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Principles of Communication Engineering John M. Wozencraft Irwin Mark Jacobs Depart of Heeical Exgeeing Masher inne of Tecaegy John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York + London + Sydney woe Cpyih 195 by Bo ey Son ts AL Rigs Reser ‘intent ora pct et nen be ope fn ‘ou ewe paren fhe ube. Listy af Cong Catalog Cad Nanber 65.1649 ‘Prod in be Usted Ser of Aen Preface Dring recent years «vast body of knowledge central to the problems ‘of communication engineering has acamulated pieceredl in the journal Teature Unfortaately, tis work is often couched in advanced mathe- ‘ata! term, and no overall synthesis at the level ofan introductory textbook fs been available, AS 4 result, even at second glane, the dix [Splines of coding and modulation often appear to be distivet and the [Sbivecions of information theory t0 be oxly vaguely connested with the relies of communication system design. “We hope thatthe Book wil provide a cobesiveintducton to much of this apparently dxparate work, We have been motivated by three ‘elated objetives. The fist is to establish a sound frame of reference for Farther tidy m communication, random processes, and information fd detection theory. The scond sto make the ental results and con- Gepis of stitial communication theory accessible and intitively ‘etingfal to the pratcng enginee. The third i to Muminate the {nenecring slgalicance and application of the theory and to provide & {Quantitative basis for the compromises of engineering design, "Book cont and senpe reflect these objectives, The subject mater progresses systematically from elements of probability and random process theory through signal dtetion and selection, modulation and Posing, demedulation and decoding, and engicering compromises ‘Unity ssougt throueh consistent exploitation of the gometieconeeps ‘of Shanaon and Kotelnikov, which place dearly in evidence the iner- felations emong such phenomena 26 the inedence of threshold with “twisted” and “sampled and quantized” modulation systems, "The development ofthe sibjest matter i almest ene selcontaioed ‘and does not demand mathematics more sophisieated than now ene Counter in an anderradoate electrical engineering curiculim, We Dresume thatthe reader bas @ through grasp of Fourier and tnear stems theory that hes able not on 0 write down but ls to evaluate Convolution intgral—and that he Bas been exposed to complex inle- pation, Pioe knowledge of linear algebra and) probably theory is pt but not necessary In thot bal don instances in whic theorems ‘ut bo invoked whose formal proof exceeds the lvl ofthe txt an fo ‘gs bern made to mate traning plate at wel as pai We aloo presume thatthe reder i lreedy Wel founded in clstome irc, Mich we do not does “Although the materatcl level of the book is intentionally eon- stcined he imelltua evel ofthe sujet ater sot. Inde, although ‘he book Begins at «bite stomenary lvl, ater chapters tat maay {opis that be gear the Toto of caren eormanieatonreerch and intorporatscvtain rule hat have oot previous been published. The cul chapters re preseate in nay tht eae tera ino the deer Stati! ofthe ltr chapter, eventhough less gears prstaton IBieM slice if an open-ended tsutment were not died. "Fosome extent depth of treatment has ben Sata hy ew and os formidable derivation of wellknown resus. Toa larger extent, bower, ithe equted esting conieation to communication mods tht ae mathematically tractable, The premier theoretic ae best com veyedie these poxsiblecontt. Tut book spinal oaeeoed ‘rh Guosan channel dstarbencs abd performance bounds sbuaineble {rom union arguments. Extension to more geertlehannels a gsr Bounds requsesadiional cchnigo Gu Iie tat i ne inte Way of "The slecion and treatment ofthe subject mater reflects out bas as well as our objectives For example llhvgh coding i not an eo ‘onic viele sluion in many enginesting environments, i ceain ‘thsi appears tote the mostatactivesalation, Wefecin conegeence tiara communication ager neds fo appreciate the operating char Actes, capac, and imitation of soding. An et cpl {herfore daveed to « nady of coding end decoding implementation “The scope ofthe bok is adequate to spun two-seater sequence of fieyear grate nsucion, andthe sbjct mace has bon ranged wih sua coure in mind.’A natural dvsion ito cover Chaplet 1 {o Sin the fat semester and Chapters 6:0 in the sacond This progres Son provises a unified and extensive teatment of digs comomiction tefore consideration of the mathratical and Sonepat of Com finsous modulation, which are inherentiy more stb "The rs ve chapion may abo be wed alone a «contained ono- semester introduction to data communiation. Aa aleratve one. ‘Simtr course compres Chapters] fod plus thet al f Chapter? And ih het two tts of Choper 8. The lter sequence has the ade antage of icuding some continous modulation theory but fot the cena idea that err ice communication is tainabs even when a ‘hanno. Either onesemester configuration may be used as a senior honors ‘course for undergraduates who are seriously interested in communica: lions; successively revised versions of Chapters Ito Shave been taught atthe Matsachusets Institute of Technology to seniors by nine diferent ally members during the four years of manusrit preperation. On the other band, Chapter 6 andthe las parts of Chapsers 7 and 8 seem sisincly graduate fa character. Most of the problems atthe end of tach chapter are roativly deep snd many extend the materia of the fest, We antcpate that intractors teaching andergraduates wil wish te supplement these problems with athers designed for purposes of di 'No book is writen in a vacuum, but we fel special debt to our colleagues. The intelectual malnsprings of this work stem from the ‘pioneering research of T. A. Kotelnikoy, C. E Shannon, R. M. Fano, nd P. Blas. To the last thes we ae indebted not only for their work but also for ther inspired teaching, generous counsel, and constant ‘encouragement. Several of the rceat refinements and extensions of the ‘theory ave attributable to RG. Gallager. Valuable suggestions were recsived from W.B, Davenport, W. M. Siebert, B.Reifen, HA. Van ‘Tees, DA. Sakrison, RS. Kennedy, IG. Sgt, V.R- Alga, T.S. “Huang, A.M. Manders, H. A. Yudkin and J. E, Savage. In aition, ‘oth of us have benefted immeasurably from our association with the MLL Lincoln Laboratory, a which the experimental work disused in ‘Chapter 6 was performed under the direction of P. Rosen pd. L Lebow. Deborah Brunette, Barbara Johnson, Manly Pierce, Eline Osler, ‘and Lovie lana syped and retyped the manuscript through innumersble teisions. Helen Thomas gunerowsly edited and D. G. Forney, Carefully proofread the final version, Most of the computations were programmed by Martha Aitken, "We are gatful fo the Department of the Army and to the National ‘Aeronautics and Space Administration for parti supporto the research feported herein. Manuscript prepartion vas supported in part by a front made to the MassachusstsTnstate of Technology by the Ford Foundation forthe purpose of ang inthe improvement of engineering ‘education, Last, t0 our students and stociates inthe Research Labor fatory of Elvronie and Deparinent of Electrical Engineering at th ‘MassichosattsInsate of Technology we owe aa unrepayable debt for stimulation an opportunity. J. M. Wozevenare nn M, Jasons Cambridge, Massachusetts une 1965 Contents Chapter 1 Ttrodestion Hoa o 0 11 Historia Sketch ' Communication Theory, 2, Randomness 5, Probabilistic Formation ofthe Communication Protem, & 1.2 Plan of the Book 5 113 The Role of Communication Theory Dolo Chapter 2 Probabity Theory a 211 Randompess in the Real World 2 Random Experittent, 13, Relative Frequencies, 14 22 Mathematical Medel of Probability Theor. 