The Number of Deer killed

Vs
Number of Hunters
Registered

By. Gracy Hacking and Brooke Ell

 We were curious on the number of deer killed by registered hunters per year.

Our project is about finding the correlation between the number of registered hunters

and the number of deer killed. Our hypothesis is if the number of registered hunters

increases then the number of deer killed increases with a strong positive correlation.

Our method was sample survey.

. Population is the complete set of elements to be studied. Our population is all of

the hunters in the U.S. per year from 1990 to 2014. The sample is the subset of the

population. Our sample is all of the registered hunters in PA from 1990 to 2014. The

term variable is the objects described by a set of data. Our variable is the number of

hunters and the number of deer killed. The explanatory variable is plotted on the

horizontal axis. Our explanatory variable is the number of registered hunters each year.

A response variable is usually called y. Our response variable is the number of deer

killed each year.

.
 Number of Registered Hunters
1164720

1114720

Number of Registered
Deer Killed 1064720
Hunters
1014720

964720
196040 396040
HUnters Reg.

The coefficient of determination is the fraction or percent of the variation in the

values of y that is explained by the least- squared regression of y on x. Correlation

describes the direction and strength of a straight line relationship between two

quantitative variables.Our correlation is, r=.243, the correlation is strong positive

meaning as the number of hunters increases, the number of deer killed increases. The

correlation of .243 means the correlation is weak meaning the correlation isnt valid.

Since r=.243, then r^2=0.0593 meaning any prediction has a 5.93% variation. We

wanted to make a prediction using our equation so we chose 296040.

y= 0.2896x+945100

y=0.2896(296040) +945100

y=1030833.184

Our prediction was not very good. We thought our correlation was going to be a

strong positive. Its not a strong positive correlation because r=.243 and has a variation

of 5.93% making it a weak correlation.

 Two lurking variables that we have are the numbers that got shot but got away

and the amount of time each hunter spent hunting. If the number of deer that got shot,

but got away were in our data it wouldnt affect it since it didnt get killed. If we put the

amount of time each hunter spent hunting it sure would affect our data. If a hunter were

to not have patience and leave they might miss a chance to kill a deer. That would

decrease the amount of deer shot per year. If a hunter would stay hunting longer then

they would have a better chance to kill the deer which would increase the number of

deer killed per year.

Our hypothesis was if the number of registered hunters increases then the

number of deer killed increases with a strong positive correlation. Our hypothesis was

incorrect because it ended up being a weak correlation.