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  • OM1 - Forecast

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    OM1 - Forecast.xlsx

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    10 views3 pages

    OM1 - Forecast

    Uploaded by

    kumar1992prashant

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    of 3

    Month Demand 3MA 3WMA 2MA 4MA 5MA E(3MA) AE(3MA) E(3WMA) AE(3WMA) E(2MA)

    1 15 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
    2 30 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
    3 45 NA NA 22.50 NA NA NA NA NA NA 22.50
    4 25 30.00 34.50 37.50 NA NA -5.00 5.00 -9.50 9.50 -12.50
    5 50 33.33 32.00 35.00 28.75 NA 16.67 16.67 18.00 18.00 15.00
    6 35 40.00 41.50 37.50 37.50 33.00 -5.00 5.00 -6.50 6.50 -2.50
    7 55 36.67 37.50 42.50 38.75 37.00 18.33 18.33 17.50 17.50 12.50
    8 60 46.67 48.00 45.00 41.25 42.00 13.33 13.33 12.00 12.00 15.00
    9 ?? 50.00 53.50 57.50 50.00 45.00
    MAD 11.67 12.70
    MSE 168.33 181.35

    Month Demand ES 0.1 ES 0.2 ES 0.4 ES 0.6 ES 0.8 ES 0.9 E (ES 0.1) E (ES 0.2) E (ES 0.4) AE (ES 0.4)
    1 15 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 NA NA NA NA
    2 30 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 NA NA NA NA
    3 45 16.50 18.00 21.00 24.00 27.00 28.50 28.50 27.00 24.00 24.00
    4 25 19.35 23.40 30.60 36.60 41.40 43.35 5.65 1.60 -5.60 5.60
    5 50 19.92 23.72 28.36 29.64 28.28 26.84 30.09 26.28 21.64 21.64
    6 35 22.92 28.98 37.02 41.86 45.66 47.68 12.08 6.02 -2.02 2.02
    7 55 24.13 30.18 36.21 37.74 37.13 36.27 30.87 24.82 18.79 18.79
    8 60 27.22 35.14 43.73 48.10 51.43 53.13 32.78 24.86 16.27 16.27
    9 ?? 30.50 40.12 50.24 55.24 58.29 59.31
    MAD 23.33 18.43 14.72
    MSE 653.78 448.71 282.94
    AE(2MA) E(4MA) AE(4MA) E(5MA) AE(5MA)
    NA NA NA NA NA
    NA NA NA NA NA
    22.50 NA NA NA NA
    12.50 NA NA NA NA
    15.00 21.25 21.25 NA NA
    2.50 -2.50 2.50 2.00 2.00
    12.50 16.25 16.25 18.00 18.00
    15.00 18.75 18.75 18.00 18.00

    13.33 14.69 12.67


    212.5 268.36 217.33

    E (ES 0.6) AE (ES 0.6) E (ES 0.8) AE (ES 0.8) E (ES 0.9) AE (ES 0.9) ES 0.5 E (ES 0.5) AE (ES 0.5)
    NA NA NA NA NA NA 15.00 NA NA
    NA NA NA NA NA NA 15.00 NA NA
    21.00 21.00 18.00 18.00 16.50 16.50 22.50 22.50 22.50
    -11.60 11.60 -16.40 16.40 -18.35 18.35 33.75 -8.75 8.75
    20.36 20.36 21.72 21.72 23.17 23.17 29.38 20.63 20.63
    -6.86 6.86 -10.66 10.66 -12.68 12.68 39.69 -4.69 4.69
    17.26 17.26 17.87 17.87 18.73 18.73 37.34 17.66 17.66
    11.90 11.90 8.57 8.57 6.87 6.87 46.17 13.83 13.83

    14.83 15.54 16.05 14.67


    246.10 261.85 284.10 255.52
    Month Y1 Y2 Y3
    Jan 360 405 323
    Feb 438 380 323
    Mar 359 360 277
    April 406 454 333
    May 465 449 324
    June 464 496 296
    July 387 430 285
    August 393 375 305
    Sept 505 461 319
    Oct 443 476 432
    Nov 540 431 510
    Dec 618 432 432
    5378 5149 4159

    X y X*Y Xsq
    1 5378 5378 1
    2 5149 10298 4
    3 4159 12477 9
    Sum 6 14686 28153 14
    Average 2 4895.333333 9384.333 4.666667

    b -29981.5

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