Professional Documents
Culture Documents
1, 2015
1 Introduction
Since the United Nations Conference on Environment and Development (Rio-92), much
has been discussed about ways to mitigate climate change. At that time, the UNFCCC
was ratified (Barros-Platiau, 2011). Even though the climate change issue has been
strongly present in the public international debate since then (de Felice et al., 2013),
the economic approach to global warming was until very recently restricted to a small
number of political actors and it only gained visibility with the publication of the Stern
Report in 2006 (Veiga, 2009).
Twenty years after Rio-92, little progress concerning climate change can be noticed
(World Meteorological Organization, 2012), despite all the negotiation and propositions
deriving from GCG, here understood as the agreements and consensus between state and
non-state actors to deal with the issue. The non-state actors perform important economic,
political and social roles at the GCG and also at national and international levels (Farias
and Andrade, 2014).
According to Giddens (2010), climate change is situated at the core of the global
geopolitics and demands a competent response from the international community.
Among the challenges posed are planning and economic incentives for the
decarburisation of the global economy, adaptation and mitigation policies and
international negotiation. From this perspective, the importance of the markets and the
State in the mitigation of climate change is extremely recognised as the main actors to
allow the creation of technical and political solutions (Wickramasinghe and Gamaje,
2013). As Viola (2009) asserts, there should be a substantial increase in international
cooperation for climate governance.
Other authors defend the idea that it is necessary to have a multi-level GCG with
actions, strategies, public policies and programmes at international, regional, national and
30 A.C. Ventura et al.
local levels (Martins and Ferreira, 2011; Thoidou, 2013). Because of the complexity of
this issue, which transcends geographic boundaries, GCG has been developed within
an environment of growing segmentation, involving different interests of diverse
organisational and productive sectors, and fragmentation, encompassing actors from
distinct systems at supranational, international, national and sub-national scales
(Biermann and Pattberg, 2008).
Among the most important instruments for GCG, the Kyoto protocol (KP) established
goals for the countries with the greatest emissions of the greenhouse gases (GHGs)
between 2008 and 2012. To help these countries to find a more cost-effective
way to reach their reduction goal, this multilateral agreement creates flexibilisation
mechanisms. Among these, there is the clean development mechanism (CDM) a
market instrument aiming at a balance between economic development and environment
through the trading of GHG reduction resulting from the implementation of projects in
developing countries, financed by developed ones (de Simoni, 2009). Thus, the KP
represents an institutional landmark for the creation of the global carbon market.
As highlighted by the CDM Policy Dialogue (2012), the global carbon market represents
an important policy instrument that facilitates the mitigation of GHG emissions around
the world in a cost-effective way.
Even though the first period of application of the commitment established by the KP
ended in December 2012, there is still in 2014 great uncertainty about the future of the
GCG in the so-called post-Kyoto period between 2013 and 2020. Such uncertainty is
strictly related to the widespread criticism levied not only by the scientific community
(Boyd et al., 2009), but also by the global environmental movement (Carbon Trade
Watch, 2012), about the little contribution the carbon market has made to the two
objectives proposed by the UNFCCC: a reduction in GHG emission and the promotion of
sustainable development. According to Bumpus and Cole (2010), the projects developed
in the regulated carbon market (RCM) have led to few co-benefits favouring sustainable
development, focusing exclusively on the reduction of GHG emission and ignoring
other developing countries necessities. Thus, the carbon market has been viewed with
suspicion by some, who question its chances of succeeding and a possible political
misuse of such instrument linked to the global environmental governance (GEG)
(Giddens, 2010). They also point out its low effectiveness and extraordinary distortions
(Viola, 2009).
Additionally, the carbon market has been facing the financial crises, especially in
Europe, the biggest investor in the carbon market. The carbon credit price has been going
down, decreasing its use by the private sector. This decrease represents the reflex of the
global economic crisis of 20082009, and the subsequent reduction of the industrial
activity in some of the major economies, as well as in GHG emissions. As a result, there
was the creation of an imbalance between the demand and the supply in the main carbon
markets (World Bank, 2013). According to Streck and Lin (2008), the carbon market
showed promise of generating around 12 billion euros only in KP activities; however, in
2011, for example, only 175 million dollars was invested, 10% more than that in the
previous year (Ecosystem Marketplace, 2012). According to CDM Policy Dialogue
(2012), between 2011 and 2012 carbon prices in the CDM market had declined by 70%
(see certified emission reductions (CERs) prices (20082013) in Figure 1).
