PRECIPITACION TOTAL MENSUAL (mm)

AO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012

Ene
301.50
120.09
89.12
122.90
120.21
322.31
134.65
255.60
145.94
280.58
334.32
336.26
231.73
223.16
65.86
346.18
140.08
87.30
261.53
235.21
77.96
237.56
93.47
176.73
246.28
304.44
203.96
197.16
183.07
118.79
283.26
341.82
112.14
230.77
175.31
237.37
111.36
238.15
274.39
111.92
167.83
242.13
136.86
294.28
197.21
241.03
132.45
272.98
221.52
294.52

Feb
260.49
161.46
215.44
164.15
191.45
192.55
202.59
264.90
306.15
156.94
212.18
269.32
258.80
225.98
333.49
65.49
235.17
209.12
209.53
135.19
220.39
230.18
234.34
238.52
188.40
145.54
254.03
152.30
231.13
191.35
216.44
253.60
235.64
254.87
251.86
222.54
246.49
217.94
248.81
262.19
163.42
229.03
176.03
252.29
177.64
158.89
220.22
222.26
245.86
361.36

prom
mes
prom

206.2
Ene
206.2

219.5
Feb
219.5

Mar
158.40
136.86
140.53
98.42
282.53
184.60
120.33
200.88
122.56
228.43
195.99
79.57
184.60
203.83
177.53
66.84
135.47
211.52
120.34
177.23
110.22
195.19
335.97
202.05
97.31
126.86
139.68
121.40
169.25
55.64
185.67
190.40
165.43
162.91
109.63
117.31
179.03
133.40
131.62
256.50
224.38
112.01
140.42
325.02
193.66
94.50
121.44
148.36
163.73
145.18
161.6
Mar
161.6

Abr
90.22
59.00
30.60
9.92
52.02
25.71
57.66
38.07
29.18
72.00
131.60
55.76
35.02
38.82
14.47
56.20
32.97
32.98
79.36
65.03
49.59
46.43
108.27
67.14
5.40
88.03
51.56
48.78
45.37
39.50
78.53
91.76
41.94
83.82
35.32
17.82
84.53
48.56
77.61
108.21
40.27
61.57
58.15
56.80
37.36
2.72
84.35
62.50
95.87
94.26

May
8.69
32.44
2.69
40.52
25.22
26.32
0.00
12.85
4.42
5.77
15.19
1.47
42.23
15.08
10.04
0.75
1.16
4.97
0.53
0.28
11.96
10.92
19.49
21.24
5.53
0.66
15.52
43.31
1.36
0.50
1.46
10.88
0.53
22.05
16.27
0.82
7.88
21.99
14.27
13.34
1.84
0.00
0.00
2.69
9.55
2.08
6.01
33.00
1.77
8.45

Jun
0.00
0.00
1.22
0.00
0.61
8.57
3.79
0.01
0.02
1.98
0.87
15.80
3.45
6.24
0.00
7.25
0.62
0.13
0.06
0.10
1.68
10.37
29.11
0.11
6.43
0.10
2.18
42.28
35.06
8.18
3.37
0.01
0.10
0.00
0.11
0.11
0.10
4.68
6.63
4.16
4.41
1.35
0.00
0.26
0.00
0.01
0.00
0.83
0.04
0.20

Jul
0.00
0.00
7.71
0.00
22.52
9.79
3.55
6.12
0.00
0.73
5.03
4.30
0.01
2.72
1.36
0.37
11.91
12.38
0.09
0.07
0.18
1.42
1.51
1.85
22.28
0.12
19.77
0.75
0.84
6.73
0.60
0.09
0.09
0.11
0.12
0.00
0.58
0.50
0.43
24.73
0.49
27.54
0.00
2.94
1.97
0.00
6.86
8.35
3.18
0.28

11.1
May
11.1

4.3
Jun
4.3

4.5
Jul
4.5

56.4
Abr
56.4

Ago
0.98
4.53
0.00
1.89
0.81
8.32
3.55
2.45
1.24
0.88
4.32
60.24
2.45
13.22
0.00
1.64
1.37
1.87
7.80
0.62
1.05
1.69
0.47
2.14
3.81
0.07
1.32
3.31
0.01
2.47
12.91
0.65
1.65
2.73
6.81
2.47
1.96
1.62
2.91
0.01
1.22
15.18
1.84
1.96
0.01
0.73
0.00
2.72
2.39
2.22
3.9
Ago
3.9

Sep
22.03
1.47
26.32
5.14
41.13
28.77
12.61
42.76
0.02
52.16
26.33
4.54
15.80
62.92
41.01
17.75
2.36
24.58
12.89
36.86
19.46
3.92
44.94
8.07
9.76
19.04
4.15
1.06
9.52
2.17
7.74
3.38
31.89
6.05
39.20
12.69
36.65
2.04
27.24
18.13
15.18
7.71
10.92
19.34
11.29
0.61
12.00
14.73
13.24
13.21
18.1
Sep
18.1

Oct
53.25
24.85
18.73
48.35
22.16
105.15
34.76
36.25
4.06
65.00
23.63
7.00
71.98
3.43
33.91
63.05
45.28
104.66
14.31
62.77
13.82
55.55
9.22
16.53
31.91
28.86
9.56
21.40
32.71
36.52
51.27
5.62
12.17
11.64
6.39
20.43
86.10
48.07
49.28
104.66
13.72
10.89
22.16
42.61
15.55
43.35
15.56
22.11
17.55
25.68
34.5
Oct
34.5

