16804 NBCWSJ September Poll (9-21 Release)

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
SEPTEMBER 2016
Study #16804-- page 1

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Interviews: 1000 Registered Voters, including 450 respondents with a cell phone only and
40 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline.
Date: September 16-19, 2016
Study #16804
47 Male
53 Female
Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.
The margin of error for 1000 interviews among Registered Voters is 3.10%
The margin of error for 922 interviews among Likely Voters is 3.23%
Likely Voters defined as voted in either 2012 or 2014 or 18-24 year olds with
self-reported interest in the election of 5 to 10 on a 1-10 scale.
Unless otherwise noted by a +, ^, or ^^ all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.
Q2a
For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are?
(IF REFUSED, ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) +
18-24 ................................................................
8
25-29 ................................................................
9
30-34 ................................................................
12
35-39 ................................................................
8
40-44 ................................................................
8
45-49 ................................................................
5
50-54 ................................................................
9
55-59 ................................................................
11
60-64 ................................................................
11
65-69 ................................................................
5
70-74 ................................................................
5
75 and over ..........................................................
7
Not sure/refused .................................................
2
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered
voters.
Q2b
To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic
or Spanish-speaking background? +
Yes, Hispanic ...................................................
10
No, not Hispanic ...............................................
90
Not sure/refused .............................................
voters.
Q2c
And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? +
White ..............................................................75
Black ..............................................................12
Asian .............................................................. 2
Other .............................................................. 4
Hispanic (VOL) ............................................. 5
Not sure/refused ........................................... 2
White, Non-Hispanic.......................................71
voters.

SEPTEMBER 2016
Q3

Are you currently registered to vote [LANDLINE: at this address; CELL: in (STATE)]? +
Registered ........................................
100
Not registered ................................ Not sure ..........................................+ Results shown reflect responses among
registered voters.
Q5
All in all, do you think that things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel that
1
things are off on the wrong track?
High
9/16+
Headed in the right direction ...... 30
Off on the wrong track ................ 62
Mixed (VOL) ............................. 5
Not sure ................................
3
8/16+
32
62
3
3
7/16+
18
73
6
3
6/16+
21
71
5
3
4/16+
24
70
4
2
1/16+
29
63
5
3
12/15
20
70
6
4
10/2529/15
27
64
5
4
10/1518/15
25
64
7
4
9/01
72
11
11
6
Low
10/1720/08+
12
78
7
3
10/812/14+
25
65
6
4
9/15
30
62
5
3
7/15
28
65
4
3
6/15
31
61
4
4
4/15
28
62
6
4
3/15
32
60
5
3
1/15
31
59
5
5
12/14
27
64
6
3
11/14
25
65
6
4
10/3011/1/1
4+
27
63
6
4
9/14+
23
67
6
4
8/14
22
71
5
2
6/14
25
63
7
5
4/14
27
63
6
4
3/14
26
65
5
4
1/14
28
63
5
4
12/13
29
64
5
2
10/2528/13
22
70
4
4
10/7-9/13
14
78
4
4
9/13
30
62
5
3
7/13
29
61
6
4
6/13
32
59
6
3
4/13
31
61
5
3
2/13
32
59
6
3
1/13
35
57
4
4
12/12
41
53
3
3
10/12+
41
53
4
2
9/2630/12+
40
53
5
2
9/1216/12+
39
55
4
2
8/12+
32
61
4
3
7/12+
32
60
5
3
6/12
31
61
5
3
5/12
33
58
5
4
4/12
33
59
6
2
3/12
33
58
5
4
1/12
30
61
5
4
12/11
22
69
6
3
11/11
19
73
5
3
10/11
17
74
5
4
8/11
19
73
5
3
7/11
25
67
5
3
6/11
29
62
6
3
5/11
36
50
10
4
4/11
28
63
6
3
1/11
35
56
5
4
12/10
28
63
6
3
11/10
32
58
6
4
10/2830/10+
31
60
5
4
10/1418/10+
32
59
6
3
9/10
32
59
5
4
8/2630/10
30
61
6
3
8/59/10
32
58
6
4
6/10
29
62
5
4
5/611/10
34
56
6
4
3/10
33
59
5
3
1/23 25/10
32
58
7
3
1/1014/10
34
54
10
2
12/09
33
55
10
2
10/09
36
52
9
3
9/09
39
48
10
3
7/09
39
49
9
3
6/09
42
46
9
3
4/09
43
43
10
4
2/09
41
44
9
6
1/09
26
59
9
6
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

1
The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

SEPTEMBER 2016
Q6

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
Approve .......................
Disapprove ..................
Not sure.....................
9/16+
52
45
3
8/16+
52
44
4
7/16+
51
46
3
6/16+
51
45
4
5/16+
51
46
3
4/16+
49
48
3
3/16+
49
46
5
High
4/09
61
30
9
Low
9/14+
40
54
6
2/16+
49
47
4
1/16+
47
49
4
12/15
43
51
6
10/2529/15
45
49
6
11/14
44
50
6
10/1518/15
46
49
5
9/15
47
47
6
7/15
45
50
5
6/15
48
48
4
4/15
48
47
5
3/15
46
50
4
1/15
46
48
6
12/14
45
50
5
10/3011/1/14+
42
52
6
10/812/14+
42
52
6
9/14+
40
54
6
8/14
40
54
6
6/14
41
53
6
4/14
44
50
6
3/14
41
54
5
1/14
43
51
6
12/13
43
54
3
10/2528/13
42
51
7
10/79/13
47
48
5
9/13
45
50
5
8/13
44
48
8
7/13
45
50
5
6/13
48
47
5
4/13
47
48
5
2/13
50
45
5
1/13
52
44
4
12/12
53
43
4
10/12+
49
48
3
9/2630/12+
49
48
3
9/1216/12+
50
48
2
8/12+
48
49
3
7/12+
49
48
3
6/12
47
48
5
5/12
48
46
6
4/12
49
46
5
3/12
50
45
5
1/12
48
46
6
12/11
46
48
6
11/11
44
51
5
10/11
44
51
5
8/11
44
51
5
7/11
47
48
5
6/11
49
46
5
5/11
52
41
7
4/11
49
45
6
2/11
48
46
6
1/11
53
41
6
12/10
45
48
7
11/10
47
47
6
10/2830/10+
45
50
5
10/1418/10+
47
49
4
9/10
46
49
5
8/2630/10
45
49
6
8/59/10
47
48
5
6/10
45
48
7
5/2023/10
48
45
7
5/611/10
50
44
6
3/10
48
47
5
1/2325/10
50
44
6
1/1014/10
48
43
9
12/09
47
46
7
10/09
51
42
7
9/09
51
41
8
8/09
51
40
9
7/09
53
40
7
6/09
56
34
10
4/09
61
30
9
2/09
60
26
14

