You are on page 1of 81

510114

1. ... ( ), (:
Bagavos_510114_Fakelos_Part1).
2. , X.,
(: Bagavos_510114_Fakelos_Part2).
3. , X., :
(: Bagavos_510114_Fakelos_Part3).

...
o

, 11 2000


(...)
, " " 4
. 2232/1994, "
...
".

... 22
2000
..
, ,
, , .
. .

.. ,
. .
... . .

27 2000
,

20/11/2000.
...,
..
,

11 2000,
.

2000

, ,


.
, ,
,
.


, ,

.


.

, ,
, .
,
, ,


.

(..)
"",

"", ,
,
- . ,
"" , ,
, ,
,
, -

, , ..
,
,
( , ).
. 1990
. , ,
,
, ,
. - -
,
.
... ,
, . ,
,


.
...

, (
, , , ).

, . , , ""
,

6
.
,
,
.
, ..., :
. "" "" ,
.

.


.
,

. , ,

( "", .. ..) .
, ,
,
.
...
,
, . , ,

, ...

2000

, ,
(3) : , .
...


. ,
,
, .
, ...
.

. , , .

..., .

,
(, , ) . , ...
.

, ,
.

2000

1.
1.1.
. To

.
" " (ageing
population) , , ,
,

.
,
,
,
" ",
.
.
,
1.

:

;
, ,
. , ,

.

,
,
,

,

,

.
. .

'
,
, .



.
,
,

,
, ,
2. ,

.
, , , ..
, ,
, , ..
. ,
. ' (), ,
( London School of Economics).

. .. , 1993,
, -. , , . ,
1997, 2000.

8



""
.
' .



. '
. ,
-
(
communitarianism),
.



, , ,
( ).
,
, ,

. , ,


.
. ' ,
:

;

2000

'
;
... ,

.
'
. ,
( ),
"" ,

. ,
,

, . ,

,

.
, ,
,
:
,
, , ,
,
,
, , ,
,
, , -

2000

, , , ..

, '
, ,
,
, ,
( ).
, ,
,

,
""
" "
. , .
1.2.
1.2.1.
, ,
,
,
.

,
. ,


.
,
. ,
3

9
( ), ,
""
. , "
, ,
",
" " " " 3. ,
( , , , ,
, ,
, ),

.

- (
). ,
, "", .. , ,
.
, .
,
' , , ( ). ,

(
)
.

. European Observatory on Family Matters, "Family Issues between Gender and Generations", European
Commission, Employment and Social Affairs Series, Office for Official Publications of the European Communities,
L-2985 Luxembourg.

10
,
,
.

,

, ,
,

.
,
,

,
. ,

2
. ,
, ,
,
,
,
.
, ,
,

,
.


,
,

.
, ,

2000

.
,
,

,
.
20 ,
""
"" .
,
..
, -
. '

,
. ,
,

,
.

,
,
,
,

, ,
, , .


,
, -

2000


,
,
, .
,
,

.
1.2.2.




50
.
.. .
,
.


,

.

,
, ,
. ,

11
,
,

,
. , ,

, , .
1.2.3.

,
,

..

,
.

'70, ,

. ,
,


.. 4

,

.

. ..., " ()", .


38/2000.

2000

12
1.3.
" , ,
" 5.
, , '
,
. ,
,

,
" ".
.

,
.
, ,

,
.

,

. ,
, ,
5


. ,

,
, .
,
, ,
,

,

- ,
.

. , ,
, ,
.
, , , ,
,
, ""
,
.
, ,
, ,

.

()
(-) .

. , , Gutenberg.

2000

13

2. ..
2.1.

,
,

,
.
6 :
(65 ),
(1996) 15,8%
, (15,5%) .. , 15
(16,6%),
(17,4%),

21,5%. (
1,31),
.
,
..
. ,
,
, ..
, ,
....

2020

, 2050
, , 550.000
( 1 2).
230.000 2020
1.600.000 2050,

2020
400.000
700.000 2050.
,

.
, 50
38%,
50


15% 7%.

, .
,

.

, .
2.2.
..

..

. " -", & , 15/9/2000.

14
.

..
,
,

,

. T
Eurostat .. (
3),

, 2015
.
, 2020 2040,

, , 50 . , ,
2015-2020. ,

, 2040.
..
.

