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Going soft: Rising health consciousness will

slow revenue growth over the next five years


This report was provided to
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by IBISWorld on 14 September 2016 in accordance with their licence agreement with IBISWorld

IBISWorld Industry Report C1211a

Soft Drink Manufacturing


in Australia
June 2016

Tommy Wu

2 About this Industry

18 Competitive Landscape

Industry Definition

18 Market Share Concentration

Main Activities

18 Key Success Factors

Similar Industries

18 Cost Structure Benchmarks

Additional Resources

20 Basis of Competition

30 Jargon & Glossary

21 Barriers to Entry

3 Industry at a Glance

21 Industry Globalisation

4 Industry Performance

23 Major Companies

Executive Summary

23 Coca-Cola Amatil Limited

Key External Drivers

24 Asahi Holdings (Australia) Pty Ltd

Current Performance

Industry Outlook

26 Operating Conditions

Industry Life Cycle

26 Capital Intensity
27 Technology & Systems

11 Products & Markets

27 Revenue Volatility

11 Supply Chains

28 Regulation & Policy

11 Products & Services

28 Industry Assistance

12 Demand Determinants
13 Major Markets

29 Key Statistics

14 International Trade

29 Industry Data

16 Business Locations

29 Annual Change
29 Key Ratios

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Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

About this Industry


Industry Definition

Industry firms primarily produce canned


or bottled soft drinks (carbonated and
non-carbonated), sport drinks and

Main Activities

The primary activities of this industry are

energy drinks. The industry does not


include the production of bottled water,
fruit juice drinks or fruit drinks.

Carbonated soft drink production


Syrup production
Energy drink production
Sports drink production
Flavoured mineral water production
Ice production

The major products and services in this industry are


Cola-flavoured CSDs
Energy drinks
Mixers
Other flavoured CSDs
Sports drinks

Similar Industries

C1131 Milk and Cream Processing in Australia


Establishments in this industry grade, filter and chill fresh liquid whole milk and cream, and manufacture,
bottle or carton pasteurised liquid milk, cream, cultured buttermilk and yoghurt.
C1140 Fruit and Vegetable Processing in Australia
Businesses in this industry manufacture canned, bottled, preserved, quick frozen or dried (except sun-dried)
fruit and vegetable products.
C1213 Spirit Manufacturing in Australia
Companies in this industry purchase ingredients that are fermented and distilled to produce spirit beverages.
C1211b Bottled Water Manufacturing in Australia
Firms in this industry manufacture or bottle purified water, spring water and functional water.
C1211c Fruit Juice Drink Manufacturing in Australia
Manufacturers in this industry process, blend and package their own fruit juice drink products for the
consumer market.

Additional Resources

For additional information on this industry


www.australianbeverages.org
Australian Beverages Council
www.abs.gov.au
Australian Bureau of Statistics
www.foodstandards.gov.au
Food Standards Australia New Zealand

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Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

Industry at a Glance
Soft Drink Manufacturing in 2015-16

Key Statistics
Snapshot

Revenue

Annual Growth 11-16

Annual Growth 16-21

Profit

Exports

Businesses

$4.4bn

2.4%

0.9%
$729.0m $23.9m 78

Demand from supermarkets and grocery


stores

Revenue vs. employment growth

Asahi Holdings
(Australia) Pty Ltd
24.9%

% change

Coca-Cola Amatil
Limited 53.8%

% change

Market Share

2
0
-2
-4

Year 08

2
0
-2

10

12

14

Revenue

16

18

20

-4

Year

22

09

11

13

15

17

19

21

Employment
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU

p. 23

Establishments

Key External Drivers

10.3%

Demand from
supermarkets and
grocery stores

3.6% 0.8%
TAS

NT

WA

32.9%

Health consciousness

NSW

11.1%

Demand from fast


food services

SA

Real household
disposable income
World price of sugar

20.1%
VIC

21.2%

p. 4

QLD

Industry Structure

Life Cycle Stage


Revenue Volatility
Capital Intensity

Mature
Low
Medium

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Regulation Level

Medium

Technology Change

Medium

Barriers to Entry

Industry Assistance

Low

Industry Globalisation

Concentration Level

High

Competition Level

FOR ADDITIONAL STATISTICS AND TIME SERIES SEE THE APPENDIX ON PAGE 29

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High
Medium
High

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Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

Industry Performance

Executive Summary | Key External Drivers | Current Performance


Industry Outlook | Life Cycle Stage
Executive
Summary

A weak retail environment and changing


consumer trends have characterised the
Soft Drink Manufacturing industry over
the past five years, limiting substantial
revenue growth. Despite these threats,
the growing popularity of higher value
sports and energy drinks, and an
increasing focus on diet ranges have
supported industry growth. As a result,
industry revenue is forecast to increase at
an annualised 2.4% over the five years
through 2015-16. This includes projected
growth of 2.2% in the current year, to
reach $4.4 billion.
Over the past five years, domestic and
global economic uncertainty has led to
soft retail conditions and weak consumer
sentiment, causing consumers to cut back
on spending. This has reduced soft-drink
consumption, as these products are
typically considered discretionary
beverages. In an effort to attract
consumers back to industry products,
manufacturers have undertaken
aggressive discounting strategies,
particularly among cola varieties, and
sacrificed margins in an attempt to
maintain volumes. Changing social
trends have also affected demand for soft
drinks, with more health-conscious
consumers moving away from beverages

with high sugar content. This has


prompted a shift to low- and zero-sugar
options across many product segments.
Functional beverages have also grown in
popularity as a result of changing
consumer trends. Longer working hours
and more active lifestyles have
contributed to increased demand for
products in this segment, with both
energy and sports beverages recording
strong growth over the past five years.
Industry conditions are forecast to be
subdued over the next five years, with
revenue forecast to grow at an annualised
0.9% over the five years through 2020-21,
to reach $4.6 billion. The expansion of
private-label offerings and rising health
awareness are likely to weigh on any
significant growth in industry revenue as
consumers either shift to lower value
products or alternative beverages.
However, the rising popularity of higher
value energy and sports drinks is likely to
provide growth. Competition is
anticipated to remain high in the industry,
resulting in continued discounting and
price competition among producers. This
is projected to drive further cost-saving
initiatives and improvements in
operational efficiency as industry
operators attempt to bolster profitability.

Key External Drivers

Demand from supermarkets


and grocery stores
Most of the industrys output is sold to
supermarkets and other grocery retailers
as households usually purchase
beverages through these channels. These
retailers are therefore the most important
source of sales for industry operators.
Greater demand from supermarkets and
grocery stores typically leads to increased
revenue for the industry. Demand from
supermarkets and grocery stores is
projected to rise in 2015-16, providing an
opportunity for industry participants.

issues and lifestyle choices. An increase


in health consciousness tends to
negatively affect demand for soft drinks
due to high sugar content. Health
consciousness is expected to rise 201516, posing a threat to the industry.

Health consciousness
Health consciousness indicates
consumer attitudes towards health

Demand from fast food services


Fast food services are key buyers of
softdrinks and other beverages made
bythe industry, and are an important
link between manufacturers and
consumers. An increase in the
consumption of fast food, which is
usually packaged with soft drinks, tends
to increase demand for soft drinks.
Demand from fast food services is
forecast to increase in 2015-16.

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Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

Industry Performance

Key External Drivers


continued

Real household disposable income


Changes in real household disposable
income influence demand for soft drinks.
An increase in disposable income enables
more spending on items such as soft
drinks and other beverages, positively
affecting industry revenue. Real
household disposable income is expected
to increase in 2015-16.
World price of sugar
Sugar is a primary ingredient in many soft

drinks. A rise in sugar prices increases


manufacturers input costs and lowers
profit margins. Companies can pass on
these increased costs to consumers, but
higher prices typically lead to lower
demand for industry products. However,
price rises on the major players products
do not usually lower demand substantially
due to strong brand loyalty. Overall, a rise
in sugar prices typically leads to greater
revenue for the industry. Global sugar
prices are forecast to decline in 2015-16.
Health consciousness

Demand from supermarkets and grocery


stores
8

120
115

Index

% change

2
0

105

-2
-4

Year

110

09

11

13

15

17

19

21

100

Year 08

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

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Current
Performance

Revenue growth in the Soft Drink


Manufacturing industry has been steady
over the past five years, despite a weak
retail environment and rising health
awareness. Strong competition and
aggressive pricing strategies by major
players have curbed any significant
growth. However, these trends have been
offset by the increasing popularity of

higher value sports and energy drinks,


and manufacturers focus on healthier,
low- and zero-sugar drink options.
Industry revenue is projected to grow at
an annualised 2.4% over the five years
through 2015-16. Similar growth is also
projected for the current year, with
revenue forecast to increase by 2.2% to
reach $4.4 billion.

