NaC TTA TAP U LIN PE ee ae LEEW. ABRAMSON + THOMAS S. LEE STC ee 0 eee ©) Pum fom Umer of Calor Boley STABR. SABO, Slow, Ge0sorr e Go oer Pepams FCSLOPE, SLOPEM, CLARA, GALENA, OSLOPE, | ‘love a program Avalbiy teen sxe XSTABL fr spe sity uss Progra at om {ncn Swe Deis le, 959. Cleved Ste, ean US A.A eee tse UTEXASS fr pe uy mals ae aoe Sah Sotar, 06 Showa Drive, Astin Teas enfant soat te SLOPEZW pop ese ost realtones #10, 633 eh Ate, 3%, Coes, Alber Casal, ‘pervs 618 PROBABILISTIC ANALYSIS OF SLOPES “he cen sat of te ics on ing cated FOS ves tbe sn o> Toccata errs soi wh ol sae te Sab, eae paca cnet pe fae, Uden ons, a al ce fe Sign tt bcase ofl webs, cre sie he FOS ie desl rss soncdios, Bad opt ht he ng of 1 1 13 wy mene Se Foe ney fi mis res Usfimay, he w f a ae dort Jig FOS dns tox elie rte Be uty of Hoan eee oe noe or fae wel cacti acon et. tvesigan wh een ns ex ap ty ae tings ol eri wer FOS oe ees Dee ¢ ‘Sorat racial Hoe a ty the se nam OS fen rer a ek a en ls ofan arid wiht tecture rae area te sane FOS mayhavecesifery lentes oe ee ll he ee ere charcesized wih a vw 0 mii rch evel use, te phic md shal be oa perce th ep (ad Linh, 198, Chon ey Such an mec a acon scat sine wh Spry net tod say, Feu ae eo teat atte, yo aerials, te sts Patan estore (ap of ase, 1° 66:18:1 Sources of Uncertainty ‘Terre any ours fect se tai tas. Tes es Ba a nee med iy el esl he OS 9 pecuaurvemmuescr sores 421 ‘Spa ners 1 Sie epogpy 2. Sie agg ad aihliy 5. sg eri and characteris ofc mais ate ences 1. tna sel andr ck train 2 Engin properties Ass apn ti ing rn ie sexe ot cata. rie sce pe wae peste ‘Tenmoan of wera es om ne sao ant en Pade mn Ss ee —— ‘onlay, imleenatn Gitte sn tert nec fe Fem tnfraton cocci ths jc, earch eto Chom (i Lace at Nain (1996 1997, sa a (38, Pe sd Kato {58, Sp ean Sars a) " 6182 Basi Probability Concepts \orasipe weet tae arnt pit rion Sch ‘amare ee ie ftcton PDP, Tepe epee of ak tesa othe eon Vue Foraranm vate X, with PDF eid yt fecton, ‘ecm un regen ie BLE) deta o sestevr= fasta trconinams ecto idx Vorance The vane desis the net fhe geo ho vale stem e630) were [e-mfinds tx in ‘i ean) vac = 1 Don? tri onionsPR re TE 422 overnmrvconcers ‘Stand Deviation “The sna devin eae othe vis, YX o= Vai 6m) Coote of Variation The te a of estat vin te mean ‘aise Veo SE 100% 655) CComlation api ann varies (a Y for eae) ee on cach Sie vais Xe sired be elt a he oan 5 Sima cok YT = FIA man) forcomin cons fl ro) conten = 1S undone) fe doe fins _Tiecncne in very sina tothe rin the coc rma ye TERSEIion eX nd Yel cra cote peru Be Soest ot a 655) ‘Te csertn soln ngein vale fo —1 1G ~1 py = #0). The ‘pn tina po natn es inte Sc thigh aos X sy gh aso Tec py = Les Sega ime carn wae phat Yo ew es Probab Desty Functon (POF) The PF ins he dition ot he am eet wna my sae tthe et cmon ones id 0 ‘Sea upleton ae sa an lena aout aga Satie ‘Sao ine poplar Tae ron lng wit i defi aan, ties in Pe 637 “TP fr orale wih mes, ands vin. 8 sete by penne] mee a am aN ‘sae ee 67 Cops pam srg FO ‘an viens comps und he ean ah at 83 pret wil be feed wn south mem 98 pret wl be found witn 22 aout (tetas 97 pct il be fond wine soe he me 5, ong ‘tery snc te aes of anomaly ed nde vale may nse ‘iver vant 30.997 pra he oe il pene revel cea ‘Spe nda et peer 3 0. ering drteerandm vara X, witha sas “etn oy rr lah) =, wit nealy db The PDE ‘Suton ete normal rons mid sl wes red aso ‘an yan and eo, oy, en on = a= fo-FVH) ee6an) 9 =e = end oe erits SAL) (pane expec vale of be logormaly sb sei x = VWRIR] (sina deviton fe osama bed vw, (etic of vee) “Tse may eo ener te ogo tating ‘Te ogni ges Retncen sr din and a partly ‘el pretest eo epeeng ion ee 7a mgr hia ey er thls ete Tepes Se amuse msgs teen htm eu =nr~ letra e699) wulx}no}= fle tb+2—ab—ae~Be] a. 60) 6183. Reb Index “The componen pat punting sabi amare deed mo aac dts mn be PF oft tr ofl. Ts PDF ce ates asl tn str devon Ao PDF of aoe ak on my copoly ase ero of i FOS el ho ing 68 Te wl we uc cH so epee PE eto ley 1. 