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MEARS NAME: HIGHER IB STATISTICS OPTION mre Mean REMEMBER The Se lie enue ne ths Limit _THeotem 1 The standard devihion op te sample men Ee alte Rrnan am the STANDARD ERKoe _ Exsnglts @ X & aetmally datrbeted with naa 20 aad vara te Pocenye gg te Te file at the meen Kp a seal we elaleh. Fd CR) wD Vr) fe’ x |e 2 KAN (20,4) . « mf EG) = ee oi NC) oes voe| |S ——S=S ls @ Xnwlyo, a). A snp op see ao fhe ad te mean tp fhe tangle ce caledehd colar op he Ip he mem Kad ote err ee one 50 @ Cheeekhes are NO, ) a. hey we aemally databaked wit mee a eee greet They ow wll, packed ie eee ccna! PCa sage chellahe weght mare Ban I gone) WPL mer weghh ope ber cp 2S chndhhe fo moe thes I smd) NeTE © Obvnaly Le Mab Har 6) Tae gine GL at in 30-15 x |x wa (%) = oe men | to [10 ne ace ver|_ + | 3% a Kx (ie, 0-1) ad st, sone 2 eas Tada gees t7-847, st wh Answer in 0-62 % sezo- Se (HA random Sample ep FTE Fe Tas gram ermal duatnatiy GR mean 60 and shelerd devuckon be Find the pababiliby fuk Temes ap he sage es then 5B Gonna 2K) at + BR) = 60 and aK ~ wsloo, 1-069) ah 936 | ae wot bo [ee oir vel PE S Tate gues 49-36% EOS Ans co ab % gerbes ee O\ eta PC sane mens > 44-5) = 0.88 <— MER ment 9% 50 gay Ebest vale gn ER) 2 50 Ve) 2 st = I = = 7 ve) = 4 men] 30 | 50 —_ vel a |X feces & al = 887, BET in thee we FITS mo a ee a cs =25 = - nits ss “ = ries = #05 a ee eee eee ee mone op 300 poate end @ shalad devichin gp 50 pearls, Gah ke Te pahability Tet 25 package cecesied at cealen and tended will excasd He apecyed tagety Kath oe the dleahe, on as eleunbor faked ax 8200 pends 7 NoTE : Fer the a3 packages fo evuned 9200 pearls the fas pegs mot eed 4a pele mode ge So E(R) = 30 Es se = 10 PRI] Te ccd vesadh Xe neh hak Xam (nj 4)- A condom sop Bite ay te taken pom th pepalchen. End Te leah vale gn sh TE PCI R-al < os) > eae ER ee wd WR) pe) = at parma asl CENTRAL LimiT THEOREM WiTH Poisson AND BivemiAL Remem Ber — Bin (nse) © EGO = 9p @® vabd =r, Ri) O Es» Corteal =) Egg O The marbe of cops op te Aah a On he pe dy, fellas Pesan detibahon wilt mean GS. A gemp op 30 OMA: de selected) ab nde, that fe deme Tak their men emsenphon exunls 5% wi Fer Pat EOD es ad Ver ss EQ) = 4S ve(R) = ver (XR) = eS 30 Ver (@) = 01s we 5 sex VouF @ A cardn sample op Gatat sie Joo we ths gon Gin(ae, 06), te Te hee tah Te sage mens ecu ta-4 7 Fer Binawral ECR) np = Royo 2 vedi) 2 neg = = Wox0bwok = Ho ir WY Grtianed nes E@)= 2 verl®) = mars sero-tial @ be a kerge member cp samples wpe ok the pe Bin (200-2) and aperormchly 907% oy Me sample mind ore lat Mar 35) edhincte 9 - Fee Binermial Meas = ap = 20x0-% i 27 Vsnse © apt = tonttvet = 22 x |X reonfe [| oo El pl) = a EQ wes ve [aa [= Ver @) 2 3h “ e 10% AL = beasl we Ares ee sex 388 a Cont msveo) Depending poo Row unnemathe population, a samples of ba 200 301 usually bg enough and een spe of size 1re stl proximately normaly disbed, wean se ‘he igure blow Ths ret ical he Cota Limit Toren (CLD ‘Te tet point time forthe sample mesa tbe population mean. ‘Therefore wee 3 = $0. ‘The sndad enor ofthe mean, SE= Re ‘ie tno that the prota tat one ample it mean mass ree tan $0 (021425. Now we hve a inom ston with tn tal wih p= 0.2725, ‘That te random varible denotes the abe of