Qatar University

College of Engineering
GENG 200 Probability and Statistics for Engineers
Fall 2012: Midterm Exam 1-KeySolution
Faculty: Dr. Adel Elomri
Date: 07-October-2012

Exercise 1 (30 pts)

A bag contains 30 balls 20 of them are Red (R) and 10 are White (W). 2 balls selected
randomly without replacement from the bag constitute the sample under study.
1- What are the possible outcomes (determine the sample space S)?
S= {(R,W), (R,R), (W,R), (W,W)}

2- Let Y be the random variable that counts the number of White Balls in the Sample,
write down the possible values of Y.
Y=0, 1, 2

3-Deterrmine the Probability Mass Function (

of Y

4- Determine the Cumulative Distribution Function (

of Y

GENG 200 Probability and Statistics for Engineers, Midterm Exam 1-fall 2012

Exercise 2(30 pts)

A dice game consists in rolling a fair six-sided die: the roll is considered as success (win)
only when the side number one (face N 1) is on the top, otherwise the die roll is
considered as loss (failure).
1-Calculate (with justification) the following:
-Probability of a success: 1/6
-Probability of a loss: 5/6
2-Assuming that the die rolls are independent, what is the distribution of the number of
trials until getting the first success, (identify the distributions parameters)?
The number of trials until the first win is following a geometric distribution with parameter
P=1/6

3-What is the expected number of trials until a successful die roll?

E[X]=1/P=6
4-What is the probability to win at most after 3 trials?

Exercise 3 (30 pts)

Suppose the number of customers that enter a bank in one hour is a Poisson random
variable with a mean of 2.
1- How many customers are expected to enter the bank during 6 hours?
E[X]=2*6=12
2- What is the probability that at least 3 customers enter the bank during 6 hours?

3- What is the probability that at most one customer enter the bank during 6 hours?

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GENG 200 Probability and Statistics for Engineers, Midterm Exam 1-fall 2012

4- Determine the length of an interval of time such that the probability that no customers
enter the bank during this interval is 0.10.
Let I the unknown interval of time:

Exercise 4(15pts)
The Qatar Stars League, formerly known as the Q-League, is the highest professional
league in Qatari football that currently features 12 clubs. Therefore 6 matches are weekly
played. Each match (game) has only three possible outcomes: team 1 wins, team 2 wins, or
the game is drawn [both teams have scored an equal number of goals].

For a given week, assume someone just guesses (chooses the game outcome randomly)
on each of the six matches result, and let X the random variable that counts the number of
correct guessed results. The matches are supposed to be played independently.
1-Considering only one match, what is the probability of guessing the correct matchs
result?
Guessing on matchs result, means choosing randomly one outcome out of 3
outcomes, so the probability of the correct answer will be 1/3 .
P=1/3
2-What are the possible values of X?
X=0, 1, 2, 3,4,5,6
3- What is the distribution of X, identify its parameters?
X is following a binomial distribution with a parameter n=6, and P=1/3
4-What is the expected number of the correct guessed results?
E[X]=n P= 6. 1/3=2
5-What is the probability that at most two results are guessed correctly?
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