Document Citation:
108
& “The University of Sydney
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Electronic Reserve Document
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Harvard Business Review 81(2) 2003 pp.108-115.
Modern companies reject centralization, inflexible
planning, and command and control. So why do
they cling to a process that reinforces those things?
Who
“= Budgets?
JeDGETING, as most corporations
practioe I, shouldbe abolished.
‘That may sound like radical
proposition butt would be merely the
culmination of long-running efforts to
transform organirations from central
‘ned hierarchies into devolved networks
that allow for nimble adjustments to
‘market conditions. Most of the other
‘bulldng block rein place. Companies
have invested huge sums nT network,
process reengincerng, and a range of
‘management tols inching EVA (E2o-
nomi Value Added), balanced seore-
cards, and activity accounting, But they
have been unable to establish a new
‘onder because the budget and the com.
‘mand and control cufre that it sup-
ports remain predominant.
‘Senior executives ave been heardto
‘proclaim that thelr people have all the
Authority ofthe chairman. In practice,
by Jeremy Hope
and Robin Fraser
they marshal the power of computer
systems to uncover mind-numbing ler
els of detall and, using the budget as 4
‘benchmark demand toknow why asses
‘cam has rung up higherthan-normal
telephone charges fr instance or way
‘thas underspent the quarter's enter
tainment allowance. And where ial
‘the authority ofthe chairman whentbe
‘team finds it can't meet the budgets
sale targets? Fearing the consequence,
the tam will Ieanon customers toodet
ood they have every intention of re
turning. And if by some chance the
‘cam thinks it will exceed ts target it
‘will press customers to accept delivery
Inte next fiscal period, delaying wah
abl cash Rows.
Inextreme cass us ofthe budget 10
{ore performance improvements may
Jead toa breakdown incorporate ethic.
People who worked at WorldCom,"‘bankrupt and under criminal invest
‘ation, said CEO Bernard Ebbers's rigid
demands were an overwhelming fact of
lie there."You would have a budget,
and he would mandate that you had to
bbe ak under budget" sida person who
worked at WorldCom, according to an
article in Financial Times last year
Nothing else was acceptable” World-
‘Com, Enron, Barings Bank, and other
faled companies had tight budgetary
contro procesesthat funneled informa-
‘ion only tothose with ‘need to know?
In short, the same companies that
vow to stay close to the customer, 50
that they can respond quickly to pre-
ious inteligence about market shifts,
ling tenaciously to budgeting pro-
cas that dsempowers the front line,
iscourages information sharing, and
slows the response to market develop-
rents unt too late,
FeaRvAry 2003,
‘Arnumber of companies have recog-
nized the fallextent ofthe damage done
by budgeting. They have rejected the
reliance on obsolete data and the pro-
tracted, selfinterested wrangling over
‘what the data indicate about the future
‘And they have rejected the foregone
conclusions embedded in traditional
‘budgcts-conclusons that render point
Jes the interpretation and cirultion of
current market information, the stock
Itrade of the knowledge-based, net
‘worked company.
Inthe absence of budgets alternative
‘goals and measures ~ some financial,
such a5 cos to-income ratios, and some
nonfinancal, such as time to market
‘move tothe foreground. And business
‘units and personnel, now responsible
for producing results are no longer ex
pected to meet predetermined, inter
nally selected financial targets. Rather,
every part of the company is judged on
how well its performance compares
with its pees’ and against worklass
‘benchmarks.
In companies using these standards
of performance, busines units become
smaller,more numerous, and more en
‘wepreneuril Strategy becomes a grass
roots endeavor. The aggregate result of
‘many small teams exploiting local op-
portunities is a much more adaptive
‘organization.
But that’ not to say these companies
abandon their high expectations They
don't naively assume that everyone Who
's given more autonomy will improve
his or er performance. tn fact they r-
(quire employees todo something much
tougher than meet a fixed target. They
ask them to chase a wilkothe-wisp, to
‘measure themselves against how well
‘comparable groups inside and outside
10TOOL KIT + Who Needs Budgets?