Heimdal et al. (2012) believe that with the decrease in prices, investments will further
fall until a possible complete stop in CDM transactions. As affirmed by the World Bank
(2013), this uncertainty is preventing important investments, especially from the private
Carbon market and global climate governance 31
sector. However, the same study highlights the emergence of several national and
sub-national pricing initiatives that are trying to, among other differences, include
mechanisms to stabilise the carbon price. In spite of these new arrangements, the current
price brings doubts about the emission trading scheme effectiveness as a policy
instrument and questions about the consequences for long-term investments (World
Bank, 2013).
The development of the carbon market has been strongly affected by its economic
dimension, with little consideration of the market for its potential contribution to
development goals and to help to solve the global climate issue. As the prices are still the
main attractive, it demonstrates the insufficiency of strictly financial mechanisms to lead
the world to new sustainable and low carbon development strategies. Many studies,
among them CDM Policy Dialogue (2012) in particular, have discussed how this market
could be more effective in reaching this double objective. Other more critical studies
affirm the need for a strong reformulation in strategies and also in intergovernmental
cooperation and participation, especially in developing countries (Mattoo and
Subramanian, 2013), and the true incorporation of action that allows technology
development and transference, together with financial help to reduce the social
inequalities between nations (Andrade et al., 2009). It is imperative that developing
countries take actions to reduce the instability of the CDM market, seeking to guarantee
environmental and financial sustainability, independent of the developed countries
economy and policy decisions.
Considering the debates about the carbon market effectiveness as a policy instrument
and the necessity to reach the Kyoto protocol goals, it is considered to be of fundamental
importance to understand the role of the carbon market in the climate GCG, analysing the
32 A.C. Ventura et al.
limitations and challenges of this instrument for the post-Kyoto period. For this propose,
this paper seeks to discuss this issue, situating the global carbon market among
GCG mechanisms, characterising its actors and instruments, presenting some of the
predominant views in relation to its effectiveness as an instrument for climate
governance. As an innovation on the researches about the subject, we analyse the
potential of CDM market to complement the national climate change command and
control mechanisms in developing countries and we also propose some improvements for
the future decisions concerning the GCG on the post-Kyoto period. This study is part of
an interdisciplinary and multi-institutional research project about GCG and the carbon
market. This paper is based on a literature review of national and international academic
publications, as well as institutional documents from the United Nations IPCC,
UNFCCC, etc.
As for the development of the argument, this work was divided into four parts: this
introduction that gives an overview of the problem studied, followed by the second
section, in which an explanation of the theoretical basis of the GCG is presented; it also
highlights aspects of the carbon credit market; the limitations and challenges raised
throughout the discussions about the carbon market as an instrument of the GCG
are presented in Section 3 and some possible improvements for the discussions and
decision-making concerning the post-Kyoto period are given in Section 4.
2005), in which the possible agreements and coalitions depend much more on the ability
to dialogue and accept different viewpoints than on the use of force (Weiss and Pinheiro
do Nascimento, 2010). It occurs because in this kind of agreement there is no
international and global law that forces nations to adopt a specific action. Therefore,
seeking consensus and mutual cooperation is crucial. Within this context, there is a
demand for new ways of cooperation among different actors, encompassing all
organisations, political negotiations, international funding and economic mechanisms,
involving institutionalised rules for protecting the environment (Lopes, 2002).
Currently, climate change is an issue that has gained much attention and effort from
political actors related to global governance. It is at the core of global geopolitics and it
demands a competent response from the international community, especially regarding
the reduction of GHG emissions and the implementation of global measures, which
promote the transition to a low-carbon economy (Giddens, 2010). The challenges of these
changes have meant that climate science is seen as a threat to important and powerful
sectors of the global economy, because different and representative economic interests
are affected by the concept that the risk of climate change is a result of the way current
human society is organised (Abranches, 2010). Thus, GCG has become a key word in
environmental and climate resource policy. Among the characteristics that distinguish
this model of governance from the traditional policies related to the environment are:
the creation of new types of agencies and actors in addition to national governments
the creation of new mechanisms and institutions that go beyond the traditional state
decision-making
growing segmentation and fragmentation at different levels and scales (Biermann
and Pattberg, 2008).