6 Fundamental Defrtions, 16, Ancilary Defnions, 18, Propesies, 19, robeility Systems, 20, Relation of the Mode tothe Real World, 24, Conditional Probst, 2, Sattal Independence, 31 23 Random Variables 9 Distbation Funetons, 38, Density Function, 4, ‘Mulidimensionst Density Functions, $7, Equality of Random Varlabes, 58, Transformation of Variables, 58 Conditional Probability Densiy, 48, Mied Probebility Expressions, 73, A Communication Example, 7 24 Exposed Value oe ‘The Fondemenil Theorem of Expectation, 65, Moments, &8 25 Limit Theorems 9 “The Weak Law of Large Numbers, 96, Chernof Bound, 97, Central Limit Theorem, 108 AAppendic2A Reversible Transformation of Random Vectors . 111 Problems » Ma hapter 3. Random Waveforms 2A Random Proceses Imerprtaion of the RandomProcess Model, 131, Random Vectors Obtained fom Random Processes, 132 Specfcaion of Random Process, 133, Stationary Random Process, 135 . 42 Filtered Impulse Noise ‘i 7 Statinical Charocerinstion, 148, Statistical Dependency, 148, Joint Gawsian Denily Function, 151 433 The Malivarate Centra Limit Theorem Joint Characteristic Fantions, 157, Cental Limit Argu tment, 60, Caussan Random Variables, 163, Fiteed Impuke. Noise. Process, 168 Properties of Gavsian Random Variables, 164, The Multivariate Gaussian Density Fupetion, 168 146 The Gaussian Process pe Speciation of Gnonsian Process, 172, The Corcaton Function, 174, Stationary “Gausian’ Processes, 175, ‘Gaussion Processes through Linear Filters, 177 415 Correlation Funetioas and Power Spectra “The Expecation ofan Etegra, 179, Power Spex, 181, Jaiiy Gaussian Proseses, 186, White Gaussian Noise, 188 ‘Appendix 3A, Matrix Notation . ‘Detaitions 192, Properties of Matix Mutiplietion, 196, Inerse Matrices 197 Problems Chapter 4 Optimum Receiver Principles 41 Basie Approach to Optimum Recsver Design 42 Veetor Channels : Deshion Regions, 214, Adve Gausian Noise, 216, ‘Multivestor Channels, 219| 43 Wevefoem Channels . Waveform Synthesis, 223, Geomettic Interpretation of Signals, 225, Resovery of the Signal Vectors, 227, m 199 au a 212 Inielevant Data, 229, Joint Density Function of the Relevant Nove, 252 Inatiance of the Vector Channel to Choice of Orthonarmal Buse, 232 44 Receiver Implementation Corrltion Reteiver, 234, Matched ter Receiver, 238, ‘Component Accuracy, 264 45 Probably of Error 7 . Tauivelene Signal Ses, 246, Rectangular Signal Ses, 248, Orthogonal ed Rested Signal Sts, 257, Completely Symmaine Signal 'Sels and A Prior Knowledge, 263 Union Bound onthe Probability of Ero, 256 “appendix #4 Orthonormal Expansions and Vector Repre- ‘Chapter § ficient Signaling for Missage Sequences 5.1 Sequemil Sources Source Rate, 286, Transmitter Ponce, 287 52 Bicby it and Block-Ortogondl Signaling DBicbysit Signaling, 269, Block Orthogonal Sigaing, 290, Geoeati ntepetalon, 292 53 Time, Bandwidth, and Dimensonaity : Signal Dineusonaliy ay 2 Function of 7,294, Bandwidth Requirements vith Block ing the subjective equivalence toa listener of maby quit rent speech wavefoens. ‘Once the fact that receiver can ditnguish meaningfully between only a flnte number of message atesnatives hasbeen accepted tolls that ‘no significant los in comaniation performance x entaed in eesvcting the transmit to sending one of fine set of signals. The block digram ‘of such communication sytem isilistated in Fig. 1.7. As Ia Fig. 3, the soure output mf assbmed to be gonorted at random from a bet of (AC possble dscete messages, fm}. 10, Toso Mot, Each message is sociated with corresponding signal waveform, mo~ st) fo all land the transmitter sends (0) whenever ms mT transmited goal then propagates through the channel, aad a corupted version 1) is ‘elvetod to the ressivee inp. eo ,® o : o ote ale a gl a a 1 opts at Tipu LBs dgan de oomon in ‘The task of the resvee i 0 produce an estimate i ofthe message generated by the eoure, Te does this by comparing () against each ‘ember of the set of al M signal alternatives (0), eplias of which we ‘resume are stored ln the rcsver. "The receiver strctre showa ia Fig. 1.7 is quite general, The receiver consists of a lineae“ront end” thi compensates for atemustion during Propagation, a set of M detectors and a decison element. Each detector Deviorms one of the conparizon operations. Tn particle, te th detector Conmpaes the rseved waveform r) with the signal eceform 5) and produces a oliage valu, s8y, ny that is a mpeasuce of thirsty. The {eso element then determines sh on the buss of these fu) f= 0, Teer Mo, For certain choices of the {640} single deletion may sce in which case thereover diagram reduces to that show in Fig 18. ‘The chapter tha follow are organized around thee Bock diagrams. We begin by considering the point labeled ala Fig. 18 and by assuming ‘thatthe entire communieation system, with the exception ofthe deision ‘ment, bis already born designed. Tn Char 2 we introduce the ‘athematea tool probably theory—dhat is necesary for determining how best to dasgn this element. ‘Chapiee ie devoted to extending the concepts of probability theory 10 the study of random waveforms, In Chapter 4 we consider fist the point SS y (ra | © fram a tot Lome Sie Tipe 18-1 cern ca he ero Fig 17 my be er 0h eo soon 10 mernopucro labeled 8 in Fig, 1.7 aad exploit she eps of Chapers 2 and 3 to deter tine the opdimum detector and decision operations when transmission s istacbed by white Gaussian noise, Chapter continues witha discusion ‘of egnal design (pointe im Fig. 1-7) and concludes with an evaluation of the overall system when the (4()] fe chosen t yield the best posible performance. Tn Chipter 5 ye study the effects intzoduced by constants on the tlloyable transmitter power and the available chanel bandwidth (cor fesponding to post din Fig. 17}, In particle, bousds ate established ‘on the best attainable performance, and classes of signals that essentially Stain these bounds are desrbed. Questions of transmitter and resiver implmestation ere considered in Chapter 6, and the overall theory is ‘ious i relation to a ‘lephone line data Communication experiment. ‘Chapter 7 is concerned withthe extension of the preceding resus to bundpass channels, 0 filtered signals, and to nonwhite noise. Cerisin ects of random seatering during propagation are. described and, ‘evaluated. Filly, in Chapter 8 we consider the ease ia which the oupet of the random source isa eontinuows waveform, such a speech, rather than one ‘ofa nite wet of discret messages. Conventional modulation systems are valated, and their performance i clatod to that afforded by dveete ‘gnaiing, The chapter concludes with x determination ofthe fundamental Timtations of continuous modulation and © discussion of the inherent ‘advantage oblinable ia a discrete approach fo the communication problem. 12 THE ROLE OF COMMUNICATION THEORY es interesting that ingenious expesimestaton has often le historically to advances in commutistion tschnology far antdating real under Sanding ofthe principles involved. For example, Frequency modulation {abbrevisted FM) care ito widespread se soon after Armstrong? frst Spprecated its noiso-suppression capability ia 1936, even though to tis Aly some aspects of FM noise behavior remain puzaing and are the ‘sibject of active research, fooover the basi dea of Fraqueney modi lation had boon devised fong before in 2 misguided attempt to conse ‘tansmission bandwidth and bad lin exensally dormant subsequent ‘Carson's disproof of such a characteristic in 1922. Tn the past the role ft communication theory frequently as been to explain rate than Forel. ‘On the other hand, the basic conceptual aspects of communication are ‘now ot solid ground, and an extensive body of methodology and results “ime RoIP oF conaconacaTioN THEORY has been accumulated. Although innumerable strides of invention, both ‘heorsieal and experimental, emin to be taken, it appeatsinressingly likly that future advances will prminate within the framework of com ‘umsition theory. Even when a problem i best approached exper ‘mentally, appredason of the pdnsiples underlying’ commoncation oginering will provide ‘osght itl to guiding the experimeats to be pafomed. 