2 a ens were fa ede esol ete eps py tly. Vast S00 g Prbebity Dens.) & g Probsity Dens =) a * i é eof pty ot lf ogni POF 0 moore aesor sores 428 it erm wi ay neon ee er i 8, Sorat tr oro ey eden cen oon ‘sac erpeite Bang vil posal oss sen ns ‘sae towne Nec soig a te P tly orly disribed, “ For pon PF of Fhe lah inde, 9, di y CW, 1995) bate won) ce tc oa en mfr pt, ‘ce 1.0 for the ease of failure, ms ’ wef Hem ELF] (ener epee veo logos FOS) or = (WTF amid ent ema tot FOS) Vex % Getcet vation of FOS) Fhe ec cofe bty fie, F= 10a gen 691 sng sy _‘oloet V3] om tts oad ‘eel inde, dere sey ats me of te ne of anda russ eprint bs eta oF, nd he sabe al he Fos. Fe Wie PDF of Fispreiamed to be noah at inde eddy pntficiel 655) te rial toro aft copie ouaitiry ‘eteemce, oro ce false ir = FLF)—(onaorexpee ave of normaly steed FOS) or = VWRTF] (aan devin mnie FOS) pw 659 shows he Prof sample we eakoneaainierat scans devon fron pe Sope tn Soe Band the PDF ae [resumed be lgnanaly dru fr Fn he cag, te Aha mh FOS. y= Cand Sle Bb a igher mean FOS i stins derma228 Factor of Safety, F gwe6s9- Coapivn ay rw pes wre aie hi ns sere wo ape ha Slope safe tha Shope A Howe he FOS PDE SACRE Roth mat td devin moma Slope Bch ‘Sabena nly = 1am aofrnetal= 10 ‘Stepan as Soe Ar erly is, Soe A cen cmd SAE Siege ees once ascii lye A Soraya my te ad ee he tai of ae by Fe on on he POS tus PDE tt omega ie ops ea ‘toe Te pio wish prone yy a SG te sanantonio us provid in text ok ‘ccs ae 17, ted on Cons of Ege (197 ross ae of rhymin petri, eres ey Pt ne tur ce ow a Fg 659 we bd 00 te econ th he FD of he FOS fms hogan dnb. Using De pag es of (499 and 16 poly of, 5 00508 eam ge A an Ste Bret Depa, he bs of Fh Spe nell een atacand Sipe B wo ied hon” ag TABLET ample i a py Re nanaites ae io 6184 Proballete Formulation for Slopes ee ai ay ce te ay ins ‘Abel. the PDF ofthe FOS, Fy be sted ol probly Py. ‘ale rest Te sume FOS un, preted Secton CO maybe ed ‘Gores jt PDF wath utr and Fe eae, wee ‘e Egaton 6 (Simp Jn mh) to enti he FOS ens St ‘rinse pt ureters lye W.U, Nace Sch pce mole ‘cal prance fanned yan unin oe far i Konoolee 690) component opt ui, eee anon varies ‘moe ovr sco forth ear etn rena fh ‘Spe tl nthe worse ie rity inde be leit wing Egan 691 or 693, we mat Cake be met Snr eva te FOF oe FOS epee o puta vars. Te ertormance cto wih aes ‘that prts tang ena n POF coed ot ‘Site Athogh hs nyt pole eer eer cos, oe {FOS enon cant negra diel, bea compe, euies ‘ncn ney Sneed ne esos gna sil todo pore wth DF oftheFOS bw ice ws ib beget, Ese anes, ‘a fore nctaig he eat ef (418 Probable Analyls of Performance Function Asaietinersne othe dp perfomancfancon rte Fists ‘expected ve EF, anthe vance, ayo he FOS a bestia Py ‘Sip (nr sris mt or Ronee nis) MoeCato sist a Fle aay Tere Mt Cat slain ad tbo alse il pve er ft POF he FOS a wel Ose Fer mtd ef hs ve bern od xnav, ie Four als feta tna skied asec ep bi. Taylor Serioe Method ‘Tie meio i se ne Ta sr xp of {he petrmnes ftom soa be expe aes thea arate an ‘Supt, 1967) ely he errno he expo we eine he ‘pet le fi perfomance cone dspam vite my ‘proud ty AIP np ELM, UD 4 655) te he fnstion XA.) deta sing inptprmets hat oe Ipont whe ean sf fe conpeen ndom rls othe ae wre ‘hes fn vals sow some een ha oy > te expe ate ye aposid y FUP) ur EN BUG UD EL aRponeanee mic) 9650 nesses alg emo Te comin the ssn missy ‘Suc el an ring sod arden beam om he cans “he Tin saya bw enh ance te pone be econ faction oe apm varies