The climate crisis was formally introduced into international negotiations during Rio-92,
with the creation of the UNFCCC. During this event, a group was formed to annually
monitor the actions related to the issue: the conference of parties (COP). Despite the fact
that the UNFCCC proved the existence of an international consensus about the need for
measures to reduce GHG emissions, the first specific goal for the countries was only
established five years later in 1997 when the Kyoto protocol (KP) was proposed (Seiffert,
2009). Among the main instruments created by KP was the carbon market, based on
market rules, involving different types of actors at varying levels going from international
decisions to national implementation strategies. The new agreement allowed the use of
three different market mechanisms to help the nations to reach their goals, as will be
explained in next section of this paper. The climate change COP completed its
18th edition in December 2012, but despite all the efforts applied so far, and the decision
to lengthen KP rules until 2020, while the new terms are being negotiated, there are still
doubts as to what will happen to the GCG in the post-Kyoto period. According to
Schrder (2012), these uncertainties are among the main reasons for the distrust in the
GCG, and especially among private investors. Some well-known issues concerning
climate change also create difficulties for the GCG, such as: the profound transformation
of habits and behaviour in some societies; the scientific uncertainty concerning
the sensitivity of the climate systems and the regional impacts and the impacts on the
ecosystems; the lack of definition as to the distribution of responsibilities and the equality
of efforts performed by the actors involved and the need for international coordination
(Meadowcroft, 2009). According to Transparency International (2012), the most
34 A.C. Ventura et al.
important decisions and responses regarding climate change would be more critically
deliberated within national and regional scenarios than in huge conferences of leaders and
States. This is because in the former scenario, more hybrid consensus would probably
arise, which would increase commitment patterns. Besides, it is necessary to recognise
that many of the human activities that contribute to global warming take place at a local
level, reinforcing the need to look at the local environment as a fundamental arena for
GCG (Martins and Ferreira, 2011).
The great challenges to the effectiveness of GCG are exactly its dependence on the
market and its instruments and on the complexity of the agents and actions and
its objectives. The GCG currently mainly involves some instruments (see Table 1).
Therefore, the conditions for local to global GCG, especially making use of all the actors
and multilateral deals, and command and control and economic instruments, are vital for
the reduction of fragmentation in the architecture of GCG, working with agents and
institutions that deal with the matter within and outside the United Nations formal system
(Comisso sobre Governana Global, 1996).
Actors National government (of the countries in the Annex A and of the
Non-Annex A of the KP), Intergovernmental Institutions (e.g.: OECD
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development), Non-
Governmental Organizations (registered as observers in the UNFCCC),
Scientists (e.g.: IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change),
Private Companies
Institutional United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
instruments (UNFCCC), comprehending 195 countries
Kyoto Protocol (KP)
Regulation and Command and control, market and voluntary mechanisms
environmental
management
instruments
Political-Economic Regulated Carbon Market: KP Flexibilisation Mechanisms
Mechanisms (Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), Joint Implementation,
Emissions Trading)
Voluntary Carbon Market
Financial funds to combat climate change (Adaptation Fund, Fast-start
Finance, National Communications and Funds managed by Global
Environmental Fund Special Climate Change Fund, Least Developed
Countries Fund and Green Climate Fund)
Climate Technological Centre and Network
Source: Authors own (2012)
As it can be inferred from Table 1, the GCG has been supporting itself upon the three
predominant regulation and environmental management instruments in the political
institutional arena of the environment in the past decades:
1 Command and Control: representing state regulation through legal impositions to
maintain minimum standards of environmental quality. Since the 1990s, several
actors and authors (e.g., Barde and Pearce, 1991; World Bank, 1992) have criticised
Carbon market and global climate governance 35
emissions trading (ET), which has unleashed free trading of emission reduction
rights at a global level
joint implementation (JI), which allows countries that have goals established by the
KP to obtain emission reduction units (ERUs) that represents an equal to 1 ton
(metric) of non-CO2 (reduced or storage in sinks) through joint implementation
project, among countries of Annex B, whose aim is to reduce GHG and, finally
CDM, which is the only KP mechanism that allows the participation of developing
countries, which do not possess compulsory GHG reduction goals.