Nov
55.33
86.67
27.30
152.40
12.00
110.78
109.19
28.64
18.24
39.05
88.52
21.18
13.48
0.98
143.52
146.18
110.98
47.85
42.26
123.18
7.06
139.12
92.76
29.00
54.49
8.10
28.86
135.94
46.26
41.96
96.31
56.10
58.70
57.13
22.73
65.39
10.81
26.16
31.37
110.78
50.20
8.32
30.73
99.89
100.13
15.80
65.14
37.45
40.08
43.85
59.8
Nov
59.8

Dic
168.19
118.98
167.21
93.52
84.22
93.52
145.91
176.79
164.04
116.79
138.22
89.62
195.27
71.54
101.74
106.25
99.68
92.40
115.54
69.85
99.66
122.84
157.70
152.82
86.63
136.95
66.85
107.61
147.69
115.59
154.52
107.86
120.42
127.37
117.75
99.14
94.26
174.79
99.97
151.79
146.40
73.34
209.34
93.03
125.84
183.62
68.06
135.60
231.85
114.45

Total
1119.09
746.34
726.88
737.21
854.87
1116.39
828.60
1065.31
795.88
1020.33
1176.19
945.05
1054.82
867.91
922.91
877.95
817.05
829.76
864.24
906.40
613.04
1055.19
1127.25
916.19
758.22
858.77
797.45
875.29
902.26
619.40
1092.07
1062.17
780.68
959.44
781.49
796.10
859.73
917.90
964.54
1166.44
829.36
789.08
786.42
1191.10
870.20
743.34
732.08
960.88
1037.08
1103.65

124.7
Dic
124.7

904.4
Total
904.4

250.0

200.0

150.0

100.0

50.0

0.0
Ene

Feb

Mar

Abr

May

Jun

Jul

Ago

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dic

GENERACION DE DESCARGAS
METODO PROPUESTO POR LA MISION TECNICA ALEMANA

P
mm
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
180

Pre c ipita c in Efe c tiva (m m )

Precipitacion Efectiva
Segn el Boreau of Reclamation
P. Efectiva: PE (mm)
Curva I Curva II Curva III
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
4
0
3
6
1
4
8
1
6
11
2
8
14
3
10
18
4
14
24
6
18
30
8
23
39
11
29
48
15
36
58
19
43
68
24
52
78
30
60
88
37
69
98
45
79
108
55
89
118

Figura 3.1: Porcin de Precipitacin Efectiva Segn Boreau of Reclamation

140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Precipitacin Mensual (mm)

Curv a I

Curv a II

Curv a III

Cuadro No 3: Calculo del Coeficiente de Escorrenta

Mtodo de la Mision Alemana
Precipitacion media anual
ETP total anual
Coeficiente de escorrentia
c=3.16*10^12*P^(-0.571)*E^(-3.686)

Metodo de L Turc
904.4008
1379.3

Temperatura Media Anual: T

Coeficiente de Temperatura: L
Deficit de Escurrimiento: D
Coeficiente de Escorrenta: C

0.17

Cuadro No 5: Caracteristicas Generales de la Microcuenca

Area de la Microcuenca: A
Altitud media de la Microcuenca: H
Pendiente media de la Microcuenca
Precipitacin Media Anual: P
Evaporacion total Anual: ETP
Temperatura Media Anual: T
Deficit de Escurrimeitno: D
Coeficiente de Escorrenta: C
Coeficiente de Agotamiento: a
Relacin de Caudales (30 das): bo
Area de lagunas, nevados y acuiferos
Gasto Mensual de Retencin: R

50.11
4734.00
0.11
904.40
1379.30
2.90
347.94
0.62
0.02
0.53
9.00
56.43

km2
msnm
m/m
mm/ao
mm/ao
C
mm/ao

km2
mm/ao

2.90
373.72
347.94
0.62

cuadro No 6: Coeficiente de Calculo

Precipitacion Efectiva
Coefic
ao
a1
a2
a3

Curva I
-0.2163
0.0261
0.0007
0.00001

Curva II
1.0998
-0.0372
0.0023
0.000004

Curva III
0.3759
0.0418
0.0035

160

180

CUADRO No 6: GENERACION DE CAUDALES MEDIOS MENSUALES PARA EL AO PROMEDIO

N dias
del
MES
mes
1
2
Enero
30
Febrero
28
Marzo
31
Abril
30
Mayo
31
Junio
30
Julio
31
Agosto
31
Septiem
30
Octubre
31
Noviemb 30
Diciemb
31

