PER CAPTA

CONCEPTO
LIMA
HOG CLASE MEDIA
NUMERO HAB/HOG
NUMERO DE HOGARES
TASA CREC
PRODUCTO
PER-CAPITA
Fuente: INEI

TASA
0.52
5
1.78%

DATO
12,000,000
6,240,000
1,248,000
1.0178
CAF
3.5kG

AOS
0
1
2
3
4
5
6

POBLACION PER-CAPITA
1,248,000
3.5kG
1,270,214
3.5kG
1,292,824
3.5kG
1,315,836
3.5kG
1,339,258
3.5kG
1,363,097
3.5kG
1,387,360
3.5kG

DEMANDA TM
4,368
4,446
4,525
4,605
4,687
4,771
4,856

PRODUCCTO: ACEITE
AOS
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018

DEMANDA En
Mill Lt
8,569
9365
10526
9235
9890
10600
11560
11900
12600
10800
13000
13100
12900
13500
13580
13600
13820
14239
14671

1.613

DF D0 1 i

3.03%

1.03032353

DF

DO

DF D0 1 i
n

DF
1
DO

MEDIA MOVIL
AOS
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

DEMANDA PRONOSTICO_2
1200
1859
Err:512
2245
1529.5
2235
2052
2189
2240 Err:512
2258
2212
2146
1356
2223.5
2226 Err:512
1868
1807
2217.75
2186
2897
1612
2015.25
2221.875
2114
2382.5
1709.5
2116.5
2899
2505.5
1997.25
1862.375
3000
2506.5
2444
1853.375
2760
2949.5
2506
2220.625
2880
2728
2475
2914.75
2617
2821.375

AOS
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14

DEMANDA
1200
Err:512 Err:512 Err:512 Err:512 Err:512 Err:512 Err:512
1859
1529.5 Err:512 Err:512 Err:512 Err:512 Err:512 Err:512
2245
2052 1790.75 Err:512 Err:512 Err:512 Err:512 Err:512
2235
2240
2146 1968.38 Err:512 Err:512 Err:512 Err:512
2189
2212
2226
2186 2077.19 Err:512 Err:512 Err:512
2258
2223.5 2217.75 2221.88 2203.94 2140.56 Err:512 Err:512
1356
1807 2015.25 2116.5 2169.19 2186.56 2163.56 Err:512
1868
1612 1709.5 1862.38 1989.44 2079.31 2132.94 2148.25
2897
2382.5 1997.25 1853.38 1857.88 1923.66 2001.48 2067.21
2114
2505.5
2444 2220.63
2037 1947.44 1935.55 1968.52
2899
2506.5
2506
2475 2347.81 2192.41 2069.92 2002.73
3000
2949.5
2728
2617
2546 2446.91 2319.66 2194.79
2760
2880 2914.75 2821.38 2719.19 2632.59 2539.75 2429.7
2805.789
2851.578

Err:512 Err:512 Err:512 Err:512

Err:512 Err:512 Err:512 Err:512
Err:512 Err:512 Err:512 Err:512
Err:512 Err:512 Err:512 Err:512
Err:512 Err:512 Err:512 Err:512
Err:512 Err:512 Err:512 Err:512
Err:512 Err:512 Err:512 Err:512
Err:512 Err:512 Err:512 Err:512
2107.73 Err:512 Err:512 Err:512
2017.86 2062.8 Err:512 Err:512
1985.63 2001.74 2032.27 Err:512
2098.76 2042.19
2022 2027.12
2312.25 2205.5 2123.85 2072.91
PROMEDIO MOVIL:
45.7891

AOS
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023

DEMANDA
En Mill Lt
8,569
9365
10526
9235
9890
10600
11560
11900
12600
10800
13000
13100
12900
13500
13580
13600
13820

16554.9

SUAVIZACION EXPONENCIAL
AOS
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

DEMANDA
1859
Err:512
Err:512
2245
1859 Err:512
2235
2167.8 Err:512
2189
2221.56 Err:512
2258
2195.512 226.988982
1356
2245.5024 56.2160823
1868
1533.90048 515.163218
2897
1801.1801 549.770182
2114
2677.83602 837.388454
2899
2226.7672
737.1917
3000
2764.55344 810.479128
2760
2952.91069 524.481671