SEPTEMBER 2016
Q7

Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, groups and organizations, and I'd like you to
rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very
negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (ALWAYS ASK BARACK OBAMA FIRST, THEN
RANDOMIZE CLINTON-TRUMP-PENCE-KAINE, RANDOMIZE REST)
Barack Obama
September 2016+ .........................
August 2016+ ................................
July 2016+.....................................
June 2016+ ...................................
May 2016+ ....................................
April 2016+ ....................................
March 2016+ .................................
February 2016+.............................
January 2016+ ..............................
December 2015.............................
October 25-29, 2015 .....................
October 15-18, 2015 .....................
September 2015............................
July 2015.......................................
June 2015 .....................................
March 2015 ...................................
January 2015 ................................
December 2014.............................
November 2014.............................
Oct. 30 Nov. 1, 2014+ ................
October 8-12, 2014+ .....................
August 2014 ..................................
June 2014 .....................................
March 2014 ...................................
January 2014 ................................
December 2013.............................
October 7-9, 2013 .........................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ....................
April 2013 ......................................
January 2013 ................................
December 2012.............................
October 2012+ ..............................
September 26-30, 2012+ ..............
August 2012+ ................................
June 2012 .....................................
January 2012 ................................
August 2011 ..................................
April 2011 ......................................
January 2011 ................................
November 2010.............................
October 28-30, 2010+ ...................
June 2010 .....................................
March 2010 ...................................
January 23-25, 2010 .....................
December 2009.............................
October 2009 ................................
February 2009 ...............................
January 2009 ................................
High
February 2009 ...............................
Presidential Term Low
August 2014 ..................................
All-time Obama Low
October 28-30, 2006+ ...................
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
15
14
17
18
17
18
19
18
20
21
17
17
18
20
20
20
21
21
21
20
22
18
21
20
19
20
21
19
17
21
16
15
15
17
19
22
20
22
23
21
18
20
19
23
21
20
21
23
9
10
9
11
10
13
10
11
11
9
12
12
14
13
13
12
13
10
11
12
11
13
13
15
13
11
11
13
10
11
9
8
6
8
14
10
12
14
15
12
12
13
11
14
13
11
12
17
11
12
14
11
10
14
12
11
12
14
12
13
11
14
14
14
12
13
11
13
12
14
14
14
14
13
11
12
15
11
14
12
11
13
11
14
14
13
14
13
15
15
14
14
15
12
9
8
28
28
27
30
31
27
31
30
30
32
31
31
29
29
27
29
29
31
32
32
34
33
31
30
30
33
30
28
27
26
24
31
31
30
27
25
30
23
18
26
27
25
24
20
22
21
10
6
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
47
21
12
10
22
18
13
14
33
14
17
18
40
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
36
36
33
30
32
28
28
30
27
23
27
27
28
24
25
24
24
24
24
23
21
22
20
21
23
22
26
28
30
31
37
34
37
31
29
28
24
28
29
28
29
27
31
29
29
36
47
43

1

SEPTEMBER 2016

Q7 (cont'd)
1
Hillary Clinton
September 2016+...........................
August 2016+ .................................
July 2016+ ......................................
June 2016+ ....................................
May 2016+ .....................................
April 2016+ .....................................
March 2016+ ..................................
February 2016+ ..............................
January 2016+ ...............................
December 2015 ..............................
October 25-29, 2015 ......................
October 15-18, 2015 ......................
September 2015 .............................
July 2015 ........................................
June 2015 ......................................
March 2015 ....................................
January 2015 .................................
November 2014 ..............................
September 2014+...........................
June 2014 ......................................
April 2014 .......................................
March 2014 ....................................
September 2013 .............................
May 30-June 2, 2013......................
April 2013 .......................................
January 2013 .................................
December 2012 ..............................
November 2011 ..............................
May 2011 .......................................
April 2011 .......................................
December 2010 ..............................
January 10-14, 2010 .....................
July 2009 ........................................
February 2009 ................................
January 2009 .................................
December 2008 ..............................
September 2008+...........................
August 2008+ .................................
June 2008+ ....................................
April 2008+ .....................................
March 24-25, 2008+ .......................
March 7-10, 2008+ .........................
January 2008 .................................
June 2007 ......................................
March 2007 ....................................
December 2006 ..............................
April 2006 .......................................
December 2004 ..............................
July 2003 ........................................
March 2001 ....................................
January 2001 .................................
High
February 2009 ................................
Low
April 2016+ .....................................
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
19
20
16
18
18
19
20
20
24
21
23
20
25
22
23
23
25
19
22
21
25
21
25
20
24
22
24
22
29
27
28
27
27
27
29
26
24
25
28
22
20
23
23
24
23
22
19
21
21
19
22
11
10
10
12
12
12
11
13
11
15
12
12
13
14
15
19
17
16
16
18
19
20
17
18
14
19
14
22
23
21
18
22
15
18
14
20
15
16
14
14
15
11
11
15
17
17
19
14
20
15
13
13
11
13
12
13
14
12
11
12
13
12
13
13
15
11
13
14
15
15
14
11
12
12
13
14
12
16
12
12
11
11
13
15
11
15
14
17
18
17
19
21
14
11
16
15
12
13
11
13
18
12
39
42
43
43
41
42
39
39
37
35
35
35
34
33
29
23
23
25
26
23
21
22
19
18
15
13
12
10
9
11
16
12
16
11
14
12
20
23
22
25
27
29
30
26
28
26
28
29
27
31
24
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
3
1
2
32
27
18
11
11
13
19
12
14
42
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
18
17
18
15
16
13
18
17
16
16
17
19
14
15
21
21
20
24
21
23
23
23
26
29
32
34
34
33
26
29
26
25
26
32
27
27
23
17
18
20
17
22
24
18
16
21
19
24
16
16
27

