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ASYMMETRICAL
INFORMATION
ABSTRACT
This report focuses on ASYMMETRICAL INFORMATION what it means,
how it works and its relevance in todays world. We present the theorys
implications for market behavior and the market institutions that are created to
mitigate the adverse effects implied by the theory.
The problem of asymmetric information occurs when one party of an economic
transaction has insufficient knowledge about the other party to make accurate
decisions. The moral hazard, on the other hand, is the risk that one party to a
contract can change their behavior to the detriment of the other party once the
contract has been concluded. In insurance market the moral hazard is tendency by
which people expend less effort protecting those goods which are insured against
theft or damage.
Key Words: Asymmetric Information, Moral Hazard, Insufficient knowledge,
Lemons market, Insurance markets, Signaling, Screening.
INTRODUCTION
Why are brand goods popular? Why does a McDonalds make more sales than a
local competitor next door? Why do some people prefer to buy used cars from a
used car salesman rather than from an individual? Of two job applicants with
similar skills, why does the one with higher qualification get the job? All of the
above, brands, used car salesmen, degrees and qualifications are examples of
market institutions set in place to level information asymmetries.
It is empirically clear that people possess different information. The information
they possess affects their behavior in many situations. Consider buying goods, for
example, the seller adjusts the price of an item based on her knowledge of the
prices of similar items on the market and the condition of the item among other
factors. The buyer similarly can have information about the prices of similar items
in the market. But what he probably does not have is the same depth of information
about the quality of the item as its seller. There is clearly an information
asymmetry between the two parties at issue.
The concept of information asymmetry was able to explain many common
phenomena that could not be otherwise explained when it was first introduced in
the early 1970s. Since then it has become a valuable tool in the field of economics
and it is used to explain a diverse set of phenomena. Its significance was
established well before the year 2001 when the original authors of the theory,
George Akerlof, Michael Spence and Joseph Stiglitz received the Nobel Prize in
Economic Sciences.
The purpose of this paper is to give the reader a good overview of the asymmetric
information theory and its significance to economics research. We will discuss the
theory and its applications based on economics literature.
The research problem set for this study can be characterized as follows:
First of all we aim to study and explain the theory of asymmetric
information and to study its implications. This includes explaining the key
concepts of the theory and also finding out the strengths and weaknesses of
the theory.
Secondly, we want to find out some useful applications of the theory. We
also want to see how well the theory holds in these instances.
Lastly we will try to find some real life examples and some new applications
where the theory can be utilized.
LITERATURE REVIEW
The study will be conducted in the form of a literature review. This theory first
introduced in economic context and, although it has also been applied to other
fields of study, there is more than enough subject material to discuss the theory in
this field.
The intended audience is mostly students wishing to familiarize themselves with
the concepts discussed. Other interested parties could include practitioners wanting
to understand the theory of their markets better.
The name asymmetric information theory is used throughout the report to refer to
the multi-disciplinary body of research based on the ideas presented in the
Novelists papers.
1. Following the seminal work of Akerlof (1970) and
Rothschild and Stiglitz (1976), a large theoretical
literature has stressed the key role of asymmetric
information in financial markets.
OBJECTIVE
This report has only one objective, which is to
discuss the asymmetric information theory in
economics literature, its consequences and
solutions to the problem arising from it.
METHODOLOGY
Information failure is significant market failure and can occur in two basic
situations. Firstly, information failure exists when some, or all, of the participants
in an economic exchange do not have perfect knowledge. Secondly, information
failure exists when one participant in an economic exchange knows more than the
other, a situation referred to as the problem of asymmetric, or unbalanced,
information.
In both cases there is likely to be a misallocation of scarce resources, with
consumers paying too much or too little, and firms producing too much or too
little. Information failure is common and appears to exist in numerous market
exchanges.
It can be argued that markets work best, that is they are at their most efficient,
when knowledge is perfect and is evenly shared by all the parties in a transaction.
Hence, asymmetric knowledge is an economic problem because one party can
exploit their greater knowledge.
