

24
MKO Abiola had representatives in all polling stations monitoring the elections across
Nigeria, and it was said that they all had radios with which they instantaneously
communicated poll results..

He was also able to tap into the frustrations and anger of Nigerians towards IBB the
dribbler and turned the election into one between the people and the government of the
day and itd collaborators.

On June 12 1993, the aged, infirmed, able, young, old, male, female came out en-mass to
unleash a flood that almost swept MKO Abiola into power and caused immense crisis
that re-vibrated until 1999.

This is the reality and backgrounds of which transformational electoral victories are
accomplished.

Today in Nigeria that same frustration and anger is boiling against the monster that says
it wants to rule Nigeria for 60 years and that prides itself as the biggest party in Africa.

Short of believing for the intervention of "Fellow Nigerians" which will not serve our
collective interests, the only viable alternative is to go the Barack Obama and MKO
Abiola route.

In this day and age when over 60 million Nigerians have mobile phones, and some
private television stations have national coverage.

In this day and age when millions of Nigerians have access to the internet and
communicate through e-mail.

In this day and age when private radio stations and newspapers abound and the news
circle in Nigeria works on a 24 hours basis.

In this day and age when we have viable and vibrant labor sector and professional
organisations and civil society organizations abound in large numbers.

In this day and age when our Khaki brothers repeated assure us that their days of
intervention in government are effectively over.

Surely we can free ourselves from the tyranny and oppression of those who want to keep
us enslaved in perpetuity.

25
Fighting for their Lives

For many years I did not understand the difference between the Republican and
Democratic Parties in the United States of America.

I was also struggling to distinguish between the terms 'liberals' and 'conservatives' used
repeatedly to describe politicians in America.

However, the global interest generated in the just concluded presidential elections has
served to educate the world on the intricacies of American politics and the issues at stake.

It turns out that business owners and management largely populate the Republican Party
while the ranks of the Democratic Party are largely populated by working class people.

The Republican Party favors policies that encourage businesses to thrive while allowing
free market forces to have full sway which means less government intervention and
spending (conservatism).

Democrats on the other hand also believe in free markets but have nothing against
government interventions coupled with huge government spending (liberalism) for the
benefit usually of the working class.

This explains why the ranks of the Republican Party are filled with lobbyists who act as
middlemen between businesses and the US Congress and Government.

The campaign team of John McCain was saturated with lobbyists while that of Barack
Obama tried to distance itself from the influence of lobbyists.

In addition to influencing government policies and laws for the benefit of the business
sector, the presence of lobbyists in a campaign also serves to channel campaign donations
from the business sector.

This is why Barack Obama's decision to forgo public financing in favor of raising
contributions from the American people was quite decisive in helping him achieve
victory.

One of the out comes of the George Bush presidency and the earlier dominance of
Congress by the Republican Party was the near absence of government regulations for
certain aspects of the financial sector.

Businesses operating hedge funds and other financial derivates were given a free hand to
set their own rules resulting in trillion USDs growth that spanned the entire globe.

When the bottom fell out of this sector, the effect was felt both on Wall Street (the
financial sector) and Main Street (the American people) and also right across the nations
of the earth rich and poor ones alike.

26
In the last few months almost all the investment banks in the US have collapsed while
most commercial banks have either been acquired or merged with other less viable ones.

There has also been a credit crunch that has affected businesses which has turned the
American labor market on a downward slide in terms of job losses.

Lack of credit has also affected the American people whose consumption is financed by
credit throwing production of goods and services almost to a screeching halt.

The initial response of the George Bush government was to arrange a USD700 billion
bail out for the finance sector to be paid for by American people.

Counting the earlier interventions to rescue AIG, Bear Sterns etc, the financial bail out is
probably over a trillion USD while the American people who are hurting the most have
largely been on their own.

With a record number of Americans loosing their homes and jobs, and many in the
middle class sliding towards poverty, the Bush administration is unwilling to support a
stimulus package or bail out for the American people.

During the campaigns, Barack Obama pitched his campaign promises and policies
towards the middle class and the poor.

John McCain on the other hand tried to couch his campaign promises and policies in
populist terms although they favored the business sector.

This explains why Barack Obama repeatedly sought to link John McCain to the failed
policies of George Bush asking the people to vote for change that would be in their own
self interest.

A lot has been said about the significance of a black man becoming the president elect of
the US and why Barack Obama received over 90% of the black vote.

Mention must also be made of the record breaking amounts he raised as campaign
contributions and the once in a life time effective campaign that he ran.

But for majority of Americans the economy was the number one issue and they were
prepared to vote for anyone including a black man with Islamic names if he had the
solutions to their economic problems.

As the saying goes, a drowning man does not care about the color of skin of his rescuer
as his only challenge is to stretch out his hand to grasp the already out stretched arm of
his rescuer.

27
This was what middle class and poor Americans did in large numbers for Barack Obama
by registering to vote in large numbers and also coming out to vote in large numbers.

Millions voted in early voting exercises, cueing for hours while many more voted by
absentee ballot.

Millions also participated directly in campaigning for Barack Obama either through voter
mobilization or through using phones to contact other voters.

Many were precinct captains, i.e. neighborhood voter organizers and many voters held
house parties to woo other voters.

Many also traveled from their homes to other states to help the Barack Obama campaign
in states were they need reinforcement.

Of particular importance were the roles played by young people in supporting and
volunteering for the Barack Obama campaign.

All these people were fighting for their lives and the need to preserve a future for their
posterity by voting and volunteering.

Their financial contributions propelled the total haul of the Barack Obama campaign to
USD600 million, the highest ever in the US.

They took to heart the saying of Saul Alinsky that it is better to die standing on your feet
than to live begging on your knees.

Today the American people have had their way because they fought for what they
believed in, a position which does not seem to apply to Nigerians.

Here we love life and the popular saying is that 'God de' meaning that tomorrow will be
better than today of its own accord.

In reality, Nigerians don't have life but existence except of course they live in high places
far away in the corridors of power.

Those who live in high places and are intent in preserving the status quo (conservatives)
know that Nigerians do not believe in fighting for their collective destinies.

It is every man for him, God for us all, thus allowing our conservatives to play a divide
and rule game from the 1960s to date.

So the Nigerian lives on his knees perpetually begging others for what is rightfully his,
whether it is government and its MDAs.

28
They also beg educational institutions, employers, security agencies, landlords, service
providers, financial institutions, justice, etc.

Truly a beggar has no choice.

29
Between Yar’Adua and Shagari

News that the Federal Government intends to borrow N700 billion to meet up the short
fall in projected revenues earnings for 2009 are disturbing.

Add that to the World Bank’s offer of another $3 billion loan towards infrastructure
development due to the same expected revenue short fall and you begin to wonder.

However, the opposition of State Governors to the pegging of the price of a barrel of
crude oil for budget purposes at $45 instead of their preferred price of $50 is troubling.

In the last two months crude oil prices have fallen from an all time high of $147 to $59 as
at date and this is causing earth tremors within the Nigerian economy.

For a nation that depends over 95% on crude oil earnings to fuel the spending binge that
has possessed government at all levels, the signs are not too good.

With massive short falls in expected revenues for 2009, it appears that governments at all
levels are prepared to resort to borrowing or feasting on the remaining crude oil excess
savings.

While the Federal Government pretends to peg the budget spending for 2009 using $45
per barrel of crude oil thus saving the excess State Governments want it pegged at $50.

No one is asking what will happen should the price of a barrel of crude oil fall to
ridiculously lower levels since all steps taken by OPEC to boost prices have failed.

The bailouts announced by the USA ($700 billion) and the Chinese (over $500 billion)
including those of other developed nations have failed to boost economic growth.

It does appear that our leaders do not understand the full impact of the global recession
that has overwhelmed the nations of the earth and reversed the economic gains of the last
few decades.

All indications point to a government as usual approach in spite of warnings by the

Central Bank Governor that continuing fall in crude oil prices can torpedo the Nigerian
economy.
Other than the payment of debts rolled over since the 1980s using gains from the rising
price of crude oil from 1999 to 2005, we can hardly account for the gains of the last few
years.

Rather we have had a whirlwind of corruption scandals as evidence of the judicious use
of these earnings while development has taken a leave of absence from Nigeria.

What Nigerians should resist are attempts to take this nation light year back by
government borrowing to finance imaginary budget short falls that end up in the abyss.

30
This was what happened during the years of the Shagari government from 1979 to 1983
that left Nigeria so indebted that poverty reigned supreme over the land.

Recall that Mr. Shagari inherited foreign reserves of over $3 billion in 1979 but in a few
years had eaten through the money with little or nothing to show for it.

About that time crude oil prices fell to ridiculous rates, i.e. $10 or less, drastically
reducing government earnings.

Rather than cut costs the Shagari governments resorted to borrowing from home and
abroad in order to continue with their profligate spending.

Mr. Shagari made no real efforts to call his political bed fellows to order or reign in
government spending and by late 1983 Nigerians were literally begging "Fellow
Nigerians to intervene.

They did but efforts of the stern looking Khaki government that replaced Mr. Shagari to
adjust our coat to fit our size were regarded as too draconian.

The gap toothed general aptly described as the dribbler took advantage of the discontent
and replaced the government pf Mr. Buhari.

Knowing the love of Nigerians for wanting to enjoy without picking up the tab, the
dribbler dribbled us with all manners of high sounding policies while business as usual
continued on all fronts.

Not even the wind fall from high crude oil earning during the Gulf war was able to bring
succor to Nigerians.

The dark goggled one was even worse although his brazen desire to have the entire
resources of the state to himself ensure that some monies were still left behind for others
who came after to also squander.

