En un paper elaborado por el Ministerio de Economía de la Provincia de Buenos Aires, dado a conocer ayer por El País Digital, la administración de María Eugenia Vidal prometió a potenciales inversores reducir el gasto público con el fin de conseguir financiamiento privado. El documento -elaborado en febrero por el equipo del subsecretario de Finanzas, Sebastian Katz, y distribuido en las mesas de negociación en los últimos encuentros del FMI y el Banco Mundial- se titula "Province of Buenos Aires - Building a better future" (Provincia de Buenos Aires - Construyendo un mejor futuro), e incluye una proyección de metas de gasto fiscal y negociaciones salariales para reducir el déficit con la intención de tentar a los inversores. http://www.elpaisdigital.com.ar/contenido/en-secreto-vidal-promete-bajar-gastos-para-conseguir-financiamiento/7583
Original Title
Province of Buenos Aires - Building a better future (Febrero 2017)
En un paper elaborado por el Ministerio de Economía de la Provincia de Buenos Aires, dado a conocer ayer por El País Digital, la administración de María Eugenia Vidal prometió a potenciales inversores reducir el gasto público con el fin de conseguir financiamiento privado. El documento -elaborado en febrero por el equipo del subsecretario de Finanzas, Sebastian Katz, y distribuido en las mesas de negociación en los últimos encuentros del FMI y el Banco Mundial- se titula "Province of Buenos Aires - Building a better future" (Provincia de Buenos Aires - Construyendo un mejor futuro), e incluye una proyección de metas de gasto fiscal y negociaciones salariales para reducir el déficit con la intención de tentar a los inversores. http://www.elpaisdigital.com.ar/contenido/en-secreto-vidal-promete-bajar-gastos-para-conseguir-financiamiento/7583
En un paper elaborado por el Ministerio de Economía de la Provincia de Buenos Aires, dado a conocer ayer por El País Digital, la administración de María Eugenia Vidal prometió a potenciales inversores reducir el gasto público con el fin de conseguir financiamiento privado. El documento -elaborado en febrero por el equipo del subsecretario de Finanzas, Sebastian Katz, y distribuido en las mesas de negociación en los últimos encuentros del FMI y el Banco Mundial- se titula "Province of Buenos Aires - Building a better future" (Provincia de Buenos Aires - Construyendo un mejor futuro), e incluye una proyección de metas de gasto fiscal y negociaciones salariales para reducir el déficit con la intención de tentar a los inversores. http://www.elpaisdigital.com.ar/contenido/en-secreto-vidal-promete-bajar-gastos-para-conseguir-financiamiento/7583
PROVINCE ¢ OF
Building a
Buenos Aires
Provincia
Ministry of Economy of the Province of Buenos AiresDISCLAIMER
“WE FRSEITATION HAS BEE PAPARED BY THE FROVAE OF ENDS ARES (THE “REVI SOLELY FOR FORMATION PURFESES AMO DES WOT EOASTUTE A RECEMAENDATION
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byatenng th pretton yousrarschgta bean yeas matonExpected terms and conditions of the offering
incia de Buenos Aires
|
stort
vn
ae
So
BNP PARIBAS
ed re BBVA
MorganBasic facts
Largest population in the country
Represents 38% of Argentina population
The most productive engine for the
country
‘The PBA produces 36% of Argentina's total
‘output and 54.5% of total manufactures?
An agricultural powerhouse
‘The PBA represents about 34% of the total
national sown area*
PBA exports are well-diversified
PBA exported USD 17.4 billion during the last
12 months (32.6 % of Argentina's exports)?
(onstyo opts pene agra ob. st
PBA Guus 20468
the hae off Prowntalnanaactueson tne National manufactures for te 9
P| re | stain |
Provincial GDP? USD 190.9 Bn 35.8%
Coan iad yee
fiscal revenues?
an | ame
1 is t/ha ests sb gor /dolimagufENPO-Stressed Initial conditions
* Cash Balances as of December 10, 2015 amounted only USD 13*mm (1% of December's
wage bill)
+ Suppliers were usually paid 9 months after delivering their goods or services
* Financial skeletons
* 109 out of total 135 municipalities running fiscal deficits
+ Structural fiscal deficit:
* Reduction in effective co-participation from 25% (1992-2002) to 18% in 2016
* Nominal freezing of the “Conurbano” funds: ARS 650 million for the PBA (1.4% of
total)**
* Infrastructure ga
* Depressed levels of investment in infrastructure: only 3.7% of total expenditures in 2015
* Current deficit accounted for 73% of total deficit (2015)After two years of balanced budgets, the fiscal deficit reappeared in 2015
1.0% & Primary balance/Provincial GDP.
18 Financial balance/Provincial GDP 05%
0.5% a
1%
& 0.0% -
8
& 2%
0.5% il U
a
ae I 05% 06:
1.0% ston, 0% 1.0%
“1.5% 13%
2008 = 2009-2010 2011S 2012 2013, 20142015
ie ‘CAPEX AS PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL EXPENDITURE?
53% sx sem 9.0% ad
S66 2%
5456 7.0%
S26 th.