spe with a mean mass peer tan 301 thn ¥~B(10, 0.27825. Treefae, PERS) = 1- POE). CONFIDENCE LimiTS FoR THE MEAN, ms @[Pirnows vacianc el} - use THe Noemie Dist Ip mo the °F mean op & random semele op ste se meemal peptohen ohne werent oie Row fe 15% {Re ppcstien ave or at ne a Tay teak mp TET in Slo ? Conpdene onthe gor Me men CI) ; ash kee Tet The ated arr 2 the ated Aevchion of The se en se= ae RULE 2 Fer _gewsl enple Limts hele the ZL, add and lech that op Dotedahed Ah ahaa devon ee eee ies a 3h. Fad @) 15% nd fab teen fee tebe 2d a 28 4 a M+ 50 2 eh gues 2 vk Gg OSES 991 empdene sh Bi ob oss ce RSBS te 3015 eat thet fhe mens hen bebwens We ae Wh eo a-Ses ad 3.618» What does the confidence interval mean? ‘Te precise meanings abit tenis. Supt ou tok 100 sample and for exc of se ‘samples you consoce 2 95% confidence imal The, wold be ise abou 9 of tase separ the mmr vals of these parameter, aus hei symbos of COs HireTHeSiS TESTING FoR THE mean The pall bapitrenin, He the hyphens of ve change The gltemehve bygone onal ypltResie io rested. Thee ace 3 ponble type q took / ash 5 a SL sng oem Eas] Se aynpieenee te te one whith co aecephed anh 1% sige penne Se syepecte = REMEMBER 2 We reject He ig Te sample vale isin the shaded aren eco called The ‘nccaghane Case allel the Cher carcpry ocr a byptherte tak fr the meee ne held ais elles These steps © State Hy petherss @eteave sheadard erer pm Fable ie gem iw © [RN verance © Cae ® [Reoun vance @ The cnights op flee are neomally diatnbated end varnne A yl gE gla gee [see gens Dee Ra sagged Rak eet ap pe be ieee af the S% bel ? eee mann of. ime IE eed Bier < Erte He eccopht ae ee a Thon ce ne ngepent endene Fe sggt hak Te ——Lr—~— A rand sample op SIR BO ee lacked fom = nevnal ee eee ee ee te a ee ately oat i the aasamphan ab Te S71. Gaal agtsh The albanien bye Moone feb Ro mens es Re ad © Pas w= 22 _ weh W Ks 82 @ x ver [a5 sl shad ome = Lue sh, gees ® eR eine © P(X sto) = BAG Gah ag 49 i HUH) ve Rear > Bre —-— UL — = yet te he fais Ges tes a2 ee ee © “The lengths of metal bars produced by a particular machine are _ERGER litte with mews len 40cm and standard dere lon T¥em The mhine ls serviced, aftr which asample of 200, bar ives a mena length of 423 om. Is there evidence atthe 5% level, ofa change inthe mean length of tse bars produced by the ‘machine, suming thatthe standard deviation remains the same? (he -taled) ih cyte RE oto DR HO shuld ver © embansd «+ © « re pede eee 7 Bee wien Wi tma, sagmpreently, 0 =e type cr question bat ue eve to Eaters Tue popeenTon sraupaRd DewATeN ©. wet ont Ga-r onl USE the ae es os t DisTeiBu rion Exengee ® [Past quesTiow ee ‘A machine fs supposed to produce Keys to a nominal length of 5.00 em. A random: sample of 50 keys ‘produced by the machine was such tat Ex = 250,50 cm and Ea? = 1255.0290cm, where x denotes the length ofa randomly chasen key produced by the machine. Calculate unbiased estimates of the mean and variance of the Length of keys produced by th ‘machine, giving your answers correct to an appropriate degree of accuracy. BT Gi) Carry out a hypothesis testa the 55 sigaiicance level to test the assertion thatthe machine is fredcing keys which are too long, giving suitable mull and alternative hypotheses end stating $your