I have taken the pains to recall some of what happened in the past to show that history
appears ready to repeat itself unless our political leaders call themselves to order.
However, evidence of this possibility is scant especially as the ruling party appears to
lack a soul and the discipline to reign in its marauding members in high places.

Professing its desire to rule for 60 years, the strategy of the alleged biggest party in
Africa is to swallow up the opposition while holding on to political power through vote
capturing.

Mr. Yar'Adua has also not done much to reign in marauding political office holders as
can be seen by the weakening influence of the anti-corruption agencies and the daily
corruption scandals that abound.

31
One has to question the effectiveness of his government as seen in the handling of the
proposed power emergency and the reshuffling of the Federal Executive Council which
have both dragged on.

I cannot keep out of my mind similarities between Mr. Shagari and Mr. Yar'Adua in
terms of governance styles and the drifting nature of the country and the near loss of
influence Nigeria has suffered in Africa and the world since 2007.

But what is certain is that continuous government spending with little or no value is not
sustainable against the background of dwindling crude oil earnings and increased
government borrowing.

What no one is prepared for and wants is the return of "Fellow Nigerians" who keep
assuring us but leave the state worse off than they meet it.

What then are our other options?

32
They ate our inheritance

I recall reading a funny account about Adam and Eve after they were kicked out of the
Garden of Eden that captures accurately the state of Nigeria today.

It is about Adam pointing from afar to the Garden of Eden and telling his son, “That is
where we used to live until your mother ate us out of it”.

This is exactly how our politicians especially those in the Peoples Democratic Party have
from 1999 to date eaten Nigerians out of their inheritance.

From 1999 to mid 2008, the price of crude oil has sky-rocketed from as low as US$20 per
barrel of crude oil to US$147.

During the period in question, crude oil production also quadrupled approaching at some
point almost 2.5 million barrels per day.

Billions of US Dollars have poured into the coffers of government from 1999 to date that
has been religiously shared among the three tiers of government.

There is no arm of government today that is not getting at least 300% more in revenue
allocations than they did prior to 1999.

Thanks to the Obasanjo administration and the efforts of the National Assembly, all
revenue receipts were mostly channeled into the Federation Account.

But for the payment of Nigeria’s external debts during this period, what else do we have
to show for the billions in US Dollars that is our collective inheritance?

Is it that our national, state and local government roads networks are now motor able
allowing for movement of people and goods across the length and breadth of Nigeria?

Or that education at all levels in Nigeria is no longer an issue of the depth of your pocket
thus resulting in an ever widening gap between children of the rich and poor?

What about a public health care system that is really private in nature thereby driving
many to the hands of naturalists and quacks or self-medication?

Should I include the general insecurity in the land that leaves only the rich and well
connected protected?

Do I refer to the Niger Delta which has defied all pretenses of development
notwithstanding the trillions of Naira thrown at it?

What about the human contrived lack of power that makes nonsense of the billions of US
Dollars expended on power projects in the last few years?

33
The main development in the midst of thick darkness that has enveloped Nigeria has been
the growth in phone usage by over 60 million Nigerians, thanks to GSM companies.

May be we can also add the emergence of mega banks and the boom in the stock
exchange which has not in any way benefited the average Nigeria.

But we can point to the emergence of billionaires and millionaires among the ruling elites
and their collaborators from 1999 to date.

Most of them are upstarts with nothing in their pedigrees or business accomplishments to
support their new found status other than being in high places.

While these ruling elites and their collaborators live the life, Nigerians are stuck in
grinding poverty and dying like chickens.

Now the bubble is finally about to burst as crude oil prices come crashing to earth from
their once stratospheric levels.

Unfortunately our ruling elites and their collaborators do no seem to appreciate this
simple reality as many are rolling out budgets that cannot be sustained in 2009.

My take is that Nigeria has missed its season of transition to progress to the next level of
development like our neighbor Ghana.

We tried but woefully failed to move to the next level by doing things better the same
way without changing our operating paradigms.

We had more states and local governments, more MDAs were created, more
commissions and panels of inquiry were set up, but nothing happened.

We had more legislators, passed more billion and trillion Naira budgets, disbursed more
public funds than at any other time in Nigerian history, and yet nothing happened.

We had more seminars, conferences, workshops and retreats conducted by both the
public and private sectors but nothing happened.

We even ended up with more newspapers, private radio and television stations and yet it
was business as usual.

But we retained our basic animalistic trait that makes only for the survival of the fittest
and leaves everyman watching out only for his own interest.

The funny thing is that other than the ruling elites and their collaborators no one can
really tell what vision is guiding Nigeria at this point in time.

34
The so called 7 Point Agenda of the Yar’Adua government is not even a vision and at
that no one except probably Mr. Yar’Adua can tell what its outcome will be like.

So the gradual descent into the abyss has begun for Nigeria and Nigerians and from the
look of things, our experiences between 1980s and 1990s will be child’s play.

With dwindling crude oil receipts, a population of 140 million Nigerians added to ruling
elites who only know how to chop in the billions of Naira interesting times are ahead.

35
Mr. Moore and the Essence of Government

Hilmar Moore is the longest-serving elected official in the United States, having
remained in office since he was elected mayor of the town of Richmond, Texas in 1949.

The townspeople of Richmond have kept faith with Mr. Moore as their mayor, especially
as he is reputed to be a frugal guardian of the public purse.

Unlike other towns and cities in the United States that have term limits for those who
occupy the position of mayor, the townspeople of Richmond are not worried.

Barack Obama will be the twelfth president whose inauguration will be taking place
during the almost 60 year period that Mr. Moore has remained in office as mayor.

And from every indication, the townspeople of Richmond have no intention of ever
voting out Mr. Moore as mayor in the foreseeable future.

In appreciation of Mr. Moore, the townspeople of Richmond recently paid for a bronze
likeness of their mayor which stands a short distance from the front door of his office.

The key to the love the townspeople of Richmond have for their mayor may not be
unconnected with Mr. Moore’s understanding of what role government should play.

To Mr. Moore, the essence of government is: “Do the most good you can for the most
people, with the money you have”

This according to Mr. Moore is the most essential and most vital function of government,
as it were, the heart and soul of what government is about.

The likes of Mr. Moore as government officials, are concerned with making decisions
and actions that are useful in practice, not just theory

They are concerned with practical matters and adopt a matter-of-fact (or pragmatic)
approach to problems.

They are also guided by practical experience and observation rather than theory and
engage not in ideological but pragmatic politics.

They give a matter-of-fact account of the state of affairs and are guided by practical
experience and observation rather than theory.

So, though Mr. Moore is an independent in the largely Republican state of Texas, the
townspeople of Richmond would rather have practical solutions to their problems.

This probably explains why the American people opted for Barack Obama as opposed to
John McCain to become their 44th president in the midst of an economic recession.

36
There are valuable lessons for leaders of countries of the earth especially those in Africa
and our own country Nigeria in Mr. Moore’s simple and straightforward distillation of
government.

The first is that they should stop wasting time in their various machinations and
maneuverings to become sit tight leaders.

All these leaders need is to tow the line of Mr. Moore and address in practical ways the
various challenges facing most of their citizens.

It will then be up to the people to jettison term limits contained in constitutions and insist
on having as leaders those who understand the essence of government.

The second is that arrangements such as power shifts or rotation between ethnic or other
groups in a country are not necessary if the leaders understand the essence of
government.

People of different ethnic stocks within a country usually have the same problems
whether or not power is rotated or shifted.

The implication is that the group with political power at the material time stands to
benefit more from government leaving the other groups waiting for their turn.

The third is that most people are at heart not ideological, tribal, or prejudiced especially
where they have a government that uses its resources for the best interest of the majority.

The fourth is that divisions along ethnic, tribal, religious and racial lines are usually
engineered by leaders who want to corner the resources of the state for their own benefit.

The fifth is that the main preoccupation of those in government should be how to use the
resources of government for the most good of most of the people.

This calls for a people centric government as opposed to a government and its institutions
centric government.

The sixth is that government is supposed to be simple and straightforward as opposed to

being complex and confusing.

Finally, it also means that government should be structured in such a way as to deliver on
its essence which is to use its resources for maximum good to the most of the people.

The establishment of government structures that have their own life and serve only the
interest of those in government should be avoided.

37
This way, tons of obscene amounts of money that are voted annually for maintaining
these government structures can be channeled into other useful purposes.

38
The Jos Riots

News of the outbreak of violent protests in parts of Jos following the conduct of local
government elections is distressing.

According to the BBC, over 300 people have died with many others either maimed or
injured while many properties have been destroyed.

The violence pitted supporters of the ruling PDP in Plateau State against those of the
ANPP over the outcome of the chairmanship of the Jos North Local Government.

It is alleged that the genesis of the problem is the fight over control of the Jos North
Local Government between so called "settlers" and "indigenes".

In the early years of the Fourth Republic, a similar crisis in Plateau state had resulted in
the death of over 1000.

The latest crises clearly indicate that no lessons have been learnt or measures put in place
to prevent a reoccurrence.

The extent of the loss of human lives and destruction of properties again calls to question
the undue importance attached to the control of local, state and the Federal government.

Across Nigeria, the strong desire to control government machinery runs deep and has
been responsible for numerous crises that have caused much loss of lives and destruction
of properties.

The 1999 Constitution only recognizes the Federal, State and Local Government and
their ministries, agencies and departments as entitled to partake in the sharing of revenue.

The sad reality is that these arms of government are not only artificial but arbitrary
creations of past military governments and self-serving politicians.

Grouped in these artificial creations are villages, towns, cities, communities and
kingdoms that all predate the amalgamation of the North and South in 1914.

With money for development channeled through these artificial entities, their control
becomes a means to an end.

This throws up competition among various interests who will do and say anything to
achieve their objective.

They will play the tribal or ethnic card, the religious and non-religious card, and the
settler and indigene card if that will bring them closer to the control of state resources.