1

SEPTEMBER 2016
Q7 (cont'd)
Donald Trump
September 2016+...........................
August 2016+ .................................
July 2016+ ......................................
June 2016+ ....................................
May 2016+ .....................................
April 2016+ .....................................
March 2016+ ..................................
February 2016+ ..............................
January 2016+ ...............................
December 2015 ..............................
October 25-29, 2015 ......................
October 15-18, 2015 ......................
September 2015 .............................
July 2015 ........................................
February 2011 ................................
May 2004+ .....................................
December 1999 ..............................
October 1999 .................................
July 1990 ........................................
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
15
13
10
12
13
11
12
11
14
12
10
13
8
10
9
9
4
3
3
13
15
17
17
16
13
13
17
15
15
17
17
17
16
17
17
12
11
11

Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
11
11
13
11
12
10
11
12
12
13
17
17
16
16
40
38
28
25
28
12
11
11
12
14
12
10
10
11
12
14
14
14
13
18
14
24
23
25
49
50
49
48
44
53
54
49
47
47
42
39
44
43
11
15
25
32
24
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
5
7
7
6
9

SEPTEMBER 2016

Q7 (cont'd)
The Democratic Party

September 2016+ ...........................
August 2016+ .................................
July 2016+ ......................................
June 2016+ ....................................
May 2016+ .....................................
April 2016+ .....................................
February 2016+ ..............................
October 25-29, 2015 ......................
September 2015 .............................
July 2015 ........................................
April 2015 .......................................
January 2015..................................
December 2014 ..............................
November 2014 ..............................
Oct. 30 Nov. 1, 2014+ .................
October 8-12, 2014+ ......................
September 2014+ ...........................
June 2014.......................................
April 2014 .......................................
March 2014 ....................................
January 2014..................................
December 2013 ..............................
October 25-28, 2013 ......................
September 2013 .............................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ......................
February 2013 ................................
January 2013..................................
December 2012 ..............................
October 2012+................................
September 26-30, 2012+................
August 2012+ .................................
July 2012+ ......................................
June 2012.......................................
March 2012 ....................................
January 2012..................................
November 2011 ..............................
October 2011..................................
August 2011 ...................................
June 2011.......................................
May 2011........................................
April 2011 .......................................
January 2011..................................
December 2010 ..............................
November 2010 ..............................
October 28-30, 2010+ ....................
October 14-18, 2010+ ....................
September 2010 .............................
August 5-9, 2010 ............................
May 20-23, 2010 ............................
May 6-11, 2010 ..............................
March 2010 ....................................
January 10-14, 2010 ......................
December 2009 ..............................
High
January 2000..................................
Low
July 2006 ........................................
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't
Know
Name/
Not Sure
15
14
15
12
11
10
16
15
16
13
12
9
12
12
12
12
11
13
13
14
10
10
15
13
14
18
17
21
21
21
19
17
14
15
15
15
12
11
13
15
12
15
9
14
16
14
15
11
15
11
9
11
10
22
26
24
25
27
28
24
26
25
25
26
26
25
26
24
25
25
25
23
21
27
26
22
27
25
23
27
23
21
21
23
23
23
23
23
25
25
22
25
26
26
24
28
26
23
24
22
22
26
26
28
27
25
20
16
19
19
20
20
21
18
23
22
24
24
22
20
19
20
22
21
24
25
22
19
21
22
22
22
17
19
17
17
16
20
25
24
23
22
19
21
21
22
22
25
20
18
17
16
20
22
18
19
19
20
19
16
18
19
18
19
19
17
17
16
18
17
18
17
20
20
20
20
18
19
18
20
20
18
20
19
17
19
16
17
17
17
17
18
18
21
18
20
19
19
18
18
19
18
18
19
19
20
18
18
18
19
18
19
27
25
22
25
22
22
21
22
19
20
19
20
22
21
23
23
22
22
18
20
20
24
22
18
18
19
19
19
23
22
23
23
19
18
18
19
22
25
20
17
21
16
23
23
23
26
22
26
22
24
24
23
26
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
2
3
2
1
2
1
1
3
2
1
1
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
2
1
2
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
20
30
23
15
10
25
27
22
17

1

SEPTEMBER 2016

Q7 (cont'd)
1
The Republican Party

September 2016+ ...........................
August 2016+ .................................
July 2016+ ......................................
June 2016+ ....................................
May 2016+ .....................................
April 2016+ .....................................
February 2016+ ..............................
October 25-29, 2015 ......................
September 2015 .............................
July 2015 ........................................
April 2015 .......................................
January 2015..................................
December 2014 ..............................
November 2014 ..............................
Oct. 30 Nov. 1, 2014+ .................
October 8-12, 2014+ ......................
September 2014+ ...........................
June 2014.......................................
April 2014 .......................................
March 2014 ....................................
January 2014..................................
December 2013 ..............................
October 25-28, 2013 ......................
September 2013 .............................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ......................
February 2013 ................................
December 2012 ..............................
October 2012+................................
September 26-30, 2012+................
August 2012+ .................................
July 2012+ ......................................
May 2012........................................
March 2012 ....................................
January 2012..................................
November 2011 ..............................
October 2011..................................
August 2011 ...................................
May 2011........................................
April 2011 .......................................
January 2011..................................
December 2010 ..............................
November 2010 ..............................
October 28-30, 2010+ ....................
October 14-18, 2010+ ....................
September 2010 .............................
August 5-9, 2010 ............................
June 2010.......................................
March 2010 ....................................
January 23-25, 2010 ......................
January 10-14, 2010 ......................
December 2009 ..............................
June 2009.......................................
April 2009 .......................................
February 2009 ................................
High
December 2001 ..............................
Low
October 25-28, 2013 ......................
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
20
19
21
21
19
20
23
22
21
21
22
19
23
23
22
21
22
23
19
20
19
20
16
21
24
21
21
21
24
24
23
23
24
23
21
22
24
24
24
27
27
23
22
23
23
18
24
25
25
23
23
19
22
19
23
22
21
23
25
21
21
26
24
26
26
27
24
23
23
21
26
24
29
27
28
22
24
27
26
24
23
20
18
18
22
23
23
24
23
21
21
22
24
24
23
24
24
25
25
28
26
24
27
27
27
29
25
24
21
25
24
25
24
23
23
20
21
22
20
23
22
18
23
25
20
22
22
21
22
26
23
23
18
20
18
18
18
16
18
19
19
19
18
18
23
21
22
21
17
20
18
19
21
24
23
20
18
24
24
23
22
25
27
26
27
23
24
28
23
24
24
22
23
23
23
25
24
25
21
23
22
24
25
25
30
21
23
26
27
25
25
29
25
24
24
25
26
26
23
23
22
19
20
19
23
23
22
22
19
23
20
18
19
21
22
22
1
1
2
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
1
2
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
3
2
1
2
1
2
2
3
1
2
1
2
2
2
3
1
2
2
2
3
21
36
18
13
16
24
23
30
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
9
8
6
7
5
7
10
7
8
7
8
6
7
9
7
6
9
6
6
7
5
6
6
7
8
8
9
15
14
12
11
9
8
8
9
11
8
8
7
7
11
11
12
8
8
6
6
6
7
7
5
6
7
7

