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Chapter-13
Probability
The salient features of the chapter are
The conditional probability of an event E, given the occurrence of the event F is given by
P ( E |F ) =
P(E F)
, P(F) 0
P(F)
0 P ( E | F ) 1,
P ( E | F
= 1 P (E | F )
P (( E F ) G ) = P ( E G ) + P ( F | G ) P
(( E F ) | G )
P ( E F ) = P (E) P ( E | F ), P (E) 0
P (E F ) = P ( F ) P (E | F ), P (F ) 0
P (E F ) = P (E) P (F )
P ( E | F ) = P (E), P (F ) 0
P ( F | E) = P (F ), P (E) 0
Let {E1, E2 , ..., En ) be a partition of a sample space and suppose that each of E1 , E2 , ..., En
has non zero probability. Let A be any event associated with S, then
Bayes' theorem: If E1 , E2 , ..., En are events which constitute a partition of sample space S,
i.e. E1 , E2 , ..., En are pairwise disjoint and E1 4, E2 4, ..., 4 En = S and A be any event with
non-zero probability, then, P ( Ei |A ) =
P(Ei ) P(A | Ei )
n
P(Ei ) P(A | Ei )
j1
A random variable is a real valued function whose domain is the sample space of a random
experiment.
Key Notes
X
x1
x2
.....
xn
P(X) :
p1
p2
......
pn
pi > o, pi = 1, i = 1, 2,......, n
i =1
Where,
Let X be a random variable whose possible values x1, x2, x3 .... ..., xn occur with probabilities
p1, p2, p3 .... ..., pn respectively. The mean of X, denoted by is the number
x i pi . The mean
i =1
Let X be a random variable whose possible values x1, x2, x3 .... ..., xn occur with probabilities
equivalently
i =1
2x
Va r ( X ) =
1=i
( )
Var ( X ) = E X 2
E ( X )
Trials of a random experiment are called Bernoulli trials, if they satisfy the following
conditions:
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)