Professional Documents
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Housing Under Finance Influence
Housing Under Finance Influence
Abstract
Following an international trend, structural changes have happened in Brazilian
real estate markets. In the context of globalization of capital, Brazilian major
homebuilders have gone through financial markets for less than a decade and,
not by chance, they are those who concentrate a significant part of the private
housing production in the country.
In these terms, there is an approximation of the financial stock market to
housing production, with demands for management and production
adaptations of a sphere over the other. Thus, an important part of new homes is
being built in accordance with the economic strategies of this group of actors,
increasingly subject to the interests of its shareholders, not rarely foreign
speculators, who seek to multiply their capital in the abstract and speculative
sphere of the financial world.
The State plays a vital role in this context, acting to ensure the valorization of
the developers` and investors` private capital, both national and international.
Comparing the financial performance and housing production of three of the
main residential real estate groups in Brazil, regarding the experience of So
Paulo with more attention, the paper aims to map how the new economic
strategies of the major real estate developers in Brazil emerge and materialize,
questioning the effects on market output of that which is, at least legally, a
citizens right and a State duty.
Keywords: housing, finance, So Paulo.
1
1.
Understanding a territory
With a population of about 20.7 million inhabitants spread over 7,900 km1 of
urban area, in 39 municipalities, So Paulo Metropolitan Area (SPMA) is one of
the biggest metropolises in the planet. Product of a historically unequal urban
growth based on the concentration of private capital and on the extremely
uneven distribution of public infrastructure, So Paulo can be understood as the
exacerbation between accumulation and poverty2. Not coincidentally, despite
its GDP being about R$613 billion3, this metropolis faces a big challenge
concerning housing for its citizens.
In the SPMA, an estimated 2 million 99 thousand households (about 6 million
people) live in subpar conditions in 20104, of which at least 318 thousand
families need a new home5. These are the effects of an urban center which has
1
2.
Understanding a market
H. Carvalho, Campos Elseos: um bairro, um patrimnio, uma cidade. Um caso histrico de patrimnio
pblico e mutao urbana na cidade de So Paulo.
7
C. Lemos, Prefcio. In: M.R.A. Sampaio (org.), A promoo privada da habitao econmica e a
arquitetura moderna, p. 6; N. Bonduki, Origens da habitao social no Brazil, p. 43.
8
N. Bonduki, op. cit.
9
C. Topalov, Les promoteurs immobiliers: contribution lanalyse de la production capitaliste du
logement en France, p. 15.
10
E. Maricato, Indstria da construo e poltica habitacional (tese de doutorado), p. 92.
11
M. Fix, 2011: 144.
face unemployment during a recession time. From its inception until its demise
in 1986, the BNH was responsible for financing the construction of almost 5
million homes in Brazil12, most of them addressed for Brazilian middle class.
The SFH still exists, and it is responsible for managing credit operations funded
by the Assurance Fund for Period of Work (Fundo de Garantia por Tempo de
Servio, FGTS) and the Brazilian Savings and Loans System (Sistema Brasileiro de
Poupana e Emprstimo, SBPE). After the closing down of BNH in 1986,
management of the FGTS has been transferred to Caixa Econmica Federal (or
simply Caixa) a federal government-controlled bank. The fund collects an 8%
tax on the payroll of all formally employed workers and is intended primarily
to provide unemployment insurance but can also be used by the contributors
to buy a home13. FGTS-funded loans typically finance the purchase and
construction of low-income housing14. The other main source for SFH loans, the
SBPE, requires commercial banks to earmark 65% of their savings deposits for
housing loans for middle-income families.
The system was created during the Brazilian economic miracle of the late
1960s and early 1970s, when Brazils GDP grew at an average annual rate of
11,1%15. In spite of the sheer unmet demand for housing in Brazil, the SFH was
the first nation-wide massive housing finance initiative, and the number of
housing units financed by the SFH during the brief life of the BNH peaked in
1980 at 628,000. In the wake of the 1982 Latin American debt crisis, massive
withdrawals from both the FGTS and the SBPE combined with soaring
inflation. While the monthly installments were indexed to the borrowers wages
(systematically adjusted below inflation, following the official minimum wage
policy), liabilities were adjusted according to inflation. A fund the FCVS
(Fundo de Compensao de Variao Salarial, Portuguese for Fund for
Compensation of Wage Variation) was created to cover any shortfall between
the adjusted payments and the agreed payments when mortgages matured16.