2000

,
,
19451965, "baby boom".

, , ,
, ,
. ,

, .. 2020
,
, ,
,
.

..
,
2050
, ..

2000

15

3.
3.1.



.
,

,

,
,

.
, ,
,
.. , .
3.1.1.


, ,
,
.


.


. ,

.
,
.


.
,
, .



,

.
,


. ,

.


,

.
.



, -

16
,
.

. ,

,

,


.
, ,
.
.

,
, , .
,
,


. ,




,
,
7

2000

.


,



-
. ,


,




.



.

. ,
,
,

.
, ,
. ,
7.

. P. McDonald, 2000, "The toolbox of public policies to impact on fertility - a global view",
Low Fertility, Families and Public Policies ,
15-16 .

2000

1.
.
.

.
.
2.

.

.
.

.
3.

.

.

.

-.
,
8

17
8. ,
" "
,
. , ,

,


.
, ,

,
.


,
.




.
,
. ,



,


.
, ,

. A. H. Gauthier, 1996, The State and the Family; A Comparative Analysis of Families Policies in Industrialized
Countries, Clarendon Press, Oxford.

18

,

.
,



. ,

,
,



,


.
3.1.2.
3.1.2.1.


,


. ' ,

. ,
, ,
,

,



2000


. ,


, .





,
, .



. ,




.
3.1.2.2.

,
-
,


.
,

,

,

2000

19

,



, .
,
..

.

,
""
,
. , ..
,
" "
,
, .



. ,
,
,


. ,




.

3.1.2.3.




.
, ,


,

.
, ,





. , ,


.


,


, ,



.

2000

20


/
,
,
. ,
.
,


.

.

: .

.

, . " "
-


,
.
, ,

.




9

,

. , , " ". ,
--

,
,

.

.
,
,

,
,



.
3.1.2.4.


, 9.

, 2000, The Social Situation in the European Union.

2000

,

.




.

,

.
.

. ,


.

,

.
, ""

.

10

21


.
3.1.2.5.

10 (3)
:
. ,
.

,



.
.
.
.


.
.
.

,

.

. Council of Europe, Directorate of Social and Economic Affairs, 1994.

22
3.2.

( , ). ,
,
, ,
,
.. ,

,
,

. , .
... ,


..,

. .
, , , .11.
,
, -
- .

2000


. ,
,
.
,

(1993)12
,
13.
, , :

,

,

,
-
,
,
,
,

11

" ", . .,
, , ..

12

. "
-", ,
1993.

13

. " ",
1994 "
", 20 2000.

2000

23

,

,

,
,
(
)
,
,
,

,
,

"
".
' ,

(.. , ). ,
,
,
,
, - , .
- , ..
, ,
(
-

).

.

-
, . ,


(..
).


,
. ...

,

.
3.3.


..
, ,

, ..
1 .
,
, ,
.

7
,
"

24

2000

1, ".


( 80 ).



. .., ,
..

, () ...
..,
. :





. , ,

.
(1995),


500.000 ,
..,
6.000.000 .
,
(1997) ,



(55) .
(
),

. ,

( ,
).
, , , .
.
.
. :
,

.
. .
. .
.
,
( 14).
.


.

. " ..", , ... .., ,


16/5/2000, . 16.

14

2000

25

, ..

.
7 . 2 1612/68 "
",


.
" " ,
,
.. , .
,
. ,

, ,
-
-

.


.

,
.
(
, , , ) ..
. ,
' "-" ,
.
.
, , status quo.


.

26

2000

4.

,

.

. ,

(
).

,
,
.
, .



,
. ,
.
,
.

,



.
,

. , - ,
-,
, ,
, ,
..-
,
.

( ).
,
- - .
, (..
),
.
,

,

" ", , . ...,
,
.
. ,

2000

27


.


.. ,
, .
.

( 3.1.1.),
, ...
(
, ). ...
(. "")
"
" " ".
,
, /
,
(
)

,
,

'
.
, :
,
,


..
, ...
,
,
(

15). ,

. ,
,
. " " .
,
.


,
" " (positive
discrimination), .. , , , ...
.
...


16,
,
,

,
.

15

. ... , . 47/2000.

16

. ... " ", . 41/2000.

28
,
" ", ,
,

.
...