Thus, CDM is an additional mechanism to accomplish the goals used by developed
countries and their respective companies. Moreover, this mechanism is regarded as the
most striking effect KP has brought about to international negotiations as it makes it
possible to trade actual emission reduction (Seiffert, 2009). KP represents an institutional
instrument in which the participants are under national or global regulation and norms,
which establish standardised criteria and rules to conceive projects and the trading of
CER generated by CDM projects. To negotiate the credit generated by CDM projects,
it is necessary to follow a set of procedures before confirmation is granted by the CDM
Executive Board, the highest organisation in charge of evaluating CDM and granting
CERs.
In the absence of a global command and control instrument, one of the most
interesting characteristics of the RCM is the possibility of the PK stipulating obligation
goals for the Annex I countries that must be regulated and controlled in the national
levels. The agreement brings obligations to be reached by each country, specifying that
nations must create their own command and control strategies to force their companies to
reduce their GHG emissions or to negotiate the GHG reduction with other companies
around the world. This characteristic represents an important opportunity for all
countries, developed or developing, to align their sustainable development paths to the
market possibilities and strategies. Despite this, according to CDM Policy Dialogue
(2012), until now most developing countries have not linked their national strategies to
their CDM possible projects and many developed countries with mitigation targets have
not linked their goals to CDM use.
The participants of the RCM are consultants, auditors, brokers, project developers,
speculators, among others whose aim is to provide liquidity to carbon credit trading,
but with different interests (Paiva et al., 2014). The negotiations of carbon credit purchase
and selling are done through retailing deals among the parts. For a contract to be entered
into, it is necessary that a company that owns CERs from CDM projects transfer them,
or officially binds itself to transfer them, as a seller, and the buyer (companies or
government, members of KP) pay the corresponding agreed amount (Lorenzoni Neto,
2009). According to Conejero (2007), CER purchase is performed, in general, in a very
similar way to purchase done in the commodities market. There are also investment
operations in projects of such nature, carried out by companies from developed countries,
which focus on obtaining carbon credit to make up for exceeding emissions. This
mechanism represents a market tool seeking to balance economic development and
environmental protection, through CER negotiations. In spite of these possibilities, many
limitations of this marketing tool incorporated into GCG mechanisms are making
governments, private investors and financial institutions lose confidence in the CDM
market (CDM Policy Dialogue, 2012).
38 A.C. Ventura et al.
On the other hand, the VCM can be seen as an economic instrument in which the
rules and norms concerning project elaboration and approval emerge from market agents.
Here, the GHG emission reduction projects are subordinated to International Standards,
which establish their own rules (Souza et al., 2011). Carbon credit negotiation, namely
verified emission reduction (VER), is performed by different agents, such as
governments, companies, NGOs and individuals (de Simoni, 2009), who are not subject
to KP norms. Consequently, the interests in participating in this market are diverse.
According to Bayon et al. (2009), the VCM has an innovative and lower-cost logistic in
comparison with the RCM. Gillenwater (2007) adds that the acquisition of VCM credit is
economically rational in situations in which reducing emissions caused by ones own
activity is more expensive. Paying someone to pollute less can be wiser than reducing
ones own pollution, not only for the buyer, but also for the society as a whole, because a
greater amount of emissions might be reduced for a given resource expense.
In the VCM, the concern of the investors and buyers lies on the management of
companies impact in relation to climate change, their image, reputation, interests in
technological innovations to reduce GHG, legitimacy, necessity to prepare themselves
for future regulations and carbon credit reselling plans profiting from the trade
(Instituto Brasileiro de Relaes com Investidores, 2009). Hence, the attractiveness of
these markets is directly associated to the credibility these companies acquire before
their stakeholders, through socialenvironmental responsibility actions, to reach a good
position in the markets they perform in as well as increase their competitive advantage in
relation to their competitors.
