You are on page 1of 9

A

2001, 18(3):303311
APPLIED MEDICAL RESEARCH ARCHIVES OF HELLENIC MEDICINE 2001, 18(3):303311

.
*
,
,
1. ,
2.
2.1.
2.2. he concept of morbidity
3.
4. Abstract at the end of the article
4.1.
4.2.
4.3.
4.4.

4.5.

4.6.
-
4.7.
-
5.

1. -
,
, - ( ).
, ,
, ,
, . - , +-
() (.. ), +
() (.. ) + (.. -
, , - ) [ ,
, () ..]. , -
. ,
( -
) ( , .. -
), - . , -
, -
. , , .2 -
- -
, - , ,
- ,
, - . -
- -
.1 - , -

.
* : - -
(
304 .

) . - ), -
, , ( ).

,
. -
(, ,
,
) (-
, -
) ,
, - .
- (, , -
, - ) -
.2 - (, , ),
- ( ), -
]evidence^ ]ev- ( ). ,
idence-based medicine^, - , -
.3,4
, , , - , .6
, .
2.1.
2.
-
, ,
(morbidity)* -
. , -
,

, -
. 17
-
. , -
. (mortality) - ,
, , -
. , ,
, . -
, (health .6 -
event) .5 - .
, - , ,
,
. ( ).7
(covering law mod-
**
el), -
.
, ( -
-
). , ,
( ). , ,
, John Graunt (16201674) -
, , William Petty (16231687), -
-
. (operational) . magnum opus Graunt
, , Natural and political observations mentioned in a fol-
, . ' lowing index and made upon the bills of mortality8 -
- -
' ( , , Francis
Bacon (15611626), -
, -
* 1833.
**
Graunt .9 -
. - -
(morbus-i), , - 17
. - Graunt Petty. -
. , -
305

Thomas Sydenham (16241689), . . (disease) -


- (illness).
, ,
. - , .
Edmund Halley (16561742) - 19 (Bichat
. , 17711802, Virchow 18211902) -
- (131201 ..),
, - 2000 .4,5,14
-
(J. Graunt, W. Petty, Th. Syden- -
ham, E. Halley).1013 -
(, morbus-i). ,
2.2. . -
(events),
. , , -
- (. 1).
, :
. (cases of disease). -
. (disease)
, (events) -
. (case of dis- .
ease) , , -
. (health event) ' ,
(health state) (host).
. (point event)
. (event) (state). ,
(period event)
(
. -
health event health state) -
. - . -
. (closed, cohort) , , -
(open, dynamic) , -
. rate.*
. -
* rate ( , taux) -
,
, - . -
() , -
. , , E- ' .
landt-Johnson (1975) -
. rate (incidence rate, . (point events) -
prevalence rate) - (period events).
(frequence occurrence) , - -
( ) . - , - -
, Bernoulli. - -.
( -
) (- . - (person moment instance). -
-). rate -
, '
, -
.
. , -
, , . - (population-time). -
' -
, -
. -
. -
, .. -
incidence rate
- -.14 . -.
306 .

1. - () * (
( ) (- , ).
, , ). (domain) (refer-
E ent), -
(Morbus) (Vitium) - -, -
(. 2).
(disease) (impairment)
(illness) (disability)
-
(sickness) (handicap) (..
x ...), -
WHO (1980)
(.. x ).14
Vitium-i.=A, , , . -
.
4.

. (closed, cohort) (open, dy- -


namic) . - .1417
.
- 4.1.
(.. )

' -
- (incidence-proportion) -
-
- (incidence-density).
(.. ). -
-
, , , -
. , ( -
. ). ' -
, , -
. , , -
. - . , -
(turnover) .
(.. ) -. -
( ) -
(0=-
.
), -
- -
. . ,
. (incident cases) - ,
(prevalence cases). -
, -
.
* -- -
( -
, -
) ( ), - ( ). -
( - , -
). , ( -
) . , -
: () -
3. (sentire), () (percipere)
() (cogitare).
(measures of occurrence rate
measures of occurrence measures of disease frequen- , (experience). -
cy*) - , ,
, ,
, .
-
* occurrence frequency (theoretical), ,
. (empirical).
307

2. T . ( -
) -
(incidence rate) ( )
- (incidence proportion) --
- (incidence density) . -
() (prevalence rates) .
(point prevalence)
(period prevalence)
-, -
-
- .
- - '
- - , -
(risk) -
(odds) . .
- , -
-
(period events). H - . , .., 50 -
100 ,
- -
. - ( ) 100/50=2
, (1 )-1 , -
-, -,
, -
. . 2 (1 )-1
: 10 100 200 (100 )-1, -
(0= )
- 2 (1 )-1 -
, - 100.
10 =0,10 - - - 100/102/.
100 (-)
10 -
. 0,10 100
o, .
rate.* 0,10 , - ,
- .1825
, -
. 1 -
-
H - , - () ' 10 , '
o - ,
, ,
(case fatality rate). .
, - (
, .. .1825 , 19901994).
-: - - 1,
- , -
-. - -, 10 25 . -
- 5 -
2 , . - -
* (fraction), .. (5/22)(1 )-1 0,2(1 )-1 20
10
(2) o (10), (100 )-1. -
0,2, rate, - 0 -
. -
308 .