1

SEPTEMBER 2016

Q7 (cont'd)
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
29
10
45
11
29
11
38
22
21
16
18
22
23
27
29
27
31
39
34
32
29
25
23
20
16
20
24
25
27
27
20
17
18
32
23
23
21
23
25
22
29
27
28
23
21
23
25
26
27
26
25
24
22
23
23
21
23
22
19
21
24
17
17
21
23
20
19
18
22
20
17
16
18
21
21
16
21
16
17
15
14
13
16
16
16
13
15
11
16
17
18
17
14
15
15
12
14
14
16
13
11
13
14
12
19
17
18
11
14
14
12
14
13
15
12
22
21
24
18
18
21
11
9
10
12
8
10
11
10
17
17
20
25
25
27
25
21
21
27
36
31
21
1
1
1
1
1
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
-
33
31
15
17
17
13
14
38
Mike Pence
September 2016+*
August 2016+
16
10
10
13
21
28
10
12
15
13
28
24
Vladimir Putin
September 2016+*
May 2016+
October 15-18, 2015
August 2014
March 2014
1
2
2
2
2
5
6
5
2
3
18
22
16
14
16
21
21
18
16
22
45
38
48
52
41
10
11
11
14
16
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
Jill Stein
September 2016+
Gary Johnson
September 2016+
1
Bill Clinton
September 2016+*
August 2016+
July 2016+
April 2016+
February 2016+
January 2016+
March 2015
September 2014+
March 2014
September 2013
December 2012
August 2012+
August 2011
September 2010
January 2009
December 2008
August 2008+
June 2008+
March 24-25, 2008+
January 2008
November 2007
March 2007
April 2006
June 2004+
January 2002
June 2001
January 2001
High
January 1993
Low
March 2001
* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

1

SEPTEMBER 2016

Q7 (cont'd)
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
12
12
44
42
12
15
16
12
8
9
11
10
15
16
28
31
11
10
8
9
27
25
4
8
9
8
6
15
23
18
27
20
20
21
21
23
22
28
30
30
27
28
31
17
21
14
22
2
1
1
1
2
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
Melania Trump
September 2016+**
August 2016+
8
10
Tim Kaine
September 2016+**
August 2016+
The news media
September 2016+**
July 2006
September 1998
June 1997
January 1995
** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

And now, asking about two different countries, again rating your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat
positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. (ROTATE)
Q7 (cont'd)
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
28
25
35
36
18
16
8
8
1
5
32
38
21
20
2
3
1
1
1
4
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
Mexico
September 2016+...............................
November 1993 ................................
10
10
Canada
September 2016+................................
November 1993 ................................
43
34
SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES BY D/S (POSITIVE NEGATIVE)

TOTAL
TOTAL
POSITIVE
NEGATIVE
Canada ................................................................
75
3
Barack Obama ........................................................ 51
39
Mexico ................................................................
38
26
Bill Clinton ............................................................... 45
38
Tim Kaine................................................................ 26
19
Mike Pence ............................................................. 26
25
Gary Johnson ......................................................... 14
19
The Democratic Party ............................................. 37
43
Melania Trump ........................................................ 20
28
Jill Stein ................................................................
9
17
Hillary Clinton .......................................................... 37
52
The Republican Party ............................................. 29
48
Donald Trump ......................................................... 28
61
The news media...................................................... 19
59
Vladimir Putin ..........................................................
6
66
D/S
72
12
12
7
7
1
-5
-6
-8
-8
-15
-19
-33
-40
-60

SEPTEMBER 2016

Id like to ask you some questions about this years presidential election
Q8
Please tell me how interested you are in November's elections, using a scale from one to ten, on which a
"ten" means that you are very interested in November's elections and a "one" means that you are not at all
interested. You may choose any number from one to ten. (RECORD NUMBER 1-10. IF "NOT SURE,"
RECORD AS "DK.")
9/16+
10, very interested .......................
60
9 ..................................................
8
8 ..................................................
11
7 ..................................................
7
6 ..................................................
3
5 ..................................................
4
4 ..................................................
1
3 ..................................................
2
2 ..................................................
1
1, not at all interested ..................
3
Cannot rate................................
-
5/16+
60
9
11
6
3
6
1
2
2
-
2/16+
61
9
13
6
3
4
1
1
2
-
9/15+
56
8
13
9
3
5
1
1
1
2
1
4/15+
53
7
15
8
4
7
1
1
2
2
-
10/12+
69
8
9
4
2
5
1
2
-
9/2630/12+
65
8
10
5
3
5
1
1
2
-
9/1216/12+
64
8
12
6
2
4
1
1
1
1
-
8/12+
62
6
13
6
3
5
1
1
1
2
-
7/12+
62
6
11
7
4
5
1
1
3
-
6/12+
60
8
12
7
3
5
2
1
1
1
-
5/12+
62
7
12
6
4
5
1
1
1
1
-
4/12+
61
6
12
7
3
5
2
2
1
2
-
3/12+
48
11
14
9
5
6
2
1
1
2
1
1/12+
57
10
11
7
3
6
2
2
1
1
-
10/45/08+
72
7
10
4
1
3
1
2
-
9/1922/08+
70
8
9
5
2
3
1
1
1
-
9/68/08+
69
10
10
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
-
8/08+
65
8
11
5
2
3
1
1
1
3
-
7/08+
64
8
12
5
3
4
1
1
2
-
6/08+
67
7
11
5
2
4
1
1
2
-
4/08+
65
9
11
4
3
3
1
2
2
-
3/08+
67
8
10
5
2
3
1
1
2
1
1/08+
66
10
10
4
3
4
1
1
1
-
12/07+
65
8
12
5
2
4
1
1
2
-
10/04+
74
8
9
3
2
2
1
1
-
9/04+
71
7
9
5
2
4
1
1
-
8/04+
63
10
12
6
2
4
1
1
1
-
11/07+
62
9
11
6
3
5
1
1
2
-