PRECIPITACION MENSUAL
CONTRIBUCION DE LA RETENCION
CAUDALE GENERADOS
P Total
Gasto
Abastecimiento
mm/mes
m3/mes
lt/s
mm/mes PE II mm PE III mm PE mm/me
bi
Gi (mm/mes)
ai
Ai (mm/mes)
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
206.2
126.3
157.8
163.1
0.000
0.0
0.293
16.5
146.57
2.833
2833.48
219.5
146.0
178.2
183.5
0.000
0.0
0.330
18.6
164.90
3.416
3415.70
161.6
72.0
98.5
103.0
0.000
0.0
0.185
10.4
92.53
1.731
1731.06
56.4
7.0
13.9
15.0
0.530
27.4
0.027
1.5
40.87
0.790
790.19
11.1
1.0
1.3
1.3
0.270
13.9
0.002
0.1
15.12
0.283
282.90
4.3
1.0
0.6
0.6
0.149
7.7
0.001
0.1
8.21
0.159
158.69
4.5
1.0
0.6
0.6
0.073
3.8
0.001
0.1
4.27
0.080
79.95
3.9
1.0
0.6
0.5
0.038
2.0
0.001
0.1
2.43
0.045
45.39
18.1
1.2
2.3
2.5
0.022
1.2
0.004
0.2
3.35
0.065
64.80
34.5
2.7
6.0
6.5
0.010
0.5
0.012
0.7
6.38
0.119
119.45
59.8
7.9
15.4
16.6
0.000
0.0
0.030
1.7
14.93
0.289
288.66
124.7
40.0
60.0
63.3
0.000
0.0
0.114
6.4
56.90
1.064
1064.50
904.4
407.2
535.1
556.5
1.092
56.427
1.000
56.4
556.5
0.9
0.62 -0.16685 1.166849
1
0.8910653
556.462
942.3

CUADRO No 7: CALCULO DE LOS COEFICIENTES DE CORRELACION PARA ELAO PROMEDIO

Qt
146.57
164.90
92.53
40.87
15.12
8.21
4.27
2.43

Qt-1
56.898
146.57
164.90
92.53
40.87
15.12
8.21
4.27

PE
163.1
183.5
103.0
15.0
1.3
0.6
0.6
0.5

3.35
6.38
14.93
56.90

2.43
3.35
6.38
14.93

2.5
6.5
16.6
63.3

Resumen
Intercepcin 4.812650438
Variable X 1 0.114548392
Variable X 2 0.733412492

R^2 ajustado 0.9640201656

Error tpico
7.6506772565

PRECIPITACION EFECTIVA MENSUAL (mm)

AO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
COEF

Ene
238.5
95.0
70.5
97.2
95.1
254.9
106.5
202.2
115.4
221.9
264.4
266.0
183.3
176.5
52.1
273.8
110.8
69.0
206.8
186.0
61.7
187.9
73.9
139.8
194.8
240.8
161.3
155.9
144.8
94.0
224.0
270.4
88.7
182.5
138.7
187.7
88.1
188.4
217.0
88.5
132.7
191.5
108.2
232.7
156.0
190.6
104.8
215.9
175.2
232.9
0.791

Feb
217.8
135.0
180.1
137.3
160.1
161.0
169.4
221.5
256.0
131.2
177.4
225.2
216.4
188.9
278.8
54.8
196.6
174.8
175.2
113.0
184.3
192.5
195.9
199.4
157.5
121.7
212.4
127.3
193.2
160.0
181.0
212.0
197.0
213.1
210.6
186.1
206.1
182.2
208.0
219.2
136.6
191.5
147.2
210.9
148.5
132.9
184.1
185.8
205.6
302.1
0.836

Mar
100.9
87.2
89.5
62.7
180.0
117.6
76.7
128.0
78.1
145.5
124.9
50.7
117.6
129.9
113.1
42.6
86.3
134.8
76.7
112.9
70.2
124.4
214.1
128.7
62.0
80.8
89.0
77.3
107.8
35.4
118.3
121.3
105.4
103.8
69.8
74.7
114.1
85.0
83.9
163.4
143.0
71.4
89.5
207.1
123.4
60.2
77.4
94.5
104.3
92.5
0.637

Abr
24.0
15.7
8.1
2.6
13.8
6.8
15.3
10.1
7.8
19.2
35.0
14.8
9.3
10.3
3.8
14.9
8.8
8.8
21.1
17.3
13.2
12.3
28.8
17.9
1.4
23.4
13.7
13.0
12.1
10.5
20.9
24.4
11.2
22.3
9.4
4.7
22.5
12.9
20.6
28.8
10.7
16.4
15.5
15.1
9.9
0.7
22.4
16.6
25.5
25.1
0.266

May
1.0
3.9
0.3
4.8
3.0
3.1
0.0
1.5
0.5
0.7
1.8
0.2
5.0
1.8
1.2
0.1
0.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
1.4
1.3
2.3
2.5
0.7
0.1
1.8
5.2
0.2
0.1
0.2
1.3
0.1
2.6
1.9
0.1
0.9
2.6
1.7
1.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.3
1.1
0.2
0.7
3.9
0.2
1.0
0.119

Jun
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.1
1.1
0.5
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.1
2.1
0.5
0.8
0.0
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
1.4
3.8
0.0
0.8
0.0
0.3
5.5
4.6
1.1
0.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.6
0.9
0.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.131

Jul
0.0
0.0
1.0
0.0
2.9
1.3
0.5
0.8
0.0
0.1
0.6
0.6
0.0
0.3
0.2
0.0
1.5
1.6
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
2.9
0.0
2.5
0.1
0.1
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
3.2
0.1
3.5
0.0
0.4
0.3
0.0
0.9
1.1
0.4
0.0
0.129

