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Leverage Analysis
Leverage Analysis
Group 14
PraveenKumar J R PGP14057
Praveen
PGP14056
Rituraj Dhir
PGP14058
FM II - GROUP 14
Leverage Analysis
TVS Motors
Mar '14
Mar '13
Mar '12
Mar '11
Mar '10
Mar'09
37794
21532
37355
32042
15153
9571
796185
716925
714152
628802
436311
367092
26163
11602
24907
19458
8801
3108
6.8313925
63
109.08897
84
1.2611111
65
137.57332
86
1.2216044
01
2.5263356
24
NA
1.6888785
08
2.0631414
18
1.0864197
01
2.7446607
92
3.1407087
01
NA
EBIT
EPS
Sales
Net
Income
Debt/Equ
ity
DOL
DFL
DTL
1.6617617
38
11.352146
78
(IndianRupee.inLakhs)
The degree of combined leverage has increased considerably over the years,
more so in the past year. Now their leveraged state is healthy. A 1% change in their
sales would incur them an increase of 11.35% in their EPS, which is a very good
sign .By maintaining, a high operating leverage they have considerably reduced their
business risk
Their capital structure also has been refined in 2014, moving from maintaining a
D/E ratio of 1 to eliminating debt.
FM II - GROUP 14
Mar '14
Mar '13
Mar '12
Mar '11
Mar '10
Mar'09
998290
755750
652430
584150
578860
374470
30
23
19
20
20
12
3875720
3322650
3168290
2630050
2292200
2150730
738740
565020
468510
484370
489800
297380
1.9280119
07
0.9580336
92
3.2504286
08
1.3007773
79
1.8471003
65
4.2280840
04
0.5711591
87
0.2801281
9
0.1599977
89
0.0620027
16
1.2131064
65
0.0752158
96
EBIT
EPS
Sales
Net
Income
Debt/Equi
ty
DOL
DFL
DTL
NA
1.1854843
91
NA
Wipro
(IndianRupee.inLakhs)
FM II - GROUP 14
EBIT
EPS
Sales
Mar '14
Mar '13
Mar '12
Mar '11
Mar '10
Mar'09
3214
3595
5792
7713
6718
8832
24385
25270
25397
25928
22825
23748
498
878
2933
4334
3627
5277
Net
Income
Debt/Equi
ty
DOL
3.0261332
75.854299
12.161258
1.0894620
DFL
4.0837862
1.8471333
1.2979118
1.3160996
DTL
12.358081
140.11300
15.784241
1.4338405
NA
1.3063240
NA
(IndianRupee.inLakhs)
The DOL has decreased from '75.85 to 3.026' during the period 2013-2014. It shows
that with 1% increase in sales the operating profit is increasing by 3.173%, which is
not very good as compared to the previous year. The DFL has increased from '1.847
to 4.083' during the period 2013-2014. It shows that with 1% change in operating
profit the EPS is changing by 4.083% which is a good sign
The degree of combined/Total leverage has
decreased considerably over the years, more so in the past two years. Now their
leveraged state is unhealthy. A 1% change in their sales would incur them an increase
of 12.35% in their EPS, which is a not very good sign as compared to the previous
year. Their capital structure has been maintained at 1 in 2014, indicating 50% debt
and 50% equity.
FM II - GROUP 14
Monte Carlo
EBIT
EPS
Sales
Net
Income
Debt/Eq
uity
DOL
DFL
DTL
Mar '14
Mar '13
Mar '12
Mar '11
Mar '10
Mar '09
9319
7194
8336
25
21
28
50373
40241
37301
5538
4594
5192
1.17317306
7
0.64484033
6
0.75650931
5
1.73812714
6
1.82486865
1
3.17185374
1
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
(IndianRupee.inLakhs)
The DOL has increased from '-1.738 to 1.173' during the period 2013-2014. It shows
that with 1% increase in sales the operating profit is increasing by 1.173%, which is
good sign for the company. The DFL has decreased from '1.824 to 0.644' during the
period 2013-2014. It shows that with 1% change in operating profit the EPS is
changing by only 0.644% which needs to be improved.
The degree of combined/Total leverage has
decreased considerably over the years, more so in the past two years. Now their
leveraged state is unhealthy. A 1% change in their sales would incur them an increase
of 7.35% in their EPS, which is a not very good sign. Their capital structure also has
been refined in 2014, moving from maintaining a D/E ratio of 0 indicating no debt.