17.
.
""


. .

" " 18, 40
,
. , ,
" " ,
.
"" , ' ,
, ... 19,
- -
: .

2000

" ",

,
,
,

,
,
AIDS, ,
.. '
, , . . ...,
,
' . . ,
,

,
.
.

, ...
. ...
:
1. .

. ..., "
- ", . 24/1998.

17

.. "
", , 2-3 2000. ..., " ", .
17/1998.

18

. ..., " , , ,
", . 12/1997.

19

2000

29

2. .
3.
,

..

).
6. (.. ) .

4.
.

7.
- ,

, , ,
..

5. (

2000

31

:
1

(2000-2050)

= , M = , =

= , = , =

2

(2000-2050) ( )

32

2000

3

(2000-2050) ( )

: Eurostat, 2000, Demographic projections, baseline scenario.

2000

33

:

1.
1.1.


.

. 3251/55
. 1136/81,
:
.
( ),
. ,
.

,
.


.

...

(.....),
1958
.... (. 1 .. 3868/58).


(.. 20/59 83003/13414/59).

..... :
.
.
.

.
.
^
.
. ^
.




.

...



,
:

...,

34
, ....,
,

.
. 1438/84 (.23 1) , ,
:






,
,

(, ,

).

31325/85
, , , .
..... .



,

2000



.
,
.
1983
.... (. 18
. 1346/83) 1.000 .
.....
" " . .... .



.

^




.

.
. 4 .. 3865/58


, ,
50 . :

2000

35

,
.


, ..
206/98.
.. 206/98,
(4),

, 2.500 .
.
1.2.

: ,
.. 1153/72
"
"
,
63 . 1892/90.
. 1910/44 ( 229 ) " ",

" " 5781/33


.. 2543 2683 1940.




, ,
, , ,
/ ..

:
.
,


,
, ,
.
, ,
.
,
. .. .

36
1. ..
1153/72
,
,


. (
- ...) 500
.
.


(
),

.
2. . 1892/90 "

" , ,

,
.
:
, 34.000 .
.
(

,
,
, 25 ,


) , . 1910/44, .

-

2000

, .
, ,
,
, , ,
..

63 . 1892/90
... ,
.



. (3)

(. 2 . 2163/93)
.

. 2459/18.2.1997 ( 17 /97)
"
",
39 :
40.000 .
.1 63
. 1892/1990 , 6
,
7 . .

10.000 .

23 , -

2000

37


23.000 . ,

8 . . ( 500.000 .
).
( 23.000 .) :
.

25
,
.
23
,
. 860/1979, ,

3 . .,
.
. 1910/44,




, '
3 . .

(targeting),
,
.
.

39 4
. 2549/97.

38

2000



1910/44 ( 229 ) " "

. 1910/44 "
".


" " 5781/33 .. 2543
2683 1940.
,
, ,
, , ,
/ ..

63 1892/90 "

",
.



:
.

,

,
.
,
.
,
. .. .
. 860/1973 ( 2 )



34.000 .
, . 1910/44,

, ,

25
, .



.

,
, , ,
..
... 1/440/1991( 90 )
,
63 . 1892/1990 " -

2000

39

". (
. 2008/92 ( 16 ).

63 . 1892/90
..., ,
.

.
. 2163/1993 ( 125 ) "
... ".
2 :

.
3 :
.
2459/18.2.1997 ( 17 /97)
"
".
39 ,

:

40.000 .
.1
63 . 1892/1990
6
,
7 . .
10.000 .
23
, 23.000
. ,
8 . . (
500.000 .
).
... 3/.1078/97.
... 3/.1078/97



63
. 1892/1990
2 3
. 2163/93
39 . 2459/1997
. 2470/97.

O ...

2000

41

11 2000
:


.. ...


....






....


....


.. ......

....

....

...

.. ......

.
.. ......


.. ......

.. ......



.....

.....


.....

.....

.....

....

....

....

.....

....

....

....

....






.. .....



.. .....


.. .....

.. .....

.. .....

.. .....

...

.....


.. .....

& ...
...
& ,
.
.: (01) 9249510-2, Fax: (01) 9249514, e-mail: iproke@otenet.gr

1.
,

.
,
-
.

,

. ,

,
,


. ,
,
( ,
, )
,
.