39
There is almost no town, village, community, city or kingdom in Nigeria whose peoples
are developed because a son or daughter of theirs was in control of state resources.

What we have is overwhelming evidence that only family members, friends,

collaborators and bootlickers have profited repeatedly from such arrangements.

Meanwhile the suffering masses are used as sacrificial lambs in the time of crises thus
resulting in double jeopardy.

Again the children of these politicians are never caught in the crossfire resulting from the
high stakes politics played by their parents but the poor.

I am heartened by the recent election of a minority and a black man for that matter as the
president elect of the United States of America.

It is proof that people can rise above narrow considerations to looking at the content of a
man's character as a basis for deciding eligibility for handling political power.

It has taken the United States of America hundreds of years and the sacrifices of many
lives both white and black to arrive at this historic junction.

Nigeria does not have the luxury of time but what we do have are the lives of millions of
its people who have been cut down before their time and through no fault of theirs.

The collective bloods of these Nigerians flows like a river reminding us those immense
sacrifices have been made to cleanse this nation of these deep rooted prejudices.

The spirits of these Nigerians roam the land lamenting their fate and crying out for justice
and solutions to these 21st century blights on our collective destinies.

We must not despair but must individually and collectively do our utmost best to address
these structural defects in the foundation of Nigeria.

I commensurate with the families of those who have lost loved ones and encourage those
whose properties have been lost or destroyed to take heart.

Your collective losses and sacrifices will not be in vain.

40
Why We Must Act Now

As I looked at a photograph of some of the dead, victims of the recent riots in Jos
following the Local Government Elections, a chill went down my spine.

Could this be a fore taste of what to expect should the General Elections in 2011 produce
results that are not acceptable to the generality of Nigerians?

The results of the Local Government Elections in Plateau State which were completely
swept by the PDP had not even been released before the carnage started.

Also the swiftness and ease with which people were killed or maimed and properties
destroyed would seem to indicate that there was more to the issue than meets the eye.

The elections were conducted against the context of the 2001 crises in Plateau State
between so called “settlers” and “indigenes” that resulted in over 1, 000 deaths.

It was therefore evident those conditions were not normal in Plateau State and that there
were enough kegs of gun powder in place waiting to be ignited.

But the question remains whether the carnage in Jos could have been avoided and my
emphatic response is yes.

The solution could only have been by the conduct of free and fair elections done in a
satisfactory manner and with results duly announced.

What measures were taken by the Plateau State Electoral Commission to guarantee the
conduct of free and fair elections against the context of existing tensions?

Did the PSEC choose to rely on the disputed voters register and polling centers utilized
by the Independent Electoral Commission for the disputed 2007 General Elections?

What extra security measures were put in place by the Plateau State Government, the
Nigerian Police and the State Security Service in the light of the combustible context?

Were a potential crisis anticipated and the Nigerian military put on alert to act swiftly and
to avert the carnage recently witnessed in Jos?

The answers to these and many other questions may shed more light on the processes that
resulted in an avoidable carnage with lessons for all with regard to 2011.

I write with a sense of foreboding regarding the 2011 General Elections because the
context for 2007 will be completely different from that of 2011.

I know the PDP has boasted that it will remain in power for 60 years seeing it has
perfected the act of capturing power from the elections in 1999, 2003 and 2007.

41
My warning is that the context for 2011 General Elections will only permit for the
conduct of free and fair elections and nothing else.

First by 2011, Nigerians would have been without regular power supply for over 12
years, and will be on the look out for those who can genuinely address this problem.

Second, the increased insecurity in Nigeria is directly traceable to rising levels of poverty
and unemployment as a result of government policies.

Third, the continued fall in the price of crude oil and reduced revenue earnings may by
2011 have thrown the Nigerian economy into dire straits.

Fourth, the increasing ineffectiveness of the anti-corruption agencies in the midst of

escalating corruption scandals has Nigerians looking onto 2011 for deliverance.

Five opposition political parties that have been outside the corridors of power since 1999
will also be planning towards the 2011 elections.

Six, the increased awareness created amongst Nigerians by the election of Barack Obama
as the first black president of America will be looking forward to 2011 for expression.

Finally, with the slow pace and mixed results of judicial resolution of petitions over the
conduct of 2007 elections, the patience of Nigerians would have worn thin by 2011.

Seeing that the government in power has a preference to preserve the status quo come
2011 now is the time to act and begin the mobilization towards free and fair elections.

42
Observations on 2009 Federal Budget

After two deferments Mr. Yar’Adua finally presented the 2009 Federal Budget to the
joint session of the National Assembly.

The delay in presenting the 2009 budget could probably be justified by the drastic fall in
the price of crude oil that made nonsense of earlier budget projections.

With crude oil prices now about $50 per barrel from a high of $147, there was need for
the Federal Government to go back to the drawing board to tinker with the budget.

However, there is little to indicate from the N2.8 trillion budgets now presented by Mr.
Yar’Adua that any advantage has been taken of the period of delay.

Although Mr. Yar’Adua has said the right things about appreciating how the reduced
earnings will affect the Nigerian economy, the 2009 budget points otherwise.

First the 2009 budget is at least N500 billion more than the 2008 budget of N2.748
trillion, notwithstanding those earnings in 2009 will be substantially less.

And this will be in spite of Mr. Yar’Adua’s own admission that the performance of the
2008 Budget was less than satisfactory although 100% of capital vote had been released.

Second, Mr. Yar’Adua says that in the 2009 fiscal year, more emphasis will be placed on
increasing remittances from public corporations, parastatals and agencies.

He anticipates N306 billion to be generated from these sources but the reality is that these
organizations have perfected the act of amortizing internally generated revenue.

Third, N1.649 trillion has been budgeted for Recurrent Expenditure in 2009 as against
N796.7 billion for Capital Expenditure.

The difference is about N853 billion, implying the Federal Government will spend
double on personnel costs that will deliver on capital development projects.

Fourth, there is a proposed deficit of N1.09 trillion in the 2009 Budget to be financed
from varied sources including borrowing.

Will the Federal Government reduce Recurrent or Capital Expenditure where it faces
challenges in financing the proposed deficit?

Five, and following from the above, the record of the Federal Government when it comes
to getting value for money spent has been abysmal.

It will amount to double jeopardy to engage in valueless spending using borrowed money
especially when no one can predict when the current global recession will end.

43
Six, Mr. Yar’Adua expects that in 2009, MDAs will implement their projects and
programs with responsibility and with regard to due process in budget implementation.

Is Mr. Yar’Adua implying that MDAs like NPA, FAAN, NIMASA, NNPC, and others
will undergo miraculous transformations in 2009?

Seven, the predications on which the 2009 Budget are based are impliedly casts as
absolutes since other scenarios are not offered.

Again, the implication is that where oil production falls below 2.292 mbpd and
benchmark oil price below $45, the proposed deficit may balloon beyond N1.09 trillion.

Many other observations will be made by economic and finance experts once the Finance
Ministry present the actual breakdown of the figures in the 2009 budget.

But from my layman’s position, there is nothing to be cheerful about especially as the
unfolding scenario reminds me so erringly of what happened in Nigerian in the early 80s.

The present state of affairs is even worse because in the 80s there was nothing like the
Niger Delta crises with the proven ability to wreck crude oil production.

So crude oil prices are falling, the global economy is in a recession, the Niger Delta
militants are still on rampage, and revenue earnings from crude oil are falling.

The response of the Federal Government is to increase the 2009 budget, increase
borrowing while praying that its MDAs will give value for money spent.

Revenue generating MDAs will also be expected to increase on their revenue generation
and remit moneys back to the Federal Government.

.According to Dr. Noel Woodroffe of Congress-WBN, your destination is determined by

your process.

In other words, Mr. Yar’Adua has expressed his wishes and desires for the 2009 Budget
but can they be sustained by the processes in place in the MDAs?

44
Under-education and non-education

I heard a view point about the problems of Nigeria and how long it will take to address
them from a lady with a unique perspective.

Born in Nigeria, the lady was sent to the UK by her parents at an early age where she was
educated.

She only returned to Nigeria after working for years in the UK and is now employed in
the administration department of a private school in Lagos.

Recalling her experiences since she relocated to Nigeria, she has found it difficult to
reconcile the quality of life in the UK and Nigeria.

Describing her experiences in Lagos as harrowing but challenging, the grueling nature of
life in Lagos has pushed her to the brink.

And when compared to the ordered existence of life in the UK she wonders at times why
she came back to Nigeria.

But then again Lagos is home and she would rather be here than in the UK where she
sometimes felt like an outsider looking in.

She did opine though that it would take Nigeria more than 50 years to get things right and
for a semblance of order to be injected into the status quo.

Taken aback I asked what could have informed such a position considering I am one who
wants urgent solutions to our numerous problems.

Her response set me thinking and could be paraphrased as follows: Consider the millions
of children in Nigeria today who are not being educated or are being undereducated.

Also consider the millions more who are being raised in poverty in the midst of
ostentatious display of wealth by a few in the society.

20 to 30 years from now they will have come of age and will constitute the majority in an
environment where the few educated ones must interact with them.

Until such a time when minimum standards are put in place and there is a leveling of
sorts between the rich and the poor then Nigeria will continue to struggle.

I was intrigued by her view point which was probably enhanced by her involvement in
the education sector.

In the 70s when the military nationalized all schools, public schools were the norm and it
took sitting for entrance examinations to gain admission.

45
Today, private schools are the norm with admissions based on a pay as you can basis
while the poor are left to attend public schools that barely qualify to be called schools.

The same applies to universities where the children of the rich attend private universities
and millions are left to struggle yearly for about 100000 spaces in public universities.

