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Executive Summary
Despite the slump in oil prices and conflicts in from absorbing this pool of talent.
neighbouring countries, the Gulf region continues
Pay rises across the region averaged 6.7% in
to enjoy a stable pace of economic growth, with
2014, the highest average increase since the
most firms maintaining employment levels or
financial crisis, and are projected to accelerate
increasing headcount. Most governments have
further in 2015 to 6.9%. This is driven by the
so far used their large reserves to keep spending
competition for talent and rising cost of living
and investment plans at previous levels.
and, in the case of Oman, increasing unionisation
The impact of the oil price fall has so far been of the workforce. At the same time, the strength
limited to firms in the oil and gas sector, some of the US dollar, to which most Gulf currencies
of which have been downsizing. There has also are pegged, is helping make Gulf salaries more
been some slowdown in Bahrain and Oman, attractive for expatriates, reducing upward
the countries with lower cash reserves where pressure on wages.
governments have started to reduce their
The UAE, and particularly Dubai, remain the
investment on infrastructure projects.
regions most popular destinations for expatriates.
Across the region, the fastest growing sector is Qatar ranks second in popularity with newcomers,
healthcare, driven by a combination of growing but has very low retention as the cost of living and
populations, massive government investment, the ban on expatriates switching employers drives
and regulatory changes making health insurance many to leave.
mandatory for employers.
The outlook for 2015 remains positive, with
While the region remains a major importer of employers in most sectors expecting to grow.
expatriate talent, the need to create jobs for However, much depends on what happens to
a fast-growing local population continues. As the oil price. With the regions heavy reliance
such, governments are increasing the pressure on expatriate talent from India, the accelerating
on employers to reduce their reliance on an economic growth in India can also pose an
expatriate workforce and fill a higher share of increasing challenge to employers.
their roles with nationals. This is most notable in
Saudi Arabia and Oman, where nationalisation
is the biggest human resource challenge for GulfTalent
employers. April 2015
Recruitment Trends 4
Mobility 6
Salaries 7
2015 Outlook 9
Country Highlights 11
Research Methodology 13
About GulfTalent 14
2
Economic and Political Background
rowth comparison graph Oil price graph
owth Stable economic growth Crude Oil Price
Crude Price
USDper
USD perBarrel
Barrel(Brent)
(Brent)
andGrowth
GDP Qatar stadiums driving significant
comparison graph activity. Source: World Bank
Oil price graph
conomic Intelligence Unit,
GDP Growth Source: World Bank
t, Asian Development
GDP Growth Bank Crude Oil Price
%, 2015
%, 2015 Regional conflicts
USD per Barrel (Brent)
Healthcare
UAE
and education expanding
59%
Bahrain 22% 40% 4
37% 35%
31%
Kuwait 0%
N/A* Healthcare
Qatar has recently been the fastest
38% Dubai
Source: GulfTalent
Source: GulfTalent Survey
Survey of HR
of HR Managers
Managers
4
Recruitment volume graphs
Recruitment Volume by Location
Percentage of vacancies advertised on GulfTalent
Kuwait/Bahrain/Oman 8% 9%
11% 10% 11%
Nationalisation pressure 10%
17% 16%
Qatar 16% 20%
nationals. Attracting and37%retaining nationals
41% while
31% 35% 40%
home, with good salaries.
maintainingDubai
the mix of skills needed to operate
their business remains a major
2010 2011 2012challenge for
2013 2014 General Manager
employers. The pressure is greatest in Oman and Saudi-based Engineering Firm
Saudi Arabia, where almost all employers cited
Source: Based on 130,000 vacancies advertised on
nationalisation
GulfTalent.com over as
theaspecified
key challenge. It remains
period. Prevalence of the
online
leastrecruitment
in Qatar varies
and theacross
UAE,thewhere
region. nationalisation
Visa restrictions
targets are significantly lower and confined to
certain sectors only, and are less strictly enforced. Governments in the GCC are increasingly
Nationalization chart
Nationalisation restricting the choice of nationalities available
NationalisationPressure
Pressureonon
Employers
Employers
Percentage
Percentageof
of employers
employers reporting
reporting nationalisation as aa key
nationalisation as for companies to employ. In particular, visa
key human
human resource
resource challenge
challenge in 2014
in 2014
applications for nationals of countries facing
Oman 95% tensions or civil war, such as Syria and Egypt, are
Saudi Arabia 84% frequently rejected or delayed. This is limiting the
Bahrain 55% ability of employers to absorb the talent seeking
UAE 28%
there, the highest retention rate among all GCC Oman 30% 47%
40%
to seek opportunities elsewhere in the Gulf. As a
Qatar result, the countrys retention rate has fallen to the
20% Saudi Arabia lowest in the region.
Oman
Kuwait
0% Bahrain
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Expatriate resignations have
Source: GulfTalent Survey
Source: GulfTalent Survey
gone down in our company,
Qatar popular, but retention low but anyone who is resigning
Qatar remains the second most popular
destination for expatriates, though its popularity
now is leaving the country.
HR Manager
has declined sharply since its peak in 2010 when Oman-based Multinational
it was chosen to host the World Cup. The country
also has one of the lowest retention rates, as the
high cost of living and the ban on expatriates
switching jobs prompt many to leave.
