Global warming hoax & facts

Climate is always changing


)AGW (Anthropogenic Global Warming

1957 ()Roger Revelle

.

.

Revelle, R., and H. Suess, "Carbon dioxide exchange between

atmosphere and ocean and the question of an increase of
atmospheric CO2 during the past decades." Tellus 9, 18-27
(1957).
 ( )Al Gore


1967


1976




.
 ) Maurice Strong(
1972

.
) IPCC(
.) 1988(
Strong, the founding chairman of Petro-Canada
(1976-78) and former chairman of Ontario Hydro
(1992-95), both Crown Corporations, is "an agent of
Her Majesty." In Canada, Crown corporations are
wholly owned and operated by the Canadian
monarch, Elizabeth II, as the corporation's sole
shareholder. This follows the legal premise that the
British Crown, as an institution, owns all the
property of government at the federal and
provincial level. As the Canadian Encyclopedia says,
"A central rationale of crown corporations is that
the commercial activities of government, to be
performed successfully, must be shielded from
government intervention and legislative oversight."
 ( )Margaret Thatcher
.

:
 :
The data doesn't matter. We're not basing our recommendations on the
data. We're basing them on the climate models.
Prof. Chris Folland, Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research.

"Unless we announce disasters no one will listen."

Sir John Houghton, First chairman of IPCC

"No matter if the science of global warming is all phony... climate change
provides the greatest opportunity to bring about justice and equality in the
world."
Christine Stewart, former Canadian Minister of the Environment.

"We need to get some broad based support, to capture the public's
imagination... So we have to offer up scary scenarios, make simplified,
dramatic statements and make little mention of any doubts... Each of us
has to decide what the right balance is between being effective and being
honest."
Prof. Stephen Schneider, Stanford Professor of Biology and Global Change. Professor
Schneider was among the earliest and most vocal proponents of man-made global warming
and a lead author of many IPCC reports. He is a member of the Club of Rome.
 ( )Debate
1991 ( )Fred Singer (( )Roger Revelle
) :
( )GHW
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 ()Petition
The Global Warming Petition Project

.
31487 9000
Ph.D .
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oregon_Petition

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( )

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 540
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()Phanerozoic .
() .
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2.5
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.
10000
.

Average near-surface temperatures of the northern

hemisphere during the past 11,000 years compiled by David
Archibald after Dansgaard et al. (1969) & Schnwiese
(1995).




The average temperature in 2012 was about 14.6 degrees Celsius (58.3 degrees
Fahrenheit), which is 0.55C (1.0F) warmer than the mid-20th century base period.
http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/IOTD/view.php?id=80167
 IPCC
1
y = 5E-05x + 0.224
0.8 R = 0.0005 http://data.remss.com/msu/graphics
0.6 y = 0.0013x - 0.1508 /TLT/time_series/RSS_TS_channel_TL
R = 0.1808 T_Global_Land_And_Sea_v03_3.txt
0.4
0.2
0 http://vortex.nsstc.uah.edu/data/ms
-0.2 u/v6.0beta/tlt/tltglhmam_6.0beta5.t
-0.4 xt
-0.6
0 48 96 144 192 240 288 336 384 432

Fig. 1. Global (80S to

80N) Mean TLT Anomaly
plotted as a function of
time. The blue band is
the 5% to 95% envelope
for the RSS V3.3
MSU/AMSU
Temperature uncertainty
ensemble. The yellow
band is the 5% to 95%
range of output from
CMIP-5 climate
simulations.
 () =
 :
Water vapor arguably lies at the heart of all key terrestrial atmospheric
processes. Humidity is essential for the development of disturbed weather,
influences (directly and indirectly through cloud formation) the planetary
radiative balance, and influences surface fluxes and soil moisture. Water
vapor is the only radiatively important atmospheric constituent that is
sufficiently shortlived and abundant in the atmosphere so as to be
essentially under purely natural control.
Source:Tropospheric Water Vapor, Convection & Climate, Sherwood, Roca,
Weckwerth & Andronova, Review of Geophysics (2010)

Gavin Schmidt
director of NASA GISS to offer
clarification:
With a straightforward scheme for
allocating overlaps, we find that water
vapor is the dominant contributor
(50% of the effect), followed by clouds
(25%) and then CO2 with20%


6/25 .
20
1.25 .

The forcing function derived from Myhre et al. (1998) is F = 5.35 * ln(C/C0).The preindustrial
level of CO2 has been estimated as 280 ppm, the present levels is about 400ppm. These are
considered lower troposphere world averages.