Trading landscape

Industry sales volumes have remained


steady over the past five years. The
increasing popularity of energy and
sports drinks, and product discounting
for increased volumes have provided
support for revenue despite a weak
trading environment. Growing demand
for functional beverages has led to the
introduction of new brands and the heavy
marketing of major labels, such as

Mother and Monster, both of which are


now owned by Coca-Cola Amatil (CCA).
Low- and zero-sugar beverages have also
contributed to revenue growth, with
varieties such as Diet Coke and Coke Zero
adding to CCAs cola sales.
While functional beverages and
healthier options have given the industry
a boost, a weak retail environment has
constrained growth since 2012-13. The

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Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

Industry Performance

Trading landscape
continued

industry is expected to record steady


growth in 2015-16 as subdued retail
conditions continue to affect sales.
Consumer and business uncertainty has
also affected the industry over the past
five years, further adding to the difficult
trading environment. Soft drinks are a
discretionary beverage for most
consumers, with weak consumer
sentiment typically affecting sales.
CCA has reported increased companywide sales volumes as a result of growth
in foreign markets, but have recorded
slight declines in domestic volumes.
Fierce competition between major
players has hurt the industrys

performance. These firms have


implemented aggressive pricing
strategies, exacerbating competition,
particularly since Asahi entered the
industry in 2009. This has curbed
revenue growth and profit margins over
the past five years. Private-label products
have also placed pressure on larger
operators, with supermarkets dedicating
more shelf space to these cheaper items.
Consequently, consumers have slowly
shifted to less expensive alternatives,
putting downward pressure on industry
revenue. As a result, industry operators
have focused on increasing operational
efficiency and boosting profit.

Profitability

Industry operators have faced significant


pressure to maintain profit margins.
Profit has been negatively affected by
weak price growth for finished beverages
and fluctuations in input costs, such as
increased expenses for new bottling
technologies. However, cost-saving
initiatives have stabilised the bottom line
for major players and helped bolster
profitability. Industry firms have
attempted to cut costs by streamlining
operations and automating production
processes. As a result, employment has
fallen while establishments have
remained largely unchanged.
Cost pressures across the industry
have hampered efforts to boost profit
margins. Sugar prices have remained
high by historical standards, despite
declining over the past five years.

Advertising and packaging costs have


also increased as weaker retail conditions
and strong competition have driven
beverage producers to invest more in
these areas. Significant competition has
fuelled heavy discounting among the
major players, with price competition
putting pressure on profit margins. This
discounting has been particularly
pronounced among cola varieties, with
Coca-Cola and Pepsi fighting for market
share. A move towards more eco-friendly
plastic and other packaging materials has
also increased costs for industry
operators. While these factors have
compounded pressure on profit, an
industry-wide focus on operating
efficiency and growth in higher margin
products have allowed players to lift
profit margins.

Health consciousness

The industry has been contending with a


traditionally unhealthy image over the
past five years as consumers have
progressively moved towards healthier
diets. Industry products, particularly
carbonated soft drinks (CSD), are often
associated with high sugar content,
which has prompted major players to
heavily market low- and zero-sugar lines.
The latest low-sugar product is CocaCola Life, which was launched in April

2015 and has 30.0% less sugar than


traditional Coca-Cola. Asahi has also
been promoting its healthier Pepsi and
Schweppes options. The increased focus
on healthier CSDs has helped industry
players retain health-oriented
consumers, although some substitution
has occurred, with bottled water uptake
growing strongly. Changing consumer
lifestyles have also supported growth in
functional beverages, with energy and

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Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

Industry Performance

Health consciousness
continued

sports drinks becoming increasingly


significant sources of revenue over the
past five years. Manufacturers of these
products have also expanded their
ranges of low-sugar options, with all
major energy drink brands now

providing at least one sugar-free option.


Energy drinks also contribute to the
growing imports in the industry, with
Red Bull and V accounting for a
significant portion of imports from
Austria and New Zealand.

Japanese ownership

Significant M&A activity has occurred in


the industry over the past decade, mainly
led by Japanese food and beverage
companies. A protracted period of weak
growth has constrained the Japanese
economy, and the countrys beverages
market is highly saturated with low
margins. As a result, companies such as
Asahi, Kirin and Suntory have turned to
Australia as a comparatively undeveloped

and unsaturated market for higher


value-added products. Asahi has been
particularly active, purchasing Cadburys
Australian beverage segment in 2009 and
becoming a part of P&N Beverages in
2011. Asahis entry has spurred industry
innovation as the Japanese beverage
giant introduced some products and
packages prevalent in its more mature
home market.

Industry
Outlook

The Soft Drink Manufacturing industry


is projected to record slower growth over
the next five years. Industry
performance is likely to face pressure as
supermarkets expand private-label
offerings and heavy competition
restrains price growth. However,
ongoing marketing initiatives and
product innovation is expected to
provide some support for industry
revenue. Profit margins are anticipated
to rise as the industry settles after a
period of strong acquisition activity.
Industry revenue is forecast to grow at
an annualised 0.9% over the five years
through 2020-21, to reach $4.6 billion.
Despite declining soft drink
consumption, carbonated beverages are
likely to benefit from earlier investment
in marketing and innovation, with energy
and sports drinks sales likely to continue
growing robustly. Demand for convenient
and functional beverages, such as
Vitaminwater, Monster and Mother, is
likely to assist growth over the next five
years. Increasingly active lifestyles are
expected to support this trend as
consumers look to energy drinks for
caffeine. However, the energy drinks
segment faces strong competition from
imports, with brands such as Red Bull
and V accounting for a large share of

Industry revenue
8

% change

6
4
2
0
-2
-4

Year 08

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU

domestic demand.
Convenience stores and supermarkets
are likely to remain the main markets for
industry sales, with a more positive
economic outlook encouraging consumer
loyalty to branded products. However,
large supermarkets are anticipated to
dedicate more shelf space to private-label
ranges. In response, branded soft drink
producers are likely to increase spending
on marketing activities and product
innovation. This is likely to be most
pronounced for major players as CCAs
strategic review in 2014 made
strengthening brand equity a focus point
for the company.

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Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

Industry Performance

Profitability

Sales of higher margin products such as


energy and sports drinks are likely to
boost industry profitability, which is
forecast to rise over the next five years.
Despite this, profit margins are expected
to face pressure from strong price
competition and rising input costs. Price
competition will likely continue as
private-label and branded products
compete for shelf space, especially in
supermarkets. However, the industry
will continue to automate manufacturing
processes and adopt new technologies,
helping operators to manage their wage
costs and reducing the operators
reliance on manual labour. The
slowdown in M&A activity is likely to
help stabilise the industry as firms
consolidate Australian operations to
bolster profitability. Establishment and
employment numbers are both expected
to rise only slightly as firms continue to
incorporate previous acquisitions into

existing operations.
Private-label soft drink producers
generally earn lower gross margins, but
can remain profitable as advertising and
marketing spending is not as significant.
These manufacturers are also assured
shelf space and stable demand from
major retailers. The rapid growth of Aldi
supermarkets is projected to support
private labels as 95.0% of its products fall
into this category. Despite these
advantages and lower selling expenses,
private-label products are anticipated to
become less profitable for manufacturers
as they face difficulties with large
retailers aggressively renegotiating
contract terms. Private-label products
also heavily rely on price as a competitive
advantage, so significant price increases
in these products are unlikely. High
brand loyalty in the industry means that
a large price saving is needed to change
consumers brand preferences.

Product innovation

Over the next five years, innovation in


beverage lines is expected to rise.
Significant acquisitions are unlikely due
to competition concerns, leading to
larger players focusing on organic
growth and new products. This is likely
to increase spending on advertising and
marketing for new products to gain
market share. Smaller producers are
anticipated to continue supplying small
segments with specialist or premium
products. A wider range of healthier
beverages is expected to be introduced
to the market due to concerns regarding
the use of artificial colourings,
flavourings and preservatives. The major
players are likely to be most active in
offering these products as their
operational scope allows them to
capitalise on demand for healthier

products. The growing popularity of diet


varieties among cola products and
energy drinks is likely to also continue
providing support for the industry.
Over the past decade, Japanese food
and beverage producers have become
heavily involved in the Australian
market. An ageing population and weak
economic growth in their home markets
have led to companies such as Asahi and
Suntory acquiring Australian businesses.
The Japanese food and beverage market
is more mature than Australias, has a far
stronger emphasis on convenience,
shorter product cycles, and wide varieties
of flavours, products and packaging
forms. These companies are likely to
replicate these strategies in Australia,
with many new products expected to
enter the market over the next five years.