.
.
,
,


.
,

.

2.

2.1

2.1.1
21 , 10,9
( 1). 10%
(12,3 .)

. , 50 , ,

1950
1970 (0,95% 1,06% ) 1960,
1980 1990 ( 0,44% 0,67%).
1.

(%)
755.752
0,95
380.088
0,44
971.776
1,06
519.483
0,52
704.120
0,67

1951
7.632.801
1961
8.388.553
1971
8.768.641
1981
9.740.417
1991
10.259.900
2001
10.964.020
: ...., (2/9/2003,
2001).
2

( )

( ).
1950-1980
140 160 ,
100.000 . ,
,
,
.
, 1960 , ,
1990 ( 2).

2.

1951-1960
1961-1970
1971-1980
1981-1990
1991-2000


1.533.249
1.532.475
1.438.877
1.183.634
1.021.381

577.212
693.050
801.509
911.193
999.764

956.037
839.425
637.368
272.441
21.617

-224.450
-497.169
255.552
251.190
53.066

24.165
37.832
78.856
-4.148
629.437

-200.285
-459.337
334.408
247.042
682.503

755.752
380.088
971.776
519.483
704.120

: ....,
.
,
,
. 1950-1970,
,
. ,
. 3
.
, 1970-1990,

, 1990
( 92% ).
, ,

( 90%),
( 3%
, 7% ).

2.1.2 :

( ) 1960-1980,
1980-2000
( 1).
( )
( )
.
1960-1980 1980-2000, ,

24 1. 30
1980.
25-29 , 1960,
, ,
1980 . 1980
( 25 )
(25-29 ) ,
. 30
1980 3039
. 1990,
(30-39 ) 25
, 25-29
, ( 1,4
1,3).

.
, 1988, Kotzifakis .., 1996, Symeonidou, 2002.

1.
()
() ( 1933-1965, 1956-2000)

:Council of Europe, Kotzifakis . ., 1996, , 2003


1960-2000
, ,
. ,
2 ,
( 24 )
( 30 ),
( )
( 30-39 ).

, (
) ( 2,1 2 1,7
1930,
1950 1960 , . 3). ,
1960-2000,
,
1960-1980 ,
1960,
30 (
3
). ,
(1980-2000),
1950 ,

30-39
( ) .
3: (1960-2000)

()
( 1000
)

()

()

65 ()

65 ()
()


30 (%)

(%)

(% )

(%)
0-14
15-64
65

1960

1980

2000

40,1

17,9

6,1

67,3

72,2

75,5

72,4

76,8

80,6

13,4

14,6

16,3

14,6

16,8

18,8

2,28
28,7

2,21
26,1

1,30
28,9

61,8

77,5

61,7

25,9

24,1

27,6

1,2

1,5

4,0

1,8

1,6

7,3

26,8
65
8,2

23,7
63,6
12,7

15,2
68,1
16,7

()
1935

1950

1965


2,04
1,99
1,71
()

28,3
26,2
26,8

65,8
79,2
73,2*
30 (%)
: , Eurostat, Council of Europe Kotzifakis .., 1996.
*
:
1961, 1981
2001.



.
1950 30
1980 , 30 ,
30 79-80% ( 3).
1950
1980-2000,
( )
30 .

(

) ( 1). ,
,
,

.
,
, ,
, .
,
, 20
(
) ,

.
.
( 30 )
- . ,


. ,

(tempo effect)

25-30% (Bongaarts, 2002). ,


1,7 (
2,2 1980) 1,3
.
4. (1960-2000)

1960-69
1970-79
1980-89
1990-99
1970/
1960
1980/
1970
1990/
1980

.
1.545
646
543
204
152
1.436
619
538
189
90
1.230
547
472
150
61
1.021
470
381
118
52
(%)
-7,1
-4,3
-0,9
-7,7
-40,6
-14,4

-11,7

-12,2

-20,4

-32,2

-16,9

-13,8

-19,2

-21,7

-15,0

(%)

1970/
1960
100
25
4
1980/
1970
100
35
32
1990/
1980
100
36
44
: Council of Europe.

14

56

19

14

16

,

. 1970
(-7%)
1960 ( 4),
(-41%), 3 (-8%)
1 (-4%) 2 (-1%).
4 56%
, 3, 2 1, 14%, 4% 25% .
,

3 1980 2 1990.
1
1980 1990, 1/3
,
,
( 24,1 1980 27,6 2000, . 3).