Ags fei he eso ised ems nyt ans canbe opened 5) OPEL Zowufeva wes een nee the pial tain, 9X ne for a rnd abl tse Umit clea poms fn al nom tari ae nde, viol ean issn sain inguin 67 rece ‘Tete empress varineo he uncted moding evr ney i saci en a ey cont aly cating Eaton 691 oe 638m tage of ‘Tr ser mcs dah me aes fore are ooo ely {evi latie cotton fea projed by cach compen nt Strib Aoogh os sn il gv st ras or He ftom wat) str aprotnansinmdce eras for nic pas ations sh ‘tie ons pl el othe FOS. In stn on ae ores etl deste emote de lsd oa tc ste sito Ca of age (17. men he et fae BEY uN Mi Kea Ka Kaen) AF Eg Xba KM ANAK _ AF E4655 sch of se dct isu ad hen id ye ai oe ‘ponding oe ano vale be exes spies EY o- [ETS am ean 1 mt canna LASTS aes implied expression . watt =of® 3° (ARP Ved (6:10) an ardent abe, sting Ca, X))~ Hom Ein 68 wineaet Pianta S$ lananglena weies (e610 {the Tyler ses etd perma fenctn wil beta bcs ones fered vane 2 ines pi ote an ales fa Gn heals ‘osenbiet's Point Estimate Method "This int ciate pce ws cgi peopel by Rosen (17) whee the Ps he ann ares ‘eid y “pot” muses ct ps orm one stand Sevan fm Seinen ber Tussah eonny sae rly ‘by een aed in etal by MeGifey e198) Ha (1987 Wa (980 Sn Corps of Eins (197), eon fr termine ie expected‘fhe FOS, F andi vine wl pete Fr wo and de random ‘ube Forme nes ln he presen fe gut ete ‘Se bathe spo ste ae Thetis of and aa, Xan. the peroman fncon fr renin) 3.610 este cri nerd arial describe he sur evan, eandoy a tease hn any. Forth ener ‘sl prone i ales open. wih conelon cui of ert enn varies he ist sep ries he eration of he FOS Fat forages fe nc rates a sown Fos maloertows eto Fem alter ten. (ar 20) Fog m leroy) (ne ton = lrayh Guy 00 6109) Inte above tof expen haben tales of Xa awe {sed eae he con. Fy, forage pein he ale te se it Pharcubtl forme fa nd = yoy Say, Frees ‘eva ee ston X,Y, ata be X= oy ropa Y= oy (6.108 FIP = apm Pos Fo Pe Pao a ve Payer ald om 6:05) Poa Papen ‘ee vata fe FOS wtb gen by Wet = 1-81? (4.6109 ee HIF BU Pay Rpt PoP PBA rected ae of the FS rm Egon 6104s 6:07 foro val he FOS ase ela for onion ing th ope pero non Th toe enon two ves a be exe dean varias, X,Trand ich il leo an expeed FOS #[F ghen ye sumnaton of coupe ae eerie ees Pass Harte te) Roentocn Kb ay Pope Pe ald ~pur-eratoen) Poe = l= pert rapes) sith rac ind a heen alr) ELF e610) 1a gen the eps ave, ELF en by thea fh od te P cece ade Fv nd he vate ome ng Ege 610 ‘So forever aon varies ew ofl mst dane fat the Seyi ett fr vo andthe mo tes Fecha amen ‘cen Ge Egan 1050x610 sth teogecel > where amber ‘Seadom riatebing ost Thespian ees ‘erlaedtotberascrpot tht ore -coceonleatngo sje Calling te ext BUF al th vars, Na Ris tists procter clon th prtomane fants Fal "ios tas eet mater oa rte sees es ‘Ne fembe ato re, Roesch wie means ‘ibe pesoance ncn i whch Ty sees me Monte Carlo Sulton Tis sy ues te ps of OS preach onan sl Sto let spe ‘wits Tupors psy ay se tgeninne oe Petts ogr Os nes toca 2 Hamn el, toner Caer 90) Tecoma el a ‘te em plo oa aes at ad sel PO oe iba sh fan ‘inp btn wt tute en ot re er oo ‘The Meme Caro simula fllows nous pro | Foreach component andar eng sits eles nde alse tatcefoms te sand eto, 2 Cale ao ft FOS te promaneanion dhe laptopRepeat tp and 2 many tims, ing the FOS rel fom cach ist 4 Usete many ace FOS vl fen he Mate Cro snlton 0 e- int te pay. PP =F) be sample ese a san ad (ike FOS POP tom te hao ‘tendo alos, ang robes mene, nd bop bel aitace Ase amber of ee, iene wl Ycome Hecate Mon Cao sine eure sigs uber ofan se ‘stan viendo dtl opm a Tso ses i ion ‘nth. However wih he ener nuliy of fr design compat “Mone Calo aprach hs ge wide sepa deo ner spits the sty meeting cmp programs wh cay mir moet alone oe eying