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Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

Industry Performance
Life Cycle Stage

The industry is highly concentrated,


with two companies holding over
three quarters of the market
Technological change is focused
on operating efficiencies

% Growth in share of economy

Growth in industry value added is roughly


in line with the overall economy

20

Maturity

Quality Growth

Company
consolidation;
level of economic
importance stable

High growth in economic


importance; weaker companies
close down; developed
technology and markets

15

Key Features of a Mature Industry


Revenue grows at same pace as economy
Company numbers stabilise; M&A stage
Established technology & processes
Total market acceptance of product & brand
Rationalisation of low margin products & brands

10

Quantity Growth

Many new companies;


minor growth in economic
importance; substantial
technology change

Soft Drink
Manufacturing

Sugar Manufacturing

Supermarkets and Grocery Stores


Soft Drink and Pre-Packaged Food Wholesaling
Milk and Cream Processing

Fruit and Vegetable Processing

-5

Decline

Shrinking economic
importance

-10
-10

-5

10

15

20

% Growth in number of establishments


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Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

10

Industry Performance

Industry Life Cycle


This

industry
is M
 ature

The Soft Drinks Manufacturing industry is


currently in the mature phase of its life
cycle. Industry value added, which
measures the industrys contribution to
the economy, is forecast to grow at an
annualised 2.5% over the 10 years through
2020-21. This represents a slight
underperformance of overall GDP, which
is projected to rise at an annualised 2.6%
over the 10-year period. However, the
performance of some segments has
outperformed the industry as a whole.
These include energy drinks and diet lines,
which have performed particularly well.
The high level of concentration among
soft drink manufacturers is indicative of
its mature life cycle phase. Acquisition
activity has been high over the past
decade, and has led to over three quarters
of the industry being concentrated within
two major players. The number of

establishments in the industry has been


relatively stable, while technological
changes have focused on operating
efficiency. Given competition is high
within the industry, firms are streamlining
operations and increasingly automating
manufacturing and distribution processes
in an effort to maintain or increase
company profitability.
Growth in the industry has come
mainly through niche product segments,
in the form of energy and sports drinks.
While these new products compete
primarily with other varieties of soft
drink, caffeine-based energy drinks have
benefited from the popularity of coffee,
acting as an alternative for consumers.
Healthier options have also provided a
source of growth over the past five years,
with most firms introducing low- or
zero-sugar versions of existing products.

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Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

11

Products & Markets

Supply Chain | Products & Services | Demand Determinants


Major Markets | International Trade | Business Locations

Supply Chain

KEY BUYING INDUSTRIES


F3609

Soft Drink and Pre-Packaged Food Wholesaling in Australia


Soft drink wholesalers are an important source of demand for industry products.

G4111

Supermarkets and Grocery Stores in Australia


Supermarkets and grocery stores are the major downstream market for soft drink retailing in
Australia.

G4112

Convenience Stores in Australia


Convenience stores are a major buyer of soft drink.

KEY SELLING INDUSTRIES

Products & Services

C1140

Fruit and Vegetable Processing in Australia


Some cordials and soft drinks contain real fruit. Hence, these manufacturers require fruit
extracts as an input into the production process.

C1181

Sugar Manufacturing in Australia


Sugar is a key ingredient required to make soft drinks, cordial and syrup products.

C2239

Metal Drum, Can and Bin Manufacturing in Australia


Soft drinks are often packaged in aluminium cans.

The industry is predominantly made up


of carbonated soft drinks (CSDs), with
cola-based beverages comprising the
largest portion. It also includes other
beverages such as sports and energy
drinks, which have become increasingly
popular over the past five years.
Cola-flavoured CSDs
Cola-flavoured CSDs make up the largest
industry product segment. This segment
includes traditional cola and diet cola
CSDs, and additional flavours such as
vanilla cola and lime cola. Over the past
five years, rising health awareness has
increased the range of low-sugar and diet
cola varieties, with consumers moving
away from traditional cola. In 2012,
Asahi introduced Pepsi Next, with 30.0%
less sugar and sweetened with stevia.
Coca-Cola Amatil also released a similar
product called Coca-Cola Life in April
2015. This segment has remained stable
as a proportion of industry revenue. Cola
CSDs have maintained strong sales
despite weaker economic conditions as
consumers have turned to familiar
brands, trading down from high-value
fruit juice drinks and smoothies. Privatelabel CSDs are increasingly prevalent, but
Coca-Cola remains the highest selling
brand in this product segment.

Other flavoured CSDs


Other flavoured CSDs account for the
second-largest portion of industry
revenue. This segment consists of various
soft drink flavours, including lemonade,
orange, cherry, lime, blackcurrant, apple,
pineapple, grapefruit, tropical and other
mixed-fruit flavours. Lemonade-flavoured
beverages lead the segment, followed by
orange-flavoured CSDs. Private-label
products are common in this segment as
brand loyalty is less significant. The
growing popularity of functional
beverages, combined with the resilience
of cola sales, has slightly reduced this
segments share of revenue over the past
five years. However, the introduction of
healthier, low- and zero-sugar options has
supported sales to an extent.
Sports drinks
Sports drinks include a range of isotonic,
hypotonic and hypertonic drinks
containing varying amounts of salt and
sugar. These beverages claim to enhance
physical performance prior to, during
and after physical activity by replacing
electrolytes and minerals lost during
exercise. The two largest brands in this
segment, Gatorade and Powerade, are
distributed by Asahi and Coca-Cola,
respectively. The sports drink segments

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Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

12

Products & Markets

Products & Services


continued

share of revenue has grown over the past


five years. This increase has been driven
by sponsorships of major sporting
leagues and events, increased
promotional activities and growing
acceptance of the product outside sports
and fitness activities.
Energy drinks
Energy drinks make up a small but
growing proportion of industry revenue.
These are glucose-based beverages that
claim to boost energy and usually contain
a combination of caffeine, guarana,
taurine, ginseng, and other herbs and
vitamins. Energy drink sales have grown
significantly over the past five years and
the segment is forecast to continue
growing as consumers on-the-go
lifestyles bolster demand. Red Bull is the
most popular brand in this segment,
while V, Monster and Mother provide
strong sources of competition. Over the
past five years, these major brands have

introduced many low- and zero-sugar


alternatives in this segment to improve
their health credentials.
Mixers
Mixers make up the smallest share of
industry revenue. This segment includes
drinks used to dilute alcoholic beverages,
such as soda water and tonic water.
Asahi, through the Schweppes brand,
dominates the mixers market. This
segment has decreased as a share of
revenue over the past five years due to
growth in other product segments.
Other beverages
Other beverages include a range of
carbonated drinks such as ginger beer and
non-alcoholic cider. Companies operating
in this segment also produce chocolate,
vanilla and caramel syrups, which account
for a small proportion of industry revenue.
This product segment has remained stable
over the past five years.

Products and services segmentation (2015-16)

6.1% 4.2%
Mixers
7.5%

Other

Energy drinks

7.8%

Sports drinks

50.8%

Cola-flavoured CSDs

23.6%

Other flavoured CSDs

Total $4.4bn
Demand
Determinants

Branding and price largely drive demand


for industry products. Soft drinks, while
affordable to most consumers, are not a
necessity. As a result, disposable
incomes typically affect consumer
demand and spending on industry
products. Soft drink prices also find
some support through taxation, as
non-alcoholic beverages are exempt from

SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU

taxes. While price is likely to affect the


amount of money spent on soft drinks,
strong branding can significantly alter
the way money is spent. Many
consumers are highly brand loyal,
particularly in the cola-flavoured CSD
and energy drink segments. As a result,
these consumers are likely to pay more
for their preferred product.

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Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

13

Products & Markets

Demand
Determinants
continued

Consumers are becoming increasingly


concerned with healthy eating and
drinking. Increased media and public
interest in the nutritional value of food
and beverages has had a mixed effect on
the industry. Although sugar-based soft
drinks have been under pressure,
opportunities for innovation have arisen.
New products have been developed to
appeal to health-conscious consumers,
including low-calorie and zero-sugar soft
drinks, and functional beverages such as
Vitaminwater. More natural beverages,
such as soft drinks with added fruit juice,
have also gained popularity. Increasing
concerns about alcohol consumption
have encouraged non-alcoholic beverage
consumption, further bolstering demand
for the industry.

The industry has benefited from


consumers increasingly active lifestyles.
Soft drink sales (especially energy and
sports drinks) have profited from
changing lifestyle trends, with people
trying to accomplish more in a day and
having less time for rest. This trend has
led to rapid growth in convenience
purchases. Changing lifestyles have
resulted in fewer formal family meals and
increased consumer preferences for
convenient snacks and take-away meals.
High consumption of take-away food
generally results in higher soft drink
consumption due to the meal packages
that fast-food restaurants offer. Soft
drink sales also tend to increase in
warmer months and in periods of
unusually hot weather.