2 Probability Theory Im our discussion of communication thus far we have emphasized the cenizal role plajed by the concept of "randomness." Ifthe ultimate ‘eesiver Know in vane the message output from the originating source, ‘here would be no ead to communicate; and ifthe propegationelacto- ‘magnetic sigals were not disturbed by mature, to communicate the retuage would be no problem. The word “random” means “uapredice bie" of the basi of what we know about the ast of phenomezon, we fre unable to predict ts future in detail. A considerable body of mathe- ‘ates (clels, for example) has been develope to treat causal phe- omens occurring in the rel world. Similarly, mathematial models hive been develope that are wef inthe sty of real-world random phono na. The objective of Chapters 2 and 3 is to present the mathematical 21 RANDOMNESS IN THE REAL WORLD (Our inability to predict the detailed future of a random phenomenon may arte either fom ignorance or zinss: to the Limit of our knowledge, the as governing a progression of eveats may be fundamentally random {ee in quantum physics), oF they may be so complicated and involve such trical dependence on intial eondions (as incom tossing that we deem unprofitable to undertake a detailed eal, ‘A petinent example of randomness is the transmision of radio waves trough the ionosphere, illustrated in Fig. 2.1. Radio waves at certain frequencies are refracted as they past through the ionized ga that con- ste the ionosphere. The degre of reaction depends on the detailed Strucute of the lonosphere, whieh depends i tur on the amount of ionising solar radiation, the incidence and Veloce of meteors, ané on ‘many ether factor “The voltage atthe terminals of the receiving antenna i the resultant of a number of waves taeling over a vavisty of different paths. The i i y pie 24. Refrain oo wine ty he nape sstenuaton and propagation delay vary from pa to path at any given instant of tinea vary with time fr any given path. The causes a hese ‘variations are far (oo complex to be ealelable i deta. Thus the re- ‘civing anton terminal volge varies ia a manner unprocieable i ‘detail, We say it varies randomly. "Although we cnt predict evacly What the entenoe ouput voltage wil be we fndexpernnally thet eran average properties do exhibit 3 reasonable regula. The received power aveaged over seoonds doesnot ‘vary greatly over minutes; the received power averaged overa month does ‘nt difer greatly from that average over another month chaactenzed by the same solar svt. “This satsica! regulary of averages i an experimentally verifale phenomenon in many eifferent situations Inveling randomly varying Guanes, Were therefore motiated to construet a mathematical model ‘Bdequate for the study of such phenomena. This isthe domain of the ‘mathematical field of probability and sais, Random Experiments ‘To avoid confusion, we inteduce the following terminology. By an experiment in the sel world we mean a measirement proce in Which ‘llcondiions are predetermined tothe tof our ability or interest. We ‘se the vor rao mean tho making ofthe measurement. By sequence (of Mindopondon tral of wn experiment we mean a set of N measurement, {nthe performance of each of which the discernible conditions are the ‘An experiment scaled random when the conditions ofthe measurement are not predetermined with suicient accuracy and completeness to permit ‘A peveepoditon of the result ofa lal. Whether an experiment should be considered random depends on the precision vith which we wish to 14 rnonamiusry THeRY istnguish between posible outcomes. If we deste (orate able) to look, lovely enough, in some sense any experiment i random. "Tho discussion above lads ws to estingash in connection with an experiment between the term oucome and res. By diferent catcomes (ve mene outcomes that are separa enable in an ulate sense; Ingeneal, the st of outcomes inany tal-werld experiment isifinite. BY diferent rendie we mean Sets of outcomes between which we choose to ‘istnguish, “Thus the outcomes hat are assed into esl share some ‘common Mentialestribule. For example «result in ovr propagation Experiment might be thatthe reesved power atthe antenna terminals, fveraged over T st, je between 10 and 15 gv. Such a result cliely fmbraces an infniim of diferent possible received waveforms, or ‘outcomes. Relative Froquncics ‘We ean now discuss more precisely what we mean by statistical regue Inty. Let denote one ofthe possible cesls of some experiment and ‘considera sequence of independent tals. Denote by (4) the number ‘of times that reult oecats. The fection oo an is calle the relative feguency ofthe result A. Clearly, Da hMayet oa In Fig. 22 we plot (4) veraus 1 fora spiel sequence of tls in coin fostng experiment where A denotes the result “Heads”. We observe that the relative requeney Austuates wildly for small N but eventually Seis down nthe vein of. This stabilization ofthe average incidence fof Heads in a lange saquence of ropeated iis isa simple example of Static regularity. In fac, we sre s0 imbued with tbe notion that this ‘ably is proper that were He not in evideace we would immediatly Stspet citer the cola or the tose, We fel itutvely that statistical fegulaity fa fundamental atsbute of ature ‘We often denote diferent results of an experiment by diferent sb- serpts! for instance 4. yey Aye Results shat cannot happen Smoltancously ina given tal ate called mally exchatce. As 2 tvial txmpl, ina coin toss the revuts Heads (say a) and Tail (say) are mutually exclusive, For mutually exclsive results itis clear tht the MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF PROBABLY TaRDRY 15 gue 22 Rene heyy in coin toning. (Mie plated on logit ak) cceurrence ofthe result “either 4 oA" satis the equality MA, A) = MAD + MAD Iaeaoe Subs o1 4) = fib) + febA)- a Another example toting adi, with denoting the result that the ith {ace shows. The result “odd face shows" is therefore the result "Ay ot yor Ay” Chatty, ily 08 Ay 06 Ay) = fA) + ful) + Sale [Fora fai die we expect the relative frequency ofeach 4, to stabilize about 1 "Thus oe expat the relative fequeney ofthe rl “odd face shows te stabilize at 22 MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF PROBABILITY THEORY ‘Matherstical models prove vssful in predicting the results of exper ‘ments is the real world when two condiions ar met. Fis, the pertinent physical enties and their properties must be reece ia the modal. Second, the propertcs of the model must be mathematically consistent fd pore of ana ‘we have son that realworld rendom expeiments involve three pertinent ents: 1. The set ofall posible experimental outcomes 2. The grouping of tes onteomes into eases, clld roms, between which we wish to stngulsh 16 Pronanirry ninoRy 3. The relative feguoncie with which these classes oocur in long seaqence ot independent tas ofthe experiment. In the mathentic model of probability theory the corresponding abstractions are called: 1. The semple space. 2, The et af events 53, The probability measure defined on these events. ‘We begin our discussion by ening these three mathematical entities, ‘We then develop our model by assigning to them mathematically con- Stent properties dit eefect constraints inthe real word, We conclude ‘wth a series of examples that develops further the correspondence betweun our abrit ents and thet real-world corsatives. Q® Qe gure 22, Asap spc, Bash gph 4 irae sociated wit the sample pin Fndamentl Definitions ‘Sample space: a collection of objects, The clletion is generally re- ferred fo by the symbol D. An object 01 called @ sample point and denoted As examples, Emig consist of the st of A graphs shown in Fig, 2.3, ‘vera points om the ve! ln, {he loved interval 0, 1] ofthe ral Hine, points ina plane, tli ie functions J) defined for —39 <1 < 2. rpavenevalDeHneTIONS 17 “The sample space @ carresponds tothe set of ll possible outcomes ofa real world experiment; each outcome, in turn, corresponds to a sample point Events et of sample pints. Wo usuliy abel event by capital eters, such a5 A, Beer OF Ay, dyssss- At evan s concisely defined by the expression A= (a: some condition on a is sts), aa hich stead "the event Ai he et fall suc that some eonditon on is saisied."