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Con

We negate: Resolved: The United States should withdraw its military presence from
Okinawa.
1. Withdraw in context of the resolution, according Merriam Webster
(http://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/withdraw), means to take
(something) back so that it is no longer available. Hence any withdrawal of
military presence means a full removal.

Contention 1: Security
The U.S. presence is a tangible sign of Americas commitment
to Asia
Klingner 2011
U.S. forward-deployed forces in Asia are indisputable signals of Washingtons
commitment to the obligations of its 1960 security treaty with Japan to defend its
allies and maintain peace and stability in Asia. The U.S. Marines on Okinawa are an
indispensable component of any U.S. response to an Asian crisis. Withdrawing the
U.S. Marines would only affirm [an assertive china]

US presence maintains peace so much so that China wants


the US to prevent regional wars
Kagan 2007
Conflicts are more likely to erupt if the United States withdraws from East Asia,
where most nations agree that a reliable American power has a stabilizing effect on
the region. But even China, which seeks gradually to supplant the United States,
faces the dilemma that an American withdrawal could unleash an ambitious,
nationalist Japan.

American power-projection is vital to Asian stability and


prevention of nuclear proliferation
Lieber 2005
As in Europe, the United States plays a stabilizing role, [US] presence tends to
reduce competition among regional powers and deters conflict. Disengagement,
would lead to more dangerous competition or power-balancing among the principal
countries of Asia to a more unstable security environment and the spread of nuclear
weapons. As a consequence, even China acquiesces in Americas regional role
despite the fact that it is the one country with the long-term potential to emerge as
a true major power competitor.

Contention 2: Economy
Presence prevents Asian economic collapse
Swaine, et al 98.
These possibilities would result in the destruction of the East Asian miracle.
ensuring the survival of American allies in Asia represents a vital interest to the U S.
Promoting this interest requires that the US pay close attention to the evolution of
the threats facing Asia and take steps to meet such challenges states rely on the
U.S. presence in Asia for security.

Thats key to the global economy


Swaine, et al continues
Growth rates suggest that, the East Asian region alone will account for over 34
percent of the worlds total output. East Asia alone is expected to contribute almost
40 percent of the worlds trade, the prosperity of the US will remain dependent on
continued linkages with the Asian economies. The Asian continent represents the
most important locus of American economic engagement.

The impact is extinction


Kerpen 2008
Its important that we avoid these policy errors for the sake of our survival. In a
world of nuclear and biological weapons and non-state terrorist organizations that
breed on poverty another global economic breakdown would risk armed conflicts on
an even greater scale.

Presence solves an India-Pakistan nuclear war.


Goh 2004
Asia is keenly aware of the vital role that the US plays in maintaining global stability.
Asia still faces many serious security challenges. Kashmir are potential flashpoints.
If things go terribly wrong, the conflicts could turn nuclear. The US is central to the
management of potential flashpoints. But India and Pakistan know that a conflict
over Kashmir will have devastating consequences for each other and the entire
South Asian region. The US holds the ring.

Japanese basing is key to US power projection and Asian


stability.
Przystup 2009

The United States bilateral alliance structure remains the foundation of regional
stability and prosperity and the starting point for U.S. security engagement with the
region. The alliances allow the United States to maintain a significant forwarddeployed presence, and the basing structure in Japan, reinforced by access
agreements with nonallied Asian friends, makes credible the U.S. security
commitment to the region. Operating from bases in Asia, U.S. forces are able to
extend their operational reach to the Indian Ocean and Persian Gulf. the first U.S.

forces to reach the Persian Gulf in 1991 and in Operation Enduring Freedom in 2001
were based in Japan. During the Cold War, the alliance structure stood as a vital link
in the U.S. global containment strategy. In the decade that followed the collapse of
the Soviet Union, the area experienced a series of challenges to regional stability
and security that affected the security interests of the United States, its allies, and
friends. Today, Cold War legacy issues in East Asia continue to pose challenges to
U.S. security interests and commitments. In dealing with the hard security
challenges facing the region, the alliance structure is irreplaceable.

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