Soon the solution proved itself unsustainable. That situation eventually forced
the federal government to shut down the BNH. Although the SFH itself
continued its operations under Caixa, housing credit remained practically
paralyzed17 for almost 20 years.
The economic conjuncture of the mid-1990s in Brazil could not be worse for
both the old and the new housing credit systems to take off and for the lives
12
of the working poor. The Plano Real was a set of economic measures
implemented in 1994, devised to end with hyperinflation, an issue that had
become chronic since the 1980s. Inflation was attacked by pegging the newly
created currency, the real, to the U.S. dollar at a 1 to 1 rate. To sustain the
overvalued currency, the interest rates of risk-free Treasury bonds had to be
fixed at internationally competitive levels in order to attract foreign capital.
These measures meant imported consumer goods were cheaper than the
products offered by the less competitive national industry. High interest rates
and the overvalued currency had as a consequence initiating a process of deindustrialization that brought about rising unemployment and slow economic
growth. As a matter of fact, in the years 1995-2002, annual GDP growth
averaged only 2.3%.18
In 1998, in the wake of the Asian financial crisis, the outflow of capital from
Brazilian financial markets forced the Central Bank to devalue the real and raise
interest rates to levels unheard of. In the period from 1995 to 1999, the average
annual interest rate on risk-free Treasury bonds was 32.34%19.
Throughout the early 1990s, there was intense debate in Brazilian society to find
a solution for housing credit and finance. In 1997, the federal government
answer to social pressure by sanctioning the SFI (Sistema Financeiro Imobilirio,
Portuguese for Real Estate Financial System), a new system that would
complement the SFH20. The new system introduced some innovations such as
the instrument called alienao fiduciria, a form of liens whereby property
bought with SFI funds remain under the lienors direct liability until the debt is
paid off.
In spite of the new regulations, in tune with the neoliberal wave that hit
mainstream Brazilian economic and political thinkers (and regulators), housing
credit did not expand as expected after the implementation of the SFI. In fact,
up to this day, SFI advanced more in financing commercial buildings than in
the residential segment21, an indication that the new regulation was not
designed to address the sheer repressed demand for housing in Brazil, but
merely to secure low risk for creditors.
Having in mind the economic conjuncture of the late 1990s, it should not be
hard to understand why housing credit remained stagnated. Housing credit
being a high-risk, long-term modality of financial operation, both the SFH and
the SFI it could never have fulfilled their intentions when buying risk-free
18
http://www.ibge.gov.br/home/presidencia/noticias/imprensa/ppts/0000000776520311201252260661
9383.xls
19
http://www.ie.ufrj.br/moeda/pdfs/Modenesi_Modenesi_26-05-10_FIN.pdf
20
Maricato, 1998.
21
Fix, op. Cit., p. 132.
Royer, 2009, p. 60
Lundberg, Eduardo Luis. Bancos Oficiais e Crdito Direcionado: o que diferencia o mercado de crdito
brasileiro. Trabalho para discusso n 258 Banco Central do Brasil, 2011, pp. 19-20.
24
Ibid.
23
3.
25
Gafisa S.A.
Gafisa S.A. remained a family business from its creation, in 1954, until 1997,
when it merged with GP Investments S.A., resulting in a limited company. In
2005, prior to going public in the So Paulo Stock and Futures Exchange
(BM&F-BOVESPA), 32% of its capital was bought Equity International
Management, a private equity firm based in Chicago. The injection of foreign
capital could have contributed to establish some important transformations in
the companys financial and management structure, because in the next year,
2006, Gafisa makes its IPO, raising R$ 927 billion with the sale of 47% of its
stock30. In 2007, Gafisa raised R$ 1.171 billion (US$ 585.5 million) 31 in a followon offering, and later, in 2010, in another offering, it managed to raise R$ 1.063
billion (US$ 531.5 billion)32 more.
In 2007, Gafisa created a brand for the popular housing segment, named Fit. In
that same year, Tenda, one of the strongest homebuilders for low-income
segment went public and Gafisa immediately bought it out, incorporating its
structure. Although Tenda also had business in the SPMA, it focused mainly on
housing developments for the so-called popular and economic segments
(low- and middle-income households) and thus was not a direct competitor, for
Gafisas products were aimed at the highest end of the middle-income families
and up.
Among the housing developers studied, Gafisa is the only one which has stock
been negotiated both in So Paulo and New York stock markets. In 2011, the
company was present in 22 Brazilian states.