co Ment Co op fr sheng toe ‘ude cn he manterfwals eal) nd pe cme, “hemi number fried wil depend on he mb of compo ent rer sod the Sse lel cones te eat ote Mane Co ‘Sonar comer analogs th so distro, ith cee con ‘sled css whe be FOS cans psd rsa FOS, we cn stim ‘Sera minimum amples ile conde ie isn so Shop, Ser, Melee, 987), Bae ce as supine ater ol ios cet ae na (U2) Hott n enn sim sei he nC sit anny of many mae ral) ‘Serene ep ‘Sia once a gf i cae om Tae oe 15 om 256 Sofoc sinutioe hat egies conic el of 5 pont ae oe 1120 ptt, th mons mer of afr peimary ct i Ye (sng d= 1.96, py =0.) oa sige random vate, Fr he sae sma, Sota wtb aid feral ro 10 por "TWagply Equa 6111 sae fp seq prior ote inl Asti ‘staves Hn nt Shap esate ea yy 0 fet ‘matt lenin gut, wr ane meine eps! ‘ethesmur athe raster fan diy yoprioe w(t =P. Sol ‘edt ses al cbf ele igs Mone Cc sn are tne of ta Io outed om the pst ene onal eee lec Geely eae prt errs apne been 3 psa and 30 pea ve been our reve say ee. "xs Monte Cao smn cnsiting fs ee completed an ‘ne rt fare py as en red, tate presto abe jie [PPPs e112) Vm ™ ‘Wi computes eesti pr vale can be conse oe cart within ‘Ons son hse made nh smu amb of ial indo ce tthe cocponet vals te ert lhe FOS vs as ying th perenne fo st scones fc ene arn ened lo vale, iy between a Wi ssh saree ‘andon vale feud na date whan Oe saad ‘evan = can be ener singh Box ud Maller (1958) etn Wah at to pi of enieely Sr rsd srt, ad we waa N= Tin coaen) Ng VTA sic) geen onto aus, an tat are need, low ‘he sana orl ro. is fee epee comme Wh {nary tren nim prs ee se! mer f oral) ‘ated nda varies, Me ee ban Tere tunes viltve nay = Oana = | Tome oma Ns wes of er eal compen rae wh tana ‘ind dovtn oy allman expen ed e619 senator eeu ‘eatin the acaton ofthe premance fase‘Toe seqeno of nor nl srl dtd random mes ds sora ume be done ano antes Ite compet ates a “Scat Serb nam vale dependent ontop a else ‘and umber ae died ig Ca, 1979 Np Nipor+ yo qe, th colton coco ete 0 don vale, Xan. "N= Bot ae pa wo snr rl enon mbes Ny second eins oft sand ora ets Inui enol tas depen anon names eee ily de doenent ude unter shal pence fs Ths le ‘escomertetack nicely Stet sn nae ugh he of be ‘Slr normal comalaectbaen nor aera pes) Tone thse an of depen, sot ded mantra be st oe ‘sive eno nan it inte sch angst ‘rin, armor infeaton sou hed the dros rede ult ‘set a ao Shap (1967) oral (982, Te wrk example ah ead ‘isso il sho sow i roc ‘Ons eee non bunt eer sng gation 115, he sae ese nr smal eon tnd by Rainy eens Wee apieson of guatin6118, sett valves ay wile een, i camo cote sy Fareach af compos ares th FOS comput sgt perme ‘sno By kein a he spd FOS Yl ll FOS a a ae os ‘i cel FOS va, Fan oad alte abby reenact (4.6109 Neopmbat peat te POFof FOS aes compa rch seta ands “she ip net ea he men an nr etn fhe FOS vas ‘Sin be goed l,l lbw alent ety inde, Ae ‘Sng fa Mote Ci sn willbe pes the ead ot sen, Fourier Ansys tbe comps i POF fhe FOS i equ eta Nat Cae tog of pose FOS aos hone ante Furr sal Ito hich ed te conan of nepentet PDF i 168 Fo ‘Beet wt ea inte trans on ot PeAdy bate to ote 6119 her = cama ett {= andom varie (or sometimes combination of 1 ae Cpa artes ne proranefteton) among hat edo var, wil ied by town ni oe 1 Dist cack of he cnposet PDP ota asain W nine est So for he ale, Ny ne will ave Wace [Ey syranda ilar of aes fre earl, Ry ico ded wa viens Fortean, te alos be sled sh ha sa power 2. (be 64 2h 86, si2and on womale me he a Foret Taso (ir) moe Maly ac creed PDF by const concen, Ay, A ie tie spon if aed fon se sone ad the retin ncrenent AF the same eal oar: 4. Reform a FFT oo a zd PDP sep 2. Tie wll ener N compe le, XA foreach compat PF. Mahi altecomegnding Foren he ave ace nenpe S e619 tw The