362

FAA
74.2
1

AOAWS

50 8000 40000
NTSB 1994 2003 19562
accidents 4159
21.3 116 2.8
74.2 8.9

5 3
2005 2 7 CI150D 3 28 BR2196
CAT

AOAWS

eddies

64


bumpiness



(CAT)

(CAT)

(70%) CAT
CAT

CAT
1 CAT
25 knots
2 CAT

CAT CAT

3 CAT
60 knots

extreme

CAT
(Knots/Miles) ( 1000FT) CAT
25K/90 9-12K
25K/90 12-15K
25K/90 15K

2-20
150 300

50 knots
150~300 50 knots

65

,
1
50
2
3
4lenticular cloudsedges
ragged
5 1000 ft

downburstgust fronts
8000 ft 15000 ft

Light





Chop
Moderate Chop ,
.
,.

Chop
Severe




Extreme

1 50 knots
2

66

1 50 knots 150
5000ft 25-50 knots
50
2 30 knots 50~60 knots

3 40 knots/150 6 knots/1000 ft
50-100 miles

4 50~100

1 50 knots 150
2 10 knots 40~50 knots

3 6 knots/1000 ft 10 knots/

4 core 100
5 ( 5000 ft) 25 knots

1
2
3
4 15 knots
5 15 knots

rawinsonde 24

67
 a) 850hPaTTdd 1700hPaTTdd3500hPa
TTdd 5
b) 850hPa
2
a) CCL
b) CCL 400hpa
c)
TT

T
T
0-3 Light
4-6 Moderate
7-9 Severe
ABOVE 9 Extreme

CAT

1.300hPa 4 3000 ft
2.110 knots
3. 35000ft
4. 7 knots /1000 ft300~400hPa 15
200~350hPa 10 CAT

AOAWS

AOAWS Integrated
Turbulence Forecasting Algorithm ITFANCAR

MM5
FL200 FL400
10 20,000
90%, CAT 10% FL200
NCAR
AOAWS ITFA 25
fuzzy logicITFA = W1D*1 + W2D2* + W3D3* + .
68
D*i = diagnostic, Wi = weight

1 (weight0~1.8)
2(active range)
3FL200~FL400
4
(fuzzy sum)

5 0 1

6
0.25
> 0.25 0.5
> 0.5 0.75
> 0.75
AOAWS

SIGWX
Chart

FAA
1
FAA AvSP

ITFA

2007~2017 80

69
1994~2003 300hPa CAT
NTSB G. Kroncbach 1964

CAT ITFA
J.K.Bannon,1952

AOAWS

70