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Problem Set 12
Sherif Khalifa
Question 1
Consider the two options on the following table, both of which have random outcomes
Option 1
Option 2
Probability
Outcome
Probability
Outcome
1/15
100
1/6
50
3/15
250
2/6
200
4/15
500
1/6
1000
2/15
750
1/6
75
5/15
800
1/6
10
Determine the expected value of each option. Determine the variance and standard deviation
of each option. Which option is more risky?
Question 2
You are the manager of a firm that sells a commodity in a market that resembles perfect
competition, and your cost function is given by
C (Q) = 4Q2
Due to production lags, you must make your output decision prior to knowing for certain the
price that will prevail in the market. You believe that there is 40% chance the market price
will be $100 and a 60% chance it will be $200. Calculate the expected market price? What
output should you produce in order to maximize expected profits? What are your expected
profits?
Question 3
The consumer is using an optimal search strategy. Consider the following graph which
shows the consumers expected benefits and costs of searching for a lower price.
Expected Benefits
and Costs
EB
14
10
Price
According to the graph, what is the consumers reservation price if the search cost is $9? If
your price is $4 and the consumer visits your store, will the consumer purchase the item or
continue to search? Suppose the consumers cost of search rises to $14, what is the highest
price you can charge and still sell the item to the consumer if he visits your store?
Question 4
You are one of ten bidders participating in an independent private values auction. Each
bidder perceives that all the other bidders valuations for the items are evenly distributed
between $25,000 and $100,000.
optimal bidding strategy if you value the item at $75,000: First price sealed bid auction, and
Second price sealed bid auction?