...............................................................................

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104 ........................................................................14
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104
..............................................19
1

..................................................................................................19
...............................................19
..........................................................................20
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..................................................................................................30

104
..............................................31

1.

2.

3.

1.
(1)

(2)

2.
(1)

(2)
(3)

3.

4.

5.
(1)

(2)

(1) 5 SSCI

(2) 5
(3)
RAND
NBER

95.4.11. 94 2 1
95.5.2. 2430
95.6.6. 2435 35

[]

Email: leehsf@ntu.edu.tw
Web:
page:http://homepage.ntu.edu.tw/~leehsf/
Tel: 02-3366-8398

( 1993 8 )
( 2002 11 25 2002 12 10 )
( 1980 8 1993 7 )
/ DAAD ( 1983 8 1986 8 )
( 1981 8 1982 8 )
( 1976 8 1980 7 )

1993 6
1980 6
1974 6

1. 199913(1)51-69
2. 1997
2975-99
3. 200054149
4. 2000(11)No.724649
5. 2001
33(1)47-104
6. 2001
91(3)1-60
7. 2002
34(4)34-63
8. 2002
34(5)56-70
9. 2003 2003
35(5)55-65
10. Liu, M. Y., C. Y. Wu, and H. F. Lee (2004), ``FAT Tails and
7

VaR Estimation Using Power EWMA Models, Journal of Academy of

Business and Economics, 3(1), 98-110..
11. 2004
27(4)73-98
12. 2005(EITC)
37(3), 103-157
13. 2005
2005 4 516 2-37

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.

9.
10.
11.
12.

13.
14.

1998
1998251-282
1998
1998.8
11-75
1998

1998.12
1999

87-110
2000 2000
2000 6 121-146
2001
2001.11.17
200221
2002.6.1
Lee, H. F. and Chingpei Hung , 2002Economic Globalization and
the Challenges to Fiscal Policy in Industrial Countries, ATWS
International Conference, Mississippi State University and
National Taiwan University, Taipei, December 28-30, 2002.
2003
Fnftes internationals Germanistik-Symposium in Taiwan
127-138
2003

378-438
2003
2003.10.18 67-91
Lee, H. F. and C. W. Tseng, 2003, Local Government Finance in
Taiwan: Reform and Trend, in: Ichimura, S. (ed.), Proceedings of
Development and Decentralization in Asian Asian Development
Conference 2003, World Bank, Asian Development Bank and
Kitakyushu City, November 10-11, 216-233.
Liu, M. Y., C. Y. Wu, and H. F. Lee, 2004, Power Conditional
Variance Estimation and Value at Risk, Hawaii International
Conference on Business, June 2004.
Liu, M. Y., C. Y. Wu, and H. F. Lee, 2004, FAT Tails and VaR
Estimation Using Power EWMA Models, Annual Conference of IABE,
USA, October 2004.
8

15. 2004
3352
16. Liu, M. Y., H. F. Lee and C. Y. Wu, 2005, Evaluation of Power
EWMA Models for Bank Portfolio Conservativeness, Accuracy and
Efficiency, 2005 Annual Meeting of European Financial Management
Association, June 29-July 2, 2005 Milan, Italy.

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

Schive, C. and H. F. Lee, 1999, Public Policies in the Taiwan

Economy, S. Ichimura, W. E. James and A. Adams (eds.), Public
Policies in East Asian Economies, Greenwood Publ., 93-109.
2002
25
Daniel Pho2002
2003
119-133
Lee, H. F. and C. W. Tseng, 2004, Local Government Finance in
Taiwan: Reform and Trend, S. Ichimura (ed.), Development and
Decentralization in Asia Proceedings, Kitakyushu, Japan, 216-233.

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.