4.3. (incidence time)


, -
, (
) -
,
(0=
t= ).
, -
.
.., ,
(reference event) (T0)
. -
, , -
(T0)
. ..,
-
1990 50 , -
1990 50
1. 10 -
(= -
. , -
, o= ). , -
.
, -
-
. ,
, - -
. . , .., -
, - 1990 -
, , - ,
(- 1990 .16
).
4.4. (proportionate rates)
4.2.
,
. - , .. -
- () -
( ),
(), - -
, . -
- () -
, ( ( ) -
) o ( . -
) -.
,
- -
o - -
. . -
. , - , -
p
, (odds), 1 p .
. , ,
, , , ,
, .. - .
- , -
.1825 , ,
309

(standard)
-.5 (standardized).
,
4.5. , -
- ,
(con-
, .. - founding).
2000 , -
(). . -
,
-
1
, - b 1j b 0j
W j = 1 + 1
=
, . b 1j b 0j b 1j + b 0j

(adjusted
4.6.
overall rate) , WJbj.
- (standard-
(overall) (specific). ization)
c= . -
-
, -
b= ( - .
- -)

r=
c
b . -
c b - -
, - . , ,
- (odds).5,6
:
5.
c b /r
r = = jc J /b j = j j j ,
b jb j
(referent) (domain)
cJ/bj= . - - (serie of per-
son-moments), -
- , -
(.. ) - ( -
(WJ) ), -
.5,16 ( ) -
( ).
4.7. ( ) -
- .5,6
(overall rates) -
' , a priori
(crude rates). - . -
- -
- .
, , - (-
, ) -
-
. , -
( ) .
310 .

(rate) ( , .. -
) . , , .
- -
, - , -
- (risk) -
, (), - . -
. , , -
. -
- -
-
--
. -
(incidence-density, ID). ,
, ..
-
-
-
, -
(t0t1), - -
-
(cumulative incidence rate, CIR) -
.
- - (IDt)
p
: (p), (odds) 1 p
,
[
CIR t0 t1 = 1 exp t01 (ID t ) d t
t
] . -
, ,
- - 0,6, -
, , ,
- .

ABSTRACT

The concept of morbidity


L. SPAROS
Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology,
School of Nursing, University of Athens, Athens, Greece
Archives of Hellenic Medicine 2001, 18(3):303311

Morbidity is an essential concept in the health sciences in totum and in epidemiology particularly. It is a univer-
sal concept that becomes understandable by its operational definition. Morbidity is the occurrence (or fre-
quency) of diseases. With the process of measurement the theoretical concept becomes observable. The rate
measures of occurrence are empirical and theoretical. The empirical measures of disease occurrence are of two
types, namely incidence measures and prevalence measures, corresponding to the two ways in which the health
of a person may be considered. The first observes the number of health-related events or incidents that a per-
son experiences. The second evaluates the person's state of health at a specific point period in time that is what
exists or prevails. The incidence measures are of two types: incidence-proportions and incidence-densities. The
proportion-type incidence rate quantifies the occurrence of an event in association with a series of person-mo-
ments, finite in number, enumerated as the denominator input for the rate, and constituting its referent. The
incidence-density rate quantifies occurrence in a finity amount of population-time accrued as a population
moves over time and comprising an infinite number of person-moments, population-time being the sum of the
members' individual fragments of person-time of follow-up. Given a population-time referent for an empirical
rate, the frequency can be only concerned with the occurrence of an event and not with a state in it, the sec-
ond input to the rate being the number of cases of that event occurring within the population-time. The inci-
dence-density rate, while having these two quantities as inputs, is expressed through the articulation of the unit
311