conclusion clearly. (3 X= Sol Chek catintte of monn of persbstoon) o 02ig0a4 (4d ap sone) Sat = 0- 00048 Corre of sonst) Sea eee raid (bok hate oF slg pet) Sak = e.ceortst Cour adach op unre of porvlhe) REmemBeR 3 WE AluAYS esse] x x Draw Tis TAGLE ——> me-| 5-01] 5-01 ayy use Snr AS Fue vamance is Vor p.ctostyf 2288 = 4a 31288, UN KNOWN. De Se so-ce3nete @(i) O phe sess HEA >> © shed ore = 0-00 31088 Gee pact Oi) dps tnsle, Ny : rejected, —_—_—— _— | freq an te lng a A senple of SO age op eel. Wayth wy conctd (in by) wad gee celts | Fes Att ad Fabs Suto. Tat ak wheter th papclthin mens 3 5S hy ) /_— i. 2 0 = x Z = S548 x a-#5154 (cave) = smn | 35-90 | ss $ 244456 vor [ort eee foresee Sou e334 Stasdand over = 0235137 lead =H dpe = So-i ® a xh Black op 99 WD) emtinued 2+ + ea ge = 035137 © rasa) = F1 2 ror, < Fone He etl rary 5S Hy The mean In the previo section © was given 5, of couse, we usd the normal isbn, Ely ole ‘se Sou asthe Got eto, where = Le. thee sbuton, wher: = £2 rs or given Le. fe have wo cael then sot Baile “The proce it shot he stn foe soliton, avis plese in nee ‘Ta5orTS4 Pus operating systems. You can downoad he upgraded epeating system fo | tetncaioncom | sotarwe hive wed examples whore the sti ae given, Now we wil work tough sme ‘amples where thea dt piven. ‘With he ut poesia Hy: 245, since a devo ter wp or down fam 245 ‘suscep, he aemaie hypothesis i Hy: #248, ‘We wi est ese pees sing FTES We ae the dts ito LA. Ts tie nse of sing the Calelate oon we wl sel the Draw opin. ee emma aaa] | (need estes di fessor beara "me poe p=0.156 which s reser han.10= St s0 we sept Sothern ence rch pote fat be mean mus of the al bearings is 245g "Note that wha is dent nthe joton exon, bt he p= 0.156] eon. Remeber tat he ath robb tht dos afoul oan ¥ a far rm gas obs (or fare) would becbered. Eig _ 2532-245 ar 01m eons eof 167 aright of 1.57 a deo, Wiehe done a wo ad est with f= 167 rotbep = 0156 Calenlate the midpoint ofeach ofthe intervals gk = fy = 12 ve Hy p> iy = 12 Agno we wil othe problem sig both methods: (©) Catelating the crits vale“ and comparing with he est statist “The cel vale, sth ae coresponding the deed sgicace lel SL andthe egesoffisdom,v =~ 1, From be table" = (1—SL=095, v= 27)= 170, Ue deTish wes meweaniteder-nve dey — FRB ca ey de Tein ee MATH Se Th i el fom 2" DIST, SESE oar os ese ALPHA SOUvE sagan We efcpenptne sain eed OD cpt Owe se =e Teer cels = PoBS = EH Gs) tender ne penn mip iL snd he create onion one Le pes 1866S, cenyes7uno2 ies te eae, po ote [ete] seter2 _ [instar]. ye we |" 3 x wai Va) B Cf coune you can ws ier th fonala with 5 the foomla with Tres pest 40 the calaliton tice. 230=1> f= 1703 201s te eto region ands we eet Hy ‘We conchae tthe mesn nthe of elves per dy is reser than 12 ‘Obviously # whichis 13s reer than 12 but eember that Weare making ‘hyptbss stout not abou. Now let's do the rblem witha lap tempi int 1 andthe tess ito 2, [Use STAT, TESTS, 2 Test nt Daa, wy 12, 11 Feel. mo He ccaatate, We gett =230 (a sbove) and p= 00146 ecomparepandSL: 0146p Hy OK te ease dingo path a ito LI pick Stes > or in he eto pion, ‘5 hrefre weet ad accept ta ee ‘Now weld thet by aking the TE Pathe 1 gaan 3, 2 UsesTarTESTS PEST Dats £0, st: 13, Freq: 1, > Calculate, ‘The remitisp= 