Ago
0.1
0.6
0.0
0.3
0.1
1.1
0.5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.6
8.1
0.3
1.8
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
1.0
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.3
0.5
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.0
0.3
1.7
0.1
0.2
0.4
0.9
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.4
0.0
0.2
2.0
0.2
0.3
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.134

Sep
3.0
0.2
3.6
0.7
5.6
3.9
1.7
5.8
0.0
7.1
3.6
0.6
2.1
8.5
5.6
2.4
0.3
3.3
1.7
5.0
2.6
0.5
6.1
1.1
1.3
2.6
0.6
0.1
1.3
0.3
1.0
0.5
4.3
0.8
5.3
1.7
5.0
0.3
3.7
2.5
2.1
1.0
1.5
2.6
1.5
0.1
1.6
2.0
1.8
1.8
0.136

Oct
10.1
4.7
3.5
9.1
4.2
19.9
6.6
6.9
0.8
12.3
4.5
1.3
13.6
0.6
6.4
11.9
8.6
19.8
2.7
11.9
2.6
10.5
1.7
3.1
6.0
5.5
1.8
4.0
6.2
6.9
9.7
1.1
2.3
2.2
1.2
3.9
16.3
9.1
9.3
19.8
2.6
2.1
4.2
8.1
2.9
8.2
2.9
4.2
3.3
4.9
0.189

Nov
15.4
24.1
7.6
42.4
3.3
30.8
30.4
8.0
5.1
10.9
24.6
5.9
3.7
0.3
39.9
40.6
30.9
13.3
11.7
34.2
2.0
38.7
25.8
8.1
15.1
2.3
8.0
37.8
12.9
11.7
26.8
15.6
16.3
15.9
6.3
18.2
3.0
7.3
8.7
30.8
14.0
2.3
8.5
27.8
27.8
4.4
18.1
10.4
11.1
12.2

Dic
85.4
60.4
84.9
47.5
42.8
47.5
74.1
89.8
83.3
59.3
70.2
45.5
99.2
36.3
51.7
54.0
50.6
46.9
58.7
35.5
50.6
62.4
80.1
77.6
44.0
69.6
34.0
54.7
75.0
58.7
78.5
54.8
61.2
64.7
59.8
50.4
47.9
88.8
50.8
77.1
74.4
37.2
106.3
47.3
63.9
93.3
34.6
68.9
117.8
58.1

0.278

0.508

Nov
-0.6084
0.05783
-1.7229
1.63034
-0.2392
-0.6441
0.31266
-0.6891
-1.9199
0.01251
0.4137
1.27337
0.08022
0.3072
0.02069
1.27994
0.92859
-0.4616
-0.7855
0.77805
0.49877
-1.6118
1.3169
2.47877
-0.9016
-0.3528
-1.0468
-0.5991
2.16889
-0.601
-0.4332
-1.8658
0.80104
0.43571
-1.6497
0.55271
0.44625
0.39535
-0.1003
-0.9402
-0.064
1.56511
0.44693
-1.43
-0.9628
-0.7691
-1.1865
-0.7125
-0.7232
0.09166

Dic
-2.2048
0.51321
-2.0552
-0.0546
-0.4105
-1.1706
-0.8386
-1.3855
-0.7143
-2.177
0.22735
-0.2262
-1.205
-0.2906
0.59182
0.19995
1.0409
-0.9111
-1.7043
-1.3756
0.4526
-0.9821
0.77443
0.44963
-1.8558
0.78179
0.90772
-0.7703
-0.0873
-1.5866
0.18857
0.25815
-0.0291
-0.1541
1.16483
0.17768
-0.0995
0.52432
0.98444
0.3362
-0.098
0.8384
0.58836
1.3869
-0.9714
0.70562
0.96354
-1.5434
0.58509
0.1135

NUMEROS ALEATORIOS GENERADOS CON DISTRIBUCION NORMAL PERIODO 1963-2012

AO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012

Ene
-0.5168
0.68487
0.02513
-0.9803
-0.8863
2.13855
-0.3738
0.01067
-0.9928
1.30194
-0.5029
2.03057
-1.3398
0.00432
-1.5187
-0.8473
-0.4108
-0.371
0.0034
-1.6491
-1.0602
-2.6322
-1.6329
-1.4817
2.02996
-0.4502
-1.414
0.91444
1.55044
1.35327
-0.6592
-0.6315
-1.1916
-0.1508
1.49673
-1.0816
1.87901
-1.6272
0.05469
-0.4239
0.53118
0.60307
1.0946
-0.6247
0.34992
0.4043
0.26536
-0.6909
0.22735
0.3125

Feb
0.54222
-0.466
-0.5436
0.36713
0.22782
0.84101
-0.4283
-1.9569
-0.0225
0.03585
3.45579
-0.7363
0.36975
0.99656
-1.6494
0.73959
0.85097
-0.2762
0.5202
-0.4466
-1.2179
1.22886
-0.0211
0.34723
2.15464
-1.6581
-0.9205
-0.3814
1.98686
-0.157
0.22703
1.47709
0.4157
-0.3441
0.02544
0.00325
0.01052
0.67879
0.1381
0.65273
0.64019
-3.0157
-1.7027
0.69789
-0.7019
1.1862
1.16906
1.59989
-0.2406
-0.2598

