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Intelligence 48 (2015) 137151

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Intelligence

Sex differences in academic achievement are not related to


political, economic, or social equality
Gijsbert Stoet a,, David C. Geary b
a
School of Education, University of Glasgow, 11 Eldon Street, G3 6NH, Glasgow, UK
b
Department of Psychological Sciences, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO, USA

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: The national differences in gender equality in economic and political participation have garnered
Received 2 December 2013 considerable attention as an explanation of boys' better achievement in mathematics in most
Received in revised form 22 August 2014 countries, but the debate is far from resolved. Using data from four international assessments of
Accepted 11 November 2014 the academic achievement of 1.5 million 15 year olds (Programme for International Student
Available online 17 December 2014
Assessment, PISA), we demonstrate that the relation between sex differences in PISA achievement
and national measures of gender equality is not consistent across assessments, and several of the
Keywords: positive findings are confounded by outliers. Further, for overall achievement across reading,
Sex differences mathematics, and science literacy girls outperformed boys in 70% of participating countries,
Scholastic performance
including many with considerable gaps in economic and political equality, and they fell behind in
Reading
only 4% of countries. The results raise doubts about the relation between national equality policies
Mathematics
Science and mathematics achievement, and raise broader questions regarding women's underrepresen-
tation in political, economic, and academic leadership despite stronger academic skills and
regarding the long-term economic prospects and social stability of nations with many men who
are not competitive in the modern economy.
2014 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

1 . Introduction although a recent meta-analysis of sex differences in school


grades from 19142011 concluded that the gap remained stable
The discussion of sex differences in educational attitudes and (Voyer & Voyer, 2014). This debate directly relates to a core
achievement dates back hundreds of years. For example, the question in the field of differential psychology and cognitive
British philosopher John Locke (1693) mentioned the relative abilities, namely the degree to which sex differences in cognitive
ease with which girls are able to learn a second language in his abilities are related to environmental factors. Some researchers
treatise Some thoughts concerning education. The systematic have argued that these sex differences have been largely stable
study of sex differences in educational achievement started in over the decades (Ellis et al., 2008), while others have argued
the first half of the 20th century (Woolley, 1914). Overall, for the they are disappearing (Feingold, 1988), or have essentially
past 100 years girls have been found to perform better than disappeared (Hyde, 2005; Hyde & Linn, 1988; Hyde & Mertz,
boys in academic areas that involve language skills, including 2009).
reading and spelling (Burt & Moore, 1912; Halpern, 2012), and The purported disappearance of these sex differences,
boys in some mathematical areas, especially in adolescence and especially in mathematics, has been attributed to historical
adulthood (Geary, 1996; Stockard & Bell, 1916). The stability changes in social roles and movement toward gender parity in
and magnitude of these differences are vigorously debated, economic and political influence. This process is predicted by
the gender similarities and gender stratification hypotheses,
Corresponding author. and some researchers have concluded that there is a linear
E-mail address: Gijsbert.Stoet@glasgow.ac.uk (G. Stoet). relation between the size of the sex difference in mathematics

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.intell.2014.11.006
0160-2896/ 2014 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
138 G. Stoet, D.C. Geary / Intelligence 48 (2015) 137151

performance and the extent to which men and women have variation in educational systems, or most likely some combina-
equal social, economic and political opportunities (Else-Quest, tion (Hunt & Wittmann, 2008; Lynn & Mikk, 2009; Rindermann,
Hyde, & Linn, 2010; Guiso, Monte, Sapienza, & Zingales, 2008). In any event, PISA scores matter; for example, it has been
2008; Hyde & Mertz, 2009; Reilly, 2012). We use four PISA argued that an increase of 25 PISA points (in mathematics and
assessments and national gender equality indices developed by science) in the next twenty years would raise the GDP by 115
the United Nations and the World Economic Forum to provide trillion US dollars across OECD countries (OECD, 2006, p.27). In
rigorous tests of these hypotheses, and find that they are not short, no other international instrument matches the PISA in
consistently supported. terms of assessed breadth of educational achievement and
The concept of gender stratification has its origin in sociology related factors or in terms of assessed human capital and the
(Collins, Chafetz, Blumberg, Coltrane, & Turner, 1993), referring economic well-being of countries and individuals. The one
to the differentiation between men and women based on drawback is the narrow time frame of the PISA, which limits its
income and power. Hyde's gender similarities hypothesis about sensitivity to long-term secular changes in achievement and
gender differences in psychological variables posits that males factors that influence any such changes.
and females are more alike than different (Hyde, 2005; Hyde, The results from previous comparisons of boys' and girls'
Lindberg, Linn, Ellis, & Williams, 2008). On the basis of a meta- performance in PISA assessments, and especially how differ-
analysis of some constructs, she concludes that there are only ences in performance might be related to differences in gender
few psychological variables on which men and women differ, equality measures (below) are confusing to say the least. Some
such as some motor and sexual behaviors (Hyde, 2005). One of studies, published in highly visible journals, conclude that there
Hyde's main points is that the focus on sex differences results in is a link between sex differences on the PISA and national
an underestimation of girls' potential in mathematics. gender equality policies (Else-Quest et al., 2010; Guiso et al.,
The gist of the stratification hypothesis is that sex dif- 2008; Hyde & Mertz, 2009; Reilly, 2012), whereas others do not
ferences in economic and educational opportunities result in find such a link (Fryer & Levitt, 2010; Kane & Mertz, 2012; Stoet
sex differences in mathematics performance (Else-Quest et al., & Geary, 2013).
2010; Guiso et al., 2008). In short, this theoretical model Our approach to resolving the contradictory conclusions is
proposes a causal link between gender equality and education- to analyze all of the PISA assessments between 2000 and 2010.
al outcomes. The gender similarities and gender stratification If the gender similarities and gender stratification hypotheses
hypotheses form a coherent theoretical model, which essen- are correct, countries with higher levels of gender equality have
tially states that nearly all psychological sex differences are smaller sex differences in educational achievement in mathe-
the result of social and political factors. It thus follows that matics as well as reading and science literacy. Previous tests of
implementing policies that create equality of opportunity will the hypotheses have focused primarily on mathematics and
ultimately eliminate the stratification of society by gender, and thus we do as well. Further, we argue that the focus is often on
so eliminate any sex differences in achievement. It should be girls and mathematics, while boys' performance gets less
noted, though, that this theoretical model has been criticized attention, despite boys falling behind in reading around the
for overlooking many psychological constructs that are quite world (Stoet & Geary, 2013).
large (e.g., occupational interests, Su, Rounds, & Armstrong, We will show that when overall scholastic achievement
2009), for creating the impression that psychological sex is calculated from the core competencies in mathematics,
differences are categorical, that is, an all or none issue (Lippa, reading, and scientific literacy, boys fell behind in the majority of
2006), and for being based on inadequate methodology (Del countries. This is not only relevant for the gender stratification
Giudice, Booth, & Irwing, 2012). Nevertheless, the gender hypothesis, because it raises the question of why despite
similarities hypothesis has received and continues to receive educational opportunities and success women are under-
much attention in both academia and popular science and it is represented in leadership positions in politics, business, and
therefore important to subject the associated predictions to academia. We will present support for two factors that might
rigorous empirical tests. We specifically address the claim that explain this. First of all, we show that the sex difference in
indicators of social, political, and economic equality are related educational achievement depends on the overall level of
to the sex difference in mathematics achievement, and draw achievement, with boys at the highest levels doing equally
the attention of the field to a wider problem, that of boys' well or better than girls at the highest levels. The second factor
overall underachievement throughout most of the world. is relative academic strength. Students' relative academic
The PISA is well suited for such an assessment, as it not only strengths and weaknesses are critical to understanding sex
measures achievement in mathematics, reading, and scientific differences in later schooling and occupational outcomes
literacy in 15-year olds around the world, but also a consider- (Humphreys, Lubinski, & Yao, 1993). Students who are relatively
able number of demographic and socioeconomic variables. The better at language related competencies than mathematics are
first PISA assessment was conducted in 2000, and repeated more likely to choose humanities majors in college, whereas
every three years since then, with an increasing number of students who are relatively better at mathematics than language
countries, participating schools, and students across assess- related competencies are more likely to choose physical
ments; in the 2009 assessment, 515,958 students in 18,641 science, technology, engineering, and mathematics majors
schools in 74 countries and economic regions participated (see (Park, Lubinski, & Benbow, 2007). These differences in turn
Methods and Supplementary online material [SOM] for details). contribute to later occupational choices and success within
Performance on the PISA is also linked to national differences these occupations (Park et al., 2007). In other words, when it
in economic output, although it is unclear to what degree comes to choices made by individual students, mean sex
the national differences on the PISA (across the mathematics, differences in mathematics or reading may not be as important
reading, and science literacy scales) reflect general intelligence, as whether they are, as individuals, better at mathematics than
G. Stoet, D.C. Geary / Intelligence 48 (2015) 137151 139