 IPCC

.1

)Water vapor feedback( .

( . hotspot )

.
.2





.
. Cloud negative feedback
.

negative feedback from clouds
New paper shows negative feedback from clouds 'may damp global warming'

Dr. Roy Spencer points out in his book,

"The most obvious way for warming to be caused naturally is for small, natural fluctuations in the circulation
patterns of the atmosphere and ocean to result in a 1% or 2% decrease in global cloud cover. Clouds are the
Earths sunshade, and if cloud cover changes for any reason, you have global warming or global cooling.

GCM cloud fraction compares poorly with observations of mean state, variability, and correlation with
estimated inversion strength (EIS). MLM cloud fraction driven by these same GCMs, however, agrees well
with observations, suggesting that poor GCM low cloud fraction is due to deficiencies in cloud
parameterizations.

CMIP3 Subtropical Stratocumulus Cloud Feedback Interpreted Through a Mixed-Layer Model

PETER M. CALDWELL,* YUNYAN ZHANG, and STEPHEN A. KLEIN
Lawrence Livermore National Lab, Livermore CA
 IPCC
IPCC

IPCC
.

Proffessor Roy W.Spencer:

The models exhibit strongly

positive water vapor feedback,
which ends up causing a strong
upper tropospheric warming
response (the hot spot),
while the observations lack of
a hot spot would be consistent
with little water vapor
feedback.


-1

http://www.nature.com/articles/sdata20141
Global monitoring and prediction
systemintegrated drought
Zengchao Hao, Amir AghaKouchak, Navid
Nakhjiri & Alireza Farahmand
 If we look at this tree ring record for the past 500 years
or so, what these tree ring records show is that multi-
year droughts occurred every few decades and the single
driest years occurred in 1580, 1923-24, and 1976-77.

Professor Lynn Ingram

 -2

Historical Global Tropical Cyclone Landfalls* JESSICA WEINKLE Center for Science
and Technology Policy Research, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado RYAN
MAUE National Research Council, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey,
California ROGER PIELKE JR.


 .3
Despite the recent spate of deadly extreme weather events such as the 2003 European heat wave
and the 2004 and 2005 hurricane seasons in the USA aggregate mortality and mortality rates due to
extreme weather events are generally lower today than they used to be.
Globally, mortality and mortality rates have declined by 95 percent or more since the 1920s. The
largest improvements came from declines in mortality due to droughts and floods, which apparently
were responsible for 93 percent of all deaths caused by extreme events during the 20th Century

Death and Death Rates Due to Extreme Weather Events . (Goklany. I, 2007)

.1 PH
.
( . Easterbrook
26 (2013
.2 ( . )
.

The phase relation between atmospheric carbon dioxide and global temperature
Ole Humlum, et al., 2012
 (
)
 Source: A synthesis of the Antarctic surface mass balance during the last
Source: Thick and deformed 800 yr
Antarctic sea ice mapped with M. Frezzotti, et al . The Cryosphere, 7, 303-319, 2013
autonomous underwater vehicles
G. Williams et al. 2014 , Nature
Geoscience.

A paper published in The Cryosphere finds Antarctica

has been gaining surface ice and snow accumulation
over the past 150+ years, and finds acceleration in
some areas noting, "a clear increase in accumulation
of more than 10% has occurred in high Surface Mass
Balance coastal regions and over the highest part of
the East Antarctic ice divide since the
1960s." Furthermore, the paper notes, "Global
climate models suggest that Antarctic snowfall
should increase in a warming climate and mitigate
rises in the sea level."
 1960 2.6 :
.

[2] National Snow and Ice Data Center, 14 March 2005, "State of the cryosphere: Is the cryosphere sending
signals about climate change?", NSIDC, on line [http://nsidc.org/sotc/glacier_balance.html].
[3] Dyurgerov, M., 2002, "Glacier mass balance and regime: Data of measurements and analysis," Institute of
Arctic and Alpine Research, on line [http://instaar.colorado.edu/other/occ_papers.html].
[4] Dyurgerov, M. B., and M. F. Meier, 2005, "Glaciers and the changing earth system: A 2004 snapshot," Institute
of Arctic and Alpine Research, on line [http://instaar.colorado.edu/other/occ_papers.html].
http://www.johnstonsarchive.net/environment/waterworld.html