Mar
-0.4769
0.54063
-1.3075
0.14691
-2.3927
-0.4068
-0.0925
-1.8028
-0.4964
1.09419
0.25839
1.11147
2.13855
-1.2375
0.52863
-0.0257
-0.7053
-0.816
0.21731
0.91992
-1.2174
1.72191
-1.3428
0.33491
0.94509
-0.856
-0.1732
1.39394
-0.878
-0.9291
0.22601
-0.5686
1.62344
1.58307
0.46066
-0.4922
-0.9451
0.54497
-0.4716
1.49066
0.33815
-0.7742
-2.0391
0.87595
-0.9588
-1.0459
0.12937
0.55351
-1.4769
-0.1235

Abr
0.55601
-0.113
-0.6761
2.47383
0.59054
0.1651
-1.7155
-0.9001
-0.194
0.67956
-1.3519
-0.4144
-1.186
0.22389
-0.2281
-0.7106
0.73989
0.76836
-1.1324
-0.7521
1.16227
-1.9311
-0.4219
-1.3734
-0.4013
1.3627
1.88847
1.35903
-0.3622
0.74665
0.49151
2.83108
-0.6211
0.15983
0.65604
0.49808
-0.1263
0.67149
1.08808
-0.5722
-0.8638
-0.962
-1.2193
1.18343
0.17784
1.3506
0.78511
-0.5822
-0.4983
-0.8502

May
-0.5707
-0.008
0.13771
1.38251
0.35146
-0.3083
-0.2982
3.42727
1.12635
-0.3922
-0.6382
0.28331
-0.5695
-0.2665
-0.4265
-1.1156
-0.8099
-1.1123
-0.1036
-0.678
-0.3272
-0.9641
0.19512
-0.4405
-0.5931
-0.0669
-1.2939
0.84199
0.19558
0.73758
-0.6275
0.04174
-0.115
1.25114
0.09343
-1.0677
2.21271
-0.9135
1.74704
0.05951
0.07477
0.95036
0.1035
-1.5461
-1.3425
-0.5659
0.32747
-1.3527
0.51705
0.29344

Jun
-0.005
2.37182
-0.0216
0.40065
-0.4458
1.19241
0.48272
1.12649
-0.9069
-1.4218
0.88181
0.61615
-0.0073
-0.1519
0.77899
1.57218
0.33799
2.02223
-0.3236
-0.5652
0.66375
0.58364
-1.3075
0.00294
0.44625
0.21238
-1.4622
-1.0112
0.80929
-0.6545
1.34623
0.05951
1.32459
-1.5047
0.20901
-0.1055
-1.1468
1.08147
-0.5413
-0.6211
0.59455
1.16348
-0.3511
0.22821
-1.9042
0.31949
-1.324
-0.6109
-0.554
0.68275

Jul
1.67936
0.46774
-0.983
0.9661
0.33459
1.0281
0.33985
0.02444
0.66585
1.45822
0.1374
-1.6691
1.78562
0.80262
-1.012
0.86278
-0.9652
1.14752
-1.4013
1.30426
1.04922
0.18631
0.72002
0.24237
-0.0215
0.25167
0.87002
0.37204
1.32496
-0.3583
-0.3755
0.52555
0.39667
-0.4192
-0.101
0.44017
-0.2828
-0.099
-0.0614
-1.298
-0.6868
-0.0494
-0.2119
0.08651
-0.7877
-0.399
-0.4188
1.40228
0.03516
0.18966

Ago
-1.2715
0.01381
-1.3477
1.04962
-1.555
-1.3801
-0.6305
0.61448
0.42757
1.99073
1.01713
-1.1697
-1.8817
-0.9641
-0.6996
0.10042
0.20003
1.42155
0.29376
-0.7609
1.46781
0.42891
0.687
-2.7556
0.70249
1.06258
1.62287
-0.9108
0.49099
1.07313
1.09809
-0.2372
-1.0316
0.9239
-0.1973
0.1182
-0.6109
0.13802
0.43294
0.17147
0.62663
-0.2613
0.38248
-0.2413
0.43984
-1.2982
-0.5497
0.98531
0.04649
0.48841

Sep
-0.8618
0.3303
0.98059
-0.1787
1.12953
0.82812
-0.4491
-0.0706
-0.7901
-0.3294
0.90784
-0.8892
0.28124
0.31346
0.84581
-0.6839
-0.0013
1.9146
0.02712
-0.9837
0.68497
-0.3487
-0.522
0.40521
-1.6324
0.36631
-2.0693
-1.7233
-0.6615
1.48303
-0.2971
0.23332
0.76959
3.11644
-0.3749
1.39759
1.96742
0.36918
0.02942
-0.3924
-0.0041
-1.5314
-0.1729
-0.5513
0.48264
-0.745
-1.586
0.3178
1.47709
-0.6349

Oct
0.14853
-1.1455
-0.0641
-0.2152
-0.503
-0.0609
0.34805
-1.5105
0.59145
-1.6914
0.34862
0.16363
-0.0085
-0.3302
1.02408
-0.7095
-1.036
0.09012
-0.2324
1.27924
1.3402
-1.6497
-1.2729
0.58264
0.20854
0.57838
-0.7483
-1.228
-0.1766
0.05967
-0.0569
0.22742
-1.7106
-0.012
0.88509
0.43403
-0.7705
0.21794
-0.4302
0.55958
0.98431
0.12405
-0.9856
0.94497
0.60288
0.88091
-0.4942
0.61504
0.12583
-0.3972

