Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Ethics and Governance
Ethics and Governance
So, why do stock prices change? The best answer is that nobody really knows for
sure. Some believe that it isn't possible to predict how stock prices will change,
while others think that by drawing charts and looking at past price movements,
you can determine when to buy and sell. The only thing we do know is that stocks
are volatile and can change in price extremely rapidly.
The important things to grasp about this subject are the following:
1. At the most fundamental level, supply and demand in the market determines
stock price.
2. Price times the number of shares outstanding (market capitalization) is the
value of a company. Comparing just the share price of two companies is
meaningless.
3. Theoretically, earnings are what affect investors' valuation of a company, but
there are other indicators that investors use to predict stock price. Remember, it
is investors' sentiments, attitudes and expectations that ultimately affect stock
prices.
4. There are many theories that try to explain the way stock prices move the way
they do. Unfortunately, there is no one theory that can explain everything.
the Kansas venture would not be found criminally liable if there were a
purchase of shares prior to the public announcement of the Kansas office.
The source of the information also impacts its materiality. The more reliable
the source, the more likely it is that the information is material. For
example, if you're riding the commuter train and overhear the CFO of an
energy company tell his assistant that he's about to announce a plunge in
quarterly corporate earnings, and you immediately call your broker to sell
your shares, then the information is material and non-public and standard
II(A) has been violated. On the other hand, if you sell your shares based on
a recommendation from your dentist, who happens to follow the energy
sector as a hobby and thinks this particular company is under strain, that
source of information is unreliable and therefore not material.
Regarding Analyst Opinion on a Stock
Ask whether the information is material: i.e. will it have a market impact? If
an influential Wall Street analyst is preparing to downgrade his or her
investment opinion from a buy to a sell, and we know about it, that's very
different from our neighborhood broker/dealer stating he doesn't like it
anymore. In the first case, we are required to wait for public disclosure of
the change in opinion; the second case requires no trading restrictions.
Nonpublic
The information is yet to be disclosed to the general marketplace.
Look Out!
Selective disclosure? When information is disclosed
selectively, i.e. just to a handful of investment analysts,
or perhaps on a conference call, or in an email, the
information may still be regarded as nonpublic.
Companies are bound by specific procedures designed
to make the information truly public and to ensure a
system of fairness in which all market participants are
given a chance to act on the information.
breach of a duty. Essentially it means that this insider should have avoided
disclosing this information but failed to do so.
What was the motivation? Will the insider benefit from this breach in one of the
following ways?
Pecuniary Benefit - The insider's investment position is affected, or the
insider's reputation (and future potential salary) is enhanced.
Quid Pro Quo - The tipper expects something in return from the recipient.
Gift - An insider wants friends and family to benefit from this information.
The Analyst's Role
In an efficient market, an analyst must retain the freedom to study a company and
act on information not always contained in the public press releases. Analysts are
encouraged to gather and use two forms of legal information:
1. Material Public Information - Annual reports can contain volumes of data
and discussion that could be material and are perhaps yet to be
discovered.
2. Non-Material Nonpublic Information - Discussions with management
may reveal information that isn't obviously material but that may give
valuable clues.
The Raj Rajaratnam/Galleon Group, Anil Kumar, and Rajat Gupta insider trading cases are
parallel and related civil and criminal actions by the United States Securities and Exchange
Commission and the United States Department of Justice against three friends and business
partners: Galleon hedge fund founder-ownerRaj Rajaratnam and former McKinsey &
Company senior executives Anil Kumar and Rajat Gupta. In these proceedings, the men were
confronted with insider trading charges: Rajaratnam was convicted, Kumar pleaded guilty and
testified as key witness in the criminal trials of Rajaratnam and Gupta, and Gupta was convicted in
Federal district court in Manhattan in June 2012.
Kumar, a senior executive of McKinsey and close friend of Gupta (its former CEO) who was
later also accused of passing information to Rajaratnam
Roomy Khan, previously convicted of wire fraud for providing inside information from her
employer, Intel, to Rajaratnam.[22]
It was reported that Rajaratnam, Goel and Kumar were all part of the class of 1983 from Wharton
school.[23]
The Sri Lankan stock market fell sharply after his arrest on insider trading charges in October 2009.
[24]
Sri Lanka's Securities and Exchange Commission is reviewing the active stock trading of Raj
Rajaratnam
Rajaratnam was found guilty on all 14 charges and sentenced to 11 years in prison for profiting from
tips he received from Robert Moffat, Anil Kumar, Rajiv Goel, and Roomy Khan.