FM II - GROUP 14
Working Capital
Management
Analysis
Return
Yield
FM II - GROUP 14
Effective
Date
Dividend
Type
12-05-14
24-07-14
Final
10.00
30-04-13
23-07-13
Final
25.00
30-04-12
19-07-12
Final
75.00
28-04-11
20-07-11
Final
100.00
27-04-10
21-07-10
Final
100.00
04-05-09
20-07-09
Final
100.00
29-04-08
24-07-08
Final
160.00
AGM
25-04-07
19-07-07
Final
150.00
AGM
FM II - GROUP 14
Dividend (%)
Remarks
25-04-06
20-07-06
Final
100.00
AGM
26-04-05
21-07-05
Final
45.00
AGM
28-04-04
20-07-04
Final
15.00
AGM
14-01-04
29-01-04
Interim
15.00
23-04-03
22-05-03
Interim
20.00
23-04-02
19-06-02
Interim
15.00
23-05-02
19-06-02
Interim
15.00
28-07-01
31-08-01
Final
10.00
Capital Gains
FM II - GROUP 14
The decrease in dividend yield is not compensated through capital gains, instead it
is gone down the spiral as well.
Looking at this scenario, the large amounts of interim dividends paid out could
have been retained either as cash reserves or used to invest in other activities to
hedge the negative spiral they are in right now.
The Company has consistently declared dividends for the last 5 years. It still is paying
out paying dividends despite the decrease in revenues
Taj had one instance of stock split happening in 2005.The details are as follows
MONTE CARLO
Monte Carlo Fashions has no history of paying out dividends .They have very recently
listed themselves on the exchange
FM II - GROUP 14
But the shareholders have enjoyed good capital gains on their investments. Looking
at the recent stock performance, the companys performance has resulted in a steep
increase in the price
With an outlook of the performance continuing, the shareholders tend to gain in
terms of capital gains
WIPRO
Dividend Policy
Dividend Declared
FM II - GROUP 14
10
Announcement
Date
Effective
Date
Dividend
Type
Dividend
Remarks
(%)
07-01-15
22-01-15
Interim
250.00
17-04-14
21-07-14
Final
250.00
13-01-14
22-01-14
Interim
150.00
19-04-13
27-06-13
Final
250.00
15-01-13
23-01-13
Interim
100.00
25-04-12
28-06-12
Final
200.00
10-01-12
24-01-12
Interim
100.00
27-04-11
29-06-11
Final
200.00
17-01-11
27-01-11
Interim
100.00
23-04-10
15-06-10
Final
300.00
22-04-09
29-06-09
Final
200.00
21-04-08
27-06-08
Final
200.00
AGM
10-10-07
25-10-07
Interim
100.00
20-04-07
28-06-07
Final
14-03-07
26-03-07
Interim
250.00
19-04-06
29-06-06
Final
250.00
AGM
22-04-05
29-06-05
Final
250.00
AGM
16-04-04
06-05-04
Final
1,450.00
17-04-03
01-07-03
Final
50.00
AGM
19-04-02
28-06-02
Final
50.00
AGM
20-04-01
18-06-01
Final
25.00
50.00
AGM
of 1.2%.
FM II - GROUP 14
11
The company has a good dividend track report and has consistently declared
dividends for the last 5 years.