prac, Ft nila be co 5: Pets ie FT ce th eting rc Ths il aN Fells ch tl ene te ded OF of he FOS, ‘Sete athe ms AP tement wada Sop‘Thema wih is oer mtn ite eure of atnear rere ition Hove nea pecomance fo a be ed, then mace igo PDF of be FOS wil be tind wither sn teen {eye a ngl POF tat maybe me dene he compen nor va ‘hiss the ae fight sewed PDP, nse, Fr a apn is ‘net tok slopes pene ert Me (1982 58d, Qusntying Uncertainty Alf he acuson bot the pbb amlsis of dopes so ara nt ed he component rave, ih ng tye ly ce ‘wits et chp: he wy om 1. Date Seater which i aeableo + sprit inte sl ple 1 tino singers 2 Sena rch oes ‘ing int ater ore et 4 Sasi earomet rc fetes nh sping meds te eset of ple artes ‘ou caren knee sid epatingte xscontito se o ens {othe veal cern. Bat mort ae tre i tt cr ape separ neta ech gry wt tr conten Tre lpe sty ac the el parte 1. Shear arength int fom of patter vi dng on ‘nr and of ale 3. Une wee fe 5 Ties a So ow segs ne te ae nlnde ch prams in cr ti we ne infrmaton show he cst ofthe sve pct Tas ery sad be eed by 9 POE ‘nd he ocd prmets sch the man ase the nr ein sternly mo pena poo il mel hae ese at dee = PDF So wermst ses PDFS fre capone vats sed on Ps epee eh sil ret ollovig an exesve view often Li (1966). Bacher 980, snd Chonda (980) thoes soe cons tt Sling te tioning PDF a Povey oe Comm cass Dy kw Togs Sigyentcyeysit ang Nena Gisele Undine arsegth Normal Varmwctersols Bea nga it appear tat he oa in my ew fr at parame, ‘sls theese eens suet ehrin: The rs ermal atin ‘Tish ones fm noe tt, etc foro etl poss Ree "ed val yay within fthe mean, Tht eae ane oe ‘eae parce i conir wo fe mralytae xe a he tae 9. For pwned eave ee mal ony Sr Timbale deed foros as hrs orn a omy ein ocean army onto he yd nthe ‘ml stein be el re ‘Once tape ofthe PF as ee sl the pcr ih sn nd eon wll tbe ned fora ode sen ‘eu tains etna devon eins fem pblshed aes oe Souci of ato, V(r example, Soe Pom ea (195) a Poa at ‘Katy (995) fra poms] Somecaanplsl Vetere rnp Inte nore ae shorn itl Peo tal age enn ole ‘eeecetve valet nd notaries of alae pose 7 Saar GO ana eae 2218 ochre 90, Har 57186, ‘hwy 9s, Fae a 85) ‘owt, ty 0, tesco 7 Pr ony (95), Caan ta 90) antag 5, 1-408 atin S103 tained ‘ain ee\Wibevaayofsack pinto anes oe nan ane, enter oon canbe ene eg ex=Vexue 612 ere nici and pe aus fe cote of vation anne be oie tho at othe lf th spose by Del ad ‘Wing (1992) This a ra on he pomne at mt a wil te moray ‘Sue, nd 09:73 pro al os wl be win ar mis ee ‘Snr cnn he mena ase So one a elt» posse geo ‘aie, whch a sme sat he ean the snd evo. oy can Be ‘Eine wing he flowing sme egoca een in ae of no eX ir ae of don aX cen ies ate tose ego ‘i wef roosters sue ara a een 1. we ing a eel 358 pec Ponti cs San Sw +e me ee en ‘nese te ai tna pou pt i ered oni w a ism ews arsine mayb es ne ea ‘ty upon One mn aio eo eae Smt Sin np ce art, Sp rent my mt an ne ol ste rn ‘rere abate Rant tema ed eae “tral guetta Core ‘nes pl recently cadets ce ‘nda wan rl mo en 19D (6187 examples ‘hag te th i tos ed sr foray ed wl tot be te FOS eps fr he nie Dap Esuve 68 ta ‘ited at eaten) tds csr Tet ania Sexton 686 coma singe al pe it uw y= 16 AN a ‘Sar snagh prc =m Ul = fr cc we (ee fle sae as bow nie 25, il eed th he shat ‘cog prc cad cine sano aes adel wet “TARLEGI9 SPs ad Foam Spe Somer Fore te ods ht wl ew tse he oa ays, senha ae uaa Tbe 618 ‘yor Sols Nothod Any syle conpuer mado may be seta cele renpeed FOS cacao ose aso nl ang ess {media ison slew bined wig ee fs a ‘Brute das peed in econ 695 Themen npc a LF cn be ‘lye wg he mean ber ofeand tn. Te aleiton be Se ‘Sato rues tthe FS be ened fr for aero connate {ing Thrwl hen teint Be dees ee fo sating he ‘ie ing Equicn 68 sad 6101. Ts soeece org cans Shona