the company willtum out have done
nthe same period given the economic
conditions prevailing a the time. Be-
cause employees won't know whether
they/ve succeeded orby how much until
the petiod is ver, they must use every
‘ounce oftheir energy and ingenuity to
ensure that their performance is better
than that oftheir peers. Busines nits,
plants, branches, and other groupings
can measure their progress against
comparable units within the company
‘through the use ofa few key financial
measures. In order to measure them
selves agaist external peers they can
tse operational benchmarks based on
industrywide best practices. (In some
cases companies that have rejected bud
jets rely on benchmarks collected and
reparedby specialist firms that under-
stand the particular industry.) As in
‘works. This shifts the emphasls from
‘meeting short-term promises to im-
roving our competitive position year
after year. The result is much more ae
‘urate interpretation of our results and
‘news flow, meaning les volatility in our
shares. Analysts lke and respect our ap-
roach. They nolonge ask for numbers
‘based forecasts” The willingness ofthe
‘company’s investors to live without
‘such promises has inspired UBS to shi
Its focus from detailed plan to trend
analyses and rolling forecasts.
Breaking Free
from the Budget Vise
‘Though the fist companies to reject
yond budgeting can be found today
{na range of countries, industries and
‘The same companies that vow to respond quickly
to market shifts cling to budgeting a process that slows
the response to market developments until its too late.
‘sports the objective sto keep improv.
Ing your position unt you become the
league leader.
‘Abandoning budget targets ~ those
solemn but ultimately hollow promises
‘tw investors~fees a busines to give a
‘wide varity of emerging information
its due. Sharing that information can
form the basis of @ new kind of rel
‘tionship with the capital markets. UBS,
the Swiss financial services company,
hasn't discarded budgets, but it has
‘hanged how it communicates *We pro-
vide very few financiak performance
‘commitments says Mark Branson the
‘company's chief communications of.
ficer. "Our experience shows they are
counterproductive, building pressure
for short-term ation to save the cred
bility of forecast. In effect, we show an-
alyts and investors how the business
cultures. They include two banks, @
petrochemicals company a distributor,
a car manufactures, brewer, a furni-
ture reals, a truck manufacturer, an
‘eyecare company, a computer manu-
factuer, a telecommunications com-
‘pany balt-bearings manufacturer,
food producer and a specialty chemi-
‘als company. They range from small~
‘a250-employe charity dedicated to pre
venting and curing blindness to huge
and comple, as inthe case of ne global
Industrial organization with thousands
of products.
‘At these companies, an annual fxed-
performance contract nolonger defines
what subordinates must deliver to su
petiors inthe year abead. Budgets no
Jonger determine how resources are a-
Joeated or what business units make and
sell or how the performance of those
Jeremy Hope and Robin Fraser are directors ofthe Beyond Budgeting Round Table
(BRD, an international management research concertium (www.brtor). The
‘book Beyond Budgeting is being published this month by Harvard Business School
‘Pres. Hope canbe reached at eremyhope@bbrt.rg: Fraser cam be reached at obin-
Sraserabbreorg.
110
‘units and their people willbe evaluated
and rewarded, Some project leaders er
timate that they have saved 95% of the
time that used tobe spent on budgeting
and forecasting
Instead of adopting fixed annual tar
es business units set longer term goals
‘based on benchmarks such as retumon
capital. The elements of factors mea
sured are key performance indcaton~
PIs~such a5 profits, cash flows, cost
ratios, customer saistaction, and qual:
lity The criteria of measurement are the
performance of interal or external per
{groups and the ests in prior periods.
“Two ofthe important comporate goals
at Borealis, a Danish petrochemicals
company, have been the reduction of
fixed costs by 30% over five years anda
decrease in time lost to acidents in ts
plants. However, the company’s bu
‘ess units and personnel are measured
‘and rewarded onthe basis of how well
‘they reduced fixed costs and improved
uptime in comparison to best inclas
Industry benchmarks.
‘man empovered organization people
are free to make mistakes and equally
‘ree to fx them. Managers have wide
discretion in making decisions a8 a r-
sul, they can obtain resources more
‘quickly than in traditional companies
‘and without having to document need
‘uites0 elaborately partly because they
are accountable for the profitably of
‘their units and can therefore be ex-
pected to shed any exces inthe event
‘that demand fll In such a system, the
“spend itor lose i philosophy that
workin traditional ganizations has10
‘meaning. And employees, because they
‘dont require much supervision, dont
‘eed the extensive central services that
‘most organizations provide Eliminating
those services hata dramatic effect on
acompany/scost structure.
Key performance indicators ~ which
tend to be financial atthe top of an
‘organization and more operational he
‘nearer a units tothe front ine—ful,
theselfregulatory functions ofbudgets.
