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Valuationistheprocessofestimatingthepotentialmarketvalueofafinancialasset.
Prevaluationconsiderations
Typeofbuyer:Strategicvs.Financialbuyer
Strategicbuyerisinterestedinearningfromtheoperationsofthecompany
whereasfinancialbuyerswanttoearnreturnoninvestmentbyresellingthe
company.
Ingeneral,strategicbuyerswillbereadytopayhigherpremiumsthanfinancial
buyers.
Transactionalcontext:Friendlyvs.Hostiletakeover
Inhostiletakeoversmanagementdoesnotendorsetheproposedtransaction
andtheoffertoshareholdersisoftenunsolicited.Incaseoffriendlymergers,
partiesinvolvedreachamutualagreementonsellingpriceandstructureofthe
transaction.
Generally,premiumpaidisonhighersideincaseofhostiletakeovers.
Marketconditions
Inbullishmarketconditionsmergeractivitiesareinfullswing,whichcausepremiums
inbuiltinthevaluationtoreachanalltimehighascomparedtoindown(bearish)
marketconditions.
Valuationapproaches:
Assetbasedapproach:Thisapproachisbasedontheprinciplethatthevalueofthe
companyisequaltothesumofitsparts.
However,thisapproachissuitableonlyundercertaincircumstances,forexample,when
companyisgoingintoliquidationbecausemostoftheassetsarerecordedattheir
acquisitionvalueswhichmaynotreflecttheirearningpotential.
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Incomebasedapproaches:
Theseapproachescalculatevalueofthecompanybasedonitsfutureearningcapacity.
Thefollowingmethodsofvaluationfallunderthiscategory:
Discountedcashflowmethod(DCF)
Capitalizationofearningsmethod
Adjustedpresentvaluemethod(APV)
Marketbasedapproaches:
Undertheseapproachesacompanyisvaluedbymakingcomparisonbetweenthe
companyunderstudytoitspeergroup.Themethodsthatfallunderthisapproach
are:
Publiccomparableanalysis
Acquisitionmultipleanalysis
Parametersusedinvaluation:
Equityvalueisthevalueoftheequityi.eshareholdersofthecompany.
Differentmeasuresofequityvalueare:
BookValue:isthevalueoftheequityshareholdersclaimasrecordedinthefinancial
statements.
Marketvalue:isthevalueoftheequityshareholderscalculatedattheprevailing
marketprice.
Intrinsicvalue:istheforwardlookingmeasureoftheequityshareholdersclaim
calculatedbyconsideringthefutureincomegeneratingcapacityofthecompany.
Enterprisevaluerepresentsthevalueofequityalongwithdebtandothersourcesof
capital.
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Enterprisevalue=Equityvalue+Netdebt+Preferredstock+Minorityinterest
NetDebt=DebtCashandcashequivalents
Debtincludesallinterestbearingliabilitiesonthebalancesheet.
EnterprisevalueisalsoreferredtoasFirmvalueofTotalcapitalization.
Cashflows:therearetwomaintypesofcashflows:
Unleveredfreecashflows(UFCF)orFreeCashFlowsfortheFirm(FCFF):thesearethe
cashflowsgeneratedbyoperationofthecompany.
UFCF=EBIT(1t)+DepreciationCapitalexpenditureWorkingcapital
EBITDA(earningsbeforeinterest,taxes,depreciationandamortization)isaclose
approximateforoperatingcashflows(FCFF/UFCF)ofthecompany.
Freecashflowforequity(FCFE)isthecashflowavailabletotheequityshareholders.
FCFE=UFCFI(1t)Principalrepaid+NewdebtPreferreddividend
Weightedaveragecostofcapitalisthediscountrateappropriatetotheriskinessof
theoperatingresultsofthecompany.
Discountedcashflowmethod:
Valueofequitycanbecalculatedintwoways:
Valuethecompanyandthensubtractnonequityfinancialclaimsfromthat
value.
Calculatecashflowsforequity,discountthematcostofequity.
StepsintheEnterpriseDCFmodel
ValuethecompanysoperationsbydiscountingFCFFatWACC
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Valuenonoperatingassetsandadditthevalueofoperatingassetstoarriveat
valueofthefirm(EnterpriseValue)
Subtractnonequityclaims(debt,preferredsharecapital,minorityclaim)from
thisvaluetocalculateEquityvalue.