The result is that millions drop out of school yearly while even those who manage to
graduate from the public universities cannot find jobs.

While the children of top government officials and the rich are schooling abroad and in
the best schools locally, the children of the middle class are struggling to enter public
universities.

As for the children of the poor, they are completely left to their fate and constitute the
artisans, street traders, house helps and drivers.

I was in Orile-Iganmu for the passing out event of over 1500 students that had attended a
computer training program conducted by Orile-Iganmu Progressive Association.

In an age described as the technology era, many of them were coming in contact with the
computer for the first time.

In a subsequent seminar that was conducted for the students many were looking for
financial assistance in order to further their education.

There I knew that these children would never be able to compete with my own children
who are in a private school in Lagos.

That realization was gutting but the lady has helped me to put things in proper
perspective by projecting what the future would look like.

What is clear is that things will have to get worse before they get better in Nigeria
otherwise we cannot progress in this country.

I am reminded of the writings of Leo Tolstoy who says that human progress is only
possible after the realization that a present state of existence is no longer sustainable.

It is only at that point that the search for a better state of life or existence can truly
commence.

We are like a people caught in a vice where all recognize the existence of the vice and the
burden of living in that state but continue in it all the same.

Those who diverted the $16 billion meant for the power sector knew that it further threw
Nigeria into darkness and yet that did not stop them.

46
Those who yearly engage in the ritual of budgeting know that the trillions being budgeted
will disappear into private pockets yet the ritual continues.

Those who for years have profited from the crises in the Niger Delta and the subjugation
of its peoples will not stop for one minute to consider the implications of their evil deeds.

And those who deliberately pursue policies that under educate or noneducate the vast
majority of Nigerian children know the outcome of their actions but they persist anyway.

Educated youths would have thought twice before engaging in maiming, killings and
destruction of properties like what we witnessed in Jos, Plateau state last week.

The principle is that whatever we sow that is what will be reaped and this is why I left
that lady's office in a somber mood.

47
The 2009 Budget and the Essence of Government

The longest serving elected public official in the world is Hilmar Moore, the mayor of
Richmond, Texas.

He was first elected to office in 1949 and since then has been reelected repeatedly by the
townspeople of Richmond where he still serves to date.

Barack Obama's inauguration as president will be the 12th inauguration that Hilmar
Moore will be witnessing.

To Mr. Moore who will be spending his 60th year as mayor, the essence of government is:
“Do the most good you can for the most people, with the money you have”

This according to Mr. Moore is the most essential and vital function of government, as it
were, the heart and soul of what government is about.

Governments in Nigeria have a different essence from that stated by Mr. Moore and the
2009 Budget recently presented by Mr. Yar'Adua proves this beyond reasonable doubt.

Of the N2.748 trillion budgeted for 2009, N1.649 trillion has been budgeted for Recurrent
Expenditure against N796.7 billion for Capital Expenditure.

The difference is about N853 billion, implying the Federal Government will spend
double on personnel costs to deliver on capital development projects.

Capital expenditure represents spending on projects that are supposed to benefit the vast
majority of 140 million Nigerians.

Recurrent expenditure on the other hand is spending on recurring expenses and overheads
of public officers and servants.

These are people who can be found in the three tiers of government and include elected
officials in the executive and legislature.

Although no one seems to know their exact number especially as many ghost workers
still exist in the government, their number at the Federal level cannot exceed 500, 000.

As things stand these 500, 000 servants in 2009 are going to consume almost double of
what will be expended on capital projects for the benefit of 140 million Nigerians.

Capital projects would include spending on the power sector, construction of new roads,
and other infrastructure.

To add insult to injury, these 500, 000 servants will also be the ones to disburse the
capital expenditure come 2009.

48
Recall for instance how in 2006, non-existent companies were awarded contracts and
paid out of the $16 billion earmarked for power projects.

In 2009, another N84 billion is proposed by the Federal Government for spending in the
power sector.

As Nigerians these servants will also enjoy the benefits of those capital projects that they
graciously allow to be completed.

Unlike Mr. Moore, the essence of government in Nigeria is to do the most good for its
members and little if any good for Nigerians, with the money available.

No wonder government in Nigeria has been defined as being for the benefit of those in
power and their collaborators.

Talk about having you cake after eating it, which is the only way to describe the two
ways chopping that is going on in high places.

Imagine a situation where servants get to legitimately and annually preside over the
sharing of resources belonging to the commonwealth.

Meanwhile the owners of the commonwealth who are onlookers in the entire sharing
process are then told that the servants will spend this vote on their behalf.

And the servants will also spend what they have allocated to themselves without having
to account to the owners of the commonwealth.

Again, these servants now pretend to seek the endorsement of other servants who use the
opportunity to batter for their own share of the commonwealth.

Multiply this process across 774 Local Government Councils, 36 States of the federation
and the Federal Capital Territory and then the Federal Government and you shudder.

Then add what goes on in ministries, departments and agencies of government and it is
apparent that Nigeria is one huge government bureaucracy.

It is government by the government, for the government, to the government.

49
Our Destiny Lies in our Hands

I heard the outcome of the Supreme Court judgment on Ray Power FM News by 1.00pm,
and a strange calm descended on me.

The report which did not give much detail only stated that that the Supreme Court had
dismissed the appeals of Messrs Buhari and Atiku against the election of Mr. Yar’Adua.

On getting to the office, I went online where I found a report by the BBC providing more
information as to the basis of the Supreme Court decision.

To quote the BBC report “But the Supreme Court has upheld the findings of lower courts
that lawyers had not provided strong enough evidence to overturn the official result”.

According to the Supreme Court, it did not matter that the conduct of the 2007 elections
had been so brazen and condemned by many.

What mattered was that Messrs Buhari and Atiku had been unable to provide strong
evidence of the atrocities that had transpired at the polls in the elections of 2007.

I am certain that the Supreme Court judgment will come in for some harsh criticisms
especially from some who only yesterday were hailing the judiciary.

But then when the Supreme Court declared Rotimi Amechi as the (un)elected governor of
Rivers State, many praised the judiciary as the last hope of the people.

And in the recent affirmation of the election of Adams Oshiomole as the elected governor
of Edo State, the Court of Appeal came in for high praises.

What I am driving at is that with the judiciary, one cannot be too certain which way the
pendulum is going to swing in election petitions.

The judgment of the Supreme Court affirming the election of Mr. Yar’Adua should prove
to Nigerians that salvation will not come from the judiciary.

At the point in which an election petition has to go to court, matters are no longer
completely in the hands of the petitioner or the electorate.

There are many other intervening factors, both inside and outside the court room that can
affect or influence the outcome of these petitions.

Elections are mainly won or lost by what is done or not done prior to the conduct of the
polls and on the day of polling itself.
What is evident is that the majority of the voting public has been absenting themselves
from voting and turning a blind eye to the electoral process.

50
The enthusiasm which greeted the return to civil rule in 1999 has been declining
progressively with every subsequent election conducted in Nigeria.

The waning enthusiasm has seen Nigerian participation in the electoral process reducing
drastically that one political party now talks only of capturing power.

That same political party is now found of declaring that they are going to hold on to
political power in Nigeria for the next 60 years.

Now whether that is a mere boast or is something that can be achieved, I am sure that is
something Nigerians want to be determined by their legitimate votes.

In the just concluded general elections in Ghana, voter turn out was well over 85% of
registered eligible voters.

Also the election of Barack Obama as the president of the United States of America
witnessed unprecedented voters turn out driven by the important issues at stake.

The last time we witnessed such high levels of voter enthusiasm in Nigeria was during
the June 12 1993 elections.

The outcome of that election although subsequently annulled was made possible by the
enthusiastic participation of Nigerians in the electoral process especially on polls day.

That enthusiasm was partly fueled by rising frustration among Nigerians against the
meandering and dribbling rule of Mr. Babangida.

However, the colorful campaign of Mr. Abiola and the grass root mobilizations that he
embarked on were quite unprecedented in Nigeria.

Mr. Yar’Adua and the Peoples Democratic Party are massively supplying the frustration
element by their (mis)rule.

Baring any sudden transformation in the nature and character in the governments across
all tiers of government, frustration among Nigerians will be at boiling point by 2011.

The only other ingredient to spark that frustration into a raging fire for change in Nigeria
at the polls come 2011 will be the enthusiasm factor amongst Nigerians.

It will take an all hands on deck approach to build up enthusiasm amongst Nigerians to
make for a June 12 poll shaking reality to occur in 2011.

This time around, we have all partaken of the spirit of June 12 and imbibed the
mobilizing traits of Messrs Abiola and Obama.

51
Let charity begin at home and each person mobilize another. As Barack Obama says,
change comes from below and not the top.

He only tapped into the ground swell of discontent against George Bush and the
Republican Party and rode that wave to the White house.

This is the time for that ground swell of enthusiasm of change through the ballot to begin
to gather pace and build up. It is a task for all well meaning Nigerians of voting age.

52
The Closure of Ladipo Market

Reports that Ladipo Market has again been closed on the order of Muzi Banire, the.
Honorable Commissioner of Environment should not come as a surprise to those who
have visited the market of recent.

The closure which was approved by the Lagos State Governor, Babatunde Raji Fashola,
is due among others to the unsanitary condition of the market and the repeated failures of
the traders to adhere to the terms of an MOU signed with LSG in 2006.

The MOU was signed after the LSG who had closed the market under similar
circumstances hearkened to pleas from well meaning Nigerians and after the traders
undertook to address the complaints of government.

I recall Peter Obi, the Governor of Anambra state coming all the way to Lagos to add his
voice to those who pleaded with LSG to reopen the market in 2006, but LSG is now
asserting that the traders never adhered to the terms of the MOU.

