approximately 60% of the global population will live in cities. Urban areas are major drivers for national economic developments with significant impacts on our climate. Already today, the majority of global greenhouse gas emissions is related to cities, their inhabitants and urban economies. 1
National states, city governments, the private sector as well as urban residents share a common responsibility. Urban efforts to mitigate climate change especially in the fast growing agglomerations in developing countries and inter-
1 United Nations 2007: World Urbanization Prospects: The 2007 Revision Population Database. New York: United Nations; UNEP 2012: Cities and Carbon Finance: A feasibility study on an Urban CDM; World Bank 2010: Economics of Adaptation to Climate Change: Synthesis Report.
national emission reduction targets. At the same time cities, often situated on coasts or river banks, are highly vulnerable to a changing climate and require substantial efforts to adapt to current and future impacts. In this context efficient climate- resilient resource, infrastructure and energy management will be a key task for cities in order to protect livelihoods and improve inhabitants quality of life. However, municipal adaptation and mitigation activities put high requirements on project planning and financing. To meet the basic needs particularly
Background Paper for the International Symposium: Cities in a Changing Climate Financing Adaptation and Mitigation in the Urban Context of Developing Countries and Emerging Economies 13th-14th November 2012, KfW Headquarters, Frankfurt, Germany
2 Background Paper for the International Symposium: Cities in a Changing Climate Financing Adaptation and Mitigation in the Urban Context of Developing Countries and Emerging Economies organized by of poor citizens, protect them from climate impacts and contribute to sustainable, low carbon development, cities depend on extensive public and private investments. Against this background KfW Entwicklungsbank on behalf of the German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development will host the international symposium Cities in a Changing Climate Financing Urban Adaptation and Mitigation Action in Developing Countries and Emerging Economies in Frankfurt/Germany, November 13th-14th, 2012. The symposium addresses experts from German development cooperation, international financing institutions and academia as well as representatives of local governments engaged in climate change mitigation and adaptation in the urban context. Objectives of the symposium: Review the latest scientific findings on climate change impacts on cities, considering the uncertain implications of climate change scenarios for urban micro climates and the challenge of identifying the adequate investments under these constraints Discuss financing instruments, policies and innovative approaches to address the specific challenges of mitigation and adaptation in the urban context whilst highlighting the multitude of independent actors engaged in this field Address the relevance of national strategies for channelling international climate funding into sustainable and climate resilient urban development Provide a platform to share experiences, lessons learned and future plans on financing climate- resilient and low carbon urban infrastructure in developing countries and emerging economies Cities and Climate Change Mitigation Cities are increasingly important hubs for social and economic development and are major contributors to climate change. Urban production and consumption patterns account for more than 80% of the worlds total greenhouse gas emissions. 2
Given worldwide urbanisation and demographic trends such as population growth and rural-urban migration, urban emissions can be expected to grow further. Thus, cities are pivotal to reducing global greenhouse gas emissions. However, obtaining reliable estimates for urban emissions is in itself already a challenging endeavour. During the symposium, the latest scientific findings on current and future urban emissions as well as the related uncertainties will be presented and discussed. A thorough analysis of the multitude of actors in the urban context is also important for identifying the respective shares and drivers of increasing emissions and their inter- linkages with economic growth and urbanisation. There is a growing need to explore the patterns and structures that account for greenhouse gas emissions in cities of developing countries and emerging economies. Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Especially cities and their poor neighbourhoods in developing countries and emerging economies, situated at coasts or river banks but also inland, are vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Residential and commercial structures, transport and energy as well as water and sanitation systems may be affected. Climate change is likely to aggravate existing problems of urban development like population growth and traffic congestions. 3 The symposium wants to discuss
2 World Bank 2010: Economics of Adaptation to Climate Change: Synthesis Report. 3 United Nations Human Settlements Programme 2011: Cities and climate change: global report on human settlements. What are the driving factors of greenhouse gas emissions in cities? How will climate change affect urban development?
