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1.

The stocks and flows for this trout situation would look like this:

Stock
Fish in Stream

Inflow Outflow
Replenishme Trout that are
nt of trout caught or that die
each month due to natural
predators,
commercial
fishing, or

2. If the trout population has no replenishment over the next ten months, with a outflow rate of
0.20, then an immediate decrease will show. Since each month we are decreasing the amount
of trout, either by natural predators, commercial fishing, or pollution without a way to restock
there will be a steady decrease until no trought are left.

Graph:

Link to data on sheets:


https://docs.google.com/a/ncssm.edu/spreadsheets/d/1N8K3cndUGJAVhvdGWhMYsQuMKmS
G9Dl2uJG9YpIREHw/edit?usp=sharing
3. The replenishing of 100 trout each month on the long term effects would give the stream a
constant amount of approximately 499 trout. In the first ten months of the replenishment
program the trout population will increase much more rapidly than in the second year of the
program. This is because in the first ten months, the flow rate is less trout than the incoming 100
trout in the replenishment program. As time goes on the flow rate stays constant, but the
amount of trout that are taken out of the stream increases. The replenishment begins to equal
the amount of trout that are taken out due to the higher numbers.

Graph:

Link to data on google sheets:


https://docs.google.com/a/ncssm.edu/spreadsheets/d/1e33SMrilcnu9pEq3VH7_q6-
dEvxUPdeTmfBII1iUJYA/edit?usp=sharing

4.
Senario 1:

In this scenario I changed


the trout replenishment amount to 50. There is still an obvious decrease in the trout population
from the original 300. This is because after the first month 60 trout (20%) are taken from the
river, due to the various reasons listed above. If the replenishment rate is below this initial
amount than the trout population will continue to decrease until the replenishment rate equally
20% of the current amount of trout. In this case the leveling off point is 250 trout, which makes
sense because 20 percent of 250 is 50.

Senario 2:

In this scenario the replenishment amount is 200. There is an automatic increase in trout. After
the first month an increase of 140 trout. This is due to after the replenishment of 200 and the
decrease of 20 percent. As each month passes there is a smaller and smaller increase rate in
the trout population. This is owed to the fact as the trout numbers increase, the 20% inflow rate
grows to larger amounts. The replenishment is not able to supply as many as were lost the
previous month. That is why we see the graph level out at 1000 trout. The inflow rate equals the
outflow rate.

5.
Senario 1:

In this scenario I have changed the initial trout population to 50 and kept the decrease rate and
the replenishment constant at .20 and 100 respectively. There is an increase of 110 trout just in
the first month. Similar to the previous models the largest increase and decrease are within the
first segment of time. The continue to increase until it gets to its level off point at 500 trout.
Where the decrease rate and replenishment numbers equal.

Senario 2:

For scenario 2 I have changed the initial trout population to 600. The amount of trout decreases
until the 500 trout population is reached. This will be the level point for every initial start number
s long as he replenishment is 100 and the flow rate is .20. The difference is only a matter of
how long until the consistency is reached.
6.
Senario 1:

For this scenario I have changed the flow rate to 0.50, kept the initial value at 300, and kept the
replenishment at 100 trout. A consist 200 trout amount is reached rather quickly, in a span of
approximately 5 months. At a higher outflow rate there will be an initial decrease, rather than an
increase, because the replenishment amount is not enough to reach the initial value.

Senario 2:

For the second scenario I have increased the flow rate to 0.90. It appears that the higher the
outflow rate, the faster the stream reaches a consistent number, in this case about 111 trout.
This is a very high decrease rate, and I would suggest an increase in replenishment.

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