Professional Documents
Culture Documents
105 6
A Thesis
Submitted to
Department of Business Administration
National Kaohsiung University of Applied Sciences
In Partial Fulfillment of Requirements
For the Degree of Master of Business Administration
June 2016
Kaohsiung, Taiwan, Republic of China
105 6
20089
QE
3040
i
Monetary Policy and Inflation:
as Reforms of the Monetary System by National Government
Abstract
iii
................................................... i
.................................................. ii
................................................. iii
.................................................. iv
..................................................... v
.................................................... vi
................................................ 1
.................................. 1
........................................ 4
........................................ 5
............................................ 6
.................. 6
............................... 16
........................................... 24
................................. 24
............................. 25
................... 26
......................... 32
............................... 32
............................. 37
......................... 42
......................................... 47
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....................................... 50
....................................... 51
.................................................. 53
.................................................... 57
.................................................... 58
iv
2-1 ........... 12
2-2 ................................... 14
2-3 ....................... 18
2-4 ................................... 22
2-5 ............................. 23
3-1 ................................. 26
4-1 ..................................... 36
4-2 ..................... 44
v
1-1 .................................. 5
2-1 ................................ 7
2-2 ............................. 15
2-3 ................................... 17
2-4 ................................... 22
vi
2008 9
QE
(2014)
1
:
(2010)
(New Classical Economics)(Keynesian
Economics)
(2013)
(1991)
3
17 10.5
(North1995)
20 40
1.
2.
3.
1-1
Menger
(2014)
10
(1979)
6
2-1
:
(Milton Friedman):
7
(Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary
phenomenon)
MV=PT
P
T
PT
M
V
(2008):?
?(M)(P)
(
2014)
(2011)
Phillip Cagan(1956):
50% 50%1
1
(2014)
20
8
157
87 118
2
2011
621
739
(1939)
4
: 6
28%7
1,256,340
8
2
3
4
( 968 ~1022 )( 968 ~1022 )
5
6
7
8
9
(2014)
(2012):
125
200
36
(2013)
( 1042
):
(2011)
( 1260 )
9
(1042 )
10
( 1261 ):
10 11
( 1374 )
1000
( 1393 ) 160 ( 1397
) 71 12( 1436 )
10
11
12
(2012)P135~137
11
(
)
2-1
:(2002)
12
(2002)
1816
1873
2 3
(
2008)
13
1894 28.85 1.00 1917 60.17 0.94 54.81 0.98
1895 28.84 1.00 1918 57.69 0.96 53 0.97
1896 49.59 1.72 1919 56.92 0.99 52.1 0.98
1897 42.58 0.86 1920 75.51 1.33 65.64 1.26
1898 49.38 1.16 1921 81.37 1.08 69.99 1.07
1899 40.95 0.83 1922 95.37 1.17 80.43 1.15
1900 37.36 0.91 1923 99.17 1.04 84.31 1.05
1901 37.17 0.99 1924 89.08 0.90 80.5 0.95
1902 53.45 1.44 1925 96.77 1.09 83.26 1.03
1903 53.93 1.01 1926 123.99 1.28 105.95 1.27
1904 45.77 0.85 1927 123.21 0.99 113.71 1.07
1905 38.51 0.84 1928 96.48 0.78 100.21 0.88
1906 48 1.25 1929 114.16 1.18 109.27 1.09
1907 62.98 1.31 1930 143.1 1.25 136.34 1.25
1908 59.39 0.94 1931 104.76 0.73 105.11 0.77
1909 50.12 0.84 1932 100 0.95 100 0.95
1910 60.82 1.21 56.63 1.00 1933 100 1.00 100 1.00
1911 66.63 1.10 61.82 1.09 1934 96.08 0.96 104.89 1.05
1912 63.56 0.95 58.04 0.94 1935 96.64 1.01 105.9 1.01
1913 62.73 0.99 53.33 0.92 1936 102.59 1.06 106.6 1.01
1914 58.46 0.93 52.92 0.99 1937 113.01 1.10 114.02 1.07
1915 65.84 1.13 56.18 1.06 1938 119.62 1.06 119.48 1.05
1916 64.3 0.98 55.78 0.99 1939 178.5 1.49 168.39 1.41
13
1-2
:(2008)
13
14
200
150
100
50
0
1894
1896
1898
1900
1902
1904
1906
1908
1910
1912
1914
1916
1918
1920
1922
1924
1926
1928
1930
1932
1934
1936
1938
2-2
: 2
(
1999)
15
14
(2014)
14
Lydia 7 546
: 660
16
2-3
:(2014)
Greshams Law
17
4
2-3
15
15
(2014):
18
()
(1983)
16
16
19
(1983)
150 100
(1991)
140
(1991)(2006):
20
(1983)(2006) 1873
17
( 5)
18
:
(
)19
17
1873
18
19
(2006):p.29
21
2-4
:(2008)
80
70 71.3
60
53.28 54.9
50
40 40 38.54
35 30
30
22
20
15 15.31
10
2-4
: 2-4
22
2-5
:(2006)
1937
:
::
:
:
(2010)
23
()
2014
1
2
3
4
5
6
Flick1992
24
1989
(Kendrick
1990)
:
20
:
(Schutt2012)(history event research)
(history process research)
(cross-
sectional comparative research)
(comparative historical
reseach)(
20
(1995): 3
25
2015)
3-1
:(2014)
institution
2001
26
constructivepostmodern2001
:
()()
(
2014)
27
(1)(2)
(3)
(North1994)
(1995)?(1994)
: (comparative
advantage violence)
(contract
theory)
(predatory or
explotation theory)
(
)
28
()
(North
1994)
()
(North1994)
(Patron-
Client relationship)
29
:
()
North(1990)
1997
2001
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
30
31
(1895 )(1911 )
()21
North(1994)
21
367
32
1912
22
23
(1)
(2)
(3)24
22
369
23
227
24
33
93.5374%
(2011)
25
26
27
140
25
26
p98
27
p121
34
1933 1935
19141936
28
28
P191
35
()
1850 41,469
1887 37,763.6
1914 45,524.3
1936 50,078.9
1949 54,167
4-1
(2007)
1861 1895
()
36
1930
1924 8
29
(1)
(2)
(3)
(1)
(2)(3)
(4)
29
32
2011 10
37
30
32,531,921
31
1933
30
p231
31
38
1933 3 1
32
33
34
1918 2 5
1933
32
: 232 ,1933 3 1 ,:
,,
,,
,
23.493448 33.S99
23.493448/33.599=0.6992305()0.6992305 2
1/4%()0.159327()0.715
,(1933 4 5 ):,,
,,,,.