Major Markets

Major markets for the Soft Drink


Manufacturing industry primarily
consist of wholesalers and retailers.
Supermarkets and other retailers have
grown as a share of industry due to the
increasing prevalence of wholesale
bypass. Conversely, the wholesale sector
of the industry has fallen as a share of
revenue. The growing popularity of
private-label brands has also
contributed to composition of markets,
with supermarkets negotiating the
supply of private-label products directly
with manufacturers.

information systems, which have allowed


for a more streamlined and easier
ordering process for retailers.

Supermarkets
This market is the largest source of
industry sales and has grown over the
past five years. Woolworths, Coles and
other large grocery stores are increasingly
bypassing wholesalers and seeking large
supply contracts with manufacturers.
Their scope and size provide significant
bargaining power when negotiating
placement and shelf space with
manufacturers. Over the past five years,
sales to supermarkets have grown
substantially as a share of industry
revenue at the expense of wholesalers.
These direct sales have been increasing
as manufacturers have adopted improved

Specialty soft drink wholesalers


Specialty soft drink wholesalers represent
a large market for the industry. These
operators generally onsell to retail trade
companies, including convenience stores,
sports stadiums, cinemas, service stations
and other retail outlets. Pubs, bars and
nightclubs are also important
downstream retail clients for wholesalers
as they purchase post-mix syrups, mixers,
and bottled and canned soft drinks.
Specialty wholesalers have decreased as a
share of industry revenue over the past
five years as more retailers have been
dealing directly with manufacturers.
Grocery wholesalers
Grocery wholesalers account for a
significant share of industry revenue.
The majority of demand from this
market comes from smaller
supermarket chains or independent
supermarket operators as larger chains
deal directly with manufacturers. Over
the past five years, supermarkets and
manufacturers have been bypassing
wholesalers in the supply chain. As a

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Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

14

Products & Markets

Major Markets
continued

result, the grocery wholesalers market


has fallen as a share of revenue over this
period. This trend is likely to continue
over the next five years as wholesale
bypass becomes more prevalent.
Other markets
Manufacturers of all sizes have
increasingly attempted to bypass
wholesalers, leading to more sales

directly to retailers. Adoption of online


ordering systems has aided this trend,
making it easier for retailers to purchase
directly from manufacturers. Smaller
industry firms are also more likely to
have private-label contracts with retailers
rather than selling directly to the public.
As a result, this segment has increased as
a share of industry revenue over the past
five years.

Major market segmentation (2015-16)

12.3%

Other markets

12.6%

Grocery wholesalers

56.8%
Supermarkets

18.3%

Specialty soft drink


wholesalers

Total $4.4bn

Level & Trend


 xports in the
E

industry are L ow


and D
 ecreasing
Imports

in the
industry are
Mediumand
Increasing

International trade in the Soft Drink


Manufacturing industry is relatively low.
Trade occurs predominantly in the form
of beverage bases, which is converted
into soft drinks through further
processing domestically. The low valueto-weight ratio associated with soft
drinks contributes to the low level of
international trade for industry products.
Exports
Exports account for a negligible portion
of industry revenue, largely due to the
low value-to-weight nature of industry
products. The main destination for
industry exports is the Asia-Pacific
region, although the United States is also
a prominent destination. New Zealand is
the most significant export market,
followed by the United States, China and
Nauru. The major players, Coca-Cola
Amatil and Asahi, both own facilities in

Industry trade balance


200
0

$ million

International Trade

SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU

-200
-400
-600
-800
-1000

Year 08
Exports

10

12

14

Imports

16

18

20

22

Balance

SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU

various parts of the Asia-Pacific region,


which reduces the regions reliance on
exports from Australia. Over the past five
years, exports have declined largely due
to a strong Australian dollar for the
majority of the period.

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Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

15

Products & Markets

International Trade
continued

Imports
Imports account for a moderate proportion
of domestic demand. A majority of imports
are from Singapore, while other significant
sources include New Zealand, the United
States, and Austria. Singapore is a
prominent source of imports due to the
presence of the Coca-Cola concentrate
production facility and the manufacturing
of other soft drinks. Frucor, owned by

Exports To...

Japanese firm Suntory, produces


beverages in New Zealand and distributes
them in Australia, accounting for most of
the imports from that country. Red Bull
energy drink also makes up a large
proportion of imports from Austria. Over
the past five years, imports have increased
as a share of domestic demand, supported
by the growing demand for imported
energy drinks.

Imports From...

7.1%

4.9%
Austria

United States

4.5% 4.3%
Nauru
China

10.3%

New Zealand

12.0%

United States

23.8%
Other

52.4%

26.8%
Other

Year: 2015-16

53.9%

New Zealand

Total $23.9m

Singapore

Total $668.9m
SOURCE: ABS

SIZE OF CHARTS DOES NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL DATA

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Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

16

Products & Markets


Business Locations 2015-16

NT
0.8

QLD
21.2

WA
10.3

SA
11.1

NSW
32.9

ACT
0.0

VIC
20.1

Establishments (%)

TAS

Cold Zone (<10)

3.6

<25
<50
Hot Zone (<100)
Not applicable

SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU

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Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

17

Products & Markets

Distribution of establishments vs. population


40
30
20
10

WA

VIC

TAS

SA

QLD

NT

NSW

0
ACT

The Soft Drink Manufacturing industry is


concentrated in the eastern states, close
to the major population centres. This is
largely due to the low value-to-weight
ratio of industry products, with operators
preferring to locate themselves in close
proximity to end consumers for
distributional purposes. New South
Wales is the most popular location,
followed by Queensland and Victoria.
South Australia and Western Australia
then account for the next largest shares
of industry establishments, with South
Australia production supported by its
location between major trade lines.
Tasmania and the Northern Territory
represent significantly lower shares of
establishments due to their relatively low
population base.
The distribution of establishments has
remained steady over the past five years,
with many plants and facilities located on
the east coast. Despite representing a
significant share of establishments,
Victorias share of total establishments has
fallen over the past five years due to higher
investment in facilities across New South
Wales. Shifts in the distribution of industry

Percentage

Business Locations

Establishments
Population
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU

establishments have largely been a result


of companies closing down smaller plants
and relocating production to larger
facilities. This has been demonstrated by
Coca-Cola Amatils three-year plan for
saving $100.0 million, which has led to the
closure of their Bayswater manufacturing
plant in Victoria.

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Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

18

Competitive Landscape

Market Share Concentration | Key Success Factors | Cost Structure Benchmarks


Basis of Competition | Barriers to Entry | Industry Globalisation
Market Share
Concentration
Level
Concentration

in
this industry is H
 igh

Key Success Factors


IBISWorld

identifies
250 Key Success
Factors for a
business. The most
important for this
industry are:

A high market share concentration


characterises the Soft Drink
Manufacturing industry. The two largest
players, Coca-Cola Amatil and Asahi
Holdings (Australia), make up over
three-quarters of the industry,
accounting for an estimated 78.7% of
industry revenue. No other players hold
over 5% of industry revenue. The
emergence of Asahi over the past five
years has boosted industry
concentration as the company had
previously acquired brands including
Schweppes. In 2010, Asahi agreed to an
acquisition of P&N Beverages in a
$360.0 million deal. However, the deal
was blocked by the ACCC due to
competitive concerns in the industry.
Had the sale proceeded, industry
concentration would have increased

further. A revised deal was eventually


approved in 2011, where P&Ns soft
drink and juice assets were divested to
Tru Blu Beverages, which became the
third-largest player in the industry.
The growing popularity of private
labels is expected to reduce industry
concentration slightly over the next five
years. Larger retailers generally source
private-label products from firms outside
the major manufacturers. As private
labels grow, the industry is expected to
become marginally less concentrated.
The growth of Aldi supermarkets is also
expected to fuel private-label growth as
95.0% of its product range is private
label. While concentration is projected to
decline slowly, it is likely to remain high
due to the dominance of the Coca-Cola,
Pepsi and Schweppes brands.

Control of distribution arrangements


Marketing and distribution must be
carefully managed to reduce costs
andmaximise product reach for soft
drink manufacturers.

Attractive product presentation


Presentation (including packaging)
contributes significantly to the appeal of
the industrys products, leading to
increased sales.

Supply contracts in place for key inputs


Cost minimising arrangements for raw
materials, such as supply contracts for
sugar and other inputs, are necessary in
managing production costs.

Marketing of differentiated products


Product innovation and differentiation
(including packaging) helps effectively
market soft drinks and other beverages.

Economies of scope
Economies of scope allow firms to
produce a wider range of products at
lower per-unit costs.