} For example (fishes plane and p* 8 28 + #2 pose Shlecrent ie A = fo: p<). Then 4 i the set ofall points interior to a nit ele entered on the oii, ‘Similarly ifs the set of alltime ane tions posible event is the subst oF al ine functions sich that ac [irons Since the entire sample space ease of sample points, itselisalways aa vent. ‘Evens in the mathematical model corespond to resul won Probability measure: an assignment of veal numbers othe events ened on 2, Tre probability of an event Ais denoted P(A). ‘The com isons that the asigament must satiy will be cussed subsequently. Example I. Ifthesarple space isthe sto praphs shown in Fig. 23, and we define the event, toe the hk graph (sample ein), a possible probability asigament is in the real Pua) = Pla = Pld = be Play) = 0. Example 2. Wis the rea ine segment 0 < Land we define the vents 4, 4 (a: 0 <0 <0), 1. possible probability assignment is Past Example 3. 1°Qisthe set of all ime fusions (/(0) and we define the events 4, 4 (0:0< the? avo td noe song at Pima) — ald", (2.19) \whure 2s postive number Independent of M. ‘The number m4) the mathematial model ofa compound expeiment tas been defied ina manner that mace dzety analogous to relative requeney: we have f(A) ® NDI and m(A) = MAM. Equation 219 states, n addiog, that m(A) exhibits properdes that miror those of relavcefroqueney in nature: m(A)is lose to the murber P(A) with high, probability when Mi lage Just as CA) almost always stables close fo this same number when Ws large- Furthermore, the low-probabiliy ‘eat that mA) is very ilereal from PLA] mievrs atypical results im the real world soch ae abserving the relative froqueney of Heads 1 be close | na) = nbn mayen b= ® o gue 27 Boil robs snd ber a La, The ey abn te Nota nts trl po (Oh Gand heir p 003 CP Cconomonat roaaniry 29 ‘to-mity in long saquece of independent evin tosses. We say tat such Sequences are unlikely; the mathematical model says that they are improbable, We connect the model of probably theory withthe cel ‘world by saying that we donot expect fo obser a parteday experimental result if i erresponds to an event of low probability. Ths in a long Sequence of independent tals we expec the meaaazed lative ofa result to sonvergero the probably of be orresponding mathematical Sa Ae Neat Satna posal wR) sted by the fat that it preicts—in his eae, the atv frequency — succesfully, Naturaly the succes of a mathematical prediction depends not of cn the rls wed in casting but sls onthe secruy of he orignal ‘numerical data. For inctanos, the mace of « mathematical body in mechanics must approximate the massof the physical body. Inappication, Drobabilies ate ually assigned initially to funy spe evens; then ‘We proceed to caleulate the probabilities of ther, more complex, events, ‘Care must be akon shat che original asigameat i elise. For example, ‘one objective of communication theory isthe design of communication stems that operate over noisy channels with a minimum probability of ror. Successful enginering results are obtained only ithe mathematical ‘mode ofthe chaasel adequately ls the tte natu ofthe istrbance. In many eases study of the physics underying a random phenomenon leads toa proper intiat probability assignment; we shall sv that tran sSsior and Vacuum tube mole canbe treated In this way. Ta some eases, Symmetry provides the starting point; for instance, i is reasonable to ‘sign probability ? to Heads in coin tossing. In ether cass we make recourse fo the observation of-ratve frequencies: life insurance rates fre based on mortality experience tables. The unavoidable hazard fers, ‘of course, i that the observed frequencies may not be 1ypicl. Tn any vent, the ale of validity i always Whether of not predictions based ‘onthe orginal data are aourate enough to be wat Conditional Probability In dealing with repeated tals of a physical experiment, we have introduced the concapt of condional rave Frequency. ILis convenient to introduce corresponding concept into the mathematical mode Given any two events A and B, we deine the conditional probably PLA Botan event 4 aa pain Se ea 30 ronnusry cay whenever PLE 0, When PLA] alo nonzero, i follows that Pum) = FeAl a1PIB} = Pte A}PLA). 2) Sines te interston of 8 with ites, Pia] B]= 2) oaonalprotabiies ee tonto consideration oa sabpace ‘Borel pce This xm ely be vuliad ith he ep of Fi JiR Site show a sample spc 0m wich sve evens (4) a eine, The shaded are to the left ofthe doe ine is another event B. eis uel to think of “conditioning” as 2 means of generating & new probability system fom a given one: 1. The new sample space, say she original event B. 2. The new events sly (fi), are the original interseetions (4,8) 53 The new probabltes,(P[4\T}, ae the concitional probes (eid | a “This probability asignment to 0 stises the necessary properis. 1, Sins 0 < P14,5] < POR, we have 0 < PLA] < 1 W, By Eq, 222, PIO] = PIB| 2) = 1 FMBY}= Po thy Wks on moronbapeing Jone (290) searanest woremomece 31 I, I A/A; = 0, then (45) 04,8) = 2 and PAS UA) PIB U A,B| ABU 4.8 PIB) = Pla +P) 12 =P + Pt Since conditions| probate an beconsideredas ordinary probabtes dened on ane spl sce,alsttents ad theorems deutodinaty ato tee fr coal potas te pr Ir the set of teretions (4,5 i aon ad if Yea =, ex) toon PUB] = SPA) = ZPUeI PLA 8) eam ed 1a pM 1a) aw Equation 2.23 is elled the teoro of otal probably. 1 eorresponds tothe geomeccal axiom that the whole equal the sum ofits parts ‘Statistical Independence As lowe ondon! probaly i sty analogous sone onion He Seo CIN Dat Te conion Tong seas of indepen expcinenal taswetefore ante tia a conto! nitive frueny nl ice ate eepening Condionaprotaliye 1 the joint probabiiyt of two events and B satises Pla, = PLA PL, 025) PiA| BT = PLA, a2) ‘we call the prof events satay independent. Equation 2.25 mierors the coresponding approximate teationship for sea frequency with independent tials given by Eq. 215, {Ti proteiy tte ncton 4 of no eens 4 and 2 egy writen” 24h tendo LAL a reo ws fot he "Jost sed ‘2° The norton as atria melo ons oi tin Tale or equivalently 32 mossaiury mony ‘Asetof& events (dj) defined as statistically independent if nd only if te probability of evry inteseaton of fof fewer event equals the Drodiee of the probablites ofthe consituens, Thus thee events A Bs (oy rani eta vi BAS Ha Fle otra (0 a pt ea iat cans Figure 29" Indpenence and denen of tes ees. (Care statistically indopeadent when Pd, 1 = Pal PL rccrmane| on PIB, C] = PIB] PIC) aed Pla, 8, C]= PLA) PLB PIC cs) No three of these rations necessarily implies the fourth, If only Fa 2.6 is satshed, we ay thatthe events ae pals Independent, Pltwise Independence doesnot imply complete independence, Various possibilities sre given in Fig. 29, svensnican mmeresomce 33 An wn problem. The use of conitinal probably often simples the assignment of probabilities to the joiat occurence of two cVent. ‘Consider the urn problem, for example, in which We draw two bills at ‘random ffom aa urn containing one black and to ted balls. When we ‘daw ew bale without replacement, the only pssble outcome sequences fare (RR), (RB), and (B, 2) In the mathematical model we employ a Subsergt to denote the drav. For te fit draw we set PIR,) © & PIB] =f For the second draw we set PIR |RI=4 PUR B= 1 P| RI=} Pia B1=0, ‘hese the conditioning om the result ofthe frst draw. ‘Thus POR al = PERI PLR | I= 3, PER, Bs) = PUR PLA. | R= 3, PEBy, Re] = PLB PCRs | BA = A commanicaton proBlem. second, particlaly germane, example of tne utllty of conditional peobebiity i the following tealzed commun ‘ation problem, ‘Consider a mathemtial model ofa discrete commun ation ehaazel having M posible inpot messages (m}, 0G f< M — fd J posite output symbols (). 