Cyrela Brazil Realty S.A.
Cyrela Brazil Realty S.A. Empreendimentos e Participaes is also a strong
housing developer in the SPMA, in addition to acting in other 15 Brazilian
states and also in Argentina and Uruguay. The corporation was founded in
1962 and went public in the BM&FBOVESPA in 2005. In 2006, it does its first
30
33
According to its president, our business model prioritizes what is best in both
[financial management and housing production]. We bring our culture of results
which we have inherited from investment banks, without harming each companies'
autonomy. () We have bought management capacity, not plots or buildings.36
4.
Going public was not a strategy restricted to Brazilian housing developers, this
phenomenon happened in a systemic way all over the world: in just 7 years,
from 2000 to 2006, the number of real estate companies that made their IPOs
doubled37. In Brazil, that happened mostly after 2005.
Whether critical theory sees this IPO wave as a strategy in a changing
international economy38, or as a strategy for a class to retrieve accumulation and
the elite power interrupted by decades of welfare state39, within a period of new
worldwide financial hegemony40, for Brazilian homebuilders it is justified as a
result of a maturation process of the business and as an alternative way to raise
unleveraged funds (desintermdiation41), expand their international projection
and improve their competitiveness.
As stated by Shimbo, before the IPOs, there was already a tendency, in Brazil,
of growth and concentration of capital in the big players of the residential real
estate market, mainly developers and building contractors. After the IPOs,
these companies output was potentiated and comprehended a great part of the
property sold in recent years, especially in the SPMA42.
It is also worth noting that the growth prospects of the Brazilian real estate
developers attracted many foreign investors to a market that was, until then,
controlled strictly by local interests. For example, as of October 2011, 7.8% of
Cyrelas shares were owned by Carmignac Gestion, a French investment bank,
5.3% of its capital was held by BlackRock, Inc., a leading American asset
management firm, while Janus Capital Management LLC, another American
investment firm, owned 5.18% of the shares. In that same month, 7.2% of PDGs
36
Cf. Uma empresa em construo, In: Isto Dinheiro, 09 de julho de 2008. N. 562. Apud: H. Carvalho, A
cidade como um canteiro de negcios.
37
P. Zivkovic et AL., Financiarisation de limmobilier: la rponse du groupe BNP Paribas.2006.
38
F. Chesnais, A finana mundializada.
39
D. Harvey, A brief history of neoliberalism.
40
D. Lvyand G. Dumsnil, O neoliberalismo sob a hegemonia norteamericana. In: F. Chesnais (org.) A
finana mundializada.
41
I. Nappi-Choulet, Les mutations de limmobilier: de la finance au development durable.
42
L.Shimbo, Habitao social, habitao de mercado: a confluncia entre Estado, empresas construtoras
e mercado financeiro (Tese de doutorado), p. 26.
10
Source: production of the authors from a chart made by SECOVI. See: SECOVI, Balano do Mercado
Imobilirio 2012, available in: http://www.secovi.com.br/files/Downloads/balaco-mercadoimobiliario-2012pdf.pdf.
43
11
The number of housing units offered in the market and the price of the publicly
traded shares seem to follow the same trend. However, the very nature of real
estate development in Brazil makes it an industry that cannot respond to
externalities as swiftly as the stock market can. In the wake of the 2008 global
financial crisis, there was a sharp plunge in Gafisas stock values, and the
production of new housing units also slowed down. From the beginning of 2008
until the first half of 2009 that downward movement persisted. That year the
pace of production declined to early 2000s levels, and Gafisas share prices
plunged to R$ 5 a share (down from about R$ 30 in 2007). After the federal
government started implementing the MCMV program (represented by the
vertical line in 2009), shares quickly appreciated and production recovered in
the second half of 2010, Gafisa launched nearly 3 thousand housing units, the
record high for the decade.
12
PDG Realty, as explained in the previous section, was born out of a banking
group and grew based on the acquisition of existing developers. Its market
performance, seems to share similarities with the other developers analyzed.
