a) Lineal

a)

Ajuste exponencial

c) Ajuste logartmico

d) Ajuste potencial

Clculo de poblacin futura

N
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11

Ao (Ti)
Poblacin (Pi)
2000
397,191
2001
420,254
2002
444,657
2003
470,477
2004
497,796
2005
526,701
2006
545,614
2007
565,206
2008
585,502
2009
606,527
2010
628,306

(ti)

(pi)

22,055.00

5,688,231.00

RICARDO DE JESS GAMBOA TREJO 7 "A"

ti2
4,000,000.00
4,004,001.00
4,008,004.00
4,012,009.00
4,016,016.00
4,020,025.00
4,024,036.00
4,028,049.00
4,032,064.00
4,036,081.00
4,040,100.00

ti2
44,220,385.00

pi2
157,760,690,481.00
176,613,424,516.00
197,719,847,649.00
221,348,607,529.00
247,800,857,616.00
277,413,943,401.00
297,694,636,996.00
319,457,822,436.00
342,812,592,004.00
367,875,001,729.00
394,768,429,636.00

pi2
3,001,265,853,993.00

ti*pi
794,382,000.00
840,928,254.00
890,203,314.00
942,365,431.00
997,583,184.00
1,056,035,505.00
1,094,501,684.00
1,134,368,442.00
1,175,688,016.00
1,218,512,743.00
1,262,895,060.00

ti*pi

ln pi
12.89
12.95
13.01
13.06
13.12
13.17
13.21
13.24
13.28
13.32
13.35

ln pi

11,407,463,633.00

144.60

Potencial
673,618
705,128
738,096
772,587
808,671
846,422
885,915
927,230
970,450
1,015,661
1,062,955
1,112,425
1,164,172
1,218,299
1,274,913
1,334,129
1,396,064
1,460,841

Promedio
665,206
692,609
720,744
749,646
779,349
809,892
841,314
873,654
906,957
941,266
976,628
1,013,091
1,050,708
1,089,532
1,129,618
1,171,024
1,213,813
1,258,048

Ecuaciones de ajuste
Tipo
Lineal
Exponencial
Logartmico
Potencial

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14

Ao (Ti)
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028

23,277.0727
0.04586
46,672,069.77
91.9585

- 46,153,418.909
5.9570393504E-035
- 354,349,214.51
1.1264312315E-298

Lineal
656,774
680,051
703,328
726,606
749,883
773,160
796,437
819,714
842,991
866,268
889,545
912,822
936,099
959,376
982,653
1,005,930
1,029,208
1,052,485

Exponencial
673,804
705,425
738,530
773,188
809,473
847,461
887,231
928,868
972,459
1,018,095
1,065,873
1,115,893
1,168,261
1,223,086
1,280,485
1,340,576
1,403,488
1,469,352

r
0.99821429
1.01162405
0.99824892
1.01170318
Logartmico
656,628
679,831
703,022
726,202
749,370
772,526
795,671
818,805
841,927
865,038
888,137
911,225
934,301
957,366
980,420
1,003,462
1,026,493
1,049,513

ln ti
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.61
7.61

ln ti
83.64

(ln ti)2
57.77
57.78
57.79
57.80
57.80
57.81
57.82
57.83
57.83
57.84
57.85

(ln ti)2
635.93

(ln pi)2
166.21
167.67
169.13
170.60
172.08
173.56
174.50
175.43
176.36
177.30
178.24

(ln pi)2
1,901.08

15

2029

1,075,762

1,538,308

1,072,521

1,528,590

1,303,795

(ln ti)(ln pi)

97.99
98.43
98.86
99.30
99.73
100.17
100.44
100.72
100.99
101.27
101.54

(Lnti ) (Ln pi)

1,099.46

tiLnpi
25,784.35
25,910.18
26,036.13
26,162.19
26,288.36
26,414.65
26,498.59
26,582.61
26,666.69
26,750.85
26,835.07

ti (Lnpi )

piLnti
3,019,010.05
3,194,519.74
3,380,238.92
3,576,754.97
3,784,693.44
4,004,718.04
4,148,793.19
4,298,050.44
4,452,680.93
4,612,875.81
4,778,826.32

pi (Lnti )

289,929.66 43,251,161.85

Proyecciones de Poblacin para la Cd. de Cancn, Quintana Roo

Poblacin (Pi)

Lineal

Exponencial

Logartmico

Potencial

Promedio