Backgrounder - 2014 Municipal Census Results

City Planning
What growth means for city planning
Population growth since 2012 has been very rapid up 60,428 in two years, or 7.4%.
This has clear implications for how we advance our plans to grow the city up, in and
out.
Strategies
Edmonton has developed purposeful strategies to accommodate our long-term growth.
Transformational projects such as downtown revitalization, Transit Oriented
Development, the Quarters, Blatchford and Rossdale redevelopment are helping
our central neighbourhoods and the areas along Edmontons expanding LRT
routes grow upward.
The planning and construction of new residential neighbourhoods in developing
areas of the city, and an Annexation bid to secure needed residential and non-
residential land supply in the south in particular, will enable our city to grow
outward.
Infill redevelopment initiatives to increase housing choice and supply in mature
and established neighbourhoods will help Edmonton grow inward.
These strategies support the long term goals set for Edmonton by City Council and
citizens in 2008 (The Way Ahead). They will build a vibrant and livable Edmonton with a
sustainable balance of residential, commercial, and industrial opportunities and choices.
Age of population
Our population is young. The largest single age group in Edmonton is the 20-39 year old
range. This has implications for what type of housing is most in demand, the speed at
which were creating new homes, and for the schools and neighbourhood amenities that
will accommodate the children of young families. At the same time, the number of senior
citizens is also rising, with implications for the way we enable more housing
opportunities for older generations.
Where growth is happening
Population growth is happening across the city, but the majority is in the south in
developing neighbourhoods (see neighbourhood-classification map below for more
information about where our neighbourhoods are located).
Nine of the top 10 fastest growing neighbourhoods over the last five years are in the
south. Top five-year increases by neighbourhood are as follows:
Summerside 6,507 Rutherford 3,916
The Hamptons 5,146 South Terwillegar 3,878
Windermere 5,017 Ambleside 3,244
Walker 4,424 Tamarack 2,795
Laurel 4,409 Charlesworth 2,775
Edmonton has 382 standard census neighbourhoods of which 317 are predominantly or
partially residential.
A majority of the 11 central core residential neighbourhoods increased in population
over the last five years for a total growth of over 5,700 people. Within the core, the
Downtown neighbourhood alone increased by more than 1,500 residents (see
Population Growth by Residential Neighbourhood: 2009-2014 map for more
information).
Sixty mature neighbourhoods and forty-seven established neighbourhoods gained in
population. Over the last five years, the overall population gain in the mature and
established neighbourhoods combined was over 11,000 people (not including the
central core neighbourhoods).
Although there has been overall growth city-wide: 44 established neighbourhoods and
39 mature neighbourhoods experienced a population loss over the last five years. This
represents 43% of the mature and established neighbourhoods in the city (not including
the central core neighbourhoods).
At a ward level all wards gained in population with wards 9 and 12 exhibiting the
strongest growth (see Population Growth by Ward: 2012-2014 map for more
information).
Supporting maps:
Neighbourhood classification
Population Growth by Ward: 2012-2014
Population Growth by Neighbourhood: 2009-2014
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No reproduction of this map,
in whole or in part, is permitted
without express written consent of
The City of Edmonton,
Sustainable Development Department
The City of Edmonton disclaims
any liability for the use of this map.
Map compiled by:
Geospatial Services Unit
Urban Planning and Environment Branch
WARD 12
WARD 10
WARD 5
WARD 11
WARD 9
WARD 7
WARD 4
WARD 3
WARD 1
WARD 8
WARD 2
WARD 6
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Population Gain
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Population Gain
4,398
Population Gain
3,855
Population Gain
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Population Gain
2,151
Population Gain
1,321
Population Gain
4,282
Population Gain
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Population Gain
13,972
Population Gain
2,611
Population Gain
3,817
Population Gain
Population Growth By War
2012 to 2014
Ward 2012 2014 Percent Gain
Ward 1 64,547 68,364 5.9%
Ward 2 68,558 72,534 5.8%
Ward 3 64,987 69,385 6.8%
Ward 4 70,849 75,578 6.7%
Ward 5 66,600 70,882 6.4%
Ward 6 72,281 76,136 5.3%
Ward 7 62,284 64,895 4.2%
Ward 8 66,999 68,857 2.8%
Ward 9 80,664 94,122 16.7%
Ward 10 60,475 61,796 2.2%
Ward 11 61,916 64,067 3.5%
Ward 12 77,338 91,310 18.1%
Total 817,498 877,926 7.4%
Population Growth By
Residential Neighbourhood
2009 to 2014
Data Compiled from
2014 Municipal Census
Walker Neighbourhood Name (Top 10 Gain)
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No reproduction of this map,
in whole or in part, is permitted
without express written consent of
The City of Edmonton,
Sustainable Development Department
The City of Edmonton disclaims
any liability for the use of this map.
Map compiled by:
Geospatial Services Unit
Urban Planning and Environment Branch
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Population Profile and the Economy
Edmontons population growth over the past two years outpaced that of Alberta as whole
and was over 3 times that of the current estimates of growth for Canada. (see Table 1)
Table 1 - Population growth from 2012 to 2014
City of Edmonton 7.39%
Alberta 6.5%
Canada 2.3%
Source: City of Edmonton, Alberta Treasury and Finance
Edmonton has one of the youngest populations in Canada. This is illustrated in Figure 1
where the younger age cohort between 20 and 39 is particularly prominent. As well the
city is experiencing renewed growth among children particularly among the youngest
age cohort.
Labour Force and Working Age Population
The significant growth in the working-age population puts Edmonton in a very good
labour force position. These very strong results have helped keep Edmontons labour
market more balanced then in the period from 2005 to 2008 when unemployment in the
city fell to very low levels and helped spark a round of higher inflation.
Nonetheless, some industries such as construction, manufacturing and professional
services continue to experience shortages with respect to some specialized skill sets.
High levels of net in migration must be combined with continued efforts to improve the
quality and flexibility of Edmontons labour force.
Population Growth and Economic Momentum
With outstanding population growth comes a rising demand for housing as well as
consumer products and services. This rising demand will give the citys economy internal
momentum, making the local economy less vulnerable to external shocks. Over the
coming year we anticipate growth that will pivot from manufacturing, professional
services and logistics toward retail, personal services and hospitality.