0- Pll} forall aa) ‘ence fj) ~ my if and only if 2 Plo Ply |ml> Pim] PL,| md forall 318) 36 vRowanusry nue (Once the set (9). J = 0,1, -- =F = Ses determined from Ea. 2316, the protablty of corect decison, PIC) can be calculated from the uation el = Pum. (3) te Pr) dente the ont probaly at i) tasted Snr scene atthe potty of ror, Piso by H{6)01 = PIC ex) da Example, tn Fig 12a we show a bias caonl with wo np relma a re08g— > T 1B o gue 22 A bnhy communion chon symbols (a, 8} and two output symbols (0,1. The input probebiities Plej=06 Pi] = 04 “The channel transition probatiites are Plo|aj—02 P1015 Ptjal—os Pte “Thos the probabilities ofthe four possible input-output paisa shown in ig 2.120, are o,0) = Pa} PO | a} 08 x 02 = 0.12 a, 1} = Pa] ol = 06 x 08 = 048 18,0] = 20] POs} = 04 x 07 = 028 P%,11= Po] I | 4] = 04 x 03 = 012 sasoom vananies 37 Since PI, 0) > Pla, 0} Plo, 11> PO, Th ‘the optimam receiver i specid by the mapping womb wm) = From Eg. 2328, Plc) = PIP, 0} + Plo, = 0.15 and P= Pre = 028, “The sample points corresponding o error are shaded in Fig. 2.128. 23, RANDOM. VARIABLES, In many ofthe applications of probability theor)—one is tempted to say mostieel nunibes are atoeatd with the pots (0) in a sample Spuce, For exampl, in dieoussng the ateratial model fora sequence Ur independent tls ofan experimen, was natural to assign to each joint va aumber ma), chosen to equal the fractional occurrence of A Ite event sequence astciated with , Another natural example, whe ‘isthe rea line is to ansocinte with each point «the distance for 2 the origin Equally wel, f course, we could asocate wit o the square ofthis distance. "The eal number asocated ith a sample point @ is denoted 240. Inthe general cee n which (23s an absrectcolection of points, =) tay be viewed as function that maps Jato the real line: given any olathe function =) specifies a finite real number 2(0). simple Example of euch mapping fe lstated ia Fig, 2.13. When 2 ise the iN] | fit He aa) aed Pipe 213- A maplag ot rom oe rele, 38 moans THORY real fine, examples might be xo) = fo) = oF or (0) = sine Tat, a ereug fo fue we ston dle bap pstachos nd impy tet ne he oneon =) Dison Factions Cae tas ben specie, we my Iguieinlothe robsisy of omens a feta <0) <8, Be fois) eh em toreley> a od soon, Tho answer to any such question i edly obtained om {| —-— Fun 21¢ Anenale oa poabilty dashes ton knowledge ofthe probably distribution funtion, defied as fa) £ Plo (0) b, FQ) ~ FiO) = Plo: <0) < a). Vila>d, Ao > A. “The fst three properties follow From the fact that F(a) i «probability and PD] = 1. Properties IV and V follow fons the fact that (wala) <0) U{0:b < de) <4} = {oi 2(0) 0. Furthermore, F,() i the value of F at the top ofthis discontinuity. 1F ‘P,=0, the height of the dicontinity i zero, that x, there i no d= ‘minty. ‘The properties of distribution functions are summarized by remarking that F,inteases monotooiealy from 0 (01, is comtinvous on the right and has 2 sep of sae P, at pola ai and ony if Plo: (a) = a= Py ‘We are no restricted 10 assigning only one rel number to each pont a in a sample space. In general, we define many diferent mappings (ancions) from a single sample space 0 into the teal Line, Then We have a st of coexisting random warble, sy (2, =, 2p. “Lhe pect omer mledig. Asal andor vale wwe ‘bial ancon on te poo ample sce The minlogy come om he ne ‘fram vale x math ot or nis el moi ch Sain vtage messed ame ie 40 prosasnare rR iret conser the cat for which kis 2. Once the fuetions x and ate speiied, we may ingle into the probability f joie eae such a5 foi2(e) Foyal dn b> Felts b> isranunoN ruNcrons 41 Properties I I, IL, and VI are sltevident, Propestos IV and V are sontequences of the facts that {30} < oo] =f fo om sarableand to of unt erent insur, Polen a) 8 monotouaaly Inewasing function of both engines, igre 21% Lungle os wont dition incon, ah and 0.6 Faya(eut) <1, Anexample ofa posible distibution function Faia shonin Fig. 2.156, ‘When random varabies, 2.» ae defined on , itis conven: Feat t adopt concise notation. Let denote the tuple (25 +, Ye ee he ies jon rovity door Rncon Ro) 4 Plo: 540) < gu 20) Sano) Sah, 235) foy-vo1 We refer tox 08 « femensional ecior of Bes 0, mar imply, a & random eector. 42 mommy Hoey “Two keaimensional vectors, sy 22a ad (2360) sad SOP bd. (2300) are sid to satis dhe relasionship ae om a Pooa- aay Examples. The folowing continuous probability density functions are froquelly encountered. Ta cach case, the parameter 8 is a positive constant. The density functions ae iustrated in Fig. 2.21. 1, expoNENIAL apo, ary 2<0, «<0, rs 24s) 2. manaat apo (246) 250, <0, reek (2.460) 48 rome mony ia N sata e igure 221, samples of prota ‘ery fnsuoe te poet ‘ens farcton@) the Ray gh Ot ‘lyfe 0 the arn ety feeaion the Caochy dons are thn ihe Cason dont faeton, fe ane) ctoewkere, 0; a<-h Faye jhets ~beact e476) i aos. 4, eavenn He, -aceco, G4) Beat elaluwt?; -ocece, Gato) rate Desy FoNcONS 49 5. onus 1 160) ~ he 2489) r= 1-o(2), 249) Jn whch we hve deiacd wat from a0 8 [remap es ‘The function Q(a) is not an clementry integral, but its complement, 1 900, is welitabalated “Ix rated 1 the more familar ervor fmcten ant fet ay es) si-o()] ast) 4s nian he eon f pais by of ey summer f= waa a pen nte:sey im joee= [Lema by the equation 2) ~My, Toondimensional demity functions. The_sotationsl convenience of writing probabilities a integrals exended to two Tandon VaabTos, Say 5 and 5 5 Gag OR detyJincion pn whe te oreny tedienal gn Fe Mle:teion 600 i011 = [renedde der — 52) (be acguments 2, and gare assole with and sp espectvely) "Tose HOW Past Be dtited in onder tat Le, 252 ay be wali t fist consid small etanglar ein shows fig 2.23: mA a 6 ya bab O aco Phe) = | om, ews a0 (ere bis postive constant and y = 2 then nied = sale) + vd-Vs ao ah(Gersd: <0 1 eam, apo ‘We observe that y isan exponentialy dstebuted rondom variable. “erated transformations iti sometimes convesient with complicated iransformetions fo apply the abovementioned techniques In sequence ‘Weilstate thie bythe simple example bet, 2.76) bles be. Then y =e + aand ee es soba none nls) ere) eee we have em eee ee ee weer tele Latent wraps area ne eee Sarah ams pee eee ros ff nossoanat reVREB creo gown; O0 a 0 «<0 vom {fi “atecntaiade; 630 ary For example, it apo =>0 aso. 64 momnury tore ‘The resulting random variable y i Rayleigh. This method is further lsborated in Appendix 2A. Implsise densities, When y= fle) and p, canting impulses, we ezermin p, in two part, The fst, sulting from the onimplive com ‘ponent of fis obtined as before; the second, resulting rom impulses Inno is obtained by the following means. IF p, contains an impulse ae ab i t @ etad ’ 4 o Figs 230 A tuft wh mpi dentin Py a0), then an impulse of value 2, is added to 7, at the point #=s0 ‘As an example, consider the half-wave rectifier transformation of Fig. 229 andthe density function of Fig 2302, Be) = WUE = 24 e+ DY+ BER, From Eq, 2.74 the continuous par ofp contributes top the tems 1) + Foe conmmova PRORARILTY DENSTY 6S “The impale (8 — 2) inp, contTotss top, the impulse (2 — 2). The impulse } G+ 2) n ps contributes (op the impulse 4a), Thos, as shown ia Fig. 2.36, fa) = 1 He) +a 2)-4 8 Condtional Probaiity Deasity Given an event B of nonzero probability, the conditional probability of an event ds been defied as M18) lal nal PIB) ‘fen events A and B are ceed in terms of random vale For ample lt andy be to endo vara defied on semple spce ind dene he ets Am (0:0, < 50) ch Applications. ‘Toe usefulness ofthe concept of conditional probability density canbe demonstrated by two examples. For the fest example com sider two random variables 2 and y and the tansformation reat, We desire the probability density Fanction ofthe random variable = We have alteady considered transformation of the form ¢ = 2+ 8 when isa constant and found (E9, 2.70, wth a change of notation) p= ply. 2.880) CCONDATONAL FROMAMLITY DENSTY 6 patain = -eiog | ‘igre 252 The conn Gaui enity freon, pa 5 — 0) 36 eton “This rest can be applied to the present problem by use of eondiionst probability deny. Focus attention on that part of the sample space for hich 4(o) eal f. Over this eegion «+ y is +B, and Bq, 2360 is ‘ali, with the important proviso that we sate the condition exp. Wehave Po |v = B= pay ~ By = 0 a.86) “The joint density of = andy is obtained by first oukiplying both sides of 9. 