Forecasting

Analysis

Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average

Kata Kunci: ARIMA, Forecasting Analysis, Investasi, Meranti, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi

Masterplan
 public utilities public service

Previous Study

fix effect

Random Efek Model

Forecasting Analysis

time series

PMA
Intercept

Error Term

forecasting
forecasting
forecasting
Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average

ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) Model

weakly stasionerity Weakly stasionerity

variance variance
time series stasioner
stasioner stasioner
first difference

A. Pengujian Statistik
1. Koefisien Determinasi (R2)

goodness of fit
 2. Uji Hipotesa Partial (Uji t)

Sumber: BPS Kabapaten Kep Meranti, 2015

Sumber: Badan Penanaman Modal dan Promosi Daerah, Riau.

1. Analisis Regresi Sederhana

independent

Sumber: Data Olahan Penelitian (Diolah Tahun 2016)

(cateris paribus)

R-Squared
independent dependent
 2. Forecasting
forecasting
forecasting
forecasting
Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA).

Sumber: Data Olahan Penelitian (Diolah Tahun 2016)

stasioner

variable autoregressive differencing

variable moving average
forecasting

Sumber: Data Olahan Penelitian (Diolah Tahun 2016)

independent
dependent. independent
dependent

1. Pengaruh Investasi PMA Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi.

 human capital

The General Theory

returns

rate of return

one stop
service
2. Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Kabupaten Kepulauan Meranti Mempunyai Prospek Yang Signifikan Untuk
Tahun 2015-2020.