There are many examples of information failure associated with economic
transactions, including the following cases:
1. The job applicant, who fails to reveal at a job interview that they do not have
a particular skill for the job
2. The estate agent, who exploits the fact that a potential buyer of a property
has very little knowledge about the property, and any possible problems.
3. The cigarette manufacturer, who does not inform smokers of the true health
risk of smoking.
4. The buyer of a financial product, who is unaware of the true level of risk, as
in the case of derivative products.
5. The seller of a pension, who misleads purchasers about the financial value of
the pension. Indeed, widespread pension 'miss-selling' by large UK
insurance companies, occurred at the end of the 1990s.
Decision-making bias
Anchoring
Behavioural economists argue that individuals may be subject to anchoring bias
when making simple and complex decisions, which acts as a constraint on the
exercise of rational choice. Anchors can be visual images or sounds that
individuals become focused on and use to compare options and make decisions.
They may create a bias in favor of a particular decision, and perhaps against the
best interests of the individual. For example, research by Warwick University
discovered that credit card users focused more on the minimum payment required
when looking at their credit card statement than the total sum owed, and this might
cause them to run up higher debts that they would do without this low fee anchor.
The Lemons Problem
the seller's motive. Not having all the facts, potential buyers are likely to assume
the worst and expect the car to have a problem - in other words, it is a lemon.
Therefore, given that second hand cars will generally attract a low price, only those
sellers who actually have poor quality cars will use this market. After a short
period, it can be predicted that all cars sold on the second hand car market will be
lemons.
When applying this concept to other markets it can be suggested that, whenever
there is information failure, there is the possibility that markets will become
lemons markets. If so, the supply of good quality products will fall and the supply
of poor quality will products rise.
The principal-agent problem
Asymmetric information is also associated with the principal-agent problem. In an
increasingly complex world, individual decision making often relies on the advice
given by experts, and a potential principal-agent problem can occur whenever
decision makers rely on advice from others with more knowledge than they have.
For example, the shareholders of firms, the principals, usually delegate
responsibility for day-to-day decision making to appointed managers, the agents.
This creates a situation of asymmetric knowledge, with managers knowing much
more than the shareholders, and raises the possibility of inefficiencies, especially
when shareholders and managers have different objectives.
Examples of these inefficiencies include situations when managers decide to take
the easy life, knowing that shareholders will not find out, and managers deciding
to cheat and not reveal information to shareholders. This may occur in situations
involving insider dealing, where managers can exploit their knowledge of a
businesss prospects to buy or sell shares and make a personal gain.
Extra costs
From a firms perspective, the principal-agent problem can increase costs, and
make the firm less efficient than it could be. These inefficiencies include the costs
associated with monitoring the performance of the managers and having to pay a
premium to attract the best managers.
Moral hazard
Moral hazard occurs when peoples behavior is less careful than it could be, either
because they believe that their carelessness will not be found out, or because they
are encouraged to behave carelessly. This occurs because there is insurance
protecting them from the adverse effects of their careless decision. For example, a
pupil at school can idle along because they believe, either that their parents will
provide insurance against their idling, or that the State will provide them with an
income if they fail to get a job.
There are many other examples of information failure, including the following
situations:
1. Consumers may under-estimate the net private and external benefit of merit
goods.
2. Consumers may over-estimate the net private and external cost of demerit
goods.
3. Fishermen may not know the size of fish stocks and, as a result, over-fishing
current stocks.
4. Firms may provide misleading information about products, such as
producers of cosmetics claiming to make people beautiful, holiday brochures
making resorts appear more attractive, and car drivers not knowing how
much pollution they are creating.
Analysis
Remedies for Information Asymmetry
Clearly, government has a considerable role in trying to ensure that some of these
information failures are reduced or eliminated. The two basic strategies are to
increase both the supply of, and demand for, information.
