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ESTACION HUAMACHUCO
Distribution Analysys: Pearson Type III
First Moment (mean) = 36.5700
Second Moment = 6.445e01
Skew = 3.979e-01
Point
Number
Weibull
Probability
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Exceedence
Probability
0.998
Actual
Value
Predicted
Value
Standard
Deviation
0.0323
24.2
23.7
2.15
0.0645
24.8
25.5
1.72
0.0968
25.4
26.8
1.55
0.1290
27.0
27.8
1.47
0.1613
28.0
28.7
1.45
0.1935
30.5
29.5
1.44
0.2258
30.6
30.3
1.45
0.2581
30.8
31.0
1.47
0.2903
31.2
31.7
1.49
0.3226
31.5
32.3
1.51
0.3548
32.1
33.0
1.53
0.3871
33.5
33.6
1.55
0.4194
34.0
34.2
1.57
0.4516
34.7
34.9
1.59
0.4839
35.1
35.5
1.61
0.5161
35.7
36.1
1.63
0.5484
36.2
36.8
1.65
0.5806
36.5
37.5
1.67
0.6129
37.5
38.1
1.69
0.6452
38.2
38.9
1.71
0.6774
38.9
39.6
1.74
0.7097
39.2
40.4
1.78
0.7419
43.1
41.3
1.83
0.7742
43.3
42.2
1.89
0.8065
46.0
43.2
1.98
0.8387
47.3
44.4
2.11
0.8710
49.1
45.7
2.29
0.9032
49.4
47.4
2.56
0.9355
51.1
49.6
3.01
0.9677
52.2
53.1
3.92
Predictions
Return
Calculated
Period
Value
500
65.3
Standard
Deviation
8.47
0.993
143
60.1
6.30
0.990
100
58.5
5.71
0.986
71
57.0
5.18
0.971
35
53.6
4.08
0.967
30
53.0
3.89
0.667
39.4
1.73
0.500
35.8
1.62
Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de
0.9951914482
Coeficiente d
0.9904060186
R^2 ajustado
0.9899140195
Error tpico
0.0220524345
Observacione
42
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertadSuma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF
Valor crtico de F
Regresin
2 1.95790712 0.97895356 2013.02426 4.456E-040
Residuos
39 0.01896608 0.00048631
Total
41 1.97687321
Intercepcin
Variable X 1
Variable X 2
Coeficientes
1.8335349556
0.1984721691
-0.5272275395
Error tpico
0.01529323
0.00570688
0.00993433
Estadstico t
119.891903
34.7777213
-53.0712599
Probabilidad
1.082E-051
5.707E-031
5.575E-038
Inferior 95.0%
Superior 95.0%
1.80260147 1.86446844
0.18692892 0.21001542
-0.54732162 -0.50713346
T
aos
143
5.9
8.9
10.9
206.1
100
5.7
8.5
10.3
199.8
71
5.4
8.0
9.8
193.6
35
4.8
7.2
8.8
180.3
30
4.7
7.0
8.6
177.3
10
3.8
5.7
7.0
42.8
2
2.5
3.8
4.6
26.5
Fuente: Elaboracin del autor aplicando el Modelo de Bell
T
aos
12.4
11.8
11.2
10.0
9.8
8.0
5.3
60
14.7
14.0
13.4
12.0
11.6
9.5
6.3
143
206.1
100
199.8
71
193.6
35
180.3
30
177.3
10
125.5
2
112.9
Fuente: Elaboracin del autor
Constante
Err. estndar de est.Y
R cuadrada
71.2
67.8
64.5
57.8
56.3
45.8
30.3
53.3
50.8
48.3
43.2
42.1
34.2
22.7
43.5
41.4
39.4
35.2
34.3
27.9
18.5
37.2
35.4
33.7
30.1
29.4
23.9
15.8
K= 68.16
m= 0.198
n= 0.527
0.0220524
0.989914
42
Grado de libertad
39
Donde:
Coeficiente(s) X
0.1984722 -0.5272275
Error estndar de coef.
0.0057069 0.0099343
Fuente: Elaboracin del autor
I= 91085 T0.198
t.0.527
T= aos
t= minutos
60
29.5
28.1
26.7
23.9
23.3
18.9
12.6
Nm. de observaciones
19.4
18.4
17.5
15.7
15.3
12.4
8.2
19.4
18.4
17.5
15.7
15.3
12.4
8.2
Y
X1
X2
log
I
LogT
1.8524799936
2.15533604 Logt0.69897
1.8524799936
1.726727209
1.638489257
1.5705429399
1.469822016
1.2878017299
1.8312296939
1.7058637123
1.6170003411
1.549003262
1.4487063199
1.264817823
1.8095597146
2.15533604
2.15533604
2.15533604
2.15533604
2.15533604
2.15533604
2
2
2
2
2
2
1.85125835
0.69897
1
1.17609126
1.30103
1.47712125
1.77815125
0.69897
1
1.17609126
1.30103
1.47712125
1.77815125
0.69897
1.6839471308 1.85125835
1.5954962218
1.5276299009
1.4265112614
1.2430380487
1.7619278384
1.635483747
1.546542663
1.478566496
1.378397901
1.195899652
1.7505083949
1.624282096
1.535294120
1.468347330
1.85125835
1.85125835
1.85125835
1.85125835
1.54406804
1.54406804
1.54406804
1.54406804
1.54406804
1.54406804
1.47712125
1.47712125
1.47712125
1.47712125
1.17609126
1.30103
1.47712125
1.77815125
0.69897
1
1.17609126
1.30103
1.47712125
1.77815125
0.69897
1
1.17609126
1.30103