2000
()
2000
()
2000
()
2001
()
2002
()
2002
()
2002
()
20022002 10 2225
2003
2003 3 10
2004
()
2002
2002 2002 12
20032003
10 2
2003
2005
9

()
15. 2005
()
16. 2006
()
17. 2006(
)

http://economics.ncku.edu.tw/professor.asp?ID=31

http://idv.sinica.edu.tw/ccyangh/index.html

http://www.taiwanthinktank.org/chinese/page/44/11/28/0

http://homepage.ntu.edu.tw/~tainjy/

10

http://www.ncc.gov.tw/chinese/print.aspx?
table_name=news&site_content_sn=0&sn_f=600

http://homepage.ntu.edu.tw/~sljang/

2014 8 1 2015
7 31

2014 8 1 2015
7 31

2014 8 1 2015
7 31

2014 8 1 2015
7 31

2014 8 1 2015
7 31

2014 8 1 2015
7 31

Uni. of
Irvine, U.S.

2015 1 1 2015
12 31

2015 8 1 2016
7 31

Uni. of
Illinois at
Chicago

2015 1 1 2015
12 31

11

104

104 6

SSCI 15
104 1 1 104 12 31

US Federal Cocaine Essential (Precursor)

Chemical Regulation Impacts on US Cocaine
Availability: An Intervention Time Series
Analysis with Temporal Replication
Finite-Sample Refinement of GMM Approach
to Nonlinear Models Under Heteroskedasticity
of Unknown Form
Regression Discontinuity Applications with
Rounding Errors in the Running Variable
The Impact of National Health Insurance on
Birth Outcomes: A Natural Experiment in
Taiwan
R&D Specialization and Manufacturing
Productivity Growth: A Cross-country Study.

US Federal Cocaine Essential (Precursor) Chemical Regulation

Impacts on US Cocaine Availability: An Intervention Time Series Analysis with
Temporal Replication

FINDINGS:
The 1989 potassium permanganate/solvents regulation was associated with a seizure
amount decrease (change in series level) of 28% (P < 0.05), a 36% increase in price (P
< 0.05) and a 4% decrease in purity (P < 0.05). Availability recovered in 1-2 years.
The 2006 potassium permanganate regulation was associated with a 22% seizure
amount decrease (P < 0.05), 100% price increase (P < 0.05) and 35% purity decrease
(P < 0.05). Following the 2006 regulation, essentially no recovery occurred to April
2011. The other two chemical regulations were associated with statistically significant
12

but lesser declines in indicated availability.

CONCLUSIONS:
In the United States, essential chemical controls from 1989 to 2006 were associated
with pronounced downturns in cocaine availability.

Finite-Sample Refinement of GMM Approach to Nonlinear Models

Under Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form

It is quite common to observe heteroskedasticity in real data, in particular, crosssectional or micro data. Previous studies concentrate on improving the finite-sample
properties of tests under heteroskedasticity of unknown forms in linear models. The
advantage of a heteroskedasticity consistent covariance matrix estimator (HCCME)type small-sample improvement for linear models does not carry over to the nonlinear
model specifications since there is no obvious counterpart for the diagonal element of
the projection matrix in linear models, which is crucial for implementing the finitesample refinement. Within the framework of nonlinear models, we develop a
straightforward approach by extending the applicability of HCCME-type corrections
to the two-step GMM method. The Monte Carlo experiments show that the proposed
method not only refines the testing procedure in terms of the error of rejection
probability, but also improves the coefficient estimation based on the mean squared
error (MSE) and the mean absolute error (MAE). The estimation of a constant
elasticity of substitution (CES)-type production function is also provided to illustrate
how to implement the proposed method empirically.

Regression Discontinuity Applications with Rounding Errors in the

Running Variable

Many empirical applications of regression discontinuity (RD) models use a running

variable that is rounded and hence discrete, e.g.age in years, or birth weight in
ounces. This paper shows that standard RD estimation using a rounded discrete
running variable leads to inconsistent estimates of treatment effects, even when the
true functional form relating the outcome and the running variable is known and is
correctly specified. This paper provides simple formulas to correct for this
discretization bias. The proposed approach does not require instrumental variables,
but instead uses information regarding the distribution of rounding errors, which is
easily obtained and often close to uniform. Bounds can be obtained without knowing
the distribution of the rounding error. The proposed approach is applied to estimate
the effect of Medicare on insurance coverage in the USA, and to investigate the
retirement-consumption puzzle in China, utilizing the Chinese mandatory retirement
policy.