verbal competencies, including reading, or vice versa (Valla & From each survey, we have the data of each participating
Ceci, 2014; Wai, Lubinski, & Benbow, 2005; Wang, Eccles, & student. Those data include the standardized achievement
Kenny, 2013). We acknowledge there are other important scores on reading, mathematics, and science (and depending
factors influencing women's underrepresentation in leadership on survey year some additional basic skills, such as problem
positions that are beyond the current research project, solving, or specific subtypes of mathematics, reading, or
especially factors that affect later career development, such as scientific literacy). From each student, we have also detailed
the pipe-line issues (Jacobs & Simpkins, 2005; Jeffcoat, 2004; information about background, including a number of socio-
Tucker, Hanuscin, & Bearnes, 2008). Further, there are a economic variables (including a standardized composite
number of relevant sex differences in cognitive (Hedges & measure of socioeconomic status) and attitudes to learning.
Nowell, 1995; Linn & Petersen, 1985; Voyer, Voyer, & Bryden, Altogether, we have hundreds of variables per participating
1995) and personality (Del Giudice et al., 2012; Irwing, Booth, student, including sample weighting variables.
& Batey, 2014; Lippa, Collaer, & Peters, 2010; Schmidt, 2011; Not every participating student completes all the test
Su et al., 2009) traits (including interest differences) that material. Instead, different students complete different test
influence sex differences in career choices and are beyond the items such that each of them spends 2 h on the assessment.
scope of our data. The core PISA achievement (mathematics, reading, and
science) levels are estimated using a Rasch model (which is
commonly used in large educational surveys). For each of these
2 . Methods
three domains, we have five plausible values and 80 replicate
weights. The values are based on the specific questions each
The current study combines the analysis of data from the
student answered. The final scales for mathematics, reading,
PISA and equality data from a number of reliable international
and science are transformed to have a mean value of 500 PISA
institutions, such as the United Nations. We will describe both
points in OECD countries, with a standard deviation of 100
types of data separately.
points. Each analysis of the core domains was carried out
separately on each of the five plausible values and then
2.1. PISA data averaged (exactly in accordance with the PISA guidelines for
statistical analysis, OECD, 2003b). Country averages on the
The PISA data were collected in four international surveys relevant values used in the analyses of this study are listed in
carried out by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation the tables of the supplementary online material (SOM).
and Development (OECD). The main aim of the surveys is to
evaluate how well 15-year old students (defined as between
15 years and 3 months and 16 years and 2 months) perform at 2.2 . Gender equality data
the end of compulsory schooling (which in most countries is
15 years) in topics essential for employment and day-to-day The PISA does not include national gender equality data but
functioning in modern economies, in particular reading, such data are available from a number of other international
mathematics, and science (for an indepth descriptions of the organizations, such as the United Nations (United Nations
PISA assessment framework, see OECD, 2003a, 2010). Data of Development Programme, 2011) and the World Economic
the four surveys were collected in 2000, 2003, 2006, and the Forum (Hausmann, Tyson, & Zahidi, 2010). We used two
period 20092010. The PISA sampling and quality monitoring is different types of national data reflecting gender equality from
documented in high detail; documents can be freely downloaded these sources. These included specific indicators of gender
from the PISA website: http://www.oecd.org/pisa/ equality, such as the gender ratio in parliament or sex differences
Since the first PISA survey in 2000, between 41 and 74 in longevity and income, as well composite indicators that
different countries and economic regions have participated combine a number of specific indicators. Among the latter, are
(Table 1 lists countries for each PISA and OECD membership). the frequently used Global Gender Gap Index (GGI) published
The participating regions are parts of countries that did not annually by the World Economic Forum in the Global Gender
participate as whole nations. For example, three economic Gap Report (Hausmann et al., 2010), and the Gender
regions in China participated: Shanghai, Hong Kong, and Empowerment Measure (GEM), reported annually in the
Macao. It should be noted that the total population of Shanghai United Nations' Human Development Report (United
(over 20 million) is larger than that of many participating Nations Development Programme, 2011). The GGI is con-
whole nations, and some whole nations have fewer than one sidered to be an improvement over older composite
million inhabitants (e.g., Iceland). Similarly, in 2009 the two indicators such as the GEM, in part because it is more
Indian states Himachal Pradesh and Tamil Nadu participated as comprehensive, and in part due to the way it corrects for
economic regions while India as a whole did not participate. confounding factors, such as nations' affluence (Zentner &
In each participating country or region, a representative Mitura, 2012).
sample of schools and then a representative sample of parti- The GGI measure was first introduced in 2006, and yet has
cipating students of each school are determined. The PISA been used in the analyses of the 2003 PISA data (Else-Quest
consortium determines which schools participate. Schools then et al., 2010; Guiso et al., 2008; Hyde & Mertz, 2009). Because
provide lists of students that are eligible to participate, from the purpose of this study is, in part, to evaluate the conclusions
which national project managers select students according to drawn in those articles, we have also correlated GGI with PISA
standardized procedures (OECD, 2012, p.58). The OECD reports data before 2006. Although this is not ideal, we believe it is
that on average between 4500 and 10,000 students per country reasonable given the scores on these measure do not change
are tested (OECD, 2003a). much from year to year. For example, for countries participating
140 G. Stoet, D.C. Geary / Intelligence 48 (2015) 137151