Nevertheless, PDGs activities in the SPMA seem to have not been so strongly
affected by the late 2000s financial crises. One possible reason for that is the
groups business model based on decentralized control, meaning each company
of the group has more liberty to respond to externalities.44
One issue that is promptly noticeable in the market behavior of the three
developers analyzed is that share prices and total output follow the same trend,
although the very nature of the real estate development process, real
production tends to take longer to react to market pressures. Despite trying to
find a clear causal relation between share prices and production may be too
44
http://www.istoedinheiro.com.br/noticias/4182_UMA+EMPRESA+EM+CONSTRUCAO
13
hurried, those two factors are interrelated and feed each other back: the brighter
the prospects of corporate growth, the higher its market value; the higher the
perceived market value, the more each corporation is stimulated to grow. The
following figure attempts to resume that circular flow:
The real estate stock market interrelation scheme. Source: H. Carvalho, A cidade como um canteiro de
negcios. p. 242.
5.
14
fact that a significant part of the middle class only now could have access to
housing credit, the greater part of the repressed demand, composed of poor
families, remained unattended.
Bearing in mind that the informal labor market is still large in Brazil, and SFH
loans follow strict credit rating criteria, it is reasonable to say that affordability
of house ownership is not an issue related exclusively to household income, but
rather with broader institutional issues. The absolute lack of any kind of public
policy for rental housing also puts a restraint on affordable housing for the
poor.
5.2 The Land Run and the problem of urban land availability for social
housing
IPOs and successive follow-on in stock market gave to housing developers a
high potential to produce housing in a large scale, as they have never had
before. With capital coming without debt, and with credit allowing more people
to access formal housing markets, land seemed to be the only impediment for
their accumulation in the form of real estate. So, from its IPO (2006) to its third
public offer in the So Paulo stock market (2009), Cyrelas total land bank
almost doubled, from 6.5 million square meters to 12.6 million46. In 2011, PDG
Realty had a land bank valued at R$28.4 billion, able to produce 176.5 thousand
housing unities, and 52,3% of it had been acquired just after its IPO 47. In 2007,
one year after its IPO, Gafisa had a land bank valued at R$10.195 billion, with
19.2 million square meters, land resource needed to keep promoting new
developments for, at least, three years48. These land banks refer not only to
SPMA, however. Plots that are prospected and bought by these companies
cause a huge consumption of urban land for private production that is not
addressed to people that compose cities main housing deficit.
Municipalities have had difficulty to access land to promote its municipal
housing policy. After 2001, many cities all over Brazil have implemented an
urban planning tool reserving vacant areas for social housing production. Since
then, this tool, named Social Interest Special Zone (ZEIS), has been applied
almost everywhere in Brazilian big and medium cities, including So Paulo 49. In
So Paulo city, it was implemented in 2002 and improved in 2004, listing a total
of 181 vacant plots (totalizing 11.5 million square meters) for social housing
production, by both public sector and private developers. Ten years passed,
46
15
after all this shift and boom in housing markets, and because of this specific
zoning, 8.6% of this land stock was used for public and private housing
production, and 69% of this surface remains vacant for new social housing
projects. Whether this data shows that this tool was not very attractive for
housing developers, at least it allowed to the municipality to assure some land
for producing homes for the most vulnerable of its citizen.
However, we can regret that without prioritizing strategies to access land and to
control land prices, even the public sector can contribute for stimulating
speculation. The MCMV program is an example of that. Without applying tools
and mechanisms to avoid speculation of urban land, the trend is that a part of
capital flow implemented including the subsidies offered with funding from
the government budget is captured in the form of land rent 50.
Residencial launches by selected developers in 2010: Cyrela, Living, Gafisa, Tenda and PDG
Realty.
The map above shows the new housing developments made by the companies
studied in this paper in the year of 2010. Analyzing it, it is possible to realize
how important location and land prices are to establish new construction sites.
Those developments made by Tenda (Gafisa) and Living (Cyrela) are more
evenly spread over the limits of the SPMA, far from employment, infrastructure
50
16
and good quality public services, while residential development for highincome families is concentrated around the urbanistically consolidated, newly
developed business districts.
5.3 Standardization of housing and urbanity of housing complexes
The landscape of Brazilian cities has been strongly transformed by real estate
developments. In SPMA, old and horizontal working-class neighborhoods, rundown industrial areas and vacant land within city limits or at the edge of the
urban sprawl have had their original characteristics often replaced by projects
without unrelated to the local urban specificities. Furthermore, their typology is
frequently the same almost everywhere, whether in the same city or not. In
some cases, even rural areas have been rezoned to host massive housing
developments, when lower land prices justify the distance from the city what
happens mostly with low-income housing complexes.