I have not read the terms of the MOU signed between the traders at Ladipo market and
LSG, and as such I am not in a position to know the exact responsibilities and obligations
of the traders under the terms of the MOU.

What is clear is that between the last closure of the market in 2006, and the recent one,
not much lessons have been learnt by the traders with regards to the unsanitary condition
of the market.

But then Ladipo market is not just an ordinary market as it is the biggest market for old
and new automobile parts along the West Coast, probably excluding Onitsha market
although some will debate this fact.

It also provides direct and indirect employment to thousands if not millions of people
who throng the market in their daily search for sustenance, or who finance the goods that
are available for sale in the market.

Apart from those who are fortunate to have shops in and around the market, there are
many others acting as middle men who intercept customers too stressed to navigate the
market in search of the best deals.

There are also emergency mechanics and other parts fitters hanging around the market
that for an express fee can fit or fix or repair cars with parts bought in the market, a
service needed in an environment where trust is in short supply.

Then there are those that come from all over Lagos, other states in Nigeria and the West
coast nations to buy car parts, and on the supply side are the importers who bring in the
parts from Europe and Asia, financed either by banks or the contributions of others.

53
More important are the Lagosians, both private and commercial car owners who
patronize the used parts section of the market and without which their vehicles are more
like mobile coffins.

This is the complex context in which the LSG has taken the decision to close the Ladipo
market for a yet undeterminable period of time, a decision whose reverberating impact
will be felt in Lagos and other parts of Nigeria and West Africa..

With many of the young men and women earning their living on a daily basis from the
Ladipo market, and in a society with no social safety nets for the majority of hard
working Nigerians, how are these people going to survive?

In the last few months reports of violent robberies across Lagos have increased and the
closure of the market is likely to aggravate the situation especially as Christmas and New
Year celebrations are around the corner.

The timing of the closure may push some of the youths who get their daily sustenance
from the market into taking desperate actions as millions will be thrown into temporary
unemployment worsening an already bad situation.

This does not mean that I condone the actions or in actions of the traders or that I support
the unsanitary state of the market. My take is that if closure of the market 2 years ago
yielded no improvements the chances of similar action working in 2008 may be slim.

I am concerned about the human implications of the actions of LSG in closing the market
although I respect the right of government to take such steps as may address the
environmental challenges presented by the market.

The objective of government is to have a market in Ladipo that is kept clean through the
efforts of the traders. The million Naira question is how this can this be achieved without
resorting to the intermittent closure of the market with its attendant human challenges?

54
The Peoples Democratic Party Symbol

Yesterday, I heard an intriguing explanation about the PDP umbrella symbol from a
source that explains that we are in for a long haul in this country.

According to this source, the umbrella represents benefits and protection for PDP
members and those associated with them.

Meaning if you are not in the PDP, you are not covered by the umbrella and the benefits
and protection that go with it.

The source also conceded that the protection and benefits do not extend to the generality
of Nigerians, but only to Nigerians in the PDP.

And from what I could gather, the benefits have to do with access to state resources and
contracts while the protection is about use of the coercive machinery of the state.

This probably explains why the Action Congress has chosen a broom as its symbol, i.e. to
sweep away the PDP and what it represents.

But jokes aside, this intriguing explanation captures the reality to which Nigerians have
been subjected in the last 9 years of democratic government.

Take the power sector, total funds committed to actualizing power supply since 1999 is
probably enough to light up the whole of Africa, yet powerlessness has been the dividend

Both at home and at the office, I have been my own power generating company and this
week I have had to take a decision to become my own water company.

Education, health, transportation, housing, et al are already my responsibilities and there

is yet no silver lining in the sky.

Meanwhile the budgeting of millions, billions and trillions of Naira as annual budgets by
all tiers of government goes on unabated.

It is going to take immense sacrifice to reverse the status quo and the longer the delay the
more Zimbabwean that challenge will become.

In Zimbabwe, the ruling establishment is prepared to allow the country to become an

economic wasteland and for the people to die of cholera rather than relinquish or share
power.

Not surprisingly, our government has not played any role in trying to resolve the
shameful situation in Zimbabwe.

That is because they intend to stay in power for 60 years and considering Robert Mugabe

55
has only been in power for 28 years, the PDP does not want to ruffle any feathers.

The major problem facing those who are opposed to how the PDP has been ruling the
country is an under estimation of the extent to which the PDP will go to hold on to power

Now even the most brazen poll ever conducted in the history of Nigeria has been certified
and approved by the Supreme Court of Nigeria.

If we were ever under any illusions that we have been enslaved, the judgment of the
Supreme Court is proof of our collective enslavement by those in high places.

By 2011 the enslavement will be extended to our children and the generations to come
and by then the domination will have become institutional.

According to Saul Alinsky, “when injustice is complete and crushing, people seldom
rebel, they just give up”.

It is this apathy and despair and hopelessness that are the biggest obstacles that we face
not just among the poor but especially amongst the professional and middle class.

If you go to communities across Nigerians, at least the poor are looking to be mobilized
and energized for positive social change in Nigeria.

Knowing that those in high places do not want a change in the status quo, yet the
professional and middle class are living what Thoreau called, “lives of quite desperation”.

We are alienated from the peoples at the grass roots and from each other, and we have
become depersonalized without any feeling of participation in the political process.

Our lives which consist in fighting to keep our heads above water are generally
unfulfilling; our jobs are unsatisfying while we drown our anxieties in alcohol.

We fight to keep ourselves distant from the poor while struggling to make it in to the
class of those in high places and probably under the cover of the umbrella.

So we are rooted in inertia, conditioned to look for the safe and easy way out, afraid to
rock the boat of the illusions of life we have built.

All this while that boat is sinking and taking us under with it, and unless we start bailing
fast only two classes of Nigerians will remain, i.e. the poor and those under the umbrella.

56
The Impudence of the Peoples Democratic Party

The chairman of the Peoples Democratic Party, Mr. Vincent Ogbulafor recently led a
delegation of some party members to pay a condolence visit to the people and
government of Kaduna state on the death of Mallam Yahaya Gausau.

At the government house, an occasion fitting for sober reflection and somber speaking
considering the exemplary life lived by the deceased; Mr. Ogbulafor chose to indulge in
what had become his favorite past time of boasting and sounding off.

In what could be regarded as impudence of the highest level, Mr. Ogbulafor declared to
Governor Sambo that the PDP was going to rule Nigeria in perpetuity whether or not
Nigerians wanted it, and for which strategies had been perfected.

Prior to the recent Supreme Court judgment upholding the most brazenly conducted non-
election in the history of Nigeria some of us would have mistaken Mr. Ogbulafor for a
palace jester entertaining those who had ensured his selection as chairman of PDP.

But in the light of the almost impossible burden now placed by the Supreme Court on
those who want to prove the non-conduct of elections though results are announced, it
has become apparent that the palace jester's ranting may point to a reality to come.

We are almost 10 years into the non-rule of the PDP and after the conduct of 3 general
elections, each one progressively more brazen in its non compliances with the Electoral
Act; one has to wonder whether the palace jester has not become a prophet.

Hear Mr. Ogbulafor sounding almost like Barack Obama, the United States president-
elect, "We assure you, we will do our best and like I always say the challenge is ours, and
the time is now and the place is here". (Guardian Newspaper 19/12/08)

Then waxing prophetic, he declared, " PDP will rule Nigeria whether they like it or not
upward and lot less than 60 years". The ‘they’ he was referring to probably would be Mr.
Buhari who resides in Kaduna and who had lost the election petition challenge.

Either way the message to Nigerians is loud and clear that they are in for 60 or more
years of PDP non-rule and that they should brace themselves for the challenges ahead or
accept the unfolding reality.

The thing about prophesies is that human factors play significant parts in their fulfillment
and all things for their necessary fulfillments must be correctly aligned to make for the
reality prophesied.

I would expect that as the ruling political power, the PDP can count on the support of
INEC and utilize the coercive machinery of the state to achieve the 60 years ruler ship
target and subjugation of Nigerians.

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The PDP can also continue with its government of national unity arrangement with
supposedly opposition parties while offering them some political appointments to buy
their allegiance.

After all the ANPP for a bowl of porridge had denounced its own presidential candidate
and disassociated itself from the election petition filed by Mr. Buhari and is today part of
the government.

The PDP can also count on the veiled support of other nations who will condemn the
conduct of polls that are not free and fair but would do nothing to rock the boat like
imposing sanctions on Nigeria.

You see our crude oil and gas matters more to them than whether or not Nigerians are
enjoying the dividends of democracy as long as they can do business in Nigeria to their
hearts delight.

And because of control of the commonwealth, the real reason why the PDP wants to
remain in government in perpetuity, some of these resources can always be deployed for
settlement and vote capturing purposes.

Now that the judiciary has shown that the task of upturning presidential elections is akin
to trying to get a Carmel to pass through the eye of a needle I guess that seemingly leaves
the way clear for the PDP to actualize this prophesy.

The only sticking point is in the assumption that the tendency of Nigerians to suffer fools
gladly will increase in intensity in the face of the extreme poverty that has devastated the
mass of Nigerians and is now accelerating up the ranks of the middle class.

It is true as Saul Alinsky says that when injustice is complete and crushing, people
seldom rebel and they just give up, and the PDP may be counting on the inertia of
Nigerians to actualize the prophesy.

But it is also true that the justifications for inertia can be broken down and Nigerians
challenged not to put up with injustice and oppression and to do something concrete
about their proposed prolonged enslavement.

The challenge in this regard will be how to organize Nigerians to stand up against their
enslavement while not resorting to the use of violence seeing that the coercive machinery
of state are under the control of PDP.

58
The Madness of King Nebuchadnezzar and the PDP

King Nebuchadnezzar of Babylon had a dream and sought its interpretation from Daniel,
one of his wise advisers. In the dream, there was a tree, tall and large standing in the
middle of the earth with its top touching the sky.