The Impact of National Health Insurance on Birth

Outcomes: A Natural Experiment in Taiwan

We estimate the impacts of the introduction of National Health Insurance in Taiwan in

March 1995 on infant survival. Prior to NHI, government workers (the control group)
possessed health insurance policies with comprehensive coverage for births and infant
medical care services. Private sector industrial workers and farmers (the treatment
13

groups) lacked this coverage. All households received coverage in 1995. Since
stringent requirements for reporting births introduced in 1994 produced artificial
upward trends in early infant deaths, we focus on postneonatal mortality. The
introduction of NHI led to reductions in this rate for infants born in farm households
but not for infants born in private sector households. For the former group, the rate
fell by between 0.3 and 0.6 deaths per thousand survivors or by between 8 and 16%. A
large decline of between 3.4 and 6.8 deaths occurred for pre-term infantsa drop of
between 20 and 41%.

R&D Specialization and Manufacturing Productivity

Growth: A Cross-country Study.

This study examines how R&D specialization within the

manufacturing sector affects productivity growth, constructing
various measures of R&D specialization using a concentration index
and industrial classification. Based on 11 member countries of the
Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
for the period from 1981 to 2000, the results obtained based on the
fixed-effect panel data model with cross-sectional dependence
indicate that concentrating suitable R&D resources within a few
industries tends to promote productivity growth. Moreover, this
positive effect is relevant to concentrating on development-oriented
industries or process innovation-oriented industries.

5
15 SSCI

, US Federal Cocaine Essential (Precursor) Chemical Regulation Impacts

on US Cocaine Availability: An Intervention Time Series Analysis with Temporal
Replication, Accepted by Addiction.
Eric S. Lin, Alternative Estimators for the Gender Wage Gap by Industry: A
Normalized Equation Approach, Pacific Economic Review,forthcoming
Eric S. Lin, Finite-Sample Refinement of GMM Approach to Nonlinear
Models Under Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form, Econometric Reviews,
forthcoming
& Eric S. Lin, The Choice between Standard and Non-standard FDI
Production Strategies for Taiwanese Multinationals, Research Policy, 44(1),
283293,2015
Eric S. Lin, Finite-Sample Refinement of GMM Approach to Nonlinear
Models Under Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form, Econometric Reviews,
14

forthcoming
Eric S. Lin, Compensation and Performance in Major League Baseball:
Evidence from Salary Dispersion and Team Performance, International Review of
Economics & Finance, forthcoming
Eric S. Lin, Does Military Spending Crowd Out Social Welfare
Expenditures? Evidence from a Panel of OECD Countries,Defence and Peace
Economics,26(1), 3348.2015
Lin, Hui-Lin& Eric S. Lin, Do Different Types of FDI Strategies Spur
Productivity and Innovation Capability Growth? Evidence from Taiwanese
Manufacturing Firms, Journal of Business Economics and Management,16(3),
599 620.2015
Eric S. Lin, The Educational Achievement of Pupils with Immigrant and
Native Mothers: Evidence from Taiwan, Asia Pacific Journal of Education,
forthcoming
, Regression Discontinuity Applications with Rounding Errors in the Running
Variable" Journal of Applied Econometrics, forthcoming
, Simple Estimators for Binary Choice Models With Endogenous
Regressors.", Econometric Reviews, forthcoming
, The Impact of National Health Insurance on Birth Outcomes: A Natural
Experiment in Taiwan, Journal of Development Economics, forthcoming
, Better peers, better scores? A Study of twin junior high school graduates in
Taiwan, Applied Economics, forthcoming
, The Effects of National Health Insurance on Elderly Living Arrangements,
Demography, forthcoming
, R&D Specialization and Manufacturing Productivity Growth: A Crosscountry Study., Japan and the World Economy, forthcoming