Total
696.2
426.8
449.4
404.6
511.0
649.1
482.1
674.8
547.1
608.5
707.7
620.9
651.1
556.2
552.8
496.3
494.8
473.2
555.8
516.0
389.0
632.2
632.8
578.8
487.1
546.7
525.6
481.5
558.1
379.8
662.6
701.4
486.7
608.3
504.0
527.9
504.1
577.4
605.1
635.4
517.0
519.2
481.1
752.6
535.4
490.7
447.5
603.8
645.6
731.0

DESCARGAS MEDIAS MENSUALES GENERADAS (mm)

Intercepcin:b1
Qt-1: b2
PE: b3

4.813

R^2 ajustado

0.96402

0.115

Error tpico (S)

7.65068

0.733

Modelo Matematico: Qt=b1+b2*Qt-1+b3*PE+Z*S*(1-R^2)^0.5

AO
Ene
prom 146.6
1963 185.47
1964 83.05
1965 62.56
1966 82.14
1967 78.31
1968 199.06
1969 87.10
1970 160.11
1971 96.03
1972 176.97
1973 203.37
1974 209.62
1975 141.78
1976 143.07
1977 44.45
1978 209.85
1979 91.09
1980 60.29
1981 161.08
1982 144.23
1983 52.23
1984 143.78
1985 62.71
1986 112.93
1987 157.96
1988 184.90
1989 127.69
1990 124.19
1991 118.69
1992 82.76
1993 173.57
1994 209.68
1995 73.52
1996 144.38
1997 114.87
1998 146.81
1999 77.21
2000 145.28
2001 172.31
2002 74.26
2003 110.39
2004 153.13
2005 89.73
2006 184.35
2007 124.79
2008 151.30
2009 90.64
2010 166.00
2011 139.72
2012 186.82
promed 130.32

