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Table III.
Selection of potential host
nations (cities) for the
Olympic Games from
majority Muslim
countries (ranked by total
population) based on key
measures
IMEFM
4,3
218
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(
c
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Table III.
Islam and
the Olympics
219
C
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9
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t
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a
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b
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t
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M
a
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y
s
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a
(
K
u
a
l
a
L
u
m
p
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r
)
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s
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a
1
1
g
a
m
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s
4
m
e
d
a
l
s
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s
l
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m
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d
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r
t
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g
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u
t
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h
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n
d
B
r
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t
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c
o
l
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n
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a
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h
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d
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d
M
a
l
a
y
s
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a
u
n
t
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l
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n
d
e
p
e
n
d
e
n
c
e
(
1
9
5
7
)
M
u
l
t
i
-
e
t
h
n
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c
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n
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m
u
l
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r
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u
s
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c
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e
t
y
M
a
h
a
t
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r
M
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h
a
m
m
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s
2
2
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e
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r
s
a
s
P
r
i
m
e
M
i
n
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s
t
e
r
(
1
9
8
1
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2
0
0
3
)
s
a
w
a
d
e
c
l
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n
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n
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e
m
o
c
r
a
t
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c
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e
s
E
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c
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n
d
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b
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e
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t
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m
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r
s
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n
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y
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m
b
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s
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d
t
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b
e
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n
v
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l
v
e
d
i
n
I
n
d
o
n
e
s
i
a
n
a
t
t
a
c
k
s
N
o
a
t
t
a
c
k
s
o
n
M
a
l
a
y
s
i
a
n
s
o
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l
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n
r
e
c
e
n
t
y
e
a
r
s
,
t
h
o
u
g
h
w
a
r
n
i
n
g
s
p
e
r
s
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s
t
f
r
o
m
W
e
s
t
e
r
n
n
a
t
i
o
n
s
(
G
o
h
,
1
9
9
4
)
V
i
b
r
a
n
t
t
o
u
r
i
s
t
s
e
c
t
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r
a
n
d
t
r
a
n
s
p
o
r
t
a
t
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n
i
n
f
r
a
s
t
r
u
c
t
u
r
e
i
s
g
o
o
d
,
b
a
c
k
e
d
b
y
s
u
s
t
a
i
n
a
b
l
e
e
c
o
n
o
m
i
c
g
r
o
w
t
h
L
a
r
g
e
s
t
s
t
a
d
i
u
m
b
y
c
a
p
a
c
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t
y
i
n
t
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e
M
u
s
l
i
m
w
o
r
l
d
F
o
r
m
u
l
a
1
G
r
a
n
d
P
r
i
x
;
S
o
u
t
h
E
a
s
t
A
s
i
a
n
G
a
m
e
s
(
1
9
7
7
,
1
9
8
9
,
2
0
0
1
)
1
3
,
3
1
5
2
0
7
,
1
1
6
G
o
o
d
p
o
t
e
n
t
i
a
l
(
c
o
n
t
i
n
u
e
d
)
Table III.
