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Use of Pert Do Plan Vineyard PDF
Use of Pert Do Plan Vineyard PDF
CPM
PERT
Agriculture
INTRODUCTION
Corresponding Author: S.M. Fahimifard, Department of Agricultural Economics Engineering, University of Zabol, Zabol, Iran
313
PROGRAM EVALUATION
REVIEW TECHNIQUE (PERT)
314
E{t i }=
a+4m+b
6
E{T} =
i G
and
Var{t i }=
(b-a) 2
36
Where:
ai = is the optimistic time and is an estimate of the
shortest possible time in which activity i can be
accomplished.
mi = is the most probable time and is an estimate of
the time which would occur most often if activity
i were repeated a large number of times.
bi = is the pessimistic time and is an estimate of the
longest time which activity i could take if
"everything went wrong".
Table 1: Activity Analysis for Project Scheduling of 300 hectares grape garden stabilization
Activity name
On critical path
Activity time
Earliest start
Earliest finish
1
Yes
36
0
36
2
Yes
10
36
46
3
Yes
7
46
53
4
Yes
33
53
86
5
Yes
147
86
233
6
Yes
10
233
243
7
Yes
147
243
390
8
No
21
243
264
9
No
10
53
63
10
No
14
264
278
11
No
5
278
283
12
No
2
63
65
13
No
148
65
213
14
No
2
65
67
15
No
198
67
265
16
No
4
67
71
17
No
148
71
219
18
No
148
71
219
19
No
2
71
73
20
No
298
73
371
21
No
2
73
75
22
No
98
75
173
23
No
4
75
79
24
No
298
79
377
25
No
298
79
377
26
No
2
79
81
27
No
73
81
154
28
No
60
264
324
29
No
38
324
362
Project Completion Time = 390 days
Number of Critical Path(s) = 32
315
Latest start
0
36
46
53
86
233
243
271
66
333
347
76
242
78
192
80
242
242
84
92
86
292
88
92
92
290
317
292
352
Latest finish
36
46
53
86
233
243
390
292
76
347
352
78
390
80
390
84
390
390
86
390
88
390
92
390
390
292
390
352
390
Slack(LS-ES)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
28
13
69
69
13
177
13
125
13
171
171
13
19
13
217
13
13
13
211
236
28
28
Fig. 1: The Gantt Chart for Project Scheduling of 300 hectares grape garden stabilization
The Table 1 shows that, there are 32 Critical Paths
and the activities 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 and 7 are Critical. In this
means that, delays in their commencement will delay the
overall project completion time. In addition, the Table 1
shows that the minimum project completion time is
390 days.
Critical path
Yes
Normal time
36
Crash time
19
Suggested time
32
Additional cost
1,082,353
Normal cost
0
Suggested cost
1,082,353
Yes
10
400,000
400,000
Yes
Yes
33
17
33
Yes
147
74
147
Yes
10
10
Yes
147
73
130
204,000
204,000
No
21
10
21
Yes
10
10
10
No
14
14
11
No
12
Yes
39,000
39,000
148
74
148
198
99
198
13
No
14
Yes
15
No
16
Yes
439,000
439,000
17
No
148
74
148
18
No
148
74
148
19
Yes
20
No
298
149
298
21
Yes
200,000
200,000
22
No
98
49
98
23
Yes
24
Yes
298
149
298
25
Yes
298
149
298
26
No
27
No
73
36
73
28
No
60
60
60
29
No
38
19
38
365
2,364,353
2,364,353
Oeverall Project:
365 and 380 days. For example, the cost of reducing the
project completion time to 370 days is 10505000 Rials.
Fig. 2:
Latest
Start
0
36.5
46.6667
68.3333
99.6667
237.1667
253
246.6667
53
307.6667
322.3333
62.8333
226.3333
65
183.0000
67.1667
222.1667
230.5
71.5
338
73.6667
269.5
75.8333
81.3333
78
265.3333
296.5
267.5
327.5
Latest
Finish
36.5
46.6667
53
99.6667
237.1667
246.6667
364.6667
267.5
62.8333
322.3333
327.5
65
364.6667
67.1667
364.6667
71.5
364.6667
364.6667
73.6667
364.6667
75.8333
364.6667
78
364.6667
364.6667
267.5
364.6667
327.5
364.6667
Slack
(LS-ES)
0
0
0
15.3333
15.3333
15.3333
21.6667
15.3333
0
55.5000
55.5
0
161.3333
0
115.8333
0
150.6667
159.0000
0
264.3333
0
193.6667
0
3.3333
0
187.3333
216.3333
15.3333
15.3333
Standard
Devietion
1.8333
1.1667
0.6667
1.6667
5.8333
0.8333
5
1.5
0.8333
1
0.5
0.1667
5
0.1667
8.3333
0.3333
5.8333
5.8333
0.1667
1.3333
0.1667
2.5
0.1667
6.6667
5
0.1667
1.8333
0
0.8333
318
CONCLUSIONS
Project
scheduling and control refers to the
planning, scheduling and control of projects, which
consist of numerous activities. In addition, some
activities of project are critical in the sense
that delays in their commencement will delay the
overall
project
completion time. Therefore
management and scheduling of projects is inevitably. In
this paper, the application of project scheduling in
agriculture, for stabilizing 300 hectares grape garden in
Agricultural Research Center of Zabol University, was
studied by CPM and PERT methods with WinQsb
software.
The main results are as follow:
ACKNOWLEDGMENT
I would like to thank A. R. Moghaddamnia for helpful
comments and suggestions on this paper.
Appendix 1: The Activities list of Project Scheduling of 300 hectares Grape Garden Stabilization in Agricultural Research Center of Zabol University
Activity
Predecessor
Normal
time
Crash
time
Crash
time cost
Optimistic Most
time
likely time
Pessimistic
time
1
2
36
10
19
6
4600000
400000
34
9
35
9
45
16
1, 2
1, 2, 3
7
33
4
17
3000000
450000
5
29
6
30
9
39
1, 2, 3, 4
147
74
10950000
125
135
160
1, 2, 3, 4, 5
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
1, 2, 3
10
147
21
10
6
73
10
5
720000
888000
420000
1648000
8
100
18
9
9
110
20
9
13
130
27
14
1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 9
1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 9, 10
1, 2, 3, 9
1, 2, 3, 9, 12
1, 2, 3, 9, 12
1, 2, 3, 9, 12, 14
1, 2, 3, 9, 12, 14
1, 2, 3, 9, 12, 16
1, 2, 3, 9, 12, 14, 16
1, 2, 3, 9, 12, 16
14
5
2
148
2
198
4
148
148
2
8
3
1
74
1
99
2
74
74
1
125000
120000
39000
2886000
320000
31680000
439000
2886000
29600000
600000
13
4
2
130
2
160
4
130
125
2
14
5
2
135
2
180
4
140
130
2
19
7
3
160
3
210
6
165
160
3
1, 2, 3, 9, 12, `16, 19
298
149
89400000
24
26
32
1, 2, 3, 9, 12, 16, 19
1, 2, 3, 9, 12, 16, 19, 21
1, 2, 3, 9, 12, 16, 19, 21
2
98
4
1
49
2
200000
9800000
1200000
2
90
2
2
94
2
3
105
3
298
298
2
73
149
149
1
36
119200000
59600000
48000
1776000
270
275
2
65
280
285
2
67
310
305
3
76
60
60
60
60
60
38
19
9120000
35
37
40
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
319
REFERENCES
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5.
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