Abr

May

Dic

Prom

164.9

92.5

40.9

15.1

8.2

4.3

2.4

3.4

6.4

14.9

56.9

46.4

186.58

Feb

99.51

Mar

34.62

8.71

5.80

Jun

7.91

Jul

3.97

Ago

6.21

Sep

13.13

Oct

16.72

Nov

66.18

52.9

112.66

82.45

25.60

10.56

9.46

6.58

6.03

6.13

7.30

23.40

52.56

35.5

143.30

85.00

19.54

7.49

5.76

4.77

3.40

9.24

8.38

8.84

65.13

35.3

11.88

115.42

64.24

17.69

12.38

6.81

7.00

7.32

5.90

39.61

44.11

34.5

131.52

148.42

32.82

11.28

5.52

8.06

3.56

10.95

8.41

7.87

36.49

40.3

146.91

107.31

22.36

9.22

8.42

8.19

4.57

9.40

20.39

28.80

41.25

50.5

138.40

76.76

22.36

6.94

6.67

6.41

4.98

5.99

10.83

28.77

61.25

38.0

182.75

117.00

24.33

13.70

8.02

6.34

6.67

9.73

8.76

10.66

69.88

51.5

203.52

84.67

19.92

9.11

4.54

6.30

6.28

4.39

6.74

6.52

65.63

42.8

121.38

127.05

34.40

8.69

3.93

7.45

8.64

10.52

12.58

14.23

46.79

47.7

163.23

115.47

41.75

9.99

7.32

6.33

7.44

9.60

9.70

24.57

59.45

54.9

192.91

65.70

22.61

7.94

8.13

3.73

9.48

5.06

6.60

11.73

39.21

48.6

180.29

114.83

23.08

10.32

6.31

8.13

3.25

7.17

15.61

9.46

76.89

49.8

161.23

116.73

26.08

8.73

6.19

6.94

5.51

12.16

6.20

6.17

31.75

44.2

212.01

112.82

20.23

7.39

6.79

4.25

4.28

10.61

12.22

35.51

47.64

43.2

70.08

44.03

19.79

5.53

8.42

7.06

5.93

6.27

13.25

37.99

49.04

39.8

160.69

85.50

22.11

6.27

6.08

5.23

5.84

5.71

10.24

29.96

46.89

39.6

139.55

118.45

25.93

6.60

8.52

8.62

8.05

10.96

20.72

16.27

39.77

38.6

152.51

78.83

27.68

7.88

5.25

3.39

6.40

6.87

7.25

13.12

46.88

43.1

103.59

100.83

27.96

7.06

4.81

7.26

4.60

7.58

16.24

32.92

32.61

40.8

144.18

71.06

24.31

8.17

6.87

7.14

7.86

8.64

9.66

8.08

43.52

32.6

164.22

117.33

24.51

7.17

7.48

6.07

6.30

5.42

10.74

32.07

52.82

48.2

155.67

177.69

45.67

12.03

7.08

6.81

6.64

9.29

5.31

26.25

67.69

48.6

164.52

118.56

29.50

9.41

5.90

6.02

1.71

6.40

8.68

15.32

64.15

45.3

141.57

67.87

13.06

5.93

6.76

7.66

7.08

4.23

10.03

15.76

36.20

39.5

112.83

75.77

32.64

8.51

6.11

5.89

7.04

8.04

10.58

7.16

57.79

43.1

173.88

89.75

27.89

7.48

3.76

8.37

8.26

3.17

5.42

9.80

32.16

41.5

111.88

76.38

25.05

12.68

8.85

6.44

4.55

2.94

6.34

32.39

47.49

38.3

163.02

101.30

24.74

8.05

10.27

7.99

6.44

5.54

9.73

18.51

61.82

44.7

131.41

44.51

18.70

8.07

5.57

5.57

7.25

8.01

10.88

13.74

47.15

32.0

157.75

109.97

33.44

7.86

7.99

5.24

8.28

6.10

12.54

25.26

65.54

51.1

186.49

114.32

39.92

10.40

6.09

6.28

5.25

6.09

6.62

14.30

47.00

54.4

158.34

102.61

23.85

7.42

7.59

6.27

4.20

9.58

5.12

18.53

51.75

39.1

177.15

103.52

33.25

12.36

4.04

4.68

6.96

10.73

7.64

17.97

54.10

48.1

172.45

76.46

21.41

8.82

6.14

5.38

5.81

8.84

8.00

7.97

51.28

40.6

158.10

77.02

17.84

5.38

5.29

6.06

5.92

8.78

9.28

20.01

44.29

42.1

164.82

105.98

33.26

12.52

4.59

4.98

4.69

11.85

17.00

9.61

40.88

40.6

156.09

85.82

25.09

8.28

7.78

5.61

5.81

6.22

12.51

12.15

72.08

45.2

177.33

85.94

31.38

12.19

6.06

5.46

6.35

8.29

11.97

12.44

44.91

47.9

175.05

146.88

41.92

10.86

5.55

5.90

5.74

6.70

20.91

28.43

65.10

48.9

118.60

123.74

25.59

8.01

7.02

4.67

6.38

7.05

8.95

15.98

61.04

41.5

158.42

74.17

23.92

8.93

7.65

8.22

6.87

4.14

6.98

9.58

34.45

41.4

120.56

81.28

23.70

7.68

5.18

5.10

6.13

6.35

7.18

12.55

85.09

37.5

181.65

178.76

38.09

7.17

5.99

5.90

5.33

6.55

12.84

24.58

44.30

58.0

127.02

108.46

24.78

6.54

2.80

4.18

5.93

7.32

8.68

24.83

53.12

41.5

121.30

61.35

14.33

5.81

5.94

4.91

3.56

4.20

12.58

8.36

75.20

39.1

151.93

79.15

31.47

9.42

3.97

5.31

4.62

4.23

6.74

17.14

33.53

36.5

162.44

93.55

26.88

8.81

5.01

8.21

7.45

7.59

9.64

12.52

54.52

46.9

171.24

98.79

34.11

9.62

5.11

5.75

5.77

8.94

8.45

12.90

93.51

49.5

247.43

100.82

33.51

9.81

6.95

5.91

6.42

5.94

8.48

14.86

49.32

56.4

154.52

97.89

27.09

8.82

6.36

6.24

5.94

7.35

10.32

18.04

53.02

Caudal ao promedio (mm/mes)

DESCARGAS MEDIAS MENSUALES GENERADAS (lt/s)