0.00164, WecomparepandSt: As p= 0.0164 an St-= 0.00 then, p pian When cartqny ont an hyplente teek fer pst sheld alee feller hese chaps @ Shite Hyptheods @ ip 0 dosed velba P(X>a) = Mee), (nee POX 2m) a ass Px én) is Gas Te The shade) aren, Exemples (OY LPAST weer nen ‘An eituslstic gardener claimed that she coud never workin ie garde at he weekend Deces sn eninasiastle daresay and Sunday when Tak hore ang i's always fine on weekdays Who “Be atways ais tne weather forthe next month and eecrded thay out of <0 wek days © Wee eo era Sunday, The gardener’ claim may be modeled by eezuding her onsereer aan ype fem a B10, p) ssution. ven that ne woul expect 9 0 OF sen as singe Su is Saturday or & Sunday, te nul iypotess p = 4 ay e teste ag Oe meets appatess, p >} Cary Ou a hypotess test 0 test er clam at ne 108 susie devel 6 Sm tae) whe oe met Fe) eras 6 Gee! o(x25) = (5,6, 9,4, 4) en ee) i [or + OO + OA * alers OR ASHES ONBELEMST # o-2GCHUSE3 aes 4 orUssomi 4p 01856 ee me aoe ot eld ar se ee ek fe IF % — ots Seat ee 1 . ae 1% Fh > Wh peta A © Tie men of th wating oy tid Sle ci that 5 inp id Si ci at 357 fa ‘en os ea tr op itor eet re ne skasrk on ed ‘that 2 of them used “Sparkle’. Us 10% claim eens trot te 220) Sree a Sea eee omg WW ntinnta eee REmemper ry ot P(xsa) = Plot 2) 63) 4 GadSodt_ 4 Ganda oooh + OAS + o.jernecetT o-1Sit8G 2H 4 The da cagng RP Mee 15-13 f <——— me press Me Iss op eens we weld ep Ro eat bewmaense pe awe Sel ssh 2 WA Accept He and oo © A ain Sse danyged AE adh pel hedge het te petbabilly ge heed te eyed hy bes Bens wr grochy thes 2 In 10 twee op ein heed ume ahmed fe tee tee ee se Sipripense Wiel « wp 1 Wet ont POX 2 9) o se + QT p(n ts) we a+ o.corFese + 0, c00KSE ” 0, 107k The null hyplfheis He te rejected thes “Fin in pack tne. The null hypitheo'n He in agcephed lee ete lee level op sagripieanmenad eg. 5% syppune bul A pst LType Tere in SL te Me ie caeghed im Te rapin (Ea) - SE We ® @ | @ @ ALANS gla thee shes Stabe Hypitheoss | Depre he Tver + Ge et CG) wick oh chen GE SBD we A es. ™ a ’ o © Dre = te oly tm Kad —t SD daects ext Ae prtbebelty ag Ror bewrennsy Een pico (Q (AST quate) ‘The random variable X has a aormal dstbution with yaiance 3.6. Four independent measurements of X ae made in order totes the null Hypothesis u = 20 agains the akeroaive hypothesis. > 20, whore iste mean of X, Find the probabil of making a Type ILertr when applying a significance lest al the 5% lovel ithe tue mean of X is 23.0, 1 =o sex esar — Bs Fed when te marr io ten en 2156 ewer - G+ GR ia manne wt tre 8 gt asta Bs -15i8 "y owt Tae gene THIS a Ty se sontet peeore esi Tye T we co S454 Fl @ We carbon verb X bee @ neemal dy rockin oath verve ed Four uadepdedt mennineh ap X ae mele i ade hh he te mall byplhece REGO sje TL lhe types pt Ho, PA te Be mene op Ke Fd Re erttablity gy mbes 5 tyeeJE cetera ot Gl tel thik So He hanes of type T ewe ? tre mens yp Xe r Poop (2 HU) tye Te - GD) te GO oe @ Tye ® He accel f + Ge veh ok x alg wy 2th tery te nerd fkee be gk x4 37-153 aad ye tate se hows HAS He te qeceghed Shes Re nese hae hee 32-083 ood Heat 2 Gia Oy F- GD + GE meee a abwens SPREE and FT ae wi We woth ant Te shaded gree sey neml flee yk 85% 2 THe ww wo 9S FHS yt ay ee ses los Coane a syppene Oo Rape Sere 