IMEFM
4,3
220
C
o
u
n
t
r
y
(
b
i
d
d
i
n
g
c
i
t
y
)
C
o
n
t
i
n
e
n
t
P
a
s
t
b
i
d
a
s
h
o
s
t
(
c
i
t
y
)
O
l
y
m
p
i
c
h
i
s
t
o
r
y
H
i
s
t
o
r
y
a
n
d
t
r
a
d
i
t
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o
n
s
P
o
l
i
t
i
c
a
l
s
t
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
S
e
c
u
r
i
t
y
(
h
i
s
t
o
r
i
c
a
l
)
E
x
i
s
t
i
n
g
i
n
f
r
a
s
t
r
u
c
t
u
r
e
M
a
j
o
r
s
p
o
r
t
i
n
g
e
v
e
n
t
s
h
e
l
d
G
D
P
(
P
P
P
)
p
e
r
c
a
p
i
t
a
(
U
S
$
)
G
D
P
(
m
i
l
l
i
o
n
s
o
f
U
S
$
)
P
o
t
e
n
t
i
a
l
h
o
s
t
M
o
r
o
c
c
o
(
R
a
b
a
t
)
A
f
r
i
c
a
1
2
g
a
m
e
s
2
1
m
e
d
a
l
s
B
e
r
b
e
r
,
R
o
m
a
n
,
I
s
l
a
m
i
c
r
u
l
e
,
F
r
e
n
c
h
a
n
d
S
p
a
n
i
s
h
p
r
o
t
e
c
t
o
r
a
t
e
,
i
n
d
e
p
e
n
d
e
n
c
e
1
9
5
6
S
t
a
b
l
e
c
o
n
s
t
i
t
u
t
i
o
n
a
l
m
o
n
a
r
c
h
y
C
a
s
a
b
l
a
n
c
a
h
a
s
s
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n
s
u
i
c
i
d
e
b
o
m
b
i
n
g
s
i
n
2
0
0
3
(
3
3
k
i
l
l
e
d
)
a
n
d
2
0
0
7
(
o
n
e
k
i
l
l
e
d
i
n
t
h
r
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e
s
e
p
a
r
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t
e
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n
c
i
d
e
n
t
s
)
M
a
d
r
i
d
b
o
m
b
i
n
g
s
o
f
2
0
0
4
w
h
i
c
h
k
i
l
l
e
d
1
9
1
l
i
n
k
e
d
t
o
s
a
m
e
t
e
r
r
o
r
g
r
o
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p
P
o
p
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l
a
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t
o
u
r
i
s
t
d
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s
t
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n
a
t
i
o
n
w
i
t
h
g
o
o
d
-
r
e
l
a
t
e
d
i
n
f
r
a
s
t
r
u
c
t
u
r
e
M
e
d
i
t
e
r
r
a
n
e
a
n
G
a
m
e
s
(
1
9
8
3
i
n
C
a
s
a
b
l
a
n
c
a
)
4
,
0
7
6
8
8
,
8
7
9
E
x
p
e
c
t
e
d
t
o
b
i
d
f
o
r
2
0
2
0
,
I
O
C
e
x
p
r
e
s
s
e
d
w
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s
h
f
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r
A
f
r
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c
a
n
n
a
t
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n
f
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r
2
0
2
0
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e
c
u
r
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t
y
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e
m
a
i
n
s
a
p
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b
l
e
m
Q
a
t
a
r
(
D
o
h
a
)
A
s
i
a
2
0
1
6
(
D
o
h
a
)
7
g
a
m
e
s
2
m
e
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a
l
s
R
u
l
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d
b
y
O
t
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n
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f
a
v
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d
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a
n
,
B
a
h
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n
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m
a
n
,
B
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t
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t
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t
F
i
r
s
t
W
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r
l
d
W
a
r
,
i
n
d
e
p
e
n
d
e
n
c
e
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n
1
9
7
1
S
t
a
b
l
e
a
b
s
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l
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t
e
m
o
n
a
r
c
h
y
,
w
i
t
h
c
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m
p
a
r
a
t
i
v
e
l
y
l
i
b
e
r
a
l
s
o
c
i
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M
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c
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t
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d
)
Table III.
Islam and
the Olympics
221
C
o
u
n
t
r
y
(
b
i
d
d
i
n
g
c
i
t
y
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x
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(
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$
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p
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c
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R
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l
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t
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o
f
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y
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r
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s
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a
n
d
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m
e
m
b
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s
h
i
p
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s
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t
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r
k
e
y
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n
t
h
e
m
e
d
i
u
m
t
e
r
m
(
c
o
n
t
i
n
u
e
d
)
Table III.
IMEFM
4,3
222
C
o
u
n
t
r
y
(
b
i
d
d
i
n
g
c
i
t
y
)
C
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n
t
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n
e
n
t
P
a
s
t
b
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d
a
s
h
o
s
t
(
c
i
t
y
)
O
l
y
m
p
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c
h
i
s
t
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y
H
i
s
t
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r
y
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n
d
t
r
a
d
i
t
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n
s
P
o
l
i
t
i
c
a
l
s
t
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
S
e
c
u
r
i
t
y
(
h
i
s
t
o
r
i
c
a
l
)
E
x
i
s
t
i
n
g
i
n
f
r
a
s
t
r
u
c
t
u
r
e
M
a
j
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r
s
p
o
r
t
i
n
g
e
v
e
n
t
s
h
e
l
d
G
D
P
(
P
P
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Table III.