50%
48% 5.0%
46% 40%
as “a aie
sax | Aaa % -
20
40% eeseeeeeee4ne
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20142015 ZR2E82 88988 985Public finances: from emergency to predictability
Re-gaining financial strength
Suppliers bond issuance for USD 0.5bn*
Bonds issued in the international markets: USD 3bn
Bonds issued in the local market: USD 0.5 bn*
Less reliance in the T-bills program (more expensive debt)
Financial Skeleton reduction
Efficient spending and more investment
Savings in procurement process
Wage expenditure control
More balanced municipalities finances
Increase in capital expenditures
Predictability
Schools classes started on time after five years with consecutive strikes
Year long wage agreement for 2017Wage negotiation: shifting from backward to forward-looking
ae 2016 Wage increases in
line with the target
40% ce 375% inflation
36.6%"
30%
20%
10%
om
Teachers Provincial state workers Provincial state workers Others — excluding,
includede in Law N* inchudedin awn" 10430 Teachers among
ones ater major unions
Aprox. 22% of total government
employeesImproved fiscal transparency
PROVINCIAL BUDGET TRANSPARENCY INDEX FISCAL TRANSPARENCY ~ PBA ~ SCORE EVOLUTION
cordoba
Ente ios
cB
santare
95 ‘Quarterly fiscal report
93 Statistical year-book
Quarterly debt report
Teuguen
Rio Negro
Mendoze
sala
san tuan
‘ucuman
Chaco
Formosa
S.del Estero
del Fuego
tari |}
Corrientes
Chabut
san tus
Santa raz
siuy
1a Pampa
ta enor co-artipation with
oa Trunicipaltes
q as
74
2015 2016
fnThe path towards more investments and balanced fiscal accounts
Currents Revenues 23.0 255 267
Total Tox Revenues 213 4 189 All new debt issues
Social Security System 52 5 a are for capital
"Non Tax revenues on om expenditure
Currents Expenditures
Personnel
‘Goods and Services
Property Rent
Social Security System Benefits
Current Transfers
Current Account Balance
(Capital Revenues
Capital Expenditures
Gapltal Balance:
Total Revenues
‘otal Expenditures
STRAT
Financial Balance
Capex: From
6.3% in 2016 to
8.4% in 2017
579. “aval average exchange ate Central Banko rpntin (Cameron A S00) ASAD: 927 for2018 and ARSUSD:18.78oC 216 — 39The infrastructure master plan is under way
2017 Projects*
Distribution by subject
ea *%
Security
vest
* rote
water sage
agen
Ener ot sera
sedmiice sraiage
woe
owing nd
wien
slang
la reangot
/ oe
Si ierigaton,
‘rane ana
drinoae \ keology and
16 ‘envionment
Teaniation
15%
Go eaeucuec ta aur cere so
EE ta
IDB m8
FONPLATA 7Federal vs Provincial tax revenues
we, RES 29R2 29888
gee e88 89585
I a ag
;, anommmmeasoeoman
aoe a
“%Negotiation to increase federal transfers to the PBA
EFFECTIVE CO-PARTICIPATION COEFFICIENT AUTOMATIC TRANSFERS 2016*
pa TEMACEL CO E2967
. ——-——, "24829
25% ot —__— 2204
.o. —e 2065
249% wt —e! 19903
23% nc sie
a SAN.3¥ (pemem 503
Sacco ——<—< 160%
2% “< —_— 1632
Fo Mens fee ses
> |
1% fence Se
LID PPL PPP SOP a
FIIESE ESSE SS gs fae foe te
Sock Sein
sauce meres
PBA generated approximately 37% of national tax. (MENDOZA SN 813.3.
revenues, but only received 18% in 2016
19000 2.0000 30000
20%
19%
uso
ueros Ales an am estimation, Mince the tasters fom he Federal Goverment unde the Decree N° 194/16
enon ofthe Province; Secretar of Teas, Ministry of Teasuy and Publ Finances of Argentina: 20U6Natona BsAnew framework for PPP
PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP (PPP)
* In recent decades countries have developed specific regimes for infrastructure development under
PPP
* In order to end with social and infrastructure deficits, the private sector can help the Federal and
Provincial governments with the financing and execution of big public projects
+ The public sector can gain from the efficiency and expertise of the private sector
+ The provincial senate approved the adhesion to the federal law N. 27,328, which regulates the
PPP framework, expected to be passed as a law in March 2017Public debt to GDP ratio remains below 7%
PUBLIC DEBT/PROVINCIAL GDP PUBLIC DEBT/TOTAL REVENUES:
12% 100% 93.4%
10.4% 87.2%
we 9.9% on
80% 76.4%
89% 67.4%
8% 7.8% 7 5%, 70% 65.1%
id 6.4% ome 54.6% 47.0%
6% 5.5% 98% 50% 44.5% 44.5%
40%
% lk
20%
2%
10%
% o%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 a3 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 a3
2016+ 2016+Financing Program 2017 (projected)
eA,
ARS usD GDP %
Financial requirements 59 3.3 1.7%
Primary deficit 12.1 07 0.3%
Interest a 22.6 1.2 0.7%
Amortization’ 24.3 14 0.7%
Financial sources 59 33, 1.7%
International market 35.8 20 1.0%
Domestic market 16.2 09 0.5%
Others ¥ 7.0 04 0.2%
Rte ARGUSO 7.Important reduction in markets needs
28%
4.0
Suppliers bond, 0.5
Domestic Market, 0.5)
25
International Market, 3
20
:
= 33%
29
Domestic Market, 0.9
International Market, 2.0
povDebt Service - Stock is USD 11.8 Billions
as of September 30, 2016
MATURITY PROFILE STOCK BY CREDITOR
Domestic Federal
Bondhold overnm
enai9% ent
25 238%
nas Malate
aicrea
Agencies
58%
1 ter
10 sanchld_/
wo 09 es Bites
ay 07 i tame
i 1
01 01 01 04 09 o9 90 00
a
>
SPS PL
ANNE SHEE ELAS
us bion
%
‘NEE
Minterest_ — m AmortizationThank you!
LS aN RUC Cu te Rode cena ie Nae