Table 1 Table 1 (continued)


List of countries participating in the PISA.
Country 2000 2003 2006 2009
Country 2000 2003 2006 2009
Singapore *
OECD countries Slovenia * *
Australia * * * * Tamil Nadu (India) *
Austria * * * * Thailand * * * *
Belgium * * * * Trinidad and Tobago *
Canada * * * * Tunisia * * *
Chile * * * United Arab Emirates *
Czech Republic * * * * Uruguay * * *
Denmark * * * *
Estonia * *
Finland * * * * in the 2006 or 2009 PISA, the 2006 GGI and the 2009 GGI are
France * * * *
strongly correlated, r(47) = .94, p b .01.
Germany * * * *
Greece * * * * Further, it is important to note that even though GEM and
Hungary * * * * GGI are different measures, there is a relatively strong linear
Iceland * * * * correlation between them. For the countries that participated
Ireland * * * *
in the 2006 PISA for which a GEM and GGI score was available,
Israel * * *
Italy * * * * the correlation was r(41) = .83, p b .001. For the countries that
Japan * * * * participated in 2009, the correlation was r(58) = .75, p b .001.
Luxembourg * * * * The use of composite gender equality indicators is relatively
Mexico * * * * novel and not without limitations (Klasen, 2006). Despite this,
New Zealand * * * *
the advantage of composite indicators over specific indicators
Norway * * * *
Poland * * * * is that they are the result of a careful and targeted approach to
Portugal * * * * measuring gender equality, whereas the specific indicators are
Slovak Republic * * * (necessarily) less reliable, and less likely to give a broad picture
South Korea * * * *
of national gender equality.
Spain * * * *
Sweden * * * *
The authors of one of the studies in which a link between
Switzerland * * * * gender equality measures and the mathematics gender gap
The Netherlands * * * * was found on the 2003 PISA stated: The gender differences on
Turkey * * * the PISA math composite showed some association with
United Kingdom * * * *
composite indices of gender equity; the GEM and GGI were
United States * * * *
non-OECD countries the best composite predictors of the gender gap in math
Albania * * achievement (Else-Quest et al., 2010, p.122). However, the
Argentina * * * same authors argued that more specific indicators of gender
Azerbaijan * *
equality, namely women's share of research positions, parlia-
Brazil * * * *
Bulgaria * * *
mentary seats, and the female economic activity rates were also
Chinese Taipei * * directly related to the gender gap in mathematics PISA1: when
Colombia * * women participate at the rate of men in the labor market
Costa Rica * (particularly in science jobs) and in national government, the
Croatia * *
gender gap in math achievement on the PISA is smaller.
Georgia *
Himachal Pradesh (India) * Therefore, we not only tested GEM and GGI, but also these
Hong Kong * * * three specific variables for all four PISA surveys.
Indonesia * * * * For women's share in research positions, we combined the
Jordan * *
data from the United Nations Educational, Scientific and
Kazakhstan *
Kyrgyzstan * *
Cultural Organization (UNESCO) (available through http://
Latvia * * * * stats.uis.unesco.org) and the OECD (available through http://
Liechtenstein * * * * stats.oecd.org/). We used both data sets, because they partially
Lithuania * * provide data for different countries. When the data were
Macao * * *
available in only one of the two sources, we used that
Macedonia *
Malaysia * information, and when information was available from both
Malta * data sets, we averaged them. Further, these data were not
Mauritius * always available for each year, and in those cases we used data
Miranda (Venezuela) * from the closest year available. If a preceding and succeeding
Moldova *
Montenegro * *
year was available we used the average.
Panama * The specific indicator of women's economic activity was
Peru * * taken from the Human Development Reports for the years
Qatar * *
Romania * * *
Russia * * * *
Serbia * * * 1
Reilly (2012) makes similar claims for the 2009 PISA data, but his data
Shanghai * analysis is confounded by the way the achievement gap in high achieving
children is calculated; see SOM for a detailed analysis.
G. Stoet, D.C. Geary / Intelligence 48 (2015) 137151 141

