Scribd Logo
Upload

Welcome to Scribd!

  • Bai Tap Xac Suat

    Uploaded by

    Trung Nguyen
    1 views10 pages
    Xac Suat

    Copyright

    © © All Rights Reserved

    Available Formats

    PDF or read online from Scribd

    Did you find this document useful?

    Is this content inappropriate?

    Report this Document
    Xac Suat

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    1 views10 pages

    Bai Tap Xac Suat

    Uploaded by

    Trung Nguyen
    Xac Suat

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    of 10
    BAI TAP XAC SUAT THONG KE Bail: . C6 30 dé thi trong c6 10 dé khé, 20 dé trung bin. Tim xéc suat dé: a) M6t Hoe sinh “30-3 “Cy b) Goi Bla bién cé hoc sinh bat dugc 1 dé trung binh va mét dé kho Goi Cc la bién <6 hoc sinh bat duge 2 ae trung binh. 3, 200+190 = 0,896 435 Khi dé: Bai 2: ; Cé hai Ip 10A va 10 B mii lép c6 45 hoc sinh, sé hoc sinh gidi van va sé hoc sinh gidi toan duge cho trong bang sau. Cé m6t doan thanh tra. Higu trudng nén moi vao lép nao dé kha nang gip duoc mét em gidi it nhdt mét mén 1a cao nhat? ‘i TOA 10B Gioi Lé Van 25 25 Toan 30 30 Van va Toén 20 10 Goi V 14 bién cé hoc sinh gidi Van, T 1a bién 4 hoc sinh gidi Toan. Ta cé: Lép 10A 2530 20-7 P(V +T)=P(V)+ P(T)-P(VT) = + — -—=— (WAT =PO)+ PCD PWT) = + 35459 Lép 10B: 25 30 10 P(V+T)=P(V)+P(T)-P(VT) = +—-—= (V+ T)=P(V)+P(T)-P(VT) = 72+ 7o— 3 ve nén chon lép 10B. ~_Lép c6 100 Sinh vién, trong 46 c6 50 SV gidi Anh Van, 45 SV gidi Phi SV gidi cd hai ngoai ngtt. Chon ngau nhién mét sinh vién trong lop. Tinh xéc suai a) Sinh vin nay gidi it nhat mdt ngoai nga. b) Sinh vién nay khong gidi ngoai ngit nao hét ©) Sinh vién nay chi gidi dimg mot ngoai ngit. 1 Van, 10 d) Sinh vién nay chi gidi duy nhat mén Anh Van. Giai a) Goi A la bién cé Sinh vién gidi Anh Van. Goi B la bién cé Sinh vién gidi Phép Van. Goi C la bién cé Sinh vién gidi it nhat mét ngoai ngit P(C)=P(A+B)=P(A) + P(B)-P(AB) = 22 + 45. _ 10 _ 9,85 100 "100. 100” b) Goi D 1a bién cé Sinh vién nay khéng gidi ngoai ngit nao hét. P(D) =1—P(C) =1-0,85 = 0,15 45 10 P(AB + AB) = P(A) + P(B) — 2P(AB) = — — =0,75 oy PAB + AB) =P(A)+ PB) ~ (AB) on 00 700 =. 5010 P(AB) = P(A) — P(AB) = — -— =0,4 gy PAB) = PA)“ PAB) = T0900 Bai 4: Trong mét hp c6 12 béng dén, trong 46 06 3 bong hong. Lay ngdu nhién khéng hoan lai ba bong dé ding. Tinh xdc suat dé: a) Ca ba béng déu hong. b) Ca ba bong déu khéng hing? ©) Cé it nhat mét bong khong héng? d) Chicé béng thir hai hong? Gi Goi F 14 bién cd ma xéc suat cdn tim va A, 1A bién cé béng thir i hong 3.21 1 P(F)=P(A,A,A,)=P(A,)P(A,/A,)P(A,/A,A, ) = —.—.