Cost Structure
Benchmarks

The cost structure of industry operators


differ depending on their size. Larger
industry operators benefit from
economies of scale and scope. Given that
the Soft Drink Manufacturing industry is
essentially a Coca-Cola Amatil and Asahi
duopoly, the industrys cost structure
largely follows these two companies.
Profit
Industry profitability is strong and high

Economies of scale
Economies of scale are important for a
low-value product as high volumes must
be produced and sold to achieve a
reasonable profit.

compared with other industries in the


sector. Sales of functional beverages, such
as energy and sports drinks, have boosted
profit margins. However, profitability has
also faced downward pressure over the
past five years due to rising input costs, a
lack of pricing growth and increased
competition from private-label products.
Asahis aggressive expansion has further
exacerbated this trend, leading to several
unprofitable years for the company.

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Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

19

Competitive Landscape

However, efforts to improve operating


efficiency across the industry have
supported profit. Profit margins have
increased slightly over the past five years.
Competition from private labels, heavy
discounting and aggressive negotiation by
large retailers have offset organic growth,
greater sales of higher margin products
and declining wage costs.

from record highs following the global


financial crisis. Packaging costs also
make up a substantial part of purchases
and have increased over the past five
years. Growing environmental concerns
about plastic bottles have prompted soft
drink producers to switch to higher
priced and more environmentally
friendly packaging.

Purchases
Purchases represent the largest expense
for the industry and include raw
materials such as sweeteners, syrup
concentrates, carbon dioxide, cans, glass
and plastic bottles, and other packaging
materials. These costs have increased as a
proportion of revenue over the past five
years. The cost of syrup concentrates is
significant as they are often patented and
imported from foreign suppliers that
charge high prices, even to affiliated
companies. Sugar costs are also
significant for industry operators. The
price of sugar has fluctuated substantially
over the past five years, falling sharply

Wages
Wages also make up a significant cost
for the industry, in line with other food
and beverage producers. These costs
have decreased over the past five years
as the industry has become more
capital-intensive. Manufacturers have
increased automation in the production
process and in warehousing activities to
reduce operating costs. The rising trend
of mechanisation and automation will
continue to reduce industry operators
reliance on manual labour and help
them manage their wage costs,
particularly across manufacturing and
distribution networks.

Sector vs. Industry Costs


Average Costs of
all Industries in
sector (2015-16)
100

1.8
80

Percentage of revenue

Cost Structure
Benchmarks
continued

8.0
3.2
8.1
14.6

60

3.8

Industry Costs
(2015-16)

16.7
1.2

3.0
9.4

2.0

9.9

n Profit
n Rent
n Utilities
n Depreciation
n Other
n Wages
n Purchases

40

60.5

57.8

20

0
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU

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Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

20

Competitive Landscape

Cost Structure
Benchmarks
continued

Depreciation
Depreciation represents a significant cost
for the industry. The manufacturing
process is capital-intensive, with largescale machinery involved in most areas of
production and distribution.
Depreciation has risen as a proportion of
revenue over the past five years, in line
with increased capital investment and
greater process automation.
Other
Other costs include general
administration, selling, warehousing and
distribution, and advertising expenses.
Warehousing and distribution expenses
are a significant part of industry revenue,
with operators incurring large
warehousing and distribution expenses

Basis of Competition
Level & Trend
 ompetition
C

in
this industry is
Highand the trend
is I ncreasing

An increasingly high level of competition


characterises the Soft Drink
Manufacturing industry. Two industry
heavyweights, Coca-Cola Amatil and
Asahi, dominate the industry, with
smaller manufacturers servicing niche
markets and private labels. While
external competition is also significant, it
is limited by the diversified nature of the
industrys major players.
Internal
Internal competition is high for the
industry and brand names, in particular,
are extremely important. Brand equity
has been the most important point of
differentiation for the industrys top
players and this has driven substantial
advertising expenditure in the industry.
Flavour also plays an important role,
with licenses limiting access to some
recipes. Well-known brands and licensed
flavours allow manufacturers to charge
premium prices. While substitution does
occur, consumers are generally willing to
pay a higher price for Coca-Cola and
Pepsi brands than for private labels.
Competition among these brands and
heavy discounting has been increasing in
the industry, as firms have been seeking
greater market share.

due to extensive distributions networks.


Most industry operators sell directly to
retailers and other large buyers.
Advertising expenses are also a
substantial part of industry revenue.
Promotional costs include the cost of
providing fridges or post-mix equipment
to retailers, hospitality establishments
and other in-store promotions.
Advertising is a significant part of
operations for the industrys major
players and is important for establishing
brand loyalty. Smaller players also engage
in advertising, but on a much smaller
scale. These costs have risen as a share of
industry revenue over the past five years
as major players have invested in
advertising and distribution in an attempt
to boost sales and bypass wholesalers.

While private-label products have


grown within the industry, the larger
firms significant brand loyalty and
competitive power have curbed this
trend. The major players are well
entrenched as leaders in branding, with
Coca-Cola and Pepsi products beating
private labels. This is due to their ability
to cut margins while maintaining high
brand awareness and loyalty. Smaller
firms can only compete by working with
large supermarkets to provide privatelabel products, due to their inability to
achieve the same scale and brand image
as the two major companies.
External
External competition is high, as industry
products face competition from other
beverages such as fruit juice drinks and
bottled water. The bases of competition
are largely the same as those in the
industry: branding, flavour and price.
Additionally, industry products face
competition on the basis of health content,
as consumers are increasingly conscious
of the high sugar content in soft drinks.
While this generally leads to a preference
for bottled water or fruit juice drinks, the
effect is likely to be offset by the increase
in low- or zero-sugar soft drinks.

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Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

21

Competitive Landscape

Basis of Competition
continued

Diversified operations curb external


competition for the major players.
Coca-Cola and Asahi maintain product
lines in a variety of beverages, including
juice drinks, bottled water and alcoholic

Barriers to Entry

The Soft Drink Manufacturing industry


has high barriers to entry and the level has
increased over the past five years. The
market power, scale and scope of
operations, and brand equity of the major
players raises barriers for new entrants.
The ability to compete with existing
industry operators, which have wellestablished distribution networks, requires
significant investment. Coca-Cola Amatils
established distribution network is a
strong source of competitive advantage.
Entry into the industry can occur
through acquisition, as demonstrated by
Asahis purchase of Schweppes. Brand
loyalty is also a barrier that new entrants
must overcome. The major players
undertake significant advertising and
marketing activities due to the
importance of their brands being
household names. Acquisitions of other
beverage companies and the vertical
integration of bottling facilities for the
major players have led to their continued
dominance over the market.
New entrants must offer a range of
beverages to gain significant market
share. Existing major players in the
industry offer products in all segments of
the market, also competing in the bottled
water and fruit juice drinks
manufacturing industries. This diverse
product offering helps reduce per-unit

Level & Trend


 arriers to Entry
B

in this industry
are H
 ighand
Increasing

Industry
Globalisation
Level & Trend
 lobalisation
G

in
this industry is
Mediumand the
trend is I ncreasing

Globalisation in the Soft Drink


Manufacturing industry is at a medium
level and increasing. Globalisation is
assessed based on foreign ownership
among industry participants,
international trade and the involvement
of Australian companies overseas. The
most prominent brands in the soft drink
industry were developed overseas and
have a global presence. For example, the

drinks. These firms are unlikely to


promote external competition from
alternative beverages, instead focusing on
product categories and gaining market
share from private labels.

Barriers to Entry checklist


Competition
Concentration
Life Cycle Stage
Capital Intensity
Technology Change
Regulation & Policy
Industry Assistance

High
High
Mature
Medium
Medium
Medium
Low
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU

production costs as fixed expenses are


spread over greater volumes.
Additionally, it helps the major operators
maintain their positions as dominant
players in the industry, as retailers prefer
to deal with larger, diversified
manufacturers to minimise the number
of transactions and increase convenience
for purchase orders.
The high cost of establishing operations
poses a further barrier for new entrants.
While manufacturing and bottling
machinery is readily available, the cost of
acquiring the machinery is expensive. The
major players have adopted technologies
in all facets of their business. This
presents a barrier for new entrants as it is
difficult to keep up and compete with
larger firms, which constantly improve
and automate their processes for both
production and distribution.

