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10 Basel III Capital Calculations Impact of IFRS 9 M. Buklis PDF
10 Basel III Capital Calculations Impact of IFRS 9 M. Buklis PDF
June 2015
1
July 2014
December 2017
Final Standard
IFRS 9
January 2015
January 2016
November 2017
LCR Reporting
Effective Date
IFRS 9 DSIB
NCCF Reporting
June 2015
3
June 2015
4
Impairment
Expected
credit loss
model
IFRS 9
Hedge
accounting
Classification
and
measurement
June 2015
5
No
Yes
June 2015
6
Yes
No
Yes
No
No
Yes
Yes
Fair value
through
P&L
No
FV-OCI
June 2015
7
Contractually
linked
instruments
No separation
of embedded
derivatives
Reclassification
of assets rare
Liquidity
portfolios
Investments in
equities FVPL
vs FVOCI?
FVPL is the
residual
category
June 2015
8
Lifetime expected
credit losses
Lifetime expected
credit losses
Interest revenue
Effective interest on gross
carrying amount
Stage 1
Performing
(Initial recognition*)
Stage 2
Underperforming
(Assets with significant
increase in credit risk since
initial recognition*)
Stage 3
Non-performing
(Credit impaired assets)
June 2015
9
IFRS 9 Impairment
General model significant increase in credit risk
Key Judgements and Implementation Issues
Top down
versus bottom
up
Level of
segmentation
/granularity
Basel PDs vs
IFRS 9 PDs
Mapping
internal and
external credit
grades
IFRS 9 - Basel III
June 2015
10
IFRS 9 Impairment
General model significant increase in credit risk
Key Judgements and Implementation Issues
Regulatory PD
IFRS 9 PD
Hard to reconcile!
Through the
cycle
(TTC)
Point in time
(PiT)
June 2015
11
Basic hedge
accounting models
retained
(i.e. FVH, CFH & NIH)
Hedge accounting
is optional
Detailed rules on
eligible hedged items
and hedging
instruments
Documentation still
needed
Derivatives still
at fair value
Ineffectiveness
recognized in P&L
June 2015
12
1. Formal designation
and documentation
3.2 Effect of credit risk does not dominate the value changes
3.3 Hedge ratio results from the quantity of hedged item hedged
and hedging item used to hedge
80-125% effectiveness threshold is removed
IFRS 9 - Basel III
June 2015
13
June 2015
14
OSFI (January 2015) has advised financial institutions to NOT early adopt IFRS 9 except for DSIBs, due to
the expected significant impact.
OSFI continues to monitor IFRS 9 acceptance and guidance with other jurisdictions and BCBS.
BCBS Guidance on Accounting for Expected Credit Losses (2015) is currently in draft and was issued for
comment by April 30.1
The document provides separate guidance on expected credit losses, expected credit losses and capital
and IFRS 9 adoption.
BCBS guidance outlines 11 principles, of which 3 relate to supervisory evaluation of credit risk
practices, expected credit losses and capital adequacy. Effectively, capital adequacy rests on credit and
accounting processes:
Principle 9: Banking supervisors should periodically evaluate the effectiveness of a banks credit
risk practices.
Principle 10: Banking supervisors should be satisfied that the methods employed by a bank to
determine allowances produce a robust measurement of expected credit losses under the applicable
accounting framework.
Principle 11: Banking supervisors should consider a banks credit risk practices when assessing a
banks capital adequacy.
BCBS Consultative Document, Guidance on Accounting for Expected Credit Losses, 2015, page 1.
June 2015
15
In addition to the principles, BCBS provides specific draft commentary on several IFRS issues
Topic
Definition of default
Grouping for
collective allowances
Banks should adopt an active approach to assessing 12-month ECL, with changes
identified on a timely basis
BCBS defines / clarifies 12-month ECL as not the expected 1-year loss, but the expected
lifetime loss due to default within 1 year PD is 1-year PD while LGD is lifetime LGD.
Where a move to lifetime expected loss (LEL) occurs, the change in probability is to be
considered.
In formulating estimates of ECL, all reasonably available factors, including macroeconomic
factors, should be included.
12-month ECL estimates should be updated for each reporting period.
IFRS 9 does not directly define default but requires that it be defined consistently with that
used for internal credit procedures, with a rebuttable presumption that default is not later
than 90 days past due.
BCBS expects the definition to reflect both qualitative criteria for identifying credit
deterioration (unlikeliness to pay) AND an objective indicator of material delinquency (90
days, as in IFRS 9).
Collective or individual assessments are allowed; where collective allowances are allowed,
exposures in the group must share similar credit risk characteristics.
Grouping of exposures should be modified and updated when new information emerges to
show that credit characteristics have changed.