http://arctic.atmos.
uiuc.edu/cryosphere
/arctic.sea.ice.intera
ctive.html


Nils-Axel Mrner, born 1938, is the former head of the paleogeophysics and geodynamics department at Stockholm
University. He retired in 2005.[1] He was president of the International Union for Quaternary Research (INQUA)
Commission on Neotectonics (19811989). He headed the INTAS (International Association for the promotion of
cooperation with scientists from the New Independent States of the former Soviet Union) Project on Geomagnetism
and Climate (19972003). He is a critic of the IPCC and the notion that the global sea level is rising. He was formerly
the Chairman of INQUA Commission on Sea Level Changes and Coastal Evolution, and led the Maldives Sea Level
Project.[2] Mrner is also known for his support for dowsing
 Dr
Nils Axel morner
Sea level can never rise faster than 10 mm/yr, the rise documented at the
Pleistocene/Holocene transition, when temperature rose drastically and ice receded
at a enormous rate (e.g. by 300 m/yr in the Stockholm area). Ice cannot melt faster
than the calorie supply allows (from the air, the ocean and the bedrock).


When we (the INQUA Commision on Sea Level

Changes and Coastal Evolution) consider past
records, recorded variability, causational
processes involved and the last centuries data
(Figs. 1, 2 and 4), our best estimate of possible
future sea level changes is + 10+10 cm in a
century or, maybe, even +5+15 cm.

Mrner, N.-A., 2013. Sea level changes: past records and future
expectations, Energy &
Environment, 24 (3-4), 509-536.

"... There are far more polar
bears alive today than there
were 40 years ago. ... In 1973,
there was a global hunting
ban. So once hunting was
dramatically reduced, the
population exploded.

There are about 25,000 polar

bears alive today worldwide. In
1973, there was a global hunting
ban. So once hunting was
dramatically reduced, the
population exploded.


:


.


.

:
.1



.

Average near-surface temperatures of the northern hemisphere during the past

& )11,000 years compiled by David Archibald after Dansgaard et al. (1969
Schnwiese (1995).
 .3
. .
.) Fertilizer( .

Satellite data shows the per cent amount that

foliage cover has changed around the world
from 1982 to 2010 (Randall Donohue et al)

Carbon dioxide fertilization (in ppm,

horizontal axes) of C3 crop and C4 weed
Source: von Caemmerer et al. (2012).

.1

.
.
.
In 1974, the National Center For Atmospheric
Research (NCAR) showed 0.4C cooling from
1940 to 1970, and no net warming from 1870
to 1970.
 NOAA
USHCN





 Climategate

.1
( : )Contaminated .2

.
: .3
( )Buoey
.
.4
... .5

The Honorable Charles Bolden, Jr.
NASA Administrator
NASA Headquarters
Washington, D.C. 20546-0001
Dear Charlie,
We, the undersigned, respectfully request that NASA and the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) refrain
from including unproven remarks in public releases and websites. We believe the claims by NASA and GISS,
that man-made carbon dioxide is having a catastrophic impact on global climate change are not substantiated,
especially when considering thousands of years of empirical data. With hundreds of well-known climate
scientists and tens of thousands of other scientists publicly declaring their disbelief in the catastrophic
forecasts, coming particularly from the GISS leadership, it is clear that the science is NOT settled.
The unbridled advocacy of CO2 being the major cause of climate change is unbecoming of NASAs history of
making an objective assessment of all available scientific data prior to making decisions or public statements.
As former NASA employees, we feel that NASAs advocacy of an extreme position, prior to a thorough study of
the possible overwhelming impact of natural climate drivers is inappropriate. We request that NASA refrain
from including unproven and unsupported remarks in its future releases and websites on this subject. At risk is
damage to the exemplary reputation of NASA, NASAs current or former scientists and employees, and even the
reputation of science itself.
For additional information regarding the science behind our concern, we recommend that you contact Harrison
Schmitt or Walter Cunningham, or others they can recommend to you.
Thank you for considering this request.
Sincerely,
(Attached signatures)

The letter originates from members of the Johnson Space Center Chapter of the
NASA Alumni League, according to Walter Cunningham, a former astronaut who
flew the Apollo 7 in 1968 and one of the letter's signatories.
 .2
(
)
(

)
( . )Lag


This record most likely reflects the temperature and accumulation
change, although the mechanism remains unclear. The sequence

of events during Termination III suggests that the CO2 increase .
lagged Antarctic deglacial warming by 800 200 years and
preceded the Northern Hemisphere deglaciation. (
Timing of Atmospheric CO2 and Antarctic Temperature Changes ).
Across Termination III
Nicolas Caillon et al, 2003
.
( ) .3
.
.
: 98-97 .4
( )
.
.5