The tree could be seen from anywhere on earth and had beautiful leaves with plenty of
good fruit on it, enough for everyone. Wild animals found shelter under the tree, and the
birds lived in its branches, while all animals ate from it.

Then a Watcher came from heaven and declared loudly that the tree should be cut down
and its branches also. The tree was also to be stripped of its leaves and its fruit scattered
so that that the animals and birds would go away.

But the stump of the tree and its roots in the ground would be left while the stump would
be bound with iron and bronze around, for it to stay in the field with the grass growing
around it.

Daniel was initially scared to tell the king the interpretation of the dream but summoning
courage told King Nebuchadnezzar, that he was that tree and had become great and
powerful with his power reaching the far parts of the earth.

The declaration of the Watcher was a command from the Most High God that King
Nebuchadnezzar will be forced away from people to live among wild animals and feed on
grass like an ox.

He was to be made wet by the dew from the sky for a period of seven years until he
learned a valuable lesson: That the Most High God is ruler over every kingdom on earth,
giving those kingdoms to anyone He chooses.

The simple solution to avoiding this severe judgment was for King Nebuchadnezzar to
stop doing what was wrong, stop doing wicked things and be kind to the poor so that he
might continue to be successful.

Alas, the king continued in his evil ways and about a year after the dream declared "I
have built this great Babylon as my royal home. I built it by my power to show my glory
and my majesty".

In that instance, the declaration of the Watcher came to pass and for the next seven years
King Nebuchadnezzar wandered in the bushes as a mad man, and only regained his
senses and status when he recognized the ruler ship of God and his own fallibility.

Recently there has been talk of turning Nigeria, the most populous black nation on earth,
into a one-party state, with the Peoples Democratic Party as the sole political party for all
Nigerians.

59
There have also been repeated declarations by the PDP, supposedly the largest political
party in Africa that it will rule Nigeria in perpetuity and that strategies to achieve this
objective have already been perfected.

According to these declarations, it makes no difference what the wishes of Nigerians are
and that the people are groaning under the yoke and burden of oppression and injustice
and crying out for deliverance.

It makes no difference that those who have plundered the resources of the state walk in
the high places as power brokers or strike deals with justice while their pursuers have
become the hunted and endangered species.

It makes no difference that Nigerians are left to their fate in terms of health care while
those in high places are flown to the best medical facilities abroad for the best medical
care money can buy, paid for from state resources.

It makes no difference that the nation’s roads are death traps sending many Nigerians to
their untimely deaths while the rich and those in high places fly by airplanes across the
Nigerian airspace.

It makes no difference that insecurity; under education and non-education and lack of
power supply are the norms as long as the rich and those in high places are living in their
own cocoons, sheltered from the realities that Nigerians live in..

What matters to the PDP is that it controls the executive and legislature in Nigeria that
the coercive machinery of the state is at its beck and call and the judiciary, the supposed
last hope of the common man may no loner be counted upon even in the face of injustice.

Like King Nebuchadnezzar, the PDP is now declaring, "We assure you, we will do our
best and like I always say the challenge is ours, and the time is now and the place is here.
PDP will rule Nigeria whether they like it or not upward and lot less than 60 years ".
(Prince Vincent Ogbulafor PDP National Chairman-Guardian Newspaper 19/12/08)

The declaration of Nigerians is that, come April 2011, the Umbrella, the PDP symbol of
authority shall be taken from the hands of the PDP whose members will be exposed to the
elements just as they have exposed Nigerians to the elements.

Their access to the high places will be blocked until they come to realize that power and
authority is given by the Most High God, unless the PDP will heed the cries of Nigerians
for deliverance and forthwith cease from its wrong doings.

60
The Structure of Nigeria

In 1914 when Lord Lugard amalgamated the Northern and Southern Protectorates to form
what is today known as Nigeria, he was under no illusions what his real motives were.

Faced with the increasing cost of administering the vast lands of Northern Protectorate, it
was to the purse strings of South that he looked to bell the cat.

Lord Lewis Harcourt, is reported to have declared that:” We have released Northern
Nigeria from the lending strings of the treasury. The promising and well conducted youth
is now on an allowance on his own and is about to affect an alliance with a southern lady
of means. I have issued the special license and Sir Fredrick Lugard will perform the
ceremony. May the union be fruitful and the couple constant”

According to F. Nicholson: “Instead of developing things and administering service,

Lugard had been preoccupied with the wide spread extension of rule over people-an
undertaking so unprofitable that it made the amalgamation of the viable South and the
bankrupt North both far more urgent from the point of view of the home government and
far more difficult than the joining of two viable administrations would have been. The
immediate task was to free the home government from the expensive milestones which
Lugard had fastened round its neck and to transfer the whole burden to a new
amalgamated Nigeria”

“As soon as the 1914 Amalgamation came into force, the British Government enacted the
Minerals Ordinance, 1914, investing all the minerals including oil and gas in Nigeria in
the British crown. This was not amended until 1958-two years to our 1960 independence”
(Richard Akinjide)

At independence in October 1960, the Federal Government took the place of the British
Crown and that structure is in tact today under our various Petroleum enactments.

From regional governments to the formation of states by the military government in

1967, the central government has retained control of mineral and oil resources.

Under the brief period of civilian rule between 1979 and 1983 this structure was
preserved but was now backed by the constitution and a revenue sharing enactment.

The parties to the revenue sharing were the Federal Government, State Governments and
Local Governments which the military had introduced as the third tier of government.

The situation has not changed much since the return to civilian rule again in 1999, the
only slight alteration being in tinkering with the revenue sharing formula.

Additional provision has now been made for States from which the bulk of oil and gas
resources are derived.

61
Even at that, these allocations do not go directly to the peoples in the communities where
there is oil and gas but to their State governments and other statutory formulations.

Copying from the British Crown, successive administrations have perfected the act of
forming artificial entities for handling allocations of revenue.

These are the ministries, departments and agencies of governments including committees,
commissions, and task forces both statutory and non-statutory.

Yearly they formulate budgets on our behalf but without inputs from Nigerians which
they submit to their relevant governments which when approved have the force of law.

In military governments the soldiers were both the requesting and approving authorities
and even the executive and legislatures in a democratic government usually belong to the
same political party.

Of all Government agencies, departments and agencies, the Revenue Sharing and
Allocation Commission is the most efficient.

It ensures that the Federal, States and Local Governments get their share of revenue
allocation on or before the 26th of each month.

Having legitimized access to revenues, being part of government became the easiest
means of having direct access to these revenues and how they were disbursed.

Under the civilian governments, the procedure for budgeting and approval is
pretentiously long but at the end of the day, everyone in the set up gets compensated.

Knowing that all that stands between them and direct access to what now runs into
trillions of Naira yearly are elections that they have to plan, organize and conduct.

Our political rulers see no reason why they should not manipulate the electoral process to
ensure their perpetual reign..

We have men and women, who under some altruistic purpose are actually helping
themselves to the resources of the state like the British and the military before them.

To these people, the issue has never been and will probably never be about the Nigerian
people but about the sustenance of a structure which dutifully served the British and the
military.

Talk of rotation of power among the geopolitical zones and of power shift between the
North and the South are but mere variants of the same structure.

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Now it is the turn of politicians who claim that they represent the interest of the Hausa-
Fulani and before that it was the turn of politicians who claimed to represent the interest
of the Yoruba’s.

Next will be the mother of all battles between politicians who claim to represent the
interest of the Ibos and those who claim to represent the interest of the Ijaws and other
tribes of the South South.

In the midst of all these alignments and repositioning, the mass of Nigerians have
remained poor, unhealthy, uneducated, unemployed, homeless, hungry, destitute and
abandoned.

But at the first hint of trouble those with direct access to state resources and those who
want direct access will play the ethnic, religious or gender card to achieve the desired
result.

This is what the structure of Nigeria is all about, not people but access to state resources
as it was under the British colonialists and the military oligarchies.

Meanwhile, the mass of Nigerians across all geo-political zones, religion and ethnic
considerations are suffering from the same basic problems

We gained true independence from the British after the Nigerian civil war while we
gained independence from the military after the June 12 elections and the death of MKO
Abiola.

But we are yet to gain independence from our political overlords who presently rule
Nigeria and are prepared to do so in perpetuity.

I cannot pretend to know at what cost that independence will be obtained from the
political ruling class but the price will be steep.

If any blood must be spilled then it has to be the blood of Nigerians so that evil men will
not size that opportunity to unleash the forces of hell in their attempt to preserve the
structure of Nigeria.

63
Techniques for Achieving 60 years Rulership in Nigeria

A 1957 report headed "Communist Attempts to Elicit False Confessions from Air Force
Prisoners of War" may point to some of the techniques being adopted by the Peoples
Democratic Party to achieve its objective of ruling Nigeria for 60 years.

Mr. Vincent Ogbulafor, the Peoples Democratic Party Chairman, is reported to have
recently declared that " PDP will rule Nigeria whether they (Nigerians) like it or not
upward and lot less than 60 years". (Guardian Newspaper 19/12/08)

In the light of its abysmal failure to provide Nigerians with the basic necessities of life
and the dividends of democracy in the last nine years of ruling Nigeria, many people are
wondering how the PDP intends to actualize this improbable desire.

Notwithstanding earning N31 trillions in the last nine years according to figures released
by the Revenue Mobilization Allocation and Fiscal Commission, Nigeria is closer to the
19th century in terms of infrastructure albeit with mobile phone technology.

Any way in an environment rich with the likes of Omar Bongo of Gabon, Paul Biya of
Cameroon, Yoweri Museveni of Uganda and the doyen of the lot, Robert Mugabe of
Zimbabwe, the PDP desire may not be out of place.