104
15

104
2015

104 31

1
2015 1 5

6
2015 1 24

12
2015 3 ~5

12

2
2015 3 25

2015 4 14

2015 5 31

The 11th Annual Conference

of Asia-Pacific Economic
Association

100

4.0-

2015 6 1

2015 6 18

2015 7 8

7 10

2015 7

2015 9

16

3
3

70

2015 2 6

Teppei
Yamamoto

Massachusetts 2015 1
Institute of
1 1
Technology
15

Mihai Manea

Massachusetts 2015 1
Institute of
19
Technology

Hsuan-Chih
Lin

University of
WisconsinMadison,
Madison, WI

2015 1
23

Chu-An Liu

University of
WisconsinMadison

2015 1
26

Ting-Wei Lai

Washington
University in
St. Louis

2015 1
26

Timothy Kam Australian

National
University
Tina Kao
Australian
National
University

104 1 8

<Unpacking the Black Box:

Statistical Analysis of Causal
Mechanisms>

104 1
19
<Intermediation in
Networks>

104 1
23
< Optimal Disability
Insurance and
Unemployment Insurance
with Cyclical Fluctuations >

104 1
26
< Model Selection and Model
Averaging in Nonparametric
Instrumental Variables
Models >

104 1
26
< Optimal Disability
Insurance and
Unemployment Insurance
with Cyclical Fluctuations >

2015 1
14 1
30
2015 1
14 1
30
17

George Chen

Tzu-Chi Lin

University of
New
EnglandBus
iness School
University of
WisconsinMadison

Hendrik
University of
Rommeswinke St. Gallen,
l
Switzerland

Chih-Yi Jinny University of

Chen
Wisconsin
Madison
Hyunseok Joo Boston
University
Ewelina
Department of
Wiszczun
Social Policy,
University of
Silesia
Shiko
University of
Maruyama
Technology
Sydney
Martin Halla

TongSheng
Sun

Johannes
Kepler
University
Linz
Columbia
University

Pietro Peretto

Duke
University

Masaru Inaba

Kansai
University

2014 12
22
2015 3
20
2015 2
4

104 2 4
<
High-Dimensional Threshold
Quantile Regression with an
Application to Debt
Overhang and Economic
Growth >
2015 2
104 2 4
4
<
Freedom: Measurement and
Applications to Public and
Experimental micsconomics
>
2015 2

5
2015 2
9
2015 2
26

2015 1
8 1 <
Estimating Returns to
21
Birthweight by Placenta
Previa>
2015 2
1 2
26

<
Financial Markets, Industry
Dynamics, and Growth>
2015 3
< Lean
12
versus Clean in a RationalBubble Model>

2015 2
24 5
13
2015 3
5

18

2015 3
< School
5
Entry Cutoff Date and the
Timing of Births >
Lon-Mu Liu
U. of Illinois 2015 3
at Chicago
19 3 < Some
Important Issues in Time
20
Series Analysis and
Forecasting >
Wan-Hsin Liu Kiel Institute, 2015 3
German
19 3 <
Productivity Growth in
20
Taiwan: Evidence from a
Comparison with South
Korea>
Chuang Yating UW Madison 2015 3
104 3
26
26
< Self-Control or Social
Control? Peer Effects on
Temptation Consumption>
Shuang Zhang University of 2015 3
Colorado
30 4
Boulder
3
Economics
Chung KimChinese U of 2015 4
104 4 9
Sau
HK
9
<
Designing Property Rights of
Land in Rural China>
Robert
Australian
2015 4
104 4
Gregory
National
30
30
University
<On Marriage, Robots,
Ageing populations and
Keynes Grandchildren:
Employment and the Transfer
Function in the Long Run>
Alan D. Miller University of 2015 4
Haifa, Faculty 23 4 104 4
23
of Law and
24
<Aggregation of Intervals>
Department of
Economics

Wen-Tai Hsu Singapore

2015 04
104 6
Management 27
University
05 31 25
Hitoshi
Shigeoka

Simon Fraser
University,
Canada

<>

19

Ruilin Zhou

Heiwai Tang

Claire Tsai

2015 5
13 5 104 5
14
17
<The Crisis-Bailout Game>

Johns Hopkins 2015 06

104 6
University
22
06 26 25
<>
2015 07

University of 2015 07
Toronto
8 06
26
Pennsylvania
State
University

2015

()

