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It explains:
3) Why there is a difference between the sunspot numbers South and North of the
equator (slightly different speed Southern and Northern polar field)
4) Why there is very low sunspot activity South or North of the equator, while
there is sunspot activity in the opposite place!
5) Outburst of magnetic field activity are seen on the theoretical model. Even in
declining and low sunspot activity!
6) Why Sunspots ABOVE the equator appear with the PLUS first... and UNDER the
equator with the MINUS first....or vice versa
With the help of a simple integral, a theoretical sunspot cycle of eleven years
can be imitated (copied) as follows:
The polar magnetic field of the sun rotates (theoretically) in about 37.2 days;
the equatorial field in 25.75 days (the average of the last 75 years: see Long
Term Variations of the Torsional Oscillations of the Sun, Solar Physics 170:
373/388, 1997, by Dirk K. Callebaut). At a certain moment, the equatorial field
takes over from the polar field. Therefore we can only investigate the
relationship between the field of the sun and an independent observer by measuring
only each take-over movement. Through this we always compare only two variants:
the converging positions of the fields in relation to the shifted point of
observation. In fact we are doing nothing more than calculating the winding
process of the magnetic field of the sun. At this moment we can calculate the
numbers of the fields together with the converging position:
The difference in degrees between the equator and polar field is: 13.9805825 –
9.6800215 = 4.30055848 degrees
The polar field is taken over by the equatorial field after the following number
of days:
0.25087545 circle forms a bit and will be used as a basic unit in the calculation
First point:
= 91,3 degrees
= A
Put this in relation with an observer who travels the length of the mean of the
polar and equatorial field in one day.
mean =2.585.440 km
=> This is about equal with the speed of an object that travels 360 days around
the sun in one year (plus/ minus)
=> To be corrected when we know the circumference of the polar field more excactly
Conclusion
in this case = 83, 7 days = 83,7 degrees because days is same as degrees
= B
A - B = end formula
When you calculate and subtract both graphics, the result will be the difference
between the magnetic field of the sun and an independent observer. Filling in the
previous numbers in the Excel file this results in a sunspot cycle of 54.5 bits.
54.5 x 83.710058 days = 4,562.2 days = 12.49 years.
Note:
The changes of speed of both the equatorial and polar fields were not taken into
account.
We change the hypothetical speed of the polar field into 37.16 days:
When you put these numbers in the Excel file the result is a sunspot cycle of 42
bits.
Important conclusions:
1) Only a small change in the speed of the polar or equatorial field can result in
a considerable prolongation or deceleration of the sunspot cycle.
2) From a mathematical point of view there has to exist a very close correlation
between the equatorial and polar field.
3) The sunspot cycle together with the polar reversal of the magnetic field of the
sun lasts longer when the polar field rotates somewhat slower. A difference of
only (!) 0.0807 percent causes the cycle to rise from 9.64 to 12.49 years!
Further findings:
First possibility
2. No Sunspots
Second possibility
1. If you take the ABS from the final formula then you find the following
2. If Sunspots ABOVE the equator appear with the PLUS first... then they appear
UNDER the equator with the MINUS first
a. If the Southern Polarity field from the sun has a speed of 37.176 then the
Northern Polarity field has a speed from 37.4075
b. These speeds must change in the OPPOSITE with a new cycle.... because sunspots
have then the OPPOSITE value from the previous one
Use the constant values of 1.4437 and 1.4527 of the 2 sunspot cycles
Then decrease the speed of the equator under 25.75. Example 25.5
Results:
Then increase the speed of the equator above 25.75. Example 26.0
Results:
CONCLUSIONS
a. The average speed of the equator field rules the sunspot cycle ( fastest speed
last 75 years = 25.35 days. Slowest speed = 26.28 days)
b. With the values from prof Callebaut is must be possible to recalculate the last
sunpot cycles and possible future sunspot cycles
Final conclusion:
The used formula's are basic...With more advanced programs it has to be possible
to calculate sunspot cycles.