DCFEquations:
n
FCFFt
T.V
+
t
(1+ WACC) n
t=1 (1+ WACC)
EnterpriseValue =
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Forecastperiodistheperiodoverwhichcashflowscanbeforecastedwithreasonable
certainty.
Beyondforecastperiod,terminalvaluecalculatesthepresentvalueofthecashflows
ofthecompany.
Terminalvalueattheendofnthyearcanbecalculatedusingthefollowingformula:
T.Vn =
FCFF(n +1)
(WACC g)
Where,gisthegrowthrateatwhichfirmscashflowsareassumedtogrowindefinitely.
Note:Thereshouldbeconsistencybetweenthenumeratoranddenominatorwhile
applyingDCFmodel.Whenenterprisevalueiscalculated,FCFFshouldbediscountedby
WACC;forcalculatingEquityvalue,FCFEshouldbediscountedatcostofequity.
Weightedaveragecostofcapital(WACC):
WACCiscalculatedusingthefollowingformula:
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Theweightsshouldbemarketvalueweightsinsteadofbookvalueweights.
Iftargetcapitalstructureofthecompanyisknown,theweightsthatcompanytargets
shouldbeusedforcalculatingWACC.
Costofequity:themostpopularmethodforapplyingcostofequityisCAPM,theequation
forwhichisasfollows:
Notethatbetavaluetobeusedforcalculatingcostofequityshouldbeleveredbetai.e.
firmbetaadjustedforcapitalstructureofthecompany.Theformulausedforthelevering
upthebetais
Capitalizationofearnings:ThemodelissimplifiedversionofDCFmethodofvaluingthe
company.Iffollowingassumptionsaremade,DCFequationwilltransformincapitalization
ofearnings
Earningsofthecompanyareacloseapproximateforcashflows.
Thereisnoexpectedgrowthintheearningsofthecompany.
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Valueoffirmundertheseassumptionswillbeearnings[EBIT*(1t)]dividedbycostof
capital(WACC).
Adjustedpresentvaluemethod:calculatesthevalueofthecompanyinfollowing
components:
Enterprisevalueasifthecompanywasallequityfinanced
+PVofdebttaxshieldsandotherimpactsofdebt
Expectedbankruptcycosts
Unleveredvalueofcompany
Unleveredterminalvalueofthecompany.Notethattheformulacalculatesterminalvalue
attheendofnthyearanditneedstobefurtherdiscountedtobringthevalueatzero
period.
TheunleveredcostofequitycanbefoundoutusingCAPMequationandputtingvalueof
unleveredbeta.
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Theformulaforconvertingleveredbetaintounleveredbetais:
Calculatingdebtimpact:
Debthastwoimpacts:
Firstoneisthepositiveimpactandthatistheavailabilityofthedebttaxshield,the
presentvalueofwhichiscalculatedasfollows:
Theaboveformulacanbetransformedandwrittenas
Thesecondimpactofdebthasnegativevalueandrelatestobankruptcycost.
PVofexpectedbankruptcycosts=Probabilityofbankruptcy*PVoftotal
bankruptcycosts.
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Finallythevalueofthefirmiscalculatedbycombiningthesecomponents.Thusvalueof
thefirmis:
Valuefirm=Valueallequityfinancedfirm+P.V.ofInteresttaxshieldPVofbankruptcy
costs
Multiplesmethod
Publiccomparableanalysis:
Thismethodofvaluationisusedforcalculatingtherelativevalueofthecompanyby
comparingittoothersimilarcompanies.
Thevalueofthetargetcompanyiscalculatedbycreatingasetofkeyfinancialratios
andapplyingthemtothecharacteristicsofthecompanyunderstudy.
Themultiplesusedareasfollows:
Equityvaluemultiples:
Price/EPS
PE/Earningsgrowth(PEGRatio)
Price/FCFEpershare
EquityValue/NetIncome
EquityValue/AfterTaxcashflows
EquityValue/BookValue
Enterprisevaluemultiples:
Enterprisevalue/Revenues
Enterprisevalue/EBITDA
Enterprisevalue/EBIT
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Acquisitioncomparableanalysis:Underthisapproachpeergroupiscreatedonthe
basisofcomparabletransaction.
TheadvantageofthismethodoverComparableCompanyAnalysisisthatthemultiples
createdincludethebuiltinpremiumspaidtothecompaniesincludedinthe
comparabletransactions.
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