7, — ® Faint is diopensed into {ite cans. Let the random variable X be the volume, n litres, of pint ina fan. A random sample of 100 observations 2). y, summarised by Ex-= 1040 and Ex? = 110.06 @ Calculate unbiased estimates of the mesn and variance of X, sppropriate degree of accuracy. fq) OFX was made ard the results may be iving your saswers comect to an a 7 tis thought that too much paint is being dispensed into the cans. In order o test this assertion, the nll hypothesis, ‘stested against the alterative hypothesis u > Ie the ISesignifcance level, where isthe mean votume, in ites, of paint in a can. Carry out this bypothess tet soa sate your conclusion clay ii) For the test in ( Mer | ioe _caleulate the probability of making a Type If emor when samples of size 100 = 1.040, Use the unbiased estimate ofthe variance ealeulated in [3] Re Ze gt 10% (beak aotinah op mere op pepelcin) O1SF9E C53 of cangle) Sah = 0.018 Coarane op seme) Sho = 013859 Chadk chen op sd op ppethe) Spi = O-OINIT Clotck catrmnh op serene op papain) et " se = 0-013953 e-crgiay 013453 [ocisess NoTE > The bypsherin tek me shor om the Next Pace 2. 51sai? 2.98 38s ted (-S0, 2-398,91) = 19-03% © + tur > teu oe fame b gett % Pees vie) = OR} ee Hee cagected He Tras, m% We weed, : Tak BLA Lak og vgapnene. ea ge eae DO fee met apak BER? © se = o.cistse Caw bere) © Type E - Cee, te GET oe We week ot th whe Mong Te bes be gh teo32q est © (i) emhrnd. © Tye T — GH ached a CS means ie tent Ree 150324 ot mane ob hoe et te horn ree y peer) ks =o ee —_ = Bbs; 103 hoy n 7 veceaneg bebe (50, 78:513, 49) Pray co 30045 % pMheris toby ge Blase) dee Te teh Roky ee coh thee 6 cont ard be gb or mem bends well (Fd PC oe mere heads) ip be deem i correct (a) Bad PC we mere bende) Exar: Q Pete rechens be ene Tres etme excep Lt be sags ip bee Sawaal? (i) Tote He: Pete Tow uot agenh ANE Ge ed = E G) Wak Re hane sp Peicgtag he dam hen spn correch 2 (Type I ever) ( wits dew oe seeephtg Th dan aes Ro input golie 2 (Type I omer) (i) dacs cormeh os Plhend) = % e /_\~ Qasr AS ; Pig or mare) = 02866304 4 0. 35507 4 O-RTTTES 2 0-93 0566> O embod... Gi) ig eS meme tee Pltaadl 2 + Le eee TON weak ease = ODES IS = 0.097 = 0-0/5 Plu ow mere) uses qua we wt @TTOrs e wh Pind) = & pcr 1m osescie = gle Tene G0) 6m Ts GER ee Asean @ 1 cat decide mle 1 decade Hh cchth 100 rend mice ond, ip th anmler evelan ia betaean 30 and SO inclaewe | fer TIN rey tak hoy, ap all new we mele = Oftyrrne FN ng fat Te Ge claim ie pale Fad G) PCaceaghng alnin) her plmale) = Orb (i) P Cacsaphng elnin) ater pbmale) = 0-5 Cembanel on next pre) @ extined-- Gi) Tale (web ede gy rygt GOK male and AE HO K wt mele We ates boa pach erect? a Ge) Wak Be dee g acceghay te oles Foc gabe becanse SO are mek ? (Type TE ome) () Plaka) =O ead mag cain tabenen Ba ad £0 ve noe lev ry Varwane = apy = Wewebees = a PC dehveer 30 and 50 ncleewe) 3 Use at and Cimwes) We woe Te tables bh gk an ann a 1G BS Ho li) tenn = np = ooxe-s = So Varaua = apy = WoxoSxe.S = 2§ sda) fe woe te table be gk an ane op 53-99 ant @ 1e 2 4e = agent CS alr behwers 30 od SO ee. @ etn war te The ce ek Tyee OY ee Beta ony © wer. GD . GS t t betwen 20 a 50 Pow) = 0.5 selene eT Soa 7 Tye Eon 53-92 WS SOF

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