Coca-Cola and Pepsi brands are both


owned by US companies that have sold
the manufacturing and distribution rights
of these brands to domestic operators.
Coca-Cola Amatil owns the rights to the
Coca-Cola brand, while Schweppes
beverages originated in the United
Kingdom and are produced in Australia
under a similar arrangement.
Foreign ownership in the industry is

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Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

22

Competitive Landscape

Trade Globalisation
200

with foreign ownership. Exports account


for a small proportion of revenue, while
imports make up a moderate share of
domestic demand. The low levels of
international trade are a result of the low
value of soft drinks relative to their weight,
making international freight of industry
products relatively expensive. Domestic
production primarily focuses on meeting
domestic demand, which indicates that
while foreign ownership is significant,
international trade is much less so.
Going Global: Soft Drink Manufacturing 20042016

Global

Export

150

200 Export

Exports/Revenue

International trade is a
major determinant of
an industrys level of
globalisation.Exports offer
growth opportunities
for firms. However there
are legal, economic and
political risks associated
with dealing in foreign
countries.Import
competition can bring a
greater risk for companies
as foreign producers satisfy
domestic demand that
local firms would otherwise
supply.

high, with the majority of industry


revenue generated by firms with
significant foreign ownership or origins.
Asahi is a Japanese company that
operates in Australia through its
Australian subsidiary, Asahi Holdings
Australia. The Coca-Cola Company from
the United States has a minority share of
Coca-Cola Amatil. Japanese company
Suntory owns Frucor, the producer of V,
while Unilever owns Lipton Ice Teas.
International trade is low compared

Exports/Revenue

Industry
Globalisation
continued

100
50

Soft Drink Manufacturing

0 Local
0

Import

40

80

120

Imports/Domestic Demand

160

Global

150
100
50

2004
2016

0 Local
0

40

Import
80

120

160

Imports/Domestic Demand
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU

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Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

23

Major Companies

Coca-Cola Amatil Limited | Asahi Holdings (Australia) Pty Ltd | Other Companies

Major players
(Market share)

Asahi Holdings (Australia) Pty Ltd 24.9%

21.3%
Other

Coca-Cola Amatil Limited 53.8%

Player Performance
Coca-Cola Amatil
Limited
Market share: 53.8%
Industry Brand Names
Coca-Cola
Fanta
Sprite
Lift
Mother
Deep Spring
Kirks
Vitaminwater

Coca-Cola Amatil Limited (CCA) is an


Australian publicly listed company. CCA
is the largest beverage manufacturer in
the country, with the majority of its
income derived from manufacturing and
distributing soft drinks. CCA has
exclusive Australian bottling rights to the
Coca-Cola brands range of beverages.
The company acquires concentrates from
US-based The Coca-Cola Company to
manufacture and distribute its products
in exclusively licensed territories across
Australia, New Zealand, Indonesia, Fiji,
Papua New Guinea and Samoa. CCA is
headquartered in Sydney and employs
over 14,000 people.
CCA participates in the Soft Drink
Manufacturing industry by producing
and distributing a range of carbonated
soft drinks, sports and energy drinks and
other functional beverages. Brands
include traditional soft drinks such as the
Coca-Cola range, Fanta, Sprite and Lift.
The company also produces a range of
other products including Kirks, Deep
Spring, Appletiser, Powerade, Mother
and Glaceau Vitaminwater.
The five-year Project Zero program,
which started in 2010, has brought
significant cost savings for CCA. The
program involved overhauling the
companys production plants, processes
and capacity. CCA invested in vertical
integration through in-house production
of PET bottle packaging. Another part of
the program was automating processes
across many warehousing operations.
The company also announced moves to
improve manufacturing efficiency by
closing smaller facilities in Melbourne,
shifting capacity to larger sites. The

SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU

Coca-Cola Amatil Limited - industry


segment performance**
Year*

Revenue
($ billion)

(% change)

2011

2.53

N/C

2012

2.67

5.5

2013

2.56

-4.1

2014

2.41

-5.9

2015

2.37

-1.7

2016

2.35

-0.8

*Year end December **Estimate

SOURCE: IBISWORLD

announcement was part of wider plans


to cut $100.0 million from costs over
three years.
Financial performance
The companys financial performance has
been historically strong, although weaker
soft drink consumption and high
competition have weighed on revenue
from their soft drink operations over the
past three years. CCAs industry-specific
revenue is projected to decline at an
annualised 1.5% over the five years
through December 2016 to total $2.4
billion. This represents an
underperformance of the overall industry
in nominal terms. The companys profit
has also fallen sharply over this period
due to competitive pressures and rising
marketing costs. Despite this, CCA has
received some support from its launch of
Coca-Cola Life. The Mother range has
also provided a source of growth in the
energy drink market.

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Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

24

Major Companies

Player Performance
Asahi Holdings
(Australia) Pty Ltd
Market share: 24.9%
Industry Brand Names
Pepsi
Schweppes
Solo
Mountain Dew
Gatorade
Passiona
Sunkist

Other Companies

Asahi Holdings (Australia) Pty Ltd is a


Japanese-owned beverage company that
manufactures a range of soft drinks,
mixers, mineral waters and cordials. The
company has exclusive bottling rights to
the Pepsi range of brands in Australia. In
April 2009, Asahi entered the industry in
Australia following a $1.2 billion
acquisition of the Cadbury Schweppes
Australian beverage business. A price
increase in Schweppes beverages
immediately followed the acquisition,
signalling a change in strategy, which had
previously focused on discounting
products and gaining market share.
In August 2010, Asahi Breweries put
forward a proposal to buy P&N Beverages
for over $360 million. The combined
company would have created Australias
second-largest beverage producer,
accounting for over 30% of industry
revenue and significantly reducing
competition. However, the ACCC
announced its opposition to the proposed
acquisition in early 2011 due to
competition concerns, with CCA and
Asahi likely to account for over 90% of
the industry if approval was granted.
During June 2011, Asahi revised its offer
and announced its intention to spin off
P&Ns soft drink and cordial businesses
to Tru Blu Beverages, a company owned
by P&Ns former owner. The new deal
was valued at $188.0 million, with Asahi
acquiring P&Ns fruit drink and water
bottling operations. The deal was
completed in September 2011, following
ACCC approval.
In December 2015, Asahi announced
its intention to close three of its nine
bottling facilities in Australia. These
include its plants in MacGregor, QLD;
Moorebank, NSW; and Payneham, SA.
Following several acquisitions over the
past five years, the company is planning
to streamline its extensive

The structure of industry companies


varies according to the product range
offered. A few large companies dominate
the industry, but several smaller,

Asahi Holdings (Australia) Pty Ltd


- industry segment performance**
Year*

Revenue
($ million)

2011

736.1

N/C

2012

827.8

12.5

2013

968.2

17.0

2014

1,022.3

5.6

2015

1,062.6

3.9

2016

1,084.9

2.1

*Year end December **Estimate

(% change)

SOURCE: IBISWORLD

manufacturing network to better


manage operations and capacity.
Financial performance
Asahis revenue has grown rapidly since
its entry into the industry in 2009. The
strong performance has largely been due
to the companys acquisition activity.
Asahis industry-related revenue is
projected to grow at an annualised 8.1%
over the five years through December
2016 to reach $1.1 billion. The companys
outperformance of the overall industry
has largely been attributable to the
Schweppes acquisition, which has
brought various brands to the companys
portfolio and created the second-largest
beverage manufacturer in Australia.
Robust growth in core brands such as
Schweppes, Solo and Pepsi has also
boosted revenue, while the Monster
energy beverage was successful before
Coca-Cola Amatil acquired the rights in
May 2016. In contrast, profitability has
been volatile, with the company
recording a loss for much of the past five
years. This has largely been due major
acquisitions and the process of
integrating them into existing operations.

regionally based operators also operate.


Many of these operators produce
private-label products and service niche
market segments.

Provided to: RMIT Library (211848891) | 14 September 2016

WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU

Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

25

Major Companies

Other Companies
continued

Tru Blu Beverages Pty Limited

Estimated market share: Less than 5.0%


Formerly known as P&N Beverages, Tru
Blu Beverages is an Australian-owned
private beverage company. Tru Blu
Beverages competes mainly in the
grocery stores channel, with products
such as Pub Squash, LA Ice Cola and
Lido Lemonade. The company was

formed after the previous company P&N


Beverages was sold to Japanese brewing
giant Asahi Holdings. After initially
being rejected by the ACCC on
competition grounds, Asahi revised its
offer for P&N Beverages in June 2011
and agreed to divest the companys soft
drink and cordial businesses to form Tru
Blu Beverages.

Provided to: RMIT Library (211848891) | 14 September 2016

Soft Drink Manufacturing in AustraliaJune 2016 26

WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU

Operating Conditions

Capital Intensity | Technology & Systems | Revenue Volatility


Regulation & Policy | Industry Assistance
Capital Intensity
Level
The level

of capital
intensity is M
 edium

The Soft Drink Manufacturing industry


exhibits a medium level of capital
intensity. For every dollar paid as wages,
an estimated $0.30 is spent on capital
investment. The level of capital intensity
reflects the amount of machinery and
automation required in the industry.
While manual labour is important to
industry operations, machinery is
required across nearly all processes, from
manufacturing to distribution, with
automation constantly increasing across
all areas. As a result, the level of capital
intensity in the industry has risen over
the past five years and the trend is
expected to continue as automation
grows and major players continue to
invest in greener bottling technologies.
CCAs Project Zero program
exemplifies this move towards more
capital-intensive operations. Since 2010,
the company has invested heavily in
producing PET bottles and automating

Capital intensity

Capital units per labour unit


0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0

Economy

Manufacturing

Soft Drink
Manufacturing

Dotted line shows a high level of capital intensity


SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU

some production stages and


warehousing. Increasing wholesale
bypass has led to CCA investing heavily
in improved distribution centres to speed
up the process. Given CCAs significant
market share, this has contributed to a
rise in the industrys capital intensity.