* Dividend Yield: (Dividend per share / Current Share Price)
FM II - GROUP 14
12
The increase in EBITDA are welcoming signs, which signal solid dividend pay-outs in
the future
Also considering the increase in share price the shareholders stand to capitalize on a
combination of capital and dividend yields
FM II - GROUP 14
13
TVS MOTORS
Dividend Policy
Dividend Declared
Announcement
Date
Effective
Date
Dividend
Type
Dividend
Remarks
(%)
12-01-15
06-02-15
Interim
75.00
16-04-14
02-05-14
Interim
75.00
08-10-13
30-10-13
Interim
65.00
11-04-13
03-05-13
Interim
60.00
17-01-13
06-02-13
Interim
60.00
24-05-12
04-06-12
Interim
70.00
29-02-12
20-03-12
Interim
60.00
14-07-11
02-08-11
Interim
60.00
10-01-11
25-01-11
Interim
50.00
09-07-10
26-07-10
Interim
50.00
07-01-10
25-01-10
Interim
70.00
11-06-09
29-06-09
Interim
70.00
02-07-08
06-08-08
Final
70.00
AGM
28-06-07
10-08-07
Final
15.00
10-10-06
27-10-06
Interim
70.00
19-06-06
03-07-06
Interim
60.00
14-10-05
31-10-05
Interim
70.00
20-05-05
03-06-05
Final
60.00
07-10-04
29-10-04
Interim
70.00
FM II - GROUP 14
14
12-04-04
29-04-04
Interim
70.00
14-10-03
30-10-03
Interim
60.00
13-05-03
13-06-03
Interim
70.00
25-09-02
23-10-02
Interim
50.00
29-06-02
12-09-02
Final
0.00
29-07-02
12-09-02
Final
0.00
06-02-02
22-02-02
Interim
90.00
30-07-01
29-08-01
Final
80.00
AGM
D = Dividend
B = Bonus Issue
The share price is on a solid upward spiral due to a combination of factors on the
basis of the companys performance. This has resulted in a potential for high capital
gains for the shareholders. Another thing to be looked out is they have also paid out
dividends on a regular basis and the dividend payments have been steady. So future
dividends pay-outs would be in the same range
FM II - GROUP 14
15
Last Five Year EBITDA, PBT and PAT representation of TVS Motors.
A steady revenue as observed above points that the shareholders would have a solid
payouts in terms of dividends
So TVS Motors is one where the shareholder stands to gain both in terms of
dividend yields and capital gains
FM II - GROUP 14
16
13.47
11.3
8.37
12.51
10.56
12.24
Operating cycle
25.98
21.86
20.61
49.07
43.45
43.41
-23.09
-21.59
-22.8
54.03
54.02
43.47
41.88
37.04
Operating cycle
47.68
101.7
1
95.9
80.51
58.65
55.38
58.36
43.06
40.52
22.15
Operating Cycle:
The operating cycle of Taj is way below the industry standards. They hold their
inventory for a shorter time and also have a short collection period compared to its
industry peers. So their operating cycle is shorter, which gives them a competitive
advantage over their peers in the industry
FM II - GROUP 14
17
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2014
2013
Company
2012
Industry
2013
2012
-20
-30
Company
Industry
FM II - GROUP 14
18
90.11
95.3
101.95
63.99
159.2
9
67.01
Operating cycle
59.18
149.2
9
53.52
95.77
44.2
115.0
9
168.96
21.24
147.72
80.01
83.56
86.5
58.6
142.1
6
57.53
Operating cycle
54.9
134.9
1
43.37
91.54
40.93
101.2
3
144.03
44.26
99.77
Operating cycle:
The operating cycle is slightly higher than the industry average. This could be mainly
attributed to the fact they hold their inventory longer than their peers in the
industry .They should look to effectively manage their inventory and also try reducing
their collection period.
FM II - GROUP 14
19
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2014
2013
Company
2012
Industry
2013
Company
2012
Industry
FM II - GROUP 14
20
2.58
6.07
8.66
80.27
90.43
78.89
Operating cycle
82.85
96.5
87.55
83.3
79.1
68.21
-0.45
17.4
19.34
2.19
4.01
4.58
84.19
90.58
85.5
Operating cycle
86.38
94.59
90.08
53.03
58.06
58.99
33.35
36.53
31.09
Operating Cycle:
They are maintaining their operating close to the industry average. But, they could do
better by handling their inventory management better.
FM II - GROUP 14
21
100
95
90
85
80
75
2014
2013
Company
2012
Industry
2013
Company
2012
Industry
FM II - GROUP 14
22
15.04
17.35
23.34
61.78
79.79
76.37
76.82
97.14
99.71
114.41
93.43
58.09
-37.59
3.71
41.62
Operating cycle
41.91
52.44
47.86
113.49
165.9
3
100.71
Operating cycle
113.76
155.6
7
148.57
111.36
115.65
97.82
44.31
50.28
50.75
Operating Cycle:
TVS should be one of those who handle their working capital efficiently in the
industry. Both their inventory period and ACP are well below the industry average
proving that they have managed their short term financing really well
FM II - GROUP 14
23
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2014
2013
Company
2012
Industry
Their payable period is just above the industry average, which also makes their cash
conversion cycle lower than the industry average .This makes TVS motors an outlier
in their industry in terms of handling their working capital
60
40
20
0
2014
2013
2012
-20
-40
-60
Company
Industry
FM II - GROUP 14
24