But a closer look at these countries reveals that they all have something in common, i.e.
wide spread poverty among the mass of their peoples that has reduced them to lacking the
basic necessities of life.

Zimbabwe is presently being ravaged by cholera due to the absence of drinking water and
at the last count over 20, 000 have been infected and at least 1500 people have died with
the number of deaths expected to rise.

In Nigeria, thousands have died from generator fumes and fires because of the absence of
public power supply and the infant/pregnant women mortality rates probably rank
amongst the highest in the world.

Bottom-line is that in these countries, what citizens of developed nations take for granted
and are regarded as forming part of their basic human rights are considered luxuries
meant only for the rich.

You may be wondering at this point the connection between the report on “Communist
Attempts to Elicit False Confessions from Air Force Prisoners of War” and these long
running pseudo democracies especially the PDP plan to rule Nigeria for 60 years.

Let me explain. Following the 9/11 terrorists attacks in the United States and the war to
rout out the Taliban from Afghanistan, large numbers of suspected terrorists were
captured and sent to Guantanamo Bay, a prison facility run by the US Military.

64
To get into the heads of these terror suspects, the US Military in some cases turned to
techniques adopted by the Chinese in the 1950s to obtain confessions from American
service men captured during the Korean War.

More specifically, the US Military resurrected a 1957 report by Albert D. Biderman,

M.A. detailing various techniques adopted by the Chinese to obtain false confessions
from American Air force Prisoners of War.

The first technique was Isolation which was intended to deprive the victim of all social
support of his ability to resist which made the victim develop an intense concern with self
and to be dependent on the Interrogators.

For isolation substitute that with ethnic and religious politics that ensures the over 400
ethnic groups in Nigeria cannot speak with one voice and so each one concentrates on
what is in its best interest while looking up to the government.

The second technique was Monopolization of Perception to force the victim to fix his
attention on his immediate predicament there by eliminating thinking competing with
those of his captors and frustrating all actions not consistent with compliance.

For Monopolization of Perception substitute the daily challenges of surviving in a Nigeria

that is devoid of basic infrastructures making us focus only on surviving today while
leaving those in power to make long term plans on how to retain control of power.

The third technique was Induced Debilitation and Exhaustion which weakened mental
and physical ability to resist as a result of semi-starvation, exploitation of health
situations, and sleep deprivation.

For this technique substitute wide spread hunger in the midst of plenty, public health
facilities that facilitate death instead of life, and inability of a large percentage of
Nigerians to sleep well at night due to erratic public power supply.

Fifth were Threats to cultivate anxiety and despair, and Occasional Indulgences to
provide motivations for compliance thus hindering adjustment to deprivation. This was
accomplished by giving occasional favors and promising rewards for partial compliance.

For Threats substitute the fact that we leave under an atmosphere of threats from our
government and its agencies (tax, demolitions), the security apparatus (Police, EFCC,
Military), and even armed robbers and militants.

When governments finally get around to executing projects the impression is given that a
favor is being done to the people either as a reward for voting for the party in government
or an inducement to do so (Zamfara State Government whole sale defection to PDP)

65
The Sixth were Demonstrating Omnipotence and Omniscience suggesting the futility of
resistance through confrontations, demonstrating complete control over victim’s fate, and
pretending confrontation taken for granted.

What better example of this than the PDP Chairman’s declaration of inevitability
concerning their projected 60 years reign and the fate that befalls the enemies of those in
high places (Ribadu, El Rufai).

Finally Degradation by reducing the prisoner to animal level concerns making resistance
appear more damaging than capitulation through infested and filthy surroundings, denial
of privacy, demeaning punishments and insults/taunts.

The false confession that is elicited from Nigerians as a result of the successful
implementation of these techniques is that no matter the level of their deprivations and
the level of corruption exhibited by those in high places is “e go better tomorrow”.

In such an environment, apathy is the order of the day and just may be the 60 year ruler
ship objective becomes more realistic.

66
Demand for Democracy in Nigeria

In a series of lectures delivered in Monrovia, Liberia, Dr. Noel Woodroffe, President of

Congress-WBN, addressed the issue of Core Imperative for Successful Nation
Development and identified the demand for democracy as one of the tectonic movements
or shifts taking place in the relational architecture of the earth.

He noted that democracy as a political requirement carries with it a deeper philosophical

impact of human empowerment on a mass scale entailing wider dialogue. This is about
increased surfacing of defining opinions from below rather than imposition of narrow
views from above, the concept on which Barack Obama built his political campaign.

In a changing world where shifts in human consciousness and human organizations have
already occurred, he stated that developments towards the future especially in West
African nations, demands that these shifts be deliberately and consciously taken into
account and utilized.

He advised that to make appreciable impact, we are to embark on visionary thinking and
developmental planning and that radical new possibility for change and development
must be created by our own efforts towards local economic stimulation, social change
and developments and local political initiatives.

For lectures that were delivered in 2005 in Monrovia, Liberia, Barack Obama’s
Democratic Party primaries and Democratic Presidential Election campaigns in America
which both resulted in resounding victories appears to have been lifted from the said
lectures.

It is beyond dispute that the political initiatives developed and implemented by Barack
Obama and his campaign team were radical and have resulted in profound changes in the
American and global political landscape, and even now the full ramifications of these
victories are still unfolding.

How else can we explain that a black man with a father from Kenya, Africa and a while
mother from Kansas, one of the heartlands of white America and who is not your classic
American male model could overwhelm and eventually dismantle the Clinton political
dynasty in the Democratic Party?

How else could the Obama team have taken on the dreaded Republican Party campaign
machine and the ultimate American war hero John McCain and his bit bull lipstick
wearing running mate' Sarah Palin, and in the process engineer one of the most decisive
Congressional victories for the Democratic Party in 2008?

How else could a man named Barack Hussein Obama, all exotics names and sharing a
middle name with the most wanted terrorist on the face of planet earth, and who has lived
in Indonesia and Hawaii, win such an overwhelming victory with votes from every
demographic group?

67
Many will claim that this could only have happened in the United States of America with
its long history of democracy and public enlightenment and they are probably right, but
they will also have to concede that what Barack Obama accomplished is also a first of its
kind with a certainty of a place in history.

The challenge is that in Nigeria we can have our own uniquely crafted first of its kind in
the political sector, i.e. that we can have elections in Nigeria where the results are
determined strictly by the votes of Nigerians cast on election day and accurately collated
by electoral officials.

Again, many Nigerians will be quick to point out why an election determined by the
votes of Nigerians is not possible in Nigeria and why any political initiative in that regard
is doomed to fail as they will recall how IBB annulled what is adjudged to be the best
election in the history of Nigeria, i.e. June 12, 1993.

They will point to how the last three general elections held in Nigeria, i.e. 1999, 2003,
and 2007, have produced outcomes which did not reflect the will of Nigerians and that
the judiciary cannot be counted on at all times to address election petitions even in
instances where elections did not take place but results were announced.

We are not in 1993, 1999, 2003 or 2007 but in 2008 and going to 2009, the season in
which the White House, the most powerful seat of government on planet earth, will be
occupied by the most improbable and audacious man that has walked the land of
America, Barack Obama.

A season in which the influence of the mastermind and architect of the 2003 and 2007
general elections Olusegun Obasanjo will have waned and in which we will have more
staggered elections due to judicial pronouncements with more states in the South West
and South East likely to end up in opposition hands.

A season in which the economy of Nigeria is expected to proceed on a sustained bullish

run due to the global economic downturn and the falling price of crude oil, which will
further impoverish Nigerians and add to their frustrations, although the squandering of
state resources by those in high places is not expected to abate.

A season in which the gains of the Nigerian professional and middle class in the last few
years would almost be completely eroded and in which Mr. Yar'Adua will be president of
Nigeria and has promised to embark on electoral reforms, the report of which has already
being presented to him.

If there ever was an opportune season for Nigerians to take their political destiny into
their own hands and demand democracy in Nigeria, the period between 2009 and 2011
will be that season, where all the forces of good and justice have been rightly aligned in
favor of Nigerians.

68
What is required are the innovative local political initiatives, some of which are already
in existence but requiring more effort, to bring about this radical new possibility.
Nigerians, the ball is definitely in our court.

69
The Rod and the Vote

Moses had just received one of the most shocking directives from God Almighty, which
was to go back to Egypt and deliver the people of Israel from bondage.

Considering that it was a task he had tried to effect 40 years earlier and failed
resoundingly, Moses had every justification for turning down the directive.

And he did try to get God to look to another person to embark on that dangerous quest
citing his youthfulness in case God had forgotten that he had a wife to take care of.

He also reminded God that he stuttered, which would make it extremely difficult to
mobilize the Israelites who had a reputation for stubbornness.

Having run out of excuses he tried one last time to corner God by declaring that the
Israelites would never believe that he had been sent by God to deliver them.

That the Israelites would believe that Moses had a secret agenda was not out of place
considering he had earlier been in line to become Pharaoh in Egypt.

Then God asked Moses, “What do you have in your hand?”. And he replied “A Rod”,
because Moses was a shepherd and the rod was the tool he used for shepherding sheep.

Through the miracle of turning Moses rod into a snake and other signs that God showed,
he returned to Egypt with the rod in his hand to battle Pharaoh.

During the long process of breaking the will of Pharaoh to release the Israelites from their
captivity, and the various miracles worked by God, Moses rod was called into play.

And even when the Israelites left Egypt, crossed the Red Sea and journeyed through the
wilderness for 40 years, the rod had its role to play.

Of course we all know that the prime mover behind the scene engineering all the miracles
and breakthroughs was God Almighty.

But the rod represented the point at which the divine power of God fused with the efforts
of man to produce outstanding results.