2.1.3 :

1960-2000
.
.

.
,
8,2 10,3 ( 3).
1960 3,1 ,
2000 (5,2 ). 20
,
.
1990-2000,
36% 46%
1980-1990.
,
,
(, 2003).
,
1960-2000,
0-14 60%
95%. 15-49
20%. (17-25 )
.
50 20% 30%
. ,


. 0-14,
, 15 .
15-79 40
40-60%, 80 20% 30%.

15-49
,
50
79 , , .
, 1960-2000

. ,
1960-1980

. ,
,
, ,
15-4 9 50
,
.

2.2 ,
2.2.1 ,


.
,

, .
,
60-65 ,

10

. ,
-,
,
. , 1960
65 8,2%,
2000 16,7% 2 ( 3).
,

. ,


.

, : )
, )
,
3 0 , )
.

, ,
. ,


,
. ,

,
.

.

, ,
1990, 1
(17,7%).

11

2.2.2


,
,
. ,

( ) .
,
,
(

).
, ,
.
5:

1960

1980


25,1
23,3
(
25,7
23,5
1935, 1950, 1965)
1000
56,7*
103,9



14,4**
15,1

(%)

6
8
(1960, 1970, 1983)

(1960,
14,6
14,3
1970, 1983)
: , Eurostat, Council of Europe, K 1997.
*1962, **1970

12

2000

26,9
23,9
152,7
11,9

13

12,1

40 3
1960 1980.
, 1980 ,
( 5). ,
,
.
1930 1960,
1960 .
. 10%
1930 1960
5%, ( )
1970, 2025% 27 (, 1997,
. 88 98) .
,
,

(Kuijsten, 1997, European Observatory, 1996).

.
,
,
.
,
.
,
. 1000 1960, 57 (
), (
), 2000
150 ( 5).
,

2,5 (1960 1983).

13

, ( 6% 14%)
2,5
( 14,6 12,1 ).
, ,
,
, -
, ,
. ,
IPROSEC (
., 2003), , ,

( , , , , , ,
). -

.

3.


(
), (
).

(
, ) - (
). ,

. ,
,

() (..
). ,

. , 1997

14


.

()

.
: )
, )

-
(.. ) )



. ,
(2001), 19,8%
,
7% (
). ,
6% ( 673.000 )
6,6%.

8%
.
,
- ,
,
4,

. ,

..
, ,
.
4

15


( ).

3.1

,
1960 .
,
( 2),
26% ( 3,8 1961 2,8 2001).
2. ,
( 1
1961).

: ,
6,
71%
2 .
24 31 ( 44% 33%)

16

. 3 4 (15 14
).
5 6
( 3 10 ).
, 5 ,
.

(5 ) 11%
32%
1960. , 1961
, 2001 1 . 3 4
, ( 70%)
20-21%.
6: (1961-2001)

1
2
3
4
5
6

1961
10
17
20
21
15

2001
20
28
21
20
7

(%)
1961-2001
24
31
15
14
-3

17

-10

(%)

(%)

(%)

1961
3
9
16
22
20

2001
7
20
23
29
12

1961-2001
6
16
13
15
-4

30

-19

100
100
71
100
100
: ,

27


.
1961 50% 5
, 2001 (21%),
( 9% 20%)
.

17

,
1960,

. ,
,

, 3 ,

.

3.2
, 3/4
.

- ( ),
.


( 35). ,
1991 2001 30%,
-6% .
, , ,

1,5 .

( 4 1).

3 2001.
Eurostat (Labour Force Survey, 2001)
( , 2001)
. ,
1991, -
Eurostat 1991, 2001,
2001.
5

18

3.
1991 2001 ( 100 1991).

: 1991, .
2001 ,
Eurostat, Labour Force Survey, 1991 2001 (. ).

,
. ,
(European Commission,
1995): ,
. ,


,
.

, ,
,
, , ,
.
,
,

19


-,
, / ( ).
,


. ,

- ,
,
.
3.3 - -
-
. 4 5 -
. ,
. 1960 2000,
( 217 1961
726 2001). 1960 1 10 ,
10 2 .

,
. , , ,
,
. ,

,


.