,,,
,,,,
,,,,
,,,
,,,,
,
33
27 88/6
34
39
128 30
35
1935
36
(Milton Friedman):
37
40%
1930
3 1
38
35
1999 27
36
1934
()
37
132
38
40
39
40
1930 70%
41
39
1935 11 4
()
40
1994
23
41
2007
41
42Douglass North
43
(Milton Friedman)
44
1937
45
19 151.22 1
2000 2 1937 1939
14
1939 22.96
42
Douglass North & Robert Pual Thomas 2016 1
P243
43
44
132
45
46
: 2008
42
1939
47
100.30
1939
48
100.30 1945 36,840,045 367,298
1939
20%
10%
25%
66.6%49
47
2007P15
48
52
49
43
50
4-2
50
1945~1952
2006
44
1948
51
1930 14,140,968
374,762,200
1. 40%
0.22217 20
2. 300 1948
12 20
52
3. 9
30
51
2007/12P15
52
1 200 1 3 2
45
4.
5. 8 19 53
1930 9.26
300
20 6000
1949 7
54
2 ()
53
54
1949 7 3
7 4
1 1
23.493448 9 1
151050100 7 8
()
46
()55
1930
30
North1994
(Keith Jenkins)
55
47
1980
(Douglass North)
(
)
(Milton Friedman)
48
1930
56
1931 1933 1934
56
132
49
2008
QE1
1.75 QE2
6000 QE3
57
400
30%
20%
10%
58
57
QE3 2015 9 13
58
2016/5/16
50
(2015)
1989
(1974)(2006)(2006)
2040
51
20 40
52
1. (2001)
368~70
2. (2002)
273~80
3. (2007):
4. (2008)
35~9
5. (2008)
6. (1997)
36 111~22
7. (2014):
8. (1948)
10193~222
9. (2010)3
19~21
10. (2011)
480~85
11. (1989)
17438
12. (1991)
20183~199
13. (1994)
23167~194
14. (2005)
15. (2011)80~81
16. (2014):
17. (2013)Economic Research13369~400
18. (1995):
53
19. (2008):
3583~88
20. (2014):
21. (2013):
22. (2007)60
11~12
23. (2013)::
24. (2001)11
145~162
25. (2014):
26. (2013)
992
27. ((2012)
28. (1042 )
29. (2008 )
8~14
30. (2014):
31. (2014):
32. (2002) 4 18
40~43
33. ((2013):
34. 2011
41 4670
35. (2013)
22107
36. (2013)15
117~118
37. (2013)
38. (2013)(1934~1936)
39. (2014)
54
40. (2012)P135~137
41. (2010):
42. (2013):
43. (2014)
Copula
44. (2005)1945-1952
:37273~324
45. (2010)
8123~139
46. (2006)
2006125~133
47. (2007)
33157~163
48. (2001)
12157~177
49. (2006):
50. (1999)
51~38
51. (1979):
52. (1997):
53. (2009)2009
91
:
1. Cagan Phillip(1956).The monetary dynamic of hyperinflation. Studies
in the quantity theory of money. Friedman Milton(ed.)
Chicago,University of Chicago press.
2. Douglass North(1994)Institutions,institutional change and economic
performance:
3. Douglass NorthStructure and change in economic history(1995)
:
4. Douglass North & Robert Paul ThomasThe rise of the western
55
world:A new economic history(2016 )
5. Flick, U. (1992). Triangulation revisited: Strategy of validation or
alternative?Journal for the Theory of Social Behavior, 22, 175-197.
6. John Maynard KeynesThe treatise on money(2012 ):
7. Kendrick, S., Straw, P., McCrone, D. (1990). Introduction. In S.
Kendrick, P. Straw, &D. McCrone (Eds.), Interpreting the past,
understanding the present.London, UK: Palgrave Macmillan,11-12.
8. Keith JenkinsRe-thinking history(2011 ):
56
26 59
59
:
57
1895
60
:
()
60
:
58