Tate 6 "wither aes, em now claethe spoxinate vate oft FO, ‘oie gon 6101 Fortes Bin nh he rane en Wa(F] =} = 0.25 (021008 + 0.2166") +05 (021086 021655«(-0.19) ing te same etn fre abn mtd te ans willbe hey Wath = 025% (021688 +0206 “+05 02685 02008 (0909) {TABLES0 empl Clin or Tr See cme Rr an Rr ak{TABLE 621 Summary fr Sr ‘ALE622 Summary om py elo Depend nde Cie etd iy a pede jr =—07 ‘ape py =O Pre Bee=0) ped p07 p= Metot_Diaihaoe pep PA oo a a sion Loe one Ge Comets See voe Saree red oer ee ‘Te sam cleats an be epee ft tes of indecent compet sles Ge, oxy = 0. The ee or a epee cn, lng ihe ae reali penn cs mia Tite 63 ‘Wit tnoiege ot th mere sd sr vin wean comp the wot of nce eran I be prescred mim FOS ted BE, 14 te te my eeu ing to 78 flo bin which fe ogee, rm For ool dtc, sand erion an an ctepnig ‘he pra dstune mate clawing Egos 7, ore spied Bitoprests pee on = Yo) = VT FTO 0963 Joh =e) — Joosase "Nea. he abi hat te FOS wil es han Amy Be cong as rome ssano ee ~ 00. ‘wr sd srl canlaive dr fnon CDP), A, ‘ei index fre F. = cae ay beau ing Baton 991 0 ge pai Ii detent FOS iam eal he iy ate FOS beeen Lay be compa pane ciao a = 9-170) =aons ‘oe iy inks forte = 4 case my eee sng Equation 598, ‘opie P= L740. summary there rhe singled Bhp aed ab ‘bac wre FL epson ae 62, ne comparing ths vaso he ety index be pty of ssl erm a ony sgh tent rh el al nota ‘Saino semen ‘osenbieth’s Pont Estimate Method fer ie mod unos 103 9 (06 wi be sd te mewn nl Yarunce of FOS ete ie wo epenen aon tab, cd ang bc FOS eat ore fing fou sf pret g 178 att c ise 187 "fre ckaaing heen aa vc, weg Ps Pa Py ‘Saeco sing Bgton 108 = 10-Ca7m) =0.825Wit be stv fur ales of e FOS, fo Bishops meta he ext aes compte wig Eun 6106 an PaFas tPF Pa) Pook = (1.965) 4241 S41 +151 +00751.339) ‘ocaetue te vse oe Bip mad, we mat tcl EU) ng FP PLA EP 0075.76 04250 54 +1574. 00780.39%) ‘Then Eguton 6-106 sed cae the varie, at (r= LPH a0 Lsis ‘Wi ie vars, he tnd ein 2 = O22 fo xy = 07, he Cece varaon willbe = 53% A ample ammo he al er ‘8c Bo and tn meted gen ae “heey ne sn te pres of nace ermine sin tes ner asowe rte Tries etl Tse esumnar ‘arnteaae ‘hee estar ver sim tthe bs ps rth Ty seis eth. Monte Caro Method To tus he Most Cae Sor pobiic taps wef staons we psd rte pment den ea, {dng re res fll 1) som diosa) sae ‘ttre, Botte rte wil compli penned ipo ‘anos Tessa rede spon fe re i ce ABLE, Summary of Sand aero Dependent tna Ce ‘Degeiat piy-07 a = RS ae snd Rowan ht lb we fr is an, Te pea en omaty sted Vale ost sition nen un hom mtr rar inguin dite dbs ees sd Se Dork egin (11, The tefl abd Ns, of ch ce {Secon ries Eatin 615 wets may Nye SE ‘iiss atore neon dafe 635 Te Nw tw None dpa 13148 (07014-03890 x VI=EOTF 1190 New. Ention 611 ol assign te compet random vals, ¢ ‘ang ccotg We sutton framers gies In Table 6 1. The mnkers Nand we wed for th epee et and a wl be wed er th Inspnde cs The ives of unr ae hw nT 625, long the camepaning wae ofthe al Soe om en ae. "ARLE 625, Haale orl and _“DLE aka anon Cnt iri aa) = ‘Theta an dependent component ableton isto wee stat = 036004 LID amet The need aes eel ia he ame way, eco hen ‘wubleNs se er thn The ne pai cps fr he independ Adal cone, Using te ppc gee Hib and Shp (96), fora pase cones Ie clane sr f10 pena fot cine 0 (98) om = (e898 So fro rian esa 0 py est 5 wo 80, rad pat 1 prt ily. er ht ton tn 80 ie nm er 2 Catia ofthe equ shown in Tie 26 were te o congue FOS va ‘acta th spied Bishop (Eqn 648) and ant gine 643) frases than te presi iif F, = fer te Bishop and Sb mtx, pe = ‘Simlated Value of @ (Seg) Independent varibis, p= 00 of ——________] 0 5 1 1% m 2% % % 4 ‘Simulated Value of (kPa) eid Contacts nena ested ike ‘ect Tne a ime ti = 24/800 D038 fr cei ni ea ta of