Tools of the Trade: Growth Strategies for Success


New Age Economy

Investment Economy

Recreation, Personal Services,


Health and Education. Firms
benefit from personal wealth so
stable macroeconomic conditions
are imperative. Brand awareness
and niche labour skills are key to
product differentiation.

Information, Communications,
Mining, Finance and Real
Estate. To increase revenue
firms need superior debt
management, a stable
macroeconomic environment
and a sound investment plan.

Labour Intensive

Capital Intensive

Supermarkets and
Soft Drink and
Pre-Packaged Food Grocery Stores Soft Drink
Wholesaling
Manufacturing
Traditional Service Economy
Milk and Cream
Fruit and Vegetable
Processing
Wholesale and Retail. Reliant
Processing
on labour rather than capital
to sell goods. Functions cannot
be outsourced therefore firms
must use new technology
or improve staff training to
increase revenue growth.

Change in Share of the Economy

Provided to: RMIT Library (211848891) | 14 September 2016

Old Economy
Agriculture and Manufacturing.
Traded goods can be produced
using cheap labour abroad.
To expand firms must merge
or acquire others to exploit
economies of scale, or specialise
in niche, high-value products.
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU

Soft Drink Manufacturing in AustraliaJune 2016 27

WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU

Operating Conditions

Technology & Systems The Soft Drink Manufacturing industry


of
Technology Change
is M
 edium

Revenue Volatility
Level
The level

of
Volatility is L ow

based plastics in the manufacturing of


bottles has become increasingly
prevalent, with Coca-Cola Amatil leading
the way with its PlantBottle technology.
Other technology changes have
focused on improving distribution
efficiency. Coca-Cola Amatil Ltd uses an
online ordering system, which is part of
an e-business strategy enabling the
company to build relationships with its
domestic customers and improve supply
chain effectiveness. Wholesalers and
retailers can select, order and pay for
supplies online and check their order
statuses, histories and accounts. These
initiatives are expected to reduce
operating and administrative costs for
industry operators.

The Soft Drink Manufacturing industry


has displayed a low level of revenue
volatility over the past five years. Demand
for industry products is reliant upon
disposable income levels, particularly as
there are available substitutes at lower
pricepoints. As a result, consumption and
industry revenue vary in times of
economic turmoil. This was especially
evident in the years following the global
financial crisis, when industry revenue
exhibited higher volatility. Revenue
volatility has since fallen back to a low
level. Weather conditions also affect
consumer demand for cold beverages, but

the effect of this on revenue volatility


generally applies within individual years
rather than year to year. A warmer climate
in certain months or higher average
temperatures tend to increase demand for
industry products, while cooler months
and lower average temperatures tend to
weaken demand. As a result, demand and
consumption of these products can follow
weather conditions.
The high degree of industry
competition limits revenue volatility to
an extent. Two major players dominate
the industry, using aggressive pricing
strategies to expand market share. The

A higher level of revenue


volatility implies greater
industry risk. Volatility can
negatively affect long-term
strategic decisions, such as
the time frame for capital
investment.
When a firm makes poor
investment decisions it
may face underutilised
capacity if demand
suddenly falls, or capacity
constraints if it rises
quickly.

Volatility vs Growth
1000

Revenue volatility* (%)

Level
The level

exhibits a medium level of technological


change. Processes in the industry involve
combining water, flavourings and
sweeteners, carbonation, and then
bottling or canning. Technology changes
have largely been related to
improvements in quality control, and the
automation and computerisation of
production processes. Significant changes
have also occurred in product packaging,
especially the use of new polyethylene
terephthalate (PET) plastics technology,
which has made bottles more
environmentally friendly. New plastics
technology has also eliminated some
restrictions on the portability and storage
of industry products. The use of plant-

Hazardous

Rollercoaster

100
10

Soft Drink Manufacturing

1
0.1

Stagnant
30

10

Blue Chip
10

30

50

70

Five year annualised revenue growth (%)


* Axis is in logarithmic scale
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU

Provided to: RMIT Library (211848891) | 14 September 2016

Soft Drink Manufacturing in AustraliaJune 2016 28

WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU

Operating Conditions

Revenue Volatility
continued

firms also face price-based competition


from smaller players and private labels,
which prevent any significant price
increases. However, high brand loyalty
has helped to retain customers for major

brands such as Coca-Cola and Pepsi,


preventing a significant switch to
private-label soft drinks. The effect of
brand loyalty is particularly strong
within the cola varieties.

Regulation & Policy

The Soft Drink Manufacturing industry is


characterised by a medium level of
regulation and policy, with food and
health regulations applicable to industry
operators. The regulation of foods for
sale in Australia is primarily a state and
territory responsibility, with individual
food laws prohibiting the false and
misleading labelling of foods for sale. The
industry is also subject to labelling
regulations in relation to the country of
origin and ingredients.
Food Standards Australia New Zealand
(FSANZ) is a government agency that
develops uniform food standards across
Australia and New Zealand. The agency
was established as part of the Australia
New Zealand Food Authority Act 1991,
with final decisions on food standards
made by the Australia New Zealand Food
Standards Council, which comprises
health ministers of the various states and
territories, and New Zealand. These Food
Standards enable the effective
measurement and enforcement of general

food laws. Current food standards regulate


the composition of some beverages
produced by the industry, such as sports
drinks, and labelling requirements.
The Australian Consumer Law (ACL),
administered under the Competition and
Consumer Act 2010, also affects the
industry. The ACL is enforced by the
Australian Competition and Consumer
Commission (ACCC) and prohibits
anti-competitive behaviour by companies
across all industries. The ACCC has
blocked several proposed acquisitions in
the industry on the grounds of
competition, such as Asahis proposed
deal to acquire P&N beverages in 2010.
Competition legislation also affects the
strategic decisions of major players, as
shown by Coca-Cola Amatils problem of
being unable to generate growth through
acquisitions within the industry, which is
likely to raise competition concerns. As a
result, CCA relies on organic growth or
acquisitions in other parts of the
beverages sector.

The level of assistance within the Soft


Drink Manufacturing industry is low and
steady, although the industry receives
some protection and assistance through
tariffs. The current tariff rate is 5.0%, but
imports from developing countries are
afforded a lower tariff rate to encourage
economic development. The ChinaAustralia Free Trade Agreement is
expected to result in tariffs for some
industry products being reduced between
the two countries. This is likely to
increase demand from China as industry
products become less expensive for the
overseas buyers. The effect on the
industry will be minor though, given

exports constitute a small portion of


industry revenue.
The Australian Beverages Council is
the body that represents firms in the
industry. The council also stands for the
interests of manufacturers, distributors
and franchisors of all non-alcoholic
beverages. The industry bodys role is to
provide representation on regulatory,
public policy, trade and commercial
issues to government at all levels,
community groups and the media. They
also host industry events and offer
professional development, technical and
regulatory support, and other resources
for members.

Level & Trend


 he level of
T

Regulation is
Mediumand the
trend is S
 teady

Industry Assistance
Level & Trend
 he level of
T

Industry Assistance
is L owand the
trend is S
 teady

Provided to: RMIT Library (211848891) | 14 September 2016

WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU

Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

29

Key Statistics
Industry Data
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
2020-21
Sector Rank
Economy Rank

Revenue
($m)
3,666.8
3,650.3
3,707.4
3,962.9
3,868.4
4,058.1
4,127.6
4,189.5
4,272.4
4,365.0
4,399.8
4,351.9
4,403.9
4,470.0
4,559.2
22/193
266/859

Annual Change
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
2020-21
Sector Rank
Economy Rank

Revenue
(%)
-0.5
1.6
6.9
-2.4
4.9
1.7
1.5
2.0
2.2
0.8
-1.1
1.2
1.5
2.0
45/193
408/859

Industry
Value Added
($m)
Establishments Enterprises
1,130.7
94
79
1,069.5
95
77
1,107.9
94
76
1,196.9
94
76
1,142.0
95
77
1,196.0
95
76
1,226.6
95
77
1,236.4
95
77
1,269.2
96
78
1,293.8
96
78
1,345.9
97
79
1,381.2
97
79
1,412.0
98
80
1,425.9
100
81
1,455.0
101
82
17/193
152/193
144/193
281/858
760/860
707/859