‘But KPIs dort need tobe so precise. UK
charity Sight Savers Intemational, for
‘example, has begun to develop target
ranges fr its KPIs. While managers aeThe New Performance Contract
‘Companies that move beyond budgeting shit decisionmaking from
‘the core tothe periphery. Instead of negotiating in advance the targets
‘managers must reach, te resources they wll ave, and their reward for
simply doing what's expected, these companies trust the managers to
claim the resources they need to seize the opportunities they se. In
short an everchanging marke, not dated plan, dictates behavio« And
ies beating the competition that brings renards.
oy
wy:
free to devise ways of achieving reslts
within these ranges, senior executives
Took atthe risks and test the assump-
tions of strategic nities that require
‘very substantia resources.
‘Atmany such companies, rong fore-
cast that look five to eight quarters
Into the future play an important role in
‘the strategic proces. The forecasts YP-
sally generated each quartet helpman-
agers to continually reassess current
sctlon plans as market and economic
conditions change. (For more informa
tion on how rolling forecasts work,
the sidebar “An EverChanging View
ofthe Future")
eonuaty 2005,
a
i
“oe
Fired targets lead to only LL. | Reatve targets push employees
{incremental improvements. Tpoutdo themsetves
I
7 Rewards based on relative
Fixed incentives instill
iy }—* { performance give people the
for ofa | ‘confidence to take risks.
I
Rigi plans focus people |_. { continuous panning focuses
‘on compliance. people on value creation.
I
Preset allocation ofresources | _, { On-demand allocation of resources
encourages hoarding minimizes costs.
I
Decision making by local units
‘Centralized decision making
}—+ in touch with one another makes
gemmc [-(Seeee
Without budget expectations to wory
bout staff members can do something
with the nonconforming customer and
‘market information they cllect-other
than hide it.The reporting of unusual
pattemsand trends as they unfold helps
‘the business avoid shortages or overages
and formulate changes in direction. In-
stead of being imposed from above,
strategy seeps up from below,
How the Budget Problem
Grew
For most participants, the traditional
budgeting process stats atleast four
‘months before the begining of the fi-
LIT + Who Needs Busgete?
‘al year. Operating divisions business
‘unis, and department receive "budget
packs" that include forms asking for
forecasts of sales, profits and capital ex
penditures. The Forecasts ae reviewed
st ahigh level, and ater several rounds
of give-andtake, the budget document
isfinalized.
“The budget i avast compendium of,
etals. I lists the eapital and opers-
‘ional resources that the corporate cen-
ter is to make avallable to operating
nls the obligations made by each unit
for the coming year, and the commit
‘ments that business or operating units
Ihave made to one another, such a5 @
production units pledge to mest the
Sales plan. 1 also states wat will ap-
‘pen to individuals’ compensation if
targets are missed or surpassed. Over
‘the course ofthe fiscal year, each unit
Is expected to file regular reports on its
progress toward meeting the targets.
Despite the numbercrunching abil
‘es of powerful computers, budgeting
remain protracted and expensive pro-
cess, absorbing up to 30% of manage-
ment’ time. A1998 study of global com-
panies showed that on average they
{invested more than 25,00 persor-days
per 4 billion of revenue in the plan-
hing and performance-measurement
processes. Ford Motor Company i re
‘ported tohave figured that its toa ost
amounted to $12 billion per year. For
companies involved in mergers, acqu
sition, spin-off, and other reorganlza-
tions, the budgeting workload can be
overnbelming.
‘Increasingly, even finance people
question the value of budgeting. One
published report says nine out of ten
thinkitis cumbersome and unreliable.
‘Among their complains I takes time
‘away from activites that ad greater
val, such s supplying managers with
the information they need to make
decisions. A 1999 global best practices
study concluded that finance personnel
spent only 2 oftheir time analyzing
and interpreting the numbers; they
spentthe restdoing"lowervalue-dded
activities" such as gathering and pro-
cesing dita, often for budgetseated
discussions,
mm
Many ofthe companies that have gone
beyond budgeting enrich and aceler
at thei information flow through the
se of rong forecasts, which are ce-
ated every three months oF and always cover the
‘same period=typcally five to eight quarters. Be-
‘cause these forecast are regularly revised, they
support managers ability to fashion strategies that
continuously adapt to market conditions.
Roling forecasts fer from budgets in several
ways. They dott envision a fied “nish ine” atthe
‘end ofthe fiscal year when income, costs, and other
tlements are measured against the budget’ (by
ow) stale targets. They Include only fen key var
ables such as orders sales, costs, and capital expen-