2000 (United Nations Development Programme, 2002), 2003 sex differences in mathematics achievement on the other hand.
(United Nations Development Programme, 2005),2 2005 We then report on overall sex differences in achievement, and
(United Nations Development Programme, 2007) (the data of end with an analysis of how overall academic achievement
2006 are not available), and 2009 (United Nations Development levels and intra-individual differences in relative strengths in
Programme, 2011). Similarly, the seats of women in parliament reading or mathematics can lead to insights into the observed
were taken from the Human Development Reports. sex differences in this study and in career choices.
It should be pointed out that each Human Development The first part of our analysis challenges the conclusion that
Report states explicitly that comparisons of labor statistics sex differences in mathematics achievement across countries
across countries should be made with caution. Also, there is are related to varying levels of gender equality. We start by
the more general question of whether economically active showing that the correlation between the level of gender
reflects increased opportunities and fairness in society. Argu- equality and the mathematics gap is not consistently found
ably, economic activity can also mean that some women have across the four PISA assessments (20002009). Next, we show
to work for the mere survival of their family. Further, the that the observed correlations are very sensitive to the data of a
measures of the percentage of women in research are not as few countries that can be considered as outliers.
complete as the composite indicators. As noted, we had to The relation between the GGI and the mathematics gap is
combine some data sources, but do not have information on the shown in Fig. 1. For each PISA assessment, we calculated the
percentage of women researchers in some large countries, correlation twice; first using the method of Guiso et al. (2008),
including Australia, Brazil, Canada, Russia and the United which removed school children from the lower half of each
States. It is for these reasons that composite gender equality country's socioeconomic status (see Methods), and second
indices have been created, and we feel that they are therefore including all participating school children.
more suitable than these specific indices, although we report Of the six correlations, the mathematics gap and gender
the results for both composite and specific indices. equality measures were only significant for the 2003 PISA,
r(35) = .41, p = .012, irrespective of whether the data of all
2.3 . Data analysis students are included or not (with all data: r[35] = .44,
p b .01). Although the GGI measures were first reported for the
We use Pearson correlations to analyze relations between year 2006, as noted above, we correlated the 2006 GGI with the
sex differences on the PISA and national equality scores (with 2000 PISA mathematics gap as well, and found no relation,
an criterion of 5%). In our analyses, we only include the data r(39) = .11, p = .49. Thus, the prediction that higher levels of
of whole countries, and not for the few economic regions gender equality lead to a smaller sex differences in mathemat-
(e.g., Hong Kong), because we do not know if the equality data ics achievement was supported by the correlation between
available for whole countries are representative for the selected 2006 GGI and 2003 PISA data, but not supported for the 2000,
economic region it seems reasonable to assume that 2006, or 2009 PISA data.
especially the economic, social, and educational development We carried out the same analyses using the main alternative
of urban areas such as Hong Kong and Shanghai is different of GGI, namely the GEM, which is available for all four years the
from that of other areas of China, in particular rural areas (and PISA surveys were conducted (see Methods for explanation of
the same is true for other economic regions in PISA). differences between GEM and GGI). As with the GGI, there was
Further, for the calculation of a correlation between GGI and a significant correlation between GEM and the mathematics
the mathematics gap, we use two different methods, following gap in the 2003 PISA data set, with higher levels of gender
a previous study (Guiso et al., 2008). Here, correlations were equality associated with smaller sex differences in mathematics
based on data using children from families whose socioeco- achievement, r(31) = .367, p = .036. However, this relation
nomic status was higher than the median of their country. They was not found for the 2000 PISA, r(30) = .005, p = .977, or the
argued in their supplementary online material that there is the 2006 PISA, r(41) = .027, p = .863. In the 2009 PISA, we found
potential that boys and girls drop out of school at different a correlation in the opposite direction, r(60) = .26, p = .043:
rates, and that this is potentially more likely for children below higher levels of gender equality were associated with larger sex
the median on socioeconomic status. However, they also stated differences in mathematics achievement. Thus again, the
that their findings are robust when including all children. In any analysis shows that the prediction of greater gender equality
case, we have reported both values for the GGI and mathematics leading to smaller sex differences in mathematics achievement
gap correlations. For outlier analysis in all correlations, we used was only supported for the 2003 PISA.
Cook's distance (Cook, 1977). We determined a data point as an As explained in the Methods, there are three specific
outlier when it was higher than the commonly used cutoff point indicators that have been described as being related to the
of 4/(n k 1). mathematics gap, and we tested these for all four PISA surveys
as well. We found that women's share of research positions
3 . Results correlated negatively with the sex differences in mathematics
achievement, although not reliably so across all four PISA
We start with an analysis of the consistency of the relation assessments (Fig. 2). Note that a negative correlation means
between gender equality measures on the one hand and the that the larger the percentage of adult women in research
positions, the smaller the sex difference in mathematics
performance among school children. We observed this effect
2
Else-Quest and colleagues used the data of 2001 from HDR report 2003 to
for the 2000 PISA, r(31) = .68, p b .001, 2003 PISA, r(29) =
correlate it with the 2003 PISA data (United Nations Development Programme, .35, p = .058, and 2006 PISA, r(40) = .29, p = .07 (trend),
2003). but not for 2009 PISA data, r(46) = .16, p = .28.
142 G. Stoet, D.C. Geary / Intelligence 48 (2015) 137151