.1 97 :
( )
.
( .
Cook et al. 2013
David R. Legates ( . )
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11191-013-9647-9
21 . .2
( 1998 ).

http://data.remss.com/
_msu/graphics/TLT/time
_series/RSS_TS_channel
_TLT_Global_Land_And
Sea_v03_3.txt

http://vortex.nsstc.uah.
edu/data/msu/v6.0beta
/tlt/tltglhmam_6.0beta
5.txt
 -3 :
.
 30
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 ( Hockey Stick ) Michael Mann ( -4
)IPCC 1998 )Data Manipulation(

.
)Stephen McIntyre( .

4000



.

NOAA :

ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.
gov/pub/data/paleo
/icecore/greenland/
summit/gisp2/isoto
pes/gisp2_temp_ac
cum_alley2000.txt
 .5 (
) ( .

). Karl 2015
90
( .
( NOAA )ERSST.v3
( )ERSST.v4
98 .
 Climategate
East Anglia
Climatic Research Unit (CRU)
Mr. Pachauri (the head of the
U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change) and his allies are
fond of pointing out that climate
change science is bigger than East
Anglia's Climatic Research Unit
(CRU), and that other institutions'
research backs the theory.
The wall street journal, Updated
Dec. 8, 2009 7:20 p.m. ET
CRU director Phil Jones told
Australian scientist Warwick
Hughes in a 2005 email: "Why
should I make the data available
to you, when your aim is to try
and find something wrong with
it.
The wall street journal, Updated
Dec. 8, 2009 7:20 p.m. ET
:

Soon, W.H., "Variable Solar Irradiance as a

Plausible Agent for Multidecadal Variations in
the Arctic-wide Surface Air Temperature
Record of the Past 130 Years," Geophysical
Research Letters, Vol. 32, 2005
 Source: Empirical evidence for a celestial origin of the climate oscillations and its implications Nicola Scafetta
Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics 72 (2010) 951970

eight year moving average of the global temperature detrended of its quadratic fit and plotted
against itself shifted by 61.5 years. Note the perfect correspondence between the 18801940 and
19402000 periods. Also a smaller cycle, whose peaks are indicated by the letter Y, is clearly
visible in the two records. This smaller cycle is mostly related to the 30-year modulation of the
temperature. These results reveal the natural origin of a large 60-year modulation in the
temperature records.
Source: Empirical evidence for a celestial origin of the climate oscillations and its implications Nicola Scafetta
Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics 72 (2010) 951970

Top: The figure shows the global surface temperature (black) detrended of its quadratic fit function as done in Figure 1. The data are
plotted against the 60 year modulation of the speed of the sun relative to the center of mass of the solar system (red) shown in
Appendix T. The 60 year modulation of SCMSS has been time-shifted by +5 years.
Bottom: The figure shows the global surface temperature (black) filtered within its two decadal oscillation. The temperature
modulation is plotted against the SCMSS (red) shown in Appendix T. No time-shift has been applied. The figures suggest that the 60
and 20 year modulation of the SCMSS can be used for forecasting these global surface temperature oscillations and has been used
to reproduce the forecast modulation curves in Figure 13.

()Svensmark cosmic ray theory
.
SKY Danish National Space Institute
( )CERN
.

.

.



.

) (

Figure 3: The correlation between cosmic ray flux

(orange) as measured in Neutron count monitors
in low magnetic latitudes, and the low altitude
Variation of cosmic ray intensity and monthly sunspot activity since 1958
cloud cover (blue) using ISCCP satellite data set,
according to the Germany Cosmic Ray Monitor in Kiel (GCRM)
and NOAA's National Geophysical Data Center (NGDC), respectively. High following Marsh & Svensmark, 2003.
sunspot activity correlates with low cosmic ray intensity, and vice versa.
Last month incorporated: August 2009 (GCRM) and October 2009
(NGDC). Last diagram update: 6 November 2009.
 1000

Friis-Christensen & Lassen

1991

EUROPEAN ORGANIZATION FOR NUCLEAR RESEARCH

CERN-PH-EP/2008-005
26 March 2008
COSMIC RAYS AND CLIMATE
Jasper Kirkby
CERN, Geneva, Switzerland
Solar irradiance and sunspot number since January 1979 according to NOAA's National
Geophysical Data Center; NGDC. The thin lines indicate the daily irradiance (red) and sunspot
number (blue), while the thick lines indicate the running annual average for these two
parametres. The total variation in solar irradiance is about 1.3 W/m2 during one sunspot cycle,
as an order of magnitude.