2.666 by D- Put B= Plo |9 = BPs nfo — Bly = PPB) mal = BB and then integrating out the unwanted variable in accord with Eg. 263 inn[lnd-hnu: smern 289 cee cee = 70 propawnry rian For s = fs, where is constant, we have found (Eq, 2.73) nor= dine) assy Restricting attention to the region of @ for which (a) = B, we have roly= = nlt|y=2) es) ‘Again tis iroportant thatthe condition be stated expliily. Multipying ‘oth sides of Eq, 2880 by pf) and integrating over B yes som, 289) ‘These results, of course cn ako be derived by the method of trans. otmation of vriables For 2-4 9 the condifon 2 <7 met by all Fue 255. ‘Theron or whkh © +9 <9. points in te +4 plane below the line # + y = y, a8 shown in Fig. 233. ‘The probability that te point (x, ) wil alli this regions Fo= [arsed wnt hs nora[l no“ Bbw snot en Inthe case of random variables the definition of tistical independence ‘a somewhat simpler than i the case of events (ee Eqs, 2.26 and 227. stamsnicaL wperm@eice TL We call random variables... % stacy Independant and only ifthe joint density funetionp, factors nto the product TT py that ony if = BA) = pelea Palte)--" Palo) Foral. (250) ‘Let x denote a tof k statically independent random vasiables and consider the random vector a ony Be Hea oo BD ea.) ing = ‘The joint density function pis given by ony ‘We conclude that the components of are also statically independent It's readily induced thatthe statistical independence ofa st af random ‘orables guarantees the independence of any subset ofthe, we have ast of Kovens, Sa) dys such tha each event A, inden in terms ofa single coresponding random variable =, oh asm) ee Whe ff dy ratedds=FTPAd a9) whenever the 7) ar statistically independent ‘Similan, the probability ofthe nteection of any subset ofthese events pal) Fenty! 160 =Phpter= ae 72 prowaneme reson {nth two-dimensional Gant ‘tr pis set equal to zo, then deny ucton o 258 he pram ante 89 = Zhen Ht #01 eye). ano ‘hush conion p= ines tit indgodee. Comey, for p x 0 the joint density farction doesnot factor and therefore», and sy afe not indopendent. ‘Sams of independent random variables, When random vaciabes are statistically independeot, te fom ofthe probability density function of rm is siripifled, For == 2 + y we have already obtained the sioy= [ptr As ee eee si0)=[ptr- patos Equation 2.94 is the conluion ofp and. py Using the symbol » to éenote convolution, we ean wet, for satisteslly independent random vaabies, Pa pethi tmety. By induction, Parytrar tas a3 m= T Ene 295) ‘As inthe Faia case of signal analysis, iis often easier to calculate ' Kfold convolotion by means of Fourier transforms. We dine the ‘characterise fttion, dented by Mo), ofa random variable to be the Fourier transform off demity fusion 109 Ape @s5 st I ot [poten ‘Mou WROBABILTY BKPRSHONS 73 1) Pim |= ol e108) ‘We nes pice 2108 jn amore conveent frm by use of the mined. Bayes role f 21038. Thos ip) yi and ony ‘do a) Pla) ede LPO Phe) HO) oz, since the denominator is common to both sides ofthe Inequality, if tod oaly if Pde |r Pinal > pom) Pim 2.106) We may proceod by noting that r= 4,4 when the transmitted sessag sm, ‘Thus, conditional on the event that mis the message ipa, 7g obtained from n by the addition of the (knowa) constants, Under {is condition r= pitsnd only i n= p — ay Ths, from the tion on lrsnsformations, de |) = ple — sm). (2.1100) ‘Moreover, snc the nos is assumed tobe indepondent ofthe transmitted Signal, hence of the message, pale = si] m) = phe — 9. 2.1108) A comacerion saree 7 1 llows that the optimum receiver sets ip) my if and only i alo ~ 8) Pl) > palo — 5) Pim. eu ‘The decision rule of Eq. 2.11 may be immediatly generalized to Include the case Af > 2. If the posible input messages ar my y= yp With corresponding tansmitir vollaes fy fy --- yea 280 pion probabilies {Pin} the optimum receiver again assigns (9) the message with maximum » posterion probably I follows immedi ‘ely fom Eq. 2111 that rip) = mand only if Pap = 59 Pim > palo = 5) Roma =O Ma 1, JL QUI fo or more messages have the same a posteriori probability, p may be assigned arbitral o any ope of them without os of optim ‘The decision rule of Eq. 2.112 emt be simplified further without introducing a spaic noise density Tunctionp,. The Gausian nose case inwhich pe) = net an) Pe infrequently encountered. The decision rule then becomes: ste) = my and only Pinjeom'™ > Pind ste, jm, Maine Guts) “This situation is iastrated in Fig. 2.350 for M = 2. From the figure is dear that am equivalent rae i then> assign p 10m if aa only if fa wate the thneshold 2 isthe value of pat which the two curves Inerect, The fenton ofthis threshold, fom Eq. 2.114 with = 2 8 yy) ens) pan Pid “The optimum ever oni i) is eterined by Bi. 2.112 for sale of M ad forty speed noe dest Tonto Ts tl {Dew the ncn bas prong te yc ofa Foul aos ‘of p into w set of M disjoint decision regions {f,}, 7 = 0, 1,..., M— 1. For he aus une n Pig 235 pnt neal a

id > Hd Sis the staf nt (n} ae mul ease, los fom the dtcorem of oa probabity tat the mcondvoned probity of 4 costs v(e}~ Sein trte| ma = "SP réeimo dp arte) and the unconditioned probability ofthe event eror, denoted fit Hg = 1 Ie) aur For he womsag ca in Fig. 235 alee nent nlm = = 2)= ant Reh = Pinte eh do trim fein ap ssrcgneryeme He PED ate fencer of Magen cle ine nator | aa ‘The probability of rors tereore PLC] = Pima ee ae ee [Equation 2.184 can be expresed in terms of the fonction OC ) of Bq, 2.50 by making the change of variable 2 =(p — in the fst Jnagel and = (p = aie in the sooond: then 19} «rimao(®@=4) +rtmao(?=) ne pti of ay Ht ess, = = em +3) and te evr roby jus OU — 592A. apa probes, Before a tansision occur, hea prot proba bit Bm] ofeach mesiage mis bow a he cer. When a olage Fp rzsed thea posta! probaty of each mesage my te teers Pm, [f= pland the optimum reaver dies infor of ht rresage for wich the a porartprbabliy is grete..The canna, egal cmon ean ls coh Tn the stnenee of 2 chante, the "9 es) Oye tie 1 geen Yow =[" poe apy =} Phere 3 [hever ate [7h oo A coamustcarion exanets 63 ean) wt gee 2.6 ‘The uncon Qe) and he foun 84 pRowaRsTY THEORY Substitution of Bq 2.120 in these bounds yes 1 1a ee Jonge ‘Thus the probebility of error decrees approximately exponentially with foeresing E,jo, Table 22 contains some typical value, eam ‘Tele 22 Binary Bror Probabiy Bounds Nake Bato, Bl Lower Bownd PIE Upper Bound @ Rex W™ 2m x1? 270 x10 Ho 24810 Ta IO 830 x 0 to Maple Sarto 402 x Bro 12 x10! 130 x 10% ‘Another upper bound to O(2), which willbe usfl Ine, amie x>0. aim) “This bound is lo plotted in Fig. 236, Proof of Eq, 2.12 is deferred to Problem 226. 