The second specific indicator is female economic activity. key role in driving the correlation between gender equality
Here, there was a clear effect for the 2000 PISA, r(39) = .352, measures and the PISA mathematics gap when it was found.
p = .024 and 2003 PISA r(35) = .377, p = .021. These positive In regard to women's share of research positions (Fig. 2),
correlations mean that the more adult women were partici- the 2003 results were strongly driven by four non-OECD
pating in the economy, the smaller the sex difference among countries. The OECD and non-OECD countries differed consid-
school children. However, this was not found for the 2006 PISA, erably in the percentage of female researchers, which partic-
r(49) = .046, p = .751, or for the 2009 PISA, r(62) = .002, ularly biased the data that Else-Quest et al. (2010) reported.
p = .986. This latter finding is also true using just the countries The four non-OECD countries (Latvia, Thailand, Tunesia, Serbia)
that participated in 2000 and 2003 (for 2006: r[40] = 0.282, responsible for the highest percentages of female researchers
p = 0.07; for 2009: r[42] = 0.089, p = 0.565). Thus, the (ranging from 47% to 53%) had a strong influence on the
indicator female economic activity does not consistently relate correlation. When excluding these four countries, the correla-
to the mathematics gap, with a clear distinction between tion was reduced from r(29) = .35, p = .06 to r(25) =
20002003 PISA and 20062009 PISA. .172, p =0.39. Thus, the two PISA surveys for which there
The final specific indicator is the percentage of women in was a reliable relation between the mathematics gap and the
parliament. When applied to all available data, the correlation percentage of women researchers irrespective of OECD status
between this indicator and the mathematics gap never reached are 2000 and 2006. That in itself does not allow us to reject the
statistical significance, with correlations ranging between hypothesis of a link between this variable and the sex
r(37) = .233, p = .154 and r(64) = .181, p = .146. However, differences in mathematics. However, using Cook's distance,
for the 2003 data, the expected negative correlation of a smaller removing the outliers Iceland and Korea reduced the correla-
mathematics gap with more women in parliament was found tion between women's share of research positions in 2003 and
when the non-OECD countries were excluded, r(28) = .398, the mathematics gap to r(27) = .25, p = .20.
p = .030 (Fig. 3). In regard to the relation between the percentage of women
Thus far, we have shown that the relation between in parliament and the mathematics gap, the only meaningful
composite and specific indicators and the mathematics gap correlation was for the 2003 PISA when considering the OECD
was never found in more than two of the four PISA surveys, and countries only, r(28) = .40, p = .03. Removing the outlier
even when found the pattern was not always the same. We Iceland from these data did not change the correlation.
now address one of the reasons why this relation was In regard to the third specific gender equality indicator, the
sometimes found and sometimes not. female economic activity rate, there was no indication that
A visual inspection of these correlational analyses suggests outliers affect the statistically significant correlations found for
that grouping and outliers complicate the interpretation of 2000 and 2003.
statistically significant correlations. Before, we concluded that Altogether, the relation between gender equality indicators
the GGI correlated with the mathematics gap in 2003 (but not was unreliable across time, and when the relation existed, it
other years). But even in 2003, this conclusion seems to be was repeatedly driven by some countries, in particular Iceland
strongly influenced by the data from the Nordic countries, and the nearby other Nordic countries.
Iceland, Finland, Sweden, and Norway (Fig. 4). Iceland was a
clear outlier in terms of Cook's distance. For this dataset, a Cook's 3.1 . The overall gap
distance value over 0.12 can be considered an outlier, and
Iceland's value of 0.38 was the only data point well over that The focus on international variation in gender equality and
value. If the same outlier analysis is applied to only half the PISA sex differences in achievement has largely been on the
data, as in the paper by Guiso et al. (2008), then Iceland's Cook's mathematics gap. This gap is certainly important, but so is the
distance is 0.62. The correlation was reduced to r(34) = .33, gap in overall achievement, that is the average achievement
p = .053, without Iceland, and to r(31) = .25, p = .16 in the main PISA domains of mathematics, reading, and science.
without the Nordic countries. Thus only a few data points might This is especially true given the strong correlations among
be the reason why the GGI was correlated with the mathematics these domains (in the 2009 PISA assessment, average r for
gap in 2003 but not in any other PISA assessment. In the mathematics and reading = .81, for mathematics and science =
Discussion, we return to the contribution of the Nordic countries .85, and for reading and science = .86, see SOM for further
to the debate about sex differences in academic performance. details about these cross correlations), and the importance of
As is the case for the GGI data, the only correlation between all three domains for success in employment and further
GEM and the gap in mathematics was found for the 2003 data, education.
r(31) = .367, p = .036. Iceland, Thailand, and Korea had a We found that boys' overall score was lower than that of
Cook's distance larger than the cutoff point, but even without girls in most countries (Fig. 6). In the 2009 PISA, girls performed
these countries, the Pearson r correlation still approached significantly better than boys in 70% of the countries (52 out of
significance, r(28) = .34, p = .063 (Fig. 5). It is interesting to the 74), whereas boys significantly outperformed girls in only
note that the Nordic countries played an important role here as 4% of the countries (3 out of 74). In 2003 and 2006, the pattern
with the GGI. Dropping these countries and outliers reduced was similar (in 2003, boys fell behind in 41% of the countries,
the correlation to r(25) = .25, p = .20. In 2009, the positive girls in none; in 2006, boys fell behind in 58% of the countries
correlation between the mathematics gap and GEM was and girls in 2%; the 2000 PISA data were organized differently
entirely driven by the group of non-OECD countries. Again, such that inferential statistics for overall scores could not be
we are not arguing that these countries should not be included, calculated; see SOM for further details).
but we are merely demonstrating that some data points or As with the mathematics gap, the overall gap was not
groups of similar countries seem to have repeatedly played a consistently related to relevant national equality indicators. For
G. Stoet, D.C. Geary / Intelligence 48 (2015) 137151 143

OECD countries
30 Finland, Sweden, Norway
Iceland
non OECD countries
Gender Math Gap (2003 PISA)

20
girls better boys better

10

10

r(35) =0.408, p =0.012 Iceland r(35) =0.435, p =0.007 Iceland


20

30
Gender Math Gap (2006 PISA)

20
girls better boys better

10

Iceland
10 Iceland

r(35) =0.202, p =0.232 r(35) =0.174, p =0.304


20

30
Gender Math Gap (2009 PISA)

20
girls better boys better

10

Iceland
Iceland
10

r(35) =0.236, p =0.16 r(35) =0.114, p =0.501


20
55 60 65 70 75 80 85 55 60 65 70 75 80 85
GGI GGI

Fig. 1. Correlations between the composite gender equality index GGI on the one hand and the sex differences in mathematics achievement in PISA (boy scoresgirl
scores). Top panels) The relation between the 2006 GGI and the 2003 PISA mathematics gap. Note that the 2006 GGI data set is taken because 2006 is the first year GGI
was published. The blue square indicates Iceland, and the three blue data points the three Nordic countries Norway, Sweden, and Finland. The left panel uses the data
from students that score higher than the median socioeconomic status of a given countries (like Guiso et al., 2008), whereas the right panel data uses the data from all
students. Middle panels) Same as top panels for the 2006 PISA gender gap in mathematics. Bottom panels) Same as top panels for the correlation between the 2009 GGI
and 2009 PISA data.

the 2003 PISA data a significant relation was found between GGI Perhaps more important than between-country gaps are
and the overall gap, r(35) = .403, p = .013, with boys falling the overall achievement gaps found within each country. We
behind more in gender equal societies. But also here Iceland's calculated these by dividing the scores of each country into 100
Cook's distance value was unusually high, and without Iceland percentiles, and then taking the difference (boysgirls). These
the correlation was r(34) = .31, p = .06. scores, averaged for OECD and non-OECD countries revealed a
144 G. Stoet, D.C. Geary / Intelligence 48 (2015) 137151