()

To Tax or Not to Tax

()

()

()
()

400

()
(

)()
()

()
()

--

()

()

To Tax or Not to Tax

20

2015/3/5
201

2015/6/4
201

1:203:10
1:203:10

1:203:10
1:203:10
1:203:10
1:203:10
1:203:10
1:003:10
1:003:10
1:203:10
1:203:10
1:203:10

2015/2/26
201

2015/3/5
201

2015/3/12
201

2015/3/19
201

2015/4/9
201

2015/4/30
201

2015/5/7
201

2015/5/14
201

2015/5/28
201

2015/6/4
201

2015/3/5
605
()
Instructional talk

Chuang Yating (UW

Self-Control or Social Control? Peer
2015/3/26
605
Madison)
Effects on Temptation Consumption

Chung Kim-Sau (Chinese Designing Property Rights of Land in Rural

2015/4/9
605
U of HK)
China
Justice, What Money Can Buy: A Lab

Chen-Yuan (Joshua)
Experiment on Primary Social Goods and 2015/4/16
605
Teng (NTPU)
the Rawlsian Difference Principle

Allan Miller (Haifa U)

2015/4/23
605
Aggregation of Intervals

An Experimental Study on Simultaneous

Peng Hui-Chun (NTPU)
2015/4/30
605
Contribution and Threshold Uncertainty
To bid or not to bid: An experimental

Fan Chinn-Ping
study of bidding behavior in a
2015/5/7
605
(SooChow U)
combinatorial auction
Ruilin Zhou

(Pennsylvania State
2015/5/14
605
University)
The Crisis-Bailout Game

He Tai-Sen (Nanyang
PRO-DROP AND PRO-SOCIALITY:
2015/5/21
605
Tech U)
EXPERIMENTAL EVIDENCE
Dynamic Indeterminacy and Welfare in

Hu Tai-Wei (Kellogg,
Credit
2015/5/28
605
Northwestern U)
Economies
The Formation of Trust: Experimental

Tai Chung-Ching (THU) Evidence from Network-Based Trust

2015/6/4
605
Games

Getting Out the Vote: Information and

2015/6/11
605
Chen Yi-Yi (FCU)
Voting Behavior

Jung Hanjoon (Academia Strategic Manipulation and Equilibrium

2015/6/18
605
Sinica)
Selection

Prof. Pietro Peretto

( Duke University)
Masaru Inaba (Kansai
University)
Wan-Hsin Liu (Kiel
Institute)

()
()

Financial Markets, Industry Dynamics,

and Growth
Lean versus Clean in a Rational-Bubble
Model
On the Puzzling Slowdown of Wage and
Productivity Growth in Taiwan: Evidence
from a Comparison with South Korea
Whether the Glorious Revolution had any
impact on the secondary market of
English government debt
Mirrleesian Taxation with capital skill
complementarity

2015/3/5
604

2015/3/12
604

1:303:00
1:303:00
1:303:00
1:303:00
1:303:00
1:303:00
1:303:00
1:453:00
1:303:00
1:453:00
1:303:00
1:303:00
1:303:00

1:303:00
1:453:00

2015/3/19

1:45 604 3:00

2015/4/23

201

604

2015/5/7
604

2015/4/30

1:453:00
1:453:00
1:453:00

()

Ruilin Zhou
1:45(Pennsylvania State
2015/5/14
605 3:00
University)
The Crisis-Bailout Game
Pei-Ju Liao() Education and Rural-Urban Migration: The 2015/5/21 1:4521

Role of Zhaosheng in China

Wedges for wedges: Evaluating
Shu-Shiuan Lu(National integrations from the perspective of a
Tsing Hua University)
neoclassical model

604 3:00
2015/5/28

1:45 604 3:00

Elliott Fan(Department of

Economics, National
Instructional talk
2015/2/26
604
Taiwan University)
Hitoshi

Shigeoka(Department of
2015/3/5
604
Economics, Simon Fraser School Entry Cutoff Date and the Timing
University, Canada)
of Births
Chung-Ying