SEPTEMBER 2016
Q9

If the next election for president were held today, with (ROTATE TOP TWO:) Donald Trump as the
Republican candidate, Hillary Clinton as the Democratic candidate, Gary Johnson the Libertarian candidate,
and Jill Stein the Green Party candidate for whom would you vote?
9/16
Donald Trump ........................................
Hillary Clinton ........................................
Gary Johnson ........................................
Jill Stein .................................................
Depends (VOL) ...................................
None (VOL) ........................................
Other/Write-in (VOL) ...........................
Would not vote for President (VOL) .....
Not sure ..............................................
RV+
37
42
9
3
1
3
2
1
2
LV++
37
43
9
3
1
2
2
1
2
8/16
RV+
34
43
10
5
1
7/16
RV+
35
41
11
6
1
6/16
RV+
38
39
10
6
-

++ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.
1
Jill Stein not asked in states where she does not appear on the ballot (GA, IN, NC, NV, OK & SD).
Q10
And, if the election for president were held today, with only (ROTATE) Donald Trump and Mike Pence as
the Republican candidates, and Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine as the Democratic candidates, for whom would
you vote?
Donald Trump and Mike Pence ......................................

Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine .........................................
Depends (VOL) ............................................................
Neither (VOL) ...............................................................
rd
Other/3 Party/Write-in (VOL) ......................................
Would not vote for President (VOL)..............................
Not sure........................................................................
RV+
41
48
3
1
4
3
9/16
LV++
41
48
3
1
4
3
8/16+
RV+
38
47
8
3
4

++ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.
Trial Heat Trend Data

10/257/16+ 6/16+ 5/16+ 4/16+ 3/16+ 2/16+ 1/16+ 12/15+ 29/15+ 9/15+
Donald Trump ................... 41
41
43
39
38
40
41
40
42
39
Hillary Clinton .................... 46
46
46
50
51
50
51
50
50
49
Depends (VOL) .............. Neither (VOL) ................. 8
9
9
9
9
9
6
8
6
10
Other (VOL) ................... 1
2
Not sure ......................... 4
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
2
2

SEPTEMBER 2016

(ASKED ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO MAKE A CHOICE IN Q10)

Q10a
Would you definitely vote for (Trump and Pence/Clinton and Kaine), probably vote for (Trump and
Pence/Clinton and Kaine) but are still thinking about it, or are you just leaning toward voting for (Trump and
Pence/Clinton and Kaine)?
RESULTS SHOWN AMONG VOTERS WHO CHOSE EACH CANDIDATE
Definitely vote for candidate ...........................

Probably vote for candidate ............................
Just leaning toward voting for candidate ........
Not sure ........................................................
Trump-Pence
Voters+
66
18
15
1
Clinton-Kaine
Voters+
68
14
17
1

RESULTS SHOWN OFF BASE OF ALL REGISTERED VOTERS
Definitely vote for candidate ...........................

Probably vote for candidate ............................
Just leaning toward voting for candidate ........
Not sure ........................................................
TOTAL VOTE (Q10) ....................................
Trump-Pence
Voters+
27
7
7
41
Clinton-Kaine
Voters+
33
7
8
48

SEPTEMBER 2016

(ASKED OF CLINTON VOTERS)

Q11a
Would you say your vote is more FOR Hillary Clinton or more AGAINST Donald Trump?
More for Hillary Clinton .....................

More against Donald Trump .............
Some of both (VOL)........................
Not sure ..........................................
Clinton-Kaine Voters
1
9/16+
5/16+
50
44
44
52
5
4
1
-

1
Vice Presidential candidates not listed in May 2016.
Reg Voters
More for Democrat ............................

More against Republican ..................
Some of both (VOL) ........................
Not sure ..........................................
Obama/
Romney
6/12+
72
22
4
2
Likely Voters
Obama/
McCain
Kerry/
Bush
11/12/08+
10/04+
81
37
11
47
7
14
1
2
+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.
(ASKED OF TRUMP VOTERS)

Q11b
Would you say your vote is more FOR Donald Trump or more AGAINST Hillary Clinton?
More for Donald Trump ....................

More against Hillary Clinton..............
Some of both (VOL)........................
Not sure ..........................................
Trump-Pence Voters
9/16+
5/16+
41
42
51
54
7
3
1
1

1
Vice Presidential candidates not listed in May 2016.
Reg Voters
More for Republican..........................

More against Democrat.....................
Some of both (VOL) ........................
Not sure ..........................................
Romney/
Obama
6/12+
35
58
5
2
Likely Voters
McCain/
Obama
Bush/
Kerry
11/12/08+
10/04+
61
76
29
14
9
10
1
-

SEPTEMBER 2016

Now, talking some more about the candidates running for president
(ASKED OF NON-CLINTON VOTERS ON 4-WAY BALLOT)
Q12a
Which best describes your feelings about Donald Trump? (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP)
Trump
Voters
on Q9
Ballot+
I believe that he would be a good president ...................................... 52
I am not sure whether or not he would be a good president,
46
but he is better than the alternatives. ...........................................
I do not believe that he would be a good president................................ 2
Not sure .......................................................................................
1
Other/
Undecided
on Q9
Ballot+
2
32
62
4
(ASKED OF NON-TRUMP VOTERS ON 4-WAY BALLOT)

Q12b
Which best describes your feelings about Hillary Clinton? (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP)
Clinton
Voters
on Q9
Ballot+
I believe that she would be a good president ..................................... 70
I am not sure whether or not she would be a good president,
28
but she is better than the alternatives. .........................................
I do not believe that she would be a good president ................................1
Not sure .......................................................................................
1
Other/
Undecided
on Q9
Ballot+
5
42
51
2