Grouping should not be used to mask changes in credit quality or to mask the weak credit
quality of some exposures included in the group.
June 2015
16
In addition to the principles, BCBS provides specific draft commentary on several IFRS issues
Topic
Assessment of
increases in credit
risk since inception
Modified /
Renegotiated
Transactions
Use of Practical
Expedients
Impairment calculations must estimate changes in credit quality since inception of the loan:
loan pricing includes credit quality at inception but changes since inception will not be.
Impairment calculations for financial reporting are an important part of credit risk
management and the two should thus be integrated.
Calculations will require both historical and forward looking data. Banks will need systems
capable of consistently handling and systematically assessing the large amounts of
information required and to measure LEL, along with strong governance and controls.
Banks will need to provide clear policy definitions of what constitutes worsening credit.
Banks will need to have a clear view backed by analysis of the linkages from
macroeconomic factors to credit risk.
BCBS believes that modifications or renegotiations can mask increases in credit risk,
resulting in underestimation of ECL or delayed move to LEL measurement.
Where renegotiation has been undertaken, banks must be able to demonstrate whether the
renegotiated asset has improved or restored the ability to collect interest and principal
and reflect credit losses accordingly.
BCBS believes practical expedients in IFRS 9 are inappropriate for large banks
For example:, and 30-days past due presumption.
The allowance to limit the information search for measuring ECL, without undo cost
and effort: Banks should search thoroughly.
The low credit risk exposures exemption from assessment of significant increase in
credit risk since inception: Banks to use this only in exceptional circumstances.
The 30-days past due presumption: credit risk should be assessed BEFORE
delinquency.
June 2015
17
June 2015
18
Basel III
Provisions
Impairment
Expected credit
loss model
Classification
and
measurement
ECL and
Parameters
OCI vs P&L
Adjustment
and Capital
Definition and
Components of
Capital
Credit Risk Standardised
Credit Risk IRB
Credit Risk Securitisation
Valuations
Market Risk
Hedge
accounting
Counterparty
Credit and
Netting
Operational
Risk
June 2015
19
Equities
Commodities
Bonds
1
Corporate
Finance
Front Office
Research
Market Risk
Management
Risk Mgmt
2
Order/Trade
Matching
Trade
Allocations &
Bookings
Counterparty
Netting
Middle Office
Finance
Operations
Sales &
Trading
Treasury
Credit Risk
Management
Trade Desk
Support
Client Onboarding
Accounting
Client
Relationship
Management
Risk Model
Management
Trade
Enrichment
Front/Back Office
Reconciliation
Management
Reporting
Currencies
Product
Development
FO Risk
Management
Scenario
Analysis
Administration
Legal &
Compliance
Trade
Affirmation
Compliances &
Regulatory
Requirements
Derivatives
Firm Wide
Supporting Services
Trade
Confirmation
Client
Services
Budgeting &
Forecasting
Pre-settlement
Reconciliation
Clearance &
Settlement
Post Settlement
Reconciliation
Collateral
Management
& Allocation
Margin
Management
Asset
Servicing
Reference
Data Mgmt.
Account
Administration
Fails
Management
Customer Report
Distribution
Regulatory &
Compliance
Management
Customer
Billing
Facilities
Support
Business
Continuity
Planning
Back Office
Internal
Audit
Human
Resources
Product
Control
Technology
June 2015
20
Stage of impairment
New disclosures
Data Storage
Control: Source
Consolidation or
Reconciliation
Control:
Consistency of
Tranformation
Credit /
Regulatory
Reporting
Position
Data
Data Landing /
Consolidation
Data Transformation
Data quality and
completeness
Capital or Risk
Engine
Static
Reference
Data
Parameter Estimation
Market
Data
Market Data
Source / Services
Data Governance
IFRS 9 - Basel III
Credit Risk
Reporting
Credit Exposure
Credit Capital
CVA
PD
LGD
EAD
Estimation
EE
Tool
Margin Period of Risk
Scenario Generation
Market
Credit
Liquidity
Sensitivity Scenario
Stress
Toolset
Impairment
Financial
Reporting
Control: Results
Reconciliaion
Operating
Model
IFRS 9 will require the capture of additional data required to classify credit risk and stage of
impairment, hedging characteristics and pricing.
IFRS 9 will thus impact operational processes and systems from deal capture, deal valuation,
settlement and risk management.
The particular needs of expected loss and impairment calculations for data and analytical
systems - resemble the needs that drive centralized capital and liquidity risk calculations.
Banks that do not have appropriate systems and parameter generation will need to build or
acquire this capability.
Expected Loss Large banks that have appropriate capital processes and systems will need to consider how to
and Capital
leverage them, possibly with multiple sets of parameters or how to explain the differences.
Governance
June 2015
22
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