2000 PISA OECD countries 2003 PISA


30
non-OECD countries
Mathematics gender gap
20

girls better boys better


10

10

20 r(24) = 0.479, p = 0.013 (OECD) r(25) = 0.172, p = 0.39 (OECD)


r(31) = 0.681, p <.01 (all countries) r(29) = 0.345, p = 0.058 (all countries)

2006 PISA 2009 PISA


30
Mathematics gender gap

20

10

10

20 r(27) = 0.376, p = 0.044 (OECD) r(27) = 0.135, p = 0.484 (OECD)


r(40) = 0.286, p = 0.067 (all countries) r(46) = 0.158, p = 0.283 (all countries)

10 20 30 40 50 10 20 30 40 50
percentage female researchers percentage female researchers

Fig. 2. Correlations between the percentage of female researchers and the sex difference in mathematics (boy scoresgirl scores) by country. The four panels show the
data for each of the four PISA surveys (2000, 2003, 2006, 2009).

quite remarkable pattern (Fig. 7). The achievement gap, favoring a nation's gender equality policies, customs, and women's
girls, was larger among lower achieving children for both OECD wider participation in politics and the economy is systemati-
and non-OECD countries. The only exception to the pattern of cally related to sex differences in mathematics achievement
girls outperforming boys in overall achievement was found and overall achievement, as predicted by the theoretical
among the highest performers in OECD countries. framework of the gender similarities and gender stratification
hypotheses (Else-Quest et al., 2010; Guiso et al., 2008; Hyde &
3.2 . Achievement continuum and intra-individual differences Mertz, 2009; Reilly, 2012).
Our main conclusions are as follows. First of all, there was
PISA data are well suited to assess intra-individual differ- no reliable relation between gender equality measures and sex
ences in reading and mathematics achievement, because scores differences in mathematics achievement or in overall achieve-
are standardized; as noted, the average score in OECD countries ment. It seems that the positive findings for the 2003 PISA data
is 500 (SD = 100) for mathematics and reading. We calculated were unusual in that a small number of countries strongly
this intra-individual gap by subtracting the mathematics and contributed to the correlation; below we will discuss whether
reading scores of each student (see SOM). Thus, if the value is there is something different about those countries. Altogether,
positive, the student was better in mathematics, and if the the results across the four very large data sets analyzed here are
value is negative the student was better in reading. When this not consistent with the gender similarities and gender
mathematics-minus-reading gap is plotted by country (Fig. 8), stratification hypotheses.
a clear pattern emerges. In most countries, boys were better in Our second conclusion is that there is a surprisingly large
mathematics than in reading, whereas girls were better in number of countries, including highly developed countries
reading than in mathematics (that is, there was a common sex with progressive gender equality policies, in which boys fell
difference in the asymmetry of cognitive profiles). considerably behind girls in overall achievement. In the 2009
PISA, this was true for 70% of the countries. Even though boys
4 . Discussion fell behind on average, this pattern was different among the top
performers, especially in OECD countries. Here, top performing
Our comprehensive analyses of all four PISA assessments boys had higher achievement levels than did top performing
enabled us to resolve current debate regarding whether or not girls. The achievement gap, favoring boys, at the high end may
G. Stoet, D.C. Geary / Intelligence 48 (2015) 137151 145

30
2000 OECD countries 2003
non-OECD countries
Mathematics gender gap
20

girls better boys better


10

10

20 r(28) = 0.212, p = 0.26 (OECD) r(28) = 0.398, p = 0.03 (OECD)


r(40) = 0.024, p = 0.878 (all) r(37) = 0.233, p = 0.154 (all)

30 2006 2009
Mathematics gender gap

20

10

10

20 r(31) = 0.194, p = 0.281 (OECD) r(31) = 0.167, p = 0.353 (OECD)


r(52) = 0.087, p = 0.533 (all) r(64) = 0.181, p = 0.146 (all)

0 20 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100

percentage of women in parliament percentage of women in parliament

Fig. 3. Correlations between the percentage of women in parliament and the sex difference in mathematics (boy scoresgirl scores) by country. The four panels show
the data for each of the four PISA surveys (2000, 2003, 2006, 2009). Note that this relation is statistically significant for 2003 if non-OECD countries are excluded.

be one of the factors contributing to the overrepresentation of


men in many leadership roles (e.g., academia, business), at
OECD least in OECD countries (of course, other factors play a role as
OECD & Nordic
M non-OECD well, as noted in the introduction). Our final conclusion is that
M
individual boys, on average, have better mathematics skills
Mathematics gender gap (2003 PISA)

M
20 M M M
than reading skills, whereas individual girls have, on average,
r(35
)= -. M
408
, p=
.0 12
M better reading skills than mathematics skills, as noted by Valla
M M M
M
M
M and Ceci (2014), Wang et al. (2013) and Wai et al. (2005). We
M M M

10
M
M M
M
M Finland believe that this is one of the factors that contribute to the sex
M
M
M
M r(31)=
-.249
, p=.1
differences in college majors and careers. These conclusions
M M 62
all contradict with the gender similarities and stratification
boys better

M Norway
M
M M M
M
Sweden
hypotheses.
0
girls better

M
4.1 . Relation between measures of gender equality and sex
differences in achievement are tenuous at best and likely spurious

10 M
Studies that have reported a relation between measures of a
M country's gender equality and sex differences in mathematics
Iceland
achievement have largely focused on the 2003 PISA and
0.60 0.65 0.70 0.75 0.80
concluded that countries with more equality have a smaller
2006 GGI gap (Else-Quest et al., 2010; Guiso et al., 2008; Hyde & Mertz,
2009; Reilly, 2012). We also found such a relation for the 2003
Fig. 4. The 2003 PISA sex differences in mathematics achievement and the 2006
Global Gender Gap Index. The correlation of r = .41 (black line) was reduced
PISA, but demonstrated that this was not consistently found in
to r = .33 without Iceland, and to r = .25 without the indicated Nordic the other PISA surveys, and further that some countries seemed
countries (blue line). to drive the correlations (more about this below). This was the
146 G. Stoet, D.C. Geary / Intelligence 48 (2015) 137151

Fig. 5. The relation between the mathematics gap and the Gender Empowerment Measure (GEM). Lines indicate regression lines (red line only of OECD data points).
The four panels show the data for the four PISA assessments and the GEM data of the corresponding year. Red circles represent OECD countries, and black circles of non-
OECD countries. In 2009, there was a statistically significant correlation in the opposite direction, suggesting that the mathematics gap was larger in countries with a
higher level of gender equality (but this was not the case for either the OECD or non-OECD countries taken apart).