According to the Instituto Carbono Brasil (ICB, 2010, p.01), within this market
schemes are financed by organisations and individuals who want to neutralise the impact
of the emissions produced by their activities. Thus, among the projects developed in the
carbon VCM, there are projects that use small-scale methodology, not economically
feasible in the RCM; projects that do not meet the CDM criteria and projects that have
already computed retroactive credit, i.e., credit that was computed even before the project
was registered at the UN (de Simoni, 2009).
Bumpus and Liverman (2008) argue that project developers or retailers who act
within the VCM have fewer bureaucratic rules, compared with the RCM, because the
organisation of the VCM results from actions of the trading agents and carbon credit
sellers themselves. This is because it is through participants interactions that the rules
that guide the trading among them the IS emerge and the negotiation processes are
standardised based on the deals that emerged during the transactions and not on a specific
treaty or law.
It is important to highlight that, even though some companies make use of the VCM
as a means to obtain carbon credit or test their project, which has sometimes been
submitted to the RCM and is waiting for validation and approval, these companies are not
allowed to use the same credit for compensation purposes twice. This recycling of
carbon credit, namely double accounting, already caused some chaos in the European
market in 2010, when the Hungarian government traded 2 million tons of CO2eq with an
English organisation twice (Carbonpositive, 2009). Such failures lead to mistrust on the
part of the leading actors in the market and directly affect the credibility of the negotiated
VER (Pasishnyk, 2010). The failures are associated with the measurement, inspection
and accounting characteristics of emission reduction, essential to the offset market.
Nevertheless, with the establishment of the International Standards, owing to the
Carbon market and global climate governance 39
mobilisation of the participant actors of this market, rules were agreed upon to convey
the necessary credibility for the market to work effectively.
Each IS determines a set of criteria for project crediting, which function as guidelines
for the proponents, to guarantee transparency and credibility. Thus, for a project to be
approved and registered in the carbon VCM, it is necessary to follow the steps of
the project validation cycle, which is normally less bureaucratic and expensive than the
one in the RCM.
Unlike the RCM, the rules for the design of GHG emission reduction projects in the
VCM are not unique. It is observed that each IS establishes a distinctive set of rules.
Among the rules established by ISs are: elaboration of the project following a model
design document; all GHG emission reduction must be proved/measurable/quantifiable;
reduction must be permanent, i.e., the project must continuously reduce GHG emissions
that had been discharged up until then into the atmosphere and projects must follow the
additionality principle (Souza, 2012).
Once an overview of the global carbon market and its modalities was set, an analysis
of the confrontation of the complexities, limitations and challenges of this structure
within the GCG arena is carried out.
According to Silva Junior (2011), since the creation of the carbon market, international
trading relations have been intensified, involving selling agents, credit holders and buyers
interested in purchasing this credit. Several business opportunities have emerged,
generating profitable perspectives for the companies, individuals and the environment,
besides contributing to reducing corporative risks associated to climate change (Labatt
and White, 2007). Moreover, more specifically concerning the RCM, there is investment
by developed countries in developing ones, which should cause economic and
technological benefits, assisting in technology transfer and sustainable development.
This leads some authors to believe that the Kyoto protocol might bring about great
innovations to combat climate problems, through the market (Lombardi, 2008). From this
perspective, the regulated or VCM aims for GHG reduction and consequently the
promotion of sustainable development and technology transfer, creating opportunities for
economic, environmental and social improvement in the countries hosting the projects.
In contrast, Barrett (2009) believes that KP and its mechanisms have created very
modest innovation processes, because facing climate change requires a real technological
revolution. The main reason for these few innovations would be the fact that the carbon
market works with short-term goals, which do not motivate bigger investments and risks.
Research and development require long-term investment to enable the participating
companies to acquire true capacities in the environmental field, creating what Li et al.
(2012) call a knowledge-based view of cluster.
Despite the fact that the carbon market has created opportunities for technological
innovation in developing countries (project hosts) and new environmental management
strategies, it has been constantly criticised. This has posed several challenges to the GCG
regarding the establishment of new deals after the deadline of the settled agreement.