ie eo Fete nantes, Ejaion 611 sgpee 1,164 and 2805 wal Bhp ‘ian tals rpciney Rercoeenc, 1000 eal wile eee ‘Sut pr mores then Eaton 112 wl be od wate ‘le eorforech ca New, [D0 sre ab oft compar varies, can tan (9) wa ts fer, ae the dele neue colton which shins how salle viet. ‘gare prone frhgh alto. or unependn vars, te m0 ot5 a i Frequency 8 ‘Simulated Va ofan ge Dn fin pa ee concn the laie maps of and The ation of he ener 6 ‘Sng amp wees forte dependence apse in Fp 61 663 [be nga show te overall tae oe eset PDP forthe Mane Cao aman Fert dependent ae, ene fe ae, Ins ey tern ice of un eo te sian say ‘ibe wie paneer forthe Hb dct ans he ate 627 Donan OT ae "eae man ar a a ee ‘Simulated Vaiue of (degrees) ge 2 Dian i $f pe oe. O48 kn 6 om ee ew ‘Simulated Value ofc (KPa) eres and Insling Tel 627, one ul ate ta he andl evan of (0 #) fer dependent ae amar a hinds cae The anal ede {he dpe dt he nine flonan sd il ad tos et peta. pr ‘Onc 00 pi of and have bs ented te FOS oe sid ‘Bishop ant mets ay be competed ng he of shes Once al be OS nus ve en comp, he dcon may be pete Hogan, ‘sow in re 68, nl owe te mma feces win le ‘ang FOS indicated est ote ts nt pag Fret, tate were. 125 ‘eines of tle FOS terme te ge 75 1.29 ore sinpied Bop Sot Tete fh Fane slon how ere 2.182 cca Fite “These es can ao be eens scale dst fon CDP, nding te tater of xcrences fe FOS teow aspect ave at FICS ‘tone te edb he al ber fw (10.0 fe ah 8 {TABLE 627 Sae Samtry of Compnt Rao ae amy eee‘Sinplifed Bishop FOS ax ‘Calculated FOS Value ge 64 Diba FOS ig snnin 1000 ne nied CDF ye eae shown nae 5, From sche. one i enya polyp, oy ale othe FOS, For xa ER Lise, be abit of nese prormnce esd at 1120 and 004 eth Jb nt Bao ans, peciay “les 28 press an ovr tat sna te 1000 a Ase, ‘he mean an sand ion of eagle ey hoe aes peed ‘ye Tar ses and lt erm toe Fam humo, wens hat ‘ie Bop FOS ves aged ese 50 nl 2.075 fr neon ce {nth gs dept cae oid msroner geo 182 Cacti fre lve eer ss ns tn i he eed ‘maging fp has bee rin one asi 100 sans Aogh ‘tele ef te sped ip can perso be pe (3) ie Nomaized COF Catelted FOS Value ewe 6S Nemec my fn CHD) fr eS ae ‘alo py (00352 i elaively sal in comprin te the soltons, The "3m ere ints Dt te contd ae pp within the ange O06 000s yk acne ie of 95 ect ‘Avago he ish FOS war and pret te sh FOS tthe sop ertermce eco, har deviation ft edo FOS ‘Sees shan he nepwodet ese wich inden exe he ‘ange of FOS vale nd th wer als te poy, py. For i parce ‘Sito, competed FOS ose han ae) eal fo ce we {te cone vas ended Persea ot 100 reed ‘nue forth Bishop tbo on sly 8 at of 1000 ese for be Inada repent res war aa ee POS es ith 1,01 probable conl note ep os un. ‘EADLE 624 Si Sma of Mont Cara Simin, er rai ee ‘tyre egb-aoat 0 ones ein aneae 03 dato é ee Soe ‘The tom vas fr a engl dttcoe ae perl wie mdi, oma tbe denna nue hse ost ‘Sion 10, Tore hsp i eo ne terse pest Tb. Clu a show mal dn ues eee) {ing tear Millerton wilco epee compu fe ‘ein cnelion, up ~ ~07, ing aon 6115. fray dst ‘atom sanders epee ycomerng tc ifn, ng ‘i poral dso vero prose le wy the cmd mans ‘sn ils celta tnd aes wl tevin wow co ge ‘Wiech pa oan ster a endo ares Ol ‘peste wan don yb cleaned igh ees Hal 199) Bhonbel a Rst* peat VREOIHO = “ > eens teri, Tee VIREO witerny db and aie erste te dene haga deton "Trade ve tng te galt ton, For dependent nn vies, he acs a Ty mit ck sing ie fore pu ad Tbe 630 sows compte val fod on (anh clea fot ta tnd vas ‘Mow C's per vig al a ‘Asano tse 10000 vals peste abe 3 forthe ges ad indoden css, Fer 86 6 se ie slo of {TLE Grating Rand Vc a ‘Manga Duarte {ABLE 631 ttt Summary Comp and aris, ‘sear Daren fay mo Ce ‘Simulatad Valuo ofc (kPa) Peres Tn sind aeEa ‘Simulated Value of} (dogroes) Simp danbu