SEPTEMBER 2016

And, moving on
Q13
What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections -- (ROTATE:) a Congress
controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?
9/16+
Republican-controlled Congress ...........45
Democrat-controlled Congress .............48
Not sure ................................................ 7
10/98+
41
43
16
8/16+
43
47
10
6/16+
46
46
8
5/16+
44
48
8
4/16+
45
47
8
10/2529/15+
45
45
10
10/3011/1/14+
42
46
12
10/812/14+
42
46
12
9/14+
45
43
12
8/14+
44
43
13
6/14+
43
45
12
4/14+
45
45
10
3/14+
44
43
13
1/14+
43
45
12
12/13+
44
42
14
10/2528/13+
41
45
14
10/79/13+
39
47
14
9/13+
43
46
11
7/13+
44
44
12
6/13+
42
45
13
10/12+
43
45
12
9/2630/12+
43
47
10
8/12+
42
47
11
7/12+
45
46
9
6/12+
44
45
11
5/12+
43
44
13
4/12+
44
46
10
3/12+
41
46
13
1/12+
41
47
12
12/11+
43
45
12
11/11+
43
46
11
10/11+
41
45
14
8/11+
47
41
12
6/11+
44
44
12
10/2830/10+
46
44
10
10/1418/10+
44
46
10
9/10+
44
44
12
8/2630/10+
43
43
14
8/59/10+
42
43
15
6/10+
45
43
12
5/2023/10+
44
43
13
5/611/10+
44
44
12
3/10+
42
45
13
1/2325/10+
42
44
14
1/1014/10+
41
41
18
12/09+
41
43
16
10/09+
38
46
16
9/09+
40
43
17
7/09+
39
46
15
4/09+
39
48
13
11/08+
36
48
16
10/08+
36
49
15
9/08+
37
50
13
8/08+
36
47
17
7/08+
36
49
15
6/08+
33
52
15
4/08+
34
49
17
3/08+
35
49
16
11/07+
37
46
17
9/07+
35
47
18
10/06+
37
52
11
9/06+
39
48
13
7/06+
38
48
14
6/06+
38
49
13
4/06+
39
45
16
3/06+
37
50
13
1/06+
38
47
15
12/05+
38
46
16
11/05+
37
48
15
10/05+
39
48
13
7/05+
40
45
15
5/05+
40
47
13
10/04+
43
44
13
9/04+
42
46
12
6/04+
42
44
14
5/04+
41
44
15
3/04+
42
45
13
1/04
42
43
15
12/13/03
42
42
16
10/02+
43
42
15
9/02
42
42
16
7/02
43
41
16
6/02
42
41
17
1/02
44
40
16
12/01
42
40
18
12/99
40
44
16
10/99
39
41
20
7/99
39
43
18
6/99
42
41
17
4/99
41
40
19
3/99
37
43
20
9/98
40
39
21
7/98
41
40
19
6/98
39
40
21
2/98
41
37
22
1/98
40
42
18
12/97
41
37
22
9/97
41
39
20
7/97
45
39
16
4/97
44
38
18

SEPTEMBER 2016
Q14

Some people we have spoken with have already filled out their ballot for the Federal election for President,
Senate, Congress and statewide offices being held in November Have you already cast your ballot in the
election by voting by mail or in person at an early polling location? (DO NOT READ CHOICES:) (IF NOT
YET VOTED, THEN ASK:) And do you plan to vote early - either by mail or in person - or will you vote at the
polls on Election Day? +
Total Voting Early ............................................
Yes, voted by mail .............................................
Yes, voted early in person .................................
No, plan to vote early by mail.............................
No, plan to vote early in person .........................
No, will vote at the polls on Election Day ...........
Dont plan on voting (VOL) ..............................
Not sure ...........................................................
31
1
3
15
12
65
1
3
Q15
Do you have confidence that the results of the presidential election will be counted accurately or not? +
Yes ...........................................................................
No .............................................................................
Not sure/refused .....................................................
59
34
7
(Q16A-17A ROTATE WITH Q16B-17B)

Q16A Now, has what you have you seen, read, or heard in the past couple weeks about Donald Trump and his
campaign for president given you a more favorable impression of him or a less favorable impression of him?
If you have not seen, read, or heard anything please just say so.
More favorable ....................................................
Less favorable .....................................................
Has made no difference (VOL)............................
No, Have Not Seen/Heard/Read Anything ............
Not Sure ..............................................................
9/16+
30
48
12
9
1
6/16+
20
55
13
12
-
(ASKED OF FORM C QUARTER SAMPLE)

Q17A And, what specifically did you see, read, or hear that gave you a (MORE/LESS) favorable impression of
about Donald Trump and his campaign for president? +
SEE VERBATIM RESPONSE
Q16B
Now, has what you have you seen, read, or heard in the past couple weeks about Hillary Clinton and her
campaign for president given you a more favorable impression of her or a less favorable impression of her?
If you have not seen, read, or heard anything please just say so.
9/16+
More favorable .................................................... 25
Less favorable ..................................................... 49
Has made no difference (VOL) ............................ 16
No, Have Not Seen/Heard/Read Anything ............ 9
Not Sure .............................................................. 1
6/16+
27
38
14
21
-
(ASKED OF FORM E QUARTER SAMPLE)

Q17B And, what specifically did you see, read, or hear that gave you a (MORE/LESS) favorable impression of
about Hillary Clinton and her campaign for president? +
SEE VERBATIM RESPONSE

SEPTEMBER 2016

Moving on
Q18
In thinking about the next president that well be electing, which of the following two statements comes
closer to your point of view? (IF "BOTH," ASK:) I understand that you feel that they are both important, but if
you had to choose the ONE statement that comes closer to your point of view, which would you choose?
Statement A: Someone who will bring major changes to the way government operates even if it is not
possible to predict what the changes may be
Statement B: Someone who will bring a steady approach to the way government operates even if it means
fewer changes to how things are now
Statement A/bring major changes........................................
Statement B/bring a steady approach ..................................
Neither (VOL) .....................................................................
Not sure ..............................................................................
9/16+*
49
47
2
2
7/16+
56
41
1
2
5/16+
53
43
2
2
* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

Q19
Which of the following statements best describes your point of view about the situation in our
country(ROTATE)
Our country is losing ground. Our economy has not improved enough and too many middle-class people
are struggling to keep up. Bad trade deals and the persistent threat of terrorism threaten our way of life
Our country is making progress. Our economy is coming back, millions more have a job, and real wages
are improving. Working with our allies we are dismantling terrorist networks and preventing planned attacks
against us here. +**
Our country is losing ground ..............................................
Our country is making progress .........................................
Some of both/mixed (VOL) ..............................................
Neither (VOL) ..................................................................
Not sure ...........................................................................
48
45
5
2
-
** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