— = — gy POD=P(AALAS)=P(A)P(AY PC y= T1107 D0 > P(F)=P(A,-A,.A,)=P(A,)P(A,/A,)P(A,/A,A, 1 _ 219 220° 220 P(A.) P(AV/AAs = : 287 21110 5: b) ey P(F)=1-P(A,A,A,)=1- P(R)=P(A;-A,.A, da) Bai 5: M6t sot Cam c6 10 tréi trong dé c6 4 trai hu. Lay ngdu nhién ra ba trai a) Tinh xée suat lay duge 3 trai hu. b) Tinh x: it lay duge 1 trai hw. c) Tinh xéc suat lay duge it nhat mét trai hu. d) Tinh xdc sudt ly duge nhiéu nhat 2 trai hu. G Goi X 1a s6 trai hu trong ba trai lay ra. X ~H(10,4,3) P(X=1)= b) P(X21)=1-P(X 1015)=0,07=0,5-4f E012) ° =a2)- 0,43 = 0,4306 => 3 = 1,48 \s) ° (tra bang F) ( \ PC <1008) =0,5 +9{ SO = 0,5-6(1,97)= Vay 2,0325 = 0,5~-0,4756 = 0,0244 = 2,44% Do dé trong 1000 géi dudng sé cé khoang 1000x0,0244 = 24,4 g6i dudng cé trong Iuong ithon 1008 g. Bai 8: Lai sudt (%) dau tw vao mét dy an nim 2000 duge coi nhu 14 mét dai Iuong ngdu nhién cé phan phéi chudn, Theo danh gid cia uy ban dau tu thi lai suat cao hon 20% cd xe suat 0,1587, va Idi suat cao hon 25% e6 xde sudt 1a 0,0228, Vay kha nding dau tu ma khong bi thua 16 14 bao nhigu? Giai Goi X 1a lai sudt dau tu vao dy én. ~ 2 2 ‘ X~N(H,67) 15° cusa biét P(X> 20) =0,5-4[ 29H) 0.1587 (25-1) P(X > 25) =0,5- lo i: 0,0228 4 ° 4 (% (A= o ° 20 1). 0,3413 = 6(1) }- 0,4772 = 6(2) P(X >0)=0,5— (ce =) ,5 + (3) = 0,5 + 0,4987 = 0,9987 ha may san xudt 100.000 sin pham trong 46 c6 30.000 san phdm ogi 2, cén lai la pham loai 1. KCS dén kiém tra va léy ra 500 sn phdm dé thir Dé cé lai thi: Trong 2 truéng hop chon lap va chon khéng lap. Hay tinh xdc suat dé sé san phdm loai 2 ma KCS phat hign ra: a) Tw 145 dén 155 b) fthon 151 Gidi Truéng hop chon lap: Goi X 14 sé sn phdm logi 2 ¢6 trong 500 san phdm dem kiém tra. Ta cd: X ~ B(500;0,3) Do n= 500 kha lén, p = 0,3 ( khdng qué 0 va 1) Nén ta xdp xi theo chudn: X ~N(150;105) (155-150 (A) P(145< X <155)=o| ——— _|-o| ———_ ( ) 4 Vins} 44 105 = (4,87) + (4,87) =0,540,5=1 a) (osx1s0)=¢ Tos ast) =05 (146) = 150-150) _ (= Truong hop chon lap. X ~ H(100.000;30.000;500) X cé phan phéi siéu béi. Do N = 100.000 >> n = 500 nén ta xap xi theo nhj thitc. X ~ B(500;0,3) 30.000 voi 100.000 Két qua giéng nhu trén. Bai 10: Tudi tho cia mét loai béng dén duge biét theo quy luat chudn véi dé 1éch chudn 100 gid. 1) Chon ngau nhién 100 béng dé thir nghigm, thay méi béng tudi tho trung binh 1a 1000 gid. Hay uéc hrong tudi tho trung binh cia bong dén xi nghigp sin xudt véi d6 tin cy 95%. 2) V6i d6 chinh xéc la 15 gid. Hay xdc dinh dé tin cay. 3) Voi dé chinh xdc 1a 25 gid va dé tin cay 1 95% thi cin thir nghigm bao nhiéu béng? Gia Ap dung truéng hop: n> 30,0" 4a biét 1) n=100, x=1000,y=1-a=95%,0=100 2G(t) =1- 4 = 95% = 0,95 & O(t) =0,475 nen t, =1,96 =1000-1,96. 77 =980,4 Fe =1000-41,96. 7 = 1019,6 “Vn i100 Vay voi dé tin cy 14 95% thi tudi tho trung binh cia bong dén ma xi nghiép san xudt 6 vao khoang (980,4 ; 1019,6) gid. 2) €=15,n=100 15V100 =1,5> $(t,) =6(1,5) =0,4332 * 100 (bang F) Vay dé tin cay Y= 1-4 =26(t,) = 0,8664 = 86,64% 3) £=25,7=95%,0=100 Do ¥=95% nén t, =1,96 2 2 2. 