24 EXPECTED VALUE, ‘Eventhough random phenomena ae unpredictable ja deta, me have noted that cetiain average properties exhibit reasonable reglacy. An Enpricalevrage inthe reel world eoresponds to expecied elu in the trathematical moet of protabiliy theory. “he a simple xampl, consider an experinent that consist of NY inde penens tones of an erdinary gambling die with faces labeled 1 to 6 ite denote the reste therth ons. Then ech: some integer between Yaad 6. "The empirical arerage va ofthe N results, denoted (2 is defined tem 2 ES es) “The summation in Eq, 2123 can be zeit inthe following way tet NE) denote the pusfber of tones that result inthe integer J. Then, regrouping terms, we have ® LS ofan "THE FUNDAMENTAL THEOREM OF EXPECTATION 8S von Ad E.N(pit isthe relative frequeny, defined in Ba, 2.1, of the ‘Since thes, ar acdom, thats, unpeditablein deta so also is hel empiical average (ay, But when Nis larg, f() i amon alvays b+ {Ered to stable close to some particular umber. This number cor- Fesponde ia the mathematical mode co the probability PL. Thus, for Targe M, we expect (2) to stable atthe muber Ele] given by te] = Bet any ‘We cll Ele the expected nae of the random variate = "Pquation 2124 defines the expected value forthe particular experimest of tossing die, Moce generally, we define the expected value of random ‘arable with density function py 35 via p40te aus ote 210s Zt 0) = SPUIMe—D- ‘We shal seein connection with the weak law of large numbers tat the general defniton of El] tetas the property of being the number ‘Onto which we expect an empirical average (2)v tO camcorge. The fxpectd value of @ random variable 2 ig also called jis moan eal, ot ‘npecttion, andi altermatively denoted “The Fundamental Theor of Expectation In many oases we need to caleulate the expected value of a random ‘variable that is defined by means of transformation on a random wetor r=a0) (2.126) ‘where g(_) maps every kimensional vector into sreatnumbe Although Tle] ean te ealeulatd from Fg. 2125 by fst ealalating , from the joint with the result of the th experimental Mallets, Nyand the sample mean mith the empirical averege TENE ‘When Ari agg, the weak Iw statement that wit high peobebility aoe tothe mursber is interpeted nthe real wor a the statement hat berring an atypical sequence of obseratins—the valve of be lose to the number 2. The posiity of observing an atypical equsace of rials (one comesponding in the mathematical model to Tae |S ois not raed Out, But, if 07. is small, soch sequences focus. "Aa infreting specal case of Bq, 2.149 io encountered when cach sanom variable defied in terms ofan event, of probability» bY for (or ein A) eam onl etowna, Thee Paya i= Pep, P= Ol= PAS] =1— 1506) and for f= 125-004 My weave mee ep f= HH = np. Substtating these values in Bq, 2.149 ives Pim ppd ] <3. of 23 4|>-] <3 aim ‘We begin the new derivation of Eq, 2.182 by defining 2 random variable ta (et Ke ne Faye 241 Geos cosas or skert pot of th wank hw of ge through the transformation stn), asso) wee /( then vad ation shown ia Fig. 2a ford Ne ilsSol>J-m=a seorecoti-re=n=a[]t3s] >. eases CHERNOTE BOUND 98 ‘The expectd value of equls the desired probability. By the theorem on sete] aus In geacral, there is no simple vay to evaluate the right-hand side of| Eq. 2.154 for aricay p, The Weak law Bond, however, can be obtained ‘by noting In Fig. 2.400 that for<(2Ji rat aim verf(l] d0, we should choose Lin sucha way that be rght-haod sides minimum. We can ind this opinum ehoioe, 2, by cilferentating = with respect to Zand ‘sating the derivative to ero: 4 a Lcerin, afer] yey ly =e] = Ey Corensore souxo 101, CCancsling «~¥ and reaeanging gives Zimplicly, thai, a the solution to the equation lve] FL] “The bound of Eq 2.159 then becomes En>]< PR oa cum It cam be shows that 2 a ven by Eg 2.160, alway greater than oF feu to zero for « > O'and tha 2 provides the minimum # (rather tha, the maximum) “The bound of Eqs 2.160 sealed the Cheroff Bound can be used whencrer the mimerstor and denominator of Bq 2.160 are finite which is teas or evry dust random varthle tha takes a ite sumber of ‘lus and for many continuous random variables, Though Is easy to ‘valute than the weak law Bound, the Chersf? bound is much more powerful: If we define (@.1€00) x Ain, tea) then Eg. 2160 becomes [Lgus]cem oa au Th te Coot nln een wih, es TLS Sota ao Peru tho SOEUR Sr ies lnc ones oe Eas ‘with independent of M8 vl for all Vfor aay 4° > Xi We say that ‘the Cheenof! ova is exponential ight. ‘We extend the Cheroff hound to a set fof identically distibuted, independent candom variables with nonzero means, (F, = 2}, by wating on. ‘Then Eg, 2.1606 bevornes rEkanet ethene; <> ate in which denotes any one of the identically dstebuted variables {. 102 Pponamuiry Teo From Eg, 21603 gis given impli by en Bhe= mee afer ee e18) ‘An identical derivation can be performed when «is taken as constant. The results rb gacere cies «20, in which 2, now negative is again spied implicitly by Bq. 2.1620, ‘We ean tammarize these bounds concsly by desing ceive abate Ta tes fd ae e160) ace th ged mpi by Ble} 1636) Fe] ae sample, Asan example ofthe Cherof bound, tke 1, with probabil p ae iat 2.16 iearerae ete ad Weta have Ble“j=a— 0) + re, Ee = pe We nts fom Ba, 2160: for OK 4&1, se’ pone ine Thos 1)-mn@ aim e102), comasore soon 103 Final, ap - nila, aoa) hich is postive i'd > p and negative if a < ps required “The bracketed etm on the lean side of Eq 2163 then becomes Td = pd + peKe*yt vea[GeT ome : i [lgacd, ocecr as vse owt 216 ei Come (aN) inp =~ ain (t = p+ dind C1 — adingt a ra) — HO, (2.1669) Tye) 4 win pain = Dy 2.1658) H@)% —alea~ (1 —2)la = 9). (2.1660) “The function H(_) called the “bnsey entropy funtion.” Tt is tabue lated and ploted in Fig, 2430. 104 Pxosaatiry nitony Ma)e-ahan(ia)e-0) a en ‘ce arirararisaparerae (a) Te boro an toese Hf a a we

] [E3x>4] ‘hws we may immediatly invoke Fo, 2165, wih d= 1 — d= be TE ‘oauumeltntp Ol and N= 1, tbe Chern bound yk noe (ETT -(GresT (wt. 105 rwoeaauery maxon On the other hand, substcating yields ap 1p) _ 01009) pe < PP O19) 0) < ASP = Rw 008. “The comparison betwoen the strength ofthe two bounds is more dramatic ite tiple N (039. The Chernoff bound s then cabo to yield 2.2% 10°, ‘whereas the weak law bound is vide by thre to yield 0.014 nthe weak aw bound Central Liet Theorem, ‘We noted in connesion with Fig. 2.7 that he binomial density function (hati, th density function ofthe semple mean re make in the particular cate for which the fx; are tatinticlly independent binary random variables, each with mean 3 and Vviace 2) exhibits an envelope that becomes simultancously narrower end more bellshaped asf inerenen The face that the envelope bacomes narrower is atebuue to the normalization factor 1/M in Fa, 2467: as M increases, the mean Fema remains constant, whereas the variance og? = o¥/M decreases, ‘Wie are interested here in investigating the tendency ofthe envelope to become bellshaped. Consequently, insted of m, we consider the reited random variable + defined by fees Waa en® 2.168) eae, ‘With this normalization = 0 and 0 = 6% so that both the mean and the variance of = remain constant sx NV ineeats. The Behavior of the ‘envelope ofp, a6 increases i evidenced in Fig 285. "The bellshaped tndeney stated in Fig. 2.45 for the binomial istibution is an example of a much more general group of theorens, Called collectively the contra dol theorem, one statement of which retds fs follows: Let (y) denote a set of stray Independent, 20ro-mean random riches. each with the came deny function py, = Py and fate arlance 0. Define Le jaa (2.1688) 1 The ptr i hore tte ce ical he inde y them, Ts fester eed tere re ede Refocse 50a) cereal | corns. tar THOR 107 at 1 tt Lay 4 Genayeoaxe te Wo pnonenahvers (epnokentbveo Wr o1e=03.v=40 FRpue245 ‘The Nat bin deny faction semmaad o 260-084 aod mm [rien [Gc ermtas erm oth ap e680) or, when 8 = 420, ) cas tim [ped da = o| Since the choiee doesnot ffi the right-hand side, the integration interval” ‘OF Eg. 21700 may be eogen either to include or exclude the points @ dnd ‘Discusion. The ceneal Limit theorem does not imply that, isell