You are on page 1of 2

SeanHolley

Thereareafewbenefitsforeachstrategy.

Strategy1:Predictthattheemarkontheothersidewillbedifferentfromthemarkyousee.
Usingtheoreticalprobabilitythesuccessrateshouldbe30%successrateoutoftentries
TestnumberforStrat1outof10
1. Worked
2. worked
3. Failed
4. failed
5. Failed
6. Failed

Somehowitcameoutexactlyasa50%successrateoutoftentries.

Strategy2:Guessthesamenumberthatisonthefront:Theoreticallythisshouldbe60%
successrateoutoftentries

TestnumberforStrat2outof10
1. failed
2. failed
3. Worked
4. Worked
5. Worked
6. worked

Itcameouttobea50%successrateoutoftentries

Strategy3:Alwayspredictthemarkwillbex.Theoreticallythesuccessrateshouldbe50%out
often.Thisisbecauseoutof6differentletters3ofthemareX.

TestnumberforStrat3outof10

1. failed
2. worked
3. failed
4. failed
5. Worked
6. worked
Therewasa50%successrateoverallforthisstrategy

StrategyAlwaysguessowillbeontheotherside,theoreticallythereshouldbea50%chanceof
beingcorrect.

1. Worked
2. Failed
3. Worked
4. Worked
5. Failed
6. failed

InmyExperimentalprobabilityresearchIfoundthatthereisonestrategythatworksthebestfor
this,thatstrategyisguessingthesamenumberthatisonthefrontwillbethesamenumberthat
isontheback

You might also like