When housing becomes a mere commodity, standardized production is
justified as a necessary condition for profitability. That does not mean that
design is disregarded by developer. Housing developers in Brazil usually have
a development project department, where the role of architects is reduced to the
creation of codified product families, reproduced thousands of times,
depending on the economic model of the development rather than on
specificities of climate or site conditions.
Cyrela Brazil Realty, for example, usually starts a development project with
only three options of products, and the final decision of which one implement
is based in market analysis51. In low-income housing this happens very often.
Tenda, for example, works with only 4 standardized types of housing unities
for any kind of development52.
The following images show how they looked, housing developments in SPMA
made by some of the companies here studied, in 2010.
51
Cyrela Brazil Realty, Annual Report 2009, p. 11. Apud H. Carvalho, op. cit., p. 253.
Shimbo, p.139.
52
17
Standardization: six different housing complexes in different areas of SPMA developed by Living. Source:
H. Carvalho, op. cit., p. 311.
In different cities in the SPMA, three projects with almost the same standard of project. Source: H.
Carvalho, op. cit., p. 311
53
R. faria, Torres econmicas, in: revista tchne, Ed.130, jan. 2007. Apud: H. Carvalho, p.308.
Speech of an engineer working in a developer specializing in low-income housing in cities average
Brazilian.Cf. Shimbo, 2009, p. 204.
54
18
However, even the public sector has induced developers to build standardized
housing units. The MCMV program, for example, in its original version,
specified only two standardized models of dwellings that would be acceptable
for the program: a 35m house and a 42m apartment. In this subsidized
category, MCMV funds housing developments that depend on housing prices
to be implemented. As land is cheaper in the outskirts of the urban sprawl, and
the scale of production matters for private developers building for a subsidized
demand, the consequences are enormous complexes of standardized housing
located far from the city, without urban infrastructure, as we can see in the
following image, a top view a complex built in the limits of Campinas city
urban area.
Housing development in an ancient rural area, in Campinas. Source: Google Earth, 2011.
19
This model has been widely applied in medium cities. The way it has been
done, the Brazilian urban expansion still seems to produce the opposite of
sustainable cities, not only in poor neighborhoods, but also in the new districts
for the middle and upper classes. Does provide some promising future for the
inhabitants of the next generations. In short, one can say that they are
unsustainable cities that have been produced by economic sector 55 .
The combination of an economic model that requires reducing project and
building costs, in association with a land use regulation that almost exclusively
serves to define the constructive potential of the land, without guided types and
aspects of relationship with the public space, have resulted in urban spaces with
a lack of quality, whether in urban areas or in the limits of urban sprawl. Inside
the cities, they have been in identical buildings in different cities, successively
deployed "stranded", not bearing relation with the immediate surroundings.
The standardization of housing produced by housing developers refers rather
to the overall reduction of architecture to market logic, the reduction of the
dwelling to a product and the reduction of cities in mere spaces of reproduction
of the real estate capital, without public project without collective reflection of
what city plans to construct56. The supremacy of a massive housing production
and the building standardization reflects the priority of a home took as an
exchange value rather than as a value in use, i.e., housing produced as an
ordinary commodity.
6.
Final considerations
The right to housing has only been a formally consolidated right in Brazil since
200057. It is the role of the State to guarantee adequate housing for the
population. Evidently, however, in a society as unequal socially and
economically as Brazil is, supplying the sheer unmet demand for housing
requires strong intervention on the real estate market structure.
55
56
H. Carvalho, p.316
57
20
Since the mid-1960s there have been several attempts at the national level to
tackle the housing issue. Those policies have been based almost exclusively on
subsidized credit for homeownership, a solution that has served only a small
portion of potential homebuyers not the most needed while reinforcing
the segregational structure of the housing finance system.
Recent developments in the global economy and in local real estate markets led
major housing developers to go public in the So Paulo stock exchange. That,
along with a new subsidized housing credit program for poor families, brought
about an extremely rapid and intense growth in housing markets.
Although part of the lower middle classes (and, of course, developers
themselves) benefited from this upgraded market structure, the poorest among
the poor remain, by and large, unattended. Land prices have increased sharply,
harshly impacting on affordability.
Moreover, this unprecedented growth in housing supply, in the absence of
tighter land use controls, has been generating ill-located residential
developments devoid of any urbanity, detached from what living in a city
should really mean.
As many housing social movements, urban planners, and scholars have
repeatedly stated, the real challenge for policymakers seems to be not how to
supply houses, but rather how to build cities that are socially inclusive and
livable.
21
7.
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