In reality, not only has KP been criticised, but, as pointed out by Okereke et al. (2012),
there has been a lot of conflict concerning political discussions and discussions about
40 A.C. Ventura et al.
time facilitate the adoption of more ambitious targets, helping the world to find better
solutions for the climate problem. It is necessary that the new financial instruments that
are being negotiated for the post-Kyoto agreement incorporate four main requirements:
nations must increase their mitigation ambition, adopting goals that really
incorporate the environmental critical moment
the international community must adapt CDM to new political and market conditions
reform in the operational procedures, seeking effective GHG reductions and
sustainable development promotion
new governance structures that allow transparence and efficient organisation.
These new requirements could be reaching by complementing CDM mechanism with
climate change command and control policies on national and sub-national levels. Brazil,
e.g., decides to put its voluntary reduction GHG emission goals into its climate change
command and control national law.
4 Final considerations
This paper sought to characterise the global carbon market as the main political-economic
instrument of the GCG and discuss the necessity of increasing the participation of CDM
in national or sub-national climate change command and control policies, especially in
developing countries. From this analysis, it was possible to recognise that climate change
requires a global response, based on a shared understanding of the goals to achieve in the
short, medium and long term among all GGC actors, and also based on international,
national and sub-national levels of policy decisions and mechanisms. We have identified
several limitations of using almost exclusively market mechanisms to achieve this,
and it is necessary to encourage a better integration between these instruments and the
command and control and voluntary ones.
From this perspective, it is possible to make some suggestions for improving GGC in
the post-Kyoto period:
Need for new GCG settings to align financial incentives linked to the carbon
market to development priorities worldwide. One way to accomplish this would be to
compensate the excess risk in specific types of projects or indeed in some countries,
adjusting the price of traded carbon certificates. For example, the authors suggest
the stipulation of a differentiated value (higher) for renewable energy projects and
also projects in countries perceived as less developed (least development
countries LDCs, according to United Nations designation).
A stipulation by the UNFCCC of a minimum CER quota to be acquired for projects
and priority countries, such as sub-Saharan Africa. The authors also suggest that
some requirements of VCM projects must be incorporated into the policies of the
RCM. Thus, a minimal contribution to sustainable development would become part
of the scope of CDM and other RCM projects.
Carbon market and global climate governance 43
Improvement in the global carbon market, based on the guidelines presented by the
Nairobi Framework (NF), to promote effective conditions of development for LDCs.
The NF is an initiative of the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP),
UNEP, World Bank, African Development Bank and the UNFCCC secretariat,
to assist these countries to participate effectively in the market global carbon,
especially through building capacity. Thus, it is expected that financial resources
and technology transfer that can be acquired via carbon market can assist not only in
obtaining a low carbon development, but also allowing the creation of efficient
adaptation strategies.
Valuation of mitigation strategies submitted voluntarily by developing countries
through their nationally appropriate mitigation actions (NAMAs). These initiatives
represent national actions that are, or intend to be, undertaken by these countries to
mitigate their emissions. As the UNFCCC (2012) warns, it is necessary to define
how they will support (financial, technological and capacity building for the
implementation of NAMAs).
Adoption of multilevel GCG strategies that may be adopted at all levels of
government action, unfolding from consensual decisions at the international level,
to reach the effective action at the local level. It is necessary that all nations in the
world, irrespective of their degree of development, incorporate mitigation strategies
into their development plans and actions. Obviously, these actions cannot be
restricted to market-based instruments, as the limitations and concerns already
raised. Thus, the GCG future should create opportunities for the development and
implementation of environmental management strategies that include market tools,
but with the necessary improvements to ensure more ambitious emission reduction,
the promotion of sustainable development and the incorporation of developing and
less developed countries. The market strategy must be associated with governments
and companies voluntary strategies along with local and global civil society ones,
as well as with command and control instruments at national level.
Despite the extensive literature review presented in this paper, supported by critical
analysis of researchers from various areas, especially from social and political sciences,
it is necessary to recognise the limitations of this work in progress. The most important
limitation of this paper is the absence of field research with policy-makers interviews,
seeking to understand the other limitations and challenges of the role of the carbon
market in the national and sub-national climate change command and control policies.
The development of future studies that focus on the reality of each particular country,
e.g., Brazil, which adopted global voluntary GHG emission reduction targets, still needs
to implement its national climate change legislation to promote a low carbon sustainable
development.
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