forecast

mulai dari nol / tidak ada angka dari masa lalu

return
p (probility)
R*P
risk
forecast=skenario
excellent
20%
12.50%
2.50%
good
17%
12.50%
2.13%
normal
15%
50%
7.50%
bad
5%
12.50%
0.63%
bloody bad
-3%
12.50%
-0.38%
ER
expected return
resiko (pangkat 1/2)

product

ER
risk

7%
15%
30%
-5%
9%
13%
25%
-12%
-20%
0%
1%
25%
7.33%
15.37%

benefit

5.753%

12.38%

0.073%
0.027%
0.034%
0.068%
0.295%
0.497%

7.052%

portofolio
4%
17%
0%
-3%
10%
8%
15%
25%
35%
-10%
8%
11%
10.00%
12.20%

5.20%
16.20%
12.00%
-3.80%
9.60%
10.00%
19.00%
10.20%
13.00%
-6.00%
5.20%
16.60%
8.93%
7.72%

2.93%
6.00%
8.933%

-0.353827
0.0059552
0.0772

0.061481
0.073217
13.470%

50
47.61905
43.19188
37.31077
30
25.87826
21.67264
17.62184
13.91084
10.6615
7.933159
5.731083
4.019666
2.737197
1.80961
1.16152
0.723821
0.437923
0.257234
0.146697
0.081222
322.9059

105.00%
110.25%
115.76%
121.55%
115.93%
119.41%
122.99%
126.68%
130.48%
134.39%
138.42%
142.58%
146.85%
151.26%
155.80%
160.47%
165.28%
170.24%
175.35%
180.61%