6
Salaries
average rate since the financial crisis and they are Oman 7.6% 7.4%
forecast to increase at an even higher rate during Saudi Arabia 7.5% 6.7%
and government measures such as pay rises for Kuwait 5.7% 5.4%
nationals and raising the level of minimum wage. Source: GulfTalent Survey
Source: GulfTalent Survey
GCCAverage
GCC Average Salary
Salary Increase
Increase
2007 - 2015
2007 - 2015
Construction tops pay rises
11.4%
9.0%
Salary
Among Increase
sectors,byconstruction
Job Categoryfirms saw the highest
%, 2014-2015
6.9%
6.2% 6.1% 6.2% 5.9%
6.7% pay rises during 2014, as governments across
5.5%
the region 7.3%
HR continued their massive investment in
Engineering
infrastructure projects. 7.1%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015* IT 6.8%
* Forecast
* Forecast Healthcare
Finance and education, despite6.8%
their rapid
Source: GulfTalent Surveys
Source: GulfTalent Survey expansion,
Sales continued to see some6.7%
of the lowest
pay Admin
rises. Banking also saw lower than average
6.1%
Oman tops salary rises pay rises.
Marketing 5.9%
HR 7.3%
1.2
ering 7.1% vs. British
Employment & Salary Trends Pound
in the Gulf 7
IT 6.8% 1.1
ance 6.8%
Salary Increase by Industry
e Sector Salary Increase by Country Percentage, 2014-2015
Source: GulfTalent
Source: Survey
GulfTalent Survey Source: OANDA
8
2015 Outlook
average pay rise at 7.2%. This is followed by Saudi Hospitality 5.5% 5.1%
Arabia and the UAE at 7.1%. Oil & Gas 5.4% 6.8%
ExpectedAverage
Average Pay Rise Employment Growth by Country
Expected Pay Rise Source: GulfTalent
Source: GulfTalent Surveys of HRofManagers
Surveys
Net percentage of firmsHR managers
increasing
Forecast
%, 2015 Forecast
headcount
2015 Forecast 2014 2015 Forecast 2014
Saudi Arabia
Healthcare tops hiring 7.1% 7.5% OilPrice
Oil price Needed
Needed to
toBalance
Oman BalanceBudget
Budget 49% 57%
USD
6.2% USD 61%
UAE 7.1% UAE 47%
The healthcare sector has the highest forecast
5.9% Budget April 2015 price Budget 86%
Bahrain 7.0% Kuwait 38% deficit
surplus = $60
for headcount increase in 2015 with 79% of 5.7%
firms 43%
Kuwait 5.0% Bahrain 38%
expecting to hire more talent. Oil and Gas and Kuwait 54
Source: GulfTalent Surveys Source: GulfTalent Survey of HR Managers
Telecom/IT sectors reported the lowest forecast, Qatar 60
Employment
EmploymentGrowth
Growthbyby
Sector
Sector USD
KSA 106
Net
Netpercentage
percentageofoffirms
firmsincreasing
increasing headcount
headcount Bahrain Budget April 2015 price 125 Budget
2015 Forecast 2014 surplus deficit
= $56
Healthcare 79% 63% Source: IMF
Kuwait 54
50% Source: IMF
Real Estate 77%
Qatar 60
Retail 71% 75% Indian economic growth
UAE 77
Hospitality 63% 74%
The Indian economy, already fast growing,104
Oman has
Construction 54% 62%
received a major boost from plunging crude oil
Banking 54% 33% KSA 106
prices as well as the economic reforms planned
Logistics 53% 70% Bahrain 125
by the newly elected government. As a result, it is
Oil & Gas 37% 21%
28%
widely expected to have the fastest growth rate
Telecom & IT 24% Source: IMF
of any major economy, outpacing Chinas growth
Source: GulfTalent Survey of HR Managers
Source: GulfTalent Survey of HR Managers for the first time since 1999. This is likely to make
it even tougher than before for Gulf employers
Oil uncertainty to attract professionals from India, putting further
10
Country Highlights
The Saudisation drive continues under the Visa restrictions on nationals from war-torn
Nitaqat system, with employers receiving countries have made it difficult to source talent
benefits and penalties based on the Saudistion from these countries
level achieved in their workforce Mandatory health insurance is forcing all firms to
Return of foreign-educated Saudis to the extend this benefit to employees
Kingdom is providing a fresh pool of talent Increasing cost of living, particularly housing,
A new online system, Abshir, has radically a growing concern for residents and their
simplified visa application and processing employers
Qatar Kuwait
Construction sector is expanding, with many Increasing cost of living is making it difficult for
government infrastructure projects finally employees to manage expenses.
starting in preparation for the World Cup The government has cut its budget in response
Under pressure from international media, the to falling oil prices, likely to lead to some
government has increased enforcement of slowdown in the economy
employee rights, and has launched a Wage Visa restrictions on certain nationalities are
Protection System, similar to the UAE pushing employers to explore alternative
Rise in real estate prices a growing concern sources of talent
Oman Bahrain
Economic Growth
(Percentage real GDP change)
Inflation
Population
(millions)
* Forecast
12
Research Methodology
All historical pay data included in the report is based on the information
provided by employees through an online English-language questionnaire,
suitably screened and statistically analysed to arrive at the preceding results.
Respondents were aged between 22-60 years old and earned an annual income
ranging from US$ 12,000 to US$ 200,000. Salary increases were measured
for employees in ongoing employment only, and excluded those who changed
employment during the period. Salary forecasts are based on estimates provided
by human resources managers. The survey was conducted during the period
December 2014 to April 2015.
This document should be used for information purposes only. GulfTalent makes no claims or warranties
regarding the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, and accepts no liability for any use made
thereof. The recipient is solely responsible for the use of the information contained herein.
GulfTalent is the leading online recruitment portal in the Middle East, covering
all sectors and job categories. It is used by over 5 million professionals across
the region for finding top career opportunities. It is also the primary online
recruitment channel for over 6,000 companies, providing them access to both
local and expatriate talent.
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Employment & Salary Trends in the Gulf 15