AO

Ene

Feb

Mar

Abr

May

Jun

Jul

Ago

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dic

Prom

1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012

3585.6

3864.8

1861.7

669.2

162.9

112.2

148.1

74.3

120.1

245.6

323.1

1238.2

1033.8

1605.5

2333.6

1542.6

495.0

197.7

183.0

123.0

112.9

118.5

136.6

452.5

983.4

690.3

1209.5

2968.3

1590.2

377.7

140.0

111.3

89.3

63.7

178.7

156.7

170.9

1218.6

689.6

1588.0

2390.7

1201.8

342.1

231.6

131.7

130.9

137.0

114.1

222.3

765.9

825.3

673.4

1513.9

2724.1

2776.8

634.5

211.1

106.7

150.7

66.6

211.7

157.4

152.2

682.7

3848.3

3043.1

2007.6

432.3

172.6

162.8

153.3

85.5

181.7

381.4

556.8

771.8

1683.9

2866.8

1436.1

432.3

129.9

129.0

119.8

93.2

115.7

202.5

556.2

1145.9

742.6

3095.2

3785.5

2188.9

470.4

256.2

155.0

118.7

124.8

188.1

163.9

206.0

1307.4

1005.0

1856.5

4215.6

1584.2

385.2

170.5

87.8

117.9

117.4

84.8

126.0

126.0

1227.9

3421.4

2514.2

2376.9

665.0

162.5

76.1

139.4

161.7

203.3

235.3

275.2

875.4

925.5

3931.6

3381.1

2160.3

807.1

187.0

141.5

118.3

139.2

185.6

181.4

475.0

1112.2

1068.4

4052.6

3995.8

1229.2

437.2

148.6

157.2

69.7

177.4

97.8

123.5

226.9

733.6

954.1

2740.9

3734.5

2148.3

446.1

193.0

122.1

152.1

60.9

138.5

292.0

183.0

1438.5

970.8

2765.9

3339.5

2183.9

504.2

163.3

119.7

129.9

103.1

235.1

116.0

119.3

593.9

864.5

859.3

4391.5

2110.8

391.1

138.2

131.3

79.5

80.2

205.2

228.6

686.4

891.2

849.4

4056.9

1451.7

823.8

382.6

103.4

162.8

132.2

110.9

121.1

247.8

734.5

917.4

770.4

1760.9

3328.4

1599.6

427.5

117.3

117.6

97.9

109.2

110.5

191.7

579.2

877.2

776.4

1165.5

2890.6

2216.1

501.3

123.5

164.6

161.3

150.6

211.9

387.6

314.6

744.1

752.6

3114.1

3159.0

1474.8

535.1

147.4

101.5

63.4

119.7

132.8

135.6

253.6

877.2

842.8

2788.3

2145.7

1886.4

540.4

132.0

93.0

135.9

86.1

146.6

303.9

636.4

610.0

792.1

1009.8

2986.4

1329.5

470.0

152.8

132.9

133.6

147.1

167.1

180.8

156.3

814.2

640.0

2779.6

3401.5

2195.1

473.8

134.2

144.5

113.6

117.8

104.7

201.0

620.0

988.2

939.5

1212.4

3224.5

3324.3

883.0

225.0

136.9

127.4

124.1

179.6

99.3

507.4

1266.4

942.5

2183.2

3407.7

2218.1

570.3

176.0

114.2

112.5

32.1

123.7

162.5

296.1

1200.1

883.0

3053.9

2932.3

1269.8

252.4

111.0

130.6

143.3

132.5

81.7

187.6

304.7

677.2

773.1

3574.6

2337.1

1417.6

631.0

159.3

118.0

110.2

131.6

155.5

197.9

138.5

1081.1

837.7

2468.6

3601.6

1679.1

539.2

140.0

72.6

156.6

154.5

61.3

101.3

189.4

601.6

813.8

2400.8

2317.4

1428.9

484.3

237.3

171.1

120.4

85.2

56.8

118.5

626.1

888.5

744.6

2294.6

3376.8

1895.2

478.3

150.6

198.5

149.5

120.5

107.1

182.0

357.8

1156.6

1600.0

2721.9

832.8

361.5

151.0

107.7

104.1

135.7

154.9

203.6

265.7

882.0

3355.5

3267.5

2057.4

646.5

147.0

154.5

98.0

154.9

117.9

234.6

488.3

1226.2

995.7

4053.7

3862.8

2138.8

771.7

194.5

117.8

117.5

98.3

117.7

123.8

276.5

879.4

1062.7

1421.3

3279.7

1919.7

461.0

138.9

146.8

117.2

78.5

185.3

95.7

358.2

968.2

764.2

2791.3

3669.3

1936.8

642.9

231.3

78.2

87.5

130.2

207.5

142.9

347.4

1012.1

939.8

2220.7

3572.1

1430.6

414.0

165.0

118.6

100.7

108.8

170.8

149.6

154.1

959.4

797.0

2838.1

3274.8

1441.0

344.8

100.6

102.2

113.3

110.8

169.8

173.7

386.9

828.7

823.7

1492.6

3414.1

1982.7

642.9

234.3

88.8

93.2

87.7

229.1

318.0

185.8

764.9

794.5

2808.6

3233.1

1605.6

485.1

154.9

150.4

104.9

108.8

120.2

234.0

235.0

1348.5

882.4

3331.2

3673.1

1607.9

606.6

228.0

117.1

102.1

118.9

160.3

224.0

240.4

840.2

937.5

1435.7

3625.9

2748.1

810.4

203.3

107.4

110.4

107.4

129.6

391.2

549.7

1218.0

953.1

2134.1

2456.6

2315.0

494.7

149.9

135.6

87.3

119.3

136.3

167.5

309.0

1142.0

803.9

2960.4

3281.5

1387.7

462.5

167.1

148.0

153.7

128.6

80.1

130.6

185.2

644.5

1734.8

2497.3

1520.6

458.1

143.6

100.2

95.4

114.7

122.8

134.4

242.6

1591.9

729.7

3564.0

3762.6

3344.5

736.3

134.1

115.8

110.4

99.7

126.6

240.3

475.1

828.8

1128.2

2412.4

2631.1

2029.2

479.1

122.3

54.1

78.1

111.0

141.4

162.4

480.0

993.9

807.9

2924.9

2512.5

1147.8

277.0

108.8

114.9

91.9

66.7

81.2

235.4

161.6

1406.8

760.8

1752.3

3147.1

1480.9

608.5

176.2

76.7

99.3

86.5

81.9

126.1

331.4

627.3

716.2

3209.1

3364.8

1750.2

519.6

164.8

97.0

153.6

139.4

146.8

180.4

242.0

1020.0

2701.2

3546.9

1848.2

659.4

180.1

98.9

107.6

108.0

172.8

158.2

249.5

1749.4

965.0

3611.7

5125.1

1886.1

647.9

183.6

134.3

110.6

120.1

114.9

158.6

287.2

922.7

1108.6

No dias

30

28

31

30

31

30

31

31

30

31

30

31

Prome.

2519.5

3200.6

1831.4

523.8

165.1

123.0

116.7

111.1

142.1

193.0

348.8

992.0

Ago

Sep

Oct

782.4
983.1

841.7

872.3
626.7

810.8

915.6

855.6

3500.0

CAUDAL

3000.0
2500.0
2000.0

CAUDAL MEDIO

1500.0
1000.0
500.0
0.0

Ene

Feb

Mar

Abr

May

Jun
MES

Jul

Nov

Dic