Lee(Department of
Dynamic Price Competition: An
2015/3/26
607
Economics, National
Application to Online Markets for
Taiwan University)
Perishable Goods
Chun-Fang

Chiang(Department of
The Impact of Shortened Gestation
2015/4/9
604
Economics, National
Duration on Newborns Health: Using
Taiwan University)
Ghost Month as An Experiment
Whether the Glorious Revolution had any

impact on the secondary market of

2015/4/23
201
()
English government debt
Robert Gregory(Research

School of Economics,
On Marriage, Robots, Ageing populations
2015/4/30
604
Australian National
and Keynes Grandchildren: Employment
University)
and the Transfer Function in the Long Run
Ya-Ming Liu(Department

of Economics, National
2015/5/7
604
Cheng Kung University)
Everyman his own comprador:

Marlon Zhu(Institute of Information, Commercial Presses, and the

2015/5/14
604
Taiwan History,
Trans-cultural Trade in NineteenthAcademia Sinica)
Century China
Chia-Wen
Subsidizing Fuel efficient Cars: Evidence

Chen(Department of
from China's Automobile Industry
2015/5/28
604
Economics, National
Taipei University)

2015/6/4
604

(1949-1979)
We-Lun Li (Department

of Economics, National
2015/6/11
604

Taiwan University )
Heiwai Tang (School of Trade-induced Quality Upgrading:

Advanced International Transaction-level Evidence from Portugal

2015/6/24
603
Studies, Johns Hopkins
University)

3:305:00
3:305:00

1:303:00

3:305:00
1:453:00
3:305:00
3:305:00
3:004:30

3:305:00
3:305:00
3:305:00
3:305:00

()

organizational meeting
22

2015/2/26 3:30-

 605

Demand, Costs and Product Scope in the

()
2015/3/12
605
Export Market

Welfare Analysis of the Vehicle Quota

()
2015/3/19
605
System in China : A Tale of Two Cities

Research Intensity, Business Services,

()
2015/4/9
605
and Trade

()

2015/4/16
605

Exposure of Canadian Retailers to Cross

( )
2015/4/30
605
Border Shopping

()
2015/5/7
605

The Bottleneck: the Concentration of

()
2015/5/14
605
Trade Intermediation
:

()
2015/5/21

605

The Role of Fixed Cost and Variable Cost

()
2015/5/28
605
in Firm's Export Decisions
Yuqing Xing(Director of

Global Value Chains and China's Exports

Capacity Building and
2015/6/4
605
to High Income Countries
Training)

5:00
3:305:00
3:305:00
3:305:00
3:305:00
3:305:00
3:305:00
3:304:30
3:305:00
3:305:00
3:305:00

()

Lon-Mu Liu(U. of Illinois Some Important Issues in Time Series

at Chicago)
Analysis and Forecasting
Marginal Effects of Factors on the
()
Unconditional Distribution of Financial
Literacy in Taiwan

2015/3/12
419

2015/3/19
608

3:305:00
3:305:00

2015/4/16

3:30 608 5:00

()

Forecasting Treatment Effects

2015/5/21

3:30 608 5:00

()

Estimation and Inference of

Nonparametric Sample Selection Models
with Heteroskedasticity

2015/5/28

3:30 608 5:00

()

Do Quantitative Monetary Targets Matter?

Daniel Barczyk (McGill

University)

Evaluating Long-Term-Care Policy

Options, Taking the Family Seriously

(

)
( IMBA
)

)
23

608

2015/6/11
608
2015/6/4

2015/3/11
101

2015/3/25
101

2015/4/8
101

3:305:00
3:305:00

19:0021:20
19:0021:20
19:0021:20


302

(

2015/5/13
)
101

()
Dynamic Pricing: Theory and Applications 2015/5/23
302

2015/5/27
)
101

()

2015/6/6
302

(
2015
2015/6/10
)
101
()

Liquidity, Asset Prices, and Credit

24

2015/5/9

8:3010:00
19:0021:20
8:3010:00
19:0021:20
8:3010:00
19:0021:20

104

2015 3 25

25

2015 4 14

26