1600

Solar irradiance since 1610 as reconstructed by Lean et al (1995) and Lean (2000). The thin line indicates the annual reconstructed solar
irradiance, while the thick line shows the running 11 average. The values shown include a background component. See Lean (2000) for discussio
of the amplitude of the background component. Last year included in the Lean (2000) analysis: 2000.
"The current prediction for Sunspot Cycle 24 gives a
smoothed sunspot number maximum of about 69 in the
late Summer of 2013. The smoothed sunspot number
reached 68.9 in August 2013 so the official maximum will
be at least this high. The smoothed sunspot number has
been rising again towards this second peak over the last
five months and has now surpassed the level of the first
peak (66.9 in February 2012). Many cycles are double
peaked but this is the first in which the second peak in
sunspot number was larger than the first. We are currently
over five years into Cycle 24. The current predicted and
observed size makes this the smallest sunspot cycle since
Cycle 14 which had a maximum of 64.2 in February of
1906."[1] The monthly sunspot number was still rising as of
March 2014
Daily observations of the number of sunspots since 1
January 1977 according to Solar Influences Data
Analysis Center (SIDC). The thin line indicates the daily
sunspot number, while the dark grey line indicates the
running annual average. The recent low sunspot
activity is clearly reflected in the recent low values for
the total solar irradiance. Compare also with the
geomagnetic Ap-index. Data source:WDC-SILSO, Royal
Observatory of Belgium, Brussels. Last day shown: 31
October 2015. Last diagram update: 2 November 2015.



)Climate Research Unit( CRU
55-54
( 1998 ) 77-76 234/34
( 218/2 ) .
.
18
. 78-77 92-91
192.36 .


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(
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2015
2011 1999 2001
( )79-77


 : 156
 Rss MSU
ftp://ftp.remss.com/msu/data/netcdf/

1.5 ( )
1
0.5
0
-0.5
-1
-1.5
1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009 2014

( )
5
y = 0.0013x - 0.0883
4 R = 0.02

-1

-2

-3

-4
0 24 48 72 96 120 144 168 192 216 240 264 288 312 336 360 384 408 432 456 480
 y = 0.0005x - 0.0487
1979 1998 R = 0.0009
5
4
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3
-4
0 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 240 252

1999
y = -0.0026x + 0.6829
R = 0.0161
4
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3
-4
0 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 156 168 180 192 204 216
 37

1

0.8 y = 5E-05x + 0.224

R = 0.0005
0.6 y = 0.0013x - 0.1508
0.4
R = 0.1808

0.2

-0.2

-0.4

-0.6
0 24 48 72 96 120 144 168 192 216 240 264 288 312 336 360 384 408 432

6
5
y = -0.0028x + 1.3754
y = 0.0007x - 0.0792 R = 0.0203
4
R = 0.0019
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3
-4
0 24 48 72 96 120 144 168 192 216 240 264 288 312 336 360 384 408 432

Is Climate Change Now Its Own Industry?
Don Jergler July 30, 2015 :
Insurance journal

Interest in climate change is becoming an increasingly powerful economic driver,

so much so that some see it as an industry in itself whose growth is driven in large
part by policymaking.
The $1.5 trillion global climate change industry grew at between 17 and 24
percent annually from 2005-2008, slowing to between 4 and 6 percent following
the recession with the exception of 2011s inexplicable 15 percent growth,
according to Climate Change Business Journal.
Also quoted in Wshington times: An inconvenient truth: Climate change
industry now a $1.5 trillion global business

Source: Climate Change Business Journal


.
by JAMES DELINGPOLE
8 Aug 2015

When you buy stuff from the climate change industry, you
have no choice in the matter whatsoever. Its already priced
into your taxes, your electricity bills, the cost of your petrol,
the cost of your airfare, the cost of every product you buy
and every service you use. It is utterly inescapable, this
expenditure. Yet unlike your online shopping which,
remember, costs roughly the same as you spend each year
on the climate change industry you get precisely nothing
in return.

James Mark Court Delingpole (born 6 August 1965) is an English columnist and
novelist who has written for a number of publications, including: Daily Mail, Daily
Express, The Times, The Daily Telegraph, and The Spectator. He is executive editor
for the London branch of the Breitbart News Network.He has published several
novels and four political books. He describes himself as being a libertarian
conservative,[and has been described as a "prominent voice of the right"


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