3 Background Paper for the International Symposium: Cities in a Changing Climate Financing Adaptation and Mitigation in the Urban Context of Developing Countries and Emerging Economies organized by how climate impacts and the necessary responses will affect the future development of cities. Taking Action under Uncertainty While knowledge on emission scenarios and future climate impacts is growing, uncertainties regarding the development of global emission levels, specific local effects of climate change (magnitude, frequency and timing) and the resulting risks remain. Under these circumstances investing in the adaptation and mitigation measures identified poses various challenges to political decision makers and financiers. Sound vulnerability assessments and the systematic identification and prioritisation of adequate adaptation and mitigation measures are needed. The uncertainties involved require new models and risk management approaches to facilitate urban climate investments. The symposium seeks to address the issue of how to tackle climate- related uncertainties in city-wide strategic thinking and investment strategies. Preparing decisions under uncertainty needs even more stakeholder participation than usual planning decisions. Only if the affected groups have the chance to bring in their own point of view and see it balanced towards other interest, the process can result in measures accepted and supported by the urban community. Especially concerning climate change action, many activities are beyond the responsibility of local or national authorities and a large number of individuals needs to be convinced to act into the same direction. Investment Needs and Implementation Requirements Infrastructure is the backbone of any urban system and a major driving factor of sustainable urban development and economic growth. Climate change impacts are an important factor to consider but not the only one as urban infrastructure has to meet a variety of different needs. Therefore, adaptation and mitigation need to be integrated into the process of urban development planning, taking into account interfaces and potential synergies with conventional investment needs. Adaptation and mitigation will require the substantial transformation of and investment in low-emission, climate-resilient infrastructure. According to the World Bank the annual global costs of adaptation for sectors related to urban areas is estimated to be at least between $57 billion and $65.2 billion for resilient public infrastructure as well as for respective investment in private property. 4
Taking steps towards building resilience and low carbon development requires municipalities and private actors to define economically and financially viable projects. This includes a thorough evaluation of investment priorities, realistic cost estimation and financial assessment, as well as seeking affordable financing resources. Initiatives like the Asian Cities Climate Change Resilience Network (funded by the Rockefeller Foundation) or the Cities Development Initiative for Asia (funded by BMZ and Asian Development Bank) are supporting cities in
4 World Bank 2010: The Economics of Adaptation to Climate Change; see also World Bank 2010: Cities and Climate Change: An Urgent Agenda. How to facilitate urban climate investments under climate-related uncertainty? How to link urban climate action and investment plans to national strategies?
4 Background Paper for the International Symposium: Cities in a Changing Climate Financing Adaptation and Mitigation in the Urban Context of Developing Countries and Emerging Economies organized by implementing their strategies by preparing concrete projects. The conference will present examples and lessons learned from climate- resilient infrastructure projects. Discussions will focus on the challenges cities face in defining financially viable urban infrastructure investments. Financing in a Multi-Level Governance Context Cities contribute disproportionately to the overall economic performance of their respective countries: economic growth is urban to a large extent. In this regard sustainable and climate- resilient urban development is of utmost national interest and necessitates national strategies. Approaches to urban adaptation and mitigation need to reflect the multiple levels of governance that affect the planning and financing of responses to climate change. Cities rely on larger sectoral policies and decisions taken at state/provincial, national and international levels. Today mechanisms supporting the elaboration of specifically urban strategies on the national level are at an early stage. To strengthen policy coherence as well as access to climate finance, urban activities need to consider existing national strategies and plans such as national climate strategies as well as multilateral processes under the UNFCCC 5. As international climate funding will be linked to respective national strategies, the question arises of how cities governments can get involved in the discussion. At the same time, there is a need to debate how national governments can improve legal, regulatory, institutional and financial
5 e.g. Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMA), National Adaptation Programmes of Action (NAPAs), National Adaptation Plans (NAPs) conditions in order to facilitate urban climate investments. The symposium will shed light on these discussions, addressing governance-related barriers and opportunities of urban climate finance as well as raising the question of conflicts of interest in this regard. Climate Finance Instruments Well-designed financing and investment programmes are one key to promoting adaptation and mitigation activities in cities. The field of climate finance or more precisely climate- specific finance is becoming increasingly complex, with a growing number of mechanisms aiming at different target groups. Currently, international climate funding is largely channelled through national governments. From an urban perspective accessibility is limited and questions arise of how cities needs could be better reflected in the design of financing instruments. 6
Besides seeking international climate funding through bilateral and multilateral institutions, cities need to turn to conventional public sector financing and look into existing revenue- generating mechanisms (e.g. property tax, local municipal fees and user charges). How to enforce and channel those mechanisms for climate financing will be a key question for cities.
6 Cities Development Initiative for Asia 2011: Overview of International Financing for City Climate Change interventions. How to prepare adaptation and mitigation projects for investment? How to better consider urban needs in national and international climate change response strategies and processes?
5 Background Paper for the International Symposium: Cities in a Changing Climate Financing Adaptation and Mitigation in the Urban Context of Developing Countries and Emerging Economies organized by According to a global study by the Climate Policy Initiative, private financing currently provides the majority of low-carbon investments. 7 With regard to the gap between ambitions for public climate financing as expressed during international climate negotiations and the status quo,
7 Climate Policy Initiative 2011: The Landscape of Climate Finance. adaptation and mitigation activities in cities will continue to need private sector financing for public infrastructure. In this context, public finance can play a potential catalytic role 8
through promoting innovative approaches and pilot projects initiating further private investment. The symposium wishes to encourage discussions about the identification, applicability and improvements of existing as well as requirements for new financing approaches.
8 World Bank 2010: Climate Finance in the Urban Context. What are cities needs regarding international climate finance?