27] o-[ SF] [+ 1=[61.466]+1=6141=62 ® Bail: Trong Iwong cae bao bét mi tai mét cita hang Ivong thye 1a mot dai Ivong ngdu nhién c6 phan phoi chudn. Kiém tra 20 bao, thay trong hrong trung binh cia méi bao bét saa ; mi la: 48 kg, va phuong sai mau diéu chinh 1a 8 =(0,5kg)"_ 1) Véi d6 tin cay 95% hay uéc rong trong hrong trung binh ciia mét bao bét mi thudc cita hang 2) Vi dé chinh xc 0,26 kg, x4c dinh dé tin cay. 3) V6i d6 chinh xdc 160 g, dé tin cay 14 95% . Tinh co mau n? Giai 1) Ap dung truéng hop: 9 < 30,07 chua biét n=20, X=48,7=95%,s=0,5 y= 0,95 = tl’ = 2,093 (tra bang H) 0,5 =48— 2,093. = 47,766 V20 48— 2,093, 25, 48,234 20 Vay véi d6 tin cay 14 95%, trong lrgng trung binh ciia mot bao bét mi thudc cita hang 8,234) kg = 2,325 = 2,3457 me 0,26V20 ~ 0,5 Tra bang H > y=97% Vay véi d6 chinh xac 0,26 kg thi d6 tin cay 18 97% 3) £=0,16kg,y =95% = t, =1,96 Do 1=95% nén t, =1,96 ts? 1,96) .(0,5)° n=|== fare (1,96) (0.5) (0,5) +1=[37,51]+1=37+1=38 e (0,16) Baj 12: Bé ude luong ti Ig sin pham xdu cia mot kho dé hdp, ngudi ta kiém tra ngdu nhién 100 hop thay c6 11 hdp xdu. 1) Use lugng ty 1é san pham xu cita kho dé hép voi dé tin cay 94%. 2) Véi sai sé cho phép ¢=3%, hay xc dinh dé tin cay. Ta cd: n= 100, 1) Ap dung céng thite wéc lurong ty 16: 7=94%=0,94=> t, =1,8808 (tra bang G) p, =0,11-1,8808 0,11(1 = 0,11) 100 p, =0,11+1,8808 = 0,169 V6i dé tin cay 94%, ty 1é san phim x4u cia kho dd hp vao khoang (0,051; 0,169) => 51% y = 20(t, ) = 2.0,3315 = 0,663 = 66,3% 96 Bai 13: Gidm déc mét xi nghiép cho biét lwong trung binh cia mot cong nhan thude xi nghiép 1a 380 nghin déng/ théng. Chon ngau nhién 36 céng nhan thay Iuong trung binh li 350 nghin déng/ thang, véi dé Iéch chuan 6 = 40 nghin. Léi béo cdo cia gidm déc cé tin cay duge khéng, véi mite ¥ nghia 1a 5%. Giai Gia thiét: Hy: a = 380; H, :a #380 A [a tién Ivong trung binh thye sy cia céng nan. a) = 380: 1a tién lvong trung binh ctia céng nhan theo Idi gidm déc. x 350,n =36 > 30,0 = 40,0 =5% Do 4=5% => y=1-a=0,95=> t, =1,96 J olvn _ [350 -380,V36 H0N6 196 o Bac b6 Hy eave Ké&t lujn: véi mite ¥ nghia 18 5% khdng tin vao 13i giém déc. Luong trung binh thye st cla céng nhan nhé hon 380 nghin déng/ thang. Bai 14: M6t cia hang thyc pham nhén thay théi gian vira qua trung binh mét khdch hang mua 25 nghin dng thye phim trong ngiy. Nay cia hang chon ngau nhién 15 khéch hang thay trung binh mét khach hing mua 24 nghin dong trong ngay va phuong sai mau diéu chinh Li s’= (2 nghin ddng)’. Véi mite y nghia 18 5% , thir xem 6 phai site mua cia khach hang hién nay thye sy gidm sit. ; Gidi Gia thiét: Hy: a=25 alsitc mua ciia khéch hang hién nay. = 25 1A site mua ciia khach hang truée day. n=15,x=24,s=2,a=5% Do 4=5% => y= 0,95 = ti" = thos = 251448 (tra bang H) fx-avm _ jo4—2s|vis 5 2 =1,9364 7=0,95= t, =1,96 j—lf= pala polvn _ |0,69-0,8|V36 Pid V0,2.0,8 Chap nhan H,. n=36; =1,65

    You might also like