case for composite gender equality measures, including the shown that, apart from Denmark, they play an important role in
widely used GGI, and for specific measures (i.e., women's the correlations between equality measures and sex differences
participation in research, economic activity, and political in achievement, especially in 2003. Therefore, one might argue
participation). that it is important to consider the approach of these countries
Another issue highlighted by our re-analysis of previous to gender equality and education, and how their approach
studies is that there are many potential variables that can be might be a model for other countries. However, we think that
correlated across the four different PISA assessments, and the situation is more complicated, as our data have shown.
beyond that, there are multiple ways of correlating variables Finland, Iceland, and Norway are the top three OECD countries
with the equality data of different years (e.g., in the reviewed in terms of the overall achievement gap (whereas Sweden and
studies, both the 2006 and 2007 GGI data have been correlated Denmark are more similar to the other OECD countries, see
with the 2003 PISA). The large number of possible comparisons SOM). Thus, even though these countries have a strong
increases the risk of statistical type-I errors (Simmons, Nelson, reputation for gender equality social policies, these policies
& Simonsohn, 2011), that is, wrongly concluding that there is a clearly do not automatically lead to a reduction of sex
relation when there is not one. In this view, strong arguments differences in achievement. Alternatively, would there be
that national gaps in boys' and girls' achievement are related reasons to argue that the Nordic equality model is the cause
to national gender equality policies and outcomes are only of boy's poor overall achievement relative to girls? Is it fair
supported if the relation is found consistently in each PISA to conclude that boys underperform at the cost of girls?
assessment. And, they are not. We think that this conclusion is as unwarranted as the
conclusion that gender equality leads to a reduction of
4.2 . Are Nordic countries doing things differently? educational achievement gaps. We believe that there is
simply no systematic, causal relation. Our argument is
Nordic countries (Iceland, Norway, Sweden, Finland, and further strengthened by our findings for Muslim countries.
Denmark) score very high in national gender equality mea- These countries generally have a poor gender equality
sures (Hausmann et al., 2010), and there is much literature record (Mller, 2006), and the patriarchally organized
about the Nordic model in terms of equality policies. We have culture and Sharia inspired legal proceedings limit women's
G. Stoet, D.C. Geary / Intelligence 48 (2015) 137151 147

100 OECD countries


nonOECD countries

80

Achievement percentile
60

40

20

0 Girls better Boys better

30 20 10 0
Overall gap (in 2009 PISA)

Fig. 7. The sex difference in overall achievement for the 2009 PISA percentile.
The higher the performance, the better boys performed compared to girls. Boys
generally fell behind along the performance continuum, but this pattern was
reversed for the highest performing students.

and girls' opportunities. Yet, in many of these countries, girls'


overall achievement is better than that of boys (see also Fryer &
Levitt, 2010; Kane & Mertz, 2012).
There are important differences between the individual
Muslim countries, as there are between the Nordic countries.
We believe that these observations in regard to their educa-
tional achievement are most likely coincidences or at least not
related to overall gender-related policies or customs. Instead,
the finding that girls' overall achievement is better than that of
boys in countries as varied as Finland and Qatar demonstrates
that political, economic, and social gender equality is largely
uninformative about the sex differences in achievement.
At the other end of the spectrum are the countries in which
boys perform statistically better than girls (namely Costa Rica,
the Indian state Himachal Pradesh, and Columbia). The number
of these countries is too small to look for similarities that can
explain this, although you can always find something. For
example they are all coffee-bean producing nations, but that
does not justify the conclusion that coffee-bean production
helps boys' achievement; the same analogy-mistake might be
true for the equality policies of Scandinavia and their girls'
relatively high achievement.

4.3 . Girls outperform boys in most countries

As noted, most previous studies of sex differences in


achievement have focused on mathematics. One result, in
our opinion, is a comparative neglect of the gap in overall
achievement (across mathematics, reading, and science), in
particular the relatively poor achievement of boys in many
parts of the world. Issues related to the overall achievement

Fig. 6. The overall gap for sex differences (boy scoresgirl scores) in achievement
for the combined reading, mathematics, and science scores in the 2009 PISA.
Countries with a statistically significant sex difference are represented as a
square. In 70% of the countries, girls performed significantly (p b .05) better than
boys, whereas boys outperformed girls in only 4% of the countries.
148 G. Stoet, D.C. Geary / Intelligence 48 (2015) 137151

Fig. 8. Intra-individual gap between reading and mathematics. In each PISA assessment, boys were, on average, better in mathematics than in reading (x-axis), while
girls were, on average, better in reading than in mathematics (y-axis). Each data point represents the data of one country.

gap have been examined previously (Gorard, Rees, & Salisbury, example, despite the lack of opportunities for girls and women in
2001; Hodgetts, 2008; Machin & McNally, 2005), but surpris- Muslim countries, girls' achievement is better than that of boys in
ingly (given the wealth of data) have received little attention in those countries. This implies that opportunities for girls and
the context of PISA data. In every PISA assessment, the same educational outcome are unrelated (or if they are related it is
patterns emerged: girls had higher overall achievement than not in a transparent way), and if they are unrelated, it is not
boys, and the magnitude of the gap varied systematically across surprising that their educational success does not directly
the performance continuum. The gap was the largest at the translate in full socio-political and academic participation.
lowest levels of achievement and was closed in most developing One often proposed answer is that women's underrepre-
countries and reversed in developed countries at the highest sentation is the result of explicit or implicit sexism, although it
levels of achievement. Debates regarding sex differences in is not the only factor (Ceci & Williams, 2011; Ceci, Williams, &
mathematics achievement and in STEM fields were sparked in Barnett, 2009). On the basis of our results, we also have to
these latter countries and for the highest achieving students. consider that the overall achievement gap between boys and
We suggest that the focus on the mathematics gap in these girls is different for low and high performing children. The gap
countries has contributed to the lack of attention to boy's is large and favors girls at the lower end of performance, but it
academic underperformance overall and especially for reading. is non-existent or favors boys at the high end of performance
The finding that girls' overall achievement exceeds that of (Fig. 7). Given that there is indeed evidence that a large
boys' in most countries raises a question that has not yet been proportion of the best performing school children end up
adequately addressed; given that girls do so well academically, in successful careers, some leaders in politics, business, and
why is it that women are underrepresented in leadership academia (Kell, Lubinski, & Benbow, 2013; Wai, 2013, in press),
positions in politics, business, and academia? This is a funda- we might therefore expect an overrepresentation of boys just
mentally important question, because answering it will not based on performance data alone, especially in OECD nations.
only help to better understand the relation between cognitive We call this the high-achievers male advantage gap hypoth-
performance measures and real-world career outcomes, but it esis. We believe that this is only one factor among many of the
will also have major implications for the effectiveness of equality reasons for the leadership gap and clearly is not a viable factor
policies. There is a direct link between this question and the lack in non-OECD nations. There are, however, other factors at play
of a link between gender equality and educational outcomes. For as well, and some of these start to come into play at later stages
G. Stoet, D.C. Geary / Intelligence 48 (2015) 137151 149