Industry
Value Added Establishments Enterprises
(%)
(%)
(%)
-5.4
1.1
-2.5
3.6
-1.1
-1.3
8.0
0.0
0.0
-4.6
1.1
1.3
4.7
0.0
-1.3
2.6
0.0
1.3
0.8
0.0
0.0
2.7
1.1
1.3
1.9
0.0
0.0
4.0
1.0
1.3
2.6
0.0
0.0
2.2
1.0
1.3
1.0
2.0
1.3
2.0
1.0
1.2
60/193
66/193
66/193
445/858
497/860
478/859

Key Ratios
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
2020-21
Sector Rank
Economy Rank

IVA/Revenue
(%)
30.84
29.30
29.88
30.20
29.52
29.47
29.72
29.51
29.71
29.64
30.59
31.74
32.06
31.90
31.91
88/193
502/858

Imports/Demand Exports/Revenue
(%)
(%)
13.36
0.69
13.01
0.65
12.63
0.72
11.95
0.74
12.47
0.79
12.94
0.74
13.25
0.67
13.26
0.59
13.37
0.56
13.35
0.55
13.50
0.55
14.02
0.56
14.11
0.56
14.28
0.57
14.39
0.56
123/178
167/179
141/231
221/236

Employment
6,834
6,766
6,733
6,685
6,531
6,547
6,518
6,478
6,490
6,434
6,462
6,467
6,504
6,562
6,582
48/193
412/857

Employment
(%)
-1.0
-0.5
-0.7
-2.3
0.2
-0.4
-0.6
0.2
-0.9
0.4
0.1
0.6
0.9
0.3
96/193
616/857

Revenue per
Employee
($000)
536.55
539.51
550.63
592.80
592.31
619.84
633.26
646.73
658.31
678.43
680.87
672.94
677.11
681.19
692.68
36/193
135/857

Exports
($m)
25.4
23.9
26.6
29.4
30.4
30.0
27.6
24.6
24.1
23.9
24.3
24.4
24.8
25.3
25.6
139/179
187/236

Exports
(%)
-5.9
11.3
10.5
3.4
-1.3
-8.0
-10.9
-2.0
-0.8
1.7
0.4
1.6
2.0
1.2
132/179
174/236

Wages/Revenue
(%)
11.20
11.44
11.57
10.66
10.61
10.04
10.00
9.98
10.08
9.95
9.96
10.19
10.23
10.26
10.16
162/193
724/858

Imports
($m)
561.4
542.3
532.3
534.1
546.8
598.5
626.0
636.5
655.7
668.9
683.0
705.5
719.6
740.5
762.0
75/179
86/232

Imports
(%)
-3.4
-1.8
0.3
2.4
9.5
4.6
1.7
3.0
2.0
2.1
3.3
2.0
2.9
2.9
86/179
111/232

Employees
per Est.
72.70
71.22
71.63
71.12
68.75
68.92
68.61
68.19
67.60
67.02
66.62
66.67
66.37
65.62
65.17
5/193
45/857

Figures are in inflation-adjusted 2016 dollars. Rank refers to 2016 data.

Provided to: RMIT Library (211848891) | 14 September 2016

Wages
($m)
410.7
417.5
429.1
422.4
410.5
407.3
412.7
418.1
430.7
434.3
438.2
443.5
450.5
458.4
463.3
44/193
384/858

Domestic
Demand
($m)
4,202.8
4,168.7
4,213.1
4,467.6
4,384.8
4,626.6
4,726.0
4,801.4
4,904.0
5,010.0
5,058.5
5,033.0
5,098.7
5,185.2
5,295.6
25/178
37/231

Wages
(%)
1.7
2.8
-1.6
-2.8
-0.8
1.3
1.3
3.0
0.8
0.9
1.2
1.6
1.8
1.1
73/193
529/858

Domestic
Demand
(%)
-0.8
1.1
6.0
-1.9
5.5
2.1
1.6
2.1
2.2
1.0
-0.5
1.3
1.7
2.1
50/178
78/231

Average Wage
($)
60,096.58
61,705.59
63,730.88
63,186.24
62,854.08
62,211.70
63,316.97
64,541.53
66,363.64
67,500.78
67,811.82
68,578.94
69,265.07
69,856.75
70,388.94
77/193
308/857

Share of the
Economy
(%)
0.09
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
17/193
281/858

SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU

WWW.IBISWORLD.COM.AU

Soft Drink Manufacturing in Australia June 2016

30

Jargon & Glossary

Industry Jargon

CARBONATED SOFT DRINKS (CSD)Non-alcoholic


beverages with the addition of purified carbon dioxide
gas.

POLYETHYLENE TEREPHTHALATE (PET)A type of


polymer resin used in synthetic fibres and in the
production of food and beverage containers.

FUNCTIONAL BEVERAGEA non-alcoholic beverage


containing additional ingredients to provide specific
benefits, such as health and endurance.

IBISWorld Glossary

BARRIERS TO ENTRYHigh barriers to entry mean that


new companies struggle to enter an industry, while low
barriers mean it is easy for new companies to enter an
industry.
CAPITAL INTENSITYCompares the amount of money
spent on capital (plant, machinery and equipment) with
that spent on labour. IBISWorld uses the ratio of
depreciation to wages as a proxy for capital intensity.
High capital intensity is more than $0.333 of capital to
$1 of labour; medium is $0.125 to $0.333 of capital to
$1 of labour; low is less than $0.125 of capital for every
$1 of labour.
CONSTANT PRICESThe dollar figures in the Key
Statistics table, including forecasts, are adjusted for
inflation using the current year (i.e. year published) as
the base year. This removes the impact of changes in
the purchasing power of the dollar, leaving only the
real growth or decline in industry metrics. The inflation
adjustments in IBISWorlds reports are made using the
Australian Bureau of Statistics implicit GDP price
deflator.

INDUSTRY REVENUEThe total sales of industry goods


and services (exclusive of excise and sales tax); subsidies
on production; all other operating income from outside
the firm (such as commission income, repair and service
income, and rent, leasing and hiring income); and
capital work done by rental or lease. Receipts from
interest royalties, dividends and the sale of fixed
tangible assets are excluded.
INDUSTRY VALUE ADDED (IVA)The market value of
goods and services produced by the industry minus the
cost of goods and services used in production. IVA is
also described as the industrys contribution to GDP, or
profit plus wages and depreciation.
INTERNATIONAL TRADEThe level of international
trade is determined by ratios of exports to revenue and
imports to domestic demand. For exports/revenue: low is
less than 5%; medium is 5% to 20%; and high is more
than 20%. Imports/domestic demand: low is less than
5%; medium is 5% to 35%; and high is more than
35%.

EMPLOYMENTThe number of permanent, part-time,


temporary and casual employees, working proprietors,
partners, managers and executives within the industry.

LIFE CYCLE All industries go through periods of growth,


maturity and decline. IBISWorld determines an
industrys life cycle by considering its growth rate
(measured by IVA) compared with GDP; the growth rate
of the number of establishments; the amount of change
the industrys products are undergoing; the rate of
technological change; and the level of customer
acceptance of industry products and services.

ENTERPRISE A division that is separately managed


and keeps management accounts. Each enterprise
consists of one or more establishments that are under
common ownership or control.

NONEMPLOYING ESTABLISHMENTBusinesses with


no paid employment or payroll, also known as
nonemployers. These are mostly set up by self-employed
individuals.

ESTABLISHMENTThe smallest type of accounting unit


within an enterprise, an establishment is a single
physical location where business is conducted or where
services or industrial operations are performed. Multiple
establishments under common control make up an
enterprise.

PROFITIBISWorld uses earnings before interest and tax


(EBIT) as an indicator of a companys profitability. It is
calculated as revenue minus expenses, excluding
interest and tax.

DOMESTIC DEMANDSpending on industry goods and


services within Australia, regardless of their country of
origin. It is derived by adding imports to industry
revenue, and then subtracting exports.

EXPORTS Total value of industry goods and services


sold by Australian companies to customers abroad.
IMPORTSTotal value of industry goods and services
brought in from foreign countries to be sold in Australia.
INDUSTRY CONCENTRATION An indicator of the
dominance of the top four players in an industry.
Concentration is considered high if the top players
account for more than 70% of industry revenue.
Medium is 40% to 70% of industry revenue. Low is less
than 40%.

VOLATILITY The level of volatility is determined by


averaging the absolute change in revenue in each of the
past five years. Volatility levels: very high is more than
20%; high volatility is 10% to 20%; moderate
volatility is 3% to 10%; and low volatility is less than
3%.
WAGESThe gross total wages and salaries of all
employees in the industry. Benefits and on-costs are
included in this figure.

Provided to: RMIT Library (211848891) | 14 September 2016

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