approaches the Gaussian density function; it does imply that the stegral Epic between fed nits proaches a value given by te inepal of the Gausitn density function, The distinction is clear if we consider p, torte binomial; for any 1, 0 mater how large psa su of impulses td therfore never approximates the encoth) Geusin density funtion. "The cenel limit theorem is operationally weful in estimating such ey or when is finite but very large aad [ao is relatively small constant CGniependent of N}. Quantitative evustion ofthe words “very lage” Sid Telatively small” depends on dhe details of the original density. Function pif py Haef ie Gaus, the central init theorem exact for fay N aod alo An equally tivialcousteresarple isthe binomial ease: iPtach y, assumes only the valbes —1 and 1, and if is any mumber eater than Vi, {Siar ]-oxe(2) probabil in whi ae, prows with sue LSyovie) ery Incsinet fi Sn>]=" the ose me of pan dae ]~of) am nsminseninascntosnsinenepial cctnaL Ur Tena 109 {a dubious, regardless of hov lege we tke N, Consder, for example, & ‘Sof inary random variables (2) in which for exh i assumes the Values 0 and L with equal probability. With 9, 2b of = i and af, we obtain from Eq. 2.171b LE aat+ofs)-avm eine af We have already sen (of, Bg 2.121) that the Q fonction Behaves ex Ponenvally #8 Qwerty a0. ors igeefeem eam whereas the exact expression is Hideo) of ee enters ports eo yetj=rywecm. a7) _qrons with Nand becomes enormous when Nisiarge, On the other hand, i realy veriied thatthe Cheroff bound aprss with Eq. 2.173, which {sin accord with our carr statement thatthe Chernol! bound is ex ‘oncotillytgit,Thus the Chernofl bound should be wed in lieu of the ‘Sata mi ealelation inate suc, ag in whic the Tit of tte goon Eg, 2.708 meee i N “Argument. No appricaton ofthe validity ofthe central limit theorem cat be gained from he Fllowing arguments Tet M0) denote the characterise function of any one of the N fdencaly istibuted zero-mean random yarlsbes (x and tet MA) fdooue the characteristic faction of het nocmaized sum =. Then M0) fand Mo) ae selated by = owls} —liter l Dba 8 M,(0) 3 Ele" 110 ragakanry mizony In wich we have wed the fc thatthe mean of a rout of aisaly independent random vrais i the product of ther means. ‘Now let us acme that py sch Sat every moment (7) n= by 2ycocr is nite Then, in ecordans witk Eq, 214b, M6) may BS ‘apes in the ponerse expansion monte ont Be Pee. ans Since ~ 0 aad FF = owe have Moya 8 S440) eT) where (8 sotinvous funtion that approaches the constant (—i}6) Seo approactes zo. rom Egy 2.174 and 2.1786, we bare iano= win) =a — aa) ‘me tpeina may be apne a te oe e nd+H=w 7 eam which converges for any complex variable w for which jy] < 1. Since we {he intrest inthe inias N+ co, we ray take Wsoiaty lege hat, fans fod 54+ Gall Applying Eq. 2.17 10 Ba. ra fave ofits a) Lita eee paso ua o-etinnnentnai si inane sin AEvERSIN:E TRANSFORMATION OF RANDOM YrETORS 111 Sines the exponential faction is continuous i fellows that jin Moy a7) ‘We recognize thatthe iting form of A) the character fuseion of a zero-mean Gaussian random variable with variance oy Tee Iannis tbe Sy ton In rlernia [miorma arm {is Gaussian, As we have already sean in connection with the binomial Aistibution, sucha claim ie fale! ‘The operations of limit aking and fntepration in Eq, 2179 eanao, in general, be interchanged, ‘Although the density function of » dees tend to Gaussian if py is sufcendy smoot, the general cental limit theorem statement that the {itribution function converges to Gaussian form hinges onthe atonal “mocthing” tht i niodced by integrating the density function, to tthe distribution function F. {APPENDIX 24 REVERSIBLE TRANSFORMATION OF RANDOM VECTORS “The changeotvariables transformation considered in Eq. 2.78 ie a special case of a reversible transformation of vectors. A transformation o> y, with both Xana y k-dimensional vectors, sealed reverie is ‘e-to-onethat i i the iverse transformation y+ also exists fr all Sand y ofinteres, For example, let YEU... AED (Ata) ‘where each ofthe [0 is «funtion of k variables that i, each signs 1 (difret) number cay ya), (0 vector x(o)- The transformation is ‘eversible if thee exists anther set of Functions fg) such that X= GO) 2)--. 0). eat) 1 is convent to express Eqs 2.1 inthe more conse form yet) pan 9) = at. a2) We now relate, top fora reversible wansformation in which the partial derivatives 3f/@% and 2p, exist for all and j, 1-61, ke First we determine the probably distribution funedon F, and then we 112 pmonamunry THEORY diferente Fo obtain p,. By defnon, 116)=[esoie ox) ‘where /is the region 7 Ale) < Br fle) < Brees nffe) SB QARB) “oking the derivative OY(28, 2° 4) ofthe right-hand side of Ea. 2A;3e to obtain p(B) is complicated by the fact that J not simply “xprese in terms ofthe variables of iteration. This difiuly ean be voided by making the change of variables yo Me. aaa) “Then it follows frm the existence ofthe inverse transform g that a= a0. Aa) “The region of integration Fcan be expressed simply in terms of y as I= (768) (Ade) Since aC) may be substituted for ain the integrand of Eq, 24.3 the ‘nly problem sn performing the change of variables of Eq. 2Asa i to {ela thediferental volume clemeats de and dy. The relationship is de = Us, QAse) whore Uy is te abgolute value ofthe Jacobian Jy) sssciied with the transformation g. The Jacobian, by defiition, is the determinant x Sg o> Su Yn Jao In| non| . ease) a ten --* Ja ‘with lente Jy = Ps FAD & @ASe), wr eng vii of 2A BTA 140)= [ patonusole af Po fowoneéoin one aes eveRSIBLE TRANSFORMATION OF RANDOM VECTORS 113 “Taking the partial derivative is now teva, and wo obsin the sited ‘elation betseen p, and p, when random vectors y and x are celated by ‘the 1:1 wansformations = ffx); x = #0) 4B) = pulat®)1 8 ean) Forther insight into the elation between py end py may be gained ty sealing te findamental interpretation of the probability density function: py i the function which, When evaluated at a point a aad sulipied by the volume AV, of « small pion AV, incuding the point. {yds the probability that xl ie In the rego. But, 7 Has In the region Mp then y = fx) must le in & coresponding region Aly of ‘Volume AF", whic contsine the point b= fla). Thus PAD AY, = psa) AY (2A) Since a = g(), we ave PAW) SY, = plat) Ae east) ‘Of course, AV, je notin general equal to AV,; indeed, feom Ea, 24.5 ay, a =H (Ase) Substtating Ea, 2A.e in Eg, 2A.Sb yields Ad) ~ ple) easay which is consistent with Eq. 287. "Asn ample ofthe use of F247 condor the polar wansformation xory given by (A.0) As shown in Fig. 24.1, the inverse transformation is = gO = Hc08 30 O % oat ts Figwe Pad 225. A “avesty” sormmusiation system employs two chanel fo transit Svohge 40a deion device oe show in Fig P25, Taste decison device ap aa Oo ood oR, rand 0 Wich haste nettm Assume that m an ng arson Gavan random vaables with vacances ‘Sb and ofa tut 6 my nd my ae jay stately independent. The routes 123 oscnen |B To ap igre as ‘stem ia ado commanicate one of to messages yan my wih pear roabis Pon] and Pim. For mesage om ie niga is Pa(YE: [a0 “The optimum dain ale seks to determine that Tor wish the 8 posterior (eonshionl probaly f my gia rad asia 4 Deteine the strutare ofthe optimum deco devie and exes the resin proabity of ror. Coase this eit for, =o; nd Pl = Pi] wth te performance ‘bained with un optima delsion tased only 08, 226 Detve he inequity cet [Feerew tees, ame. For what vale of does the equality ho? For what ales of this bound fighter tha the tony awe gonm or what vais of are the two bounds both within 10% ofthe tue value af (2)? Ho. Tenky OCF asthe proba hat ai 2 oF idependent ‘rovmean, untvarance Gauasan fandom vues les within the Shaded ‘egion of () sn ig. P226. Obser tat tis probably i excnied by the Figure P226

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