FOS Gh =i em 607 ini tc as. 2a he component it Gi he en, he FOS ws cope wing ep p<] ‘silat moa caps Tee! 000 a eer 5 ThicGin moc hope we peal Fig oe 8.18.8 Summary as The example probabilistic analyses provided inthis section used thre diferent peo- or ‘et (pr smo) Rows pt ee eo od (5) Mane Cts, Over ee th id vy sa ral, 1 summed in Te 633, The pesampon wheter he Compe as ‘te dept or inepenea pean shave pict ne tele ‘Thess deviaon forte FOS csv depen vars set TABLE 632 Sth Sommer of Mote Car Sin, Tagua Dain Depend on == 07 a Pela sits ais com dass Spree eae Qus-0165 _oos-a0r 024-007 Calculated FOS Value nile he nd devin fr the depot ase 8, be variables ety ‘Spend asym oladgedes wl ado higher potas ole Tate deere te Mose Cat sao eatin ibn POS £154, sch dost track ft raed wang eee See thd) int mae mato), Thee ad ayer Mone Cao snlion ed? Amend ce vies he “rpray to iw ogra fhe led PD af compat able ‘thecal FOS wl oie consider mone gh poi “Sateen ue proce ee my merlin The sry tects, coupled with slick pps, ist make ete yt sinpl Mame Coleen mae pope{TAML635 Summary and Compartnt Ret fe A Mahe Digit eae ¢=—O7 Inde pO ee ee Sir Men eS a ier, sum ou rma ime Kea? - Elia me 8m ae aes = fem — owe a pend cams cas ats a mat? - femal ons ox aus ome = se wy of ate ng et yin har ‘hang etl, 1998), ad even posily Arial Nearal Networks (ANN) od Genetic ‘Alport (Ga) fess te satya ope, REFERENCES: Aan W195 Rack We Sly Aas Fr Cope Prcgs fie Us Spun oR Maton, Rp Cy Ss Bas teas item 5 Bu BM Ch eg Lees 8 “tc Rey “ota Oty Fans” burs ho in Masts es Tee, Cys Masry sn apr 0 alight and 5. Ansa 75." 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W 196 She Rey wh Gent Si Saas” “and ants hae See Sl Mn oR ne MOSER Tap ioe (ce TCC La a 8 ace 199 Raney Aga Spe Sa “ea mf tg Ah OT ugh A “ay of Nal Salat She Sy Pen” ‘ver nl i rl nt att Nr rc ‘hap A 588 “Tr Wo Pee Marl Spe” net al fr Nich on uc Md Gmc, pe ‘inh oes anon Sie Sly Ai Se ‘hes, me Saye SuP 3 Nog SL456 moreeranunvecncarts (Coup and. Wot 967 ha abn Seo Dea rao sea, ACE hyp SS ‘ae he 70,982 Se Sly Hot E102 Whig, DC epee he Amy Oe he Cea ger age, DE ‘Cte 9 Engng Dns arn Pty Rly Mata en eae Ente ging Ne 1S {50D of om, Wasp, Be coin eShelf Cn! SH Wing 1 Rabi Ei Ani New Ds NC WH Roh ed ADs, 199 Spe uy Amy Steg Rabon” Gti a Ne pa enantio hee Eee en ca er ‘Simp © 6 BB US Amy pcg Hes Rpt Sa ‘ae sii 35-8 Sa na of ti ae Dy, AE NB Dem M200 Facto Syst Rlaity in Ona Eagheing “ura ofan nd Croom ng ASCE, is Ne Nee ae Du Man Bahia 175. neg Manip uy Se, puta tC Bagi, Uno Cara ey. a, Dan yep athe ‘DopaM A Hann aD Ws, 97 Egg Mal Sige “hes Cig pmb ee et 7. nik enn mi Regd etc Bin Et Fel, W, 1996 “cau Susy of ara Drs Pt Sa oat “ge Din Wat Wagon DE Ft WA me ta haya gn I Now ak "i on, 98 Dyn As tcl Big” Peg of an ‘ener an So Dye ann an Mee Eon SC Geant Spc Pca Ns 3) Tin Es Po yO Fon AG and PK Can 197 ara Rese Eth a i De ‘mat ip of ts Eee by ew Sn lc Aaa {SHE Moe per 707 Rep sD. ai 7 Conga Se Sy Me ts Fs Dy Red Da Te Reni aves Lin Tp ly Se ayo eu PEN Sti ‘Cie Ganecngve Wl Ne Sep 212216 sn, 19% Mahalo Gr Bi Dion ak Pl Binns in Png Cp. 5. (Gap. 78. "olect Wey epoca St big “Srnen Srna Stn tm yy 8 5 (Gap. 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Suan Br, 1989." re Den Med ‘See Sabiy Aas” Coun Gen oral Wah 68 ota Se Sty Sip Canam Cod ‘ine’ Gaerne iN hap. ein El AG Pi, 184, "Raemig Ste Cott a alan Fr Ne GL 17108 my Ege Wey Emmatareerstiatrc 1S Dips, 199 STARS ib dns Popa Pn yn fH eS is Moe 3 i 8" Af Spr wen Denese Puma” Te ie ‘eure capri. anneal cos ne 19t8"Anin of Cap Sip Sic Sait Ani” pan hen Sly of rh Sper Servi Sen ini, he aby Conc Sal ech Rann ring "ip The Teel nes Rees outs Nin a 197. 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