()

- . ,
IPROSEC ( ., 2003), 54%

20


( ).
(2 57%, 3
29% 1 14%).

3.4
7 ,

. (),
, (),
.
0-24 25,9% ().
29,2%
, 89% 0-24
().
(), , 1
(32,7%).
24 , 80% (25,9/32,7),
24 ( 35-40
). 24
,
, .
50%
29 31 24 27
(European Commission, 2002, . 117).



. ,
,

.

21

7: , , 1998

.

0-24 25-54 55-64 65

25,9
0,8
0,4

6,6
1,8
3,4

0,2
1,4
6,2

0,0
4,0
7,9

32,7
7,9
17,8

0,4

19,6

9,0

2,6

31,6

0,0

1,5

0,7

0,1

2,3

0,0

0,8

0,8

0,7

2,2

0,0

0,3

0,1

0,0

0,4

0,0
1,7

0,0
0,8

0,3
0,2

1,6
0,4

1,9
3,2

17,3

100,0

29,2 34,7
18,9
: Eurostat, Labour Force Survey.

.


0-24 25-54
55-64
65

89
2,7
1,3

19
5,1
9,7

1
7,2
32,6

0
23
45,4

1,3

56,5

47,5

15,1

0,2

4,3

3,9

0,9

2,3

4,2

3,8

0,9

0,7

0
5,5

0
2,2

1,6
1,3

9,2
2,6

100

100

100
100
: Eurostat, Labour Force Survey.

22

1
(31,6%), (
91%) (25-64 ). 1/3 (
)

. ,

.

, ,
,

, 2,5

.
, 1
65 (7,9/17,8)
(4,0/7,9).
65 17,3% ,
50%
.

().
, , 55-64
,
,
(
) 65 .

4.

,

23

,
,
.
,
, ,

. ,

, ,

. ,

,
, .
IPROSEC,

)
.

,

,
. ,
,
,
. ,
, ,

.
,
,

. ,
,

24

. ,
,

,

.

25


Bagavos C., 2002, General Monitoring Report on the Situation of Families in Greece,
European Observatory on the Social Situation, Demography and Family - Austrian Institute
for Family Matters, Vienna.
Bongaarts J., 2002, The End of the Fertility Transition in the Developed World, Population
and Development Review, vol. 28, 3, 419-444.
Council of Europe, 1990, Households Structures in Europe, Population Studies, Vol. 22,
Council of Europe, Strasbourg.
Council of Europe, Recent Demographic Developments in Europe, , .
, , .
, , .
, , .
, 1995, ,
1994, .
European Commission, 2002, The Social Situation in the European Union, DG Employment
& Social Affairs and Eurostat, Luxembourg.
European Observatory on National Family Policies, 1996, A Synthesis of National Family
Policies 1995, Commission of the European Communities.
urostat, Demographic Statistics, , .
urostat, Labour Force Survey Results, , .
Goldstein J., Lutz W. and M.R. Testa, 2003, The Emergence of Sub-Replacement Family
Size Ideals in Europe, Vienna Institute of Demography, European Demographic Research
Paper No 2, Vienna.
Keilman N., 1996, Households, Families and Housing, in G. Wunch, G. Caselli and J.
Vallin (eds.), Demografia: Analisi e Sintesi. Cause et Conceguenze dei Processi Demografici,
Universita degli Studi di Roma La Sapienza, Rome.
., 1997, :
, , 94 . 61-152.
., 1988, : . ,

, ,
, . 70 . 139-190, . 71, . 44-93.
Kotzifakis G, et V. Kotzamanis, 1996, Composantes de lEvolution Dmographique
Grce, Confrence Internationale, 50 Ans dEvolution Dmographique dans les Balkans,

, 26-29 .