Q20
Has been held for later release.
Now, switching topics

Q21
Would you say that immigration helps the United States more than it hurts it, OR immigration hurts the
United States more than it helps it?
Helps more than it hurts ............
Hurts more than it helps ............
A little of both (VOL) ...............
Not sure ..................................
9/16+
54
35
4
7
7/16+
56
35
3
6
2/16+
53
38
4
5
12/15
49
43
4
4
7/15
47
43
3
7
12/14
48
42
5
5
6/14
47
42
5
6
6/12
47
39
8
6
5/2023/10
43
45
NA
12
5/611/10
37
53
NA
10
12/07
39
52
NA
9
6/07
46
44
NA
10
7/06
45
42
NA
10
6/06
44
45
NA
11
4/06
45
45
NA
10
12/05
37
53
NA
10

SEPTEMBER 2016

And thinking again about two of the candidates running for president
Q22
Now I'd like you to compare Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump on a few issues. For each one, please tell me
whether you think that Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump would be better on that issue. If you think that both
would be equally good or that neither would be good on a particular item, just say so. Who do you think
would be better when it comes to (READ ITEM. RANDOMIZE) -- Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump, or do you
think that both would be equally good or neither would be good?
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY DONALD TRUMP BETTER
Donald
Hillary
Both Would
Neither
Trump
Clinton
Be Equally
Would Be
Depends
Better
Better
Good
Good
(VOL)
Dealing with the economy
September 2016+ ...............................................
August 2016+ .....................................................
June 2016+ .........................................................
May 2016+ ..........................................................
Not
Sure
46
46
47
47
41
42
37
36
3
3
3
6
9
8
12
10
1
1
1
1
September 2016+ ...............................................

August 2016+ .....................................................
June 2016+ .........................................................
43
43
44
44
44
39
2
2
3
10
10
13
1
1
1
Dealing with immigration

September 2016+ ...............................................
August 2016+ .....................................................
May 2016+ ...........................................................
39
39
42
50
49
45
1
1
2
9
10
11
1
1
-
Changing the country for the better

September 2016+ ...............................................
August 2016+ .....................................................
38
36
44
42
1
2
17
17
Being a good commander-in-chief

September 2016+ ...............................................
August 2016+ .....................................................
June 2016+ ..............................................................
May 2016+ ..............................................................
33
35
32
33
48
46
44
43
1
3
3
4
16
15
21
19
2
1
1
Being in charge of our nuclear weapons

September 2016+ ...............................................
25
51
21
Terrorism and homeland security

SEPTEMBER 2016

Q22 contd
Now, lets compare Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton on a few personal characteristics. Who do you think
would be better when it comes to (READ ITEM. RANDOMIZE) -- Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump, or do you
think that both would be equally good or neither would be good? (RANDOMIZE)
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY DONALD TRUMP BETTER
Donald
Hillary
Both Would
Neither
Trump
Clinton
Be Equally
Would Be
Depends
Better
Better
Good
Good
(VOL)
Being honest and straightforward
September 2016+ .................................................... 41
June 2016+ .............................................................. 41
Not
Sure
31
25
2
1
25
32
1
1
56
17
60
12
Having the right temperament to be

president
September 2016+ .................................................... 23
Being knowledgeable and experienced
enough to handle the presidency
September 2016+ .................................................... 23

SEPTEMBER 2016
Q23

Now I'm going to read you some things that you might learn about some of the candidates running for
president. For each one, please tell me whether (A) you are enthusiastic about the candidate having this
attribute, (B) you are comfortable with it, (C) you have some reservations about it, (D) you are very
uncomfortable with it, or (E) it makes no difference to you.
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ENTHUSIASTIC ABOUT OR COMFORTABLE WITH THIS ATTRIBUTE
(B)
Comfortable
With This
Attribute
(C)
Have Some
Reservations
About This
Attribute
(D)
Very
Uncomfortable
With This
Attribute
(E)
Makes No
Difference
Not
Sure
September 2016+ .....................................................

26
May 2016+ ...................................................
22
June 2014 .....................................................
24
November 2007 ............................................
26
March 2007 ...................................................
27
17
19
19
20
21
6
4
7
8
8
10
16
11
18
15
41
38
38
27
29
1
1
1
-
Hillary Clinton would be the second

oldest president elected to a first term
September 2016+ .....................................................
3
18
11
58
12
15
16
19
42
42
21
19
1
-
14
11
10
62
(A)
Enthusiastic
About This
Attribute
Hillary Clinton would be the
first woman president
Donald Trump would be the first

president without experience in
government or serving in the military
September 2016+ .....................................................
8
May 2016+ .................................................
5
Donald Trump would be the oldest
president elected to a first term
September 2016+ .....................................................
3

SEPTEMBER 2016
Q24

Now let me read you some concerns you may hear about each of the candidates. For each one, please tell
me whether this issue gives you major concerns, moderate concerns, minor concerns, or no real concerns
about that candidate. (RANDOMIZE) +
THIS TABLE RANKED BY PERCENTAGE WHO SAY MAJOR OR MODERATE CONCERNS
Major
Moderate
Minor
No Real
Concerns Concerns Concerns Concerns
Not
Sure
Donald Trumps comments and his language about

women, immigrants, and Muslims........................................
54
15
12
18
Donald Trump not having the right temperament to serve

as Commander-in-Chief .......................................................
52
14
15
19
Hillary Clintons use of a private e-mail server during her

time as Secretary of State....................................................
51
13
14
21
Hillary Clintons judgment and decisions in dealing with

Syria, Iraq, and Libya ...........................................................
43
19
17
19
Donald Trumps praise for Russian President Vladimir

Putin.....................................................................................
38
21
16
23
Donald Trump not releasing his personal tax records ..........
38
14
16
32
Hillary Clintons comment about Trump supporters and

their views about women, gays, Muslims, and minorities.....
29
16
16
36
Hillary Clintons recent health issues ...................................
25
19
19
36
(Q25-Q26 ROTATED)
Q25
(And/Next,) which ONE of these statements, if any, is of MOST concern to you about Donald Trump?
(RANDOMIZE :1-4) +
THIS TABLE RANKED BY PERCENTAGE OF MOST CONCERN
Him not having the right temperament to serve as Commander-in-Chief ...................
His language and comments about women, immigrants, and Muslims ........................
His praise for Russian President, Vladimir Putin ........................................................
His not releasing his personal tax records ....................................................................
All equal (VOL) ...........................................................................................................
None are a concern (VOL)..........................................................................................
Not sure ......................................................................................................................
33
27
13
6
9
12
-
Q26
(And/Next,) Which ONE of these statements, if any, is of MOST concern to you about Hillary Clinton?
(RANDOMIZE :1-4) +
THIS TABLE RANKED BY PERCENTAGE OF MOST CONCERN
Her judgment and decisions in dealing with Syria, Iraq, and Libya .............................
Her use of a private e-mail server during her time as Secretary of State ...................
Her comment describing Trumps supporters ...............................................................
Her recent health issues ...............................................................................................
All equal (VOL) ...........................................................................................................
None are a concern (VOL)..........................................................................................
Not sure ......................................................................................................................
36
29
9
8
6
10
2

