Professional Documents
Culture Documents
基于特质波动率的量化择时指标
基于特质波动率的量化择时指标
基于特质波动率的量化择时指标
021-20315183 021-20315119
zhangleiyjs@qlzq.com.cn xiaxf@qlzq.com.cn
2010 12 23
Idiosyncratic volatility
A
A 300 2005
A 0.38 300
0.32
435% A 137%
A 12 0.54 2010 12 17
1.141.1
....................................................................... - 3 -
.................................................................................. - 4 -
.............................................................................. - 6 -
1 ............................................... - 4 -
2 A ..................................................... - 5 -
3 ...................................................................................... - 5 -
-2-
Idiosyncratic volatility
market volatility
N D, D,
IV w, , 2 ,,
B, B,
wi,t i t Nt t
Bi,t Di,t i,j i j
idiosyncratic shock
r, F ,
A Fama-French
F, , r,
D
/
COV , V, V, r, r, r, r,
B
V , i k r , i
A
(MV)
-3-
Merton(1980)
MV , ,
B
, i ,
T IV /MV
2005 A
3
4 2
3 Fama-French
A 300
300
A 300
71 71 71 71
R2 0.142 0.147 0.104 0.102
F 11.38 11.88 7.98 7.80
p-value 0.0012 0.0010 0.0062 0.0068
-4-
A
300
A
0.38
2 A
() A
7000 4.00
6000 3.50
3.00
5000
2.50
4000
2.00
3000
1.50
2000
1.00
1000 0.50
0 0.00
T
3 1.1
435% A 137%
7.00 A
6.00
5.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
2
heterogeneity
3
-5-
A 12 0.54
2010 12 17 1.14
1.1
-6-
: :
:021-20315181 :0755-23819303
:13641659577 :15816898448
:021-20315125 :0755-82717806
:200120 :518048
: 66 :
18 4011 6
:
:
: 021-20315187
:0531-68889516
:18621368050
:15806668226
: 021-20315125
:0531-68889536
:200120
:250001
: 66
: 86
18
-7-