of career development, such as pipe-line issues and other differences in university enrollment (men are more strongly
cognitive or personality variables mentioned in the introduc- represented in STEM, and women more strongly represented in
tion. At the very least, our study helps to understand the role of languages), especially when combined with large sex differ-
sex differences at the end of compulsory education. That helps ences in vocational interests (Lubinski, 2000; Su et al., 2009).
to constrain possible models of what causes the underrepre- Further, these intra-individual differences do not vary across
sentation of women in politics and some occupations. One of the achievement spectrum as do the general mathematics and
the interesting outstanding questions for future research is reading gaps (Stoet & Geary, 2013); that is, in most countries, it
whether the increased opportunities for talent development in is the case that boys are better in mathematics than in reading
richer countries explain why this gap is only found in the group while girls are better in reading than in mathematics, irrespec-
of OECD nations (Fig. 7). In OECD nations additional factors tive of whether they are middle or high attainers (see SOM).
likely include the different trade-offs that women and men
make with respect to investment in occupational attainment 4.6 . Outlook
and their families (Ferriman, Lubinski, & Benbow, 2009),
differences in career choices (Wang et al., 2013), and in We found no evidence for a reliable relation between PISA
competitive striving ( Geary, 2010, pp.213235; Sax & Harper, performance and gender equality. This not only casts doubt on
2007). the gender similarities and gender stratification hypotheses,
but also has important implications for educational policy.
4.4 . Sex differences vary depending on where in the performance Implications for educational policy go well beyond the data and
distribution school children are require taking value frameworks into account. The current
paper is not the right place to elaborate on such frameworks.
One of the findings of our study is that while, on average, Nevertheless, it is possible that the current data will influence
boys are outperformed academically by girls, the situation is how policy makers think about the options available, for
different at the extremes of the distribution. As we reported example, to increase levels of equal opportunities in education.
previously for the PISA data and as is known from numerous Therefore, we think it is important to raise a few issues that go
other studies (Benbow & Stanley, 1982; Benbow & Stanley, beyond the interpretation of the data. We believe that one
1983; Stanley & Benbow, 1982; Stoet & Geary, 2013; Wai, important implication of our analyses is that policy makers and
Lubinski, Benbow, & Steiger, 2010), the sex difference in educators should not expect that broad progress in social
mathematics performance is considerably larger at the high equality (e.g., increased political participation of women) will
end of performance distributions. Interestingly, at least for necessarily result in educational equality. In fact, we found that
PISA data, we found no sex differences at the low end of with the exception of high achievers, boys have poorer
mathematics performance (Stoet & Geary, 2013). In regard to educational outcomes than girls around the world, indepen-
reading differences, the pattern is exactly the opposite, with the dent of social equality indicators; a gap that has grown for
largest gap at the low end and the smallest gap at the high end reading over the past decade (Stoet & Geary, 2013). This has
(Stoet & Geary, 2013). And indeed, in the current study we strong implications for national economic prospects as well as
found that while boys fell behind across subjects, it is the social stability, as young men who are not well integrated into
opposite for the children at the top, where boys are in the lead the economic structures of their society are prone to crime and
(Fig. 7). violence (Wilson & Daly, 1985). It also seems that the majority
of research papers and interventions have focused on reducing
4.5 . Relative intra-individual strengths play role the mathematics gap. Our finding that the mathematics gap has
been stable for at least the first decade of the 21st century raises
Finally, studies of predictors of college majors and career questions regarding the efficacy of the interventions that
trajectories have revealed the importance of intra-individual have been used thus far (Stoet & Geary, 2012), whether the
differences, that is, students' relative academic strengths and interventions focus on the right segment of girls (closing the
weaknesses (Humphreys et al., 1993; Park et al., 2007), an issue overall gap requires interventions with the highest achieving
that has not been assessed in previous studies of sex differences girls in mathematics Stoet & Geary, 2013), or whether the
using the PISA. For instance, it is not simply the absolute level of amount of resources devoted to these interventions has been
mathematical competence that predicts entry into STEM fields, insufficient. We certainly believe that increasing the numbers
but also the level of competence relative to other academic of women entering STEM professions and better understanding
skills. Individuals with strong mathematical abilities are more why this has been difficult to achieve are important goals (Ceci
likely to pursue non-STEM careers if they also have strong & Williams, 2011; Ceci et al., 2009), but the focus on this
verbal abilities, which include more women than men issue has resulted in a relative neglect of boys' academic
(Lubinski & Benbow, 2006). Our findings across all four PISA underperformance. This underperformance has been debated
assessments revealed that in most countries boys have and solutions have been proposed (e.g., Hoff Sommers, 2001;
relatively better mathematics achievement and girls relatively Weaver-Hightower, 2003; Yates, 1997; Younger & Warrington,
better reading achievement, with implications for college and 2004), but our impression of the literature is that this stands in
later occupational patterns, in particular high achievers no comparison to the attention the underachievement and
entering STEM professions. These intra-individual differences underrepresentation of girls in STEM subjects has received. In
may in fact be relatively more important than mean sex any case, psychological research focused on better understand-
differences in pursuit of STEM careers, consistent with previous ing the reasons for this phenomenon and addressing them have
studies (Humphreys et al., 1993; Park et al., 2007; Valla & Ceci, the potential to improve the well-being of many people
2014; Wai et al., 2005; Wang et al., 2013) and current sex throughout much of the world.
150 G. Stoet, D.C. Geary / Intelligence 48 (2015) 137151

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