SEPTEMBER 2016

Getting toward the end of the survey and thinking about you
Q27
Which ONE of the following is your main source of political news and information? (READ LIST RANDOMIZE; ASK 7 LAST) (IF FIRST CHOICE IS :1-6, THEN ASK) And, which is your next major source
of political news and information?
9/16+
Television ......................................................................................62
Internet ..........................................................................................47
Newspaper ....................................................................................23
Radio..............................................................................................21
Social media like Facebook and Twitter ................................ 19
Talking with others ................................................................
13
Do you not really follow politics ..................................................6
Other source (SPECIFY) .........................................................1
Not Sure........................................................................
2
7/12+
63
44
32
23
7
15
6
1
2
Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only.
QF1b/c A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November
2012 election for president? (IF YES, ASK:) For whom did you voteBarack Obama, Mitt Romney, or
someone else? +
Voted for Barack Obama ...............................
Voted for Mitt Romney ...................................
Voted for someone else .................................
Not sure .........................................................
No, Did Not Vote ............................................
Not sure .......................................................
47
33
5
1
14
-
QF1d
And did you happen to vote in the 2014 election for U.S. Congress? +
Yes, voted ...............................................................
No, did not vote .......................................................
Not sure ..................................................................
64
32
4
QF2
Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do?
(RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-athome mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? +
Currently Employed
Professional, manager ............................
White-collar worker .................................
Blue-collar worker ...................................
Farmer, rancher ......................................
Not Currently Employed
Student ....................................................
Stay at home mom/dad ...........................
Retired ....................................................
Unemployed, looking for work .................
Other .......................................................
Not sure ................................................
27
18
18
1
4
4
24
3
1

voters.

SEPTEMBER 2016
QF3

What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) +
Grade school ...........................................................
Some high school ....................................................
High school graduate ..............................................
Some college, no degree.........................................
Vocational training/School ......................................
2-year college degree ..............................................
4-year college/bachelor's degree.............................
Some postgraduate work, no degree ......................
2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree.........
Doctoral/law degree ................................................
Not sure/refused ....................................................
1
3
24
17
3
12
22
2
12
4
-
QF4
Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something

else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican)
or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG
DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the
Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF
"NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") +
Strong Democrat ...............................
Not very strong Democrat .................
Independent/lean Democrat ..............
Strictly Independent...........................
Independent/lean Republican ............
Not very strong Republican ...............
Strong Republican .............................
Other (VOL).....................................
Not sure...........................................
22
10
13
13
12
10
15
5
-
+ Results shown reflect responses among

registered voters.
QF5
Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or
conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very
(liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? +
Very liberal .........................................................
Somewhat liberal ...............................................
Moderate ............................................................
Somewhat conservative .....................................
Very conservative ..............................................
Not sure ...........................................................
11
16
37
19
15
2

SEPTEMBER 2016

QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR
"NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? +
Labor union member ........................................
Union household ..............................................
Non-union household .......................................
Not sure ..........................................................
15
7
76
2
QF7a
What is your religion?

Protestant (includes Baptist, Lutheran, Methodist, Episcopal,
Presbyterian, and other Christians) ..........................................
Catholic ......................................................................................
Jewish ........................................................................................
Muslim .......................................................................................
Mormon/LDS/Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints ........
Other ..........................................................................................
None ..........................................................................................
Not sure/refused ......................................................................
40
22
3
2
14
17
2
(ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY PROTESTANT, OTHER, OR NOT SURE IN QF7a.)
QF7b
Would you describe yourself as either a fundamentalist or an evangelical Christian, or would you not
describe yourself that way?
Fundamentalist/evangelical ................................................. 16
Neither fundamentalist nor evangelical ............................... 37
Not sure ............................................................................ 3
Catholic/Jewish/Muslim/Mormon/None (QF7a) .................... 44
QF8
Are you married, widowed, separated, divorced, single and never been married, or are you unmarried and
living with a partner? +
Married .............................................................
Widowed ...........................................................
Separated ........................................................
Divorced ...........................................................
Single/never been married ................................
Unmarried and living with a partner ..................
Refused ..........................................................
55
6
1
10
21
6
1
QF9
If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year,
would the total be less than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousand
dollars, between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars and
forty thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousand
dollars and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousand
dollars, or would the total be more than that? +
Less than $10,000 ...............................................
Between $10,000 and $20,000 ...........................
Between $20,000 and $30,000 ...........................
Between $30,000 and $40,000 ...........................
Between $40,000 and $50,000 ...........................
Between $50,000 and $75,000 ...........................
Between $75,000 and $100,000 .........................
More than $100,000 ............................................
Not sure/refused .................................................
4
6
8
9
9
18
13
26
7

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16804 NBCWSJ September Poll (9-21 Release)

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HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16804-- page 1

Date: September 16-19, 2016

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16804-- page 2

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16804-- page 3

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16804-- page 4

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16804-- page 5

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Study #16804-- page 6

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16804-- page 7

The Democratic Party

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16804-- page 8

The Republican Party

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16804-- page 9

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16804-- page 10

** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES BY D/S (POSITIVE NEGATIVE)

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16804-- page 11

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16804-- page 12

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Donald Trump and Mike Pence ......................................

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Trial Heat Trend Data

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16804-- page 13

(ASKED ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO MAKE A CHOICE IN Q10)

Definitely vote for candidate ...........................

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Definitely vote for candidate ...........................

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16804-- page 14

(ASKED OF CLINTON VOTERS)

More for Hillary Clinton .....................

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

More for Democrat ............................

+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

(ASKED OF TRUMP VOTERS)

More for Donald Trump ....................

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

More for Republican..........................

+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16804-- page 15