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05/11/2016

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ThecuriouscaseofTreeHouseEducation
Goingbythenavailablepublicinformation(financialstillSeptember2015),TreeHousewasperceivedtobeinabetterposition
SharesofTreeHouseEducationandAccessoriesLtdfellon
ThursdayafterZeeLearnLtdsaiditisputtingonholdtheproposalto
mergetheformerwithitself.ZeeLearndecidedtoreevaluatethe
dealafterTreeHousesMarchquarterresults.Ithasreconstituted
themergerevaluationcommitteewhichwillsuggestwaystosalvage
thedeal.
WhentheproposalwasfirstannouncedinDecember2015,Zee
Learnwasfelttohavecutagooddeal.Goingbythenavailable
publicinformation(financialstillSeptember2015),TreeHousewas
perceivedtobeinabetterposition.Somuchsothatadomestic
brokeragefirmevensuspendedcoverageonTreeHousecitinga
rawdealforminorityshareholders.Whatchangedinthelastfour
months?Plenty,itseems.
AttheendofSeptember2015,TreeHousehadcashand
cashequivalentsofabout`151crore.Thatdroppedby`129
croreto`22crorebyMarchthisyear.

Firstisthedepletionofcash.AttheendofSeptember2015,Tree
Househadcashandcashequivalentsofabout`151crore.That
droppedby`129croreto`22crorebyMarchthisyear.Duringthe
period,borrowings(longandshorttermcombined)haveseena
reductionofupto`79crore.Butthisdoesnotfullymakeupforthe
reductionincash.Thecompanyhasbeenexpanding.Buttheinvestmentcouldhavebeensupportedbyoperatingprofits,whichwere
decenttilltheDecemberquarterend.
Thesecondisdecelerationingrowthrates.Revenuegrowthfellfrom28%inQ1to15%inQ2to5%inQ3toa46%dropinthelastquarter.
Revenuesinthelasttwoquarterswereimpactedbyweakenrolmentsandreductioninfee.Profitabilitytoowashitduetoriseinexpansion
ledcostsintheNationalCapitalRegion.
Third,thereceivablesandwriteoffs.InDecember2015,TreeHouseclaimeditmanagedtohalvethereceivablesfromSeptemberto`27
crore.ButtheMarchquarterresultsshowedareversalintrendasreceivablesstoodat`57crore.Asthecompanychangeditsbaddebt
policy,itwroteoffasignificantamountlastquarter.
TheseadversetrendsmayhaveforcedZeeLearntoreconsideritsmergerdecision.Butwhatisperplexingisthedramaticturnoffortunesat
TreeHouse.Forlong,TreeHouseinvestorsbelievedthattheearningsfromoperatingschoolswillbesufficienttofundcapitalexpenditure,
makingitaselfsustainablemodel.Asitexitedphysicalschoolbuildings,thefirmwasexpectedtobecomedebtfree.Butitwasnotableto
achieveeitheroftheseobjectives,despiteopeningofnewcentresandgeographicalexpansion.Andnowitisfacingtheignominyofa
prospectivesuitorbackingout.

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