So what if like Moses, Nigerians have in their hands something that God can utilize in the
process of ensuring their deliverance from captivity?

Only those in high places will deny that the generality of Nigerians today are not living
embittered lives similar to the Israelites in Egypt.

Like Pharaoh, those in high places believe that Nigerians are designed for hard living and
deserve to be afflicted with the burdens of the ruling class.

70
Unfortunately, the more severe the rigorous conditions under which Nigerians dwell, the
more they are multiplying in large numbers.

But at night when they retire to their beds or in discussions they have in private, they sigh
and cry because of the heavy burdens of life they have been afflicted with.

What then do Nigerians have in their hands that can become their own tools, their own
symbolic point of contact to activate the power of God in the push for liberation?

"The first step toward liberation for any group is to use the power in hand....And the
power in hand is the vote." Helen Gahagan Douglas.

The vote is a method for an electorate to make a decision and in Nigeria is a legal right
guaranteed by both the Nigerian Constitution and Electoral Act.

The Constitution provides that Nigeria shall only be governed in accordance with its
provisions and shall be a State based on the principles of democracy and social justice

Thus sovereignty and all power and authority belong to the people and their participation
in government, which is primarily exercised by means of the vote, is ensured.

By the joint provisions of the Constitution and the Electoral Act, every Nigerian who has
attained the age of 18 years shall be entitled to vote in all elections.

But it would appear that in General Elections conducted in 1999, 2003 and 2007 and
other Local Government Elections, that the right to vote has been ceded by Nigerians.

This has only served to embolden the political class who are now under the false belief
that the right to vote never existed in the first place.

They have become like Pharaoh who did not remember that the forefathers of the
Israelites had come into Egypt as free men and women but now treated them as slaves.

However the intensifying of Pharaoh’s hash treatment of the Israelites was actually the
signal for the commencement of the processes that would lead to their liberation.

The burdens of our afflicters have also become too heavy to bear and this is the signal for
the commencement of our liberation, and the vote is our rod, the pathway to liberty.

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Pat Utomi and Nigeria's destiny

I am not an ardent fan of Prof. Pat Utomi but I do admire and

respect him. I also believe that he has a quality mind and, over
the years, has developed empathy for Nigerians and their core issues. This says a lot for a
man who has spent a considerable part of his adult life ministering and being ministered
to in the corporate world.

The defining moment for this transition would be his participation in the 2007
presidential elections which gave him the opportunity of campaigning across the length
and breadth of Nigeria and coming face to face with the abject conditions in which the
majority of Nigerians live.

Out of those experiences came a determination and resolve to dedicate the remaining part
of his life to political service geared towards improving the lives of Nigerians. For a man
who had carved a respected position in the corporate world and is seemingly insulated
from the poverty that prevails in Nigeria, this was a sort of first.

His wife, children, friends and associates including business partners would probably
have put Prof. Utomi under considerable pressure to rescind his decision, but it is to his
credit that he has hung in there, notwithstanding the hostile political environment in
Nigeria.

Prof. Utomi is not getting younger and I am sure that the steady flow of negative news
about happenings in the corridors of power daily torment him and call to question his
initial decision to participate in the political process. I am also sure that he is regularly
bombarded by well meaning people who remind him that his is a cause that is not likely
to change the political status quo.

Meaning that he should return to the corporate world and give up on Nigeria, much as
many in the professional class who only exist in Nigeria but do not live in Nigeria.
However, Nigeria's political, economic and social well being now and in the foreseeable
future is tied to its Pat Utomis.

These are the brilliant minds, experienced, having track records of accomplishments,
humble, and with strong family ties, proven leaders with strong values and in politics for
the right reasons. Add all this to a high social awareness and you have excellent political
leadership.

But that is not the story in our political arena today that is riddled with persons with no
track record of accomplishments in any endeavor, poorly educated, with low quality
minds and some with criminal records, some are poor home managers, loyal only to
political godfathers, and are assisted in their continued political relevance by spiritual

72
consultants and engaging in bizarre practices.

These are the characters that dominate our political landscape, that are leading us in a
21st century globalized world rooted in technology. If Nigerians were given the
opportunity to freely elect their political leaders, none of these people in high places
today would smell even the position of a special adviser not to talk of being elected into
executive or legislative office.

This is why these characters turn around and appoint birds of the same feathers to occupy
various positions in all arms of government. To expect that these characters will self
reform and wake up someday, realizing that their primary responsibility is to serve
Nigerians, is to engage in self-delusion which borders on insanity and this is what the
generality of Nigerians practise every day.

They have completely detached themselves from participating in the political process
thus allowing people with depraved minds to capture political power and when these
animals display their normal characteristics, Nigerians fervently look for a deliverer to
rescue them from the abyss into which they have been thrown.

But in the hands of Nigerians lie the solution to removing the yoke and burden of
oppression which they have assisted the present political class to put around their own
necks.

We are tired of the human imposed darkness, the deliberate under-education of our
children, the purposeful absence of quality health care, the planned non-motorable roads,
the designing of an environment of insecurity and lawlessness, the removal of the veil
that ordinarily should blind the eyes of justice.

We are also tired of the plotting and planning that accompanies the budgeting process
annually so that trillions are warehoused in private accounts, the use of spin doctors to
keep Nigerians entertained and confused, pre-arranged fights among political gladiators
that leaves them all winners. We are tired. We are tired of them all.

Unless Nigerians take a stand like they did on June 12, then the likes of Pat Utomi have
little or no chance of success in the political process. Unless we vest the political process
with integrity, then, even the children of these depraved minds will find their way to the
high places.

Unless we reclaim our political right to elect people of our choice, then our children will
be subjected to more severe slavery than we are experiencing today. This is why I am
advocating for a Project Vote Count, to make the vote of Nigerians the determinant factor
in who gets elected.

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It is only when our political landscape is dominated by quality minds who can think that
we can have any dialogue regarding how this country should be structured and governed..

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Between Militancy and Criminality in the Niger Delta

The issue of militancy and criminality in the Niger Delta cuts across both ways. The real
militants and criminals are those who with the objective of cornering the billions accruing
to the Niger Delta states following the 13% derivation approval established criminal
gangs and empowered them to capture political power.

The issue has never been about the lack of development in the Niger Delta. Now that
these criminal gangs have grown out of control, their former political sponsors are now
victims of their own creation. I am not aware that any of these groups are pouring the
proceeds of their criminality or militancy into developing the Niger Delta, so let us call a
spade a spade.

The first thing that can be done is to allow for free and fair elections across all tiers of
government in that region. This will allow for the emergency of credible and acceptable
leadership that can speak for the Niger Delta. Also some of the militants or is it criminals
may be tempted to aim for political power through the ballot box rather than using guns.

Secondly, the use of commissions and agencies of government as tools of development

across the Niger Delta has never worked and will never work. They specialize in
hijacking funds allocated for development.

Take NDDC, a situation where its 2008 budget was approved only in August is a
deliberate act to ensure that these funds are warehoused for its own purposes such as
payments to spiritual advisers. Niger Delta communities and peoples must directly be
involved in the planning and utilization of funds for development purposes.

Third, the insecurity and lawlessness across the Niger Delta has turned into a thriving
business for security operatives. With oil companies, government and its agencies setting
aside billions of Naira to address insecurity, it is in the interest of many for the status quo
to be maintained.

I was told by an officer of one of the security agencies of the struggle to be posted to the
Niger Delta as a year' service can guarantee one a minimum amount to build a block of 4
flats. Unless the monetization of the insecurity is addressed the status quo is unlikely to
change.

Fourth, the government has been the biggest beneficiary of the thriving militancy and
criminality in the Niger Delta. Every time the militants and criminals successfully strike
against oil installations, the price of crude oil shots higher and ensures more revenue for
all tiers of government notwithstanding the reduction in crude oil production. Unless
there is a substantial fall in crude oil prices due to excess supply over demand, the
government will be reluctant to tackle militancy and criminality in the Niger Delta.

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Finally, we need to appreciate that the escalation of the Niger Delta crises is directly
related to the increase in statutory allocations to the Niger Delta. When there was no
crude oil derivation, there was relative calm in that region in spite of the lack of
development. From the initial 1% to 3% and now 13%, states in the Niger Delta have
seen their allocations rise astronomically.

Politicians know that the ability to capture political power is an open door to billions of
Naira monthly. The most affected aspect of government operations in Nigeria is the
monthly bazaar called revenue allocation or sharing. If government took other aspects of
its responsibilities to Nigerians as seriously as it does the revenue sharing, Nigeria will be
more developed than Dubai or Singapore.

There have been calls to raise the derivation percentage to 25% or even 50%. I can assure
you that when this occurs, there would be full scale war in the Niger Delta region as those
who want to capture political power and the increased resources that go with it will
deploy more military resources to achieve their goal.

There are aspects of the 1999 Constitution that are criminal in nature such as the
provisions that recognizes FG, States and Local Governments as the only bodies entitled
to share revenues from oil and gas. These provisions are a licence to criminality and in
the process has spurned a web of states, local governments and MDAs arbitrarily created
to provide a cloak of legitimacy to brazen stealing.

The recent statement by EFCC chairperson that Local Governments have nothing to show
for over N3.3 trillion allocated from 1999 to date is not accurate. We can find dividends
of the judicious use of these funds in the transformed lives of many of the elected and
appointed officers who serve in this tier of government.

My position is that lack of development is prevalent across the length and breadth of
Nigeria and is not unique to the Niger Delta. However, the fact that the billions of Naira
that is being squandered by the governing elites and their collaborators come from the

Niger Delta makes the situation more regrettable.

But the Niger Delta should take consolation in having produced more oil sheiks and
barons than other parts of the country. What is however clear is that the increase in the
crude oil derivation will produce more billionaires but with higher collateral damage.

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