26

Kuijsten A., 1999, Households, Families and Kin Networks, in Van Wissen L. and P.
Dykstra, (eds.), Population Issues. An interdisciplinary Focus, New York, Kluwer
Academic/Plenum Publishers, . 87-122.
Kuijsten A., 1995, Recent Trends in Household and Family Structure in Europe: An
Overview, in E. Van Imhoff, A. Kuijsten, P. Hooimeijer and L. Van Wissen (eds.),
Household Demography and Household Modeling, New York, Plenum Press.
. ., 1998, 21 .
, ,
21 ,: ( ), , ,
. 53-61.
. . . , 2003,
IPROSEC. ,
, .
., 2003, ,
, , Gutenberg.
. . , 2002, ,
. , . . (.)
2001, , . 37-42.
., 1990,
, , 76, . 240-265.
Symeonidou H., 2002, Fertility and Family Surveys in Countries of the ECE Region. Country
Report-Greece, United Nations, New York and Geneva.
Van De Kaa, D.J., 1987, Europes Second Demographic Transition, Population Bulletin, Vol.
42, . 1-57.

27

.
:
1


5 .
1960 8,3 , 50
3 2010 11,3 .
, 36% (
1).
2, ,

( ). ,
(
)
96 93%
.
( 2)

( 1).
2010
. ,

( , 3). ,

( 4), ,
, .


:
.
; .
;
.
;
;
,
( Eurostat 78,7
83,6 83,1 87,6 2010
2050),

( 5).
, ,
.


(2,1 , , 2009, , 2003)

.
Eurostat
( 5) 2010-2050. ,
,
,
1,44 2010 1,5 2035-2040
(1,54) 2050.
,

( 2050
1930),

( 6). ,
(15-49 )
( 2,6 2010 1,6 2050)

( 110 2010 140 2050),
()
,
.
,
,
. ,
. ,
,
. ,
,
, .
( 7) ,
,
( -17%), 2050
1970. ,
Eurostat 40.000
30.000 ,
2040.
2050
(+1,2%).
( 8),

, ,
(65 ),
(15-64 ) (0-14 ),

.
, (65 )
,
(
9). ,
(15-64 ,
10), 65
(15 ).

2010-2050 (-16%
-35,5% ).


( 11), .
, 1970 1 6, 2010 1 3,5
1 1,4 1,8 2050
.
0-14
.
,
( 12).

1. , (1960-2010)
( 100 1960)
200
180
160
140

120

100

80
60
40
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

: Eurostat, Demographic Statistics

2.
(1960-2010)
( )
100.000
80.000
60.000
40.000
20.000

0
-20.000
-40.000
-60.000
1960

1970

1980

1990

: Eurostat, Demographic Statistics

2000

3. () (1960-2010)
2,6
2,4
2,2
2,0

1,8
1,6
1,4
1,2
1,0
1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

: Eurostat, Demographic Statistics


4.
(1960-2010)
85
83
81
79
77

75

73

71
69
67
65

1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

: Eurostat, Demographic Statistics

5. (1960-2050)
( 2010,
2010-2050)
180.000
160.000
140.000
120.000

100.000

80.000
60.000

1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050

40.000

: Eurostat, Demographic Statistics and Demographic Projections 2010

6.
2010-2050
( )
3,5
3,0
2,5
Eurostat
2,0

1,5
1,0
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

: Eurostat,
Demographic Projections 2010

7.
(1960-2050)
12.000.000
11.500.000
11.000.000

10.500.000
10.000.000

9.500.000

9.000.000
8.500.000
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050

8.000.000

: Eurostat, Demographic Statistics and Demographic Projections 2010


8. , 2010
(% )
85+
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4

: Eurostat, Demographic Statistics

9. 65
(1970-2050)
4.000.000
3.500.000
3.000.000

2.500.000

2.000.000

1.500.000

1.000.000

1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050

500.000

: Eurostat, Demographic Statistics and Demographic Projections 2010


10. 15-64
(1970-2050)
8.000.000
7.500.000
7.000.000

6.500.000
6.000.000

5.500.000

5.000.000
4.500.000
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050

4.000.000

: Eurostat, Demographic Statistics and Demographic Projections 2010

11. 15-64
65 (support ratio) (1970-2050)
7

6
5

1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050

: Eurostat, Demographic
Statistics and Demographic Projections 2010
12. 0-14
(1970-2050)
2.400.000
2.200.000
2.000.000

1.800.000
1.600.000

1.400.000

1.200.000

1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050

1.000.000

: Eurostat, Demographic Statistics and Demographic Projections 2010


European Commission, 2011, Demography Report 2010. Brussels
Eurostat, Statistics Data Base
(online: http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/statistics/search_database).
, ., 2009 (.), , ,
: .
.,2003, ,
, : Gutenberg.

You might also like