New arrivals to the city
The proportion of international migrants is increasing among new arrivals to the city. The
census results indicate that 26% of newcomers to the City were international migrants.
This means we are succeeding in attracting more international newcomers directly to
Edmonton. Traditionally new comers have tended to move first to Montreal, Toronto and
Vancouver. As well the city is now drawing on a deeper, more global labour pool which
offers a full range of skills and experience as well as enhancing the cosmopolitan quality
of life in Edmonton.

Funding implications of growth
Over the last 10 years, the City of Edmonton implemented a program of investment in
our infrastructure, unprecedented in this citys history. From 2004 to 2014, capital
projects worth $9.3 billion have enabled the City to support our growing city. Half of this
investment was also to anticipate and plan for future growth. This foresight meant that
the City was able to respond to the growing population and economy by building new
recreation centres, LRT, libraries, police and fire stations, waste facilities, renewed
roadway arteries, and increased drainage capacity.

Population growth can mean more grants from other orders of government, however
there is often a lag between the census results and when municipalities receive grants.
Furthermore, both the Provincial and Federal governments use per-capita allocations to
assign grants to municipalities but the overall funding usually remains the same. A 10%
population increase does not equate to a 10% increase in grants. The City of Edmonton
is continuing to work with the Alberta Government to develop new funding mechanisms.

Transportation

The 2014 census data show that Edmontonians use a variety of transportation modes
when commuting to and from the workplace:
69.9 % drive cars, trucks or vans
6.2 % travel as passengers in cars, trucks or vans
16.4 % take public transit (ETS)
3.7 % walk
0.8 % ride bicycles
3.0 % use other means (e.g. taxis, skateboards, etc.)

The census data show how transportation modes vary across Edmonton
neighbourhoods. For example, while in the general population 16.4% of Edmontonians
take public transit to work, neighbourhoods along the LRT line see more than 30% of
residents taking the LRT to work.

The 2014 journey-to-work census results include a broader segment of the population
than the 2012 census results did, as the 2014 census was modified to include groups
aged between 12 and 18 and over 65. This broader segment shows a greater proportion
of Edmontonians opting for transit and other non-single-vehicle options; however, the
overall results for 2012 and 2014 cannot be meaningfully compared due to the different
sampling.

work.








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8
4

y
r
s
.
8
5
+

y
r
s
.
M
a
l
e
s
(
%
)
F
e
m
a
l
e
s
(
%
)
N
o

R
e
s
p
o
n
s
e
:

1
7
.
7
8
%

(
n
o
t

i
n
c
l
u
d
e
d
)