Increasing the supply of information:
Options to increase the supply of knowledge include:
SCREENING
Examples
Contract theory
In contract theory, the terms "screening models" and "adverse selection models"
are often used interchangeably. An agent has private information about his type
(e.g., his costs or his valuation of a good) before the principal makes a contract
offer. The principal will then offer a menu of contracts in order to separate the
different types. Typically, the best type will trade the same amount as in the firstbest benchmark solution (which would be attained under complete information), a
property known as "no distortion at the top". All other types typically trade less
than in the first-best solution (i.e., there is a "downward distortion" of the trade
level).Optimal auction design (more generally known as Bayesian mechanism
design) can be seen as a multi-agent version of the basic screening mode. Contracttheoretic screening models have been pioneered by Roger Myerson and Eric
Maskin. They have been extended in various directions, e.g. it has been shown that
in the context of patent licensing optimal screening contracts may actually yield
too much trade compared to the first-best solution. Applications of screening
models include regulation, public procurement, and monopolistic price
discrimination. Contract-theoretic screening models have been successfully tested
in laboratory experiments and using field data.
SIGNALLING
The paper is concerned with a risk-neutral employer. The offered wage is the
expected marginal product. Signals may be acquired by sustaining signaling costs
(monetary and not). If everyone invest in the signal in the exactly the same way,
then the signal can't use as discriminatory, therefore a critical assumption is made:
the costs of signaling are negatively correlated with productivity. This situation as
described is a feedback loop: the employer updates his beliefs upon new market
information and updates the wage schedule, applicants react by signaling and
recruitment takes place.
Michael Spence studies the signaling equilibrium that may result from such a
situation, he began his 1973 model with an hypothetical example: suppose that
there are two types of employeesgood and badand that employers are willing
to pay a higher wage to the good type than the bad type. Spence assumes that for
employers, there's no real way to tell in advance which employees will be of the
good or bad type. Bad employees aren't upset about this, because they get a free
ride from the hard work of the good employees. But good employees know that
they deserve to be paid more for their higher productivity, so they desire to invest
in the signalin this case, some amount of education. But he does make one key
assumption: good-type employees pay less for one unit of education than bad-type
employees. The cost he refers to is not necessarily the cost of tuition and living
expenses, sometimes called out of pocket expenses, as one could make the
argument that higher ability persons tend to enroll in "better" (i.e. more expensive)
institutions. Rather, the cost Spence is referring to is the opportunity cost. This is a
combination of 'costs', monetary and otherwise, including psychological, time,
effort and so on. Of key importance to the value of the signal is the differing cost
structure between "good" and "bad" workers. The cost of obtaining identical
credentials is strictly lower for the "good" employee than it is for the "bad"
employee.
THE RESULT
Spence discovered that even if education did not contribute anything to an
employee's productivity, it could still have value to both the employer and
employee. If the appropriate cost/benefit structure exists (or is created), "good"
employees will buy more education in order to signal their higher productivity.
Conclusion
A lot of economic theories about asymmetric information, while logically correct,
have been rendered empirically obsolete. We are not suggesting that this new world
is perfect in every way, and indeed privacy is one of the major concerns. Still, the
passing of many information asymmetries will lead easier trade, higher
productivity, and better matches of people to jobs and to each other.
These changes also cast new light on the costs of a political system that produces
many new regulations but repeals very few old ones. The American regulatory
apparatus is increasingly out of date. It is geared to problems that peaked in the
previous generation or even earlier. We should revisit the topic of regulatory
reform, with an eye toward making more regulations temporary, or having
automatic sunset provisions, unless they are consciously and intentionally renewed
for reasons of their continuing usefulness.
References:
siteresources.worldbank.org/.../Asymmetric_Info_Sep2003.pdf
http://people.bu.edu/dilipm/wkpap/MMMV_AsymmetricInfoMiddlema
nMargins_Paper_Aug2014.pdf
http://www.ijsrp.org/research-paper-0714/ijsrp-p3198.pdf
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?
rep=rep1&type=pdf&doi=10.1.1.198.9252
GEORGE A. AKERLOF; The market for "lemons": Quality uncertainty and the
market mechanism; The Quarterly Journal of Economics 84(3):488500; 1970
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/462881468188674030/Asymmet
ric-information-about-migrant-earnings-and-remittance-flows