Islam and
the Olympics
223
Former bidding cities from the Muslim world are limited. Notably, Istanbul with four
bids has had the greatest number of unsuccessful bids in Olympic history. It is possible
that the unsuccessful bids of Baku and Doha for the 2016 Olympic Games may have
been intended purely for exposure and the establishment of a bidding history before
embarking on serious attempts in the future, rather than a serious expectation of
award. However, Istanbul and Doha once again, together with Dubai and Rabat, are all
developing bids for the 2020 games, a decision on which is expected in 2013. The IOC
has indicated a desire for an African host city in that year and, should they add the
nations of the Arabian Peninsula, the stakes could not be higher.
From the analysis detailed in Table III, ten cities have a favourable chance of
success in the next six bidding contests to host the Olympic Games (though others may
emerge in time). These are the three Persian Gulf (Asian) cities of Doha, Kuwait City
and Dubai; the three African cities of Cairo, Rabat and Tunis; the two (further) Asian
cities of Almaty and Kuala Lumpur and the two Eurasian cities of Baku and Istanbul.
Five of these cities show the strongest evidence of potential success. Istanbul
potentially is the most promising host city for the Olympics. Its major drawbacks are
terrorism, the geo-politics of a divided Cyprus and, to comparatively lesser degrees,
infrastructure and nance (Nielson, 1992). The strength of Turkeys participation in
earlier Olympic Games, coupled with Istanbuls long bidding history, means the IOC
may wish to prioritise Turkey and wait for them to alleviate their problems and obtain
EU membership before awarding them the rst games in the Muslim world.
If, however, the IOC is not inclined to wait, a Persian Gulf city is the next likely
recipient in the Muslim world, based on this analysis, of hosting the games. Doha,
which bid to host the 2016 games, failed, in part, due to it wishing to host the event in
late October (Doha 2016 Olympic Bid Committee, 2008), as opposed to the traditional
summer months, as its summertime temperatures can soar to up to 508C. Though the
bidding committee for Doha emphasised that hosting the games later in the year is not
without precedent, with Melbourne (1956), Tokyo (1964) and Mexico City (1968) all
hosting their games between October and December, these games pre-date the times
when television rights and global audiences became of paramount importance. It is,
along with Dubai, likely to bid for the 2020 games, with an assurance for holding the
games during the more traditional summer months, with promises of
temperature-controlled venues. Both cities, being very similar in terms of climate,
are more than capable of delivering such venues due to their economic wealth as well
as experience in infrastructure development, but the recent emphasis on greener games
may hamper such bids. Events, such as the marathon, a signature event at the
Olympics, would also remain adversely affected by high summer temperatures and
high humidity. Finally, Kuala Lumpur and Cairo show potential. Kuala Lumpur is
currently not targeting hosting the games, with the Olympic Council of Malaysia
making no reference to competing to host the games in their last three annual general
meetings (Olympic Council of Malaysia, 2009). Cairo is still in the infancy of developing
a bid.
6. Conclusion
Recently, as through the history of the modern Olympics, the economic and political
value of hosting a global mega-event is viewed very optimistically. Whether or not the
reality is positive or not is a source of debate. However, fromthe politics in Berlin in 1936,
IMEFM
4,3
224
Moscow in 1980 and Beijing in 2008 to the economics of protability and tourism in
Los Angeles in 1984 and Sydney in 2000, to city recognition and infrastructural
improvements that signied Barcelona in 1992; there is ample evidence of the long-term
value of the games if one looks for it. This paper canact as catalyst for member nations of
the OICto recognise that froma comparable viewpoint, it is potentially in their long-term
geo-political and socio-economic interests for a member nation to host the Olympics.
This paper sets out factors upon which the member nations of the OIC may contemplate
developing an approach for securing an Olympic Games in the Muslim world, and
developing an agenda for its legacy of engagement with the rest of the world. From the
perspective of the broader international community, engagement with the Muslimworld
could not be more necessary or timely than at present, and sport has historically been
demonstrated as an effective tool in achieving similar goals.
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Corresponding author
Kasim Randeree can be contacted at: kasim.randeree@sbs.ox.ac.uk
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