and number of these, e.g. 10 cases in 100 person-years is expressed as 0.1 units of (1 year)-1 or 10 units of
(102 years)-1. The case and referent inputs into a density-type incidence rate do not constitute numerator and
denominator inputs, as the ratio is not a common fraction on account of the dimensionality of the referent in-
put. When a state (of health) is at issue the referent is inherently a series of person-moments, and the rate ex-
presses the frequency with which the state was associated with those person-moments, i.e. prevailing at those
person-specific moments. It is a prevalence rate in this definitional sense. The empirical rates may be overall
or specific rates and the overall rates may be crude or standardized. The overall rates are of interest as sub-
stitutes for the respective sets of specific rates on two accounts, simplicity and precision. A theoretical rate has
as its referent or domain an abstract defined category. A theoretical rate of the proportion type represents the
probability that a non-selected instance (person-moments) from the domain of the rate is associated with the
state or event whose frequency in that domain the rate expresses, while a corresponding empirical rate provides
an estimate (point, interval) of this probability. When a theoretical incidence proportion concerns the occur-
rence of an undesirable event, it represents the risk of that event for unselected individuals in the domain of
the rate.

Key words:: Crude rates, Incidence-density, Incidence-proportion, Overal rates, Period prevalence, Point prevalence, Spe-
cific rates, Standardized rates

1. . . - 14. MIETTINEN OS. Epidemiologie research: Concepts. Erasmus Sum-


. mer Programme. Erasmus University, Medical School, Rotter-
. , , 1987 dam, 1999
2. . . - 15. BOUYER J, HEMON D, CORDIER S, DERRIENNIC F, STUCKER I, STENGEL B
. . Gutenberg, , 1999 ET AL. Epidemiologie. Principes and methodes quantitatives. Les
3. SACKETT DL, STRAUS SE, RICHARDSON WS, ROSENBERG W, HAYNES RB. Editions INSERM, Paris, 1993
Evidence-based medicine. How to practice and teach. EBM Chur- 16. ROTHMAN KJ, GREENLAND S. Measures of disease frequency. In:
Rothman KJ, Greenland KJ (eds) Modern epidemiology. 2nd ed.
chill Livingstore, London, 1997
Lippincott, Raven, 1998:2946
4. MIETTINEN OS. Evidence in medicine: invited commentary. Can 17. McMAHON B, TRICHOPOULOS D. Epidemiology. Principles and
Med Ass J 1998, 158:215221 methods. 2nd ed. Little, Brown and Co, London, 1996:4364
5. MIETTINEN OS. Theoretical epidemiology. Principles of occurrence 18. BRESLOW NE, DAY NE. Statistical methods in cancer research. Vol-
research in medicine. John Wiley and Sons, New York, 1985 ume 1. The analysis of case-control studies. IARC Scientific Publ,
6. MIETTINEN OS. Advanced Study Design. The Erasmus Summer Pro- Lyon, 1980
gramme. Erasmus University, Rotterdam, 1997:2529 19. HENNEKENS ChH, BURING JE. Epidemiology in medicine. SL
7. EARMAN J, SALMON WC. The confirmation of scientific hypotheses. Mayzent, Little, Brown and Co, Boston, 1987
In: Salmon MH et al (eds) Introduction to the philosophy of sci- 20. AHLBOM A, NORELL S. Introduction to modern epidemiology. Epi-
ence. Hackett Publ Co, Cambridge, 1999:42103 demiology Resources Inc, USA, 1990
21. WALKER AM. Observation and inference. An introduction to the
8. GRAUNT J. Natural and political observations mentioned in a fol-
methods of epidemiology. Epidemiology Resources Inc, USA,
lowing index and made upon the bills of mortality. Reprinted ed. 1991
Arno Press, New York, 1975 22. NORELL SE. A short course in epidemiology. Raven Press, New
9. STOLEY PD, LASKY T. Investigating disease patterns. The science of York, 1992
epidemiology. Scientific American Library, New York, 1995 23. AHLBOM A. Biostatistics for epidemiologists. Lewis Publ., London,
10. ROTHMAN KJ. The rise and fall of epidemiology. 19502000 AD. 1993
N Engl J Med 1981, 304:600602 24. NORELL SE. Workbook of epidemiology. Oxford University Press,
11. ROGEN G. A history of public health. Expanded ed. The Johns Hop- Oxford, 1995
kins University Press, London, 1993 25. KELSEY JL, WHITTEMORE AS, EVANS AS, THOMPSON WD. Methods in
12. . . observational epidemiology. 2nd ed. Oxford University Press,
Oxford, 1996
: . . , -
, 1994
Corresponding author:
13. LILIENFELD DE, STOLLEY PD. Foundations of epidemiology. 3rd ed.
Oxford University Press, Oxford, 1994 L. Sparos, 7 Likourgou street, GR-145 62 Kifissia, Greece

You might also like