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The Clues That Tell You Whether A Company Is Worth Investing in
The Clues That Tell You Whether A Company Is Worth Investing in
I'm new to investing and keen to learn more before making any rookie mistakes.
I have noticed in your stories you mention that investors buying individual shares or
retail bonds would be wise to learn the basics of reading a balance sheet to get an
idea of the financial strength of a business.
Can you explain how to 'read' the figures on a balance sheet - what am I looking out
for, and what criteria do you use to judge the health of a company?
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Business model: Tom Stevenson chose builders merchant Travis Perkins as his test case
He has also flagged up three key ratios you can work out to help assess the health of
a company in which you're considering making an investment.
Stevenson chose builders merchant Travis Perkins as his test case. You can follow
his analysis by checking out the most recent Travis Perkins annual report, and use
it as a model when running the rule over other companies.
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Balance sheet exercise: Follow Tom Stevenson's analysis using the most recent Travis Perkins annual
report
The assets side of the balance sheet includes: cash, inventories (sometimes called
stocks) and property. It also includes some things that you cant touch like any
difference between the value of assets purchased and the price paid for them this is
called 'goodwill'.
The liabilities on the balance sheet include bank loans, any money owed to the
companys creditors - often other companies that have supplied goods and services
but not yet been paid - and other money set aside to pay for things in the future like
pensions or tax bills.
When you subtract the liabilities from the assets, anything thats left over belongs to
the owners of the company, its shareholders.
These shareholders funds can also be expressed as the amount that shareholders
initially put into the company plus any profits retained at the end of each year of
trading.
What are assets?
Balance sheets usually distinguish between short term assets, usually less than a year
old and called 'current' by accountants, and longer-term assets, called 'non-current'.
These are clearly separated in Travis Perkinss balance sheet.
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What are assets? Balance sheets usually distinguish between short term assets, usually less than a year
old and called 'current', and longer-term assets, called 'non-current' (See p134 of the Travis Perkins
annual report)
Current assets: These include cash and things that can easily and relatively quickly
be converted into cash. In the case of a company like Travis Perkins these are largely
materials held in the companys yards for sale (inventories) and the value of goods
that have already left the premises but not yet been paid for (trade and other
receivables).
Travis Perkins manages its exposure to, for example, changes in interest rates using
financial instruments called derivatives - dont worry about these because they are
very small in the context of the companys balance sheet.
Non-current assets: On Travis Perkinss balance sheet, these are dominated by
goodwill. This is a reflection of the fact that the company has grown over the years
by acquiring other builders merchants such as Wickes, Toolstation and BSS.
When these were bought, the value of the businesses to Travis Perkins was much
more than the stock and buildings from which they operated. The difference appears
in the balance sheet as goodwill.
What are liabilities?
The liabilities on Travis Perkinss balance sheet are also divided between short-term
or current obligations and longer-term ones.
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What are liabilities? The biggest item within the current liabilities of Travis Perkinss balance sheet is
trade and other payables - goods and services received but not yet paid for (See p134 of the annual
report)
Current liabilities: The biggest item within the current liabilities of Travis Perkinss
balance sheet is trade and other payables. These are similar to the trade and other
receivables on the asset side of the ledger.
They refer to goods and services that the company has received from suppliers but
not yet paid for. This section also includes short term loans outstanding and some
provisions for tax bills and other items.
Non-current liabilities: The longer-term obligations for Travis Perkins are mainly
loans that do not need to be repaid within the next 12 months, together with the
present value of money that the company expects to pay out in pensions and tax bills
that it anticipates having to pay more than a year out.
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Shareholders' funds: Everything left over after all the liabilities have been subtracted from Travis
Perkinss assets belongs to its shareholders
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Check out rivals: There is no 'correct' level of gearing and the appropriate level will vary between
industries - it is best to compare the debt-equity ratio with comparable companies in the same sector
Imagine you put down a deposit of 20,000 and borrow 180,000 to buy a house for
200,000. Now consider what happens when the value of the house rises by 10 per
cent to 220,000.
The amount of debt outstanding is still 180,000 which means that the amount of
equity you own is now 40,000. The house price has risen by 10 per cent but the
slice which you own has doubled in value.
Unfortunately, the same process works in reverse. If the value of the house fell by 10
per cent the value of your equity would be wiped out completely. Gearing or
leverage magnifies returns in both directions.
When deciding the debt-to-equity ratio that is appropriate for any given company
you need to ask a few questions:
Is the company particularly vulnerable to a downturn in the economic cycle?
Are its revenues predictable?
Is it protected by a strong brand or other barriers to entry?
How quickly might the debt have to be repaid?
Is the company generating lots of cash (to pay the interest on its debt)?
Is the interest rate on that debt fixed or variable (just like with a mortgage)?
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Doing the sums: A company needs to generate an acceptable return on its assets
Return on equity
Another key measure for investors is how hard a company is working the assets at its
disposal. Wherever it has sourced its assets, from borrowings or from shareholders
funds, it needs to generate an acceptable return on those assets.
At the very least it needs to earn more from the capital it has invested than its cost in
the form of interest payments on debts and dividends on equity.
Many investors consider return on equity to be the key determinant of whether or not
a company is worth investing in.
To calculate the return on equity you need to look at both the balance sheet (for the
equity) and the income statement (for the return).
Number crunching: To calculate the return on equity you need to look at both the balance sheet for the
equity and the income statement for the return (the income statement is on p132 of the Travis Perkins
annual report)
The return on equity for Travis Perkins in 2014 was, therefore, 258.5/2,677.7 x 100 =
9.7 per cent.
Again there is no 'right' return on equity, so the best thing to do is to compare the
return against:
Risk-free returns - why would you take the risk of investing in a business if it was
returning no more than a deposit account, for example?